XVG

Verge · native · gru_s9

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0949

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0134

actual -0.0002

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002616	0.002571	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.00255	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.002479	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002495	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002547	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002577	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002617	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.00261	-0.73%	0.002616	-0.51%	0.0097	✓	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002744	-1.06%	0.002588	-6.67%	0.0567	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002706	-1.03%	0.002506	-8.34%	0.0777	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.002891	-1.45%	0.002517	-14.20%	0.1230	✓	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002923	-1.56%	0.002567	-13.54%	0.1154	✓	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002799	-1.31%	0.002596	-8.48%	0.0656	✓	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002756	-1.23%	0.002636	-5.52%	0.0485	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.00292	-1.58%	0.002629	-11.39%	0.0896	✓	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.003025	-1.59%	0.002773	-9.79%	0.0660	✓	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.003093	-1.70%	0.002734	-13.12%	0.0887	✓	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003124	-1.83%	0.002933	-7.81%	0.0383	✓	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003149	-2.11%	0.002969	-7.69%	0.0424	✓	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.003047	-2.08%	0.002837	-8.85%	0.0542	✓	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003132	-2.27%	0.00279	-12.95%	0.0876	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.003195	-2.52%	0.002967	-9.49%	0.0716	✓	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.00307	-2.32%	0.003074	-2.18%	0.0158	✓	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.00306	-2.29%	0.003147	+0.49%	0.0069	✓	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.00333	-4.21%	0.003182	-8.46%	0.0639	✓	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003103	-2.19%	0.003217	+1.39%	0.0329	✗	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.003058	-2.11%	0.003112	-0.38%	0.0137	✓	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.002966	-1.76%	0.003205	+6.16%	0.0732	✗	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002815	-1.24%	0.003278	+15.02%	0.1602	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.00312	-2.21%	0.003142	-1.50%	0.0296	✗	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003074	-2.19%	0.003132	-0.37%	0.0466	✗	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.002979	-2.10%	0.003476	+14.23%	0.1226	✗	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.003073	-2.45%	0.003173	+0.71%	0.0019	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003115	-2.77%	0.003124	-2.48%	0.0277	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.002915	-2.01%	0.003019	+1.48%	0.0377	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.002773	-1.04%	0.00285	+1.71%	0.0476	✓	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002638	-0.12%	0.003191	+20.78%	0.0943	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002741	-0.31%	0.003143	+14.31%	0.0636	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.002673	-0.04%	0.003043	+13.78%	0.0901	✗	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002687	+0.00%	0.003151	+17.25%	0.1228	✓	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.002599	+0.57%	0.003204	+23.95%	0.1748	✓	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002597	+0.68%	0.002975	+15.33%	0.1377	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.00272	+0.34%	0.002802	+3.36%	0.0496	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002909	-0.40%	0.002642	-9.55%	0.0691	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002902	-0.26%	0.00275	-5.52%	0.0454	✓	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002881	+0.29%	0.002674	-6.91%	0.0397	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.002817	+0.46%	0.002687	-4.17%	0.0220	✗	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.002844	+0.33%	0.002584	-8.84%	0.0714	✗	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.002682	+1.68%	0.00258	-2.20%	0.0113	✓	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002757	-0.23%	0.002711	-1.88%	0.0286	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.002488	+1.24%	0.00292	+18.82%	0.1469	✓	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002579	+1.10%	0.00291	+14.07%	0.1144	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002424	+1.16%	0.002873	+19.91%	0.1366	✓	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002469	+0.96%	0.002804	+14.68%	0.1080	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002466	+0.95%	0.002835	+16.05%	0.1171	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002598	+0.81%	0.002638	+2.35%	0.0036	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.00257	+0.48%	0.002763	+8.04%	0.0933	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002474	+0.55%	0.002458	-0.08%	0.0072	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.002537	+0.16%	0.002551	+0.71%	0.0104	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002619	-0.69%	0.002396	-9.14%	0.0881	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.00253	-1.08%	0.002445	-4.40%	0.0484	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.002441	-0.15%	0.002443	-0.06%	0.0069	✗	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002211	+0.11%	0.002577	+16.66%	0.0681	✓	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.002103	-0.24%	0.002557	+21.32%	0.0765	✗	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.001965	-0.88%	0.00246	+24.12%	0.0507	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.001999	-0.94%	0.002533	+25.52%	0.0469	✗	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.002007	-1.10%	0.002637	+29.97%	0.0686	✗	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002052	-1.14%	0.002557	+23.22%	0.0276	✗	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002079	-1.21%	0.002445	+16.13%	0.0483	✓	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.002044	-1.24%	0.002209	+6.71%	0.0598	✓	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002081	-1.24%	0.002108	+0.05%	0.0779	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.00209	-1.23%	0.001982	-6.31%	0.0719	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002172	-1.39%	0.002018	-8.40%	0.0832	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002213	-1.56%	0.002029	-9.74%	0.0528	✓	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002077	-1.22%	0.002076	-1.31%	0.0309	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.001997	-1.02%	0.002105	+4.31%	0.0847	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.00198	-1.01%	0.00207	+3.50%	0.0587	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.001964	-0.97%	0.002107	+6.23%	0.0902	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001934	-0.98%	0.002116	+8.32%	0.0986	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.001992	-1.12%	0.002203	+9.38%	0.0933	✗	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001891	-1.06%	0.002248	+17.60%	0.1495	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.001902	-1.12%	0.002103	+9.33%	0.0627	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001895	-1.17%	0.002018	+5.27%	0.0267	✗	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001867	-1.17%	0.002	+5.88%	0.0771	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.001869	-1.22%	0.001984	+4.84%	0.0461	✗	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.001974	-1.27%	0.001953	-2.30%	0.0144	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.00208	-1.44%	0.002014	-4.55%	0.0277	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.002146	-1.20%	0.001912	-11.99%	0.0806	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002115	-1.11%	0.001924	-10.07%	0.0653	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002118	-1.02%	0.001917	-10.42%	0.0754	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002086	-0.73%	0.001889	-10.09%	0.0927	✓	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002154	-0.58%	0.001892	-12.69%	0.0882	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.002114	-0.46%	0.001999	-5.89%	0.0053	✓	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002087	-0.58%	0.00211	+0.52%	0.0389	✗	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002159	-0.63%	0.002172	-0.05%	0.0063	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.002022	-0.11%	0.002139	+5.68%	0.0653	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002036	-0.12%	0.00214	+5.00%	0.0467	✗	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002067	-0.12%	0.002101	+1.55%	0.0057	✓	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002117	-0.07%	0.002167	+2.27%	0.0043	✗	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002115	-0.05%	0.002124	+0.38%	0.0168	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002103	-0.20%	0.002099	-0.38%	0.0454	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002128	-0.14%	0.002173	+1.97%	0.0069	✗	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002151	-0.13%	0.002024	-6.04%	0.0756	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.002169	-0.12%	0.002038	-6.17%	0.0591	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.00213	-0.12%	0.002069	-3.00%	0.0380	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002107	-0.13%	0.002119	+0.43%	0.0318	✓	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002142	-0.07%	0.002116	-1.31%	0.0378	✓	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.002236	-0.10%	0.002107	-5.85%	0.0325	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002259	-0.13%	0.002131	-5.79%	0.0609	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002288	-0.19%	0.002154	-6.02%	0.0712	✓	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.002308	-0.26%	0.002172	-6.14%	0.0866	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002235	-0.22%	0.002133	-4.78%	0.0741	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002188	-0.22%	0.00211	-3.78%	0.0739	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002085	-0.18%	0.002144	+2.63%	0.0501	✓	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002215	-0.27%	0.002238	+0.77%	0.0494	✓	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002222	-0.30%	0.002262	+1.50%	0.0487	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002236	-0.32%	0.002292	+2.18%	0.0261	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002286	-0.34%	0.002314	+0.89%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002262	-0.31%	0.00224	-1.28%	0.0390	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002343	-0.31%	0.002193	-6.68%	0.0491	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002433	-0.32%	0.002089	-14.40%	0.0851	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002473	-0.30%	0.002221	-10.48%	0.0472	✓	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.002509	-0.33%	0.002229	-11.48%	0.0576	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002548	-0.37%	0.002243	-12.30%	0.0585	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002619	-0.50%	0.002293	-12.86%	0.0756	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.002542	-0.48%	0.002269	-11.16%	0.0616	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002609	-0.63%	0.00235	-10.51%	0.0495	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002652	-0.79%	0.00244	-8.70%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002716	-1.09%	0.002481	-9.63%	0.0540	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002588	-0.66%	0.002518	-3.36%	0.0111	✗	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002501	-0.63%	0.002557	+1.61%	0.0255	✗	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002445	-0.59%	0.002632	+6.99%	0.0745	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.002497	-0.67%	0.002554	+1.61%	0.0337	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.002379	-0.48%	0.002626	+9.87%	0.0517	✗	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002452	-0.58%	0.002673	+8.39%	0.0253	✗	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.002534	-0.75%	0.002746	+7.54%	0.0312	✗	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.002554	-0.78%	0.002605	+1.20%	0.0163	✓	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002477	-0.38%	0.002517	+1.25%	0.0387	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.00253	-0.43%	0.00246	-3.19%	0.0667	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002608	-0.82%	0.002514	-4.43%	0.0334	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.002891	-1.12%	0.00239	-18.26%	0.1502	✓	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.00295	-1.31%	0.002466	-17.50%	0.1014	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003247	-1.66%	0.002553	-22.68%	0.1279	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.00326	-1.64%	0.002574	-22.33%	0.0949	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.003178	-1.55%	0.002486	-22.99%	0.0732	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003159	-1.57%	0.002541	-20.83%	0.0507	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003209	-1.59%	0.00263	-19.35%	0.0708	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.003192	-1.53%	0.002924	-9.81%	0.0490	✗	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003198	-1.30%	0.002989	-7.75%	0.0529	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003291	-1.11%	0.003302	-0.78%	0.0761	✗	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003231	-1.02%	0.003314	+1.52%	0.0663	✗	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.003327	-1.04%	0.003228	-4.00%	0.0032	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003227	-1.13%	0.00321	-1.67%	0.0188	✗	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003409	-0.96%	0.003261	-5.26%	0.0012	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003465	-1.09%	0.003242	-7.45%	0.0308	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003163	-0.85%	0.00324	+1.55%	0.0344	✗	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003191	-0.83%	0.003328	+3.43%	0.0387	✗	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003149	-0.71%	0.003265	+2.92%	0.0406	✗	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003226	-0.72%	0.003363	+3.49%	0.0573	✗	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003355	-0.62%	0.003264	-3.32%	0.0124	✗	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003655	-0.63%	0.003442	-6.42%	0.0233	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003413	-0.72%	0.003503	+1.89%	0.0443	✗	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003542	-0.57%	0.003191	-10.43%	0.0681	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.003722	-0.57%	0.003217	-14.04%	0.1010	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.003756	-0.60%	0.003172	-16.06%	0.1261	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.003676	-0.63%	0.003249	-12.17%	0.1006	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003719	-0.77%	0.003376	-9.93%	0.0868	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.003619	-0.62%	0.003678	+1.02%	0.0068	✗	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003741	-0.91%	0.003438	-8.93%	0.0606	✓	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.003795	-1.15%	0.003562	-7.22%	0.0588	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003584	-1.00%	0.003743	+3.40%	0.0243	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003488	-1.23%	0.003779	+6.99%	0.0429	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.003224	+0.00%	0.003699	+14.73%	0.1166	✓	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.003279	-0.07%	0.003748	+14.23%	0.1131	✗	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.003047	-0.40%	0.003641	+19.01%	0.1381	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003103	-0.62%	0.003775	+20.92%	0.1349	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003244	-0.58%	0.003839	+17.65%	0.1180	✗	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.003301	-0.32%	0.00362	+9.30%	0.0649	✗	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003422	-0.00%	0.003532	+3.21%	0.0329	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003358	-0.30%	0.003224	-4.28%	0.0521	✓	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.003427	-0.33%	0.003281	-4.58%	0.0524	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003391	-0.26%	0.00306	-10.01%	0.0802	✓	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003432	-0.27%	0.003122	-9.27%	0.0661	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.003598	-0.55%	0.003263	-9.80%	0.0973	✓	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003591	-0.70%	0.003312	-8.41%	0.0990	✓	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.003641	-1.17%	0.003422	-7.11%	0.1229	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003494	-1.24%	0.003368	-4.80%	0.0610	✓	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.003716	-0.39%	0.003439	-7.82%	0.0820	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004645	-0.67%	0.0034	-27.30%	0.3544	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004568	-0.66%	0.003441	-25.17%	0.3291	✓	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004609	-0.89%	0.003618	-22.20%	0.2724	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004781	-1.01%	0.003616	-25.13%	0.2992	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004689	-1.29%	0.003684	-22.44%	0.2859	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.004952	-1.51%	0.003538	-29.63%	0.3739	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004929	-1.69%	0.00373	-25.61%	0.3366	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004683	-1.40%	0.004677	-1.52%	0.0493	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004441	-1.29%	0.004599	+2.20%	0.0190	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.004611	-1.12%	0.00465	-0.28%	0.0239	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.00432	-1.09%	0.00483	+10.58%	0.0299	✗	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004276	-1.06%	0.00475	+9.90%	0.0789	✗	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004221	-1.02%	0.005028	+17.92%	0.0891	✗	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004191	-0.97%	0.005014	+18.48%	0.0894	✗	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004204	-0.96%	0.004749	+11.89%	0.0479	✗	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.004348	-0.94%	0.0045	+2.51%	0.0102	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004459	-0.97%	0.004663	+3.56%	0.0099	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004222	-0.87%	0.004368	+2.56%	0.0017	✓	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004263	-0.86%	0.004322	+0.52%	0.0341	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004435	-0.88%	0.004264	-4.69%	0.0546	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004487	-0.88%	0.004232	-6.52%	0.0681	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.004749	-0.91%	0.004245	-11.43%	0.0832	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.004893	-0.85%	0.00439	-11.05%	0.0605	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.004925	-0.93%	0.004503	-9.42%	0.0545	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004825	-0.93%	0.004259	-12.55%	0.0612	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004631	-1.00%	0.0043	-8.09%	0.0444	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.004745	-1.03%	0.004474	-6.68%	0.0182	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.004851	-1.02%	0.004527	-7.63%	0.0054	✓	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004918	-1.00%	0.004792	-3.53%	0.0084	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.005042	-0.93%	0.004935	-3.05%	0.0224	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.00536	-0.86%	0.004971	-8.06%	0.0260	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005566	-0.89%	0.00487	-13.28%	0.0751	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005318	-0.85%	0.004678	-12.78%	0.0536	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.005258	-0.87%	0.004794	-9.62%	0.0575	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.005074	-0.83%	0.004901	-4.22%	0.0280	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.005005	-0.88%	0.004967	-1.61%	0.0018	✓	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.005097	-0.83%	0.00509	-0.97%	0.0171	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.005082	-0.82%	0.005407	+5.52%	0.0027	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005158	-0.82%	0.005616	+7.98%	0.0132	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.005033	-0.83%	0.005364	+5.68%	0.0451	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005152	-0.75%	0.005304	+2.19%	0.0339	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.005107	-0.68%	0.005117	-0.49%	0.0427	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.005408	-0.57%	0.005049	-7.16%	0.0631	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005621	-0.54%	0.00514	-9.06%	0.0528	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005429	-0.56%	0.005124	-6.15%	0.0835	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.005384	-0.54%	0.005201	-3.93%	0.0282	✓	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005399	-0.60%	0.005075	-6.57%	0.0653	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005671	-0.65%	0.00519	-9.07%	0.0933	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.005649	-0.69%	0.005142	-9.60%	0.1314	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.00587	-0.77%	0.005438	-8.07%	0.1309	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.005943	-0.84%	0.005652	-5.69%	0.1243	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.005755	-0.86%	0.00546	-5.94%	0.1252	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005797	-0.89%	0.005413	-7.45%	0.1386	✓	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005907	-0.92%	0.005432	-8.89%	0.0524	✓	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.00598	-0.98%	0.005708	-5.48%	0.0298	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.006105	-1.07%	0.005688	-7.83%	0.0356	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.006003	-1.03%	0.005916	-2.46%	0.0231	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.005913	-0.95%	0.005993	+0.39%	0.0124	✓	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005957	-1.00%	0.005805	-3.52%	0.0313	✗	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.006052	-1.09%	0.005849	-4.40%	0.0373	✗	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.005967	-1.05%	0.005962	-1.13%	0.0184	✗	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006435	-1.60%	0.006039	-7.66%	0.0354	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.00628	-1.38%	0.006171	-3.09%	0.0046	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.006158	-1.17%	0.006065	-2.66%	0.0280	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005941	-1.02%	0.00597	-0.53%	0.0147	✗	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.005937	-1.08%	0.006017	+0.25%	0.0347	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005752	-0.97%	0.006118	+5.34%	0.0814	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.005783	-0.99%	0.00603	+3.24%	0.0658	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005774	-0.89%	0.00654	+12.26%	0.1158	✗	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005916	-1.27%	0.006368	+6.28%	0.1014	✗	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.005112	+0.79%	0.006231	+22.85%	0.1412	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005674	-1.07%	0.006002	+4.66%	0.1588	✗	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005586	-1.23%	0.006002	+6.12%	0.1891	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005732	-1.66%	0.005808	-0.36%	0.1603	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005351	-1.22%	0.005841	+7.83%	0.1949	✗	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005422	-1.51%	0.005826	+5.83%	0.2158	✗	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.0059	-2.21%	0.005992	-0.69%	0.2102	✗	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.006119	-2.26%	0.005072	-18.99%	0.1479	✗	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006629	-2.51%	0.005735	-15.66%	0.0810	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.007097	-2.65%	0.005656	-22.41%	0.0372	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.007026	-2.63%	0.005829	-19.22%	0.0556	✓	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006811	-2.52%	0.005417	-22.47%	0.0931	✓	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.00758	-3.25%	0.005505	-29.74%	0.1844	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.007478	-3.16%	0.006033	-21.87%	0.1448	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.006951	-2.80%	0.006261	-12.45%	0.0398	✓	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.007364	-3.43%	0.0068	-10.83%	0.0772	✓	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.006513	-2.77%	0.00729	+8.84%	0.1031	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.007027	-3.19%	0.007216	-0.59%	0.0752	✗	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.00691	-2.88%	0.006987	-1.80%	0.0944	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.00689	-2.79%	0.007835	+10.54%	0.1977	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.006835	-2.87%	0.007722	+9.73%	0.1911	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.006626	-3.20%	0.007151	+4.47%	0.1471	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.007079	-3.38%	0.007626	+4.08%	0.1606	✗	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006812	-3.93%	0.006698	-5.54%	0.0641	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006684	-4.33%	0.007259	+3.91%	0.0659	✗	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005768	-2.87%	0.007115	+19.82%	0.1768	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.005797	-2.74%	0.007088	+18.91%	0.1440	✗	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.00567	-2.58%	0.007037	+20.91%	0.1505	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.005819	-2.51%	0.006845	+14.68%	0.1031	✗	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005667	-2.39%	0.007327	+26.22%	0.1624	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.006102	-2.57%	0.007091	+13.22%	0.1228	✗	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.005971	-2.49%	0.006986	+14.09%	0.2029	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.005979	-2.51%	0.005938	-3.18%	0.0042	✓	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.005854	-2.52%	0.005961	-0.73%	0.0222	✓	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.00562	-2.38%	0.00582	+1.09%	0.0251	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.005646	-2.40%	0.005969	+3.18%	0.0148	✓	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005621	-2.42%	0.005805	+0.76%	0.0330	✓	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.006097	-3.81%	0.006263	-1.20%	0.0729	✓	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.005462	-2.72%	0.006123	+9.05%	0.0221	✓	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.004953	-1.59%	0.006133	+21.84%	0.1394	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.005031	-1.67%	0.006005	+17.38%	0.1200	✗	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004699	-1.26%	0.005757	+20.97%	0.1490	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004767	-1.20%	0.005785	+19.90%	0.1615	✗	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.00482	-1.18%	0.005761	+18.10%	0.1806	✗	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004825	-1.10%	0.006339	+29.92%	0.2526	✗	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.004784	-1.05%	0.005615	+16.13%	0.1904	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.004708	-0.99%	0.005033	+5.86%	0.0828	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.00496	-1.00%	0.005116	+2.12%	0.0419	✗	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.004898	-0.96%	0.004759	-3.77%	0.0118	✓	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.004724	-0.85%	0.004825	+1.26%	0.0163	✓	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.005035	-1.00%	0.004878	-4.08%	0.0619	✓	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005515	-1.17%	0.004879	-12.56%	0.1135	✓	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005521	-1.18%	0.004835	-13.46%	0.1786	✓	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005546	-1.24%	0.004755	-15.33%	0.1639	✓	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.005918	-1.31%	0.00501	-16.46%	0.1263	✓	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005861	-1.33%	0.004946	-16.74%	0.1241	✓	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.006199	-1.38%	0.004765	-24.20%	0.1151	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.006037	-1.43%	0.005085	-16.97%	0.0501	✓	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006453	-1.51%	0.00558	-14.84%	0.0466	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006262	-1.55%	0.005587	-12.15%	0.0260	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.006226	-1.60%	0.005616	-11.24%	0.0571	✓	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006319	-1.66%	0.005997	-6.66%	0.0727	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.006415	-1.71%	0.00594	-8.99%	0.0963	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.006153	-1.73%	0.006286	+0.39%	0.0120	✓	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.00633	-1.79%	0.006125	-4.97%	0.0035	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.005915	-1.94%	0.006552	+8.62%	0.0735	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.00596	-1.80%	0.00636	+4.79%	0.0388	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.006616	-2.03%	0.006327	-6.31%	0.0454	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006635	-2.17%	0.006425	-5.26%	0.0035	✓	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006765	-2.19%	0.006527	-5.62%	0.0001	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006873	-2.37%	0.006261	-11.06%	0.1107	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007385	-2.80%	0.006445	-15.16%	0.2042	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.007263	-2.74%	0.006032	-19.23%	0.2821	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007432	-3.19%	0.006069	-20.95%	0.1536	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.007097	-2.85%	0.006753	-7.56%	0.1362	✓	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.00746	-3.30%	0.006782	-12.09%	0.2540	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006678	-2.20%	0.006916	+1.29%	0.1150	✓	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006763	-2.36%	0.00704	+1.65%	0.0821	✓	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.007125	-2.91%	0.007597	+3.52%	0.0897	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.007986	-4.31%	0.007468	-10.51%	0.0766	✗	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.008145	-5.64%	0.007677	-11.05%	0.0404	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.007086	-3.06%	0.007305	-0.07%	0.2300	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.007397	-4.27%	0.007715	-0.16%	0.3368	✗	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.006241	-1.94%	0.006828	+7.27%	0.3405	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.006167	-1.99%	0.006926	+10.08%	0.4794	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.006433	-2.11%	0.007339	+11.67%	0.4042	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.006673	-2.29%	0.008345	+22.20%	0.4908	✗	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.007252	-2.80%	0.008631	+15.68%	0.5295	✗	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007472	-3.32%	0.00731	-5.42%	0.2496	✗	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.006995	-2.67%	0.007727	+7.51%	0.2744	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.007761	-4.15%	0.006365	-21.39%	0.0220	✓	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.007582	-3.91%	0.006292	-20.26%	0.1449	✓	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.007639	-4.18%	0.006572	-17.57%	0.0958	✓	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.007144	-3.93%	0.006829	-8.16%	0.0829	✓	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.007232	-3.50%	0.007461	-0.44%	0.0458	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.006937	-3.10%	0.007729	+7.96%	0.2630	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.00672	-3.38%	0.007187	+3.34%	0.2764	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005931	-1.62%	0.008097	+34.30%	0.4785	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.005299	-1.50%	0.007891	+46.67%	0.5863	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.005731	-1.53%	0.007973	+36.99%	0.4901	✗	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005689	-1.43%	0.007436	+28.83%	0.5717	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.005979	-1.59%	0.007494	+23.36%	0.4197	✗	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.006273	-2.25%	0.007159	+11.55%	0.2331	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.005787	-1.57%	0.006955	+18.30%	0.2252	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005375	-1.48%	0.006029	+10.50%	0.1529	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005262	-1.52%	0.00538	+0.69%	0.0691	✗	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005425	-1.55%	0.00582	+5.61%	0.0050	✓	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005598	-1.65%	0.005772	+1.41%	0.0887	✓	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.006027	-1.96%	0.006075	-1.19%	0.0834	✓	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.00602	-2.00%	0.006418	+4.48%	0.0886	✓	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005896	-1.99%	0.005879	-2.26%	0.1213	✓	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005565	-1.83%	0.005456	-3.76%	0.1415	✓	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005744	-1.88%	0.005343	-8.73%	0.1232	✓	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005877	-1.88%	0.005511	-7.98%	0.0219	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.006135	-1.95%	0.005692	-9.03%	0.0502	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006458	-2.51%	0.006148	-7.19%	0.0732	✗	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.006106	-2.26%	0.006143	-1.66%	0.1702	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005338	-1.59%	0.006015	+10.90%	0.2116	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005377	-1.55%	0.005669	+3.79%	0.2231	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.00717	-2.51%	0.005854	-20.40%	0.0992	✗	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.00745	-3.32%	0.005989	-22.28%	0.0522	✗	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006869	-2.14%	0.006257	-10.86%	0.0858	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.007383	-2.93%	0.006624	-12.91%	0.0888	✗	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007381	-3.09%	0.006247	-17.98%	0.0117	✓	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.008052	-5.05%	0.005424	-36.05%	0.1388	✓	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.007753	-4.74%	0.005462	-32.89%	0.1480	✓	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.008699	-7.63%	0.007354	-21.91%	0.1919	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.00607	-3.44%	0.007706	+22.59%	0.1452	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004933	-0.94%	0.007019	+40.95%	0.2192	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.00493	-0.94%	0.007606	+52.82%	0.2446	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.004903	-0.91%	0.007616	+53.92%	0.2257	✗	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.00481	-0.90%	0.008481	+74.76%	0.3181	✗	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004884	-0.89%	0.008139	+65.16%	0.2626	✗	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004721	-0.96%	0.009417	+97.55%	0.4610	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.00526	-1.02%	0.006286	+18.29%	0.0760	✗	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005157	-1.14%	0.00498	-4.52%	0.0755	✓	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005239	-1.18%	0.004977	-6.13%	0.0830	✓	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.00567	-1.20%	0.004948	-13.78%	0.0773	✓	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005705	-1.22%	0.004853	-15.97%	0.0431	✓	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005667	-1.23%	0.004928	-14.10%	0.0231	✓	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005932	-1.26%	0.004767	-20.66%	0.0629	✓	2.18
2025-09-17	oos	0.005983	0.005903	-1.33%	0.005314	-11.18%	0.0454	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.