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2022-08-10 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2771
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.7%
in alpha space · 79.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.74.7272+0.58%5.3011+12.79%0.1179✓0.13367k2022-08-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0060780.006097+0.31%0.00675+11.06%0.1146✓0.4951k2022-08-17
TRXTRONTron0.0703070.07038+0.10%0.068126-3.10%0.0166✗0.61192k2022-08-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5206+0.04%1.4-7.89%0.0807✗0.07159k2022-08-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.00000103+0.01%9.70e-7-5.83%0.0399✗0.7722k2022-08-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0712440.071249+0.01%0.080115+12.45%0.1445✓1.041.6M2022-08-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008369-0.02%0.00794-5.14%0.0353✓0.661.6M2022-08-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61340.612986-0.07%0.5401-11.95%0.0970✓1.13318k2022-08-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.228734-0.12%0.217-5.24%0.0199✓1.25703k2022-08-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066340.00662-0.21%0.00652-1.73%0.0038✗0.733,9632022-08-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,919.3023,868.41-0.21%23,298.30-2.60%0.0012✓0.9711k2022-08-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,962.1823,906.97-0.23%23,341.17-2.59%0.0023✗1.00472.7M2022-08-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060522-0.29%0.0708+16.64%0.1897✗1.25339k2022-08-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27160.270742-0.32%0.2913+7.25%0.0990✗0.9865k2022-08-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.77910.7416-0.35%10.256-4.85%0.0196✓1.022.0M2022-08-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.6161.3874-0.36%60.52-1.77%0.0134✗1.0513.7M2022-08-17
FTTFTXEthereum31.3731.2547-0.37%30.11-4.02%0.0130✓0.9310.0M2022-08-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010271-0.38%0.01086+5.33%0.0752✗0.745.5M2022-08-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13240.131882-0.39%0.1209-8.69%0.0643✓0.864,7012022-08-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1259820.125475-0.40%0.121305-3.71%0.0094✓0.937.2M2022-08-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10080.100384-0.41%0.1018+0.99%0.0403✗1.008,4352022-08-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.22511.22-0.42%1.2119-1.08%0.0184✗0.9552k2022-08-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017570.001749-0.44%0.00168-4.38%0.0191✓0.819,0932022-08-17
PROPropyEthereum0.770.766545-0.45%0.78+1.30%0.0295✗0.4686k2022-08-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.32e-7-0.47%6.87e-7+105.84%0.7446✗0.68150k2022-08-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0461.041-0.48%0.909-13.10%0.1213✓0.554.2M2022-08-17
STXStacksnative0.49790.495509-0.48%0.4567-8.27%0.0506✓1.18892k2022-08-17
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.264619-0.52%0.2756+3.61%0.0654✗0.94629k2022-08-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.0752.0639-0.54%2.266+9.20%0.1195✗0.99567k2022-08-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.464290.461787-0.54%0.40986-11.72%0.0918✓1.05127k2022-08-17
XTZTezosTezos1.87331.8629-0.55%1.8847+0.61%0.0417✗1.15513k2022-08-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7342.7186-0.56%3.682+34.67%0.3258✗0.8592k2022-08-17
ADACardanoCardano0.53760.534561-0.57%0.5386+0.19%0.0363✗1.0942.6M2022-08-17
DASHDashDash54.654.2861-0.57%52.87-3.17%0.0001✓1.00552k2022-08-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26490.263316-0.60%0.2535-4.30%0.0107✓1.0491k2022-08-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001240.000012319-0.65%0.00001476+19.03%0.2066✗0.98864k2022-08-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14280.141863-0.66%0.1381-3.29%0.0022✓1.1150k2022-08-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.091297-0.66%0.0793-13.71%0.1175✓0.89130k2022-08-17
XECeCashnative0.000046430.000046122-0.66%0.00004333-6.68%0.0396✓0.871.9M2022-08-17
GTGateEthereum4.93774.9041-0.68%4.8449-1.88%0.0066✓0.71894k2022-08-17
XVGVergenative0.003830.003804-0.68%0.00378-1.31%0.0232✗1.12517k2022-08-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23260.23099-0.69%0.241+3.61%0.0788✗1.39107k2022-08-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07390.073378-0.71%0.0662-10.42%0.0816✓0.81143k2022-08-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.049145-0.72%0.0427-13.74%0.1149✓0.9810k2022-08-17
XMRMoneroMonero167.53166.3073-0.73%168.3+0.46%0.0390✗1.031.2M2022-08-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.4331-0.75%1.36-5.82%0.0234✓1.102.6M2022-08-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7660.760124-0.77%0.672-12.27%0.0881✓1.34137k2022-08-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.125513-0.78%0.1214-4.03%0.0102✓0.88370k2022-08-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052570.052147-0.81%0.05073-3.50%0.0073✓0.7717k2022-08-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.872625-0.84%0.804-8.64%0.0430✓1.484.4M2022-08-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.18140.969-0.85%133.83-5.87%0.0223✓1.135.0M2022-08-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001001-0.86%9.60e-7-4.95%0.0217✓0.786.0M2022-08-17
XEMNEMnative0.0521340.051674-0.88%0.050295-3.53%0.0003✓1.0237k2022-08-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.336994-0.88%0.303-10.88%0.0841✓0.851.1M2022-08-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.054309-0.90%0.0509-7.12%0.0375✓1.04248k2022-08-17
NANOnanopayBase1.07221.0625-0.90%0.97823-8.76%0.0616✓0.8058k2022-08-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36440.361054-0.92%0.3408-6.48%0.0318✓0.998.4M2022-08-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.19474.1557-0.93%4.012-4.36%0.0083✓1.0253k2022-08-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.259164-0.93%0.2613-0.11%0.0086✓0.0135k2022-08-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032490.032186-0.94%0.0299-7.97%0.0398✓1.291,7322022-08-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.06350.062903-0.94%0.063-0.79%0.0311✗1.13197k2022-08-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16520.16363-0.95%0.1769+7.08%0.1063✗1.08115k2022-08-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.23830.236025-0.95%0.1954-18.00%0.1512✓1.431,3132022-08-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.179750.178031-0.96%0.15873-11.69%0.0800✓1.32227k2022-08-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089790.088931-0.96%0.0832-7.34%0.0606✓0.231.1M2022-08-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3690050.365471-0.96%0.348082-5.67%0.0191✓1.13855k2022-08-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0575080.056956-0.96%0.053519-6.94%0.0485✓0.5230k2022-08-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.29261.6831-0.98%59.922-3.80%0.0099✓0.73321k2022-08-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34790.344373-1.01%0.3198-8.08%0.0466✓1.053.5M2022-08-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004850.004801-1.02%0.00468-3.51%0.0041✓1.13102k2022-08-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.367670.363915-1.02%0.34491-6.19%0.0238✓1.1413k2022-08-17
SOLSolanaSolana42.542.0622-1.03%40.55-4.59%0.0037✓1.2581.8M2022-08-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1331.1212-1.04%0.9651-14.82%0.1171✓1.252.3M2022-08-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8562.8257-1.06%2.525-11.59%0.0806✓1.2258k2022-08-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021570.002134-1.06%0.001955-9.36%0.0614✓1.001.1M2022-08-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.0983.0649-1.07%3.263+5.33%0.0855✗0.87587k2022-08-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18610.184073-1.09%0.1697-8.81%0.0519✓1.12553k2022-08-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45530.45034-1.09%0.4188-8.02%0.0372✓1.35188k2022-08-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157660.015593-1.10%0.015184-3.69%0.0080✓0.712.1M2022-08-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0242120.023936-1.14%0.023935-1.14%0.0226✗0.8612k2022-08-17
DIADIAEthereum0.489510.483894-1.15%0.46051-5.92%0.0360✓0.5170k2022-08-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.688991-1.15%0.643-7.75%0.0364✓1.2591k2022-08-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.416420.411606-1.16%0.38327-7.96%0.0438✓1.05481k2022-08-17
KSMKusamaHydration62.9262.1924-1.16%54.77-12.95%0.0990✓1.07525k2022-08-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54710.54075-1.16%0.4701-14.07%0.1102✓1.1454k2022-08-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17040.168421-1.16%0.1453-14.73%0.1294✓0.704.2M2022-08-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.8994-1.18%6.22+4.19%0.0627✗0.37894k2022-08-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0721.0589-1.22%0.96777-9.72%0.0610✓1.10558k2022-08-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043557-1.23%0.0439-0.45%0.0354✗1.0577k2022-08-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,854.121,831.13-1.24%1,834.61-1.05%0.0364✗1.31480.7M2022-08-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.034741-1.25%0.04685+33.17%0.3268✗1.0616k2022-08-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3481.331-1.26%1.218-9.64%0.0562✓1.241.1M2022-08-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95922.9219-1.26%3.0983+4.70%0.0740✗0.591.3M2022-08-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02852.9903-1.26%2.9261-3.38%0.0133✗1.3313k2022-08-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.12190.120348-1.27%0.1091-10.50%0.0697✓1.08566k2022-08-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.5299.4072-1.28%8.372-12.14%0.0874✓1.1112.4M2022-08-17
ZECZcashZcash78.777.692-1.28%74.22-5.69%0.0141✓1.202.2M2022-08-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.022.9812-1.28%2.92-3.31%0.0071✓0.52110k2022-08-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087430.086277-1.32%0.0871-0.38%0.0390✗1.1229k2022-08-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026610.026252-1.35%0.02486-6.58%0.0328✓0.83159k2022-08-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18361.1676-1.35%1.2042+1.74%0.0597✗1.1013k2022-08-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46480.458477-1.36%0.4206-9.51%0.0555✓1.17174k2022-08-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.717960.708147-1.37%0.65284-9.07%0.0450✓1.3857k2022-08-17
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1167.0163-1.40%6.107-14.18%0.1026✓1.3812.8M2022-08-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38622.3525-1.41%2.2016-7.74%0.0376✓1.0938k2022-08-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.1451.1287-1.42%1.1115-2.93%0.0104✓0.9812k2022-08-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.62031.5967-1.46%1.7066+5.33%0.1009✗1.31619k2022-08-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.045964-1.47%0.04518-3.15%0.0050✓0.842,4562022-08-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1984.1355-1.49%3.413-18.70%0.1723✓0.751.3M2022-08-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.65740.647453-1.51%0.5653-14.01%0.1120✓0.90755k2022-08-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5518.2674-1.52%16.88-9.00%0.0463✓1.241.4M2022-08-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.0628.9224-1.54%8.061-11.05%0.0719✓1.1319.0M2022-08-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0794.0152-1.56%3.89-4.63%0.0245✓0.272.3M2022-08-17
BANDBandEthereum1.8491.8199-1.57%1.563-15.47%0.1168✓1.35401k2022-08-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9282.8818-1.58%2.476-15.44%0.1059✓1.75134k2022-08-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.042.9917-1.59%2.92-3.95%0.0095✓1.28227k2022-08-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8830.868927-1.59%0.773-12.46%0.0920✓0.95377k2022-08-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202750.01995-1.60%0.021964+8.33%0.1006✗0.17215k2022-08-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.302864-1.60%0.294-4.48%0.0012✓1.08274k2022-08-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06860.067494-1.61%0.0599-12.68%0.0896✓1.13827k2022-08-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.7905-1.62%1.61-11.54%0.0782✓1.07164k2022-08-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21083.1582-1.64%3.4712+8.11%0.1046✗0.381.5M2022-08-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5370.528035-1.67%0.4371-18.60%0.1542✓1.32245k2022-08-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1611.9559-1.68%11.36-6.58%0.0210✓1.15313k2022-08-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018930.01861-1.69%0.01808-4.49%0.0103✓0.71167k2022-08-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.5533-1.69%1.37-13.29%0.0913✓1.311.2M2022-08-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5320.522967-1.70%0.515-3.20%0.0111✓1.0113k2022-08-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.98611.7817-1.70%11.75-1.97%0.0295✗1.2214.7M2022-08-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.790.776489-1.71%0.654-17.22%0.1388✓1.252,7912022-08-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032960.032395-1.71%0.02575-21.87%0.2028✓1.0213.8M2022-08-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0492.0138-1.72%1.854-9.52%0.0514✓1.19234k2022-08-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197560.194139-1.73%0.1794-9.19%0.0201✓2.241,0642022-08-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008960.008803-1.75%0.00814-9.15%0.0486✓1.13457k2022-08-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3068.1607-1.75%8.193-1.36%0.0271✗0.885.8M2022-08-17
HIVEHivenative0.62610.615076-1.76%0.5961-4.79%0.0042✓1.042.4M2022-08-17
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.178691-1.76%0.159-12.59%0.0891✓1.052.7M2022-08-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.958599-1.78%0.781-19.98%0.1786✓1.00271k2022-08-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3488.1967-1.81%7.38-11.60%0.0772✓1.065.7M2022-08-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4522.4075-1.82%1.899-22.55%0.2068✓1.16177k2022-08-17
COMPCompoundEthereum65.263.9906-1.85%58.31-10.57%0.0590✓1.2935k2022-08-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.5741-1.86%6.3+10.92%0.1318✗0.361.1M2022-08-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.924.8279-1.87%4.94+0.41%0.0337✗0.411.3M2022-08-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0463.9695-1.89%4.144+2.42%0.0528✗0.371.6M2022-08-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.085250.083635-1.89%0.07755-9.03%0.0552✓0.779772022-08-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.980.961426-1.90%0.967-1.33%0.0451✗1.50469k2022-08-17
AAVEAaveEthereum111.17109.0619-1.90%100.14-9.92%0.0441✓1.578.2M2022-08-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7524.6614-1.91%5.966+25.55%0.2534✗0.251.2M2022-08-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.24720.242484-1.91%0.1975-20.11%0.1756✓1.131,6562022-08-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16151.139-1.93%1.092-5.98%0.0234✓0.714.4M2022-08-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.15320.150216-1.95%0.2222+45.04%0.4151✗0.901.1M2022-08-17
MOVRMoonriverBase17.717.3518-1.97%14.8272-16.23%0.1302✓1.0358k2022-08-17
XVSVenusEthereum6.716.5768-1.99%6-10.58%0.0625✓1.111.5M2022-08-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.229.035-2.01%7.961-13.66%0.0919✓1.329.9M2022-08-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.1082.0655-2.02%1.991-5.55%0.0104✓1.00261k2022-08-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098560.000096546-2.04%0.0000951-3.51%0.0029✓0.69421k2022-08-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5683-2.08%8.75+0.00%0.0256✗0.171.8M2022-08-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1715.828-2.11%15.74-2.66%0.0261✗1.212.6M2022-08-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.08089-2.19%0.0778-5.93%0.0094✓1.131.4M2022-08-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.311-2.19%5.52+1.66%0.0471✗0.322.1M2022-08-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.377990.369588-2.22%0.32972-12.77%0.0901✓0.91405k2022-08-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5316-2.25%2.37-8.49%0.0411✓0.95636k2022-08-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039610.003867-2.38%0.003936-0.63%0.0417✗0.91994k2022-08-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14620.142605-2.46%0.1226-16.14%0.1196✓1.203.4M2022-08-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.6208-2.50%19.42-8.18%0.0411✓0.722.4M2022-08-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1994.0933-2.52%3.505-16.53%0.1125✓1.625.2M2022-08-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1828.4356-2.55%25.56-12.41%0.0696✓1.4130.8M2022-08-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8840.861288-2.57%0.928+4.98%0.1061✗1.20984k2022-08-17
METISMetisEthereum47.2446.0104-2.60%38.79-17.89%0.1209✓1.90362k2022-08-17
QNTQuantEthereum126.64123.322-2.62%109.91-13.21%0.0922✓0.874.2M2022-08-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97910.953165-2.65%0.9842+0.52%0.0741✗1.60296k2022-08-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38941.3501-2.83%1.1821-14.92%0.0950✓1.456.8M2022-08-17
ZENHorizenBase21.9321.2982-2.88%19.01-13.32%0.0820✓1.20118k2022-08-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49510.480751-2.90%0.3741-24.44%0.2215✓1.1285k2022-08-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39643.2974-2.91%3.8114+12.22%0.1582✗0.511.9M2022-08-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.8337.5116-3.40%40.29+3.76%0.1077✗1.3814.2M2022-08-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3956.1774-3.40%5.616-12.18%0.0907✓0.173.4M2022-08-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001468-3.48%0.001546+1.66%0.0749✗0.881.4M2022-08-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.6837.2973-3.57%40.09+3.65%0.1037✗1.201.3M2022-08-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6110.2211-3.67%9.4-11.40%0.0540✓1.13562k2022-08-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.104270.100288-3.82%0.08598-17.54%0.1203✓1.281.8M2022-08-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,510.6011,047.02-4.03%11,164.62-3.01%0.0456✗1.335.8M2022-08-17
FLOWFlownative3.0572.9191-4.51%2.565-16.09%0.0957✓1.28649k2022-08-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13620.129596-4.85%0.0997-26.80%0.2399✓0.85206k2022-08-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47091.3973-5.00%1.4107-4.09%0.0368✓1.04907k2022-08-17
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.4822-5.53%1.321-15.81%0.0648✓1.923.3M2022-08-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.