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2022-09-10 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2291
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.5%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000404212-7.04%0.00030987-28.73%0.2288✓0.501.8M2022-09-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4123-5.22%1.33-10.74%0.0058✓0.8981k2022-09-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.165495-4.78%0.1447-16.74%0.0732✓0.8324k2022-09-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.5399-4.65%1.403-13.13%0.0129✓1.0943k2022-09-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.44372-4.58%0.40106-13.76%0.0326✓0.93392k2022-09-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.53e-7-4.57%6.21e-7-9.31%0.0103✓0.832.3M2022-09-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3596.0762-4.45%5.909-7.08%0.0340✓0.846.2M2022-09-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.063167-4.12%0.06229-5.45%0.0666✗1.091.4M2022-09-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.251-3.80%1.99-14.96%0.0390✓1.14229k2022-09-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0280.991687-3.53%0.947-7.88%0.0137✓0.442.8M2022-09-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.7376-3.45%5.798-16.91%0.1390✓0.158.6M2022-09-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41537.1612-3.43%6.1857-16.58%0.1299✓0.229.9M2022-09-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.148071-3.41%0.1591+3.78%0.1456✗1.00361k2022-09-17
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018299-3.41%0.01789-5.57%0.0511✗1.006792022-09-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21411.8031-3.36%11.72-4.04%0.0252✓0.4416.0M2022-09-17
FLOWFlownative2.112.0403-3.30%1.839-12.84%0.0093✓1.281.1M2022-09-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.354457-3.29%0.3309-9.71%0.0067✓1.0271k2022-09-17
METISMetisEthereum32.5531.4862-3.27%25.23-22.49%0.0957✓1.71178k2022-09-17
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.380286-3.26%0.3548-9.74%0.0090✓1.067402022-09-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.4968-3.11%16.412+2.61%0.1415✗1.1418.7M2022-09-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.259-3.11%5.91-8.51%0.0255✓0.432.2M2022-09-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.195508-3.02%0.2252+11.71%0.2027✗0.833.2M2022-09-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.665696-2.96%0.621-9.48%0.0118✓0.78116k2022-09-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.5333-2.94%2.19-16.09%0.0973✓0.66262k2022-09-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.551569-2.89%0.516-9.15%0.0122✓1.0763k2022-09-17
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,622.37-2.88%1,396.39-16.41%0.0763✓1.003.4M2022-09-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.2994-2.86%13.21-10.26%0.0037✓1.02925k2022-09-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.876283-2.85%0.8495-5.82%0.0693✗1.3694k2022-09-17
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3477-2.83%1.133-18.31%0.0568✓1.582.8M2022-09-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.4397-2.83%4.009-12.26%0.0359✓0.90289k2022-09-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.050739-2.80%0.0492-5.75%0.0325✗0.86204k2022-09-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.950684-2.79%0.932-4.70%0.0692✗1.211.5M2022-09-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.123843-2.79%0.1045-17.97%0.1189✓0.69195k2022-09-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.9910,150.02-2.79%9,343.58-10.51%0.0199✓1.394.2M2022-09-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.127058-2.79%0.1166-10.79%0.0854✓0.0183k2022-09-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9617.4686-2.74%16.36-8.91%0.0205✓0.61384k2022-09-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.501952-2.72%0.464-10.08%0.0056✓0.997,7812022-09-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.023536-2.71%0.025798+6.64%0.0950✗0.04454k2022-09-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.276438-2.66%0.266-6.34%0.0143✓0.72563k2022-09-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.511092-2.63%0.4808-8.40%0.0122✓0.66444k2022-09-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.4537-2.61%3.732-18.39%0.1392✓0.517.3M2022-09-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.849193-2.60%0.8104-7.05%0.0262✓0.99988k2022-09-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.729632-2.60%0.6797-9.26%0.0294✗1.36210k2022-09-17
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3364-2.59%1.293-5.76%0.0474✗1.09385k2022-09-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.114278-2.58%0.1088-7.25%0.0268✗1.032.5M2022-09-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.304621-2.58%0.291502-6.77%0.0290✗0.99514k2022-09-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.4519-2.54%6.35-4.08%0.0155✓0.432.1M2022-09-17
STXStacksnative0.38460.374897-2.52%0.3564-7.33%0.0297✗1.09335k2022-09-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.34-2.50%4.9164+10.45%0.2367✗1.52129k2022-09-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2338.2589-2.48%34.42-12.26%0.0007✓1.4411.7M2022-09-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9978-2.44%1.9045-6.99%0.0163✓0.871.2M2022-09-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.331864-2.42%0.3183-6.41%0.0357✗1.0582k2022-09-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.06538-2.42%0.0594-11.34%0.0071✓1.21608k2022-09-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.1984-2.39%14.56-6.49%0.0213✓0.871.7M2022-09-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64129.533-2.34%122.08-7.96%0.0228✓1.114.4M2022-09-17
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.7016-2.32%4.38-9.00%0.0028✓1.001.2M2022-09-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007679-2.30%0.00773-1.65%0.0827✗1.03389k2022-09-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.6032-2.27%6.96-10.54%0.0125✓1.03237k2022-09-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.00135-2.23%0.001205-12.75%0.0648✓0.672.3M2022-09-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.8867-2.23%5.727-4.88%0.0035✓0.423.3M2022-09-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.8959-2.22%1.8165-6.31%0.0345✗1.0523k2022-09-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.2171-2.21%1.0832-12.97%0.0079✓1.484.4M2022-09-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1296.9729-2.19%6.285-11.84%0.0418✓0.844.3M2022-09-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.284046-2.17%0.27068-6.77%0.0229✗0.9614k2022-09-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.070417-2.16%0.06385-11.28%0.0882✓0.13389k2022-09-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.112034-2.15%0.1051-8.21%0.0069✓0.77169k2022-09-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.6118-2.12%7.059-9.23%0.0029✓0.9810.0M2022-09-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.2952-2.12%5.4-0.18%0.0501✗0.412.0M2022-09-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.7386-2.12%8.09+2.33%0.1154✗0.9618.0M2022-09-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.203-2.11%3.155-3.58%0.0215✗0.50653k2022-09-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.7192-2.11%9.64-11.96%0.0164✓1.22298k2022-09-17
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010745-2.09%0.012891+17.47%0.2558✗1.006082022-09-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.2977-2.06%1.2443-6.09%0.0249✗0.911.1M2022-09-17
PROPropyEthereum0.730.715012-2.05%0.7-4.11%0.0067✓0.3850k2022-09-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.3061-2.05%3.0761-8.87%0.0012✓0.9619k2022-09-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0482.006-2.05%1.805-11.87%0.0141✓1.6260k2022-09-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.17593-2.04%0.1593-11.30%0.0308✓0.93268k2022-09-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.797201-2.03%0.7528-7.48%0.0040✓0.83584k2022-09-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.8391-2.01%8.49-5.88%0.0076✓0.442.2M2022-09-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.276191-1.99%0.304+7.88%0.1540✗0.7984k2022-09-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4839-1.99%1.46-3.57%0.0649✗1.1071k2022-09-17
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.6335-1.98%1.5518-6.88%0.0251✗1.04241k2022-09-17
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000043682-1.97%0.00004289-3.75%0.0396✗0.792.5M2022-09-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.021151-1.96%0.020559-4.71%0.0270✗0.7512k2022-09-17
HIVEHivenative0.57790.566603-1.95%0.5649-2.25%0.0513✗0.74826k2022-09-17
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0652.0234-1.95%54.2+2.15%0.1293✗1.209,0502022-09-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.063482-1.93%0.062199-3.91%0.0534✗1.001.3M2022-09-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.968492-1.92%0.9111-7.74%0.0224✗1.13899k2022-09-17
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.5456-1.92%6.014-9.89%0.0067✓1.246.9M2022-09-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.3095-1.92%1.1798-11.63%0.0228✓1.111.1M2022-09-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.307988-1.91%0.2713-13.60%0.0517✓1.0292k2022-09-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.037473-1.90%0.03442-9.90%0.0125✓0.9859k2022-09-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.00001303-1.88%0.00001197-9.86%0.0187✓0.90951k2022-09-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050046-1.87%0.042-17.65%0.1059✓0.94546k2022-09-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.1992-1.87%1.179-3.52%0.0527✗0.941.1M2022-09-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4520.0717-1.85%18.48-9.63%0.0037✓1.1718.5M2022-09-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.207705-1.84%0.201-5.01%0.0530✗1.16139k2022-09-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.112597-1.84%0.11336-1.17%0.0680✗0.836.5M2022-09-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.064594-1.83%0.0666+1.22%0.0898✗0.8081k2022-09-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.1833-1.83%2.022-9.08%0.0042✓1.1033k2022-09-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.7558-1.83%2.603-7.27%0.0021✓0.80630k2022-09-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.289568-1.81%0.2704-8.31%0.0010✓0.922.7M2022-09-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.03722-1.79%0.038+0.26%0.0754✗0.747,8252022-09-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.645267-1.79%0.629-4.26%0.0420✗0.92178k2022-09-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.004056-1.79%0.00378-8.47%0.0043✓0.90103k2022-09-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.542148-1.78%0.515-6.70%0.0285✗1.0877k2022-09-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.667998-1.76%0.617-9.26%0.0039✓1.133.7M2022-09-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.009215-1.76%0.00859-8.42%0.0170✓0.723.3M2022-09-17
KSMKusamaHydration52.3251.405-1.75%44.64-14.68%0.0729✓0.93363k2022-09-17
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.131269-1.74%0.1276-4.49%0.0499✗1.061.4M2022-09-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.435666-1.74%0.4523+2.01%0.1211✗1.1381k2022-09-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.159669-1.74%0.1487-8.49%0.0037✓0.921,0012022-09-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7581-1.73%1.609-10.06%0.0260✓0.85627k2022-09-17
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.5621-1.71%14.92-11.45%0.0249✓1.0885k2022-09-17
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.2392-1.70%11.819-12.24%0.0483✓0.8822k2022-09-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.413278-1.69%0.357-15.08%0.0704✓1.03209k2022-09-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.348073-1.69%0.32877-7.15%0.0128✓0.9534k2022-09-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.2884-1.67%1.9947-14.29%0.0568✓1.0913k2022-09-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.141325-1.67%0.13742-4.38%0.0542✗1.12157k2022-09-17
QNTQuantEthereum105.47103.7188-1.66%109.47+3.79%0.1097✗0.763.4M2022-09-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.052-1.65%1.0116-5.43%0.0197✗0.8034k2022-09-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.058827-1.63%0.0563-5.85%0.0206✗0.8881k2022-09-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.6174-1.62%9.254-5.34%0.0291✗0.921.2M2022-09-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006128-1.60%0.006354+2.02%0.0686✗0.4433k2022-09-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.327008-1.59%0.31645-4.77%0.0200✗0.72327k2022-09-17
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.2502-1.59%24.62-11.09%0.0301✓0.976.8M2022-09-17
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.504311-1.58%0.486-5.15%0.0268✗0.8637.9M2022-09-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.146748-1.58%0.1415-5.10%0.0337✗0.95117k2022-09-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.09734-1.58%0.096-2.93%0.0518✗0.89336k2022-09-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.2284-1.57%3.989-7.15%0.0262✓0.442.1M2022-09-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001576-1.56%0.001493-6.75%0.0058✓0.666,5532022-09-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.217371-1.55%0.21-4.89%0.0336✗0.9257k2022-09-17
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.04503-1.54%0.042628-6.80%0.0034✓0.7928k2022-09-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3262.3426-1.54%57.82-8.69%0.0052✓0.9513.5M2022-09-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.9778-1.53%2.735-9.56%0.0202✗1.433.0M2022-09-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.317414-1.52%0.3108-3.57%0.0423✗0.865.9M2022-09-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050037-1.50%0.0511+0.59%0.0940✗0.99234k2022-09-17
DASHDashDash48.7748.0379-1.50%44.59-8.57%0.0045✓0.95328k2022-09-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.115.0335-1.50%4.54-11.15%0.0433✓0.81943k2022-09-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098027-1.48%0.0897-9.85%0.0257✓0.8613k2022-09-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4088-1.48%1.45+1.40%0.0251✗-0.05124k2022-09-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.498441-1.47%0.4774-5.63%0.0375✗1.09384k2022-09-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002869-1.45%0.002846-2.23%0.0545✗0.851.2M2022-09-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.168809-1.45%0.16418-4.15%0.0983✗1.712952022-09-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047206-1.45%0.0461-3.76%0.0415✗0.88132k2022-09-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.102116-1.43%0.0988-4.63%0.0190✗0.712,6892022-09-17
ZECZcashZcash65.3364.4002-1.42%58.71-10.13%0.0060✓1.171.2M2022-09-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0195-1.42%0.9979-3.50%0.0161✗0.512.7M2022-09-17
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.5759-1.41%33.69-3.93%0.0505✗1.0458.3M2022-09-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2929-1.40%3.983-8.52%0.0510✓0.322.2M2022-09-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.97e-7-1.38%8.50e-7-6.59%0.0010✓0.7515k2022-09-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038857-1.38%0.0359-8.88%0.0168✓0.8584k2022-09-17
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.17e-7-1.37%8.40e-7-9.68%0.0315✓0.771.7M2022-09-17
XMRMoneroMonero157.51155.3469-1.37%147.56-6.32%0.0230✗1.011.3M2022-09-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001527-1.37%0.001621+4.72%0.1163✗0.77343k2022-09-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.5677-1.35%4.45-3.89%0.0108✓0.501.3M2022-09-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.045526-1.33%0.04315-6.48%0.0014✓0.7114k2022-09-17
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7491.5219-1.31%81.44-12.18%0.0119✓1.425.6M2022-09-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006218-1.31%0.005888-6.54%0.0039✓0.692,0442022-09-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.926069-1.30%0.865587-7.75%0.0099✓0.7849k2022-09-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.137289-1.30%0.1254-9.85%0.0550✓0.482.9M2022-09-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23654.545-1.25%52.371-5.19%0.0129✗0.73284k2022-09-17
XVGVergenative0.003220.00318-1.24%0.00337+4.66%0.1273✗0.94481k2022-09-17
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.398654-1.24%0.38033-5.78%0.0219✗0.9431k2022-09-17
GTGateEthereum4.3244.2704-1.24%4.2761-1.11%0.0566✗0.75702k2022-09-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,753.00-1.22%1,468.97-17.23%0.0807✓1.30591.2M2022-09-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.227146-1.20%0.1876-18.40%0.1348✓0.7767k2022-09-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005859-1.19%0.00543-8.43%0.0299✓0.63911k2022-09-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6417-1.16%1.489-10.36%0.0425✓0.7544k2022-09-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.025176-1.16%0.02341-8.09%0.0308✗1.412,9582022-09-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.042055-1.13%0.040142-5.63%0.0088✓0.5123k2022-09-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.207658-1.12%0.191-9.05%0.0013✓1.15108k2022-09-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.550226-1.11%0.50943-8.44%0.0130✗1.2239k2022-09-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,420.03-1.07%20,113.37-7.10%0.0107✗1.00473.4M2022-09-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.022807-1.05%0.02103-8.76%0.0201✓0.839.2M2022-09-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.8941-1.04%4.9846+0.79%0.0253✗0.09115k2022-09-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.510655-1.04%0.443-14.15%0.0575✓1.154,5592022-09-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020846-1.02%0.02052-2.56%0.0383✗0.73223k2022-09-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.012934-1.01%0.012503-4.31%0.0110✗0.61929k2022-09-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.012933-0.97%0.01249-4.36%0.0181✗0.72228k2022-09-17
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.842031-0.96%0.8328-2.04%0.0546✗0.8913k2022-09-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.184323-0.95%0.1664-10.59%0.0035✓1.341,5202022-09-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0525.0049-0.93%5.627+11.38%0.2089✗1.246.2M2022-09-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.039415-0.92%0.03601-9.48%0.0345✓0.762,2982022-09-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075293-0.90%0.06678-12.11%0.0380✓1.1125k2022-09-17
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.227229-0.90%0.2267-1.13%0.0600✗0.85503k2022-09-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,555.98-0.81%19,985.60-8.04%0.0062✓0.9413k2022-09-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.068577-0.77%0.0662-4.21%0.0332✗0.936022022-09-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8761-0.74%2.69+42.33%0.3976✗0.5161k2022-09-17
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.064186-0.62%0.062299-3.54%0.0155✗0.62129k2022-09-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.5344+0.37%17.07-2.29%0.0232✓0.681.6M2022-09-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.