XVG

Verge · native · gru_s9

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2170

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0367

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002616	0.002458	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.002439	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.002366	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002384	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002438	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002475	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002526	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002521	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002662	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002621	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.002805	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002832	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002719	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002677	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002836	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.002944	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.003006	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003033	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003043	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.002948	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003022	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.00307	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.00296	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.002954	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.003169	-8.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003001	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.002963	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.002895	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002774	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.003042	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003015	-4.07%	0.002616	-16.78%	0.1071	✓	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.0029	-4.71%	0.002588	-14.95%	0.1309	✓	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.002978	-5.49%	0.002506	-20.46%	0.1782	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003014	-5.91%	0.002517	-21.43%	0.1912	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.002827	-4.97%	0.002567	-13.70%	0.1427	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.0027	-3.64%	0.002596	-7.35%	0.0889	✓	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002569	-2.73%	0.002636	-0.21%	0.0349	✓	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002688	-2.22%	0.002629	-4.38%	0.0527	✓	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.002615	-2.23%	0.002773	+3.68%	0.0024	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002628	-2.18%	0.002734	+1.75%	0.0014	✓	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.002553	-1.24%	0.002933	+13.50%	0.0798	✗	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002554	-0.98%	0.002969	+15.12%	0.0912	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.002686	-0.92%	0.002837	+4.63%	0.0163	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002854	-2.27%	0.00279	-4.47%	0.0525	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002861	-1.68%	0.002967	+1.96%	0.0020	✓	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002846	-0.93%	0.003074	+7.00%	0.0286	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.002788	-0.59%	0.003147	+12.23%	0.0663	✗	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.002806	-1.04%	0.003182	+12.24%	0.0621	✗	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.00266	+0.87%	0.003217	+21.97%	0.1549	✓	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.00272	-1.54%	0.003112	+12.63%	0.0498	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.002457	-0.05%	0.003205	+30.39%	0.1759	✗	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002551	+0.01%	0.003278	+28.50%	0.1924	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002406	+0.40%	0.003142	+31.16%	0.1942	✓	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002453	+0.32%	0.003132	+28.08%	0.1822	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002465	+0.92%	0.003476	+42.28%	0.2653	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002612	+1.34%	0.003173	+23.13%	0.1473	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.00259	+1.29%	0.003124	+22.15%	0.1286	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002518	+2.37%	0.003019	+22.72%	0.1142	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.002588	+2.17%	0.00285	+12.51%	0.0358	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.00265	+0.51%	0.003191	+20.99%	0.0880	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.002583	+1.00%	0.003143	+22.89%	0.0867	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.002519	+3.04%	0.003043	+24.48%	0.1549	✓	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002253	+1.98%	0.003151	+42.62%	0.2399	✓	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.002103	-0.25%	0.003204	+51.97%	0.2808	✗	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.00193	-2.62%	0.002975	+50.10%	0.2838	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.001961	-2.81%	0.002802	+38.85%	0.2011	✗	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.001961	-3.34%	0.002642	+30.19%	0.1201	✗	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002004	-3.44%	0.00275	+32.47%	0.1096	✗	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002029	-3.63%	0.002674	+27.05%	0.0853	✗	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.001994	-3.67%	0.002687	+29.81%	0.1058	✗	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002031	-3.60%	0.002584	+22.66%	0.0396	✗	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002039	-3.61%	0.00258	+21.93%	0.0370	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002118	-3.87%	0.002711	+23.06%	0.0304	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002159	-3.98%	0.00292	+29.92%	0.0967	✗	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002033	-3.31%	0.00291	+38.37%	0.1459	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.001959	-2.91%	0.002873	+42.37%	0.1532	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.001943	-2.86%	0.002804	+40.20%	0.1349	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.00193	-2.70%	0.002835	+42.93%	0.1589	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001899	-2.77%	0.002638	+35.05%	0.0717	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.001952	-3.10%	0.002763	+37.19%	0.1332	✗	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001854	-2.99%	0.002458	+28.59%	0.0623	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.001862	-3.19%	0.002551	+32.62%	0.0627	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001854	-3.30%	0.002396	+24.99%	0.0180	✓	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001832	-3.03%	0.002445	+29.43%	0.0674	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.001831	-3.23%	0.002443	+29.12%	0.0488	✗	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.00193	-3.47%	0.002577	+28.91%	0.0121	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.00203	-3.79%	0.002557	+21.21%	0.0331	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.0021	-3.31%	0.00246	+13.26%	0.0673	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002073	-3.08%	0.002533	+18.42%	0.0533	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002083	-2.69%	0.002637	+23.22%	0.0022	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002063	-1.80%	0.002557	+21.73%	0.0034	✓	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002144	-1.05%	0.002445	+12.81%	0.0790	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.002116	-0.35%	0.002209	+4.00%	0.0728	✓	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.00209	-0.42%	0.002108	+0.43%	0.0633	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002155	-0.82%	0.001982	-8.79%	0.0838	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.002018	-0.29%	0.002018	-0.30%	0.0056	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002031	-0.32%	0.002029	-0.44%	0.0171	✗	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002062	-0.35%	0.002076	+0.31%	0.0199	✗	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002116	-0.13%	0.002105	-0.66%	0.0193	✗	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002116	-0.02%	0.00207	-2.17%	0.0002	✗	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002094	-0.63%	0.002107	+0.00%	0.0109	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002123	-0.37%	0.002116	-0.73%	0.0004	✓	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002148	-0.29%	0.002203	+2.27%	0.0234	✗	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.002168	-0.20%	0.002248	+3.50%	0.0259	✗	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.002127	-0.26%	0.002103	-1.41%	0.0368	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002103	-0.33%	0.002018	-4.36%	0.0812	✓	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002143	-0.07%	0.002	-6.72%	0.0833	✓	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.002237	-0.04%	0.001984	-11.37%	0.1294	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002259	-0.13%	0.001953	-13.66%	0.1530	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002284	-0.33%	0.002014	-12.13%	0.1321	✓	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.002301	-0.54%	0.001912	-17.39%	0.2015	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002227	-0.57%	0.001924	-14.13%	0.1674	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002178	-0.70%	0.001917	-12.59%	0.1745	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002072	-0.84%	0.001889	-9.57%	0.1917	✓	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002199	-0.99%	0.001892	-14.81%	0.2085	✓	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002202	-1.20%	0.001999	-10.30%	0.1674	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002215	-1.25%	0.00211	-5.93%	0.1090	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002264	-1.29%	0.002172	-5.30%	0.1265	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002241	-1.23%	0.002139	-5.73%	0.1203	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002323	-1.15%	0.00214	-8.94%	0.1318	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002414	-1.10%	0.002101	-13.91%	0.1760	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002456	-1.00%	0.002167	-12.66%	0.1578	✓	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.00249	-1.08%	0.002124	-15.63%	0.2094	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002529	-1.13%	0.002099	-17.93%	0.2015	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002592	-1.53%	0.002173	-17.44%	0.1953	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.002515	-1.52%	0.002024	-20.75%	0.2474	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002578	-1.85%	0.002038	-22.39%	0.2263	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002615	-2.17%	0.002069	-22.60%	0.2056	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002671	-2.70%	0.002119	-22.82%	0.2075	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002548	-2.20%	0.002116	-18.77%	0.1746	✓	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002461	-2.22%	0.002107	-16.29%	0.1206	✓	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002404	-2.27%	0.002131	-13.37%	0.1238	✓	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.002449	-2.56%	0.002154	-14.30%	0.1317	✓	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.002332	-2.41%	0.002172	-9.12%	0.1137	✓	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002398	-2.75%	0.002133	-13.50%	0.1408	✓	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.002472	-3.16%	0.00211	-17.35%	0.1454	✓	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.002488	-3.35%	0.002144	-16.71%	0.1490	✓	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.00241	-3.04%	0.002238	-9.98%	0.1227	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.002456	-3.33%	0.002262	-10.98%	0.1217	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002526	-3.94%	0.002292	-12.85%	0.0864	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.00279	-4.59%	0.002314	-20.86%	0.1636	✓	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.002844	-4.84%	0.00224	-25.06%	0.1578	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003128	-5.28%	0.002193	-33.59%	0.1961	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.003146	-5.08%	0.002089	-36.96%	0.1942	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.00307	-4.89%	0.002221	-31.20%	0.1413	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003049	-5.00%	0.002229	-30.57%	0.1229	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003097	-5.03%	0.002243	-31.22%	0.1377	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.003085	-4.84%	0.002293	-29.26%	0.0998	✓	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003107	-4.12%	0.002269	-29.97%	0.0908	✓	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003214	-3.43%	0.00235	-29.39%	0.0976	✓	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003159	-3.24%	0.00244	-25.24%	0.0709	✓	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.003253	-3.27%	0.002481	-26.22%	0.1120	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003144	-3.69%	0.002518	-22.87%	0.0688	✓	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003342	-2.91%	0.002557	-25.70%	0.1064	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003393	-3.15%	0.002632	-24.86%	0.0828	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003099	-2.87%	0.002554	-19.95%	0.0250	✓	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003129	-2.76%	0.002626	-18.38%	0.0266	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003096	-2.39%	0.002673	-15.73%	0.0084	✓	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003175	-2.29%	0.002746	-15.50%	0.0079	✓	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.00331	-1.96%	0.002605	-22.84%	0.0817	✓	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003611	-1.83%	0.002517	-31.57%	0.1716	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003365	-2.12%	0.00246	-28.45%	0.1374	✓	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003504	-1.63%	0.002514	-29.44%	0.1506	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.003689	-1.45%	0.00239	-36.15%	0.2231	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.003731	-1.27%	0.002466	-34.74%	0.2090	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.003646	-1.43%	0.002553	-30.98%	0.1821	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003687	-1.62%	0.002574	-31.32%	0.1918	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.003608	-0.91%	0.002486	-31.72%	0.1775	✓	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003757	-0.48%	0.002541	-32.69%	0.1348	✓	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.003805	-0.89%	0.00263	-31.49%	0.1657	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003622	+0.05%	0.002924	-19.23%	0.0316	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003505	-0.77%	0.002989	-15.37%	0.0245	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.00324	+0.49%	0.003302	+2.42%	0.1014	✓	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.003292	+0.33%	0.003314	+1.01%	0.0581	✓	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.003032	-0.91%	0.003228	+5.51%	0.0912	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003075	-1.50%	0.00321	+2.80%	0.0698	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003223	-1.22%	0.003261	-0.06%	0.0440	✗	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.003304	-0.25%	0.003242	-2.11%	0.0157	✗	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003456	+0.99%	0.00324	-5.32%	0.0328	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003378	+0.30%	0.003328	-1.19%	0.0104	✗	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.003451	+0.35%	0.003265	-5.06%	0.0499	✗	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003438	+1.10%	0.003363	-1.10%	0.0033	✓	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003488	+1.37%	0.003264	-5.14%	0.0343	✗	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.003619	+0.05%	0.003442	-4.85%	0.0644	✗	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003606	-0.27%	0.003503	-3.13%	0.0485	✓	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.003607	-2.10%	0.003191	-13.40%	0.1600	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003493	-1.28%	0.003217	-9.06%	0.0975	✓	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.003772	+1.12%	0.003172	-14.96%	0.1770	✗	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004616	-1.31%	0.003249	-30.53%	0.3911	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.00454	-1.28%	0.003376	-26.58%	0.3532	✓	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004566	-1.81%	0.003678	-20.90%	0.3094	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004731	-2.04%	0.003438	-28.82%	0.3856	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004588	-3.41%	0.003562	-25.01%	0.3891	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.004857	-3.39%	0.003743	-25.56%	0.3790	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004835	-3.56%	0.003779	-24.63%	0.3721	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004595	-3.24%	0.003699	-22.11%	0.3392	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004362	-3.05%	0.003748	-16.70%	0.2777	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.004528	-2.89%	0.003641	-21.92%	0.3293	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.004226	-3.25%	0.003775	-13.58%	0.2883	✓	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004185	-3.16%	0.003839	-11.18%	0.2527	✓	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004128	-3.20%	0.00362	-15.10%	0.3092	✓	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004101	-3.10%	0.003532	-16.54%	0.3157	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004115	-3.06%	0.003224	-24.04%	0.4137	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.00426	-2.94%	0.003281	-25.25%	0.4053	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004369	-2.97%	0.00306	-32.05%	0.4725	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004137	-2.85%	0.003122	-26.70%	0.4128	✓	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004177	-2.86%	0.003263	-24.11%	0.4017	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004344	-2.90%	0.003312	-25.97%	0.4334	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004395	-2.91%	0.003422	-24.41%	0.4295	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.004655	-2.85%	0.003368	-29.72%	0.4513	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.00481	-2.54%	0.003439	-30.32%	0.4227	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.004833	-2.78%	0.0034	-31.60%	0.4617	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004735	-2.76%	0.003441	-29.34%	0.4233	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004532	-3.12%	0.003618	-22.67%	0.3503	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.004643	-3.14%	0.003616	-24.57%	0.3516	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.004753	-3.01%	0.003684	-24.83%	0.3034	✓	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004816	-3.04%	0.003538	-28.78%	0.3929	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.004948	-2.79%	0.00373	-26.72%	0.3659	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.005272	-2.50%	0.004677	-13.50%	0.1370	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005477	-2.48%	0.004599	-18.12%	0.1741	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005231	-2.47%	0.00465	-13.30%	0.1371	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.005163	-2.65%	0.00483	-8.94%	0.1132	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.004982	-2.63%	0.00475	-7.17%	0.0450	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.00491	-2.75%	0.005028	-0.42%	0.0141	✓	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.005004	-2.64%	0.005014	-2.45%	0.0398	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.004991	-2.59%	0.004749	-7.32%	0.0776	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005063	-2.66%	0.0045	-13.49%	0.1594	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.004934	-2.79%	0.004663	-8.12%	0.1512	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005061	-2.49%	0.004368	-15.85%	0.1731	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.005027	-2.24%	0.004322	-15.95%	0.1654	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.005338	-1.85%	0.004264	-21.60%	0.1679	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005555	-1.71%	0.004232	-25.12%	0.1852	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005355	-1.92%	0.004245	-22.26%	0.2092	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.005315	-1.82%	0.00439	-18.92%	0.1797	✓	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005316	-2.13%	0.004503	-17.11%	0.2059	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005578	-2.28%	0.004259	-25.39%	0.2660	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.005548	-2.46%	0.0043	-24.41%	0.2565	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005759	-2.66%	0.004474	-24.37%	0.2330	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.005823	-2.83%	0.004527	-24.46%	0.2247	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.005626	-3.09%	0.004792	-17.45%	0.2401	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005664	-3.16%	0.004935	-15.63%	0.2473	✓	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005774	-3.15%	0.004971	-16.62%	0.1976	✓	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.005839	-3.31%	0.00487	-19.36%	0.2295	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.005953	-3.54%	0.004678	-24.20%	0.2388	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.005853	-3.49%	0.004794	-20.96%	0.2312	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.005769	-3.36%	0.004901	-17.91%	0.2290	✓	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005809	-3.45%	0.004967	-17.44%	0.1960	✓	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.005893	-3.67%	0.00509	-16.80%	0.1849	✓	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.005811	-3.64%	0.005407	-10.33%	0.1525	✓	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006219	-4.91%	0.005616	-14.13%	0.1768	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.006079	-4.54%	0.005364	-15.77%	0.1856	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.005963	-4.30%	0.005304	-14.88%	0.1985	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005761	-4.02%	0.005117	-14.75%	0.1797	✓	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.005751	-4.17%	0.005049	-15.88%	0.1573	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005575	-4.00%	0.00514	-11.50%	0.0830	✓	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.005598	-4.17%	0.005124	-12.28%	0.0833	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005584	-4.16%	0.005201	-10.73%	0.0579	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005697	-4.92%	0.005075	-15.30%	0.0404	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.004948	-2.45%	0.00519	+2.34%	0.0257	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005456	-4.86%	0.005142	-10.34%	0.0241	✓	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005368	-5.10%	0.005438	-3.85%	0.0936	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005499	-5.66%	0.005652	-3.04%	0.1284	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005134	-5.23%	0.00546	+0.79%	0.2023	✗	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005203	-5.49%	0.005413	-1.66%	0.1903	✗	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.005659	-6.22%	0.005432	-9.97%	0.2311	✗	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.005868	-6.28%	0.005708	-8.83%	0.2353	✗	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006352	-6.59%	0.005688	-16.35%	0.2318	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.006783	-6.96%	0.005916	-18.85%	0.1855	✗	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.006713	-6.97%	0.005993	-16.95%	0.1841	✗	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006511	-6.82%	0.005805	-16.92%	0.2305	✗	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.007194	-8.18%	0.005849	-25.35%	0.1420	✗	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.007103	-8.01%	0.005962	-22.79%	0.1412	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.006627	-7.32%	0.006039	-15.55%	0.2200	✗	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.006978	-8.49%	0.006171	-19.07%	0.1905	✗	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.006204	-7.38%	0.006065	-9.45%	0.2712	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.006679	-7.99%	0.00597	-17.76%	0.2271	✗	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.006588	-7.40%	0.006017	-15.43%	0.2570	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.00658	-7.16%	0.006118	-13.69%	0.2684	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.006521	-7.33%	0.00603	-14.31%	0.2690	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.006295	-8.04%	0.00654	-4.46%	0.3746	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.00673	-8.15%	0.006368	-13.09%	0.3071	✗	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006427	-9.36%	0.006231	-12.13%	0.3531	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006267	-10.29%	0.006002	-14.09%	0.2998	✗	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005485	-7.62%	0.006002	+1.08%	0.3977	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.005521	-7.39%	0.005808	-2.57%	0.3341	✗	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005413	-7.00%	0.005841	+0.36%	0.3851	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.005562	-6.82%	0.005826	-2.40%	0.3780	✗	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005426	-6.53%	0.005992	+3.22%	0.5037	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.00584	-6.75%	0.005072	-19.02%	0.4816	✗	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.005722	-6.55%	0.005735	-6.34%	0.4005	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.005727	-6.62%	0.005656	-7.78%	0.2987	✗	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.005607	-6.63%	0.005829	-2.93%	0.2692	✗	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.005386	-6.44%	0.005417	-5.91%	0.2548	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.00541	-6.48%	0.005505	-4.84%	0.2109	✗	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005386	-6.51%	0.006033	+4.73%	0.1744	✗	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.005792	-8.63%	0.006261	-1.23%	0.1544	✗	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.005231	-6.84%	0.0068	+21.10%	0.2199	✗	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.004782	-5.00%	0.00729	+44.83%	0.3959	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.004857	-5.06%	0.007216	+41.05%	0.3867	✗	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004548	-4.43%	0.006987	+46.82%	0.4445	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004619	-4.26%	0.007835	+62.38%	0.4893	✗	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.004674	-4.19%	0.007722	+58.30%	0.4642	✗	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004684	-4.00%	0.007151	+46.57%	0.3809	✗	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.004652	-3.79%	0.007626	+57.72%	0.4776	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.00458	-3.68%	0.006698	+40.86%	0.3870	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.00483	-3.60%	0.007259	+44.89%	0.3199	✗	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.004769	-3.56%	0.007115	+43.87%	0.2861	✗	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.00459	-3.66%	0.007088	+48.75%	0.2328	✗	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.004895	-3.74%	0.007037	+38.37%	0.1701	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005361	-3.92%	0.006845	+22.67%	0.0873	✗	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005362	-4.04%	0.007327	+31.14%	0.0964	✗	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005389	-4.04%	0.007091	+26.26%	0.1267	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.005751	-4.11%	0.006986	+16.49%	0.1754	✗	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005694	-4.13%	0.005938	-0.03%	0.0296	✓	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.006022	-4.19%	0.005961	-5.17%	0.0338	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.00586	-4.32%	0.00582	-4.98%	0.0240	✓	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006255	-4.53%	0.005969	-8.90%	0.0134	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006062	-4.68%	0.005805	-8.73%	0.0560	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.006023	-4.81%	0.006263	-1.01%	0.0273	✓	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006103	-5.00%	0.006123	-4.70%	0.0904	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.006192	-5.13%	0.006133	-6.04%	0.0538	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.005949	-4.99%	0.006005	-4.10%	0.0408	✓	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.006118	-5.07%	0.005757	-10.67%	0.0124	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.005708	-5.38%	0.005785	-4.09%	0.0682	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.005739	-5.43%	0.005761	-5.07%	0.0256	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.006361	-5.80%	0.006339	-6.13%	0.0421	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006367	-6.11%	0.005615	-17.21%	0.0397	✓	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006489	-6.17%	0.005033	-27.22%	0.1842	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006577	-6.58%	0.005116	-27.33%	0.1705	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007021	-7.59%	0.004759	-37.36%	0.3139	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.006896	-7.66%	0.004825	-35.39%	0.3534	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007018	-8.58%	0.004878	-36.46%	0.3476	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.00672	-8.01%	0.004879	-33.21%	0.3355	✓	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.007023	-8.97%	0.004835	-37.33%	0.4746	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006358	-6.88%	0.004755	-30.36%	0.3836	✓	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.00643	-7.17%	0.00501	-27.66%	0.2960	✓	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.006748	-8.06%	0.004946	-32.61%	0.2226	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.007456	-10.65%	0.004765	-42.90%	0.2542	✓	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.007537	-12.67%	0.005085	-41.08%	0.2388	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.006718	-8.10%	0.00558	-23.67%	0.0152	✓	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.006952	-10.03%	0.005587	-27.70%	0.0267	✓	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.00599	-5.89%	0.005616	-11.77%	0.1008	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.005933	-5.71%	0.005997	-4.69%	0.2655	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.006182	-5.93%	0.00594	-9.62%	0.2661	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.0064	-6.29%	0.006286	-7.95%	0.2597	✗	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.006919	-7.27%	0.006125	-17.91%	0.2355	✗	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007089	-8.29%	0.006552	-15.23%	0.2338	✗	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.006676	-7.11%	0.00636	-11.51%	0.2612	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.007304	-9.79%	0.006327	-21.86%	0.1867	✗	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.007149	-9.40%	0.006425	-18.58%	0.2085	✗	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.007203	-9.66%	0.006527	-18.14%	0.2807	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.006761	-9.07%	0.006261	-15.79%	0.1668	✗	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.006874	-8.27%	0.006445	-14.00%	0.2872	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.006637	-7.29%	0.006032	-15.74%	0.4497	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.006423	-7.65%	0.006069	-12.74%	0.6387	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005748	-4.65%	0.006753	+12.01%	0.7074	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.005143	-4.40%	0.006782	+26.06%	0.7709	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.005564	-4.39%	0.006916	+18.83%	0.7472	✗	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005543	-3.97%	0.00704	+21.97%	0.8430	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.005825	-4.11%	0.007597	+25.05%	0.9241	✗	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.00609	-5.12%	0.007468	+16.36%	0.9731	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.005629	-4.25%	0.007677	+30.58%	0.9776	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005235	-4.05%	0.007305	+33.89%	1.0301	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.00512	-4.18%	0.007715	+44.39%	1.1535	✗	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005266	-4.45%	0.006828	+23.90%	0.9413	✗	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005429	-4.61%	0.006926	+21.68%	0.8961	✗	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.00583	-5.18%	0.007339	+19.37%	0.7830	✗	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.005817	-5.31%	0.008345	+35.85%	0.8153	✗	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.00569	-5.40%	0.008631	+43.49%	0.8583	✗	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005378	-5.14%	0.00731	+28.95%	0.6610	✗	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005557	-5.08%	0.007727	+32.00%	0.6900	✗	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005699	-4.84%	0.006365	+6.28%	0.5757	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.005962	-4.72%	0.006292	+0.56%	0.4269	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006275	-5.27%	0.006572	-0.79%	0.4156	✗	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.005949	-4.77%	0.006829	+9.32%	0.4560	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005198	-4.17%	0.007461	+37.56%	0.4861	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005246	-3.96%	0.007729	+41.50%	0.6059	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.006962	-5.33%	0.007187	-2.27%	0.4778	✗	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.007219	-6.33%	0.008097	+5.07%	0.5627	✗	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006681	-4.82%	0.007891	+12.42%	0.6228	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.00719	-5.46%	0.007973	+4.83%	0.5616	✗	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007191	-5.58%	0.007436	-2.36%	0.5288	✗	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.007786	-8.19%	0.007494	-11.64%	0.3170	✗	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.007513	-7.70%	0.007159	-12.04%	0.2099	✗	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.008281	-12.06%	0.006955	-26.14%	0.0689	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.00592	-5.82%	0.006029	-4.09%	0.2111	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004841	-2.80%	0.00538	+8.03%	0.2167	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.00484	-2.76%	0.00582	+16.94%	0.2687	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.004807	-2.86%	0.005772	+16.65%	0.1690	✗	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.004711	-2.92%	0.006075	+25.18%	0.1652	✗	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004785	-2.90%	0.006418	+30.24%	0.1950	✗	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004621	-3.06%	0.005879	+23.33%	0.1866	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.005146	-3.17%	0.005456	+2.67%	0.1045	✗	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005036	-3.44%	0.005343	+2.43%	0.0975	✗	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005115	-3.54%	0.005511	+3.94%	0.1779	✗	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.00553	-3.64%	0.005692	-0.82%	0.1634	✗	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005563	-3.68%	0.006148	+6.46%	0.2009	✗	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005525	-3.69%	0.006143	+7.08%	0.2430	✗	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.00578	-3.79%	0.006015	+0.12%	0.2325	✗	2.18
2025-09-17	oos	0.005983	0.005746	-3.97%	0.005669	-5.25%	0.1836	✗	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.