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2022-09-13 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1906
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.4%
in alpha space · 89.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.3186+0.78%14.09-7.30%0.0315✗0.781.4M2022-09-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.020367-0.31%0.02253+10.28%0.1692✗1.039.7M2022-09-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.064263-0.64%0.06189-4.31%0.0213✗0.897802022-09-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.06743-0.69%0.06198-8.72%0.0207✓0.9625k2022-09-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1020,095.39-0.70%18,902.70-6.59%0.0000✓0.9215k2022-09-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.445853-0.70%0.371-17.37%0.1066✓1.164,5592022-09-20
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.060221-0.76%0.059529-1.90%0.0183✗0.45123k2022-09-20
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.818398-0.77%0.77688-5.80%0.0033✓0.7313k2022-09-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.163711-0.78%0.1444-12.48%0.0506✓1.131,7442022-09-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7958-0.78%2.18+20.44%0.2246✗0.4656k2022-09-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6972-0.80%2.358-13.28%0.0363✓1.482.9M2022-09-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.01205-0.84%0.011385-6.31%0.0015✓0.83882k2022-09-20
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.214248-0.86%0.2133-1.30%0.0533✗0.87527k2022-09-20
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.039514-0.89%0.0384-3.69%0.0074✓0.5423k2022-09-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012407-0.90%0.01085-13.34%0.0929✓0.62233k2022-09-20
ZECZcashZcash58.9258.379-0.92%53.44-9.30%0.0150✓1.101.1M2022-09-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.123086-0.98%0.1115-10.30%0.0288✓1.052.6M2022-09-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.036119-0.99%0.03363-7.81%0.0242✓0.712,2982022-09-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.208156-1.02%0.1835-12.74%0.0769✓0.7467k2022-09-20
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.187854-1.03%0.1738-8.43%0.0098✓1.02101k2022-09-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03292.0116-1.05%1.8224-10.35%0.0282✓1.0613k2022-09-20
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1365.0816-1.06%5.729+11.55%0.2069✗1.316.4M2022-09-20
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.8075-1.06%10.937-8.35%0.0115✓0.9821k2022-09-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,960.94-1.06%18,876.91-6.43%0.0107✗1.00480.9M2022-09-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.8958-1.06%6.32-9.33%0.0172✓1.05224k2022-09-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.042272-1.07%0.0401-6.15%0.0072✓0.6814k2022-09-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,557.79-1.07%1,322.80-16.00%0.0764✓1.31616.7M2022-09-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.502466-1.09%0.45604-10.22%0.0106✓1.3041k2022-09-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022918-1.09%0.02122-8.42%0.0094✓1.022,9582022-09-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.083874-1.09%0.0826-2.59%0.0489✗0.9711k2022-09-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.294712-1.10%0.274-8.05%0.0086✓0.9774k2022-09-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.056567-1.11%0.053-7.34%0.0116✓0.8090k2022-09-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019844-1.13%0.01975-1.59%0.0344✗0.59173k2022-09-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.457244-1.14%0.4282-7.42%0.0088✓1.12366k2022-09-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.043592-1.15%0.0372-15.65%0.0815✓1.16546k2022-09-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002794-1.16%0.002359-16.55%0.1091✓0.901.2M2022-09-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.487214-1.17%0.473-4.06%0.0491✗1.1877k2022-09-20
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9781.9906-1.18%74.07-10.73%0.0043✓1.466.2M2022-09-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.058298-1.19%0.0554-6.10%0.0287✗1.20568k2022-09-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.722754-1.19%0.70726-3.31%0.0500✗1.08624k2022-09-20
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.836152-1.20%0.776851-8.20%0.0176✓0.8446k2022-09-20
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6042-1.20%4.5-3.43%0.0326✗0.83839k2022-09-20
XMRMoneroMonero145.44143.6791-1.21%142.45-2.06%0.0573✗0.991.4M2022-09-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.13751-1.21%0.1288-7.47%0.0005✓0.98128k2022-09-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.048996-1.22%0.0492-0.81%0.0615✗0.86234k2022-09-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005561-1.22%0.00487-13.50%0.0889✓0.66911k2022-09-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.5338-1.23%1.469-5.41%0.0029✓0.6929k2022-09-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.59e-7-1.24%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0378✓0.6915k2022-09-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.396366-1.25%0.3721-7.30%0.0129✗1.1467k2022-09-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56650.9059-1.28%48.664-5.63%0.0115✓0.85246k2022-09-20
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.04162-1.29%0.039923-5.31%0.0181✗0.9028k2022-09-20
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.6474-1.30%13.69-7.75%0.0133✗1.2275k2022-09-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005822-1.31%0.005383-8.74%0.0358✓0.641,9622022-09-20
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.49e-7-1.32%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0373✓0.711.7M2022-09-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7613-1.33%1.612-9.69%0.0189✗1.6265k2022-09-20
GTGateEthereum4.14324.0881-1.33%4.1513+0.20%0.0635✗0.72696k2022-09-20
KSMKusamaHydration46.3845.7618-1.33%40.05-13.65%0.0656✓1.02363k2022-09-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1547-1.33%1.0353-11.54%0.0364✓1.091.1M2022-09-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1424.0857-1.36%3.561-14.03%0.1130✓0.372.0M2022-09-20
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.457359-1.37%0.4423-4.62%0.0307✗0.9738.3M2022-09-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.263254-1.37%0.24603-7.83%0.0089✓0.8815k2022-09-20
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1657-1.38%0.919-22.25%0.1313✓1.602.8M2022-09-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.044568-1.40%0.0414-8.41%0.0171✓0.85142k2022-09-20
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.375827-1.40%0.38944+2.17%0.0989✗0.9531k2022-09-20
QNTQuantEthereum97.8796.4977-1.40%101.37+3.58%0.1108✗0.933.5M2022-09-20
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.9482-1.42%5.294-12.26%0.0270✓1.356.9M2022-09-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.035585-1.43%0.0334-7.48%0.0035✓1.0190k2022-09-20
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001497-1.43%0.00153+0.72%0.0710✗0.74353k2022-09-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.205521-1.43%0.1922-7.82%0.0065✓0.9159k2022-09-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.656-1.43%1.498-10.83%0.0375✓0.94627k2022-09-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.3083-1.43%5.923-7.45%0.0013✓0.974.3M2022-09-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.427725-1.45%0.422-2.76%0.0557✗1.047,9852022-09-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.292275-1.46%0.3295+11.09%0.1833✗0.956.0M2022-09-20
SOLSolanaSolana33.0132.5232-1.47%31.42-4.82%0.0452✗1.2054.5M2022-09-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.13448-1.48%0.1242-9.01%0.0448✓0.5283k2022-09-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3889-1.50%1.39-1.42%0.0063✓-0.11113k2022-09-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.095346-1.50%0.0914-5.58%0.0053✓0.722,9132022-09-20
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.123405-1.51%0.1211-3.35%0.0550✗1.111.4M2022-09-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001508-1.51%0.001404-8.30%0.0265✓0.676,5532022-09-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0365-1.52%0.9445-10.26%0.0050✓1.474.5M2022-09-20
DASHDashDash43.7743.1025-1.52%40.65-7.13%0.0099✓1.03312k2022-09-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.258983-1.53%0.252-4.18%0.0216✗0.74534k2022-09-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.9771-1.53%2.8783-4.80%0.0335✗1.0120k2022-09-20
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003752-1.53%0.00348-8.66%0.0130✓0.9495k2022-09-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.5802-1.54%16.66-11.71%0.0195✓1.3518.0M2022-09-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2934.7465-1.54%29.12-17.48%0.0767✓1.5010.6M2022-09-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.090967-1.55%0.0956+3.46%0.1170✗1.01336k2022-09-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9906-1.55%1.779-12.02%0.0330✓1.1930k2022-09-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.4298-1.56%4.18-7.11%0.0204✓0.571.4M2022-09-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.158.1737-1.57%52.34-11.44%0.0414✓0.9714.4M2022-09-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.585665-1.57%0.6+0.84%0.0904✗1.00178k2022-09-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.305593-1.58%0.297-4.35%0.0376✗0.9982k2022-09-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.79383-1.58%0.76-5.78%0.0304✗1.11946k2022-09-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019871-1.59%0.019648-2.69%0.0306✗0.6312k2022-09-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0824.0172-1.59%3.631-11.05%0.0672✓0.512.3M2022-09-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.058456-1.59%0.0581-2.19%0.0639✗1.0578k2022-09-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.132612-1.59%0.12096-10.24%0.0161✓1.14151k2022-09-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.8897-1.61%4.7663-4.10%0.0199✓0.09119k2022-09-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.986567-1.61%0.951207-5.14%0.0147✓0.7741k2022-09-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011894-1.62%0.00001052-12.99%0.0584✓0.971.0M2022-09-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.102955-1.62%0.117297+12.08%0.1883✗0.876.5M2022-09-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.263541-1.63%0.2618-2.28%0.0590✗0.992.7M2022-09-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.611853-1.63%0.555-10.77%0.0249✓1.093.2M2022-09-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.5703-1.64%8.99-7.61%0.0258✗1.33288k2022-09-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.4307-1.67%1.333-8.38%0.0004✓1.0771k2022-09-20
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.0983-1.68%8.92-3.61%0.0351✗0.831.2M2022-09-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0553.0035-1.69%2.911-4.71%0.0054✓0.39759k2022-09-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.06796-1.69%0.0637-7.85%0.0515✓0.20354k2022-09-20
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.4517-1.69%23.34-9.85%0.0202✓1.006.8M2022-09-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.9049-1.71%6.884-2.01%0.0705✗1.1118.0M2022-09-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.9485-1.72%6.287-11.07%0.0264✓1.1110.0M2022-09-20
FLOWFlownative1.8641.8319-1.72%1.681-9.82%0.0065✓1.39967k2022-09-20
STXStacksnative0.34970.343662-1.73%0.336-3.92%0.0476✗1.06313k2022-09-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.304282-1.74%0.41753+34.83%0.3589✗0.64326k2022-09-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.195533-1.74%0.1814-8.84%0.0077✓1.01132k2022-09-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.315692-1.77%0.29941-6.84%0.0156✓1.0333k2022-09-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.164395-1.78%0.15884-5.10%0.0121✓0.703542022-09-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.599105-1.79%0.573-6.07%0.0248✗1.04114k2022-09-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.033067-1.79%0.03003-10.81%0.0266✓1.0532k2022-09-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.058427-1.82%0.05683-4.50%0.0521✗1.201.2M2022-09-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,852.10-1.83%8,456.46-6.22%0.0440✗1.354.1M2022-09-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.153238-1.83%0.1359-12.94%0.0417✓1.189132022-09-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008353-1.85%0.00707-16.92%0.1068✓0.903.3M2022-09-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.863025-1.88%0.8421-4.26%0.0561✗1.21899k2022-09-20
XVGVergenative0.003370.003306-1.91%0.00324-3.86%0.0422✗0.94483k2022-09-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.2504-1.92%13.44-7.50%0.0032✓0.931.8M2022-09-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02231.0025-1.93%0.9058-11.40%0.0691✓0.492.8M2022-09-20
METISMetisEthereum27.927.3604-1.93%23.56-15.56%0.0473✓1.54159k2022-09-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.393043-1.94%0.3108-22.46%0.1687✓0.99202k2022-09-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.058464-1.96%0.058378-2.11%0.0623✗0.961.2M2022-09-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.7514-1.97%1.6911-5.35%0.0378✗1.1025k2022-09-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6115.2672-1.98%112.79-4.09%0.0546✗1.154.4M2022-09-20
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.5043-1.99%1.465-4.55%0.0416✗1.02246k2022-09-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.106046-1.99%0.0967-10.63%0.0068✓1.282.5M2022-09-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.9196-1.99%1.3011-33.57%0.3407✓0.721.5M2022-09-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.5658-1.99%2.331-10.96%0.0426✓0.80523k2022-09-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.105417-2.03%0.0976-9.29%0.0209✓0.84188k2022-09-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.509173-2.08%0.457-12.12%0.0344✓1.1166k2022-09-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5672-2.09%7.69-12.11%0.0709✓0.562.4M2022-09-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1279-2.09%1.066-7.47%0.0056✓0.931.1M2022-09-20
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.5067-2.09%4.9996+8.62%0.1916✗1.32118k2022-09-20
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.2179-2.10%1.141-8.28%0.0158✓1.22323k2022-09-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.2164-2.13%1.202-3.29%0.0606✗1.09922k2022-09-20
HIVEHivenative0.55040.53865-2.13%0.5094-7.45%0.0157✓0.60871k2022-09-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.47607-2.14%0.4262-12.39%0.0566✓0.81422k2022-09-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.00121-2.15%0.001057-14.48%0.0810✓0.812.2M2022-09-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.006081-2.17%0.006298+1.32%0.0571✗0.3330k2022-09-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.8921-2.18%12.43-5.69%0.0382✗1.12925k2022-09-20
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2693-2.19%1.93-16.81%0.1215✓0.61247k2022-09-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.046852-2.19%0.0414-13.57%0.0504✓1.10177k2022-09-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.159274-2.19%0.14425-11.42%0.0302✓1.04271k2022-09-20
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010753-2.23%0.010289-6.45%0.0224✓1.006682022-09-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.645691-2.26%0.6151-6.89%0.0507✗1.49210k2022-09-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.2828-2.28%0.268268-7.30%0.0120✓0.97487k2022-09-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.816.4133-2.30%15.28-9.05%0.0339✓0.57396k2022-09-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.826415-2.35%0.8513+0.59%0.1278✗1.4894k2022-09-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.107734-2.41%0.0859-22.19%0.1891✓0.56182k2022-09-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.9835-2.45%5.025-18.08%0.1373✓0.563.1M2022-09-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007765-2.46%0.00712-10.55%0.0134✓1.10463k2022-09-20
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.3094-2.46%3.821-13.51%0.0538✓1.001.4M2022-09-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.7263-2.47%5.315-9.47%0.0101✓0.976.2M2022-09-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13214.0299-2.47%3.4018-17.67%0.1258✓0.667.3M2022-09-20
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000042854-2.49%0.00003816-13.17%0.0608✓0.833.0M2022-09-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.897682-2.53%0.882-4.23%0.0130✓0.462.7M2022-09-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039277-2.54%0.0361-10.42%0.0321✓0.799,5132022-09-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.5413-2.56%13.903+0.04%0.1094✗1.2520.3M2022-09-20
PROPropyEthereum0.710.6918-2.56%0.63-11.27%0.0773✓0.2442k2022-09-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.3003-2.62%5.9-8.81%0.0334✓0.482.1M2022-09-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.322117-2.62%0.3-9.31%0.0021✓1.1072k2022-09-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.888986-2.63%0.879-3.72%0.0636✗1.131.5M2022-09-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2124.1006-2.64%3.942-6.41%0.0217✓0.92245k2022-09-20
FISStafiEthereum0.350.340691-2.66%0.3049-12.89%0.0473✓0.961,1592022-09-20
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,432.04-2.67%1,283.51-12.77%0.0430✓1.003.4M2022-09-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.9742-2.75%1.82-10.34%0.0007✓1.21227k2022-09-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.5564-2.86%4.91-14.16%0.0890✓0.522.0M2022-09-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.187735-2.93%0.2401+24.15%0.3074✗0.923.2M2022-09-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.9349-3.02%5.52-9.80%0.0380✓0.522.1M2022-09-20
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8354.1115-3.08%55.12-1.27%0.0938✗1.138,6412022-09-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23497.0107-3.10%5.691-21.34%0.1894✓0.2912.2M2022-09-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.023913-3.16%0.0273+10.56%0.1353✗0.04471k2022-09-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.3704-3.19%5.3237-19.09%0.1687✓0.169.1M2022-09-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.7021-3.22%12.095+0.02%0.0575✗0.3715.8M2022-09-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3642-3.25%1.234-12.48%0.0210✓1.1943k2022-09-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.332876-3.35%0.2776-19.40%0.1223✓0.8989k2022-09-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.139536-3.37%0.1355-6.16%0.0354✗0.97336k2022-09-20
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016628-3.39%0.014956-13.10%0.0395✓1.001,0292022-09-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.405764-3.39%0.39427-6.13%0.0334✓0.93392k2022-09-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.2503-3.82%1.16-10.77%0.0072✓1.0258k2022-09-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.69e-7-3.90%5.21e-7-25.17%0.1928✓0.862.2M2022-09-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.186847-4.82%0.1266-35.51%0.3383✓0.7730k2022-09-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.00033701-5.88%0.00030158-15.77%0.1047✓0.102.4M2022-09-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.