2022-02-04 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2470

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.47%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

68.0%

in alpha space · 61.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.85%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.748	5.4178	-5.74%	5.157	-10.28%	0.0677	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2609	1.2043	-4.49%	1.2269	-2.70%	0.0002	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05094	0.049149	-3.52%	0.05111	+0.33%	0.0207	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.41	0.397267	-3.11%	0.6358	+55.07%	0.4414	✗	1.57	1.8M	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039645	0.038416	-3.10%	0.032124	-18.97%	0.2024	✓	1.28	123k	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5318	0.51552	-3.06%	0.4503	-15.33%	0.1683	✓	1.80	44.4M	2022-02-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.1	2.0388	-2.92%	2.28	+8.57%	0.0935	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0408	0.039613	-2.91%	0.0319	-21.81%	0.2451	✓	1.55	490k	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.47	4.3487	-2.71%	4.09	-8.50%	0.0858	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.43	3.3399	-2.63%	2.89	-15.74%	0.1703	✓	1.40	21.7M	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.01	7.8212	-2.36%	7.97	-0.50%	0.0122	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.121326	-2.16%	0.117	-5.65%	0.0547	✓	1.00	110k	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.13	30.5001	-2.02%	26.56	-14.68%	0.1585	✓	1.10	110.8M	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.1583	5.0618	-1.87%	6.1868	+19.94%	0.1961	✗	0.25	376k	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0798	0.078317	-1.86%	0.0654	-18.05%	0.2147	✓	1.88	26.7M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4217	3.3603	-1.79%	3.5941	+5.04%	0.0519	✗	0.84	26k	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,905.44	24,471.02	-1.74%	23,115.13	-7.19%	0.0739	✓	0.92	12.5M	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.14	2.1041	-1.68%	1.95	-8.88%	0.1014	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.27	21.9118	-1.61%	19.82	-11.00%	0.1214	✓	1.14	28.0M	2022-02-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000223	0.000002195	-1.56%	0.00000216	-3.14%	0.0345	✓	1.00	15.7M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.4	28.9572	-1.51%	28.06	-4.56%	0.0490	✓	0.95	484k	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	88.7362	87.5436	-1.34%	84.8321	-4.40%	0.0562	✓	1.35	351k	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5994	0.591412	-1.33%	0.5956	-0.63%	0.0130	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.996	7.89	-1.33%	7.923	-0.91%	0.0021	✓	0.34	40k	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016562	0.016343	-1.32%	0.015872	-4.17%	0.0504	✓	1.15	2.7M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0881	2.0611	-1.29%	1.9151	-8.29%	0.0856	✓	0.66	3.5M	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.06	53.387	-1.24%	50.35	-6.86%	0.0846	✓	1.42	8.8M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.2259	-1.14%	1.1	-11.29%	0.1317	✓	1.27	490k	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.4676	-1.13%	4.9	-11.39%	0.1317	✓	1.20	3.0M	2022-02-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.998871	-1.10%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0581	✓	1.00	369k	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.99	21.7588	-1.05%	22.36	+1.68%	0.0009	✓	1.53	418k	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	165.31	163.6252	-1.02%	169.21	+2.36%	0.0150	✗	1.01	1.8M	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.51	17.3427	-0.96%	16.22	-7.37%	0.0883	✓	1.16	79.4M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.454	6.3948	-0.92%	7.219	+11.85%	0.1032	✗	0.98	320k	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.03	45.6097	-0.91%	43.46	-5.58%	0.0695	✓	1.15	34.8M	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.56	3.5277	-0.91%	3.29	-7.58%	0.0848	✓	0.82	708k	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.9837	4.939	-0.90%	4.7016	-5.66%	0.0716	✓	1.22	364k	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9567	0.948262	-0.88%	0.8754	-8.50%	0.0987	✓	1.02	14.7M	2022-02-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.55	1.5364	-0.88%	1.51	-2.58%	0.0357	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0141	3.9797	-0.86%	4.3129	+7.44%	0.0571	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20472	0.203	-0.84%	0.18907	-7.64%	0.0985	✓	1.49	32k	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3098	0.307244	-0.83%	0.2888	-6.78%	0.0900	✓	1.53	4.1M	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.495	2.475	-0.80%	2.354	-5.65%	0.0687	✓	1.01	21k	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.186	3.1606	-0.80%	3.6	+12.99%	0.1130	✗	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.84	3.8096	-0.79%	4.25	+10.68%	0.0864	✗	1.25	2.2M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.87	165.5584	-0.79%	163.71	-1.89%	0.0360	✓	1.35	11.5M	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.27	0.267963	-0.75%	0.301	+11.48%	0.0997	✗	0.90	67k	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	132.7	131.7104	-0.75%	124.54	-6.15%	0.0785	✓	1.23	54k	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.458	1.4473	-0.74%	1.257	-13.79%	0.1636	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9987	0.991353	-0.74%	0.9169	-8.19%	0.0984	✓	1.10	29.7M	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.8	0.794135	-0.73%	0.92	+15.00%	0.1128	✗	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7925	1.7796	-0.72%	1.7756	-0.94%	0.0220	✓	1.07	76k	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5444	-0.72%	3.97	+11.20%	0.1081	✗	0.29	1.5M	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.63	21.4784	-0.70%	21.09	-2.50%	0.0391	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9791	-0.70%	2.31	-23.00%	0.2718	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.823	1.8104	-0.69%	1.833	+0.55%	0.0091	✓	1.17	1.3M	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.647332	0.642893	-0.69%	0.616904	-4.70%	0.0619	✓	1.12	3.5M	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.71	2.6917	-0.68%	2.54	-6.27%	0.0796	✓	1.17	494k	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0386	6.9925	-0.66%	6.7399	-4.24%	0.0528	✓	0.87	4.1M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.1	2.0863	-0.65%	2.07	-1.43%	0.0313	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6793	0.674902	-0.65%	0.6537	-3.77%	0.0582	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1601	0.159077	-0.64%	0.1566	-2.19%	0.0348	✓	1.04	337k	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.373	3.3515	-0.64%	3.4051	+0.95%	0.0032	✓	1.04	2.6M	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3064	0.30446	-0.63%	0.2842	-7.25%	0.0884	✓	1.06	566k	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.964	0.957919	-0.63%	1.1483	+19.12%	0.1548	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.2494	1.2419	-0.60%	1.1623	-6.97%	0.0841	✓	0.97	333k	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.07	102.4518	-0.60%	103.99	+0.89%	0.0059	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00663	0.006591	-0.59%	0.0062	-6.49%	0.0983	✓	2.03	20.3M	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1207	0.11999	-0.59%	0.1086	-10.02%	0.1259	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.207	2.1947	-0.56%	2.1819	-1.13%	0.0269	✓	1.14	888k	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.4251	-0.54%	6.47	+0.15%	0.0083	✓	0.83	483k	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.97	14.8899	-0.54%	16.98	+13.43%	0.1193	✗	0.66	908k	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04226	0.042034	-0.53%	0.03653	-13.56%	0.1600	✓	1.07	9.0M	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.3957	-0.53%	6.24	-2.95%	0.0385	✓	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.373	4.3497	-0.53%	4.453	+1.83%	0.0089	✗	0.79	351k	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.39	5.3614	-0.53%	5.47	+1.48%	0.0068	✗	0.72	398k	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.447	19.3446	-0.53%	19.087	-1.85%	0.0393	✓	1.41	10.5M	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	20.51	20.4026	-0.52%	18.99	-7.41%	0.0960	✓	1.32	44.7M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01363	0.013559	-0.52%	0.01359	-0.29%	0.0139	✓	0.88	13k	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.67	29.5153	-0.52%	29.96	+0.98%	0.0148	✓	1.62	2.1M	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.721	1.7124	-0.50%	1.637	-4.88%	0.0652	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.19	6.1598	-0.49%	5.96	-3.72%	0.0525	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1886	0.187691	-0.48%	0.1735	-8.01%	0.0911	✓	0.68	423k	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.209216	0.208249	-0.46%	0.215393	+2.95%	0.0156	✗	0.99	25.3M	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8185	2.8057	-0.46%	2.9222	+3.68%	0.0245	✗	0.88	2.8M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.61	95.1806	-0.45%	94.64	-1.01%	0.0223	✓	0.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.7	29.569	-0.44%	32.74	+10.24%	0.0830	✗	1.03	3.8M	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1262	0.125644	-0.44%	0.149	+18.07%	0.1467	✗	1.29	3.3M	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.91	77.5677	-0.44%	81.81	+5.01%	0.0287	✗	1.33	89.7M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0704	0.070106	-0.42%	0.072	+2.27%	0.0074	✗	1.05	19k	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.234	3.2207	-0.41%	3.154	-2.47%	0.0351	✓	0.77	212k	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.18	11.1351	-0.40%	10.65	-4.74%	0.0679	✓	1.27	12.5M	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147947	0.147369	-0.39%	0.14485	-2.09%	0.0358	✓	1.01	7.1M	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.89	9.8537	-0.37%	10.1	+2.12%	0.0118	✗	0.70	660k	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1073	1.1033	-0.36%	1.074	-3.01%	0.0526	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1096	0.109216	-0.35%	0.1086	-0.91%	0.0232	✓	0.95	40k	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0224	0.022322	-0.35%	0.022611	+0.94%	0.0061	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.123	6.1021	-0.34%	6.01	-1.85%	0.0303	✓	0.82	103k	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.172	1.1681	-0.33%	1.0976	-6.35%	0.0844	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.734	2.7249	-0.33%	2.754	+0.73%	0.0138	✓	1.33	986k	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03121	0.031115	-0.30%	0.03298	+5.67%	0.0427	✗	0.84	7.7M	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	134.25	133.8693	-0.28%	129.51	-3.53%	0.0497	✓	0.91	8.1M	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1398	1.1366	-0.28%	1.0803	-5.22%	0.0709	✓	1.10	113.2M	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.44	5.4252	-0.27%	5.4	-0.74%	0.0228	✓	0.99	952k	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.89908	0.896639	-0.27%	0.82329	-8.43%	0.1147	✓	1.60	351k	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0663	0.066121	-0.27%	0.0869	+31.07%	0.2509	✗	1.22	540k	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01119	0.011163	-0.24%	0.01056	-5.63%	0.0741	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2023	0.201821	-0.24%	0.2056	+1.63%	0.0048	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,457.70	40,364.78	-0.23%	42,347.70	+4.67%	0.0300	✗	0.97	51k	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05692	0.056799	-0.21%	0.05622	-1.23%	0.0345	✓	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08239	0.08222	-0.21%	0.07747	-5.97%	0.0732	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	180.53	180.1585	-0.21%	165.1	-8.55%	0.1086	✓	1.16	1.1M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,614.64	41,533.26	-0.20%	42,386.47	+1.85%	0.0020	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0408	0.040723	-0.19%	0.047719	+16.96%	0.1360	✗	1.23	8.8M	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.65	2.6451	-0.19%	2.58	-2.64%	0.0431	✓	0.99	604k	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.543	0.542024	-0.18%	0.52	-4.24%	0.0671	✓	1.40	4.6M	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09859	0.098418	-0.17%	0.09752	-1.09%	0.0271	✓	0.97	47k	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2513	0.250885	-0.17%	0.2594	+3.22%	0.0132	✗	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0106	0.010584	-0.15%	0.01244	+17.36%	0.1379	✗	1.29	1.7M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.47	6.4603	-0.15%	5.99	-7.42%	0.0938	✓	0.99	818k	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01084	0.010827	-0.12%	0.01151	+6.18%	0.0380	✗	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5902	0.589749	-0.08%	0.5696	-3.49%	0.0578	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,998.19	2,996.07	-0.07%	2,929.08	-2.31%	0.0426	✓	1.09	573.1M	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008267	0.000082627	-0.05%	0.00008391	+1.50%	0.0047	✓	1.09	5.5M	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.21	107.1724	-0.04%	116.54	+8.70%	0.0610	✗	1.24	6.6M	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	43.19	43.1799	-0.02%	40.36	-6.55%	0.0958	✓	1.54	568k	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04407	0.044071	+0.00%	0.04188	-4.97%	0.0707	✗	1.07	29k	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.72	8.7227	+0.03%	8.92	+2.29%	0.0004	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4872	0.487544	+0.07%	0.4583	-5.93%	0.0868	✗	1.36	2.0M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.42	121.5123	+0.08%	125.69	+3.52%	0.0100	✓	1.29	33.0M	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	15.142	+0.08%	14.96	-1.12%	0.0299	✗	0.97	731k	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.978	0.978832	+0.09%	0.96	-1.84%	0.0441	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.69	112.8069	+0.10%	96.5	-14.37%	0.1776	✗	1.17	191.4M	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.38	7.3896	+0.13%	7.7	+4.34%	0.0355	✓	0.30	1.1M	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4406	0.441329	+0.17%	0.4181	-5.11%	0.0775	✗	1.28	9.7M	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.77	1.7733	+0.19%	1.71	-3.39%	0.0587	✗	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	306.37	306.9465	+0.19%	321.01	+4.78%	0.0262	✓	1.01	7.6M	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9113	0.913036	+0.19%	0.9345	+2.55%	0.0074	✗	1.67	783k	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.33	51.4414	+0.22%	59.07	+15.08%	0.1179	✓	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.352786	+0.22%	0.375	+6.53%	0.0375	✓	1.28	1.8M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.296	+0.26%	1.99	-13.10%	0.1650	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000222	0.000022267	+0.30%	0.00002872	+29.37%	0.2311	✓	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06445	0.064691	+0.37%	0.063958	-0.76%	0.0279	✗	0.90	396k	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.8761	6.9052	+0.42%	6.5603	-4.59%	0.0770	✗	1.40	174k	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0871	0.087676	+0.66%	0.0868	-0.34%	0.0311	✗	1.15	256k	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.772	0.777325	+0.69%	0.771	-0.13%	0.0271	✗	1.03	1.6M	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.65	20.8077	+0.76%	17.24	-16.51%	0.2199	✗	1.73	3.9M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.