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2022-08-06 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3637
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.5%
in alpha space · 57.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.8325-3.60%1.542-18.88%0.2958✓1.953.1M2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.25712-2.79%0.2265-14.37%0.2092✓1.311,5612022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.781046-2.61%0.792-1.25%0.0783✓1.462,7912022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505918.0461-2.48%17.0389-7.93%0.1286✓1.1353k2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7330.9505-2.46%40.15+26.54%0.1726✗1.39949k2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2744.1694-2.45%3.972-7.07%0.1587✓1.755.2M2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.675405-2.36%0.72052+4.16%0.0307✓1.5178k2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.2279-2.24%2.107-7.55%0.1270✓1.13219k2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum41.2340.4379-1.92%47.76+15.84%0.0487✗1.87293k2022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.970581-1.81%1.0121+2.39%0.0641✓1.68296k2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9311,522.17-1.72%11,424.48-2.55%0.1001✓1.454.9M2022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6321.2613-1.70%21.34-1.34%0.0484✓0.832.6M2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000098321-1.70%0.00009674-3.28%0.1484✓2.10480k2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.4885-1.69%6.38+14.28%0.1178✗0.522.6M2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum120.14118.1058-1.69%126.57+5.35%0.0077✓0.974.5M2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4459.2904-1.64%8.374-11.34%0.1695✓1.043.3M2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.610.4296-1.61%10.46-1.32%0.0860✓1.41358k2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.558192-1.54%0.5216-7.99%0.1511✓1.32234k2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative2.572.5311-1.51%2.923+13.74%0.0639✗1.27466k2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1512-1.34%1.1627-0.35%0.0442✓0.864.1M2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.4033-1.29%3.4312-0.48%0.0470✓0.871.6M2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0564.2512-1.23%65.44+0.60%0.0706✓1.4138k2022-08-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002184-1.18%0.002197-0.59%0.0571✓1.001.1M2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.427255-1.17%0.4375+1.20%0.0510✓1.1880k2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.043889-1.15%0.0442-0.45%0.0709✓1.2376k2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.076913-1.13%0.08281+6.45%0.0279✗0.739072022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.085445-1.11%0.08755+1.33%0.0072✓0.271.1M2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.084919-1.08%0.09698+12.96%0.0391✗1.481.1M2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.920.910034-1.08%0.82-10.87%0.1405✓0.5878k2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.448132-1.03%0.462+2.03%0.0629✓1.48242k2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9316.7594-1.01%15.39-9.10%0.1741✓1.412.6M2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5147-1.00%1.55+1.31%0.0046✓0.29242k2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.3597-0.99%1.4348+4.48%0.0428✓1.536.4M2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.543925-0.92%0.558+1.64%0.0467✓1.1516k2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.054743-0.88%0.05467-1.01%0.0568✓0.8816k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.58410.579171-0.84%0.6334+8.44%0.0152✗1.182.1M2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.357353-0.81%0.37115+3.02%0.0435✓1.2913k2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.7103-0.79%8.987+2.36%0.0565✓1.399.9M2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.427446-0.77%0.46097+7.01%0.0000✓1.20124k2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1691-0.76%0.991-15.87%0.2053✓0.632.1M2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.647139-0.75%0.6271-3.82%0.1045✓1.16755k2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.023034-0.73%0.025853+11.42%0.0549✗0.9612k2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.9785-0.73%1.994+0.05%0.0804✓1.40253k2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.086291-0.70%0.0916+5.41%0.0137✓1.16126k2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.3495-0.70%2.328-1.61%0.0994✓1.43169k2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8173-0.69%1.85+1.09%0.0659✓1.33129k2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.837.5477-0.67%43.58+15.29%0.0593✗1.4213.0M2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6426.4698-0.64%29.19+9.57%0.0018✓1.5827.5M2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.1015-0.62%1.243+12.15%0.0552✗1.0413k2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4947-0.61%2.66+5.98%0.0034✓1.07507k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.054367-0.61%0.0554+1.28%0.0621✓1.28269k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.566017-0.59%0.5584-1.93%0.0844✓1.1246k2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.070601-0.56%0.0716+0.85%0.0446✓0.93158k2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.197375-0.50%0.20197+1.82%0.1217✓2.291,1202022-08-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.65e-7-0.48%0.00000101+4.12%0.0000✓0.7225k2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.1951-0.47%3.4228+6.62%0.0210✗0.761.2M2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.6264-0.42%5.4-4.42%0.0794✓0.611.5M2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0898.6661-0.42%110.5+11.53%0.0084✗1.6610.0M2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase19.2719.1906-0.41%20.82+8.04%0.0046✓1.36118k2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.051591-0.41%0.054466+5.14%0.0212✓1.2037k2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.022926-0.41%0.02741+19.07%0.1148✗1.01159k2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.919376-0.39%0.974+5.53%0.0556✓1.80469k2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.14565-0.38%0.1616+10.53%0.0359✗1.081.0M2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.5875-0.37%12.18+4.73%0.0264✓1.21290k2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.3152-0.36%1.326+0.45%0.0702✓1.241.1M2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.168679-0.36%0.18116+7.01%0.0264✓1.55212k2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.035.0124-0.35%4.96-1.39%0.0548✓0.701.3M2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1548-0.34%1.2311+6.24%0.0054✓1.1012k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.214785-0.33%0.2195+1.86%0.0676✓1.421,2762022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.032542-0.33%0.04514+38.25%0.2494✗1.2314k2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.035134-0.33%0.03126-11.32%0.2084✓1.4513.9M2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.179914-0.32%0.1759-2.55%0.1008✓1.243.3M2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.1127-0.30%2.408+13.64%0.0505✗1.27619k2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.48450.483092-0.29%0.5095+5.16%0.0249✓1.24808k2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.116.0924-0.29%6.06-0.82%0.0476✓0.67754k2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.434206-0.25%0.4939+13.46%0.0459✗1.31134k2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.806013-0.25%0.872+7.92%0.0135✗1.03390k2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2858.2647-0.24%8.197-1.06%0.0859✓1.236.9M2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.604-0.24%6.65+0.45%0.0802✓1.381.4M2022-08-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.046401-0.23%0.04922+5.83%0.0000✓0.932,3002022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2647.248-0.22%6.66-8.31%0.1928✓1.7111.9M2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.754-0.22%2.867+3.88%0.0505✓1.4447k2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008832-0.20%0.00886+0.11%0.0769✓1.27392k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260795-0.19%0.261-0.11%0.0000✓0.0131k2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.869335-0.19%0.912+4.71%0.0622✓1.744.4M2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.7402-0.17%6.12+6.43%0.0268✗0.59878k2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.676938-0.16%0.702+3.54%0.0518✓1.4090k2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011932-0.15%0.00001262+5.61%0.0223✓1.24934k2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.017684-0.15%0.01788+0.96%0.0411✓0.83176k2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.129617-0.14%0.1341+3.31%0.0289✓1.004,7012022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.9181-0.12%19.24+7.25%0.0131✓1.341.3M2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6948-0.12%2.902+7.56%0.0368✓1.76118k2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.9995-0.11%3.2141+7.03%0.0293✓1.5613k2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.340738-0.11%0.3595+5.39%0.0200✓1.173.6M2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.8262-0.10%1.823-0.27%0.0923✓1.43371k2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.5086-0.10%1.54+1.99%0.0684✓1.411.2M2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.158272-0.08%0.1717+8.40%0.0207✗0.963.6M2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.0343.0317-0.08%3.746+23.47%0.1404✗1.13572k2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.050462-0.07%0.0501-0.79%0.0888✓1.2910k2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.031357-0.04%0.03326+6.02%0.0226✓1.291,3502022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.0942-0.03%1.419+29.65%0.1875✗1.151.0M2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.12754.1267-0.02%4.2917+3.98%0.0291✓1.0853k2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.033.0303+0.01%3.24+6.93%0.0290✗1.52234k2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.060108+0.01%0.0672+11.81%0.0236✓1.39179k2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.634+0.02%11.906+11.98%0.0273✓1.3613.0M2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.138531+0.02%0.1512+9.17%0.0079✓1.2661k2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.6578+0.04%4.814+3.39%0.0020✗0.551.3M2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.235401+0.04%0.2699+14.70%0.0440✓1.4789k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.121253+0.04%0.1296+6.93%0.0017✗1.08370k2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004682+0.05%0.00504+7.69%0.0090✗1.31112k2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.074436+0.05%0.0823+10.62%0.0310✓1.101.1M2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.020248+0.05%0.020481+1.20%0.0137✗0.40173k2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.127869+0.05%0.1441+12.75%0.0309✓1.402.9M2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.8856+0.06%8.81-0.79%0.0387✗0.481.8M2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.9636+0.06%4.086+3.16%0.0132✗0.691.5M2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.9688+0.07%4.065+2.50%0.0297✗0.85976k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.353731+0.07%0.387693+9.68%0.0117✓1.271.0M2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.313244+0.08%0.3084-1.47%0.0848✗1.10300k2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.769612+0.08%0.733-4.68%0.1416✗1.47135k2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.077463+0.08%0.1176+51.94%0.3714✓0.73159k2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34141.4699+0.09%144.43+2.19%0.0555✗1.214.7M2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.9792+0.12%2.999+0.78%0.0550✗0.981.2M2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.3423+0.12%2.4159+3.26%0.0457✗1.2137k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0414.0467+0.14%4.099+1.44%0.0234✗0.571.9M2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0487+0.14%1.0614+1.35%0.0707✗1.31532k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9023,255.67+0.15%24,547.20+5.71%0.0077✗0.9812k2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.064805+0.16%0.0714+10.36%0.0153✓1.29803k2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.08624+0.17%0.09127+6.02%0.0287✗1.3529k2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.054731+0.18%0.056988+4.32%0.0047✓0.5725k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8812+0.18%1.9104+1.74%0.0654✗1.28530k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero160.51160.8142+0.19%168.13+4.75%0.0265✗1.121.1M2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.339657+0.19%0.333-1.77%0.0847✗1.031.1M2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001119+0.21%0.001473+31.89%0.1962✓1.241.3M2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.223566+0.25%0.235+5.38%0.0451✗1.50716k2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.068831+0.28%0.072906+6.21%0.0169✗1.181.6M2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration66.4166.6042+0.29%61.18-7.88%0.1585✗1.16419k2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.010091+0.30%0.01031+2.49%0.0342✗0.885.2M2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.473957+0.31%0.53395+13.01%0.0714✓0.7670k2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.271644+0.31%0.2886+6.57%0.0093✗1.1165k2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.1327+0.31%1.138+0.79%0.0819✗1.371.5M2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0497+0.32%1.0828+3.48%0.0284✗0.9458k2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.49+0.33%31.33+3.09%0.0330✗0.959.4M2022-08-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001715+0.33%0.001748+2.28%0.0457✗1.039,0932022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.259467+0.34%0.2745+6.15%0.0208✗1.2299k2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.1108+0.35%3.03-2.26%0.0579✗0.50116k2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.174907+0.35%0.1908+9.47%0.0077✓1.26529k2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.317405+0.36%0.3817+20.69%0.1142✓1.11366k2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42461.6465+0.36%63.346+3.13%0.0258✗0.84321k2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000044904+0.37%0.0000474+5.95%0.0195✗1.171.9M2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.77754.7954+0.38%5.1095+6.95%0.0161✓0.75908k2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015951+0.38%0.01624+2.20%0.0391✗0.902.1M2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.74e-7+0.39%0.00000102+5.15%0.0068✗0.846.1M2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana40.0740.2303+0.40%46.63+16.37%0.0613✓1.3780.8M2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.838342+0.40%0.917+9.82%0.0130✓1.21241k2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.258833+0.40%0.2759+7.02%0.0103✗1.17768k2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.38e-7+0.40%3.22e-7-4.51%0.1112✗0.97153k2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.00370.003716+0.42%0.00389+5.14%0.0359✗1.30551k2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.4362+0.43%1.485+3.85%0.0465✗1.272.5M2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.752504+0.47%1.038+38.58%0.2446✓1.22963k2022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.1997+0.50%1.2916+8.20%0.0073✓1.0543k2022-08-13
DASHDashDash52.5752.8436+0.52%57.07+8.56%0.0070✓1.11574k2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.5671+0.52%1.7029+9.24%0.0044✓1.39619k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.114704+0.53%0.1229+7.71%0.0106✗1.26505k2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.101937+0.53%0.1028+1.38%0.0676✗1.205,6912022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.414291+0.53%0.41477+0.65%0.0856✗1.38507k2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.351158+0.56%0.3686+5.56%0.0242✗1.158.2M2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.4641+0.58%4.135+68.78%0.4613✓0.8992k2022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006361+0.59%0.006994+10.59%0.0405✓0.864,5222022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,701.08+0.61%1,984.75+17.38%0.0730✓1.29407.7M2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006498+0.61%0.006824+5.65%0.0177✓0.4944k2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8461.2139+0.61%63.86+4.96%0.0314✗1.1713.5M2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.122687+0.64%0.126836+4.05%0.0292✗0.997.0M2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.5792+0.65%9.31+9.22%0.0039✓1.2311.0M2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.514813+0.67%0.5598+9.46%0.0077✓1.2140.5M2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.8478+0.69%9.149+17.39%0.0738✓1.2616.9M2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash67.6568.1372+0.72%76.21+12.65%0.0319✓1.271.7M2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.5812+0.76%10.697+1.87%0.0587✗1.102.0M2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9323,138.39+0.77%24,456.49+6.51%0.0077✓1.00427.9M2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003267+0.79%0.004633+42.95%0.2862✓1.001.0M2022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.954.9897+0.80%4.8922-1.17%0.0307✗0.17228k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.060885+0.80%0.0784+29.80%0.1639✓1.41350k2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.069510.070084+0.83%0.069903+0.57%0.0474✗0.71327k2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008412+0.86%0.00828-0.72%0.0735✗0.911.6M2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.1643+1.05%0.1743+7.20%0.0195✗1.25102k2022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.579575+1.17%0.6153+7.40%0.0127✗1.15318k2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.