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2022-08-09 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3558
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 43.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3537.2172-5.42%40.61+3.20%0.0510✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.5483-4.31%1.454-10.14%0.1210✓1.953.1M2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.2163-3.79%6.018-6.86%0.0378✓0.183.4M2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.737155-3.39%0.71-6.95%0.0750✓1.262,7022022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001432-3.17%0.001587+7.27%0.0762✗0.881.3M2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.9972.9071-3.00%2.685-10.41%0.1179✓1.29587k2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.7009-2.92%3.68-3.46%0.0537✓1.615.2M2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum42.6541.4754-2.75%38.9-8.79%0.1199✓1.88328k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5603-2.65%2.36-10.27%0.1101✓0.96726k2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.100166-2.61%0.08996-12.53%0.1458✓1.291.6M2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000094268-2.60%0.0000971+0.33%0.0111✓0.62421k2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.130134-2.59%0.1024-23.35%0.2651✓0.85203k2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.929747-2.45%0.967+1.46%0.0086✓1.61296k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.648933-2.45%0.69252+4.11%0.0240✓1.3857k2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.503906-2.40%0.4749-8.02%0.0989✓1.33245k2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5720.1087-2.24%20.32-1.22%0.0109✓0.722.6M2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.2118-2.13%3.7239+13.48%0.1329✗0.501.8M2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.3110.0927-2.11%10.19-1.16%0.0243✓1.14482k2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.087599-2.08%0.08578-4.11%0.0280✓0.231.1M2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,960.26-2.04%11,010.19-1.59%0.0352✓1.345.4M2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.086323-2.02%0.0811-7.95%0.0888✓0.89127k2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.92996-2.01%1.072+12.96%0.0975✗1.50469k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041958-1.97%0.0426-0.47%0.0161✓1.0577k2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.3017-1.94%3.62-17.48%0.1954✓0.771.1M2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2682-1.89%1.2853-0.56%0.0295✓1.446.8M2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0615-1.88%2.061-1.90%0.0308✓1.03261k2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025838-1.83%0.02539-3.53%0.0422✓0.83159k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002101-1.82%0.00202-5.61%0.0691✓1.001.2M2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.2948-1.81%2.016-13.74%0.1640✓1.16172k2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.60670.595788-1.80%0.6115+0.79%0.0048✓1.042.4M2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.424015-1.78%0.4464+3.41%0.0114✓1.35207k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.50985-1.76%0.545+5.01%0.0366✗1.0113k2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1253-1.73%1.1875+3.71%0.0211✗1.1013k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022434-1.73%0.024604+7.78%0.0669✗0.8512k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.1692-1.73%5.44+3.42%0.0415✗0.322.1M2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum125.81123.6698-1.70%116.11-7.71%0.0894✓0.884.2M2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.231997-1.70%0.207-12.29%0.1475✓1.121,5612022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.9981-1.67%1.924-5.31%0.0735✓1.20234k2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.437945-1.65%0.3985-10.51%0.1270✓1.1080k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.049944-1.63%0.05205+2.52%0.0184✗0.7717k2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0853-1.57%1.1489+4.19%0.0358✗0.714.4M2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.18795-1.56%0.1883-1.37%0.0654✓2.261,0642022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.34979-1.49%0.35527+0.05%0.0183✓1.1413k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.1906-1.49%12.36+8.80%0.0655✗1.14306k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.081274-1.49%0.08258+0.10%0.0071✓0.779072022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.940023-1.47%0.84-11.95%0.1424✓1.01263k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.048589-1.46%0.051969+5.40%0.0371✗1.0137k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2458.3775-1.46%61.09+3.12%0.0074✓1.2835k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.079932-1.44%0.0784-3.33%0.0530✓1.131.4M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.443446-1.43%0.4559+1.33%0.0072✓1.17165k2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.3194-1.42%8.346-1.10%0.0358✓1.319.9M2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.474761-1.41%0.47192-2.00%0.0214✓0.5268k2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.070209-1.39%0.0688-3.37%0.0443✓0.81151k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.614766-1.39%0.5897-5.41%0.0683✓0.90755k2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4327.0512-1.38%27.11-1.17%0.0396✓1.4030.7M2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.00859-1.38%0.00854-1.95%0.0397✓1.14457k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.29965-1.37%0.3019-0.63%0.0249✓1.09294k2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06593.0242-1.36%3.514+14.62%0.1389✗0.381.4M2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.031133-1.35%0.05113+62.01%0.4652✗1.0414k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.053085-1.33%0.0539+0.19%0.0159✓1.04248k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.79727-1.33%0.818+1.24%0.0021✓0.93377k2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.510255-1.32%0.5047-2.40%0.0446✓1.1350k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.054564-1.32%0.054802-0.89%0.0110✓0.5229k2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.8576-1.31%3.3012+14.01%0.1046✗1.3313k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0912-1.28%1.1561+4.59%0.0285✗0.9812k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5105-1.28%1.47-3.92%0.0294✓0.07173k2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.7588-1.27%4.95+2.70%0.0272✗0.411.3M2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.402-1.27%8.89+4.47%0.0514✗0.171.8M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046905-1.25%0.0445-6.32%0.0817✓0.9810k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.167582-1.25%0.1798+5.95%0.0374✗1.11548k2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017285-1.23%0.01753+0.17%0.0065✓0.69167k2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.3832-1.20%15-3.66%0.0612✓1.212.6M2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.800325-1.19%0.959+18.40%0.1456✗1.18968k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.137939-1.19%0.1301-6.81%0.0942✓1.203.1M2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059191-1.18%0.0696+16.19%0.1286✗1.12185k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.686-1.17%20.12+1.00%0.0136✓1.19118k2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.7818-1.17%6.14+4.96%0.0491✗0.37894k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.59e-7-1.16%0.000001+3.09%0.0204✗0.7322k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.430222-1.16%0.42922-1.39%0.0333✓1.04124k2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.7351-1.15%7.773-0.66%0.0264✓1.055.9M2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.169437-1.15%0.1676-2.22%0.0420✓1.042.8M2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.662369-1.14%0.672+0.30%0.0227✓1.2591k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.144046-1.13%0.2097+43.93%0.3489✗0.891.1M2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.174512-1.13%0.1546-12.41%0.1424✓0.713.9M2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.437-1.12%5.96-8.45%0.1103✓1.121.4M2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2796-1.11%1.271-1.78%0.0436✓1.241.1M2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.345047-1.10%0.35342+1.30%0.0028✓0.90396k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.7144-1.08%2.752+0.29%0.0224✓1.2254k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.171964-1.07%0.16955-2.46%0.0536✓1.32216k2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.3931-1.06%17.95+2.10%0.0054✓1.241.4M2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.085067-1.06%0.09121+6.08%0.0361✗1.1329k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019948-1.06%0.025638+27.17%0.2459✗0.17215k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8598-1.04%3.26+12.80%0.0928✗1.28227k2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.0274-1.04%1.4706+41.65%0.3304✗0.95907k2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.4533-1.03%6.29+14.16%0.1322✗0.361.1M2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.6743-1.02%2.651-1.89%0.0606✓1.74131k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.121954-1.01%0.1265+2.68%0.0104✗0.88370k2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.847402-1.00%0.87+1.64%0.0180✓1.494.4M2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011929-1.00%0.00001581+31.20%0.2523✗0.99864k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.06356-1.00%0.0642+0.00%0.0235✓1.13827k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.135154-0.99%0.1437+5.27%0.0284✗1.1155k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.216159-0.98%0.2113-3.21%0.0650✓1.421,2802022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.47780.473162-0.97%0.4762-0.33%0.0286✓1.18892k2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031482-0.97%0.03136-1.35%0.0425✓1.301,7322022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.8894-0.96%4.19+6.70%0.0634✗0.371.6M2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.8426-0.95%2.94+2.44%0.0187✗0.50110k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.258821-0.95%0.2612-0.04%0.0088✓0.0135k2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.5216-0.93%5.889+29.03%0.2569✗0.251.1M2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.881-0.93%15.0779-11.51%0.1436✓1.0358k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.2846-0.92%11.396+0.06%0.0266✓1.2214.4M2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9697.0718-0.91%109.79+12.08%0.0770✗1.558.2M2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7511-0.90%1.675-5.21%0.0845✓1.35383k2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.9193-0.87%3.334+13.21%0.1071✗0.87585k2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4177-0.86%1.41-1.40%0.0439✓1.291.2M2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.401672-0.83%0.40858+0.87%0.0143✓1.05481k2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.696-0.82%1.75+2.34%0.0003✓1.06140k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009792-0.79%0.01154+16.92%0.1423✗0.745.3M2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.04429-0.78%0.04681+4.86%0.0304✗0.842,3482022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.436.1167-0.78%39.88+9.56%0.0581✗1.3813.5M2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.945-0.77%2.409+22.91%0.1846✗0.99588k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.27e-7-0.76%7.44e-7+125.94%0.8024✗0.68150k2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.9832-0.76%8.426+4.75%0.0277✗0.885.7M2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.126041-0.76%0.123-3.15%0.0500✓0.864,5002022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006134-0.75%0.006937+12.23%0.1082✗0.5050k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration60.2659.8088-0.75%56.07-6.95%0.0963✓1.07489k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01981.0122-0.74%1.0299+0.99%0.0155✓1.10543k2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash79.8179.2209-0.74%75.95-4.84%0.0785✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.224467-0.72%0.2556+13.05%0.0884✗1.3997k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.326249-0.72%0.3392+3.23%0.0079✗1.043.5M2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2792-0.71%2.2701-1.11%0.0365✓1.0938k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.986-0.71%4.0127-0.04%0.0237✓1.0257k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.031923-0.71%0.02789-13.25%0.1656✓1.0313.9M2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0304-0.70%1.0226-1.45%0.0314✓0.8056k2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0181.011-0.69%0.967-5.01%0.0607✓0.543.7M2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.015241-0.65%0.015966+4.07%0.0254✗0.712.1M2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.9798-0.63%6.197-11.77%0.1604✓1.3911.9M2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.5164-0.62%1.635+7.16%0.0365✗1.30698k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7949-0.60%1.8887+4.60%0.0168✗1.15530k2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.258545-0.60%0.3001+15.38%0.1198✗0.9865k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.82-0.59%3.1212+10.03%0.0842✗0.581.2M2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71959.3753-0.58%61.168+2.43%0.0082✗0.72321k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.217748-0.57%0.244+11.42%0.0767✗1.25716k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004485-0.57%0.00476+5.54%0.0263✗1.1299k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.11232-0.51%0.1138+0.80%0.0188✓1.07566k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000043182-0.50%0.00004498+3.64%0.0152✗0.861.9M2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.7065-0.50%8.453-3.39%0.0632✓1.1318.6M2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.068693-0.48%0.087041+26.09%0.2059✗1.041.6M2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.250025-0.47%0.2645+5.29%0.0255✗1.0491k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.342604-0.46%0.362039+5.19%0.0218✗1.12875k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7134.1115-0.44%136.34+1.22%0.0170✓1.135.0M2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.326647-0.41%0.316-3.66%0.0583✓0.841.1M2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.00165-0.40%0.001761+6.28%0.0411✗0.808,9342022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.5293-0.38%3.876+52.66%0.4018✗0.8486k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.7675-0.38%30.67+2.64%0.0024✓0.929.4M2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9983-0.37%4.038+0.62%0.0017✓0.272.2M2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3603-0.35%1.425+4.40%0.0138✗1.102.5M2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006464-0.32%0.006767+4.35%0.0241✗0.734,4282022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.3540.2315-0.29%43.09+6.79%0.0315✗1.2579.4M2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.777769-0.29%0.81+3.85%0.0267✗0.4783k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003680.00367-0.28%0.00401+8.97%0.0553✗1.12517k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1658-0.27%1.2535+7.24%0.0444✗0.9552k2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6023,151.62-0.25%23,861.50+2.81%0.0013✓0.9712k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.714286-0.24%0.7-2.23%0.0598✓1.33137k2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero158.78158.4107-0.23%169.61+6.82%0.0377✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.344437-0.22%0.3526+2.14%0.0058✓0.988.4M2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.105-0.22%1.0221-7.70%0.1154✓1.262.0M2022-08-16
DASHDashDash52.9752.8655-0.20%52.46-0.96%0.0376✓1.00552k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.8845-0.20%8.839-0.71%0.0379✓1.1011.8M2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.68e-7-0.20%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0210✓0.776.0M2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7647-0.19%4.8932+2.50%0.0054✗0.71887k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.121828-0.18%0.12178-0.22%0.0281✓0.937.1M2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008237-0.16%0.00828+0.36%0.0145✓0.661.6M2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.09755-0.15%0.1069+9.42%0.0616✗1.017,6272022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.5214-0.14%10.39-1.39%0.0429✓1.021.9M2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.058834-0.11%0.0734+24.62%0.1839✗1.25339k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.250646-0.06%0.27+7.66%0.0465✗0.94681k2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003356-0.01%0.004101+22.20%0.1747✗0.87988k2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.512971-0.01%0.5571+8.60%0.0500✗1.0940.5M2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1859.192+0.02%61.33+3.63%0.0042✓1.0513.7M2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,703.75+0.02%1,876.57+10.17%0.0578✓1.30453.9M2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.592308+0.09%0.5677-4.07%0.0760✗1.13318k2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.0296+0.16%5.2507+4.56%0.0387✓0.14367k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.068587+0.18%0.069764+1.90%0.0010✓0.60216k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2723,212.51+0.23%23,857.93+3.02%0.0023✗1.00455.4M2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.155302+0.32%0.1861+20.22%0.1490✓1.07110k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.