8=======>

2022-06-14 · +7d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1855
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.6%
in alpha space · 58.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.5650.597662+5.78%0.512-9.38%0.0882✗1.006.6M2022-06-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.047220.049717+5.29%0.05017+6.25%0.1008✓1.3870k2022-06-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,887.885,133.83+5.03%5,116.85+4.68%0.0820✓1.283.7M2022-06-21
COMPCompoundEthereum34.2535.9673+5.01%39.02+13.93%0.1788✓1.4627k2022-06-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.461150.484077+4.97%0.55668+20.72%0.2725✓2.003.5M2022-06-21
APEApeCoinEthereum3.6153.7901+4.85%4.393+21.52%0.2746✓1.9117.0M2022-06-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.77e-73.94e-7+4.37%3.41e-7-9.62%0.0889✗0.831.1M2022-06-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7310.762842+4.36%0.723-1.09%0.0388✓1.395.0M2022-06-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2509860.261839+4.32%0.279615+11.41%0.1636✓1.472.3M2022-06-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.6330.660121+4.28%0.768+21.33%0.2718✓1.811.8M2022-06-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2960.308523+4.23%0.295-0.34%0.0634✓1.63425k2022-06-21
AAVEAaveEthereum62.1164.6921+4.16%66.19+6.57%0.1340✓1.677.6M2022-06-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17680.183833+3.98%0.1783+0.85%0.0674✓1.47196k2022-06-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05590.058107+3.95%0.0664+18.78%0.2134✓1.20153k2022-06-21
XMRMoneroMonero118.2122.7636+3.86%118.72+0.44%0.0428✓1.151.7M2022-06-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.068.3626+3.75%8.4+4.22%0.0816✓1.16502k2022-06-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.820.850037+3.66%0.51-37.80%0.4371✗1.1171k2022-06-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.021146+3.66%0.02156+5.69%0.0923✓1.10151k2022-06-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5930.614101+3.56%0.689+16.19%0.1849✓1.05365k2022-06-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.5417.1204+3.51%16.89+2.12%0.0843✓1.4749.3M2022-06-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.20160.208667+3.51%0.2377+17.91%0.2104✓1.2187k2022-06-21
STXStacksnative0.34310.355+3.47%0.4027+17.37%0.2152✓1.34165k2022-06-21
FLOWFlownative1.5951.6497+3.43%1.461-8.40%0.0550✗1.00592k2022-06-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.5915.0899+3.43%16.14+10.62%0.1532✓1.292.6M2022-06-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002880.002977+3.38%0.002696-6.39%0.0217✓1.172.1M2022-06-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.245280.253554+3.37%0.28453+16.00%0.2044✓1.34453k2022-06-21
XVGVergenative0.003030.003131+3.34%0.00335+10.56%0.1648✓1.46628k2022-06-21
MOVRMoonriverBase15.191115.6943+3.31%11.376-25.11%0.2318✗1.35222k2022-06-21
RADRadworksEthereum1.611.6632+3.30%1.53-4.97%0.0010✓1.24270k2022-06-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137930.142471+3.29%0.14121+2.38%0.1008✓1.65260k2022-06-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9260.956365+3.28%0.802-13.39%0.0396✗2.0522.9M2022-06-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060630.000062617+3.28%0.000058-4.34%0.0838✓2.411.7M2022-06-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin46.147.61+3.28%53.46+15.97%0.1949✓1.1917.5M2022-06-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3576.5645+3.26%6.95+9.33%0.1441✓1.3115.2M2022-06-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0714.5276+3.25%14.88+5.76%0.1196✓1.442.3M2022-06-21
SOLSolanaSolana29.5430.4972+3.24%36.36+23.09%0.2678✓1.38107.4M2022-06-21
SUSHISushiEthereum11.0321+3.21%1.23+23.00%0.2807✓1.581.1M2022-06-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008240.000850152+3.17%0.000801-2.79%0.0335✓1.401.9M2022-06-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044280.045682+3.17%0.04959+11.99%0.1572✓1.1314k2022-06-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.351.3921+3.12%1.374+1.78%0.0714✓1.271.9M2022-06-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19820.204374+3.11%0.2176+9.79%0.1576✓1.43446k2022-06-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006580.006784+3.10%0.00646-1.82%0.0223✓1.07582k2022-06-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.260.267966+3.06%0.272+4.62%0.0887✓1.11847k2022-06-21
HIVEHivenative0.35720.368109+3.05%0.4033+12.91%0.1878✓1.451.2M2022-06-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4020.414273+3.05%0.412+2.49%0.1023✓1.624,1942022-06-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.055850.057551+3.05%0.05353-4.15%0.0059✓1.001,8582022-06-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.581,244.10+3.02%1,124.85-6.85%0.0272✓1.11363.3M2022-06-21
ZECZcashZcash64.0665.9514+2.95%65.69+2.54%0.0860✓1.353.6M2022-06-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.750.77202+2.94%0.699-6.80%0.0239✓1.131.0M2022-06-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1771.2115+2.93%1.344+14.19%0.2027✓1.4973k2022-06-21
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003695+2.91%0.00401+11.70%0.1860✓1.57228k2022-06-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.130.133778+2.91%0.1751+34.69%0.3455✓1.152,8762022-06-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.8541.9075+2.89%3.121+68.34%0.6123✓1.802.9M2022-06-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10160.104488+2.84%0.1161+14.27%0.2027✓1.4649k2022-06-21
DODODODOEthereum0.13510.138913+2.82%0.1252-7.33%0.0072✓1.454.1M2022-06-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22340.229588+2.77%0.2426+8.59%0.1424✓1.3131k2022-06-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4685.6188+2.76%5.965+9.09%0.1494✓1.352.6M2022-06-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06430.066067+2.75%0.0544-15.40%0.1424✗0.78299k2022-06-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8830.907259+2.75%0.913+3.40%0.0728✓1.001.6M2022-06-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3380.347234+2.73%0.355+5.03%0.1018✓1.2015k2022-06-21
KCSKuCoinnative11.91412.2386+2.72%10.874-8.73%0.0438✗1.125.3M2022-06-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.493.5847+2.71%3.02-13.47%0.1198✗0.781.7M2022-06-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.88129.2446+2.67%119.44-5.12%0.0004✓1.194.4M2022-06-21
KSMKusamaHydration51.1852.5279+2.63%53.56+4.65%0.1002✓1.211.0M2022-06-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.318.5288+2.63%8.32+0.12%0.0450✓1.05283k2022-06-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5585.7022+2.59%5.823+4.77%0.1164✓1.4310.9M2022-06-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.816220.837369+2.59%0.94767+16.10%0.2097✓1.295,7412022-06-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.3484+2.59%3.182-2.51%0.0032✓0.724.3M2022-06-21
TRXTRONTron0.0555890.057002+2.54%0.064834+16.63%0.1938✓0.98715k2022-06-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029837+2.53%0.03+3.09%0.0952✓1.35247k2022-06-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15970.163734+2.53%0.1567-1.88%0.0535✓1.46801k2022-06-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10420.106831+2.52%0.1095+5.09%0.1216✓1.465.4M2022-06-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0612.1128+2.52%2.297+11.45%0.1816✓1.47104k2022-06-21
STEEMSteemnative0.19270.197344+2.41%0.2151+11.62%0.1730✓1.31629k2022-06-21
DASHDashDash43.4744.5167+2.41%47+8.12%0.1303✓1.14837k2022-06-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00320.003277+2.40%0.00279-12.81%0.0801✗1.214,6932022-06-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.1267+2.40%3.97-1.49%0.0081✓0.701.7M2022-06-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.31.3312+2.40%1.238-4.77%0.0431✓1.74231k2022-06-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124220.012719+2.39%0.013263+6.77%0.1029✓0.922.0M2022-06-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.670643+2.39%0.64-2.29%0.0445✓1.37578k2022-06-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.228.4154+2.38%9.06+10.22%0.1851✓1.672.7M2022-06-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0183670.018799+2.35%0.02176+18.47%0.2293✓1.259,7572022-06-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.371990.380687+2.34%0.71441+92.05%0.7326✓1.5563k2022-06-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.272440.278809+2.34%0.3113+14.26%0.2086✓1.4811k2022-06-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3611+2.33%1.5+12.78%0.2057✓1.63580k2022-06-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,120.2522,636.55+2.33%20,696.96-6.43%0.0231✓1.00602.3M2022-06-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1953.2695+2.33%2.826-11.55%0.1111✗0.524.5M2022-06-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11050.113077+2.33%0.0811-26.61%0.2440✗1.334,0262022-06-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.710.726325+2.30%0.801+12.82%0.2052✓1.612.9M2022-06-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.734.836+2.24%4.69-0.85%0.0652✓1.44405k2022-06-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8302190.848293+2.18%0.819615-1.28%0.0384✓1.09120k2022-06-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38150.389734+2.16%0.3892+2.02%0.1007✓1.54160k2022-06-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2832.3322+2.15%2.6073+14.20%0.2356✓1.8717k2022-06-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026370.026928+2.12%0.02969+12.59%0.1905✓1.4018k2022-06-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.3278+2.10%2.59+13.60%0.2238✓1.76304k2022-06-21
XECeCashnative0.000038070.000038853+2.06%0.0000382+0.34%0.0738✓1.373.0M2022-06-21
QTUMQtumQtum2.7762.8331+2.05%2.8284+1.89%0.0778✓1.1935k2022-06-21
QNTQuantEthereum47.7948.7587+2.03%56.14+17.47%0.2058✓0.982.0M2022-06-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.00321.0234+2.02%0.76397-23.84%0.2392✗0.806242022-06-21
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.26e-7+2.01%8.20e-7+1.23%0.0514✓0.895.5M2022-06-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6253.6974+2.00%3.533-2.54%0.0007✓0.697.0M2022-06-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.632311+1.99%0.44-29.03%0.2898✗1.0958k2022-06-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8670.883999+1.96%0.652-24.80%0.1844✗1.80319k2022-06-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.055550.056621+1.93%0.065459+17.84%0.2280✓1.251.3M2022-06-21
ZENHorizenBase14.6514.9274+1.89%14.57-0.55%0.0717✓1.4465k2022-06-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.964.0333+1.85%3.58-9.60%0.0816✗0.572.1M2022-06-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,084.6022,491.74+1.84%20,686.90-6.33%0.0180✓0.9929k2022-06-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5150.524361+1.82%0.524+1.75%0.0913✓1.38821k2022-06-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03910.039806+1.81%0.04306+10.13%0.1532✓1.122,9602022-06-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.006560.006677+1.79%0.006361-3.04%0.0225✓1.072,4432022-06-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9091.9427+1.76%1.853-2.93%0.0570✓1.5797k2022-06-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008190.00000833+1.71%0.00001063+29.79%0.3279✓1.26850k2022-06-21
UNIUniswapEthereum3.8573.9228+1.71%4.773+23.75%0.2846✓1.332.9M2022-06-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09820.099865+1.70%0.0965-1.73%0.0445✓1.18733k2022-06-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30830.313445+1.67%0.3257+5.64%0.1201✓1.2314.6M2022-06-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03750.038107+1.62%0.0377+0.53%0.0850✓1.44383k2022-06-21
ADACardanoCardano0.48280.490567+1.61%0.4808-0.41%0.0740✓1.4257.0M2022-06-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.1270.128988+1.57%0.1393+9.69%0.1715✓1.42169k2022-06-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4540.460837+1.51%0.467+2.86%0.1105✓1.46116k2022-06-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3497.4584+1.49%7.751+5.47%0.1243✓1.2913.5M2022-06-21
XTZTezosTezos1.45661.4774+1.43%1.426-2.10%0.0530✓1.33914k2022-06-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.1731.1896+1.41%1.606+36.91%0.3970✓1.46826k2022-06-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.058515+1.41%0.0636+10.23%0.1780✓1.42406k2022-06-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.792.8292+1.41%2.6-6.81%0.0101✓1.12663k2022-06-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050780.051474+1.37%0.05324+4.84%0.1413✓1.621.9M2022-06-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.048148+1.36%0.0473-0.42%0.0852✓1.5520k2022-06-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7511.908+1.34%10.94-6.89%0.0290✓1.71322k2022-06-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09880.100094+1.31%0.1063+7.59%0.1344✓1.127,2892022-06-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006860.006947+1.28%0.006757-1.50%0.0255✓0.80167k2022-06-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019190.019434+1.27%0.01668-13.08%0.1068✗0.69646k2022-06-21
LSKLiskEthereum0.9630380.975167+1.26%1.0482+8.84%0.1549✓1.2448k2022-06-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.095481+1.25%0.0955+1.27%0.0818✓1.23803k2022-06-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.81331.8356+1.23%1.7624-2.81%0.0208✓0.923.2M2022-06-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.218638+1.22%0.256+18.52%0.2730✓1.731.2M2022-06-21
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.402321+1.21%0.37991-4.43%0.0134✗0.66276k2022-06-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.09510.096168+1.12%0.0919-3.36%0.0562✓1.531.2M2022-06-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009340.009442+1.09%0.00962+3.00%0.0897✓1.0713.0M2022-06-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92351.9439+1.06%1.8751-2.52%0.0545✓1.3668k2022-06-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.690.697166+1.04%0.7+1.45%0.1006✓1.45198k2022-06-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.4662+1.03%2.489+1.97%0.0763✓1.0163k2022-06-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9923.0205+0.95%2.952-1.34%0.0351✓0.871.9M2022-06-21
XVSVenusEthereum4.194.229+0.93%4.79+14.32%0.2387✓1.721.6M2022-06-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.292150.294798+0.91%0.37189+27.29%0.3160✓1.26105k2022-06-21
BANDBandEthereum1.4531.4658+0.88%1.433-1.38%0.0812✓1.56353k2022-06-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.424.4573+0.84%4.44+0.45%0.0438✓0.721.6M2022-06-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.7136.7646+0.77%6.85+2.04%0.0991✓1.3039.3M2022-06-21
GTGateEthereum4.44594.4799+0.77%4.2148-5.20%0.0170✗0.662.1M2022-06-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1126380.113494+0.76%0.114472+1.63%0.0808✓1.0910.7M2022-06-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0580.058432+0.74%0.0539-7.07%0.0178✓1.481.7M2022-06-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4291.4396+0.74%1.309-8.40%0.0054✓1.515.1M2022-06-21
XEMNEMnative0.0400010.040297+0.74%0.041542+3.85%0.1199✓1.3429k2022-06-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.009720.00979+0.72%0.00912-6.17%0.0005✓1.061.5M2022-06-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26660.268238+0.61%0.2892+8.48%0.1602✓1.286.1M2022-06-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.536.5681+0.58%6.39-2.14%0.0052✓0.492.0M2022-06-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13660.137256+0.48%0.1089-20.28%0.1665✗0.98267k2022-06-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.821090.824815+0.45%0.84237+2.59%0.1127✓1.38789k2022-06-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146580.014719+0.42%0.016405+11.92%0.1467✓0.57443k2022-06-21
FTTFTXEthereum23.9624.0536+0.39%27.39+14.32%0.1907✓0.919.4M2022-06-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12512.1325+0.35%2.111-0.66%0.0513✓0.923.3M2022-06-21
PROPropyEthereum0.930.932676+0.29%0.87-6.45%0.0185✗0.77187k2022-06-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.06090.060943+0.07%0.0562-7.72%0.0237✓1.57141k2022-06-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.64932.6432-0.23%2.4819-6.32%0.0114✗1.123.0M2022-06-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020140.020091-0.24%0.02356+16.98%0.2844✗1.8838.7M2022-06-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.089337-0.29%0.0752-16.07%0.0746✓1.47381k2022-06-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0504490.050244-0.41%0.05395+6.94%0.1193✗0.7259k2022-06-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60040.596907-0.58%0.8384+39.64%0.4195✗1.202.8M2022-06-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12590.125165-0.58%0.128+1.67%0.0884✗0.993.2M2022-06-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.96553.2126-1.39%63.72+18.08%0.2391✗0.891.2M2022-06-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.3239-1.41%5.597+3.65%0.0689✗0.28235k2022-06-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.631.6052-1.52%1.8+10.43%0.1601✗0.69166k2022-06-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8220.807383-1.78%0.806-1.95%0.0653✗1.011.7M2022-06-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.8162.755-2.17%2.491-11.54%0.0132✓1.321.1M2022-06-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.