OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s9

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,770

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0732

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0068

actual -0.0149

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.131675	0.129708	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.127948	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.122573	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.123638	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.127254	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.135867	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.135353	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.138357	-1.71%	0.131675	-6.45%	0.0717	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.154057	-2.74%	0.12975	-18.09%	0.1686	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.12865	-1.53%	0.124265	-4.88%	0.0364	✓	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.140763	-2.00%	0.125295	-12.77%	0.0878	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.136122	-2.18%	0.129015	-7.28%	0.0274	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.129634	-2.04%	0.13792	+4.22%	0.0799	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.1168	-1.81%	0.13735	+15.47%	0.1548	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.120328	-2.17%	0.14076	+14.44%	0.1855	✗	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.127203	-2.40%	0.158405	+21.55%	0.2590	✗	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.134973	-2.56%	0.130645	-5.69%	0.0325	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.130688	-2.63%	0.14363	+7.01%	0.1406	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.132096	-3.13%	0.13915	+2.04%	0.0828	✗	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.122957	-3.34%	0.13233	+4.03%	0.1065	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.123512	-3.56%	0.11895	-7.12%	0.0157	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.124411	-3.98%	0.123	-5.07%	0.0066	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.123349	-4.20%	0.130325	+1.22%	0.0225	✓	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.128263	-4.42%	0.138525	+3.22%	0.0387	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.142422	-4.64%	0.134225	-10.13%	0.0921	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.137007	-4.75%	0.136365	-5.20%	0.0100	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.138936	-5.12%	0.1272	-13.14%	0.0950	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.126016	-4.10%	0.12807	-2.53%	0.0085	✓	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.118577	-3.48%	0.129565	+5.47%	0.1024	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.129554	-4.24%	0.128755	-4.83%	0.0340	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.122734	-3.70%	0.1342	+5.30%	0.1371	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.11983	-4.24%	0.14935	+19.35%	0.1652	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.116889	-3.90%	0.14384	+18.26%	0.1543	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.116117	-3.69%	0.146435	+21.46%	0.1777	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.101035	+0.13%	0.1314	+30.23%	0.1411	✓	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.096957	+1.24%	0.12285	+28.28%	0.1134	✓	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.095223	+1.72%	0.135295	+44.52%	0.1978	✓	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.103233	+1.00%	0.12745	+24.69%	0.0982	✓	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.096814	+2.22%	0.12514	+32.12%	0.1978	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.098156	+2.57%	0.121635	+27.11%	0.1611	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.098621	+3.24%	0.120565	+26.21%	0.1516	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.09716	+3.59%	0.1009	+7.58%	0.0404	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.103358	+3.93%	0.095765	-3.70%	0.0471	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.109156	+3.66%	0.093615	-11.10%	0.1138	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.114306	+3.49%	0.10221	-7.46%	0.0994	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.114882	+4.25%	0.094715	-14.05%	0.1454	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.112485	+4.56%	0.095695	-11.05%	0.1271	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.103446	+5.41%	0.095525	-2.66%	0.0466	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.107118	+5.86%	0.09379	-7.31%	0.0698	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.102692	+3.49%	0.099445	+0.22%	0.0473	✗	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.098478	+3.47%	0.1053	+10.63%	0.0504	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.097253	+3.96%	0.11045	+18.07%	0.1198	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.088975	+2.97%	0.1102	+27.53%	0.1774	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.091224	+2.86%	0.10758	+21.30%	0.1445	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.092149	+2.31%	0.09814	+8.96%	0.0394	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.099603	+2.45%	0.10119	+4.08%	0.0038	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.100337	+1.35%	0.09923	+0.23%	0.0108	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.102039	+0.54%	0.09518	-6.22%	0.0550	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.107411	-0.31%	0.09355	-13.18%	0.1328	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.110535	-1.47%	0.08641	-22.97%	0.2454	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.107035	-1.74%	0.08869	-18.58%	0.2035	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.105146	-1.87%	0.09007	-15.94%	0.1484	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.096421	-1.61%	0.09722	-0.80%	0.0865	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.088728	-1.37%	0.099	+10.05%	0.0162	✓	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.080797	-1.46%	0.10149	+23.78%	0.0561	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.083015	-1.37%	0.10775	+28.01%	0.0782	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.082196	-1.39%	0.11218	+34.59%	0.1173	✗	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.083621	-1.41%	0.10893	+28.42%	0.0818	✗	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.085103	-1.44%	0.10715	+24.09%	0.0308	✗	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.08728	-1.57%	0.098	+10.52%	0.0133	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.084715	-1.41%	0.08996	+4.70%	0.0233	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.089957	-1.69%	0.08199	-10.39%	0.1091	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.089847	-1.81%	0.08417	-8.01%	0.0734	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.086619	-1.57%	0.08335	-5.28%	0.0085	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.087039	-1.65%	0.08482	-4.16%	0.0024	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.085033	-1.70%	0.08635	-0.17%	0.0436	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.085108	-1.61%	0.08867	+2.51%	0.0533	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.086055	-1.65%	0.085925	-1.80%	0.0162	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.087001	-1.69%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0580	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.087035	-1.66%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0433	✗	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.084751	-1.45%	0.088	+2.33%	0.0171	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.081466	-1.25%	0.0885	+7.27%	0.0507	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.083965	-1.22%	0.0865	+1.76%	0.0012	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.086586	-1.04%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0058	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.088574	-1.03%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0228	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.088725	-0.87%	0.0885	-1.12%	0.0056	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.086854	-0.74%	0.0885	+1.14%	0.0222	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.094944	-0.58%	0.086	-9.95%	0.0728	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.09204	-0.50%	0.0825	-10.81%	0.0876	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.092167	-0.36%	0.085	-8.11%	0.0631	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.092391	-0.12%	0.0875	-5.41%	0.0498	✓	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.096496	-0.00%	0.0895	-7.25%	0.0455	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.098027	+0.03%	0.0895	-8.67%	0.0549	✗	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.094501	+0.00%	0.0875	-7.41%	0.0574	✗	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.094452	-0.05%	0.0955	+1.06%	0.0026	✗	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.095442	-0.06%	0.0925	-3.14%	0.0248	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.09644	-0.06%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0443	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.098433	-0.07%	0.0925	-6.09%	0.0800	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.102416	-0.08%	0.0965	-5.85%	0.0780	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.10145	-0.05%	0.098	-3.45%	0.0555	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.098373	-0.13%	0.0945	-4.06%	0.0835	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.100401	-0.10%	0.0945	-5.97%	0.0743	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.101412	-0.09%	0.0955	-5.91%	0.0761	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.103392	-0.10%	0.0965	-6.76%	0.0652	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.101847	-0.15%	0.0985	-3.43%	0.0432	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.099332	-0.17%	0.1025	+3.02%	0.0091	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.101797	-0.20%	0.1015	-0.49%	0.0296	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.106681	-0.30%	0.0985	-7.94%	0.0516	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.108097	-0.37%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0755	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.107111	-0.36%	0.1015	-5.58%	0.0654	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.106577	-0.40%	0.1035	-3.27%	0.0561	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.098801	-0.20%	0.102	+3.03%	0.0041	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.094834	-0.17%	0.0995	+4.74%	0.0103	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.096731	-0.28%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0303	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.100124	-0.37%	0.107	+6.47%	0.0013	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.099111	-0.39%	0.1085	+9.05%	0.0191	✗	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.100057	-0.44%	0.1075	+6.97%	0.0165	✗	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.104318	-0.65%	0.107	+1.90%	0.0190	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.105182	-0.77%	0.099	-6.60%	0.0924	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.103674	-0.79%	0.095	-9.09%	0.0687	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.100789	-0.70%	0.097	-4.43%	0.0403	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.099749	-0.75%	0.1005	+0.00%	0.0789	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.098769	-0.73%	0.0995	+0.00%	0.0792	✗	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.102508	-0.96%	0.1005	-2.90%	0.0554	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.102505	-0.96%	0.105	+1.45%	0.0857	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.108123	-1.26%	0.106	-3.20%	0.0387	✗	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.107484	-1.39%	0.1045	-4.13%	0.0355	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.106837	-1.53%	0.1015	-6.45%	0.0032	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.106617	-1.74%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0159	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.106238	-1.63%	0.0995	-7.87%	0.0193	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.104853	-1.55%	0.1035	-2.82%	0.0090	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.098602	-0.90%	0.1035	+4.02%	0.0497	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.095447	-0.58%	0.1095	+14.06%	0.1506	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.09059	+0.10%	0.109	+20.44%	0.1273	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.096406	-0.10%	0.1085	+12.44%	0.0438	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.096019	+0.02%	0.1085	+13.02%	0.0613	✓	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.097106	+0.11%	0.108	+11.34%	0.0613	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.094772	+0.82%	0.1065	+13.30%	0.0474	✓	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.098692	+0.71%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0404	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.11154	-0.41%	0.096	-14.29%	0.1458	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.121789	-0.98%	0.0905	-26.42%	0.2515	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.114232	-0.67%	0.0965	-16.09%	0.0741	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.122062	-1.56%	0.096	-22.58%	0.0994	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.116979	-1.28%	0.097	-18.14%	0.0043	✓	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.118926	-1.31%	0.094	-21.99%	0.0071	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.117136	-1.15%	0.098	-17.30%	0.0380	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.11717	-1.12%	0.112	-5.49%	0.1215	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.12232	-1.36%	0.123	-0.81%	0.1757	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.125174	-1.44%	0.115	-9.45%	0.0634	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.12759	-1.47%	0.124	-4.25%	0.0615	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.124315	-1.34%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0032	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.128507	-1.53%	0.1205	-7.66%	0.0229	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.124185	-1.44%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0166	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.130307	-1.66%	0.1185	-10.57%	0.0378	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.12687	-1.65%	0.124	-3.88%	0.0204	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.123297	-1.76%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0420	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.127004	-1.93%	0.1295	+0.00%	0.0153	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.125664	-2.21%	0.126	-1.95%	0.0085	✓	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.129559	-2.22%	0.1305	-1.51%	0.0269	✗	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.133364	-2.30%	0.126	-7.69%	0.0078	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.141195	-2.29%	0.1325	-8.30%	0.0173	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.143078	-2.34%	0.129	-11.95%	0.0792	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.148438	-2.34%	0.1255	-17.43%	0.1190	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.153797	-2.04%	0.1295	-17.52%	0.1101	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.159996	-2.14%	0.1285	-21.41%	0.1576	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.160086	-2.39%	0.1325	-19.21%	0.1559	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.166346	-3.29%	0.1365	-20.64%	0.1832	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.145033	-2.00%	0.1445	-2.36%	0.0172	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.139943	-1.79%	0.1465	+2.81%	0.0721	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.127465	-0.81%	0.152	+18.29%	0.1815	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.123065	-0.75%	0.157	+26.61%	0.2203	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.122065	-0.76%	0.1635	+32.93%	0.2462	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.125017	-0.78%	0.164	+30.16%	0.2463	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.12028	-0.60%	0.172	+42.15%	0.3327	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.119328	-0.97%	0.148	+22.82%	0.1659	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.118285	-1.02%	0.1425	+19.25%	0.1106	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.120518	-0.81%	0.1285	+5.76%	0.0015	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.121815	-0.56%	0.124	+1.22%	0.0162	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.125034	-0.37%	0.123	-1.99%	0.0148	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.124827	-0.54%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0049	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.124774	-0.58%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0415	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.121135	-0.30%	0.1205	-0.82%	0.0227	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.120655	-0.28%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0252	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.122791	-0.57%	0.1215	-1.62%	0.0101	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.122733	-0.62%	0.1225	-0.81%	0.0236	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.119063	-0.78%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0178	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.124686	-0.65%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0210	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.13309	-1.05%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0639	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.130851	-1.24%	0.1215	-8.30%	0.1190	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.118935	-0.47%	0.121	+1.26%	0.0311	✓	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.111093	-0.36%	0.1235	+10.76%	0.0745	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.11601	-0.42%	0.1235	+6.01%	0.0422	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.105758	-0.70%	0.12	+12.68%	0.0787	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.113959	-0.47%	0.1255	+9.61%	0.0569	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.114981	-0.45%	0.1345	+16.45%	0.0961	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.113417	-0.51%	0.1325	+16.23%	0.1046	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.113882	-0.54%	0.1195	+4.37%	0.0090	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.117818	-0.58%	0.1115	-5.91%	0.0896	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.108746	-0.69%	0.1165	+6.39%	0.0164	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.109656	-0.76%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0565	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.109579	-0.83%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0472	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.109562	-0.85%	0.1155	+4.52%	0.0428	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.105682	-0.77%	0.114	+7.04%	0.0025	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.10961	-0.81%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0038	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.109594	-0.82%	0.1185	+7.24%	0.0188	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.104707	-0.75%	0.1095	+3.79%	0.0098	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.100798	-0.69%	0.1105	+8.87%	0.0416	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.101767	-0.72%	0.1105	+7.80%	0.0661	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103271	-0.70%	0.1105	+6.25%	0.0575	✗	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.107756	-0.69%	0.1065	-1.84%	0.0192	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.112823	-0.60%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0306	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.112966	-0.47%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0154	✗	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.112999	-0.44%	0.1055	-7.05%	0.0011	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.113921	-0.51%	0.1015	-11.35%	0.0830	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.117007	-0.42%	0.1025	-12.77%	0.0883	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.123261	-0.19%	0.104	-15.79%	0.1006	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.121389	-0.09%	0.1085	-10.70%	0.0933	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.126578	+0.06%	0.1135	-10.28%	0.1100	✗	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136602	+0.07%	0.1135	-16.85%	0.1312	✗	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.137426	-0.05%	0.1135	-17.45%	0.1274	✓	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.128602	+0.08%	0.1145	-10.89%	0.0352	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.123491	-0.01%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0122	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.122701	-0.24%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0137	✗	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.119412	-0.07%	0.1215	+1.67%	0.0273	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.120857	-0.12%	0.1265	+4.55%	0.0290	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.118438	-0.05%	0.1365	+15.19%	0.0796	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.118412	-0.07%	0.1375	+16.03%	0.0471	✗	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.115032	+0.03%	0.1285	+11.74%	0.0032	✗	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.11731	+0.26%	0.1235	+5.56%	0.0150	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.121327	+0.27%	0.123	+1.65%	0.0332	✗	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125947	+0.36%	0.1195	-4.78%	0.0467	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.129473	+0.37%	0.121	-6.20%	0.0273	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.126336	+0.27%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0923	✗	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.125349	+0.28%	0.1185	-5.20%	0.0491	✗	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121866	+0.30%	0.115	-5.35%	0.0618	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122878	+0.31%	0.117	-4.49%	0.0546	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.120452	+0.38%	0.121	+0.83%	0.0382	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119959	+0.38%	0.1255	+5.02%	0.0179	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.124472	+0.38%	0.129	+4.03%	0.0498	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.118851	+0.72%	0.126	+6.78%	0.0256	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.122308	+0.66%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0591	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.122882	+0.31%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0251	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.12903	+0.41%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0326	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129495	+0.38%	0.12	-6.98%	0.0346	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.14083	+0.59%	0.1195	-14.64%	0.1745	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.165897	+0.54%	0.124	-24.85%	0.3235	✗	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.188	+0.27%	0.118	-37.07%	0.3966	✗	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.190908	+0.21%	0.1215	-36.22%	0.3669	✗	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.189952	+0.24%	0.1225	-35.36%	0.4155	✗	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.197129	+0.07%	0.1285	-34.77%	0.3921	✗	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.189547	+0.29%	0.129	-31.75%	0.3686	✗	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.183615	+0.61%	0.14	-23.29%	0.2867	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.178823	+0.75%	0.165	-7.04%	0.0684	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.183629	+0.62%	0.1875	+2.74%	0.0470	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.189472	+0.52%	0.1905	+1.06%	0.0292	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.191645	+0.60%	0.1895	-0.52%	0.0175	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.197951	+0.74%	0.197	+0.25%	0.0154	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.199449	+0.73%	0.189	-4.55%	0.0203	✗	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.186146	+2.56%	0.1825	+0.55%	0.0987	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.21923	+0.33%	0.1775	-18.76%	0.0665	✗	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.213357	+0.40%	0.1825	-14.12%	0.0102	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.229201	-0.13%	0.1885	-17.86%	0.0083	✗	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.22785	+0.15%	0.1905	-16.26%	0.0244	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.233821	-0.08%	0.1965	-16.03%	0.0566	✗	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.260319	-0.83%	0.198	-24.57%	0.0469	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.26698	-0.93%	0.1815	-32.65%	0.1566	✗	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.297108	-1.29%	0.2185	-27.41%	0.0522	✗	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.297488	-1.33%	0.2125	-29.52%	0.0382	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.293466	-1.36%	0.2295	-22.86%	0.0403	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.28261	-1.36%	0.2275	-20.59%	0.0049	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.29876	-1.56%	0.234	-22.90%	0.0218	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.299187	-1.58%	0.2625	-13.65%	0.0207	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.302077	-1.60%	0.2695	-12.21%	0.0128	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.303502	-1.62%	0.301	-2.43%	0.0043	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.294435	-1.69%	0.3015	+0.67%	0.0076	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.314603	-1.53%	0.2975	-6.89%	0.0301	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.317947	-1.56%	0.2865	-11.30%	0.0375	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.341511	-1.44%	0.3035	-12.41%	0.0014	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.335144	-1.43%	0.304	-10.59%	0.0188	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.336193	-1.41%	0.307	-9.97%	0.0274	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.346899	-1.31%	0.3085	-12.23%	0.0277	✗	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.359363	-2.08%	0.2995	-18.39%	0.0413	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.303818	-1.52%	0.3195	+3.57%	0.0247	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.310811	-1.49%	0.323	+2.38%	0.0131	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.313069	-1.40%	0.3465	+9.13%	0.0131	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.310722	-1.20%	0.34	+8.11%	0.0029	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.310081	-1.09%	0.341	+8.77%	0.0090	✓	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.313913	-0.97%	0.3515	+10.88%	0.0153	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.328395	-1.09%	0.367	+10.54%	0.0736	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.326425	-1.08%	0.3085	-6.52%	0.0054	✓	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.31554	-1.08%	0.3155	-1.10%	0.0145	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.306827	-1.02%	0.3175	+2.42%	0.0395	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.301664	-1.09%	0.3145	+3.11%	0.0284	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.292981	-1.02%	0.3135	+5.91%	0.0131	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.265751	-0.65%	0.317	+18.50%	0.0876	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.27006	-0.53%	0.332	+22.28%	0.0828	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.267488	-0.56%	0.33	+22.68%	0.0536	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.272455	-0.56%	0.319	+16.42%	0.0733	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.276322	-0.60%	0.31	+11.51%	0.0502	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.266328	-0.44%	0.305	+14.02%	0.0741	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.251343	-0.26%	0.296	+17.46%	0.1271	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.262917	-0.22%	0.2675	+1.52%	0.0199	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.269967	-0.20%	0.2715	+0.37%	0.0167	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.270702	-0.11%	0.269	-0.74%	0.0272	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.272318	-0.07%	0.274	+0.55%	0.0237	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.278354	-0.05%	0.278	-0.18%	0.0108	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.279479	-0.01%	0.2675	-4.29%	0.0251	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.260124	+0.05%	0.252	-3.08%	0.0724	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.273144	+0.05%	0.2635	-3.48%	0.0690	✗	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.293546	+0.02%	0.2705	-7.84%	0.0718	✗	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.292408	-0.03%	0.271	-7.35%	0.1263	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.300348	-0.05%	0.2725	-9.32%	0.1083	✓	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.315106	-0.12%	0.2785	-11.73%	0.0787	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.307184	-0.10%	0.2795	-9.11%	0.0437	✓	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.314165	-0.11%	0.26	-17.33%	0.0229	✓	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.322779	-0.22%	0.273	-15.61%	0.0304	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.337141	-0.40%	0.2935	-13.29%	0.0265	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.317618	-0.28%	0.2925	-8.16%	0.0166	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.30418	-0.27%	0.3005	-1.48%	0.0393	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.313226	-0.41%	0.3155	+0.32%	0.0157	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.299502	-0.33%	0.3075	+2.33%	0.0047	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.317518	-0.46%	0.3145	-1.41%	0.0197	✓	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.325695	-0.55%	0.3235	-1.22%	0.0252	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.315033	-0.46%	0.3385	+6.95%	0.0403	✗	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.286702	-0.28%	0.3185	+10.78%	0.0002	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.317073	-0.45%	0.305	-4.24%	0.0396	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.324969	-0.47%	0.3145	-3.68%	0.0041	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.330443	-0.47%	0.3005	-9.49%	0.0582	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.331883	-0.48%	0.319	-4.35%	0.0577	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.32409	-0.43%	0.3275	+0.61%	0.0580	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.323328	-0.36%	0.3165	-2.47%	0.1191	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.317256	-0.39%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0484	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.300596	-0.30%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0302	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.302316	-0.06%	0.3265	+7.93%	0.0818	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.307862	-0.04%	0.332	+7.79%	0.0750	✓	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.35914	-0.38%	0.3335	-7.49%	0.1929	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.37231	-0.58%	0.3255	-13.08%	0.1087	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.377988	-0.66%	0.3245	-14.72%	0.0066	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.362627	-0.51%	0.3185	-12.62%	0.0296	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.379576	-0.63%	0.3015	-21.07%	0.0393	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.386741	-0.71%	0.3025	-22.34%	0.0383	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.375581	-0.64%	0.308	-18.52%	0.0491	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.387641	-0.73%	0.3605	-7.68%	0.2783	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.396501	-0.75%	0.3745	-6.26%	0.2081	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.402878	-0.77%	0.3805	-6.28%	0.2075	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.438695	-1.19%	0.3645	-17.91%	0.1780	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.423762	-0.99%	0.382	-10.75%	0.1705	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.419371	-1.09%	0.3895	-8.14%	0.1055	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.418206	-1.37%	0.378	-10.85%	0.1276	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.363034	-0.54%	0.3905	+6.99%	0.1148	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.37086	-0.57%	0.3995	+7.10%	0.1293	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.343907	-0.32%	0.406	+17.68%	0.1279	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.350954	-0.44%	0.444	+25.96%	0.2498	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.418606	-0.45%	0.428	+1.78%	0.1637	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.415481	-0.36%	0.424	+1.68%	0.2121	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.397559	-0.24%	0.424	+6.40%	0.2186	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.399882	-0.15%	0.365	-8.86%	0.0849	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.439019	-0.34%	0.373	-15.32%	0.0142	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.435105	-0.21%	0.345	-20.87%	0.0514	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.450055	-0.32%	0.3525	-21.93%	0.0632	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.462453	-0.44%	0.4205	-9.47%	0.0005	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.445221	-0.29%	0.417	-6.61%	0.0269	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.447091	-0.31%	0.3985	-11.15%	0.0793	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.43275	-0.17%	0.4005	-7.61%	0.0336	✓	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.419455	-0.01%	0.4405	+5.01%	0.0109	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.432673	-0.19%	0.436	+0.58%	0.1015	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.445535	-0.44%	0.4515	+0.89%	0.0716	✓	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.437613	-0.32%	0.4645	+5.81%	0.0812	✓	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.426912	-0.14%	0.4465	+4.44%	0.0644	✓	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.420132	+0.03%	0.4485	+6.79%	0.0473	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.426536	-0.23%	0.4335	+1.40%	0.0311	✓	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.452926	-0.78%	0.4195	-8.11%	0.0019	✓	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.479675	-1.20%	0.4335	-10.71%	0.0121	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.49505	-1.58%	0.4475	-11.03%	0.0104	✓	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.477494	-2.15%	0.439	-10.04%	0.0644	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.445163	-2.38%	0.4275	-6.25%	0.0457	✗	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.483585	-2.89%	0.42	-15.66%	0.0137	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.698289	-1.30%	0.4275	-39.58%	0.2498	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.723021	-1.16%	0.4565	-37.59%	0.2426	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.702544	-1.33%	0.4855	-31.81%	0.2215	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.749965	-1.13%	0.503	-33.68%	0.2343	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.710348	-1.13%	0.488	-32.08%	0.2278	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.71597	-1.25%	0.456	-37.10%	0.2423	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.734978	-1.35%	0.498	-33.15%	0.2241	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.739043	-1.66%	0.7075	-5.85%	0.0626	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.694483	-1.49%	0.7315	+3.76%	0.0301	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.660107	-1.55%	0.712	+6.19%	0.0602	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.663225	-1.60%	0.7585	+12.54%	0.0551	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.672009	-1.61%	0.7185	+5.20%	0.1507	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.662856	-1.58%	0.725	+7.65%	0.1668	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.659068	-1.63%	0.745	+11.19%	0.1344	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.629671	-1.77%	0.7515	+17.24%	0.0608	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.670035	-1.83%	0.705	+3.30%	0.0595	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.670212	-1.80%	0.6705	-1.76%	0.0436	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.692289	-1.66%	0.674	-4.26%	0.0610	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.767309	-1.50%	0.683	-12.32%	0.0533	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.796847	-1.50%	0.6735	-16.75%	0.0412	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.780978	-1.45%	0.67	-15.46%	0.0274	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.818268	-1.53%	0.641	-22.86%	0.0739	✓	2.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.812	0.800136	-1.46%	0.6825	-15.95%	0.0939	✓	2.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.