GNS

Syli · · gru_s8

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 4,002

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1849

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0271

actual -0.0598

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.437	0.415025	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.4395	0.421312	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.429724	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.388532	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.394382	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.428259	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.440773	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.471015	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.492423	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.615823	-14.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.354941	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.37557	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.384515	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.380665	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.370036	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.369998	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.395567	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.415613	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.420912	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.413085	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.424394	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.452697	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.454865	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.469001	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.467414	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.497084	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.471839	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.478746	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.467073	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.46243	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.485507	+1.25%	0.437	-8.86%	0.0916	✗	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.46106	+2.46%	0.4395	-2.33%	0.0294	✗	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.439416	-0.70%	0.454	+2.60%	0.0183	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.434567	-0.33%	0.408	-6.42%	0.0680	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.434008	-0.57%	0.4145	-5.04%	0.0552	✓	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.405147	-2.61%	0.453	+8.89%	0.0705	✗	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.397921	-2.23%	0.467	+14.74%	0.1164	✗	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.398213	-2.28%	0.503	+23.44%	0.1798	✗	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.422527	-0.70%	0.535	+25.73%	0.2095	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.424359	-1.20%	0.7175	+67.05%	0.4750	✗	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.427545	-0.69%	0.369	-14.29%	0.1833	✓	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.439351	-0.71%	0.3875	-12.43%	0.1770	✓	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.437687	-0.53%	0.3985	-9.43%	0.1439	✓	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.472581	+0.66%	0.3935	-16.19%	0.2141	✗	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.489259	+0.67%	0.3835	-21.09%	0.2695	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.492288	+1.09%	0.3815	-21.66%	0.2876	✗	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.497599	+1.97%	0.403	-17.42%	0.2499	✗	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.48915	+2.44%	0.4235	-11.31%	0.1880	✗	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.487342	+2.71%	0.426	-10.22%	0.1870	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.532617	+2.23%	0.421	-19.19%	0.2596	✗	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.518603	+1.29%	0.432	-15.62%	0.2420	✗	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.528807	+1.89%	0.461	-11.18%	0.1993	✗	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.533757	+2.45%	0.467	-10.36%	0.1673	✗	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.516349	+1.84%	0.483	-4.73%	0.1060	✗	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.534524	+2.20%	0.4795	-8.32%	0.1418	✗	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.53651	+2.58%	0.507	-3.06%	0.0984	✗	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.558225	+4.54%	0.4785	-10.39%	0.1799	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.553474	+4.23%	0.486	-8.47%	0.1617	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.557063	+3.93%	0.472	-11.94%	0.2025	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.564324	+4.31%	0.464	-14.23%	0.2298	✗	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.575917	+3.96%	0.4795	-13.45%	0.2393	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.568049	+4.04%	0.45	-17.58%	0.2963	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.562449	+4.74%	0.4425	-17.60%	0.2594	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.531604	+0.49%	0.436	-17.58%	0.2650	✗	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.507718	-2.17%	0.4365	-15.90%	0.2515	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.482477	-3.89%	0.416	-17.13%	0.2620	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.487295	-3.89%	0.407	-19.72%	0.2911	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.484136	-4.32%	0.4075	-19.47%	0.2988	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.49453	-4.53%	0.4255	-17.86%	0.2970	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.49959	-4.66%	0.4295	-18.03%	0.2898	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.501444	-4.67%	0.4305	-18.16%	0.2926	✓	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.499556	-4.66%	0.4425	-15.55%	0.2671	✓	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.504396	-4.83%	0.44	-16.98%	0.2740	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.505175	-4.86%	0.4695	-11.58%	0.2265	✓	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.504604	-4.61%	0.486	-8.13%	0.1823	✓	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.492897	-4.29%	0.487	-5.44%	0.1633	✓	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.483762	-4.02%	0.488	-3.17%	0.1691	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.476365	-3.96%	0.4775	-3.73%	0.1783	✓	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.476202	-3.80%	0.4745	-4.14%	0.1785	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.47746	-3.93%	0.521	+4.83%	0.1089	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.478055	-4.00%	0.512	+2.81%	0.0954	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.479032	-4.00%	0.519	+4.01%	0.0813	✓	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.469378	-4.01%	0.521	+6.54%	0.0778	✓	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.471591	-3.95%	0.507	+3.26%	0.0997	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.475961	-3.46%	0.523	+6.09%	0.0642	✓	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.470053	-3.48%	0.523	+7.39%	0.0646	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.478755	-3.48%	0.534	+7.66%	0.0848	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.480952	-3.42%	0.531	+6.63%	0.0913	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.515083	-3.36%	0.536	+0.56%	0.1195	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.518853	-3.56%	0.541	+0.56%	0.1398	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.514934	-3.39%	0.554	+3.94%	0.0970	✓	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.531835	-3.30%	0.546	-0.73%	0.1215	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.542474	-2.96%	0.537	-3.94%	0.1568	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.544371	-2.62%	0.529	-5.37%	0.1090	✓	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.543777	-3.07%	0.519	-7.49%	0.0982	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.580276	-3.61%	0.502	-16.61%	0.1449	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.585467	-3.55%	0.507	-16.47%	0.1395	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.590404	-3.84%	0.506	-17.59%	0.1390	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.593891	-3.90%	0.518	-16.18%	0.1259	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.611424	-3.86%	0.524	-17.61%	0.1294	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.604745	-3.70%	0.526	-16.24%	0.1173	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.573035	-4.17%	0.524	-12.37%	0.1057	✓	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.585641	-3.99%	0.53	-13.11%	0.0969	✓	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.589198	-4.04%	0.531	-13.52%	0.1058	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.590329	-4.01%	0.529	-13.98%	0.1191	✓	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.580704	-4.17%	0.515	-15.02%	0.1428	✓	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.579319	-4.40%	0.504	-16.83%	0.1742	✓	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.588559	-4.30%	0.496	-19.35%	0.1835	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.601923	-4.30%	0.495	-21.30%	0.2034	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.606956	-4.57%	0.497	-21.86%	0.2060	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.610787	-4.71%	0.498	-22.31%	0.2092	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.604508	-4.80%	0.499	-21.42%	0.2045	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.600599	-4.97%	0.489	-22.63%	0.2225	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.575065	-4.95%	0.491	-18.84%	0.1956	✓	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.541708	-4.63%	0.493	-13.20%	0.1719	✓	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.506907	-3.54%	0.487	-7.33%	0.0914	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.493161	-3.49%	0.496	-2.94%	0.0542	✓	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.499486	-3.57%	0.498	-3.86%	0.0544	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.498914	-3.68%	0.533	+2.90%	0.0061	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.495296	-3.83%	0.538	+4.47%	0.0200	✓	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.503602	-3.89%	0.533	+1.72%	0.0147	✓	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.520224	-4.02%	0.55	+1.48%	0.0234	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.538657	-4.15%	0.559	-0.53%	0.0094	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.544898	-4.40%	0.559	-1.93%	0.0173	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.55657	-4.53%	0.561	-3.77%	0.0052	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.541607	-4.65%	0.602	+5.99%	0.0896	✗	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.541761	-4.79%	0.607	+6.68%	0.0878	✗	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.55573	-5.00%	0.614	+4.96%	0.1071	✗	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.558464	-5.02%	0.618	+5.10%	0.1263	✗	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.572124	-5.28%	0.636	+5.30%	0.1275	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.567958	-5.34%	0.628	+4.67%	0.1104	✗	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.563383	-5.47%	0.598	+0.34%	0.0906	✗	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.573025	-6.22%	0.61	-0.16%	0.0596	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.534134	-5.13%	0.614	+9.06%	0.1363	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.494381	-4.74%	0.615	+18.50%	0.1813	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.474957	-4.63%	0.606	+21.69%	0.2228	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.471447	-4.76%	0.606	+22.42%	0.2629	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.458321	-4.72%	0.615	+27.86%	0.2938	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.439277	-4.50%	0.629	+36.74%	0.3155	✗	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.437411	-4.50%	0.636	+38.86%	0.3394	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.468827	-5.10%	0.641	+29.76%	0.3220	✗	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.499762	-5.71%	0.635	+19.81%	0.2584	✗	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.462868	-4.96%	0.632	+29.77%	0.3848	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.477759	-4.83%	0.605	+20.52%	0.3928	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.479285	-4.71%	0.568	+12.92%	0.3833	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.479267	-4.53%	0.5255	+4.68%	0.2827	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.461855	-4.38%	0.511	+5.80%	0.2965	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.444834	-4.13%	0.518	+11.64%	0.3412	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.449116	-3.42%	0.518	+11.40%	0.3421	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.460255	-2.90%	0.515	+8.65%	0.3352	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.480074	-2.42%	0.524	+6.50%	0.3208	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.466831	-2.34%	0.542	+13.39%	0.3521	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.480513	-2.53%	0.562	+14.00%	0.3216	✗	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.448208	-2.35%	0.57	+24.18%	0.3971	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.457315	-1.86%	0.583	+25.11%	0.4120	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.44709	-1.74%	0.568	+24.84%	0.4199	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.468096	-1.66%	0.569	+19.54%	0.3775	✗	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.487269	-1.76%	0.585	+17.94%	0.3545	✗	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.474462	-1.77%	0.588	+21.74%	0.3758	✗	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.509135	-2.09%	0.604	+16.15%	0.3288	✗	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.532224	-1.62%	0.6	+10.91%	0.2964	✗	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.566955	-0.88%	0.596	+4.20%	0.2649	✗	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.555914	-1.43%	0.611	+8.33%	0.3028	✗	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.590672	-0.56%	0.563	-5.22%	0.1664	✗	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.601408	+0.40%	0.519	-13.36%	0.1143	✓	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.642291	+0.36%	0.498	-22.19%	0.0093	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.571113	-0.33%	0.495	-13.61%	0.0732	✗	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.56008	-0.52%	0.481	-14.56%	0.0538	✗	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.557935	-0.55%	0.46	-18.00%	0.0393	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.554949	+0.35%	0.458	-17.18%	0.0532	✓	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.547988	+0.73%	0.494	-9.19%	0.0699	✓	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.555608	+0.29%	0.53	-4.33%	0.1150	✓	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.543672	-0.43%	0.487	-10.81%	0.0093	✗	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.542878	-0.39%	0.502	-7.89%	0.0066	✓	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.526939	-0.58%	0.503	-5.09%	0.0018	✓	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.490745	-1.85%	0.502	+0.40%	0.0461	✗	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.52283	-2.09%	0.483	-9.55%	0.0569	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.634601	-2.22%	0.464	-28.51%	0.2874	✓	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.676708	-2.07%	0.465	-32.71%	0.3479	✓	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.695484	-1.35%	0.474	-32.77%	0.3583	✓	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.684835	-1.89%	0.492	-29.51%	0.3271	✓	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.687381	-1.94%	0.478	-31.81%	0.3589	✓	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.678128	-1.29%	0.493	-28.24%	0.3042	✓	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.687701	-1.19%	0.459	-34.05%	0.3793	✓	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.688025	-2.41%	0.466	-33.90%	0.4006	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.673341	-2.56%	0.455	-34.15%	0.4065	✓	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.648684	-3.61%	0.476	-29.27%	0.3366	✓	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.690461	-2.34%	0.496	-29.84%	0.3416	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.706904	-1.13%	0.483	-32.45%	0.3836	✓	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.676542	-2.23%	0.52	-24.86%	0.2893	✓	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.683445	-2.37%	0.541	-22.71%	0.2712	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.692342	-2.76%	0.572	-19.66%	0.2522	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.685444	-2.50%	0.564	-19.77%	0.2393	✓	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.669609	-3.79%	0.594	-14.66%	0.2062	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.700153	-3.16%	0.599	-17.15%	0.2304	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.706041	-2.88%	0.64	-11.97%	0.1765	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.705522	-3.22%	0.573	-21.40%	0.2851	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.705251	-3.26%	0.563	-22.77%	0.3051	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.724091	-3.33%	0.561	-25.10%	0.3257	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.694714	-4.05%	0.553	-23.62%	0.3391	✓	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.690324	-3.99%	0.544	-24.34%	0.3434	✓	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.69424	-4.37%	0.554	-23.69%	0.3391	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.691224	-4.26%	0.546	-24.38%	0.3414	✓	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.692034	-4.28%	0.545	-24.62%	0.3461	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.706736	-4.24%	0.53	-28.18%	0.3794	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.702342	-4.18%	0.5	-31.79%	0.4139	✓	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.690616	-4.21%	0.534	-25.94%	0.3408	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.68312	-3.92%	0.649	-8.72%	0.1475	✓	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.696043	-3.46%	0.691	-4.16%	0.1086	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.703391	-3.11%	0.705	-2.89%	0.1096	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.730208	-2.64%	0.698	-6.93%	0.1239	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.769196	-2.14%	0.701	-10.81%	0.1459	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.775313	-2.23%	0.687	-13.37%	0.1879	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.779758	-1.92%	0.696	-12.45%	0.1768	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.740247	-2.34%	0.705	-6.99%	0.1226	✓	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.75826	-2.29%	0.691	-10.95%	0.1529	✓	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.781389	-1.84%	0.673	-15.45%	0.1780	✓	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.775837	-1.79%	0.707	-10.51%	0.1426	✓	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.810655	-1.62%	0.715	-13.23%	0.1753	✓	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.875749	-1.05%	0.692	-21.81%	0.2456	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.869425	-0.41%	0.7	-19.82%	0.2163	✓	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.842213	-1.15%	0.712	-16.43%	0.1793	✓	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.825083	-1.54%	0.703	-16.11%	0.1874	✓	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.823372	-1.39%	0.696	-16.65%	0.1664	✓	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.819018	-1.44%	0.723	-13.00%	0.1468	✓	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.803008	-1.47%	0.727	-10.80%	0.1237	✓	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.774731	-1.56%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0768	✓	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.771477	-1.97%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0803	✓	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.756246	-2.29%	0.749	-3.23%	0.0639	✓	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.759532	-2.12%	0.724	-6.70%	0.0627	✓	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.764814	-1.82%	0.719	-7.70%	0.0700	✓	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.784851	-1.40%	0.726	-8.79%	0.0450	✓	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.795402	-1.07%	0.722	-10.20%	0.0440	✓	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.782932	-1.77%	0.723	-9.28%	0.0654	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.791617	-1.85%	0.738	-8.49%	0.0630	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.761938	-1.94%	0.733	-5.66%	0.0630	✓	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.779861	-2.03%	0.721	-9.42%	0.0762	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.789454	-2.17%	0.711	-11.90%	0.1057	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.81474	-2.31%	0.721	-13.55%	0.1104	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.813695	-2.20%	0.726	-12.74%	0.0976	✓	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.746373	-1.79%	0.75	-1.32%	0.0397	✓	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.753995	-1.95%	0.786	+2.21%	0.0198	✓	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.742497	-1.79%	0.793	+4.89%	0.0383	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.746309	-1.93%	0.795	+4.47%	0.0353	✗	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.721175	-1.75%	0.758	+3.27%	0.0512	✗	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.700042	-1.54%	0.776	+9.14%	0.0843	✗	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.702462	-1.62%	0.796	+11.48%	0.0857	✗	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.819735	-2.53%	0.79	-6.06%	0.0593	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.841348	-2.62%	0.824	-4.63%	0.0420	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.838437	-2.62%	0.885	+2.79%	0.0090	✓	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.853828	-2.75%	0.873	-0.57%	0.0215	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.854908	-2.96%	0.852	-3.29%	0.0387	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.825804	-2.85%	0.838	-1.41%	0.0306	✓	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.79402	-2.69%	0.835	+2.33%	0.0156	✓	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.818831	-3.21%	0.831	-1.77%	0.0004	✓	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.854069	-3.60%	0.815	-8.01%	0.0477	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.859266	-3.67%	0.787	-11.77%	0.0851	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.870238	-3.63%	0.787	-12.85%	0.0933	✓	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.848307	-3.49%	0.774	-11.95%	0.0502	✓	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.785889	-2.50%	0.776	-3.72%	0.0531	✓	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.835643	-3.62%	0.779	-10.15%	0.0212	✓	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.860866	-3.92%	0.796	-11.16%	0.0328	✓	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.878518	-3.99%	0.804	-12.13%	0.0315	✓	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.864598	-3.83%	0.797	-11.35%	0.0030	✓	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.888231	-3.87%	0.8065	-12.72%	0.0049	✓	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.911914	-3.81%	0.777	-18.04%	0.0383	✓	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.900134	-3.73%	0.796	-14.87%	0.0658	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.946758	-3.19%	0.807	-17.48%	0.0889	✗	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.946554	-2.82%	0.834	-14.37%	0.0998	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.92412	-2.62%	0.832	-12.33%	0.1021	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.887704	-2.66%	0.76	-16.67%	0.0787	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.915808	-2.57%	0.769	-18.19%	0.0738	✗	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.909771	-2.18%	0.756	-18.71%	0.0377	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.892877	-2.10%	0.761	-16.56%	0.0586	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.892351	-2.05%	0.734	-19.43%	0.0230	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.92179	-2.46%	0.711	-24.76%	0.0358	✓	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.964123	-1.92%	0.714	-27.37%	0.0318	✓	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.973875	-1.73%	0.841	-15.14%	0.1184	✗	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	0.993908	-1.20%	0.864	-14.12%	0.1203	✗	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	1.0066	-0.73%	0.861	-15.09%	0.1094	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.981698	-0.54%	0.878	-11.04%	0.1437	✗	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	1.0243	-0.17%	0.881	-14.13%	0.1208	✗	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.943398	-0.80%	0.85	-10.62%	0.1734	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	0.982937	-2.39%	0.816	-18.97%	0.0854	✗	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	0.98181	-2.50%	0.846	-15.99%	0.0979	✗	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.047	-2.88%	0.886	-17.81%	0.0649	✗	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.0491	-2.68%	0.892	-17.25%	0.0705	✗	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.0588	-2.60%	0.903	-16.93%	0.0952	✗	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.0873	-2.57%	0.879	-21.24%	0.0964	✗	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.1343	-1.96%	0.806	-30.34%	0.1408	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.1304	-2.13%	0.867	-24.94%	0.0369	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.1294	-2.55%	0.896	-22.69%	0.0045	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.1365	-2.62%	0.915	-21.59%	0.0398	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.13	-2.75%	0.899	-22.63%	0.0334	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.1177	-2.72%	0.924	-19.58%	0.0402	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.1063	-2.61%	0.948	-16.55%	0.1062	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.1095	-2.24%	0.935	-17.62%	0.1158	✓	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.0936	-2.27%	0.978	-12.60%	0.1408	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.0834	-2.05%	0.974	-11.93%	0.1239	✓	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.1174	-2.07%	0.949	-16.83%	0.1696	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.1743	-2.38%	0.912	-24.19%	0.2422	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.2022	-2.50%	0.94	-23.76%	0.2734	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.2332	-2.59%	0.93	-26.54%	0.3089	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.2644	-2.74%	0.912	-29.85%	0.3564	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2533	-2.55%	0.911	-29.16%	0.3308	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.2414	-2.56%	0.945	-25.82%	0.2679	✓	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.2341	-2.59%	0.983	-22.42%	0.2903	✓	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2473	-2.63%	0.991	-22.64%	0.3120	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.1859	-2.64%	1.006	-17.41%	0.3073	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.196	-2.68%	1.014	-17.49%	0.3029	✓	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.2308	-2.78%	0.987	-22.04%	0.3340	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.2046	-2.85%	1.026	-17.26%	0.3149	✓	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.247	-2.96%	0.951	-25.99%	0.3764	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.2825	-2.92%	1.007	-23.77%	0.2556	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.2723	-2.73%	1.007	-23.01%	0.2427	✓	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.3167	-2.61%	1.078	-20.27%	0.1682	✓	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.3535	-2.77%	1.078	-22.56%	0.2050	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.3987	-2.87%	1.087	-24.51%	0.2276	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.3521	-3.01%	1.116	-19.94%	0.2012	✓	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.3484	-3.06%	1.157	-16.82%	0.2019	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.37	-3.25%	1.155	-18.43%	0.2395	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.347	-3.02%	1.159	-16.56%	0.1829	✓	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.4129	-2.83%	1.167	-19.74%	0.1688	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.4431	-2.62%	1.162	-21.59%	0.1645	✓	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.3918	-2.60%	1.149	-19.59%	0.1527	✓	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.3533	-2.85%	1.136	-18.45%	0.1953	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.4279	-3.00%	1.135	-22.89%	0.1974	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.4279	-3.09%	1.119	-24.06%	0.1831	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.4437	-3.24%	1.106	-25.87%	0.2172	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.4462	-3.33%	1.141	-23.73%	0.1800	✓	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.4314	-3.55%	1.203	-18.94%	0.1220	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.414	-3.88%	1.233	-16.18%	0.1343	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.4082	-3.94%	1.266	-13.64%	0.0952	✓	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.3438	-3.74%	1.3	-6.88%	0.0438	✓	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.3253	-3.75%	1.286	-6.61%	0.0989	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.3179	-3.74%	1.274	-6.94%	0.0969	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.3582	-4.02%	1.267	-10.46%	0.1008	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.3897	-4.29%	1.281	-11.78%	0.0184	✓	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.3971	-4.50%	1.218	-16.75%	0.0040	✓	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.3668	-4.42%	1.229	-14.06%	0.0065	✓	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.365	-4.48%	1.266	-11.41%	0.0440	✓	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.3837	-4.64%	1.24	-14.54%	0.0629	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.3408	-4.43%	1.285	-8.41%	0.0763	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.3614	-4.39%	1.321	-7.23%	0.1502	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.402	-4.49%	1.308	-10.90%	0.1471	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.4036	-4.38%	1.352	-7.90%	0.1606	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.4521	-4.40%	1.392	-8.36%	0.2175	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.4422	-4.43%	1.44	-4.57%	0.2257	✗	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.4174	-4.43%	1.394	-6.00%	0.2112	✗	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.4515	-4.63%	1.391	-8.61%	0.2017	✗	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.3239	-3.93%	1.416	+2.76%	0.2940	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3432	-3.85%	1.389	-0.57%	0.3060	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.2967	-3.59%	1.454	+8.10%	0.2922	✗	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3442	-3.36%	1.482	+6.54%	0.3497	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.4733	-3.52%	1.429	-6.42%	0.3315	✗	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.4729	-3.45%	1.393	-8.69%	0.4082	✗	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4473	-3.26%	1.472	-1.60%	0.3848	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.4082	-3.21%	1.4735	+1.27%	0.3813	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.4089	-3.17%	1.492	+2.54%	0.4279	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.4168	-2.76%	1.496	+2.68%	0.4766	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.4296	-2.82%	1.484	+0.88%	0.4995	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4491	-3.14%	1.471	-1.67%	0.5552	✗	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.3851	-3.28%	1.466	+2.37%	0.5280	✗	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.3813	-3.27%	1.396	-2.24%	0.5080	✗	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3561	-3.13%	1.377	-1.64%	0.5452	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.3443	-3.22%	1.369	-1.44%	0.4980	✗	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.3418	-3.19%	1.415	+2.09%	0.5136	✗	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.3586	-3.51%	1.452	+3.12%	0.4613	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.3504	-3.48%	1.463	+4.57%	0.4018	✗	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.327	-3.49%	1.43	+4.00%	0.3872	✗	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.3095	-3.43%	1.429	+5.38%	0.3390	✗	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.2961	-3.35%	1.451	+8.20%	0.3713	✗	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.3274	-3.11%	1.403	+2.41%	0.3908	✗	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.3622	-2.63%	1.424	+1.79%	0.3137	✗	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.4064	-2.33%	1.468	+1.94%	0.3118	✗	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.3115	-2.27%	1.468	+9.39%	0.3434	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.2562	-2.47%	1.519	+17.93%	0.2839	✗	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.3061	-2.60%	1.509	+12.53%	0.3051	✗	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.6486	-2.16%	1.483	-11.99%	0.2181	✗	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.735	-2.09%	1.522	-14.11%	0.2002	✗	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.7075	-2.48%	1.378	-21.30%	0.1179	✗	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.8341	-1.81%	1.397	-25.21%	0.0558	✗	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.7788	-2.16%	1.345	-26.02%	0.0726	✗	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.8117	-2.33%	1.391	-25.01%	0.0131	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.859	-2.31%	1.527	-19.76%	0.0137	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.9225	-3.05%	1.5255	-23.07%	0.0618	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.8588	-3.19%	1.496	-22.08%	0.0694	✓	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.7392	-3.59%	1.455	-19.35%	0.0817	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.8058	-4.00%	1.455	-22.65%	0.1488	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.7622	-4.23%	1.457	-20.82%	0.2014	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.7275	-4.35%	1.471	-18.55%	0.2337	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.7087	-4.38%	1.496	-16.28%	0.2138	✓	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.6552	-4.27%	1.432	-17.18%	0.1895	✓	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.7909	-4.23%	1.428	-23.64%	0.1882	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.7577	-3.95%	1.4	-23.50%	0.1956	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.8441	-4.20%	1.389	-27.84%	0.1911	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	2.0761	-4.59%	1.386	-36.31%	0.2902	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	2.0589	-4.50%	1.408	-34.69%	0.3120	✓	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	2.0399	-4.41%	1.399	-34.44%	0.2984	✓	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.1898	-4.58%	1.375	-40.09%	0.3596	✓	1.20

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.