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2022-09-07 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2024
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
86.7%
in alpha space · 55.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2317.5433+1.82%18.12+5.17%0.0027✓0.741.7M2022-09-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.14580.14604+0.16%0.1305-10.49%0.1147✗0.0591k2022-09-14
APEApeCoinEthereum4.424.3945-0.58%5.102+15.43%0.0856✗1.356.7M2022-09-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,273.8019,153.05-0.63%20,259.00+5.11%0.0119✗0.9412k2022-09-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064130.063639-0.77%0.06674+4.07%0.0038✓0.936022022-09-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8849-0.79%1.81-4.74%0.0635✓0.4975k2022-09-14
TRXTRONTron0.0618420.061323-0.84%0.061645-0.32%0.0240✓0.62129k2022-09-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012050.011943-0.89%0.01237+2.66%0.0036✓0.67228k2022-09-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.824790.817453-0.89%0.81175-1.58%0.0548✓1.0114k2022-09-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21280.210775-0.95%0.2195+3.15%0.0040✓0.94489k2022-09-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027750.002748-0.96%0.002872+3.50%0.0003✓0.921.2M2022-09-14
ZECZcashZcash59.3758.7636-1.02%61.96+4.36%0.0032✓1.191.3M2022-09-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13530.133896-1.04%0.1399+3.40%0.0044✓1.02128k2022-09-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072080.071326-1.05%0.0709-1.64%0.0620✓1.1825k2022-09-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021450.021223-1.06%0.0206-3.96%0.0672✓0.799.7M2022-09-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,293.5219,087.46-1.07%20,227.77+4.84%0.0107✗1.00485.5M2022-09-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036770.03637-1.09%0.03631-1.25%0.0408✓0.832,4552022-09-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.005570.005505-1.16%0.00561+0.72%0.0117✓0.65995k2022-09-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.152690.150906-1.17%–pending––1.983162022-09-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125550.012404-1.20%0.012183-2.96%0.0500✓0.68929k2022-09-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17870.176524-1.22%0.1637-8.39%0.1390✓1.341,7442022-09-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0560.055309-1.23%0.0582+3.93%0.0072✓0.9381k2022-09-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042880.042344-1.25%0.0431+0.51%0.0177✓0.7514k2022-09-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20230.199737-1.27%0.2119+4.75%0.0118✓1.0057k2022-09-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0416570.041127-1.27%0.040455-2.89%0.0408✓0.5125k2022-09-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05250.051831-1.27%0.0553+5.33%0.0113✓1.13239k2022-09-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.517990.511261-1.30%0.51452-0.67%0.0567✓1.3341k2022-09-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.020558-1.31%0.02042-1.97%0.0443✓0.80295k2022-09-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30550.301482-1.32%0.285-6.71%0.1079✓1.0998k2022-09-14
GTGateEthereum4.00993.9571-1.32%4.3085+7.45%0.0483✗0.78748k2022-09-14
DIADIAEthereum0.373240.368299-1.32%0.38003+1.82%0.0149✓0.9832k2022-09-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.04697-1.32%0.043-9.66%0.1370✓1.03717k2022-09-14
ZENHorizenBase14.9314.7301-1.34%15.1+1.14%0.0286✓1.1388k2022-09-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8797310.867709-1.37%0.870716-1.02%0.0366✓0.8552k2022-09-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.2310.227837-1.37%0.3096+34.03%0.2612✗0.9681k2022-09-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8351.8094-1.40%1.814-1.14%0.0774✓1.6969k2022-09-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.814.7428-1.40%4.67-2.91%0.0560✓0.861.1M2022-09-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19720.194437-1.40%0.1889-4.21%0.0917✓1.33111k2022-09-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024050.02371-1.41%0.02324-3.37%0.0805✓1.282,9582022-09-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,629.921,606.71-1.42%1,639.14+0.57%0.0456✓1.39660.9M2022-09-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.410.404146-1.43%0.431+5.12%0.0146✗1.057,9852022-09-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12980.12794-1.43%0.1252-3.54%0.0473✓0.543.4M2022-09-14
AAVEAaveEthereum87.5586.2936-1.44%83.92-4.15%0.1013✓1.556.0M2022-09-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.296612.1186-1.45%12.0571-1.95%0.0523✓1.0025k2022-09-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058850.005799-1.46%0.005976+1.54%0.0033✓0.702,1192022-09-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.487.3691-1.48%7.08-5.35%0.0939✓1.14276k2022-09-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.059587-1.51%0.0601-0.66%0.0513✓1.27617k2022-09-14
XEMNEMnative0.0425240.04188-1.52%0.042714+0.45%0.0204✓0.8529k2022-09-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4660.458918-1.52%0.4883+4.79%0.0071✓1.16384k2022-09-14
XMRMoneroMonero149.27146.9781-1.54%149.8+0.36%0.0309✓1.061.4M2022-09-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40260.396405-1.54%0.4062+0.89%0.0312✓1.1880k2022-09-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85651.0524-1.55%52.366+0.98%0.0115✓0.78302k2022-09-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9882.9405-1.59%2.719-9.00%0.1511✓1.543.5M2022-09-14
KSMKusamaHydration48.4147.6352-1.60%47.58-1.71%0.0495✓1.02442k2022-09-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9680.952505-1.60%1.0173+5.09%0.0417✗0.512.9M2022-09-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.7045-1.61%19.13+0.63%0.0383✓1.2919.5M2022-09-14
SOLSolanaSolana32.732.1729-1.61%34.12+4.34%0.0047✓1.1461.7M2022-09-14
DASHDashDash44.9144.1837-1.62%45.58+1.49%0.0166✓1.01368k2022-09-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.0963.0454-1.63%3.0963+0.01%0.0325✓1.0419k2022-09-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1166.0159-1.64%6.182+1.08%0.0358✓1.337.2M2022-09-14
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.66e-7-1.64%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0213✓0.801.8M2022-09-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.75e-7-1.65%8.80e-7-1.12%0.0315✓0.7815k2022-09-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.762480.749875-1.65%0.74432-2.38%0.0492✓0.88520k2022-09-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.356.3463-1.66%60.2+5.06%0.0179✗1.0213.1M2022-09-14
ADACardanoCardano0.47880.470819-1.67%0.481+0.46%0.0237✓0.9539.1M2022-09-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.274960.270371-1.67%0.26901-2.16%0.0549✓1.0514k2022-09-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4361.412-1.67%1.466+2.09%0.0184✓1.1873k2022-09-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0362.002-1.67%2.029-0.34%0.0423✓1.1835k2022-09-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2620.257618-1.67%0.268+2.29%0.0031✓0.77581k2022-09-14
QNTQuantEthereum95.7294.1133-1.68%99.05+3.48%0.0102✓0.873.4M2022-09-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4920.483674-1.69%0.443-9.96%0.1469✓1.254,1032022-09-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.28082.2421-1.70%2.0244-11.24%0.1575✓1.1713k2022-09-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.7171.6878-1.70%1.536-10.54%0.1353✓0.8772k2022-09-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6560.644771-1.71%0.632-3.66%0.0614✓0.88151k2022-09-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134480.132165-1.72%0.13632+1.37%0.0261✓1.21175k2022-09-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.511021-1.73%0.508-2.31%0.0614✓1.1777k2022-09-14
XLMStellarStellar0.102970.101182-1.74%0.105209+2.17%0.0006✓0.846.6M2022-09-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012250.000012035-1.75%0.00001219-0.49%0.0327✓0.96898k2022-09-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003812-1.76%0.00389+0.26%0.0266✓0.99123k2022-09-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.494.4111-1.76%4.38-2.45%0.0345✓0.581.3M2022-09-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11920.117094-1.77%0.2045+71.56%0.5081✗1.0524k2022-09-14
XVGVergenative0.003060.003005-1.78%0.00337+10.13%0.0659✗1.03483k2022-09-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0350.034376-1.78%0.0391+11.71%0.0933✗0.757,8592022-09-14
DODODODOEthereum0.12860.126297-1.79%0.1249-2.88%0.0619✓1.071.4M2022-09-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29910.293739-1.79%0.3032+1.37%0.0120✓0.925.8M2022-09-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4766.3593-1.80%6.311-2.55%0.0479✓0.854.5M2022-09-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.461.4337-1.80%1.41-3.42%0.0090✓-0.16124k2022-09-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6320.620596-1.80%0.612-3.16%0.0608✓0.99178k2022-09-14
FLOWFlownative1.8611.8269-1.83%1.868+0.38%0.0428✓1.371.2M2022-09-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6470.635117-1.84%0.628-2.94%0.0667✓1.173.9M2022-09-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060230.059118-1.85%0.06049+0.43%0.0292✓1.101.6M2022-09-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3664.2848-1.86%4.013-8.09%0.0823✓0.352.3M2022-09-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20230.198512-1.87%0.1975-2.37%0.0677✓1.32140k2022-09-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4990.489627-1.88%0.513+2.81%0.0048✓1.0957k2022-09-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27620.270992-1.89%0.2719-1.56%0.0430✓0.982.7M2022-09-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015550.001526-1.89%0.001556+0.06%0.0176✓0.79406k2022-09-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015470.001518-1.89%0.00153-1.10%0.0241✓0.687,6332022-09-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82690.811246-1.89%0.8234-0.42%0.0353✓1.061.1M2022-09-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202660.019879-1.91%0.020693+2.11%0.0015✓0.8213k2022-09-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034520.033858-1.92%0.03442-0.29%0.0319✓1.0259k2022-09-14
FTTFTXEthereum25.9925.49-1.92%25.5-1.89%0.0457✓0.986.8M2022-09-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0934.0138-1.93%3.938-3.79%0.0432✓0.512.1M2022-09-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.65030.637707-1.94%0.6751+3.81%0.0097✓1.41226k2022-09-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.2310.226505-1.95%0.2099-9.13%0.1152✓0.8366k2022-09-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.00530.985616-1.95%1.0171+1.18%0.0096✓0.8737k2022-09-14
XTZTezosTezos1.49011.4607-1.97%1.6104+8.07%0.0436✗1.14241k2022-09-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.153014-1.98%0.1487-4.74%0.0770✓1.021,3092022-09-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.325540.319085-1.98%0.32611+0.18%0.0259✓1.0137k2022-09-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.566-1.99%2.614-0.15%0.0238✓0.90671k2022-09-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.90230.884344-1.99%0.8986-0.41%0.0420✓1.23916k2022-09-14
STXStacksnative0.35110.344058-2.01%0.3522+0.31%0.0322✓1.18365k2022-09-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09510.093189-2.01%0.095-0.11%0.0280✓1.00368k2022-09-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.189.975-2.01%10-1.77%0.0585✓1.29281k2022-09-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0836.9401-2.02%7.458+5.29%0.0207✗1.0818.0M2022-09-14
HIVEHivenative0.52940.518704-2.02%0.5551+4.85%0.0290✗0.82867k2022-09-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008870.00869-2.03%0.0085-4.17%0.0575✓0.753.6M2022-09-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2017.0543-2.04%7.208+0.10%0.0284✓1.0610.2M2022-09-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09880.096786-2.04%0.0953-3.54%0.0506✓0.742,9872022-09-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.2049.0163-2.04%9.368+1.78%0.0073✓0.961.2M2022-09-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0610670.05982-2.04%0.061125+0.09%0.0294✓1.081.4M2022-09-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.101876-2.04%0.1128+8.46%0.0502✗1.092.8M2022-09-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.74421.7083-2.06%1.9379+11.11%0.0805✗0.961.2M2022-09-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.070810.069336-2.08%0.06876-2.90%0.0108✓0.05389k2022-09-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322710.315942-2.10%0.32281+0.03%0.0173✓0.82327k2022-09-14
METISMetisEthereum29.1228.502-2.12%27.58-5.29%0.1193✓1.83190k2022-09-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.305809-2.14%0.3394+8.61%0.0508✗1.1397k2022-09-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2761.2484-2.16%1.257-1.49%0.0505✓1.21429k2022-09-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.168250.164591-2.17%0.16348-2.84%0.0543✓1.01268k2022-09-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1491.124-2.18%1.167+1.57%0.0085✓0.971.1M2022-09-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.7991.7594-2.20%1.664-7.50%0.1009✓0.96604k2022-09-14
COMPCompoundEthereum48.6647.5785-2.22%60.09+23.49%0.1727✗1.299,1802022-09-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06210.060693-2.27%0.0607-2.25%0.0396✓0.8485k2022-09-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.25171.2233-2.27%1.1889-5.02%0.0866✓1.231.1M2022-09-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,334.029,121.17-2.28%9,194.00-1.50%0.0595✓1.434.8M2022-09-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14455.0264-2.29%4.8787-5.17%0.0343✓0.09115k2022-09-14
OPTIMOptimism1.1721.1449-2.31%1.216+3.75%0.0160✓1.612.9M2022-09-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013140.001283-2.36%0.001225-6.79%0.0846✓0.812.5M2022-09-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81051.7678-2.36%1.8088-0.10%0.0301✓1.1223k2022-09-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063030.006154-2.36%0.006325+0.35%0.0063✓0.4541k2022-09-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2834580.276673-2.39%0.293868+3.67%0.0082✓1.10514k2022-09-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.047528-2.41%0.0487+0.00%0.0195✓0.93190k2022-09-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04660.045468-2.43%0.0465-0.21%0.0241✓0.98132k2022-09-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.838.614-2.45%8.42-4.64%0.0474✓0.522.2M2022-09-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.03775-2.45%0.0366-5.43%0.0757✓0.9566k2022-09-14
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105030.010242-2.49%0.011731+11.69%0.0885✗1.004902022-09-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.71115.7538-2.49%119.99+1.08%0.0197✓1.184.4M2022-09-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.1964-2.51%5.33+0.00%0.0018✓0.502.0M2022-09-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.513.1602-2.52%13.31-1.41%0.0414✓1.11971k2022-09-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8114.4326-2.55%14.69-0.81%0.0306✓1.021.7M2022-09-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8525.7026-2.55%5.955+1.76%0.0018✓0.886.6M2022-09-14
XECeCashnative0.000041840.000040764-2.57%0.00004616+10.33%0.0840✗0.852.5M2022-09-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16691.1368-2.58%1.0706-8.25%0.1339✓1.564.6M2022-09-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.84.6743-2.62%4.4848-6.57%0.1452✓2.20129k2022-09-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82650.804653-2.64%0.8515+3.02%0.0129✓1.47103k2022-09-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007640.007436-2.67%0.00805+5.37%0.0261✓1.13389k2022-09-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3410.331668-2.74%0.3366-1.29%0.0359✓1.0773k2022-09-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42110.409541-2.75%0.3776-10.33%0.1363✓1.17215k2022-09-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2341.2001-2.75%1.2286-0.44%0.0217✓0.961.3M2022-09-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2176.0457-2.76%5.739-7.69%0.0765✓0.524.1M2022-09-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.489977-2.76%0.4853-3.69%0.0449✓0.75490k2022-09-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.2736.2373-2.77%39.37+5.63%0.0092✓1.5610.6M2022-09-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.93312.5707-2.80%13.974+8.05%0.0517✗1.1512.5M2022-09-14
PROPropyEthereum0.740.719235-2.81%0.72-2.70%0.0148✓0.3457k2022-09-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.617.093-2.88%16.98-3.52%0.0395✓0.70422k2022-09-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12380.120164-2.94%0.1138-8.08%0.0911✓0.78203k2022-09-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9063.7889-3.00%4.3+10.09%0.0800✗0.98289k2022-09-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9010.873874-3.01%0.917+1.78%0.0127✓1.291.6M2022-09-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19350.187521-3.09%0.1924-0.57%0.0156✓0.873.1M2022-09-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.123.0232-3.10%3.109-0.35%0.0016✓0.56720k2022-09-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4581.4122-3.14%1.387-4.87%0.0740✓1.1851k2022-09-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.416.2079-3.15%6.2-3.28%0.0250✓0.502.1M2022-09-14
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,486.001,437.57-3.26%1,547.05+4.11%0.0261✓1.003.4M2022-09-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.63054.4796-3.26%3.8335-17.21%0.1858✓0.647.3M2022-09-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14170.136756-3.49%0.1482+4.59%0.0288✓1.09489k2022-09-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09730.093873-3.52%0.0914-6.06%0.0735✓0.9910k2022-09-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.1495-3.61%5.87-7.99%0.0705✓0.512.2M2022-09-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.37320.359538-3.66%0.41296+10.65%0.0922✗0.98392k2022-09-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0249370.024005-3.74%0.025957+4.09%0.0726✗0.12454k2022-09-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.63912.1652-3.75%11.172-11.61%0.1123✓0.5716.0M2022-09-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0471.0067-3.85%0.928-11.37%0.1020✓0.432.9M2022-09-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.382.2863-3.94%2.04-14.29%0.1722✓1.23229k2022-09-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11510.11028-4.19%0.1076-6.52%0.0663✓0.88169k2022-09-14
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0174030.016669-4.22%0.017147-1.47%0.0190✓1.001072022-09-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.10e-77.75e-7-4.33%6.58e-7-18.78%0.2053✓0.882.1M2022-09-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.62657.2931-4.37%6-21.33%0.2125✓0.379.8M2022-09-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3477-4.42%1.33-5.67%0.0595✓0.9881k2022-09-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.92856.6158-4.51%5.5438-19.99%0.1894✓0.278.4M2022-09-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3669-4.56%2.35-5.24%0.0437✓0.77262k2022-09-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000438610.000403347-8.04%0.00030041-31.51%0.3291✓0.73825k2022-09-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.