2023-08-06 · +30d
gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted
These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
rank IC
–
0 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
–
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
–
in alpha space · – on raw price
BTC over horizon
–
the unhedgeable market factor
Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)
| token | name | chain | anchor px | pred px ▾ | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d | vol 30d | target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSG | Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token | Solana | 3.74 | 3.6292 | -2.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 | 828k | 2023-09-05 |
| KCS | KuCoin | native | 5.614 | 5.4436 | -3.04% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 | 541k | 2023-09-05 |
| POND | Marlin | Ethereum | 0.008448 | 0.008178 | -3.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.06 | 4,410 | 2023-09-05 |
| OG | OG Fan Token | Solana | 3.717 | 3.5965 | -3.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 | 1.4M | 2023-09-05 |
| GT | Gate | Ethereum | 4.1208 | 3.9857 | -3.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 | 322k | 2023-09-05 |
| TRX | TRON | Tron | 0.076815 | 0.074193 | -3.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.49 | 356k | 2023-09-05 |
| ASTR | Astar | Ethereum | 0.05 | 0.048248 | -3.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.29 | 38k | 2023-09-05 |
| LAZIO | Lazio Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 2.211 | 2.1318 | -3.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 | 633k | 2023-09-05 |
| DUSK | DUSK | Ethereum | 0.122 | 0.117624 | -3.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 | 1.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| LEO | LEO Token | Ethereum | 4.0118 | 3.8664 | -3.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.26 | 111k | 2023-09-05 |
| BTT | BitTorrent | Ethereum | 4.70e-7 | 4.53e-7 | -3.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 | 6,599 | 2023-09-05 |
| SANTOS | Santos FC Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 3.149 | 3.0309 | -3.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.97 | 848k | 2023-09-05 |
| NEXO | NEXO | Ethereum | 0.647 | 0.622676 | -3.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 | 494k | 2023-09-05 |
| IOTA | IOTA | IOTA | 0.1691 | 0.162589 | -3.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 732k | 2023-09-05 |
| CTK | Shentu | Osmosis | 0.56 | 0.538271 | -3.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 | 341k | 2023-09-05 |
| FET | Artificial Superintelligence Alliance | Ethereum | 0.1966 | 0.188791 | -3.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 | 74k | 2023-09-05 |
| FIS | Stafi | Ethereum | 0.2622 | 0.251701 | -4.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 | 631 | 2023-09-05 |
| TWT | Trust Wallet | Binance Smart Chain | 0.8922 | 0.856435 | -4.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 1.3M | 2023-09-05 |
| HIVE | Hive | native | 0.3463 | 0.332304 | -4.04% | – | pending | – | – | 0.89 | 428k | 2023-09-05 |
| XEM | NEM | native | 0.030051 | 0.028805 | -4.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.04 | 18k | 2023-09-05 |
| XTZ | Tezos | Tezos | 0.8015 | 0.767722 | -4.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.03 | 67k | 2023-09-05 |
| COMP | Compound | Ethereum | 56.81 | 54.3951 | -4.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 | 14k | 2023-09-05 |
| NANO | nanopay | Base | 0.668965 | 0.640039 | -4.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.51 | 20k | 2023-09-05 |
| XPR | XPR Network | Ethereum | 0.000895 | 0.000855902 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.51 | 271k | 2023-09-05 |
| BRISE | Bitgert | Ethereum | 2.22e-7 | 2.12e-7 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 | 521k | 2023-09-05 |
| BTTC | BTTC | 4.70e-7 | 4.48e-7 | -4.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 | 293k | 2023-09-05 | |
| CITY | Manchester City Fan Token | Solana | 3.36 | 3.2055 | -4.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 | 802k | 2023-09-05 |
| SUN | Sun Token | Tron | 0.005474 | 0.005217 | -4.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.65 | 8,070 | 2023-09-05 |
| BAR | FC Barcelona Fan Token | Solana | 2.753 | 2.6229 | -4.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.28 | 594k | 2023-09-05 |
| DYDX | dYdX | Cosmos | 2.036 | 1.9379 | -4.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 | 63k | 2023-09-05 |
| TKO | Tokocrypto | Binance Smart Chain | 0.2384 | 0.226883 | -4.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.98 | 399k | 2023-09-05 |
| RIF | Rootstock Infrastructure Framework | Ethereum | 0.0766 | 0.072881 | -4.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 | 721k | 2023-09-05 |
| VSYS | V.SYSTEMS | native | 0.001052 | 0.001001 | -4.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 | 3,929 | 2023-09-05 |
| BFC | Bifrost | Ethereum | 0.04314 | 0.041021 | -4.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.59 | 11k | 2023-09-05 |
| WBTC | Wrapped Bitcoin | Ethereum | 29,139.30 | 27,703.94 | -4.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.96 | 4,494 | 2023-09-05 |
| DOGE | Dogecoin | Dogecoin | 0.074159 | 0.070449 | -5.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 | 4.5M | 2023-09-05 |
| XVS | Venus | Ethereum | 4.37 | 4.1507 | -5.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 | 972k | 2023-09-05 |
| MTL | Metal DAO | Metal L2 | 1.368 | 1.2983 | -5.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 | 3.7M | 2023-09-05 |
| IDEX | IDEX | Ethereum | 0.0516 | 0.048963 | -5.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 | 1,057 | 2023-09-05 |
| WOO | WOO | Ethereum | 0.1774 | 0.16832 | -5.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.78 | 9,757 | 2023-09-05 |
| LUNA | Terra | Terra 2 | 0.00007894 | 0.000074896 | -5.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 | 96k | 2023-09-05 |
| MED | Medibloc | Osmosis | 0.01206 | 0.011434 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 | 12k | 2023-09-05 |
| EWT | Energy Web Token | Ethereum | 2.392 | 2.2677 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.43 | 56k | 2023-09-05 |
| AGI | Delysium | Ethereum | 0.054421 | 0.051592 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.38 | 64k | 2023-09-05 |
| ID | SPACE ID | Ethereum | 0.25636 | 0.242955 | -5.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.79 | 4.9M | 2023-09-05 |
| OMG | OMG Network | Ethereum | 0.552375 | 0.523462 | -5.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.61 | 25k | 2023-09-05 |
| CELL | Cellframe | Ethereum | 0.2091 | 0.198117 | -5.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.35 | 32k | 2023-09-05 |
| RUNE | THORChain | THORChain | 0.943 | 0.893405 | -5.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 | 38k | 2023-09-05 |
| STORJ | Storj | Ethereum | 0.29101 | 0.275686 | -5.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 19k | 2023-09-05 |
| CERE | Cere Network | Ethereum | 0.003131 | 0.002966 | -5.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 | 37k | 2023-09-05 |
| UOS | Ultra | Ethereum | 0.18013 | 0.17062 | -5.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 | 84k | 2023-09-05 |
| CBK | Cobak | Ethereum | 0.62604 | 0.592723 | -5.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 | 12k | 2023-09-05 |
| LSK | Lisk | Ethereum | 0.849425 | 0.803844 | -5.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 | 28k | 2023-09-05 |
| PORTO | FC Porto | Binance Smart Chain | 2.192 | 2.0735 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 | 869k | 2023-09-05 |
| DEXE | DeXe | Ethereum | 2.226 | 2.1051 | -5.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 | 165k | 2023-09-05 |
| MOVR | Moonriver | Base | 4.8508 | 4.5858 | -5.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 | 11k | 2023-09-05 |
| QKC | QuarkChain | Ethereum | 0.009661 | 0.009128 | -5.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 318k | 2023-09-05 |
| ENJ | Enjin Coin | Ethereum | 0.288 | 0.272034 | -5.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 | 21k | 2023-09-05 |
| XMR | Monero | Monero | 159.48 | 150.6035 | -5.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 449k | 2023-09-05 |
| BEL | Bella Protocol | Ethereum | 0.6535 | 0.617019 | -5.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 | 1.5M | 2023-09-05 |
| XEC | eCash | native | 0.00002904 | 0.000027413 | -5.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 | 4.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| DODO | DODO | Ethereum | 0.0987 | 0.093077 | -5.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.46 | 562k | 2023-09-05 |
| ATM | Atletico Madrid Fan Token | Solana | 2.763 | 2.6052 | -5.71% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 | 939k | 2023-09-05 |
| PHA | PHALA | Ethereum | 0.091 | 0.08577 | -5.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 4,303 | 2023-09-05 |
| PEOPLE | ConstitutionDAO | Ethereum | 0.01283 | 0.012092 | -5.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 | 779k | 2023-09-05 |
| XYM | Symbol | native | 0.028161 | 0.026525 | -5.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 13k | 2023-09-05 |
| GLMR | Moonbeam | Base | 0.227 | 0.21378 | -5.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.04 | 17k | 2023-09-05 |
| MINA | Mina Protocol | native | 0.435 | 0.409364 | -5.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 | 50k | 2023-09-05 |
| CELR | Celer Network | Ethereum | 0.014292 | 0.013449 | -5.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.57 | 1,481 | 2023-09-05 |
| QTUM | Qtum | Qtum | 2.5767 | 2.4233 | -5.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 | 8,373 | 2023-09-05 |
| ASR | AS Roma Fan Token | Solana | 2.602 | 2.4464 | -5.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 | 612k | 2023-09-05 |
| ORBS | Orbs | Ethereum | 0.02649 | 0.024906 | -5.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 | 4,100 | 2023-09-05 |
| WBETH | Wrapped Beacon ETH | Ethereum | 1,847.95 | 1,736.91 | -6.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 28k | 2023-09-05 |
| BCHSV | Bitcoin Cash SV | 35.412 | 33.268 | -6.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 | 465k | 2023-09-05 | |
| XVG | Verge | native | 0.004242 | 0.003984 | -6.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 | 8.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| NAKA | Nakamoto Games | Polygon | 0.49312 | 0.463005 | -6.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 | 2.0M | 2023-09-05 |
| ACM | AC Milan Fan Token | Solana | 2.227 | 2.0907 | -6.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 | 387k | 2023-09-05 |
| ANKR | Ankr Network | Ethereum | 0.02415 | 0.022671 | -6.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 | 17k | 2023-09-05 |
| JUV | Juventus Fan Token | Solana | 2.377 | 2.231 | -6.14% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 548k | 2023-09-05 |
| BORA | BORA | Klay Token | 0.14206 | 0.13325 | -6.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 13k | 2023-09-05 |
| BAT | Basic Attention | Ethereum | 0.21026 | 0.19721 | -6.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 | 36k | 2023-09-05 |
| RDNT | Radiant Capital | Ethereum | 0.29179 | 0.273415 | -6.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.72 | 451k | 2023-09-05 |
| LMWR | LimeWire | Ethereum | 0.0625 | 0.058558 | -6.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.89 | 1,224 | 2023-09-05 |
| STEEM | Steem | native | 0.1832 | 0.171637 | -6.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 | 405k | 2023-09-05 |
| ALPINE | Alpine F1 Team Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 2.016 | 1.8884 | -6.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 835k | 2023-09-05 |
| NIM | Nimiq | native | 0.0008774 | 0.00082183 | -6.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 | 10k | 2023-09-05 |
| QUICK | Quickswap | Ethereum | 0.045432 | 0.042527 | -6.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 | 520 | 2023-09-05 |
| MANA | Decentraland | Ethereum | 0.37312 | 0.34923 | -6.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 | 60k | 2023-09-05 |
| LRC | Loopring | Ethereum | 0.2166 | 0.202683 | -6.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 | 16k | 2023-09-05 |
| SHIB | Shiba Inu | Ethereum | 0.00000937 | 0.000008768 | -6.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 | 380k | 2023-09-05 |
| OBI | Orbofi AI | Ethereum | 0.010141 | 0.009488 | -6.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.98 | 3,736 | 2023-09-05 |
| GITCOIN | GITCOIN | 1.1717 | 1.0942 | -6.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 | 14k | 2023-09-05 | |
| CWEB | Coinweb | Ethereum | 0.017987 | 0.016779 | -6.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.34 | 54k | 2023-09-05 |
| ELON | Dogelon Mars | Ethereum | 1.54e-7 | 1.43e-7 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 | 1,373 | 2023-09-05 |
| METRONOME | METRONOME | 1.2186 | 1.1365 | -6.74% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 | 11k | 2023-09-05 | |
| MAV | Maverick Protocol | Ethereum | 0.3073 | 0.286285 | -6.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.03 | 6.0M | 2023-09-05 |
| LUNC | Terra Luna Classic | native | 0.00007867 | 0.000073281 | -6.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 41k | 2023-09-05 |
| ADX | heyAura | Ethereum | 0.13865 | 0.129119 | -6.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.80 | 466 | 2023-09-05 |
| POR | Portugal National Team Fan Token | Solana | 0.9906 | 0.922016 | -6.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.44 | 14k | 2023-09-05 |
| USTC | TerraClassicUSD | Terra | 0.015153 | 0.014099 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 | 4.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| DKA | dKargo | Ethereum | 0.03106 | 0.028884 | -7.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.65 | 11k | 2023-09-05 |
| XNO | Nano | native | 0.66243 | 0.615073 | -7.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 13 | 2023-09-05 |
| POLYX | Polymesh | native | 0.12984 | 0.120226 | -7.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 521 | 2023-09-05 |
| GNS | Syli | 4.584 | 4.2435 | -7.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.16 | 615k | 2023-09-05 | |
| SYN | Synapse | Ethereum | 0.5678 | 0.52543 | -7.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 | 25k | 2023-09-05 |
| REQ | Request | Ethereum | 0.07595 | 0.070174 | -7.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.97 | 66 | 2023-09-05 |
| GMX | GMX | Arbitrum | 52.99 | 48.96 | -7.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.29 | 31k | 2023-09-05 |
| PROM | Prom | Ethereum | 4.38 | 4.0332 | -7.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 | 165k | 2023-09-05 |
| CHR | Chromia | Ethereum | 0.1144 | 0.105166 | -8.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 | 524 | 2023-09-05 |
| IOTX | IoTeX | Ethereum | 0.017694 | 0.016255 | -8.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 150 | 2023-09-05 |
| TLM | Alien Worlds | Ethereum | 0.01125 | 0.010327 | -8.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 | 542 | 2023-09-05 |
| KSM | Kusama | Hydration | 21.95 | 20.1435 | -8.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 | 82k | 2023-09-05 |
| SC | Siacoin | native | 0.00361 | 0.003308 | -8.36% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 | 69k | 2023-09-05 |
| NUM | Numbers Protocol | Ethereum | 0.025724 | 0.02356 | -8.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.93 | 148 | 2023-09-05 |
| SLP | Smooth Love Potion | Ethereum | 0.00159 | 0.001456 | -8.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.43 | 109 | 2023-09-05 |
| POKT | Pocket Network | Ethereum | 0.0287 | 0.026227 | -8.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 36k | 2023-09-05 |
| CRO | Cronos | Ethereum | 0.05837 | 0.053146 | -8.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.38 | 7,807 | 2023-09-05 |
| JOE | JOE | Arbitrum | 0.3138 | 0.285688 | -8.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 | 65 | 2023-09-05 |
| GALA | GALA | Ethereum | 0.0235 | 0.021373 | -9.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 | 482k | 2023-09-05 |
| GNO | Gnosis | Ethereum | 111.303 | 101.2163 | -9.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 11 | 2023-09-05 |
| MBL | MovieBloc | Ontology | 0.003394 | 0.003082 | -9.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.33 | 297 | 2023-09-05 |
| LQTY | Liquity | Ethereum | 1.0678 | 0.969371 | -9.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 | 383 | 2023-09-05 |
| ETHW | EthereumPoW | native | 1.6954 | 1.5388 | -9.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 229 | 2023-09-05 |
| DGB | DigiByte | native | 0.007916 | 0.007176 | -9.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.79 | 328 | 2023-09-05 |
| RVN | Ravencoin | native | 0.017635 | 0.015966 | -9.46% | – | pending | – | – | 2.00 | 92 | 2023-09-05 |
| THETA | Theta Network | native | 0.7224 | 0.652952 | -9.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 8 | 2023-09-05 |
| FIDA | Bonfida | Solana | 0.213 | 0.192434 | -9.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.15 | 2,075 | 2023-09-05 |
| HOT | Holo | Ethereum | 0.001293 | 0.001167 | -9.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.72 | 373 | 2023-09-05 |
| XCH | Chia | native | 30.411 | 27.4331 | -9.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 56 | 2023-09-05 |
| ZIL | Zilliqa | Binance Smart Chain | 0.020156 | 0.01815 | -9.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 135 | 2023-09-05 |
| VRA | Verasity | Ethereum | 0.00468 | 0.004212 | -10.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 | 3,915 | 2023-09-05 |
| NEO | NEO | Neo | 8.4799 | 7.6309 | -10.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 18 | 2023-09-05 |
| RONIN | RONIN | Solana | 0.68619 | 0.61664 | -10.14% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 10 | 2023-09-05 |
| ORDI | ORDI | Solana | 5.581 | 5.012 | -10.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 239 | 2023-09-05 |
| IOST | IOST | Binance Smart Chain | 0.008606 | 0.007723 | -10.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.22 | 10 | 2023-09-05 |
| ONG | Ontology Gas | native | 0.2419 | 0.21705 | -10.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 18 | 2023-09-05 |
| STRAX | Xertra | native | 0.46632 | 0.418094 | -10.34% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 5 | 2023-09-05 |
| LADYS | Milady Meme Coin | Ethereum | 2.65e-8 | 2.37e-8 | -10.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 | 3,797 | 2023-09-05 |
| TFUEL | Theta Fuel | native | 0.040726 | 0.036172 | -11.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.77 | 15 | 2023-09-05 |
| IQ | IQ | Ethereum | 0.0054 | 0.004788 | -11.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 4 | 2023-09-05 |
| WAXP | WAX | Ethereum | 0.050292 | 0.044562 | -11.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.72 | 186 | 2023-09-05 |
| BONE | Bone ShibaSwap | Ethereum | 1.6705 | 1.4742 | -11.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 2,805 | 2023-09-05 |
| ONT | Ontology | native | 0.19055 | 0.167678 | -12.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 54 | 2023-09-05 |
| CKB | Nervos Network | native | 0.00295 | 0.002574 | -12.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 701 | 2023-09-05 |
| YGG | Yield Guild Games | Ethereum | 0.544 | 0.462993 | -14.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 | 6,795 | 2023-09-05 |
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add
&limit=2000 to widen.