2022-01-31 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3650

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.10%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.2%

in alpha space · 7.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+13.97%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0975	0.090501	-7.18%	0.0901	-7.59%	0.3514	✓	2.65	24.9M	2022-02-07
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.122	0.116474	-4.53%	0.133	+9.02%	0.0019	✓	1.00	141k	2022-02-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.887	1.8042	-4.39%	1.9987	+5.92%	0.0073	✓	0.73	3.1M	2022-02-07
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.31	2.2179	-3.99%	2.2	-4.76%	0.1389	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-07
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2778	1.2281	-3.89%	1.299	+1.66%	0.0746	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-02-07
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.389	5.2064	-3.39%	6.287	+16.66%	0.0579	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-07
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04985	0.048264	-3.18%	0.04778	-4.15%	0.1408	✓	1.00	5.5M	2022-02-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.73	5.5573	-3.01%	5.9	+2.97%	0.1108	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-07
STX	Stacks	native	1.49	1.4462	-2.94%	1.72	+15.44%	0.0426	✗	1.00	2.0M	2022-02-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.07	27.2956	-2.76%	31.63	+12.68%	0.0033	✓	1.15	120.6M	2022-02-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5403	0.526329	-2.59%	0.602	+11.42%	0.1125	✓	1.89	48.9M	2022-02-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1361	0.132684	-2.51%	0.1593	+17.05%	0.0545	✗	0.98	312k	2022-02-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8223	2.7518	-2.50%	3.2878	+16.49%	0.0505	✗	0.98	2.8M	2022-02-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1775	3.0985	-2.49%	3.7993	+19.57%	0.0856	✗	0.90	22k	2022-02-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,852.85	24,237.89	-2.47%	26,559.72	+6.87%	0.0318	✓	0.94	16.4M	2022-02-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.27	3.1913	-2.41%	3.56	+8.87%	0.0806	✓	1.45	24.6M	2022-02-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.15	50.9226	-2.35%	59.48	+14.06%	0.0661	✓	1.69	8.8M	2022-02-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4938	3.4192	-2.14%	4.1408	+18.52%	0.0087	✓	1.40	2.4M	2022-02-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.8	5.6767	-2.13%	6	+3.45%	0.0828	✓	1.06	1.0M	2022-02-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.888	1.8486	-2.09%	2.094	+10.91%	0.0380	✓	1.24	1.5M	2022-02-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07979	0.078135	-2.07%	0.08985	+12.61%	0.0439	✗	0.73	84k	2022-02-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.58	42.7155	-1.98%	47.22	+8.35%	0.0610	✓	1.23	37.0M	2022-02-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19016	0.18644	-1.96%	0.22724	+19.50%	0.0132	✓	1.62	24k	2022-02-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.23	4.1515	-1.86%	4.96	+17.26%	0.0048	✓	1.40	9.3M	2022-02-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.0138	4.9214	-1.84%	5.4029	+7.76%	0.0708	✓	1.26	430k	2022-02-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.82	19.4646	-1.79%	24.04	+21.29%	0.0443	✗	1.28	34.3M	2022-02-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.549	0.53941	-1.75%	0.6257	+13.97%	0.0045	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.62	9.4522	-1.74%	10.4	+8.11%	0.0030	✓	0.75	744k	2022-02-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.41	3.3535	-1.66%	3.79	+11.14%	0.0976	✗	0.19	1.4M	2022-02-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3291	0.323887	-1.58%	0.3247	-1.34%	0.2101	✓	1.63	4.2M	2022-02-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.3	20.9698	-1.55%	24.52	+15.12%	0.0026	✓	1.22	12.6M	2022-02-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.78	11.5992	-1.53%	12.38	+5.09%	0.1134	✓	1.37	12.5M	2022-02-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1215	0.119663	-1.51%	0.1248	+2.72%	0.1540	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-02-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014268	0.014052	-1.51%	0.01721	+20.62%	0.0500	✗	1.17	2.7M	2022-02-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.95	1.9217	-1.45%	2.27	+16.41%	0.0039	✓	1.30	2.8M	2022-02-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5492	0.541291	-1.44%	0.6374	+16.06%	0.0111	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-02-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1836	0.18098	-1.43%	0.1916	+4.36%	0.0316	✓	0.68	495k	2022-02-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.042	2.9992	-1.41%	3.306	+8.68%	0.0087	✓	0.81	342k	2022-02-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.16	2.1297	-1.40%	2.26	+4.63%	0.1421	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.39	19.1185	-1.40%	22.37	+15.37%	0.0257	✓	1.40	50.2M	2022-02-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0665	3.0242	-1.38%	3.4602	+12.84%	0.0020	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-02-07
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9619	0.948816	-1.36%	1.2317	+28.05%	0.0602	✗	1.54	2.0M	2022-02-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	157.59	155.453	-1.36%	182.29	+15.67%	0.0232	✓	1.40	12.7M	2022-02-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0352	0.034724	-1.35%	0.0369	+4.83%	0.1312	✓	1.47	617k	2022-02-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.867	6.775	-1.34%	7.3085	+6.43%	0.0482	✓	0.95	4.2M	2022-02-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.25	14.0651	-1.30%	16.23	+13.89%	0.0517	✗	0.70	841k	2022-02-07
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4369	0.43129	-1.28%	0.6483	+48.39%	0.1986	✗	1.60	2.0M	2022-02-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8338	0.823134	-1.28%	0.9985	+19.75%	0.0457	✗	1.13	16.8M	2022-02-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.227	3.1859	-1.28%	3.76	+16.52%	0.0543	✗	0.85	819k	2022-02-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.69	2.6562	-1.26%	2.86	+6.32%	0.1293	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-02-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2718	0.268431	-1.24%	0.3267	+20.20%	0.0466	✗	1.15	557k	2022-02-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.16	16.9475	-1.24%	18.88	+10.02%	0.0512	✓	1.22	88.8M	2022-02-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.547	1.528	-1.23%	1.868	+20.75%	0.0428	✗	1.21	1.6M	2022-02-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.058	0.057304	-1.20%	0.06292	+8.48%	0.0932	✓	1.43	1.7M	2022-02-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.25	6.1755	-1.19%	7.38	+18.08%	0.0545	✗	0.95	892k	2022-02-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6166	0.609265	-1.19%	0.7902	+28.15%	0.0587	✗	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.35	7.2632	-1.18%	9.06	+23.27%	0.1853	✗	0.27	1.8M	2022-02-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.199723	0.197418	-1.15%	0.239623	+19.98%	0.0580	✗	1.04	26.2M	2022-02-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	69.92	69.1295	-1.13%	83.23	+19.04%	0.0100	✓	1.34	85.3M	2022-02-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.6528	-1.13%	2.945	+9.77%	0.0952	✓	1.53	986k	2022-02-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	147.48	145.8388	-1.11%	185.08	+25.49%	0.1048	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7199	3.6788	-1.11%	4.8233	+29.66%	0.2733	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.27	6.2011	-1.10%	6.79	+8.29%	0.0230	✓	0.87	529k	2022-02-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9504	0.939958	-1.10%	1.0706	+12.65%	0.0237	✓	1.18	34.5M	2022-02-07
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.037542	0.03713	-1.10%	0.038389	+2.26%	0.1497	✓	1.40	172k	2022-02-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.108	4.063	-1.09%	4.576	+11.39%	0.0133	✗	0.81	367k	2022-02-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.318	7.2382	-1.09%	8.971	+22.59%	0.1844	✗	0.23	40k	2022-02-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141646	0.140121	-1.08%	0.165291	+16.69%	0.0260	✗	1.07	7.1M	2022-02-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8388	0.830155	-1.03%	1.2268	+46.26%	0.1937	✗	1.51	106k	2022-02-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0903	1.0791	-1.03%	1.3002	+19.26%	0.0262	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.21	24.9542	-1.01%	28.02	+11.15%	0.0138	✗	0.78	447k	2022-02-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.51	20.303	-1.01%	25.54	+24.52%	0.0221	✗	1.59	556k	2022-02-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.5	2.4749	-1.00%	2.82	+12.80%	0.0023	✓	1.02	754k	2022-02-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.39	2.366	-1.00%	3.09	+29.29%	0.1093	✗	1.21	602k	2022-02-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.02	26.7617	-0.96%	32.06	+18.65%	0.0366	✓	1.66	2.6M	2022-02-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.065	17.8958	-0.94%	20.309	+12.42%	0.0727	✓	1.52	10.6M	2022-02-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.915	0.906443	-0.94%	1.073	+17.27%	0.0114	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.567335	0.562056	-0.93%	0.67955	+19.78%	0.0304	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-02-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,491.93	38,135.06	-0.93%	43,868.07	+13.97%	0.0093	✓	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.904	5.8502	-0.91%	7.753	+31.32%	0.1453	✗	1.04	341k	2022-02-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.95	5.8967	-0.90%	6.61	+11.09%	0.0278	✓	1.09	2.1M	2022-02-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021024	0.020836	-0.89%	0.023054	+9.66%	0.0324	✓	1.02	3.1M	2022-02-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,589.30	38,250.03	-0.88%	43,893.50	+13.75%	0.0047	✓	1.02	51k	2022-02-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.15	19.9758	-0.86%	21.81	+8.24%	0.1539	✓	1.85	3.9M	2022-02-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.2277	-0.86%	2.656	+18.20%	0.0334	✗	1.09	23k	2022-02-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1022	0.101331	-0.85%	0.1175	+14.97%	0.0151	✗	1.02	41k	2022-02-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1889	0.187317	-0.84%	0.2345	+24.14%	0.0490	✗	1.34	3.8M	2022-02-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.85261	0.845628	-0.82%	0.96686	+13.40%	0.0929	✓	1.74	534k	2022-02-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.065263	-0.82%	0.079	+20.06%	0.0461	✗	1.11	21k	2022-02-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,689.72	2,667.78	-0.82%	3,141.89	+16.81%	0.0190	✗	1.11	557.7M	2022-02-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.634905	-0.80%	0.95	+48.44%	0.1602	✗	1.86	1.1M	2022-02-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5526	1.5404	-0.78%	1.9231	+23.87%	0.0763	✗	1.11	82k	2022-02-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00728	0.007225	-0.76%	0.00701	-3.71%	0.3366	✓	2.34	23.2M	2022-02-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9985	0.991015	-0.75%	1.1664	+16.82%	0.0768	✓	1.83	929k	2022-02-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.67	25.4784	-0.75%	32.66	+27.23%	0.1060	✗	1.09	3.3M	2022-02-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.48	3.454	-0.75%	4.06	+16.67%	0.0044	✓	1.27	2.5M	2022-02-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039278	0.038985	-0.75%	0.042745	+8.83%	0.0717	✓	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0524	1.0446	-0.74%	1.1991	+13.94%	0.0117	✓	1.14	113.2M	2022-02-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.15	2.1349	-0.70%	2.38	+10.70%	0.0948	✓	1.56	2.3M	2022-02-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.32	90.6795	-0.70%	101.78	+11.45%	0.0084	✓	0.95	1.6M	2022-02-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.25	5.2134	-0.70%	5.62	+7.05%	0.0209	✓	0.73	429k	2022-02-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08784	0.087235	-0.69%	0.10441	+18.86%	0.0372	✗	1.09	46k	2022-02-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.409	0.406246	-0.67%	0.5065	+23.84%	0.0495	✗	1.31	10.0M	2022-02-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2423	0.240675	-0.67%	0.2714	+12.01%	0.0330	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1136	0.112842	-0.67%	0.1382	+21.65%	0.0291	✗	1.33	3.8M	2022-02-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.39	120.5857	-0.66%	145.96	+20.24%	0.0198	✗	1.31	65k	2022-02-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	159.75	158.6951	-0.66%	198.23	+24.09%	0.0684	✗	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01022	0.010154	-0.65%	0.01222	+19.57%	0.0104	✗	1.34	1.6M	2022-02-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007633	0.000075844	-0.64%	0.00009007	+18.00%	0.0246	✗	1.13	5.8M	2022-02-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00993	0.009867	-0.64%	0.01584	+59.52%	0.3030	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.359	1.3504	-0.63%	1.495	+10.01%	0.0637	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-02-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01331	0.013226	-0.63%	0.01354	+1.73%	0.0936	✓	0.90	14k	2022-02-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04586	0.045577	-0.62%	0.04107	-10.44%	0.2495	✓	1.11	9.2M	2022-02-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.68	1.6698	-0.60%	1.93	+14.88%	0.0248	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0619	0.061535	-0.59%	0.0915	+47.82%	0.2249	✗	1.31	564k	2022-02-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.26	6.2239	-0.58%	6.65	+6.23%	0.0379	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.245599	-0.57%	0.285	+15.38%	0.0242	✗	0.95	63k	2022-02-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	99.52	98.9601	-0.56%	117.62	+18.19%	0.0178	✗	1.19	165.9M	2022-02-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41	40.7741	-0.55%	48.2	+17.56%	0.0456	✓	1.63	626k	2022-02-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.119	6.0856	-0.55%	6.962	+13.78%	0.0227	✗	0.86	118k	2022-02-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	94.18	93.6688	-0.54%	115.9	+23.06%	0.0588	✗	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002142	0.000021304	-0.54%	0.00003255	+51.96%	0.2393	✗	1.41	1.6M	2022-02-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.491	0.488374	-0.53%	0.583	+18.74%	0.0238	✓	1.54	5.0M	2022-02-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1164	3.1	-0.53%	3.5646	+14.38%	0.0075	✓	1.13	2.9M	2022-02-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	75.0775	74.7063	-0.49%	105.8832	+41.03%	0.1824	✗	1.27	410k	2022-02-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1648	1.1597	-0.44%	1.3981	+20.03%	0.0534	✗	1.02	352k	2022-02-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0678	6.0415	-0.43%	7.4703	+23.11%	0.0213	✗	1.46	181k	2022-02-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04045	0.040298	-0.38%	0.04657	+15.13%	0.0018	✓	1.12	29k	2022-02-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.318	0.316838	-0.37%	0.384	+20.75%	0.0141	✗	1.36	1.7M	2022-02-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.38	52.2102	-0.32%	68.32	+30.43%	0.1170	✗	1.16	8.0M	2022-02-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02978	0.029685	-0.32%	0.03323	+11.58%	0.0052	✓	0.90	8.7M	2022-02-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.54	6.521	-0.29%	7.41	+13.30%	0.0981	✗	0.23	1.1M	2022-02-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00994	0.009912	-0.28%	0.01211	+21.83%	0.0643	✗	1.04	588k	2022-02-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.36	14.3206	-0.27%	16.8	+16.99%	0.0308	✗	0.99	814k	2022-02-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.464	0.462909	-0.24%	0.535	+15.30%	0.0382	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-02-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0812	0.081041	-0.20%	0.0948	+16.75%	0.0048	✓	1.24	317k	2022-02-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.731	0.729968	-0.14%	0.854	+16.83%	0.0174	✗	1.07	1.7M	2022-02-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	285.23	284.9572	-0.10%	343.12	+20.30%	0.0490	✗	1.05	6.8M	2022-02-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1315	2.1299	-0.08%	2.3627	+10.84%	0.0584	✓	1.24	888k	2022-02-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.57	94.5699	-0.00%	128.86	+36.26%	0.1327	✗	1.35	6.6M	2022-02-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059132	0.059134	+0.00%	0.068517	+15.87%	0.0255	✓	0.93	431k	2022-02-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.55	109.6324	+0.08%	137.43	+25.45%	0.0496	✓	1.35	33.8M	2022-02-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.94	7.9525	+0.16%	10.33	+30.10%	0.0883	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.82	0.823365	+0.41%	1.24	+51.22%	0.2096	✓	1.53	490k	2022-02-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.15	97.6264	+0.49%	154.1	+58.62%	0.3190	✓	1.05	7.5M	2022-02-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.