XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s9

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0523

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0085

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.312772	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.312141	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.309761	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.298901	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.299607	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.300522	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.314342	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.311486	-0.38%	0.31645	+1.20%	0.0131	✓	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.307611	-0.52%	0.31537	+1.99%	0.0092	✓	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.319132	-1.09%	0.3131	-2.96%	0.0168	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.300731	-0.69%	0.30059	-0.74%	0.0018	✓	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.319027	-1.25%	0.30068	-6.93%	0.0370	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.297424	-0.99%	0.30109	+0.23%	0.0326	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.294791	-1.20%	0.315885	+5.86%	0.0831	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.28538	-1.21%	0.31269	+8.24%	0.0856	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.30643	-1.90%	0.30922	-1.00%	0.0309	✗	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.325514	-2.28%	0.32266	-3.14%	0.0204	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.328182	-2.50%	0.302825	-10.04%	0.0312	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.321143	-2.71%	0.32306	-2.13%	0.0401	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.312678	-2.95%	0.30039	-6.77%	0.0177	✓	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.305682	-3.24%	0.298385	-5.55%	0.0001	✓	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.314059	-3.66%	0.28889	-11.38%	0.0448	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.304563	-3.76%	0.312355	-1.30%	0.0288	✓	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.299219	-4.07%	0.333125	+6.80%	0.0835	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.299872	-4.24%	0.336605	+7.50%	0.0867	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.306167	-4.72%	0.330075	+2.72%	0.0495	✗	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.31205	-5.09%	0.32219	-2.00%	0.0279	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.314619	-5.29%	0.31591	-4.90%	0.0011	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.313175	-5.39%	0.32599	-1.52%	0.0342	✓	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.307161	-5.39%	0.316455	-2.52%	0.0403	✓	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.32605	-6.19%	0.311915	-10.26%	0.0131	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.31902	-6.09%	0.313135	-7.83%	0.0199	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.330162	-5.59%	0.32132	-8.12%	0.0759	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.339405	-7.51%	0.32877	-10.41%	0.0785	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.283069	-4.21%	0.332185	+12.41%	0.1127	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.252186	-0.98%	0.33102	+29.97%	0.1657	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.252221	-0.56%	0.32465	+28.00%	0.1423	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.249523	+0.03%	0.34756	+39.33%	0.1873	✓	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.270539	-0.85%	0.33972	+24.51%	0.1227	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.278854	-1.71%	0.3497	+23.26%	0.1687	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.266509	+0.28%	0.36697	+38.08%	0.2666	✓	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.254864	+1.62%	0.29552	+17.83%	0.0990	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.256958	+1.48%	0.25468	+0.58%	0.0063	✓	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.265946	+0.86%	0.25363	-3.81%	0.0183	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.256086	+2.58%	0.249455	-0.07%	0.0130	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.244787	+4.09%	0.272845	+16.02%	0.1212	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.251453	+4.39%	0.283705	+17.78%	0.1697	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.249866	+4.63%	0.265765	+11.28%	0.0972	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.24193	+5.05%	0.25081	+8.91%	0.0691	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.241217	+5.50%	0.25322	+10.75%	0.1126	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.227588	+4.48%	0.26367	+21.05%	0.1323	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.224471	+4.71%	0.249635	+16.45%	0.0902	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.223748	+5.12%	0.235175	+10.49%	0.0422	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.220463	+4.53%	0.24088	+14.21%	0.0504	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.22903	+4.27%	0.23882	+8.73%	0.0193	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.2284	+3.49%	0.23029	+4.35%	0.0178	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.237976	+3.09%	0.228645	-0.95%	0.0537	✗	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.23329	+2.34%	0.217825	-4.44%	0.0439	✗	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.228137	+2.02%	0.21437	-4.14%	0.0460	✗	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.233534	+1.48%	0.21285	-7.51%	0.0868	✗	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.236915	+0.78%	0.210915	-10.28%	0.1153	✗	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.233526	+0.47%	0.219655	-5.49%	0.0784	✗	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.240638	-0.23%	0.22069	-8.50%	0.0796	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.220978	-0.27%	0.23084	+4.18%	0.0614	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.214051	-0.31%	0.227945	+6.16%	0.0883	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.198761	-0.67%	0.223625	+11.75%	0.1083	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.198096	-0.65%	0.230135	+15.42%	0.0877	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.193492	-0.67%	0.23508	+20.68%	0.0551	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.196506	-0.73%	0.232425	+17.42%	0.0678	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.195088	-0.75%	0.2412	+22.71%	0.0451	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.195266	-0.74%	0.22158	+12.63%	0.0400	✓	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.192951	-0.69%	0.21471	+10.51%	0.0019	✓	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.193144	-0.71%	0.20011	+2.87%	0.0145	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.196946	-0.81%	0.199385	+0.42%	0.0020	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.20074	-0.75%	0.19479	-3.69%	0.0070	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.206207	-0.88%	0.197945	-4.85%	0.0061	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.199905	-0.76%	0.196555	-2.43%	0.0186	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.199078	-0.83%	0.19673	-2.00%	0.0037	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.195058	-0.82%	0.194285	-1.22%	0.0182	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.196338	-0.87%	0.194525	-1.78%	0.0004	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.201389	-0.99%	0.198545	-2.39%	0.0227	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.19804	-1.07%	0.202255	+1.03%	0.0047	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.196455	-1.14%	0.208035	+4.68%	0.0165	✗	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.198701	-1.19%	0.20144	+0.17%	0.0256	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.203349	-1.03%	0.200745	-2.30%	0.0042	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.201837	-1.09%	0.19668	-3.62%	0.0392	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.204574	-1.14%	0.19806	-4.28%	0.0362	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.205112	-1.10%	0.2034	-1.93%	0.0040	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.22115	-0.93%	0.200185	-10.32%	0.0663	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.22174	-0.91%	0.198725	-11.20%	0.0818	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.226368	-0.84%	0.201095	-11.91%	0.0956	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.233474	-0.74%	0.20547	-12.65%	0.1220	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.226602	-0.33%	0.20406	-10.25%	0.0653	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.228211	-0.18%	0.206925	-9.49%	0.0499	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.22773	-0.20%	0.2074	-9.11%	0.0658	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.222969	-0.16%	0.22322	-0.05%	0.0107	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.225157	-0.07%	0.22378	-0.68%	0.0030	✗	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.222284	+0.00%	0.22828	+2.70%	0.0231	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.220476	+0.01%	0.235215	+6.69%	0.0413	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.227685	+0.06%	0.22736	-0.08%	0.0257	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.231927	+0.02%	0.22863	-1.41%	0.0414	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.220379	-0.11%	0.22819	+3.43%	0.0195	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.22687	-0.00%	0.223335	-1.56%	0.0330	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.230763	-0.04%	0.225305	-2.40%	0.0422	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.235499	-0.12%	0.22228	-5.73%	0.0536	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.235113	-0.12%	0.220465	-6.35%	0.0751	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.240682	-0.37%	0.22755	-5.81%	0.1016	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.252573	-0.63%	0.23189	-8.77%	0.1153	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.249409	-0.47%	0.220625	-11.96%	0.0907	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.251108	-1.03%	0.22688	-10.58%	0.1044	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.238272	-0.36%	0.230855	-3.46%	0.0442	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.243618	-0.70%	0.23579	-3.89%	0.0617	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.215334	+0.44%	0.235405	+9.80%	0.0598	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.21063	+0.42%	0.241585	+15.18%	0.0968	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.203377	+0.50%	0.25418	+25.60%	0.1383	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.212842	+0.53%	0.250595	+18.36%	0.0974	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.21154	+0.55%	0.25371	+20.59%	0.1107	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.213826	+0.56%	0.239125	+12.46%	0.0571	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.217138	+0.53%	0.245335	+13.59%	0.0781	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.213918	+0.55%	0.2144	+0.78%	0.0291	✗	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.216241	+0.55%	0.209745	-2.47%	0.0121	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.222114	+0.51%	0.202365	-8.43%	0.0182	✗	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.229294	+0.44%	0.211725	-7.26%	0.0134	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.22996	+0.43%	0.21039	-8.12%	0.0223	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.237782	+0.29%	0.212635	-10.31%	0.0374	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.244828	+0.13%	0.215985	-11.67%	0.0639	✗	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.231734	+0.29%	0.21275	-7.92%	0.0294	✗	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.245278	+0.07%	0.21506	-12.26%	0.0723	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.244848	+0.02%	0.22099	-9.73%	0.0526	✗	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.241438	+0.05%	0.22829	-5.40%	0.0185	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.239753	+0.09%	0.22898	-4.41%	0.0059	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.238533	+0.12%	0.23709	-0.48%	0.0027	✗	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.234517	+0.21%	0.24452	+4.48%	0.0428	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.234936	+0.23%	0.23106	-1.43%	0.0051	✗	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.228549	+0.54%	0.245115	+7.83%	0.0192	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.238767	+0.41%	0.244805	+2.95%	0.0407	✗	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.246161	+0.20%	0.24131	-1.78%	0.0726	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.245978	+0.20%	0.23954	-2.42%	0.0656	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.245985	+0.62%	0.238245	-2.55%	0.0927	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.245	+0.72%	0.234035	-3.79%	0.0882	✗	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.277884	-0.05%	0.234405	-15.69%	0.1665	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.295758	-0.22%	0.22732	-23.31%	0.2241	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.29355	-0.25%	0.23779	-19.20%	0.1339	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.316176	-0.57%	0.24568	-22.74%	0.1371	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.32537	-0.79%	0.24549	-25.14%	0.1411	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.328594	-1.06%	0.24447	-26.39%	0.1223	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.303958	-0.23%	0.24326	-20.15%	0.0572	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.309046	-0.24%	0.27802	-10.26%	0.0209	✗	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.317788	-0.25%	0.2964	-6.97%	0.0625	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.330683	-0.32%	0.2943	-11.29%	0.0035	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.333234	-0.18%	0.318	-4.75%	0.0272	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.334692	-0.15%	0.32795	-2.16%	0.0215	✗	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.343933	-0.37%	0.3321	-3.79%	0.0003	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.333606	-0.28%	0.30465	-8.94%	0.0656	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.348679	-0.28%	0.3098	-11.40%	0.0705	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.340674	-0.10%	0.3186	-6.57%	0.0296	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.333893	-0.02%	0.33175	-0.66%	0.0046	✗	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.341782	-0.05%	0.33385	-2.37%	0.0270	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.340373	+0.07%	0.3352	-1.46%	0.0103	✗	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.357275	-0.03%	0.3452	-3.41%	0.0178	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.365072	+0.03%	0.33455	-8.33%	0.0453	✗	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.378765	+0.23%	0.34965	-7.48%	0.0399	✗	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.374938	+0.01%	0.341	-9.04%	0.0743	✗	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.385362	+0.11%	0.33395	-13.25%	0.1017	✗	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.397997	+0.16%	0.34195	-13.94%	0.0995	✗	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.401156	+0.15%	0.34015	-15.08%	0.1128	✗	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.387515	+0.18%	0.3574	-7.60%	0.0533	✗	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.394346	-0.04%	0.36495	-7.49%	0.0654	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.376648	+0.32%	0.3779	+0.65%	0.0080	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.384716	+0.43%	0.3749	-2.13%	0.0035	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.377103	+0.56%	0.38495	+2.65%	0.0254	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.364366	+0.68%	0.39735	+9.80%	0.0657	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.364197	+0.39%	0.40055	+10.41%	0.0547	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.367466	+0.32%	0.3868	+5.60%	0.0290	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.366955	+0.23%	0.3945	+7.76%	0.0503	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.364689	-0.17%	0.37545	+2.78%	0.0142	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.370507	-0.15%	0.38305	+3.23%	0.0329	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.38426	-0.17%	0.375	-2.57%	0.0778	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.379226	+0.22%	0.3619	-4.36%	0.0758	✗	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.372956	+0.61%	0.3628	-2.13%	0.0263	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.37087	+0.38%	0.3663	-0.85%	0.0246	✗	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.373659	+0.35%	0.3661	-1.68%	0.0296	✗	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.376503	+0.55%	0.3653	-2.44%	0.0065	✗	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.374591	+0.60%	0.37105	-0.35%	0.0201	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.36767	+0.28%	0.3849	+4.98%	0.0462	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.367259	+0.23%	0.3784	+3.28%	0.0115	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.354106	+0.00%	0.3707	+4.69%	0.0153	✗	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.366159	+0.29%	0.36945	+1.19%	0.0148	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.380981	+0.30%	0.37235	-1.97%	0.0274	✗	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.376613	-0.01%	0.37445	-0.58%	0.0446	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.361346	+0.12%	0.37235	+3.17%	0.0120	✗	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.347085	+0.26%	0.36665	+5.91%	0.0276	✓	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.355684	+0.19%	0.3664	+3.21%	0.0120	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.341414	-0.14%	0.3541	+3.57%	0.0041	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.353894	+0.03%	0.3651	+3.19%	0.0028	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.35852	-0.05%	0.37985	+5.90%	0.0057	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.352742	-0.17%	0.37665	+6.59%	0.0220	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.350981	-0.26%	0.3609	+2.56%	0.0211	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.359917	-0.36%	0.3462	-4.15%	0.0684	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.340073	-0.46%	0.355	+3.91%	0.0312	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.34296	-0.53%	0.3419	-0.84%	0.0269	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.346382	-0.69%	0.3538	+1.43%	0.0585	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.346748	-0.86%	0.3587	+2.56%	0.0496	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.339596	-0.85%	0.35335	+3.17%	0.0286	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.348516	-0.93%	0.3519	+0.03%	0.0318	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.348872	-1.00%	0.3612	+2.50%	0.0165	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.34369	-0.90%	0.34165	-1.49%	0.0364	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.337424	-0.70%	0.3448	+1.47%	0.0228	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.343869	-0.64%	0.3488	+0.78%	0.0001	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.347491	-0.63%	0.34975	+0.01%	0.0025	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.36772	-0.62%	0.3425	-7.43%	0.0440	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.386835	-0.53%	0.3518	-9.54%	0.0503	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.397884	-0.55%	0.3524	-11.92%	0.0887	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.391429	-0.54%	0.3468	-11.88%	0.0620	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.376463	-0.56%	0.3398	-10.25%	0.0747	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.386381	-0.55%	0.3461	-10.91%	0.0725	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.401066	-0.57%	0.3497	-13.30%	0.0780	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.387899	-0.39%	0.37	-4.98%	0.0311	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.392187	-0.31%	0.3889	-1.14%	0.0092	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.395856	-0.24%	0.4001	+0.83%	0.0571	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.39993	-0.19%	0.39355	-1.78%	0.0385	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.386329	-0.15%	0.3786	-2.15%	0.0496	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.377706	-0.10%	0.3885	+2.75%	0.0609	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.373038	-0.07%	0.40335	+8.05%	0.0844	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.368189	+0.02%	0.3894	+5.79%	0.0647	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.365313	+0.09%	0.3934	+7.78%	0.0595	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.363561	+0.10%	0.3968	+9.25%	0.0325	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.363467	+0.05%	0.4007	+10.29%	0.0072	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.359112	+0.00%	0.3869	+7.74%	0.0255	✗	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.362027	+0.09%	0.3781	+4.53%	0.0149	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.37135	+0.12%	0.3733	+0.65%	0.0360	✗	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.384912	+0.13%	0.3681	-4.24%	0.0396	✗	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.39107	+0.12%	0.365	-6.55%	0.0337	✗	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.376727	+0.14%	0.3632	-3.46%	0.0610	✗	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.376359	+0.15%	0.3633	-3.33%	0.0292	✗	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.371299	+0.05%	0.3591	-3.23%	0.0366	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.38512	+0.16%	0.3617	-5.93%	0.0672	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.383869	+0.15%	0.3709	-3.24%	0.0691	✗	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.392388	+0.10%	0.3844	-1.94%	0.0714	✗	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.39623	+0.06%	0.3906	-1.36%	0.0834	✗	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.366879	+0.21%	0.3762	+2.76%	0.0407	✗	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.369843	+0.24%	0.3758	+1.86%	0.0472	✗	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.379771	+0.19%	0.3711	-2.10%	0.0049	✓	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.389149	+0.13%	0.3845	-1.07%	0.0028	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.392835	+0.11%	0.3833	-2.32%	0.0074	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.383676	+0.24%	0.392	+2.42%	0.0137	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.385908	+0.29%	0.396	+2.91%	0.0022	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.39604	+0.26%	0.3661	-7.32%	0.0268	✗	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.400276	+0.26%	0.36895	-7.59%	0.0177	✗	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.399228	+0.31%	0.37905	-4.76%	0.0345	✗	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.423442	+0.06%	0.38865	-8.16%	0.0590	✗	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.407545	+0.28%	0.3924	-3.44%	0.0257	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.402369	+0.55%	0.38275	-4.35%	0.0617	✗	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.396798	+0.67%	0.3848	-2.37%	0.0216	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.404721	+0.56%	0.395	-1.85%	0.0046	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.412745	+0.50%	0.39925	-2.79%	0.0152	✗	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.414674	+0.58%	0.398	-3.47%	0.0193	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.424317	+0.61%	0.4232	+0.34%	0.0106	✗	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.431441	+0.37%	0.4064	-5.46%	0.0352	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.401731	+2.09%	0.40015	+1.69%	0.0599	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.467402	-0.05%	0.39415	-15.72%	0.0780	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.471651	-0.31%	0.40245	-14.93%	0.0606	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.476527	-0.47%	0.4107	-14.22%	0.0268	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.461675	-0.03%	0.4123	-10.72%	0.0207	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.465389	-0.17%	0.42175	-9.53%	0.0377	✗	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.500912	-0.93%	0.42985	-14.98%	0.0322	✗	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.503531	-1.00%	0.3935	-22.63%	0.0652	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.529487	-1.22%	0.46765	-12.75%	0.0872	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.561928	-1.54%	0.4731	-17.10%	0.0034	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.556588	-1.56%	0.4788	-15.32%	0.0288	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.553522	-1.54%	0.4618	-17.86%	0.0544	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.57443	-1.77%	0.4662	-20.28%	0.0763	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.577715	-1.95%	0.5056	-14.19%	0.0683	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.569747	-1.73%	0.5086	-12.28%	0.0538	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.582989	-1.90%	0.536	-9.81%	0.0817	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.54358	-1.58%	0.5707	+3.33%	0.0394	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.598114	-2.01%	0.5654	-7.37%	0.0105	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.57569	-1.44%	0.5622	-3.75%	0.0529	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.593323	-1.43%	0.5848	-2.84%	0.0485	✗	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.609555	-1.51%	0.5892	-4.80%	0.0286	✗	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.575352	-1.16%	0.5798	-0.40%	0.0713	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.572341	-0.98%	0.5943	+2.82%	0.1171	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.584403	-1.32%	0.5523	-6.74%	0.0201	✗	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.547139	-1.38%	0.6104	+10.02%	0.0949	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.560681	-1.46%	0.5841	+2.65%	0.0112	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.572343	-1.61%	0.6019	+3.47%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.56949	-1.80%	0.6189	+6.73%	0.0267	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.575196	-2.01%	0.5821	-0.83%	0.0384	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.558741	-1.51%	0.578	+1.89%	0.0395	✓	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.586035	-2.13%	0.5922	-1.10%	0.0107	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.550089	-1.70%	0.5548	-0.86%	0.0432	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.533671	-1.86%	0.569	+4.63%	0.0724	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.522283	-1.84%	0.5817	+9.32%	0.1107	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.518563	-1.86%	0.5799	+9.75%	0.1043	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.498101	-1.62%	0.587	+15.94%	0.1338	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.486215	-1.74%	0.5673	+14.65%	0.1039	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.5072	-1.99%	0.5988	+15.71%	0.0969	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.486072	-1.04%	0.5596	+13.93%	0.0534	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.494463	-1.07%	0.5438	+8.80%	0.0479	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.480543	-0.88%	0.5321	+9.76%	0.0658	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.470062	-1.12%	0.5284	+11.15%	0.0828	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.443087	-0.21%	0.5063	+14.03%	0.1132	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.443482	-0.03%	0.4948	+11.54%	0.1109	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.444248	+0.03%	0.5175	+16.53%	0.1400	✓	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.4433	+0.09%	0.4912	+10.91%	0.1215	✓	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.439299	+0.11%	0.4998	+13.90%	0.1390	✓	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.451832	+0.05%	0.4848	+7.35%	0.0773	✓	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.443777	+0.09%	0.4754	+7.22%	0.0795	✓	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.43109	+0.09%	0.444	+3.09%	0.0063	✓	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.441284	+0.04%	0.4436	+0.57%	0.0137	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.460733	-0.04%	0.4441	-3.65%	0.0311	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.461563	-0.07%	0.4429	-4.11%	0.0701	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.477315	-0.12%	0.4388	-8.18%	0.0904	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.500356	-0.25%	0.4516	-9.97%	0.0773	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.491024	-0.24%	0.4434	-9.91%	0.0734	✓	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.5039	-0.45%	0.4307	-14.92%	0.0638	✓	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.49254	-0.24%	0.4411	-10.65%	0.0338	✓	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.497282	-0.24%	0.4609	-7.54%	0.0131	✓	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.491374	-0.27%	0.4619	-6.25%	0.0053	✓	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.472521	-0.19%	0.4779	+0.95%	0.0407	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.479129	-0.22%	0.5016	+4.46%	0.0327	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.476828	-0.20%	0.4922	+3.01%	0.0194	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.494379	-0.27%	0.5062	+2.12%	0.0178	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.501435	-0.27%	0.4937	-1.81%	0.0027	✓	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.484916	-0.16%	0.4985	+2.64%	0.0098	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.469733	-0.04%	0.4927	+4.85%	0.0135	✓	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.482977	-0.16%	0.4734	-2.14%	0.0205	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.491687	-0.21%	0.4802	-2.54%	0.0017	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.503478	-0.25%	0.4778	-5.34%	0.0304	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.508831	-0.33%	0.4957	-2.90%	0.0369	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.508192	-0.33%	0.5028	-1.39%	0.0524	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.507219	-0.21%	0.4857	-4.45%	0.1023	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.503252	-0.20%	0.4699	-6.81%	0.0384	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.488545	-0.03%	0.48375	-1.01%	0.0630	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.487257	+0.20%	0.4927	+1.32%	0.0838	✗	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.498215	+0.03%	0.50475	+1.35%	0.0770	✗	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.507588	-0.05%	0.5105	+0.52%	0.0672	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.531598	-0.54%	0.5099	-4.60%	0.0261	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.541762	-0.69%	0.5083	-6.83%	0.0249	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.525986	-0.66%	0.50425	-4.77%	0.0188	✗	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.546954	-0.80%	0.4887	-11.36%	0.0044	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.567006	-1.01%	0.4863	-15.10%	0.0196	✗	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.550817	-0.92%	0.49805	-10.41%	0.0497	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.56125	-1.08%	0.50785	-10.49%	0.1133	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.577297	-1.08%	0.5345	-8.41%	0.0828	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.586334	-1.15%	0.54555	-8.02%	0.0841	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.617386	-1.52%	0.5295	-15.54%	0.0560	✗	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.619087	-1.34%	0.55135	-12.14%	0.0445	✗	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.638305	-1.92%	0.5728	-11.99%	0.0010	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.674974	-3.12%	0.55595	-20.20%	0.0594	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.587697	-1.84%	0.56735	-5.24%	0.0112	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.533753	-0.27%	0.5836	+9.04%	0.1227	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.518399	-0.05%	0.59315	+14.36%	0.1114	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.532772	+0.03%	0.6269	+17.71%	0.1715	✓	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.580174	+0.02%	0.6275	+8.18%	0.1652	✓	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.578487	+0.03%	0.6508	+12.54%	0.2352	✓	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.580425	+0.03%	0.6967	+20.07%	0.2774	✓	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.565462	+0.05%	0.5987	+5.93%	0.1648	✓	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.589543	-0.04%	0.5352	-9.26%	0.0048	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.59164	+0.02%	0.51865	-12.32%	0.0443	✓	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.599935	-0.06%	0.5326	-11.28%	0.0064	✓	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.613003	-0.24%	0.58005	-5.60%	0.0035	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.60311	-0.44%	0.5783	-4.54%	0.0176	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.600008	-0.56%	0.58025	-3.84%	0.0109	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.590354	-0.66%	0.5652	-4.89%	0.0159	✓	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.578592	-0.71%	0.5898	+1.21%	0.0185	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.581852	-0.74%	0.5915	+0.90%	0.0525	✓	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.592562	-0.96%	0.6003	+0.33%	0.0407	✓	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.591286	-0.93%	0.61445	+2.95%	0.0501	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.581639	-0.85%	0.6058	+3.27%	0.0277	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.573058	-0.81%	0.6034	+4.44%	0.0187	✓	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.590611	-0.96%	0.59425	-0.35%	0.0232	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.601855	-1.08%	0.58275	-4.22%	0.0168	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.6216	-1.16%	0.5862	-6.79%	0.0123	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.649718	-1.26%	0.5983	-9.07%	0.0133	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.622784	-1.33%	0.59685	-5.43%	0.0504	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.572917	-1.26%	0.5866	+1.10%	0.0755	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.554327	-1.66%	0.57775	+2.49%	0.1389	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.667861	-1.47%	0.59635	-12.02%	0.0534	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.676532	-1.37%	0.6084	-11.31%	0.0456	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.667966	-1.69%	0.6289	-7.44%	0.0405	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.708723	-1.18%	0.658	-8.25%	0.0368	✗	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.706309	-1.17%	0.63115	-11.68%	0.0120	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.687396	-0.89%	0.5802	-16.35%	0.0279	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.712334	-0.97%	0.5637	-21.63%	0.1223	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.705087	-1.03%	0.67785	-4.85%	0.0522	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.695134	-1.13%	0.68595	-2.44%	0.0689	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.661365	-1.09%	0.67945	+1.62%	0.0633	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.662356	-1.10%	0.7172	+7.09%	0.0485	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.666685	-1.05%	0.71465	+6.07%	0.0772	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.663533	-1.04%	0.6936	+3.45%	0.1279	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.672664	-1.12%	0.7193	+5.73%	0.1036	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.64968	-1.17%	0.7124	+8.37%	0.0655	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.689478	-1.24%	0.7031	+0.71%	0.0518	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.690414	-1.31%	0.66865	-4.42%	0.0606	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.689486	-1.37%	0.6697	-4.20%	0.0514	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.739992	-1.39%	0.67375	-10.21%	0.0530	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.749877	-1.44%	0.6705	-11.87%	0.0301	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.74448	-1.50%	0.6803	-10.00%	0.0092	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.779594	-1.55%	0.6574	-16.98%	0.0629	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.