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2022-08-04 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3541
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.4%
in alpha space · 20.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.7593-8.28%1.558-18.77%0.2334✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum46.0143.2832-5.93%44.8-2.63%0.0689✓1.82266k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.4557-5.55%2.971+14.27%0.1189✗1.26448k2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.833.5555-3.58%42.06+20.86%0.1462✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1444-3.45%1.127-4.92%0.0647✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.2559-3.45%3.3972+0.74%0.0080✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,306.35-3.20%11,294.44+6.08%0.0107✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.9421-3.14%21.14-2.22%0.0385✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.550176-3.09%0.5522-2.73%0.0596✓1.1146k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.9392-2.84%10.3+11.96%0.0630✗1.39334k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.183717-2.73%0.1952+3.35%0.0706✓2.311,1512022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.9924-2.63%1.0027-1.62%0.0869✓1.71241k2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1038-2.56%3.1366-1.53%0.0782✓1.5612k2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0845-2.55%1.1706+5.18%0.0137✓1.1111k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4172-2.53%2.58+4.03%0.0041✓1.08507k2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.563542-2.43%0.5389-6.70%0.1227✓1.38234k2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4543-2.43%5.28-5.55%0.0672✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.3123-2.42%36.12+29.05%0.2025✗1.36946k2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0251-2.42%1.2255+16.66%0.1192✗1.0513k2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.0356-2.34%6.256+21.33%0.1872✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0509-2.22%3.13+0.32%0.0605✓1.52211k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034197-2.21%0.03161-9.61%0.1605✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7257-2.16%4.8-0.62%0.0242✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.4224-2.12%5.8+4.69%0.0338✗0.59873k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.079188-2.12%0.09833+21.55%0.1322✗1.49871k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000097159-2.11%0.00009727-1.99%0.1146✓2.04516k2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.5308-2.08%15.6-1.64%0.0753✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.141707-2.07%0.1497+3.46%0.0066✓1.08907k2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.54664-2.04%0.551-1.25%0.0570✓1.1414k2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1893-2.03%0.993-18.20%0.2173✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.890538-2.03%0.967+6.38%0.0177✓1.76496k2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0782-2.02%3.2004+1.87%0.0044✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5232-2.01%4.683+1.45%0.0028✓0.561.4M2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.7685-1.96%4.034+4.94%0.0349✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5789-1.96%8.57-2.06%0.0287✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8617-1.91%2.9337+0.56%0.0308✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.9394-1.89%8.347+3.15%0.0092✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7612-1.80%4.044+5.59%0.0331✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.772065-1.77%0.769-2.16%0.0866✓1.463,1392022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.7104-1.76%4.038+6.91%0.0142✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3052-1.76%1.3595+2.33%0.0440✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020164-1.76%0.019255-6.19%0.0700✓0.42167k2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022059-1.73%0.024997+11.36%0.0703✗0.9611k2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.170049-1.65%0.1775+2.66%0.0265✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.356962-1.61%0.36776+1.36%0.0442✓1.3013k2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.214056-1.58%0.2554+17.43%0.1024✗1.311,5612022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3285-1.58%6.61+2.80%0.0353✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.6811-1.56%8.964+1.64%0.0470✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.084808-1.56%0.08708+1.08%0.0510✓1.3629k2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.832932-1.54%0.889+5.08%0.0336✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.161683-1.53%0.1949+18.70%0.1164✗1.24518k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7286-1.50%1.767+0.68%0.0592✓1.43341k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.8625-1.47%8.186+2.58%0.0289✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9384-1.45%2.005+1.93%0.0463✓1.41266k2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.9244-1.45%4.091+2.74%0.0070✓0.86922k2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.297638-1.44%0.3078+1.92%0.0296✓1.11300k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.572909-1.44%0.6302+8.41%0.0281✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6757-1.43%1.91+12.35%0.0561✗1.32122k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.676264-1.42%0.691+0.73%0.0577✓1.4088k2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1917-1.41%2.184-1.75%0.0756✓1.27626k2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041508-1.41%0.0439+4.28%0.0135✓1.2376k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.3329-1.40%6.929-6.83%0.1549✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.075867-1.38%0.08332+8.31%0.0522✗0.739772022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1117-1.38%1.1274+0.01%0.0637✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.656715-1.38%0.7242+8.75%0.0121✓1.5188k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74102.3109-1.38%124.47+19.98%0.1399✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.413858-1.35%0.40616-3.19%0.0970✓1.38583k2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.450892-1.35%0.47814+4.61%0.0154✗0.7668k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008879-1.35%0.00871-3.22%0.0918✓1.28387k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.072344-1.30%0.0819+11.73%0.0613✗1.111.1M2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.062189-1.29%0.0749+18.89%0.1132✗1.28802k2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1623-1.26%2.3938+9.31%0.0337✗1.2032k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3814-1.26%1.456+4.07%0.0197✓1.282.6M2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.257809-1.26%0.2613+0.08%0.0128✗0.0129k2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.0825-1.23%28.54+22.12%0.1226✗1.5826.1M2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.084362-1.23%0.08746+2.40%0.0207✗0.271.1M2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.04851-1.20%0.05344+8.84%0.0465✗0.8915k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.9381-1.19%11.8+6.59%0.0077✓1.20263k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049618-1.18%0.053086+5.73%0.0004✓1.2035k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7934-1.13%2.089+15.16%0.1167✗0.63206k2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.5956-1.12%61.928+2.75%0.0089✓0.83321k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.411678-1.09%0.458+10.04%0.0320✗1.31127k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2281-1.06%2.326+3.29%0.0358✓1.39172k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7584-1.06%5.91+1.55%0.0124✓0.68746k2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043396-1.06%0.04793+9.28%0.0461✗0.942,0262022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.060974-1.02%0.078+26.62%0.1652✗1.43350k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.4894-1.00%17.0874+16.75%0.0998✗1.1558k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2841-1.00%1.324+2.08%0.0398✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0595-0.99%2.93-5.18%0.0713✓0.49109k2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002168-0.98%0.002212+1.05%0.0365✓1.001.4M2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.53e-7-0.98%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1327✓0.99164k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5648-0.96%1.52-3.80%0.0459✓0.30242k2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.2599-0.96%11.749+13.42%0.0586✗1.3513.7M2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.5821-0.95%18.45+3.94%0.0260✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.4755-0.94%63.11+12.70%0.0500✗1.3935k2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.791829-0.90%0.864+8.14%0.0294✗1.02377k2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9554-0.89%3.021+1.31%0.0415✓1.12591k2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.330084-0.88%0.321-3.60%0.0868✓1.041.1M2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.032029-0.87%0.05195+60.79%0.4138✗1.2314k2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.435063-0.85%0.4591+4.63%0.0301✓1.48278k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015462-0.85%0.015949+2.27%0.0197✓0.892.1M2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.42e-7-0.85%0.00000102+7.37%0.0229✗1.0025k2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.705-0.84%2.849+4.44%0.0293✓1.4349k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3952-0.82%3.611+49.52%0.3599✗0.89110k2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.49-0.80%1.6643+10.81%0.0313✗1.40594k2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.119268-0.77%0.1425+18.55%0.1002✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.250312-0.75%0.2695+6.86%0.0080✗1.16768k2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0262-0.74%1.4845+43.58%0.3040✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.01745-0.74%0.01787+1.65%0.0228✓0.82193k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.053873-0.72%0.057169+5.35%0.0265✗0.5825k2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.985583-0.69%1.0527+6.07%0.0078✓1.30532k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.5514-0.69%42.8+10.25%0.0270✗1.3781.1M2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.108843-0.69%0.1215+10.86%0.0389✗1.25505k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4599-0.69%1.54+4.76%0.0265✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.133786-0.68%0.1474+9.43%0.0248✗1.2761k2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.3152-0.66%8.96+21.67%0.1318✗1.2516.9M2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.717-0.66%60.91-0.34%0.0634✓1.17379k2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.053357-0.64%0.0549+2.23%0.0441✓1.28284k2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.592761-0.63%0.6487+8.75%0.0254✗1.14690k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006107-0.63%0.006618+7.67%0.0321✗0.857,1222022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.470761-0.62%0.5032+6.23%0.0037✓1.24808k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5802-0.61%2.875+10.75%0.0087✗1.75109k2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003747-0.60%0.00393+4.24%0.0259✓1.30551k2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.047916-0.59%0.0488+1.24%0.0556✓1.307,5232022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.066319-0.57%0.0718+7.65%0.0261✗0.94183k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.496893-0.56%0.5306+6.18%0.0026✓1.2040.5M2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.096965-0.55%0.0988+1.33%0.0496✓1.207,1482022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072712-0.53%0.1304+78.39%0.5427✗0.73159k2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.058986-0.53%0.0621+4.72%0.0277✓1.39172k2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042716-0.52%0.00004644+8.15%0.0180✗1.161.9M2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.777945-0.52%0.924+18.16%0.1037✗1.20225k2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.338472-0.51%0.376118+10.55%0.0334✗1.271.0M2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030225-0.51%0.03187+4.90%0.0209✓1.301,4012022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.259317-0.49%0.3041+16.69%0.0961✗1.1165k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.225199-0.49%0.2297+1.50%0.0634✓1.4787k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.155365-0.47%0.1701+8.97%0.0208✗1.23107k2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001084-0.47%0.001521+39.72%0.2688✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3495.8928-0.46%107.55+11.64%0.0208✗1.6610.2M2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003055-0.46%0.004951+61.32%0.4266✗0.991.0M2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.334585-0.45%0.3613+7.50%0.0126✗1.138.2M2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9417-0.44%4.2149+6.46%0.0054✗1.0945k2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.116291-0.44%0.1263+8.13%0.0216✗1.08370k2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.329218-0.42%0.3493+5.66%0.0069✓1.173.5M2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.138643-0.40%0.1646+18.25%0.1178✗0.953.6M2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0112-0.39%1.0862+7.00%0.0182✗0.9460k2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.126437-0.37%0.134+5.59%0.0016✓1.004,7012022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011807-0.36%0.00001233+4.05%0.0274✓1.25951k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8184-0.36%1.9022+4.24%0.0269✓1.27530k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.737497-0.34%0.85+14.86%0.1080✗0.6079k2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.403066-0.31%0.4605+13.89%0.0657✗1.19107k2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.0682-0.29%9.201+13.70%0.0622✗1.2211.0M2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.269-0.29%21.63+24.88%0.1466✗1.38116k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.217379-0.28%0.228+4.59%0.0381✓1.51782k2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021071-0.28%0.02718+28.63%0.1970✗1.02159k2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085173-0.27%0.0916+7.26%0.0075✗1.15126k2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.58e-7-0.26%0.00000101+5.21%0.0059✗0.846.4M2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.199009-0.25%0.2226+11.58%0.0328✗1.401,2762022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.312613-0.24%0.38689+23.46%0.1494✗1.12396k2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.736218-0.24%0.911+23.44%0.1442✗1.21968k2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.5196-0.22%61.89+3.76%0.0264✓1.1513.6M2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.725617-0.19%0.74+1.79%0.0639✓1.47121k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.248039-0.19%0.2705+8.85%0.0174✗1.22101k2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004533-0.16%0.00517+13.88%0.0574✗1.31112k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.0999-0.14%30.52+4.74%0.0062✓0.9510.0M2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009777-0.14%0.01006+2.76%0.0214✓0.885.1M2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.449.3507-0.10%55.61+12.57%0.0572✗1.10574k2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34134.23-0.08%142.98+6.43%0.0048✓1.204.6M2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,606.95-0.08%1,881.04+16.97%0.0851✗1.28407.7M2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.159911-0.06%0.17809+11.31%0.0207✗1.53212k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1496-0.05%1.2591+9.48%0.0314✗1.0543k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25159.2028-0.03%160.49+0.78%0.0548✓1.111.2M2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.328977-0.01%0.4285+30.24%0.2004✗1.1377k2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001658+0.04%0.001703+2.78%0.0316✗1.039,0682022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0025+0.05%4.7078-5.84%0.0706✗0.17219k2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.114005+0.07%0.125283+9.97%0.0381✓0.996.9M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.5536+0.08%4.9372+8.51%0.0385✓0.75920k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,537.04+0.19%24,153.10+7.37%0.0136✓0.9813k2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006719+0.28%0.006698-0.03%0.0322✗0.5140k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.069178+0.28%0.070371+2.02%0.0223✗0.69345k2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.5778+0.31%79.26+23.11%0.1340✓1.251.6M2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008247+0.33%0.00834+1.46%0.0401✗0.901.6M2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.0773+0.42%10.512+4.75%0.0204✗1.102.0M2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,733.63+0.48%23,944.86+5.84%0.0048✗1.00427.9M2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067692+0.50%0.070882+5.24%0.0204✗1.171.7M2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.5489+0.64%0.5937+8.86%0.0140✓1.14333k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.