XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s9

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1149

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0384

actual -0.0280

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.295429	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.294825	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.292044	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.280933	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.281125	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.281568	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.294707	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.292274	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.289493	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.304422	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.286393	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.307666	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.286826	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.285338	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.276345	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.299714	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.321195	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.325063	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.320236	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.310807	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.30552	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.315567	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.305306	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.301503	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.301863	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.310097	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.317361	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.320851	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.321565	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.316931	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.339796	-2.23%	0.31645	-8.95%	0.0471	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.334563	-1.52%	0.31537	-7.17%	0.0277	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.33425	-4.42%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0919	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.344187	-6.21%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1444	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.285972	-3.23%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0333	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.24633	-3.28%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1329	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.245452	-3.22%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1793	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.241554	-3.17%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1671	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.265297	-2.77%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1096	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.271961	-4.14%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.0885	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.257904	-2.96%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.1007	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.245001	-2.32%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1915	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.246182	-2.78%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1141	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.255793	-2.99%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0984	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.24455	-2.04%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1239	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.233519	-0.70%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2349	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.240288	-0.25%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2584	✗	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.238305	-0.22%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2677	✗	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.230378	+0.04%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2732	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.230428	+0.78%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2904	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.2163	-0.70%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2736	✗	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.213281	-0.51%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.3146	✗	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.2132	+0.16%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.3249	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.211545	+0.30%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.3048	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.221166	+0.69%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2757	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.221959	+0.57%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2789	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.234317	+1.51%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2823	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.2306	+1.16%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2953	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.226855	+1.44%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2971	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.233947	+1.66%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.2532	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.237375	+0.98%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2643	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.234359	+0.83%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.2394	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.244052	+1.18%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.3199	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.218502	-1.39%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.4002	✗	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.207612	-3.31%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1753	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.190343	-4.88%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0978	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.189571	-4.92%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0964	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.184993	-5.03%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0820	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.187944	-5.05%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1202	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.186807	-4.96%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1838	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.187122	-4.88%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1175	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.185083	-4.74%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0713	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.185355	-4.71%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0943	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.188858	-4.88%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0964	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.191931	-5.10%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0391	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.196772	-5.41%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0542	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.190866	-5.25%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0203	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.190076	-5.31%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0277	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.186147	-5.36%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0370	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.187337	-5.41%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.0849	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.19191	-5.65%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1125	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.18893	-5.62%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1158	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.187898	-5.45%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1476	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.190258	-5.39%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1542	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.195081	-5.06%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1145	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.19472	-4.58%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1136	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.198401	-4.12%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1244	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.199622	-3.75%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1281	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.216095	-3.19%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1796	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.216992	-3.03%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1783	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.221922	-2.78%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1648	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.229768	-2.32%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1827	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.22358	-1.66%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1229	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.225734	-1.27%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1277	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.224346	-1.68%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1154	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.219459	-1.74%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0923	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.221268	-1.79%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.0983	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.217699	-2.06%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.0916	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.215793	-2.12%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0723	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.222383	-2.27%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.0918	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.225924	-2.57%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1100	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.214215	-2.91%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1191	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.220245	-2.92%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1203	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.223751	-3.08%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1220	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.228136	-3.25%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1331	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.227524	-3.35%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1205	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.232687	-3.68%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.1928	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.243868	-4.06%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2116	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.240928	-3.86%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2138	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.242582	-4.39%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2114	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.229955	-3.83%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1297	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.234383	-4.46%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.1755	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.207979	-3.00%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.0678	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.203397	-3.03%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0619	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.196336	-2.98%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0627	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.205146	-3.11%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.0694	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.203798	-3.13%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0602	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.205859	-3.19%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0576	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.208863	-3.30%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0247	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.205738	-3.30%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0050	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.207964	-3.30%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0391	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.213493	-3.39%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0554	✗	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.220277	-3.51%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0040	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.220795	-3.57%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0201	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.228135	-3.78%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0162	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.23452	-4.09%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.0694	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.222546	-3.68%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0202	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.235344	-3.99%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0479	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.235321	-3.87%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0345	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.232365	-3.71%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0041	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.230636	-3.72%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0169	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.229211	-3.79%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0019	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.225244	-3.76%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0039	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.225438	-3.83%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0203	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.219106	-3.61%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0279	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.228436	-3.93%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0047	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.23543	-4.17%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0398	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.235212	-4.19%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0772	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.23473	-3.98%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0118	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.233689	-3.93%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0390	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.263821	-5.11%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.0875	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.280278	-5.44%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1104	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.279265	-5.11%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.1843	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.301775	-5.10%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2013	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.311589	-4.99%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2176	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.314834	-5.20%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2131	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.291491	-4.32%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1373	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.296586	-4.27%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1500	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.305836	-4.01%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1578	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.319956	-3.55%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.1984	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.324176	-2.90%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.1915	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.325477	-2.90%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.1966	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.333954	-3.26%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2160	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.322655	-3.56%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1834	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.339157	-3.00%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.1898	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.331655	-2.74%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1259	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.324841	-2.73%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1625	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.331858	-2.95%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1443	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.329426	-3.15%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1495	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.345058	-3.45%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2127	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.35162	-3.65%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2179	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.365963	-3.16%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2223	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.359668	-4.06%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2325	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.373044	-3.09%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2577	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.386485	-2.73%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.2834	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.390349	-2.55%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2464	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.375835	-2.83%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2135	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.381745	-3.23%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2400	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.365258	-2.71%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1685	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.374617	-2.20%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.1910	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.366612	-2.24%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0586	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.353224	-2.40%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0238	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.351169	-3.21%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0300	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.3538	-3.41%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0184	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.353733	-3.38%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0208	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.350314	-4.10%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0225	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.355989	-4.06%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1264	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.37122	-3.55%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1466	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.36838	-2.65%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1083	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.363723	-1.88%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0579	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.361192	-2.24%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0739	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.363772	-2.30%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0760	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.366935	-2.01%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0415	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.364722	-2.05%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0530	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.356755	-2.70%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0346	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.355409	-3.00%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0611	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.3419	-3.45%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0611	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.355011	-2.76%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0526	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.370111	-2.56%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.0882	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.363701	-3.44%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0542	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.349397	-3.19%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0088	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.335293	-3.15%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0355	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.343221	-3.32%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0292	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.327455	-4.22%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0385	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.340109	-3.87%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0489	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.344153	-4.06%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0386	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.337436	-4.50%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0257	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.335172	-4.75%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0482	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.343128	-5.00%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0115	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.324531	-5.01%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0064	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.326921	-5.19%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0141	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.330528	-5.24%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.0744	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.330999	-5.36%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0627	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.324703	-5.20%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0363	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.332804	-5.40%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0391	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.333966	-5.23%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0193	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.330053	-4.83%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0067	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.324541	-4.49%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0271	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.331512	-4.21%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0192	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.335693	-4.01%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0686	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.359036	-2.96%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0902	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.38186	-1.81%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.1061	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.391657	-2.11%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1472	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.387934	-1.43%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1377	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.369621	-2.37%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1242	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.381838	-1.71%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1356	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.399271	-1.01%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1650	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.386451	-0.76%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1346	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.393013	-0.10%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.1109	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.400597	+0.96%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0779	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.405687	+1.24%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.1163	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.390463	+0.92%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.1384	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.380517	+0.64%	0.355	-6.11%	0.1130	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.376097	+0.75%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0927	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.37088	+0.76%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0825	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.367867	+0.79%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0640	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.366333	+0.86%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0619	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.364735	+0.40%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0740	✗	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.357534	-0.44%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0770	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.362282	+0.16%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0825	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.372026	+0.30%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0892	✗	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.386035	+0.43%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0487	✗	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.390892	+0.07%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0278	✗	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.376912	+0.19%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0736	✗	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.376727	+0.25%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0575	✗	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.368583	-0.68%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0832	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.382837	-0.43%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0953	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.380327	-0.78%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.1142	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.388843	-0.81%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0983	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.392202	-0.96%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0894	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.362333	-1.03%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0512	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.365549	-0.92%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.376243	-0.74%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0188	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.384132	-1.16%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0184	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.38685	-1.41%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0195	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.378064	-1.22%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0015	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.379171	-1.46%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0018	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.387644	-1.86%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.390596	-2.17%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0271	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.388776	-2.32%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0523	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.408142	-3.56%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0894	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.394037	-3.04%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0753	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.389107	-2.76%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1034	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.383323	-2.75%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0835	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.388916	-3.36%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0800	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.394502	-3.94%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0792	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.39525	-4.14%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.0800	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.403282	-4.38%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.0924	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.408238	-5.03%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0615	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.38243	-2.81%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1284	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.44041	-5.82%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.0967	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.445419	-5.85%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.0801	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.45195	-5.61%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0622	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.438171	-5.12%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0313	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.442928	-4.99%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0218	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.479143	-5.23%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0031	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.481644	-5.30%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0189	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.503015	-6.15%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0484	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.533148	-6.58%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0096	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.528292	-6.56%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0121	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.526046	-6.43%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0403	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.543364	-7.09%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0458	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.546069	-7.32%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0705	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.537776	-7.25%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0361	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.549813	-7.49%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0492	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.512596	-7.19%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0081	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.561533	-8.01%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0594	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.541484	-7.30%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0043	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.55979	-7.00%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0276	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.574929	-7.10%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0528	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.542626	-6.78%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0538	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.542285	-6.18%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0459	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.551544	-6.87%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0419	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.516263	-6.95%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0303	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.531618	-6.57%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0021	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.54687	-5.99%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.548695	-5.38%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0193	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.559026	-4.77%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0001	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.54562	-3.82%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0753	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.577875	-3.49%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.0974	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.545353	-2.55%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1469	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.528448	-2.82%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1194	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.517117	-2.82%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.0931	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.513245	-2.87%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.0843	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.492454	-2.73%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.0896	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.479746	-3.04%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.0995	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.499873	-3.41%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0704	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.476824	-2.93%	0.536	+9.12%	0.0897	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.485225	-2.92%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1459	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.470795	-2.89%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1773	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.458965	-3.46%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2125	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.431753	-2.76%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2789	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.430988	-2.84%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2887	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.430488	-3.07%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2713	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.428584	-3.23%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3165	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.424073	-3.36%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2685	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.434589	-3.77%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2849	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.426373	-3.84%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2435	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.414851	-3.68%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2467	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.423064	-4.09%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2599	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.438983	-4.76%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1834	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.43977	-4.79%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1377	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.452583	-5.30%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1763	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.472571	-5.79%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1484	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.464326	-5.66%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1956	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.476691	-5.83%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.2268	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.466766	-5.46%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2365	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.471577	-5.40%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2402	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.465344	-5.55%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1900	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.448977	-5.16%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2455	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.454883	-5.27%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1473	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.453013	-5.19%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1544	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.470159	-5.15%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1432	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.476921	-5.15%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1480	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.461507	-4.98%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.1266	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.445466	-5.20%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0877	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.459356	-5.04%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1474	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.467476	-5.12%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.1025	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.478034	-5.29%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0875	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.482982	-5.39%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0535	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.481899	-5.49%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0324	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.478958	-5.77%	0.444	-12.65%	0.0735	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.475573	-5.69%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0597	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.461267	-5.61%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0473	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.459072	-5.60%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.0965	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.468536	-5.93%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1214	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.478638	-5.75%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.0859	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.502423	-6.00%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.0714	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.512128	-6.13%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0537	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.497334	-6.07%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0251	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.51766	-6.11%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0163	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.536238	-6.38%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0051	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.52122	-6.25%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0124	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.53223	-6.19%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0902	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.547392	-6.20%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0733	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.557481	-6.01%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0658	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.589767	-5.92%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0328	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.59001	-5.97%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0160	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.605741	-6.92%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0167	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.641519	-7.92%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.1021	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.556473	-7.05%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0345	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.508862	-4.92%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1689	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.493122	-4.92%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1550	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.510264	-4.19%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1983	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.555833	-4.18%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1704	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.554166	-4.17%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2253	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.555923	-4.19%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1707	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.541836	-4.13%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1878	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.564922	-4.22%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1918	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.568664	-3.86%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2418	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.576135	-4.03%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2606	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.588342	-4.25%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.3011	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.579002	-4.42%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2564	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.576371	-4.48%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2468	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.567141	-4.56%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2851	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.555505	-4.68%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2846	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.558802	-4.67%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2819	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.567747	-5.11%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2647	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.566745	-5.04%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2255	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.558211	-4.84%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.2021	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.550654	-4.69%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.2058	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.56617	-5.06%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.2193	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.575254	-5.45%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2310	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.592364	-5.81%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1682	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.618108	-6.06%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1513	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.59531	-5.68%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1764	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.552248	-4.82%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1971	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.53752	-4.64%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2797	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.637223	-5.99%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2673	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.644292	-6.07%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.3294	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.638788	-5.98%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1919	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.673168	-6.14%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0287	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.672249	-5.93%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0194	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.654992	-5.57%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0105	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.678604	-5.66%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0143	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.671427	-5.75%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0196	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.66169	-5.89%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0166	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.63001	-5.78%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0334	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.630566	-5.84%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0098	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.633275	-6.01%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0779	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.62936	-6.14%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1088	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.638159	-6.19%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1057	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.61743	-6.08%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0562	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.656811	-5.92%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0528	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.658432	-5.88%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0756	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.658447	-5.81%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0495	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.704863	-6.07%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.0912	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.713622	-6.21%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1067	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.709559	-6.12%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0778	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.741163	-6.40%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.1008	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.