OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s9

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,770

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0289

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0016

actual -0.0022

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.131675	0.131269	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.12937	-0.29%	0.131675	+1.48%	0.0224	✗	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.123986	-0.22%	0.12975	+4.41%	0.0239	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.125029	-0.21%	0.124265	-0.82%	0.0028	✓	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.128726	-0.22%	0.125295	-2.88%	0.0394	✓	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.137502	-0.30%	0.129015	-6.46%	0.0614	✓	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.136912	-0.32%	0.13792	+0.41%	0.0196	✗	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.140174	-0.42%	0.13735	-2.42%	0.0313	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.156865	-0.97%	0.14076	-11.14%	0.0791	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.130255	-0.30%	0.158405	+21.25%	0.1709	✗	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.142842	-0.55%	0.130645	-9.04%	0.0560	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.138308	-0.61%	0.14363	+3.22%	0.0248	✗	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.131713	-0.47%	0.13915	+5.15%	0.0487	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.118559	-0.33%	0.13233	+11.25%	0.0955	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.122491	-0.41%	0.11895	-3.29%	0.0028	✓	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.129714	-0.47%	0.123	-5.62%	0.0164	✓	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.137763	-0.55%	0.130325	-5.92%	0.0522	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.133498	-0.54%	0.138525	+3.20%	0.0492	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.135417	-0.69%	0.134225	-1.57%	0.0379	✓	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.126359	-0.66%	0.136365	+7.21%	0.0723	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.127174	-0.70%	0.1272	-0.68%	0.0059	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.128538	-0.79%	0.12807	-1.15%	0.0257	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.127693	-0.83%	0.129565	+0.63%	0.0160	✗	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.132961	-0.92%	0.128755	-4.06%	0.0352	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.147616	-1.16%	0.1342	-10.14%	0.0789	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.142014	-1.27%	0.14935	+3.83%	0.0496	✗	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.144191	-1.53%	0.14384	-1.77%	0.0077	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.130006	-1.06%	0.146435	+11.44%	0.1239	✗	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.121742	-0.90%	0.1314	+6.96%	0.0762	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.133433	-1.38%	0.12285	-9.20%	0.0542	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.125852	-1.25%	0.135295	+6.16%	0.0783	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.12344	-1.36%	0.12745	+1.85%	0.0575	✓	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.12	-1.34%	0.12514	+2.88%	0.0432	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.118991	-1.31%	0.121635	+0.89%	0.0158	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.101004	+0.10%	0.120565	+19.49%	0.1070	✓	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.096063	+0.31%	0.1009	+5.36%	0.0459	✓	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.093969	+0.38%	0.095765	+2.30%	0.0103	✓	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.102426	+0.21%	0.093615	-8.41%	0.0529	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.095125	+0.43%	0.10221	+7.91%	0.0529	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.096141	+0.47%	0.094715	-1.02%	0.0085	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.096032	+0.53%	0.095695	+0.18%	0.0043	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.094309	+0.55%	0.095525	+1.85%	0.0034	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.100037	+0.60%	0.09379	-5.69%	0.0407	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.105882	+0.55%	0.099445	-5.56%	0.0605	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.111002	+0.50%	0.1053	-4.66%	0.0440	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.110841	+0.58%	0.11045	+0.23%	0.0130	✓	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.108249	+0.62%	0.1102	+2.44%	0.0112	✓	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.098843	+0.72%	0.10758	+9.62%	0.0826	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.101939	+0.74%	0.09814	-3.01%	0.0172	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.099592	+0.36%	0.10119	+1.98%	0.0444	✗	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.095489	+0.32%	0.09923	+4.26%	0.0399	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.093933	+0.41%	0.09518	+1.74%	0.0297	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.08665	+0.28%	0.09355	+8.26%	0.0642	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.088911	+0.25%	0.08641	-2.57%	0.0212	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.090216	+0.16%	0.08869	-1.53%	0.0222	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.097314	+0.10%	0.09007	-7.35%	0.0471	✗	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.098954	-0.05%	0.09722	-1.80%	0.0333	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.101222	-0.26%	0.099	-2.45%	0.0286	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.107057	-0.64%	0.10149	-5.81%	0.0476	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.110879	-1.16%	0.10775	-3.95%	0.0449	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.107444	-1.36%	0.11218	+2.98%	0.0343	✗	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.105435	-1.60%	0.10893	+1.66%	0.0494	✗	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.096997	-1.02%	0.10715	+9.34%	0.0294	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.089427	-0.59%	0.098	+8.94%	0.0416	✗	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.081703	-0.35%	0.08996	+9.72%	0.0351	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.08392	-0.30%	0.08199	-2.59%	0.0261	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.083147	-0.24%	0.08417	+0.98%	0.0112	✓	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.084589	-0.27%	0.08335	-1.73%	0.0121	✓	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.086088	-0.30%	0.08482	-1.77%	0.0155	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.088339	-0.37%	0.08635	-2.62%	0.0162	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.085701	-0.26%	0.08867	+3.19%	0.0339	✗	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.09113	-0.40%	0.085925	-6.09%	0.0571	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.09108	-0.46%	0.0915	+0.00%	0.0101	✗	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.087724	-0.31%	0.0915	+3.98%	0.0560	✗	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.088201	-0.34%	0.088	-0.56%	0.0014	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.086205	-0.34%	0.0885	+2.31%	0.0260	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.086228	-0.31%	0.0865	+0.00%	0.0058	✓	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.087198	-0.35%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0031	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.088165	-0.38%	0.0875	-1.13%	0.0156	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.088192	-0.35%	0.0885	+0.00%	0.0053	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.085798	-0.24%	0.0885	+2.91%	0.0315	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.082371	-0.16%	0.086	+4.24%	0.0320	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.084848	-0.18%	0.0825	-2.94%	0.0271	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.087367	-0.15%	0.085	-2.86%	0.0013	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.089356	-0.16%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0334	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.089378	-0.14%	0.0895	+0.00%	0.0006	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.087425	-0.09%	0.0895	+2.29%	0.0211	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.095417	-0.09%	0.0875	-8.38%	0.0633	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.092463	-0.04%	0.0955	+3.24%	0.0177	✗	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.09249	-0.01%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0029	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.092532	+0.03%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0133	✓	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.096543	+0.04%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0288	✗	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.098045	+0.05%	0.0965	-1.53%	0.0102	✗	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.094552	+0.06%	0.098	+3.70%	0.0194	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.094545	+0.05%	0.0945	+0.00%	0.0073	✗	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.095544	+0.05%	0.0945	-1.05%	0.0095	✗	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.096546	+0.05%	0.0955	-1.04%	0.0231	✗	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.098544	+0.04%	0.0965	-2.03%	0.0227	✗	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.102538	+0.04%	0.0985	-3.90%	0.0272	✗	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.101546	+0.05%	0.1025	+0.99%	0.0131	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.098532	+0.03%	0.1015	+3.05%	0.0104	✗	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.100538	+0.04%	0.0985	-1.99%	0.0015	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.101541	+0.04%	0.1005	-0.99%	0.0098	✗	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.103534	+0.03%	0.1015	-1.93%	0.0140	✗	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.102028	+0.03%	0.1035	+1.47%	0.0013	✗	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.099528	+0.03%	0.102	+2.51%	0.0090	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.102019	+0.02%	0.0995	-2.45%	0.0072	✗	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.106981	-0.02%	0.102	-4.67%	0.0368	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.10845	-0.05%	0.107	-1.38%	0.0205	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.107447	-0.05%	0.1085	+0.93%	0.0013	✗	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.106931	-0.06%	0.1075	+0.47%	0.0042	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.099012	+0.01%	0.107	+8.08%	0.0605	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.09503	+0.03%	0.099	+4.21%	0.0155	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.097007	+0.01%	0.095	-2.06%	0.0466	✗	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.100477	-0.02%	0.097	-3.48%	0.0062	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.099478	-0.02%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0021	✓	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.100463	-0.04%	0.0995	-1.00%	0.0013	✓	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.104887	-0.11%	0.1005	-4.29%	0.0415	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.10584	-0.15%	0.105	-0.94%	0.0134	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.104344	-0.15%	0.106	+1.44%	0.0392	✗	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.101406	-0.09%	0.1045	+2.96%	0.0611	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.100408	-0.09%	0.1015	+1.00%	0.0350	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.099425	-0.08%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0024	✓	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.103348	-0.15%	0.0995	-3.86%	0.0211	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.103355	-0.14%	0.1035	+0.00%	0.0114	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.10921	-0.26%	0.1035	-5.48%	0.0644	✓	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.108678	-0.30%	0.1095	+0.46%	0.0359	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.108133	-0.34%	0.109	+0.46%	0.0291	✗	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.108033	-0.43%	0.1085	+0.00%	0.0164	✗	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.10758	-0.39%	0.1085	+0.46%	0.0019	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.106089	-0.39%	0.108	+1.41%	0.0064	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.09938	-0.12%	0.1065	+7.04%	0.0521	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.096008	+0.01%	0.0995	+3.65%	0.0362	✓	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.090666	+0.18%	0.096	+6.08%	0.0162	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.09663	+0.13%	0.0905	-6.22%	0.0609	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.096202	+0.21%	0.0965	+0.52%	0.0301	✓	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.09723	+0.24%	0.096	-1.03%	0.0081	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.094376	+0.40%	0.097	+3.19%	0.0205	✗	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.098367	+0.37%	0.094	-4.08%	0.0418	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.112112	+0.10%	0.098	-12.50%	0.0850	✗	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.12291	-0.07%	0.112	-8.94%	0.0889	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.115056	+0.05%	0.123	+6.96%	0.1157	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.123655	-0.28%	0.115	-7.26%	0.0047	✗	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.118274	-0.19%	0.124	+4.64%	0.0853	✗	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.120263	-0.20%	0.1185	-1.66%	0.0116	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.118312	-0.16%	0.1205	+1.69%	0.0119	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.118313	-0.16%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0039	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.123708	-0.24%	0.1185	-4.44%	0.0306	✓	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.126642	-0.28%	0.124	-2.36%	0.0020	✓	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.129118	-0.29%	0.127	-1.93%	0.0044	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.125679	-0.25%	0.1295	+2.78%	0.0259	✗	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.130086	-0.32%	0.126	-3.45%	0.0365	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.125659	-0.27%	0.1305	+3.57%	0.0206	✗	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.132051	-0.34%	0.126	-4.91%	0.0175	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.128588	-0.32%	0.1325	+2.71%	0.0290	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.125098	-0.32%	0.129	+2.79%	0.0215	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.129032	-0.36%	0.1255	-3.09%	0.0253	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.127984	-0.40%	0.1295	+0.78%	0.0181	✗	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.131968	-0.40%	0.1285	-3.02%	0.0173	✓	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.135928	-0.42%	0.1325	-2.93%	0.0128	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.143864	-0.44%	0.1365	-5.54%	0.0263	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.145818	-0.47%	0.1445	-1.37%	0.0326	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.151242	-0.50%	0.1465	-3.62%	0.0164	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.156198	-0.51%	0.152	-3.18%	0.0115	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.162381	-0.68%	0.157	-3.98%	0.0278	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.162587	-0.86%	0.1635	-0.30%	0.0140	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.169483	-1.46%	0.164	-4.65%	0.0388	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.14672	-0.86%	0.172	+16.22%	0.1566	✗	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.141108	-0.98%	0.148	+3.86%	0.0652	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.127925	-0.45%	0.1425	+10.89%	0.1011	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.123534	-0.38%	0.1285	+3.63%	0.0263	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.122678	-0.26%	0.124	+0.81%	0.0059	✓	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.125624	-0.30%	0.123	-2.38%	0.0195	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.120757	-0.20%	0.126	+4.13%	0.0367	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.1202	-0.25%	0.121	+0.41%	0.0194	✓	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.119212	-0.24%	0.1205	+0.84%	0.0031	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.121315	-0.15%	0.1195	-1.65%	0.0071	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.122352	-0.12%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0076	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.12538	-0.10%	0.1225	-2.39%	0.0052	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.125314	-0.15%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0127	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.125305	-0.16%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0011	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.121419	-0.07%	0.1255	+3.29%	0.0446	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.120933	-0.06%	0.1215	+0.41%	0.0037	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.123361	-0.11%	0.121	-2.02%	0.0459	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.123339	-0.13%	0.1235	+0.00%	0.0057	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.119836	-0.14%	0.1235	+2.92%	0.0001	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.125292	-0.17%	0.12	-4.38%	0.0149	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.133974	-0.39%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0457	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.131896	-0.46%	0.1345	+1.51%	0.0085	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.119373	-0.11%	0.1325	+10.88%	0.0996	✗	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.111459	-0.04%	0.1195	+7.17%	0.0601	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.116418	-0.07%	0.1115	-4.29%	0.0393	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.106413	-0.08%	0.1165	+9.39%	0.0335	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.114424	-0.07%	0.1065	-6.99%	0.0357	✓	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.115423	-0.07%	0.1145	-0.87%	0.0094	✓	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.113915	-0.07%	0.1155	+1.32%	0.0046	✓	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.114403	-0.08%	0.114	-0.44%	0.0146	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.118369	-0.11%	0.1145	-3.38%	0.0204	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.109395	-0.10%	0.1185	+8.22%	0.0325	✗	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.110375	-0.11%	0.1095	-0.90%	0.0056	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.110359	-0.13%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0265	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.110351	-0.13%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0041	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.106391	-0.10%	0.1105	+3.76%	0.0368	✗	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.11036	-0.13%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0156	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.110351	-0.13%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0032	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.1054	-0.09%	0.1105	+4.74%	0.0226	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.101426	-0.07%	0.1055	+3.94%	0.0263	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.102425	-0.07%	0.1015	-0.98%	0.0030	✓	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103925	-0.07%	0.1025	-1.44%	0.0132	✓	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.10842	-0.07%	0.104	-4.15%	0.0016	✓	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.113432	-0.06%	0.1085	-4.41%	0.0038	✓	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.113462	-0.03%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0118	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.113469	-0.03%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0057	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.114451	-0.04%	0.1135	-0.87%	0.0586	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.117465	-0.03%	0.1145	-2.55%	0.0076	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.123505	+0.00%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0238	✗	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.121531	+0.03%	0.1235	+1.65%	0.0067	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.126536	+0.03%	0.1215	-3.95%	0.0189	✗	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136404	-0.07%	0.1265	-7.33%	0.0328	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.137244	-0.19%	0.1365	-0.73%	0.0094	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.128404	-0.07%	0.1375	+7.00%	0.0366	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.123374	-0.10%	0.1285	+4.05%	0.0155	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.122702	-0.24%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0019	✓	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.119332	-0.14%	0.123	+2.93%	0.0236	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.1208	-0.17%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0160	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.118352	-0.12%	0.121	+2.11%	0.0181	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.118377	-0.10%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0241	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114985	-0.01%	0.1185	+3.04%	0.0121	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.117104	+0.09%	0.115	-1.71%	0.0043	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.121083	+0.07%	0.117	-3.31%	0.0199	✗	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125581	+0.06%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0091	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.129043	+0.03%	0.1255	-2.71%	0.0013	✓	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.126057	+0.05%	0.129	+2.38%	0.0511	✗	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.125055	+0.04%	0.126	+0.80%	0.0163	✓	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121597	+0.08%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0292	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122595	+0.08%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0140	✓	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.12013	+0.11%	0.1225	+2.08%	0.0017	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119638	+0.12%	0.12	+0.42%	0.0344	✓	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.124129	+0.10%	0.1195	-3.63%	0.0285	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.118257	+0.22%	0.124	+5.08%	0.0300	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.121751	+0.21%	0.118	-2.88%	0.0202	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.122654	+0.13%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0499	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.128681	+0.14%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0426	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129169	+0.13%	0.1285	-0.39%	0.0046	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.140252	+0.18%	0.129	-7.86%	0.1036	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.165279	+0.17%	0.14	-15.15%	0.1775	✗	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.187664	+0.09%	0.165	-12.00%	0.1078	✗	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.190636	+0.07%	0.1875	-1.57%	0.0108	✓	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.189648	+0.08%	0.1905	+0.53%	0.0032	✓	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.197037	+0.02%	0.1895	-3.81%	0.0197	✗	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.189186	+0.10%	0.197	+4.23%	0.0216	✓	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.182844	+0.19%	0.189	+3.56%	0.0190	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.177906	+0.23%	0.1825	+2.82%	0.0418	✓	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.182881	+0.21%	0.1775	-2.74%	0.0050	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.188864	+0.19%	0.1825	-3.18%	0.0094	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.190919	+0.22%	0.1885	-1.05%	0.0094	✗	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.196987	+0.25%	0.1905	-3.05%	0.0537	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.198493	+0.25%	0.1965	-0.76%	0.0149	✓	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.182606	+0.61%	0.198	+9.09%	0.0921	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.218892	+0.18%	0.1815	-16.93%	0.0679	✓	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.21295	+0.21%	0.2185	+2.82%	0.0885	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.229681	+0.08%	0.2125	-7.41%	0.0089	✗	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.227865	+0.16%	0.2295	+0.88%	0.0320	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.234245	+0.10%	0.2275	-2.78%	0.0116	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.262243	-0.10%	0.234	-10.86%	0.0083	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.269153	-0.13%	0.2625	-2.60%	0.0163	✓	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.300289	-0.24%	0.2695	-10.47%	0.0119	✓	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.300798	-0.23%	0.301	-0.17%	0.0003	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.296816	-0.23%	0.3015	+1.34%	0.0018	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.285916	-0.20%	0.2975	+3.84%	0.0051	✗	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.302721	-0.26%	0.2865	-5.60%	0.0038	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.303219	-0.26%	0.3035	-0.16%	0.0088	✗	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.306179	-0.27%	0.304	-0.98%	0.0074	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.307627	-0.28%	0.307	-0.49%	0.0040	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.298727	-0.26%	0.3085	+3.01%	0.0111	✗	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.31867	-0.26%	0.2995	-6.26%	0.0227	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.322177	-0.25%	0.3195	-1.08%	0.0125	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.345558	-0.27%	0.323	-6.78%	0.0396	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.339102	-0.26%	0.3465	+1.91%	0.0290	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.340008	-0.29%	0.34	-0.29%	0.0015	✓	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.35035	-0.33%	0.341	-2.99%	0.0018	✓	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.364316	-0.73%	0.3515	-4.22%	0.0657	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.307705	-0.26%	0.367	+18.96%	0.0989	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.314671	-0.26%	0.3085	-2.22%	0.0258	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.316673	-0.26%	0.3155	-0.63%	0.0132	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.313792	-0.23%	0.3175	+0.95%	0.0144	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.312832	-0.21%	0.3145	+0.32%	0.0152	✗	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.316382	-0.20%	0.3135	-1.10%	0.0032	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.330963	-0.31%	0.317	-4.52%	0.0133	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.328971	-0.31%	0.332	+0.61%	0.0125	✗	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.318049	-0.30%	0.33	+3.45%	0.0182	✓	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.309148	-0.27%	0.319	+2.90%	0.0101	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.304037	-0.32%	0.31	+1.64%	0.0042	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.295185	-0.28%	0.305	+3.04%	0.0034	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.267222	-0.10%	0.296	+10.65%	0.0728	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.271283	-0.08%	0.2675	-1.47%	0.0076	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.268777	-0.08%	0.2715	+0.93%	0.0206	✓	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.273724	-0.10%	0.269	-1.82%	0.0009	✓	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.277638	-0.13%	0.274	-1.44%	0.0148	✓	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.267342	-0.06%	0.278	+3.93%	0.0271	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.252047	+0.02%	0.2675	+6.15%	0.0566	✓	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.263537	+0.01%	0.252	-4.36%	0.0345	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.270528	+0.01%	0.2635	-2.59%	0.0305	✗	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.271091	+0.03%	0.2705	-0.18%	0.0239	✓	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.272611	+0.04%	0.271	-0.55%	0.0040	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.278615	+0.04%	0.2725	-2.15%	0.0295	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.27963	+0.05%	0.2785	-0.36%	0.0095	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.260214	+0.08%	0.2795	+7.50%	0.0092	✓	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.273213	+0.08%	0.26	-4.76%	0.0316	✗	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.293669	+0.06%	0.273	-6.98%	0.0343	✗	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.292641	+0.05%	0.2935	+0.34%	0.0310	✗	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.300639	+0.05%	0.2925	-2.66%	0.0142	✓	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.315556	+0.02%	0.3005	-4.75%	0.0005	✗	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.307597	+0.03%	0.3155	+2.60%	0.0259	✓	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.31458	+0.03%	0.3075	-2.23%	0.0290	✓	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.323457	-0.01%	0.3145	-2.78%	0.0396	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.338225	-0.08%	0.3235	-4.43%	0.0297	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.318446	-0.02%	0.3385	+6.28%	0.0152	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.305015	+0.00%	0.3185	+4.43%	0.0375	✓	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.314398	-0.03%	0.305	-3.02%	0.0567	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.3005	-0.00%	0.3145	+4.66%	0.0473	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.318851	-0.05%	0.3005	-5.80%	0.0040	✗	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.327238	-0.08%	0.319	-2.60%	0.0052	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.316366	-0.04%	0.3275	+3.48%	0.0142	✓	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.287574	+0.03%	0.3165	+10.09%	0.0249	✗	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.318401	-0.03%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0029	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.326351	-0.05%	0.3185	-2.45%	0.0136	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.33181	-0.06%	0.3265	-1.66%	0.0144	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.333288	-0.06%	0.332	-0.45%	0.0058	✗	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.325382	-0.04%	0.3335	+2.46%	0.0050	✗	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.324466	-0.01%	0.3255	+0.31%	0.0744	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.318499	-0.00%	0.3245	+1.88%	0.0423	✗	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.301648	+0.05%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0179	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.302823	+0.11%	0.3015	-0.33%	0.0605	✗	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.308341	+0.11%	0.3025	-1.79%	0.0088	✗	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.360494	-0.00%	0.308	-14.56%	0.1196	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.374258	-0.06%	0.3605	-3.74%	0.0927	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.380155	-0.09%	0.3745	-1.58%	0.0221	✗	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.364427	-0.02%	0.3805	+4.39%	0.0224	✗	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.381787	-0.06%	0.3645	-4.58%	0.0060	✗	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.389186	-0.08%	0.382	-1.93%	0.0151	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.377799	-0.05%	0.3895	+3.04%	0.0047	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.390125	-0.10%	0.378	-3.20%	0.0997	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.399069	-0.11%	0.3905	-2.25%	0.0289	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.405512	-0.12%	0.3995	-1.60%	0.0194	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.442518	-0.33%	0.406	-8.56%	0.0126	✓	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.427003	-0.23%	0.444	+3.74%	0.0074	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.422833	-0.28%	0.428	+0.94%	0.0491	✓	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.4222	-0.42%	0.424	+0.00%	0.0293	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.364906	-0.03%	0.424	+16.16%	0.1011	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.372828	-0.05%	0.365	-2.14%	0.0424	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.345188	+0.05%	0.373	+8.12%	0.0184	✓	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.352569	+0.02%	0.345	-2.13%	0.1097	✓	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.420222	-0.07%	0.3525	-16.17%	0.0802	✓	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.416825	-0.04%	0.4205	+0.84%	0.0027	✓	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.398512	+0.00%	0.417	+4.64%	0.0335	✓	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.400612	+0.03%	0.3985	-0.50%	0.0354	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.440241	-0.06%	0.4005	-9.08%	0.0538	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.435873	-0.03%	0.4405	+1.03%	0.0790	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.45116	-0.08%	0.436	-3.43%	0.0066	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.463951	-0.12%	0.4515	-2.80%	0.0165	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.446273	-0.05%	0.4645	+4.03%	0.0275	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.448241	-0.06%	0.4465	-0.45%	0.0188	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.43348	-0.00%	0.4485	+3.46%	0.0119	✗	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.419735	+0.06%	0.4335	+3.34%	0.0296	✗	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.433556	+0.01%	0.4195	-3.23%	0.0139	✗	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.447279	-0.05%	0.4335	-3.13%	0.0233	✗	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.439005	+0.00%	0.4475	+1.94%	0.0270	✗	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.427758	+0.06%	0.439	+2.69%	0.0105	✗	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.420441	+0.10%	0.4275	+1.79%	0.0020	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.427756	+0.06%	0.42	-1.75%	0.0252	✓	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.456228	-0.06%	0.4275	-6.35%	0.0016	✓	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.484721	-0.16%	0.4565	-5.97%	0.0061	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.501689	-0.26%	0.4855	-3.48%	0.0188	✗	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.486378	-0.33%	0.503	+3.07%	0.0290	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.454431	-0.34%	0.488	+7.02%	0.0292	✓	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.495683	-0.47%	0.456	-8.43%	0.0319	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.706018	-0.21%	0.498	-29.61%	0.1968	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.730027	-0.20%	0.7075	-3.28%	0.0044	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.710366	-0.23%	0.7315	+2.74%	0.0039	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.756602	-0.25%	0.712	-6.13%	0.0041	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.716961	-0.21%	0.7585	+5.57%	0.0362	✗	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.7232	-0.25%	0.7185	-0.90%	0.0245	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.742509	-0.33%	0.725	-2.68%	0.0262	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.747933	-0.47%	0.745	-0.86%	0.0333	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.702791	-0.31%	0.7515	+6.60%	0.0323	✗	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.668775	-0.26%	0.705	+5.15%	0.0334	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.672201	-0.27%	0.6705	-0.52%	0.0032	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.681188	-0.27%	0.674	-1.32%	0.0539	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.671825	-0.25%	0.683	+1.41%	0.0363	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.668256	-0.26%	0.6735	+0.52%	0.0082	✗	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.63934	-0.26%	0.67	+4.52%	0.0326	✗	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.680578	-0.28%	0.641	-6.08%	0.0335	✗	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.680667	-0.27%	0.6825	+0.00%	0.0260	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.702186	-0.26%	0.6825	-3.05%	0.0131	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.777067	-0.25%	0.704	-9.63%	0.0468	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.806778	-0.27%	0.779	-3.71%	0.0254	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.790355	-0.27%	0.809	+2.08%	0.0221	✗	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.828154	-0.34%	0.7925	-4.63%	0.0148	✓	2.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.812	0.80953	-0.30%	0.831	+2.34%	0.0132	✗	2.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.