QTUM

Qtum · Qtum · gru_s9

token id: #534
symbol: QTUM
variant: –
chain: Qtum
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0445

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0080

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.890745	0.877473	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.88846	0.874884	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.877405	0.86433	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.86037	0.847196	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-18	oos	0.858515	0.845033	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.87857	0.864288	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.90303	0.887106	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.914685	0.897727	-1.85%	0.890745	-2.62%	0.0347	✓	1.07
2026-10-14	oos	0.92235	0.905865	-1.79%	0.88846	-3.67%	0.0512	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.947825	0.93348	-1.51%	0.877405	-7.43%	0.0598	✓	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.927235	0.912357	-1.60%	0.86037	-7.21%	0.0599	✓	1.07
2026-10-11	oos	0.998795	0.983144	-1.57%	0.858515	-14.04%	0.1153	✓	1.01
2026-10-10	oos	1.0168	0.997058	-1.94%	0.87857	-13.59%	0.1078	✓	1.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.95631	0.943025	-1.39%	0.90303	-5.57%	0.0305	✓	1.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.929655	0.917227	-1.34%	0.914685	-1.61%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.936105	0.926308	-1.05%	0.92235	-1.47%	0.0165	✗	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.97452	0.967116	-0.76%	0.947825	-2.74%	0.0083	✗	0.98
2026-10-05	oos	0.996535	0.989202	-0.74%	0.927235	-6.95%	0.0189	✓	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.99453	0.987655	-0.69%	0.998795	+0.43%	0.0435	✗	0.97
2026-10-03	oos	0.992245	0.984562	-0.77%	1.0168	+2.47%	0.0535	✗	0.98
2026-10-02	oos	0.99396	0.985711	-0.83%	0.95631	-3.79%	0.0074	✓	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.987135	0.979669	-0.76%	0.929655	-5.82%	0.0154	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	1.0022	0.991565	-1.06%	0.936105	-6.60%	0.0542	✓	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.97227	0.96445	-0.80%	0.97452	+0.23%	0.0119	✓	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.98568	0.977565	-0.82%	0.996535	+1.10%	0.0074	✓	0.98
2026-09-27	oos	1.028	1.0224	-0.55%	0.99453	-3.26%	0.0506	✓	0.96
2026-09-26	oos	1.0319	1.026	-0.57%	0.992245	-3.85%	0.0372	✓	0.96
2026-09-25	oos	1.0511	1.0419	-0.88%	0.99396	-5.44%	0.0518	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	1.0005	0.996588	-0.39%	0.987135	-1.34%	0.0148	✓	0.96
2026-09-23	oos	0.956945	0.954552	-0.25%	1.0022	+4.73%	0.0582	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	1.0114	1.0097	-0.16%	0.97227	-3.87%	0.0090	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.99676	0.995037	-0.17%	0.98568	-1.11%	0.0257	✗	0.95
2026-09-20	oos	0.95048	0.945723	-0.50%	1.028	+8.16%	0.0443	✗	0.98
2026-09-19	oos	0.95615	0.951103	-0.53%	1.0319	+7.93%	0.0440	✗	0.98
2026-09-18	oos	0.953185	0.948182	-0.52%	1.0511	+10.28%	0.0645	✗	0.99
2026-09-17	oos	0.872145	0.867272	-0.56%	1.0005	+14.72%	0.0491	✗	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.8752	0.87053	-0.53%	0.956945	+9.34%	0.0014	✓	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.861965	0.858007	-0.46%	1.0114	+17.33%	0.0391	✗	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.92496	0.921167	-0.41%	0.99676	+7.76%	0.0120	✓	0.89
2026-09-13	oos	0.96504	0.956333	-0.90%	0.95048	-1.51%	0.0568	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.929715	0.925119	-0.49%	0.95615	+2.84%	0.0135	✓	0.93
2026-09-11	oos	0.877485	0.87524	-0.26%	0.953185	+8.63%	0.0423	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.85591	0.85463	-0.15%	0.872145	+1.90%	0.0226	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.88856	0.888404	-0.02%	0.8752	-1.50%	0.0104	✗	0.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.88987	0.889817	-0.01%	0.861965	-3.14%	0.0029	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.879515	0.882192	+0.30%	0.92496	+5.17%	0.0583	✓	0.94
2026-09-06	oos	0.882675	0.888033	+0.61%	0.96504	+9.33%	0.1257	✓	0.94
2026-09-05	oos	0.871245	0.878494	+0.83%	0.929715	+6.71%	0.0875	✓	0.94
2026-09-04	oos	0.86216	0.870421	+0.96%	0.877485	+1.78%	0.0377	✓	0.94
2026-09-03	oos	0.86012	0.871547	+1.33%	0.85591	-0.49%	0.0393	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.81706	0.826737	+1.18%	0.88856	+8.75%	0.0592	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.82502	0.833638	+1.04%	0.88987	+7.86%	0.0513	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.822535	0.832476	+1.21%	0.879515	+6.93%	0.0483	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.79638	0.805003	+1.08%	0.882675	+10.84%	0.0590	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.823295	0.831915	+1.05%	0.871245	+5.82%	0.0268	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.816995	0.825525	+1.04%	0.86216	+5.53%	0.0211	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.85261	0.862982	+1.22%	0.86012	+0.88%	0.0149	✗	0.95
2026-08-26	oos	0.894995	0.899423	+0.49%	0.81706	-8.71%	0.0747	✗	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.84638	0.855233	+1.05%	0.82502	-2.52%	0.0221	✗	0.96
2026-08-24	oos	0.87443	0.882668	+0.94%	0.822535	-5.93%	0.0655	✗	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.881595	0.886519	+0.56%	0.79638	-9.67%	0.1064	✗	0.97
2026-08-22	oos	0.841845	0.848274	+0.76%	0.823295	-2.20%	0.0445	✗	0.96
2026-08-21	oos	0.86618	0.867504	+0.15%	0.816995	-5.68%	0.0541	✗	0.95
2026-08-20	oos	0.79543	0.791576	-0.48%	0.85261	+7.19%	0.0129	✓	0.92
2026-08-19	oos	0.717075	0.714504	-0.36%	0.894995	+24.81%	0.1165	✗	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.683095	0.678502	-0.67%	0.84638	+23.90%	0.0565	✗	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.681495	0.677422	-0.60%	0.87443	+28.31%	0.0826	✗	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	0.676565	0.670399	-0.91%	0.881595	+30.30%	0.0900	✗	0.86
2026-08-15	oos	0.674895	0.668918	-0.89%	0.841845	+24.74%	0.0566	✗	0.86
2026-08-14	oos	0.684685	0.677759	-1.01%	0.86618	+26.51%	0.0561	✗	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.6659	0.658753	-1.07%	0.79543	+19.45%	0.0651	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	0.65275	0.646958	-0.89%	0.717075	+9.85%	0.0229	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.632945	0.628349	-0.73%	0.683095	+7.92%	0.0677	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.646575	0.641192	-0.83%	0.681495	+5.40%	0.0531	✗	0.89
2026-08-09	oos	0.666885	0.660688	-0.93%	0.676565	+1.45%	0.0515	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.666195	0.659236	-1.04%	0.674895	+1.31%	0.0495	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.654705	0.647943	-1.03%	0.684685	+4.58%	0.0829	✗	0.93
2026-08-06	oos	0.647925	0.641348	-1.02%	0.6659	+2.77%	0.0497	✗	0.92
2026-08-05	oos	0.64355	0.637093	-1.00%	0.65275	+1.43%	0.0416	✗	0.93
2026-08-04	oos	0.650875	0.643578	-1.12%	0.632945	-2.75%	0.0091	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.64975	0.641668	-1.24%	0.646575	-0.49%	0.0011	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.652095	0.643183	-1.37%	0.666885	+2.27%	0.0163	✗	0.95
2026-08-01	oos	0.646105	0.636865	-1.43%	0.666195	+3.11%	0.0135	✓	0.94
2026-07-31	oos	0.641585	0.632135	-1.47%	0.654705	+2.04%	0.0047	✓	0.94
2026-07-30	oos	0.642835	0.633331	-1.48%	0.647925	+0.79%	0.0296	✗	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.64495	0.636909	-1.25%	0.64355	-0.22%	0.0002	✓	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.65683	0.649717	-1.08%	0.650875	-0.91%	0.0013	✓	0.96
2026-07-27	oos	0.64881	0.643095	-0.88%	0.64975	+0.14%	0.0137	✗	0.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.682155	0.678518	-0.53%	0.652095	-4.41%	0.0130	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.681935	0.678594	-0.49%	0.646105	-5.25%	0.0263	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.68205	0.678527	-0.52%	0.641585	-5.93%	0.0372	✓	0.95
2026-07-23	oos	0.717005	0.712182	-0.67%	0.642835	-10.34%	0.0977	✓	0.93
2026-07-22	oos	0.714225	0.715939	+0.24%	0.64495	-9.70%	0.0728	✗	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	0.71017	0.712429	+0.32%	0.65683	-7.51%	0.0428	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	0.714125	0.713685	-0.06%	0.64881	-9.15%	0.0734	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.7202	0.717984	-0.31%	0.682155	-5.28%	0.0606	✓	0.93
2026-07-18	oos	0.701725	0.700661	-0.15%	0.681935	-2.82%	0.0198	✓	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.67816	0.678338	+0.03%	0.68205	+0.57%	0.0027	✓	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.670865	0.671817	+0.14%	0.717005	+6.88%	0.0462	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.68752	0.686986	-0.08%	0.714225	+3.88%	0.0187	✗	0.96
2026-07-14	oos	0.686005	0.684488	-0.22%	0.71017	+3.52%	0.0144	✗	0.97
2026-07-13	oos	0.670695	0.667213	-0.52%	0.714125	+6.48%	0.0221	✗	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.683295	0.682728	-0.08%	0.7202	+5.40%	0.0388	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.688075	0.686565	-0.22%	0.701725	+1.98%	0.0061	✗	0.99
2026-07-10	oos	0.69289	0.68987	-0.44%	0.67816	-2.13%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.693145	0.689239	-0.56%	0.670865	-3.21%	0.0364	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.70322	0.697877	-0.76%	0.68752	-2.23%	0.0543	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.686755	0.682067	-0.68%	0.686005	-0.11%	0.0210	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.709955	0.703703	-0.88%	0.670695	-5.53%	0.0196	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.713515	0.70457	-1.25%	0.683295	-4.24%	0.0332	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.71721	0.710899	-0.88%	0.688075	-4.06%	0.0437	✓	1.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.71646	0.709387	-0.99%	0.69289	-3.29%	0.0494	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.69666	0.690399	-0.90%	0.693145	-0.50%	0.0234	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.685435	0.679092	-0.93%	0.70322	+2.59%	0.0031	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.677905	0.671355	-0.97%	0.686755	+1.31%	0.0600	✓	1.05
2026-06-29	oos	0.69129	0.68359	-1.11%	0.709955	+2.70%	0.0276	✓	1.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.690225	0.680939	-1.35%	0.713515	+3.37%	0.0276	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.675145	0.665364	-1.45%	0.71721	+6.23%	0.0170	✗	1.13
2026-06-26	oos	0.67875	0.671353	-1.09%	0.71646	+5.56%	0.0182	✗	1.14
2026-06-25	oos	0.6547	0.646601	-1.24%	0.69666	+6.41%	0.0413	✗	1.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.680135	0.673365	-1.00%	0.685435	+0.78%	0.0367	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.690495	0.683589	-1.00%	0.677905	-1.82%	0.0704	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.7081	0.700676	-1.05%	0.69129	-2.37%	0.0564	✗	1.15
2026-06-21	oos	0.709205	0.701427	-1.10%	0.690225	-2.68%	0.0540	✗	1.14
2026-06-20	oos	0.73695	0.728011	-1.21%	0.675145	-8.39%	0.0045	✓	1.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.72568	0.717065	-1.19%	0.67875	-6.47%	0.0102	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.726765	0.717883	-1.22%	0.6547	-9.92%	0.0314	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.762855	0.752405	-1.37%	0.680135	-10.84%	0.0370	✓	1.16
2026-06-16	oos	0.74631	0.737088	-1.24%	0.690495	-7.48%	0.0108	✓	1.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.75257	0.743522	-1.20%	0.7081	-5.91%	0.0063	✓	1.19
2026-06-14	oos	0.744585	0.734818	-1.31%	0.709205	-4.75%	0.0100	✓	1.19
2026-06-13	oos	0.73593	0.727055	-1.21%	0.73695	+0.14%	0.0173	✗	1.18
2026-06-12	oos	0.71637	0.708314	-1.12%	0.72568	+1.30%	0.0254	✗	1.20
2026-06-11	oos	0.71831	0.710269	-1.12%	0.726765	+1.18%	0.0359	✗	1.19
2026-06-10	oos	0.683675	0.678147	-0.81%	0.762855	+11.58%	0.0610	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.70054	0.694783	-0.82%	0.74631	+6.53%	0.0016	✓	1.18
2026-06-08	oos	0.71057	0.70496	-0.79%	0.75257	+5.91%	0.0060	✓	1.19
2026-06-07	oos	0.71076	0.706138	-0.65%	0.744585	+4.76%	0.0088	✗	1.19
2026-06-06	oos	0.6851	0.685702	+0.09%	0.73593	+7.42%	0.0035	✓	1.18
2026-06-05	oos	0.69036	0.692912	+0.37%	0.71637	+3.77%	0.0138	✗	1.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.76215	0.759271	-0.38%	0.71831	-5.75%	0.0512	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.81049	0.805767	-0.58%	0.683675	-15.65%	0.1182	✓	1.12
2026-06-02	oos	0.80413	0.798428	-0.71%	0.70054	-12.88%	0.0409	✓	1.16
2026-06-01	oos	0.85952	0.847207	-1.43%	0.71057	-17.33%	0.0388	✓	1.11
2026-05-31	oos	0.871225	0.85796	-1.52%	0.71076	-18.42%	0.0171	✓	1.14
2026-05-30	oos	0.86329	0.850547	-1.48%	0.6851	-20.64%	0.0011	✓	1.13
2026-05-29	oos	0.86026	0.848089	-1.41%	0.69036	-19.75%	0.0020	✓	1.13
2026-05-28	oos	0.86704	0.85437	-1.46%	0.76215	-12.10%	0.0448	✗	1.12
2026-05-27	oos	0.87128	0.85931	-1.37%	0.81049	-6.98%	0.1080	✗	1.12
2026-05-26	oos	0.883135	0.873041	-1.14%	0.80413	-8.95%	0.0633	✗	1.13
2026-05-25	oos	0.906795	0.899138	-0.84%	0.85952	-5.21%	0.0482	✗	1.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.89659	0.888883	-0.86%	0.871225	-2.83%	0.0327	✗	1.17
2026-05-23	oos	0.930025	0.920961	-0.97%	0.86329	-7.18%	0.0206	✓	1.15
2026-05-22	oos	0.90177	0.891791	-1.11%	0.86026	-4.60%	0.0039	✓	1.15
2026-05-21	oos	0.924435	0.915923	-0.92%	0.86704	-6.21%	0.0069	✓	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.89491	0.886291	-0.96%	0.87128	-2.64%	0.0312	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.882935	0.878552	-0.50%	0.883135	+0.02%	0.0195	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.89824	0.894562	-0.41%	0.906795	+0.95%	0.0090	✗	1.15
2026-05-17	oos	0.88611	0.882963	-0.36%	0.89659	+1.18%	0.0218	✗	1.16
2026-05-16	oos	0.909195	0.90405	-0.57%	0.930025	+2.29%	0.0500	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.930055	0.923415	-0.71%	0.90177	-3.04%	0.0306	✗	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.984055	0.97528	-0.89%	0.924435	-6.06%	0.0024	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.98506	0.9725	-1.28%	0.89491	-9.15%	0.0563	✓	1.16
2026-05-12	oos	1.0312	1.0168	-1.40%	0.882935	-14.37%	0.0875	✓	1.13
2026-05-11	oos	1.0322	1.0189	-1.29%	0.89824	-12.98%	0.0592	✓	1.11
2026-05-10	oos	1.0451	1.0277	-1.67%	0.88611	-15.21%	0.0814	✓	1.11
2026-05-09	oos	0.96792	0.961188	-0.70%	0.909195	-6.07%	0.0206	✓	1.09
2026-05-08	oos	0.96765	0.960392	-0.75%	0.930055	-3.89%	0.0168	✓	1.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.922025	0.916681	-0.58%	0.984055	+6.73%	0.0566	✗	1.07
2026-05-06	oos	0.921375	0.92009	-0.14%	0.98506	+6.91%	0.0954	✗	1.01
2026-05-05	oos	0.89518	0.894701	-0.05%	1.0312	+15.19%	0.1475	✗	1.05
2026-05-04	oos	0.87405	0.872737	-0.15%	1.0322	+18.10%	0.1436	✗	1.05
2026-05-03	oos	0.87045	0.866662	-0.44%	1.0451	+20.07%	0.1401	✗	1.04
2026-05-02	oos	0.8802	0.875927	-0.49%	0.96792	+9.97%	0.0740	✗	1.04
2026-05-01	oos	0.87351	0.868879	-0.53%	0.96765	+10.78%	0.0821	✗	1.04
2026-04-30	oos	0.86168	0.854595	-0.82%	0.922025	+7.00%	0.0266	✗	1.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.8742	0.8661	-0.93%	0.921375	+5.40%	0.0137	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.88667	0.879782	-0.78%	0.89518	+0.96%	0.0441	✓	1.05
2026-04-27	oos	0.89128	0.886666	-0.52%	0.87405	-1.93%	0.0477	✓	1.05
2026-04-26	oos	0.90848	0.906332	-0.24%	0.87045	-4.19%	0.0389	✓	1.05
2026-04-25	oos	0.8956	0.892471	-0.35%	0.8802	-1.72%	0.0278	✓	1.06
2026-04-24	oos	0.90403	0.902066	-0.22%	0.87351	-3.38%	0.0427	✓	1.06
2026-04-23	oos	0.906965	0.906535	-0.05%	0.86168	-4.99%	0.0236	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.90316	0.902787	-0.04%	0.8742	-3.21%	0.0017	✗	1.06
2026-04-21	oos	0.910885	0.907363	-0.39%	0.88667	-2.66%	0.0226	✓	1.07
2026-04-20	oos	0.915695	0.91115	-0.50%	0.89128	-2.67%	0.0430	✓	1.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.88507	0.879644	-0.61%	0.90848	+2.64%	0.0357	✓	1.07
2026-04-18	oos	0.918605	0.914717	-0.42%	0.8956	-2.50%	0.0477	✓	1.07
2026-04-17	oos	0.95899	0.954976	-0.42%	0.90403	-5.73%	0.0598	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.921225	0.916027	-0.56%	0.906965	-1.55%	0.0531	✓	1.06
2026-04-15	oos	0.90905	0.902737	-0.69%	0.90316	-0.65%	0.0463	✓	1.06
2026-04-14	oos	0.90133	0.892911	-0.93%	0.910885	+1.06%	0.0109	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.92342	0.914412	-0.98%	0.915695	-0.84%	0.0190	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.882435	0.87013	-1.39%	0.88507	+0.30%	0.0293	✓	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.918595	0.906123	-1.36%	0.918605	+0.00%	0.0251	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	0.916705	0.906661	-1.10%	0.95899	+4.61%	0.0031	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.922265	0.911953	-1.12%	0.921225	-0.11%	0.0398	✓	1.09
2026-04-08	oos	0.90918	0.899465	-1.07%	0.90905	-0.01%	0.0453	✓	1.09
2026-04-07	oos	0.95507	0.943877	-1.17%	0.90133	-5.63%	0.0798	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.92641	0.911745	-1.58%	0.92342	-0.32%	0.0726	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.969285	0.952439	-1.74%	0.882435	-8.96%	0.1038	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.96028	0.941161	-1.99%	0.918595	-4.34%	0.1157	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.96962	0.948907	-2.14%	0.916705	-5.46%	0.1303	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.88023	0.867393	-1.46%	0.922265	+4.78%	0.0167	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.93812	0.920068	-1.92%	0.90918	-3.08%	0.0589	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.89006	0.873464	-1.86%	0.95507	+7.30%	0.0316	✗	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.80961	0.802278	-0.91%	0.92641	+14.43%	0.1105	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.77248	0.766955	-0.72%	0.969285	+25.48%	0.1863	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.818	0.811067	-0.85%	0.96028	+17.39%	0.1535	✗	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.81898	0.812418	-0.80%	0.96962	+18.39%	0.1673	✗	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.84978	0.844171	-0.66%	0.88023	+3.58%	0.0712	✗	1.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.90831	0.903048	-0.58%	0.93812	+3.28%	0.0862	✗	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.92962	0.92425	-0.58%	0.89006	-4.26%	0.0025	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.88349	0.880709	-0.31%	0.80961	-8.36%	0.0205	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.82721	0.823509	-0.45%	0.77248	-6.62%	0.0345	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.84707	0.844754	-0.27%	0.818	-3.43%	0.0078	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.885555	0.885114	-0.05%	0.81898	-7.52%	0.0149	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.87821	0.878362	+0.02%	0.84978	-3.24%	0.0159	✗	1.03
2026-03-18	oos	0.89425	0.896295	+0.23%	0.90831	+1.57%	0.0125	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.94753	0.951741	+0.44%	0.92962	-1.89%	0.0256	✓	1.04
2026-03-16	oos	0.95221	0.957358	+0.54%	0.88349	-7.22%	0.0223	✗	1.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.9366	0.940329	+0.40%	0.82721	-11.68%	0.0536	✗	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.88128	0.884718	+0.39%	0.84707	-3.88%	0.0090	✗	1.04
2026-03-13	oos	0.90989	0.912403	+0.28%	0.885555	-2.67%	0.0232	✗	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.87576	0.878479	+0.31%	0.87821	+0.28%	0.0089	✓	1.05
2026-03-11	oos	0.8941	0.896262	+0.24%	0.89425	+0.02%	0.0177	✗	1.06
2026-03-10	oos	0.87908	0.881462	+0.27%	0.94753	+7.79%	0.0141	✓	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.86781	0.869039	+0.14%	0.95221	+9.73%	0.0038	✗	1.06
2026-03-08	oos	0.84932	0.848117	-0.14%	0.9366	+10.28%	0.0066	✓	1.07
2026-03-07	oos	0.86311	0.863332	+0.03%	0.88128	+2.11%	0.0410	✗	1.07
2026-03-06	oos	0.89296	0.893431	+0.05%	0.90989	+1.90%	0.0252	✗	1.07
2026-03-05	oos	0.93319	0.934496	+0.14%	0.87576	-6.15%	0.0596	✗	1.07
2026-03-04	oos	0.94185	0.942943	+0.12%	0.8941	-5.07%	0.0160	✗	1.07
2026-03-03	oos	0.91313	0.913158	+0.00%	0.87908	-3.73%	0.0640	✗	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.93206	0.931608	-0.05%	0.86781	-6.89%	0.0645	✓	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.89376	0.891317	-0.27%	0.84932	-4.97%	0.0517	✓	1.12
2026-02-28	oos	0.91254	0.909425	-0.34%	0.86311	-5.42%	0.0572	✓	1.14
2026-02-27	oos	0.90907	0.90481	-0.47%	0.89296	-1.77%	0.0516	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.926435	0.922442	-0.43%	0.93319	+0.73%	0.0448	✓	1.15
2026-02-25	oos	0.95313	0.945067	-0.85%	0.94185	-1.18%	0.0799	✓	1.15
2026-02-24	oos	0.86893	0.864492	-0.51%	0.91313	+5.09%	0.0177	✓	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.880105	0.875083	-0.57%	0.93206	+5.90%	0.0064	✓	1.10
2026-02-22	oos	0.91432	0.909819	-0.49%	0.89376	-2.25%	0.0129	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.940855	0.93553	-0.57%	0.91254	-3.01%	0.0086	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.961455	0.954103	-0.76%	0.90907	-5.45%	0.0134	✓	1.10
2026-02-19	oos	0.937415	0.931933	-0.58%	0.926435	-1.17%	0.0144	✓	1.10
2026-02-18	oos	0.94552	0.938446	-0.75%	0.95313	+0.80%	0.0103	✓	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.964055	0.957162	-0.71%	0.86893	-9.87%	0.0401	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.98535	0.977862	-0.76%	0.880105	-10.68%	0.0357	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.98353	0.974905	-0.88%	0.91432	-7.04%	0.0452	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	1.0256	1.0146	-1.07%	0.940855	-8.27%	0.0465	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.994905	0.986031	-0.89%	0.961455	-3.36%	0.0121	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.951765	0.946743	-0.53%	0.937415	-1.51%	0.0224	✓	1.09
2026-02-11	oos	0.915535	0.911889	-0.40%	0.94552	+3.28%	0.0459	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.89853	0.901279	+0.31%	0.964055	+7.29%	0.0887	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.92647	0.927974	+0.16%	0.98535	+6.36%	0.0795	✓	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.924285	0.928315	+0.44%	0.98353	+6.41%	0.0811	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.942885	0.950549	+0.81%	1.0256	+8.78%	0.0674	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.953125	0.961373	+0.87%	0.994905	+4.38%	0.0612	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.871405	0.911268	+4.57%	0.951765	+9.22%	0.0180	✓	1.16
2026-02-04	oos	1.0391	1.0449	+0.56%	0.915535	-11.89%	0.0278	✗	1.22
2026-02-03	oos	1.0712	1.0747	+0.33%	0.89853	-16.12%	0.0626	✗	1.23
2026-02-02	oos	1.1027	1.104	+0.12%	0.92647	-15.98%	0.0304	✗	1.26
2026-02-01	oos	1.0644	1.0768	+1.16%	0.924285	-13.16%	0.0442	✗	1.21
2026-01-31	oos	1.0623	1.0762	+1.31%	0.942885	-11.24%	0.0289	✓	1.27
2026-01-30	oos	1.1439	1.1403	-0.32%	0.953125	-16.68%	0.0469	✗	1.28
2026-01-29	oos	1.1667	1.162	-0.41%	0.871405	-25.31%	0.0953	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	1.2541	1.2436	-0.84%	1.0391	-17.14%	0.0781	✗	1.29
2026-01-27	oos	1.2817	1.2695	-0.95%	1.0712	-16.42%	0.0445	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	1.2571	1.2456	-0.91%	1.1027	-12.28%	0.0259	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	1.2211	1.2115	-0.78%	1.0644	-12.83%	0.0226	✗	1.28
2026-01-24	oos	1.2757	1.2621	-1.07%	1.0623	-16.73%	0.0127	✓	1.28
2026-01-23	oos	1.2804	1.2672	-1.03%	1.1439	-10.65%	0.0233	✓	1.28
2026-01-22	oos	1.2921	1.2774	-1.14%	1.1667	-9.70%	0.0180	✓	1.28
2026-01-21	oos	1.3255	1.3099	-1.18%	1.2541	-5.39%	0.0407	✓	1.28
2026-01-20	oos	1.3028	1.2882	-1.12%	1.2817	-1.62%	0.0167	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	1.368	1.3529	-1.10%	1.2571	-8.11%	0.0114	✓	1.30
2026-01-18	oos	1.4	1.385	-1.07%	1.2211	-12.78%	0.0239	✓	1.30
2026-01-17	oos	1.4762	1.4589	-1.17%	1.2757	-13.58%	0.0501	✓	1.28
2026-01-16	oos	1.4544	1.4362	-1.24%	1.2804	-11.96%	0.0311	✓	1.28
2026-01-15	oos	1.4334	1.4141	-1.35%	1.2921	-9.86%	0.0049	✓	1.29
2026-01-14	oos	1.5706	1.544	-1.69%	1.3255	-15.60%	0.0496	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	1.4677	1.4458	-1.49%	1.3028	-11.24%	0.0089	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	1.3898	1.3678	-1.58%	1.368	-1.57%	0.0184	✓	1.24
2026-01-11	oos	1.4367	1.414	-1.58%	1.4	-2.56%	0.0474	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	1.4856	1.4619	-1.59%	1.4762	-0.63%	0.0548	✓	1.26
2026-01-09	oos	1.4893	1.4679	-1.44%	1.4544	-2.35%	0.0805	✓	1.33
2026-01-08	oos	1.4799	1.4629	-1.15%	1.4334	-3.14%	0.0847	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	1.4637	1.4504	-0.91%	1.5706	+7.30%	0.0168	✓	1.60
2026-01-06	oos	1.5151	1.4989	-1.07%	1.4677	-3.13%	0.0490	✓	1.59
2026-01-05	oos	1.4615	1.4532	-0.57%	1.3898	-4.91%	0.0026	✓	1.63
2026-01-04	oos	1.3934	1.3887	-0.34%	1.4367	+3.11%	0.0451	✗	1.63
2026-01-03	oos	1.3749	1.3689	-0.43%	1.4856	+8.05%	0.0858	✗	1.64
2026-01-02	oos	1.3822	1.3744	-0.56%	1.4893	+7.75%	0.0702	✗	1.63
2026-01-01	oos	1.3373	1.3309	-0.48%	1.4799	+10.67%	0.0647	✗	1.63
2025-12-31	oos	1.3375	1.322	-1.16%	1.4637	+9.44%	0.0329	✗	1.63
2025-12-30	oos	1.2769	1.2729	-0.31%	1.5151	+18.66%	0.0787	✗	1.63
2025-12-29	oos	1.2937	1.2851	-0.66%	1.4615	+12.97%	0.0059	✓	1.64
2025-12-28	oos	1.2693	1.264	-0.42%	1.3934	+9.78%	0.0311	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	1.3008	1.29	-0.83%	1.3749	+5.69%	0.0128	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	1.1997	1.1952	-0.37%	1.3822	+15.22%	0.0971	✗	1.61
2025-12-25	oos	1.2119	1.2084	-0.30%	1.3373	+10.34%	0.0728	✗	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	1.2547	1.2492	-0.44%	1.3375	+6.60%	0.0704	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	1.2602	1.2523	-0.63%	1.2769	+1.32%	0.0015	✓	1.63
2025-12-22	oos	1.2528	1.2467	-0.49%	1.2937	+3.26%	0.0641	✗	1.64
2025-12-21	oos	1.2495	1.2428	-0.53%	1.2693	+1.58%	0.0353	✗	1.64
2025-12-20	oos	1.2931	1.2843	-0.68%	1.3008	+0.60%	0.0225	✗	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	1.3088	1.2983	-0.80%	1.1997	-8.34%	0.0638	✓	1.67
2025-12-18	oos	1.2297	1.2205	-0.75%	1.2119	-1.44%	0.0399	✓	1.66
2025-12-17	oos	1.279	1.2631	-1.24%	1.2547	-1.90%	0.0334	✓	1.66
2025-12-16	oos	1.3645	1.3492	-1.12%	1.2602	-7.64%	0.0603	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	1.3748	1.3592	-1.13%	1.2528	-8.87%	0.1220	✓	1.66
2025-12-14	oos	1.4232	1.403	-1.42%	1.2495	-12.20%	0.1246	✓	1.65
2025-12-13	oos	1.5249	1.4941	-2.02%	1.2931	-15.20%	0.1091	✓	1.64
2025-12-12	oos	1.401	1.3857	-1.10%	1.3088	-6.58%	0.0170	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	1.4442	1.4283	-1.11%	1.2297	-14.86%	0.0191	✓	1.64
2025-12-10	oos	1.4817	1.4655	-1.09%	1.279	-13.69%	0.0284	✓	1.65
2025-12-09	oos	1.508	1.4914	-1.10%	1.3645	-9.52%	0.0011	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	1.4482	1.4324	-1.09%	1.3748	-5.07%	0.0362	✗	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	1.411	1.3968	-1.01%	1.4232	+0.86%	0.0590	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	1.4341	1.4185	-1.09%	1.5249	+6.33%	0.0545	✗	1.62
2025-12-05	oos	1.4338	1.419	-1.03%	1.401	-2.29%	0.0296	✓	1.62
2025-12-04	oos	1.4938	1.4794	-0.97%	1.4442	-3.32%	0.0320	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	1.568	1.5516	-1.04%	1.4817	-5.50%	0.0213	✓	1.62
2025-12-02	oos	1.5234	1.5076	-1.04%	1.508	-1.01%	0.0240	✓	1.62
2025-12-01	oos	1.4132	1.3982	-1.06%	1.4482	+2.47%	0.0459	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	1.5396	1.523	-1.08%	1.411	-8.35%	0.0769	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	1.5966	1.578	-1.16%	1.4341	-10.17%	0.0678	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	1.6139	1.5956	-1.13%	1.4338	-11.15%	0.0790	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	1.606	1.5879	-1.12%	1.4938	-6.98%	0.0749	✓	1.63
2025-11-26	oos	1.6006	1.5816	-1.19%	1.568	-2.04%	0.0610	✓	1.61
2025-11-25	oos	1.6068	1.5861	-1.28%	1.5234	-5.19%	0.1135	✓	1.64
2025-11-24	oos	1.5759	1.5567	-1.22%	1.4132	-10.32%	0.0592	✓	1.65
2025-11-23	oos	1.5337	1.5162	-1.14%	1.5396	+0.39%	0.0496	✓	1.61
2025-11-22	oos	1.5386	1.5214	-1.12%	1.5966	+3.77%	0.0644	✓	1.61
2025-11-21	oos	1.5401	1.5242	-1.03%	1.6139	+4.79%	0.0443	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.6038	1.585	-1.17%	1.606	+0.14%	0.0675	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	1.691	1.6679	-1.37%	1.6006	-5.34%	0.0247	✓	1.51
2025-11-18	oos	1.7404	1.7157	-1.42%	1.6068	-7.68%	0.0251	✗	1.46
2025-11-17	oos	1.7034	1.6812	-1.31%	1.5759	-7.48%	0.0017	✓	1.48
2025-11-16	oos	1.7135	1.6914	-1.29%	1.5337	-10.50%	0.0246	✗	1.50
2025-11-15	oos	1.7541	1.7286	-1.45%	1.5386	-12.29%	0.0652	✗	1.51
2025-11-14	oos	1.723	1.7019	-1.23%	1.5401	-10.62%	0.0584	✗	1.51
2025-11-13	oos	1.7726	1.7493	-1.31%	1.6038	-9.52%	0.1358	✗	1.58
2025-11-12	oos	1.8397	1.8116	-1.53%	1.691	-8.09%	0.0978	✗	1.58
2025-11-11	oos	1.8526	1.8231	-1.59%	1.7404	-6.05%	0.1188	✗	1.60
2025-11-10	oos	1.9526	1.924	-1.46%	1.7034	-12.76%	0.1005	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	1.9274	1.8986	-1.50%	1.7135	-11.10%	0.0670	✗	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	1.9391	1.9079	-1.61%	1.7541	-9.54%	0.0276	✗	1.64
2025-11-07	oos	1.9803	1.9449	-1.79%	1.723	-12.99%	0.0203	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	1.7402	1.7159	-1.40%	1.7726	+1.86%	0.0581	✗	1.53
2025-11-05	oos	1.7668	1.7441	-1.28%	1.8397	+4.13%	0.0869	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	1.6816	1.6618	-1.18%	1.8526	+10.17%	0.0857	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	1.7127	1.6926	-1.17%	1.9526	+14.01%	0.1517	✗	1.61
2025-11-02	oos	1.9062	1.877	-1.53%	1.9274	+1.11%	0.1114	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	1.9209	1.8908	-1.57%	1.9391	+0.95%	0.1402	✗	1.57
2025-10-31	oos	1.8542	1.8268	-1.47%	1.9803	+6.80%	0.1730	✗	1.57
2025-10-30	oos	1.8227	1.7972	-1.40%	1.7402	-4.52%	0.0728	✗	1.57
2025-10-29	oos	1.9662	1.9345	-1.61%	1.7668	-10.14%	0.0018	✓	1.54
2025-10-28	oos	1.9677	1.9345	-1.69%	1.6816	-14.54%	0.0285	✗	1.58
2025-10-27	oos	2.0146	1.9786	-1.78%	1.7127	-14.99%	0.0367	✓	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	2.0561	2.0172	-1.89%	1.9062	-7.29%	0.0004	✓	1.58
2025-10-25	oos	2.0024	1.9682	-1.70%	1.9209	-4.07%	0.0010	✓	1.60
2025-10-24	oos	2.0022	1.9683	-1.69%	1.8542	-7.39%	0.0382	✓	1.60
2025-10-23	oos	1.9817	1.9493	-1.63%	1.8227	-8.02%	0.0406	✓	1.60
2025-10-22	oos	1.9103	1.8827	-1.45%	1.9662	+2.92%	0.0074	✓	1.60
2025-10-21	oos	1.9539	1.9222	-1.62%	1.9677	+0.71%	0.0423	✓	1.60
2025-10-20	oos	2.0054	1.9675	-1.89%	2.0146	+0.46%	0.0272	✓	1.62
2025-10-19	oos	1.9754	1.9401	-1.79%	2.0561	+4.09%	0.0259	✓	1.60
2025-10-18	oos	1.951	1.919	-1.64%	2.0024	+2.63%	0.0227	✓	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	1.9039	1.8759	-1.47%	2.0022	+5.16%	0.0019	✓	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	1.9469	1.9138	-1.70%	1.9817	+1.79%	0.0069	✓	1.59
2025-10-15	oos	1.9967	1.9574	-1.97%	1.9103	-4.33%	0.0227	✗	1.60
2025-10-14	oos	2.0833	2.0426	-1.96%	1.9539	-6.21%	0.0232	✗	1.59
2025-10-13	oos	2.1431	2.1025	-1.90%	2.0054	-6.42%	0.0191	✓	1.59
2025-10-12	oos	2.0736	2.0347	-1.88%	1.9754	-4.74%	0.0595	✗	1.56
2025-10-11	oos	1.8642	1.8341	-1.62%	1.951	+4.66%	0.1103	✗	1.48
2025-10-10	oos	1.8564	1.8247	-1.70%	1.9039	+2.56%	0.1322	✗	1.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.4184	2.3714	-1.95%	1.9469	-19.50%	0.0828	✓	0.97
2025-10-08	oos	2.361	2.3075	-2.26%	1.9967	-15.43%	0.0385	✓	0.99
2025-10-07	oos	2.1119	2.0821	-1.41%	2.0833	-1.36%	0.0667	✗	0.93
2025-10-06	oos	2.2461	2.2144	-1.41%	2.1431	-4.59%	0.0394	✗	0.92
2025-10-05	oos	2.2013	2.1688	-1.48%	2.0736	-5.80%	0.0201	✗	0.92
2025-10-04	oos	2.219	2.1845	-1.55%	1.8642	-15.99%	0.0658	✓	0.93
2025-10-03	oos	2.2901	2.253	-1.62%	1.8564	-18.94%	0.1201	✓	0.93
2025-10-02	oos	2.2757	2.2342	-1.82%	2.4184	+6.27%	0.0708	✗	0.93
2025-10-01	oos	2.2512	2.2066	-1.98%	2.361	+4.88%	0.0305	✗	0.96
2025-09-30	oos	2.1253	2.0917	-1.58%	2.1119	-0.63%	0.0478	✓	0.92
2025-09-29	oos	2.1696	2.1339	-1.65%	2.2461	+3.53%	0.0340	✓	0.98
2025-09-28	oos	2.1798	2.1444	-1.63%	2.2013	+0.99%	0.0724	✓	1.03
2025-09-27	oos	2.1455	2.1142	-1.46%	2.219	+3.43%	0.0671	✓	1.05
2025-09-26	oos	2.1906	2.1582	-1.48%	2.2901	+4.55%	0.0561	✓	1.06
2025-09-25	oos	2.0536	2.0311	-1.10%	2.2757	+10.82%	0.0081	✓	1.05
2025-09-24	oos	2.2369	2.2004	-1.63%	2.2512	+0.64%	0.0208	✓	0.95
2025-09-23	oos	2.1573	2.125	-1.50%	2.1253	-1.48%	0.0169	✓	0.94
2025-09-22	oos	2.1717	2.1397	-1.48%	2.1696	-0.10%	0.0006	✓	0.93
2025-09-21	oos	2.3435	2.3047	-1.66%	2.1798	-6.98%	0.0324	✓	0.86
2025-09-20	oos	2.3902	2.3502	-1.67%	2.1455	-10.24%	0.0386	✓	0.98
2025-09-19	oos	2.4013	2.362	-1.63%	2.1906	-8.77%	0.0231	✓	0.98
2025-09-18	oos	2.4847	2.4409	-1.76%	2.0536	-17.35%	0.1023	✓	0.99

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.