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2022-08-03 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3054
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.0%
in alpha space · 75.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.8933-5.00%1.569-21.27%0.2837✓1.972.4M2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.3721-3.34%10.61-1.12%0.0445✓1.38334k2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.763817-2.07%0.79+1.28%0.0370✓1.453,6872022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.636068-1.99%0.71796+10.63%0.0476✗1.5188k2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.5652-1.89%21.15-3.78%0.0607✓0.852.2M2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6454-1.74%4.199+13.18%0.0568✗1.745.0M2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.985992-1.67%0.9791-2.35%0.0904✓1.72211k2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6427.196-1.61%38.68+39.94%0.2863✗1.36773k2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.2267-1.30%16.17-1.64%0.0719✓1.412.3M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,587.97-1.28%11,510.60+7.32%0.0143✗1.424.4M2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.315-1.27%3.3964+1.15%0.0189✓0.891.3M2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5012-1.24%1.52+0.00%0.0023✓0.30221k2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum35.334.8658-1.23%47.24+33.82%0.2104✗1.92251k2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0219-1.20%1.1615+12.30%0.0854✗0.883.9M2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000098782-1.19%0.00009856-1.41%0.1013✓2.04536k2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.5960.588973-1.18%0.6261+5.05%0.0036✓1.181.5M2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.534794-1.17%0.537-0.76%0.0641✓1.40222k2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0242.0007-1.15%2.049+1.24%0.0448✓1.41255k2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1124-1.12%1.046-7.02%0.0933✓0.651.8M2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.8221-0.95%9.22+3.51%0.0234✓1.399.8M2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3707-0.92%5.43-15.55%0.1894✓0.611.4M2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.9381-0.86%6.395+28.39%0.2329✗0.532.2M2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.076639-0.85%0.0827+6.99%0.0224✗1.11952k2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002236-0.85%0.002157-4.35%0.0846✓1.001.5M2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.2387-0.82%3.2108-1.67%0.0457✓0.761.1M2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.18104.3443-0.79%126.64+20.40%0.1455✗0.994.2M2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4517-0.74%2.59+4.86%0.0025✓1.08398k2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.7995-0.72%38.83+7.68%0.0130✗1.409.4M2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.037234-0.68%0.03296-12.08%0.1919✓1.4413.9M2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.080676-0.66%0.10427+28.40%0.1842✗1.49786k2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.087457-0.63%0.08979+2.02%0.0136✗0.261.1M2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3257-0.62%1.3894+4.15%0.0259✓1.506.4M2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041068-0.56%0.0441+6.78%0.0116✗1.2376k2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.437823-0.47%0.4553+3.50%0.0327✓1.48278k2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.054348-0.46%0.0548+0.37%0.0539✓1.28284k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0878.0529-0.42%8.306+2.71%0.0198✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7964-0.41%5.68-2.41%0.0490✓0.59873k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.206208-0.38%0.2472+19.42%0.1179✗1.311,6972022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7655.551-0.37%65.2+16.93%0.0926✗1.3934k2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.515103-0.37%0.532+2.90%0.0235✓1.1513k2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.2386-0.33%2.452+9.17%0.0238✗1.38177k2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022983-0.32%0.024212+5.01%0.0053✗0.9611k2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.1463-0.30%7.116-0.73%0.0885✓1.7312.2M2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.348285-0.27%0.36767+5.28%0.0094✓1.3113k2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.77e-7-0.27%0.00000103+5.10%0.0038✗1.0025k2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7944-0.26%2.108+17.18%0.1302✗0.64189k2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.085.0674-0.25%4.92-3.15%0.0636✓0.701.3M2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.393261-0.24%0.46429+17.77%0.1081✗1.19118k2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9944-0.13%2.075+3.91%0.0222✓1.27626k2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9794.8484-0.13%111.17+17.06%0.0783✗1.6610.2M2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.068129-0.10%0.0739+8.36%0.0356✗0.94229k2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030782-0.06%0.03249+5.49%0.0093✓1.301,3502022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.46630.466073-0.05%0.4979+6.78%0.0057✗1.24892k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,834.98-0.04%23,919.30+4.71%0.0013✓0.9814k2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.99-0.00%5.97-0.33%0.0363✓0.68725k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.133815+0.01%0.1532+14.50%0.0825✓1.09779k2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.552+0.02%8.75-8.38%0.1113✗0.491.7M2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2595+0.04%1.348+7.07%0.0074✓1.241.2M2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0423.0525+0.05%29.18+26.65%0.1588✓1.5827.5M2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011838+0.07%0.0000124+4.82%0.0143✗1.25986k2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9661+0.07%3.098+4.52%0.0107✗1.11597k2022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.20005+0.07%0.2383+19.21%0.1070✓1.401,1742022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.128906+0.08%0.1324+2.80%0.0217✗1.004,9522022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.086184+0.10%0.0919+6.74%0.0083✓1.15128k2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.698+0.11%2.856+5.97%0.0126✗1.4349k2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.163222+0.11%0.17975+10.25%0.0218✓1.53212k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.8703+0.12%8.348+6.20%0.0004✓1.227.0M2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.188289+0.13%0.19756+5.06%0.0644✗2.311,1512022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.17104+0.14%0.1819+6.50%0.0022✓1.223.5M2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.031316+0.15%0.03518+12.50%0.0564✓1.2314k2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.261614+0.16%0.2616+0.15%0.0006✓0.0129k2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008694+0.16%0.00896+3.23%0.0321✗1.28375k2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0389+0.16%1.1836+14.12%0.0793✓1.0513k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.634036+0.16%0.697+10.11%0.0266✓1.4088k2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.318829+0.17%0.3078-3.30%0.0892✗1.11294k2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.441+0.17%6.71+4.35%0.0266✗1.391.2M2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019985+0.18%0.020275+1.63%0.0061✗0.42165k2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6769+0.18%2.928+9.58%0.0045✓1.75109k2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9857+0.19%4.046+1.71%0.0187✗0.691.5M2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.087884+0.20%0.08743-0.32%0.0715✗1.3629k2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.906834+0.20%0.98+8.29%0.0084✗1.77513k2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.768585+0.21%0.883+15.12%0.0893✓1.02377k2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.8425+0.21%12.16+12.38%0.0564✓1.20259k2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.817833+0.22%0.88+7.84%0.0113✗1.744.8M2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4335+0.24%1.58+10.49%0.0288✓1.411.1M2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.4894+0.25%4.752+6.12%0.0294✓0.561.3M2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.043562+0.26%0.04665+7.36%0.0228✓0.942,3002022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.320916+0.29%0.3479+8.72%0.0240✓1.173.5M2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.109+0.31%1.145+3.56%0.0219✗1.1111k2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.11157.5952+0.31%167.53+6.63%0.0075✓1.101.2M2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.049451+0.32%0.052134+5.77%0.0054✗1.2035k2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.9178+0.33%4.198+7.50%0.0274✓0.86922k2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.078545+0.34%0.08525+8.90%0.0463✓0.731,0202022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.1997+0.34%11.986+17.91%0.0955✓1.3514.4M2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.605689+0.35%0.6574+8.91%0.0265✓1.14690k2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.2101+0.35%21.93+27.87%0.1756✓1.37116k2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004576+0.35%0.00485+6.36%0.0054✗1.31112k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017743+0.35%0.01893+7.07%0.0247✓0.82207k2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.231922+0.36%0.2326+0.65%0.0686✗1.4789k2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.135389+0.36%0.1428+5.86%0.0085✗1.2761k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01781.0216+0.37%1.4709+44.52%0.3087✓1.151.1M2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1717.2341+0.37%18.55+8.04%0.0100✓1.311.3M2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.6061+0.38%1.82+13.75%0.0608✓1.32122k2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8597+0.39%2.9592+3.89%0.0135✗0.981.2M2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.058535+0.40%0.0635+8.92%0.0137✓1.39167k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.33334+0.40%0.34+2.41%0.0307✗1.041.1M2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.1454+0.41%0.1704+17.68%0.1126✓0.953.6M2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.319531+0.42%0.4951+55.59%0.3830✓1.1377k2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.747117+0.42%0.884+18.82%0.1091✓1.22895k2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021392+0.43%0.02661+24.93%0.1689✓1.02159k2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6965+0.44%1.849+9.47%0.0166✓1.43341k2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4865+0.47%2.734+10.46%0.0515✓0.89110k2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7134.3324+0.47%142.18+6.34%0.0015✓1.204.5M2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.404131+0.48%0.4648+15.56%0.0759✓1.32127k2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001092+0.48%0.001521+39.94%0.2710✓1.241.3M2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0887+0.49%1.133+4.58%0.0268✗1.371.4M2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.116569+0.49%0.1265+9.05%0.0295✓1.07370k2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.918+0.50%4.1947+7.59%0.0155✓1.0945k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.21407+0.50%0.229+7.51%0.0061✗1.51786k2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.337611+0.51%0.369005+9.86%0.0272✓1.271.1M2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.048591+0.52%0.05257+8.75%0.0356✓0.8915k2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31160.6275+0.52%62.292+3.28%0.0135✗0.83330k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066549+0.53%0.071244+7.62%0.0112✓1.171.7M2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.062329+0.53%0.1362+119.68%0.7459✓0.74159k2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.129.2568+0.54%31.37+7.80%0.0236✓0.9510.8M2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.7532+0.55%3.0285+10.61%0.0193✓1.5612k2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015874+0.56%0.015766-0.12%0.0503✗0.892.1M2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7302+0.57%1.8733+8.89%0.0178✓1.27530k2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.8265+0.59%3.04+8.19%0.0009✓1.52198k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001714+0.59%0.001757+3.11%0.0254✗1.039,4962022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.7794+0.60%42.5+10.25%0.0251✓1.3781.8M2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.250992+0.60%0.266+6.61%0.0014✓1.17768k2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003730.003752+0.60%0.00383+2.68%0.0425✗1.29551k2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0305+0.60%1.0722+4.67%0.0060✓0.9460k2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.118728+0.62%0.1462+23.90%0.1415✓1.372.9M2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.8497+0.62%4.079+6.61%0.0293✓0.591.9M2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009821+0.62%0.01031+5.64%0.0058✓0.885.0M2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.66e-7+0.63%0.00000101+5.21%0.0038✓0.846.4M2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.056089+0.64%0.057508+3.19%0.0032✓0.5824k2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1904+0.64%3.02-4.73%0.0789✗0.49102k2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.7177+0.65%17.7+21.05%0.1286✓1.1563k2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.51e-7+0.65%3.34e-7-4.32%0.0987✗0.99170k2022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.50944.5391+0.66%4.9377+9.50%0.0479✓0.75920k2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.058886+0.66%0.0686+17.26%0.0903✓1.28799k2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.0485+0.67%4.7-6.28%0.0799✗0.17219k2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.247802+0.69%0.2649+7.64%0.0073✓1.22110k2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.261603+0.69%0.2716+4.54%0.0168✗1.1265k2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.311514+0.71%0.37799+22.20%0.1386✓1.13398k2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006746+0.72%0.006078-9.26%0.1294✗0.5239k2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.690945+0.72%0.766+11.66%0.0314✓1.47106k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1919+0.73%2.3862+9.66%0.0266✓1.2032k2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.469064+0.74%0.48951+5.13%0.0055✓0.7668k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.046143+0.75%0.0495+8.08%0.0069✓1.309,0132022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.967358+0.77%1.072+11.67%0.0396✓1.30532k2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.111768+0.78%0.1219+9.92%0.0259✓1.25505k2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000042777+0.79%0.00004643+9.40%0.0257✓1.161.9M2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.841.855+0.82%3.057+66.14%0.4375✓1.28430k2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.097993+0.82%0.1008+3.70%0.0303✗1.206,5342022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3702+0.82%1.444+6.25%0.0097✗1.282.5M2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,632.24+0.83%1,854.12+14.54%0.0654✓1.28404.0M2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.796612+0.84%0.976+23.54%0.1447✓1.20225k2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0023,021.70+0.86%23,962.18+4.98%0.0086✓1.00427.9M2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0038.0725+0.87%9.529+19.07%0.1065✓1.2211.0M2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1484+0.87%1.2251+7.61%0.0136✓1.0547k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7858.2979+0.90%61.61+6.63%0.0009✓1.1513.7M2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.505401+0.90%0.5376+7.33%0.0033✓1.2041.9M2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.329736+0.93%0.3644+11.54%0.0453✓1.138.1M2022-08-10
DASHDashDash48.7749.2235+0.93%54.6+11.95%0.0504✓1.10574k2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.409766+0.95%0.41642+2.59%0.0510✗1.38583k2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006267+0.95%0.006634+6.87%0.0161✓0.848,9962022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4728+0.95%1.6203+11.06%0.0274✓1.40675k2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration61.3161.9112+0.98%62.92+2.63%0.0409✗1.17379k2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.479059+0.98%0.5471+15.32%0.0783✓1.1246k2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003174+1.05%0.003961+26.11%0.1735✓0.991.0M2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.115396+1.06%0.125982+10.33%0.0396✓0.997.0M2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.06852+1.06%0.070307+3.70%0.0076✓0.69364k2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.160512+1.08%0.1861+17.19%0.0875✓1.24508k2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.3659+1.11%9.062+24.39%0.1464✓1.2518.3M2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.059355+1.12%0.0607+3.41%0.0470✗1.43350k2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008286+1.17%0.00837+2.20%0.0337✗0.901.6M2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.152+1.24%10.779+7.49%0.0062✓1.102.0M2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.157124+1.24%0.1652+6.44%0.0097✓1.23102k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash61.8562.6314+1.26%78.7+27.24%0.1676✓1.251.5M2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.740.750043+1.36%0.77+4.05%0.0026✓0.5983k2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.554852+1.75%0.6134+12.49%0.0451✓1.14335k2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.