GNS

Syli · · gru_s8

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 3,999

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0796

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0100

actual -0.0169

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.499	0.486732	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.442017	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.401119	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.407633	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.443284	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.457166	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.488759	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.512698	-4.17%	0.499	-6.73%	0.0418	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.657899	-8.31%	0.454	-36.72%	0.3692	✓	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.365559	-0.93%	0.408	+10.57%	0.1091	✗	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.385202	-0.59%	0.4145	+6.97%	0.0866	✗	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.395653	-0.71%	0.453	+13.68%	0.1477	✗	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.390846	-0.67%	0.467	+18.68%	0.1864	✗	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.380604	-0.76%	0.503	+31.16%	0.2754	✗	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.379413	-0.55%	0.535	+40.24%	0.3576	✗	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.402128	-0.22%	0.7175	+78.04%	0.5977	✗	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.422469	-0.24%	0.369	-12.87%	0.1047	✓	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.425505	-0.12%	0.3875	-9.04%	0.0721	✓	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.419682	-0.31%	0.3985	-5.34%	0.0378	✓	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.430394	-0.37%	0.3935	-8.91%	0.0746	✓	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.458531	-0.54%	0.3835	-16.81%	0.1548	✓	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.462692	-0.92%	0.3815	-18.31%	0.1908	✓	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.479085	-0.81%	0.403	-16.56%	0.1876	✓	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.475636	-0.81%	0.4235	-11.68%	0.1346	✓	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.500996	-1.18%	0.426	-15.98%	0.1760	✓	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.475842	-0.56%	0.421	-12.02%	0.1247	✓	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.482158	-0.79%	0.432	-11.11%	0.1127	✓	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.469976	-0.43%	0.461	-2.33%	0.0225	✓	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.462459	-0.33%	0.467	+0.65%	0.0156	✗	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.478176	-0.28%	0.483	+0.73%	0.0278	✗	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.450214	+0.05%	0.4795	+6.56%	0.0857	✓	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.441052	-0.33%	0.507	+14.58%	0.1130	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.435646	-0.08%	0.4785	+9.75%	0.0685	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.436759	+0.06%	0.486	+11.34%	0.0810	✓	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.416401	+0.10%	0.472	+13.46%	0.0609	✓	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.408267	+0.31%	0.464	+14.00%	0.0619	✓	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.409522	+0.50%	0.4795	+17.67%	0.0725	✓	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.428819	+0.78%	0.45	+5.76%	0.0156	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.433208	+0.86%	0.4425	+3.03%	0.0140	✗	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.43523	+1.10%	0.436	+1.28%	0.0303	✗	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.447866	+1.21%	0.4365	-1.36%	0.0553	✗	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.4459	+1.34%	0.416	-5.45%	0.0679	✗	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.476847	+1.56%	0.407	-13.31%	0.1422	✗	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.493512	+1.55%	0.4075	-16.15%	0.1677	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.494847	+1.61%	0.4255	-12.63%	0.1436	✗	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.496559	+1.75%	0.4295	-11.99%	0.1170	✗	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.486146	+1.81%	0.4305	-9.84%	0.1015	✗	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.482829	+1.76%	0.4425	-6.74%	0.0672	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.530058	+1.74%	0.44	-15.55%	0.1513	✗	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.518356	+1.24%	0.4695	-8.30%	0.1074	✗	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.525652	+1.28%	0.486	-6.36%	0.0875	✗	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.52838	+1.42%	0.487	-6.53%	0.0852	✗	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.512473	+1.08%	0.488	-3.75%	0.0668	✗	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.529137	+1.17%	0.4775	-8.70%	0.1130	✗	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.528855	+1.12%	0.4745	-9.27%	0.1204	✗	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.541784	+1.46%	0.521	-2.43%	0.0454	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.536515	+1.04%	0.512	-3.58%	0.0355	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.53974	+0.70%	0.519	-3.17%	0.0318	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.543925	+0.54%	0.521	-3.70%	0.0403	✗	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.554291	+0.05%	0.507	-8.48%	0.0887	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.545031	-0.18%	0.523	-4.21%	0.0495	✓	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.537722	+0.13%	0.523	-2.61%	0.0243	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.524782	-0.80%	0.534	+0.95%	0.0419	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.51211	-1.33%	0.531	+2.31%	0.0491	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.494866	-1.42%	0.536	+6.77%	0.0532	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.499665	-1.45%	0.541	+6.71%	0.0559	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.498502	-1.48%	0.554	+9.49%	0.0401	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.510346	-1.48%	0.546	+5.41%	0.0693	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.515993	-1.53%	0.537	+2.48%	0.1125	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.517843	-1.55%	0.529	+0.57%	0.0786	✓	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.515761	-1.57%	0.519	-0.95%	0.0595	✓	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.52153	-1.60%	0.502	-5.28%	0.0514	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.522313	-1.64%	0.507	-4.52%	0.0364	✓	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.520066	-1.69%	0.506	-4.35%	0.0035	✓	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.507364	-1.48%	0.518	+0.58%	0.0434	✗	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.496452	-1.50%	0.524	+3.97%	0.0790	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.489329	-1.34%	0.526	+6.05%	0.0833	✗	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.489006	-1.21%	0.524	+5.86%	0.0846	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.491119	-1.18%	0.53	+6.64%	0.0829	✗	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.492114	-1.18%	0.531	+6.63%	0.0702	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.493243	-1.15%	0.529	+6.01%	0.0528	✗	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.484094	-1.00%	0.515	+5.32%	0.0346	✗	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.486068	-1.00%	0.504	+2.65%	0.0100	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.487875	-1.04%	0.496	+0.61%	0.0224	✗	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.482633	-0.90%	0.495	+1.64%	0.0158	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.491396	-0.93%	0.497	+0.20%	0.0086	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.493461	-0.91%	0.498	+0.00%	0.0123	✗	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.526759	-1.17%	0.499	-6.38%	0.0294	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.531672	-1.18%	0.489	-9.11%	0.0624	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.527091	-1.11%	0.491	-7.88%	0.0535	✓	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.543341	-1.21%	0.493	-10.36%	0.0928	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.552175	-1.22%	0.487	-12.88%	0.0965	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.552299	-1.20%	0.496	-11.27%	0.0722	✓	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.553336	-1.37%	0.498	-11.23%	0.0854	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.593421	-1.43%	0.533	-11.46%	0.1163	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.598083	-1.47%	0.538	-11.37%	0.0990	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.604371	-1.57%	0.533	-13.19%	0.1284	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.60778	-1.65%	0.55	-11.00%	0.1180	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.624359	-1.83%	0.559	-12.11%	0.1297	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.616273	-1.87%	0.559	-10.99%	0.1187	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.588112	-1.65%	0.561	-6.19%	0.0883	✓	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.599434	-1.73%	0.602	-1.31%	0.0088	✓	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.603038	-1.79%	0.607	-1.14%	0.0067	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.603834	-1.82%	0.614	-0.16%	0.0198	✗	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.595113	-1.80%	0.618	+1.98%	0.0299	✗	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.594905	-1.83%	0.636	+4.95%	0.0341	✗	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.603446	-1.88%	0.628	+2.11%	0.0182	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.616407	-2.00%	0.598	-4.93%	0.0073	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.622633	-2.10%	0.61	-4.09%	0.0226	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.626327	-2.29%	0.614	-4.21%	0.0290	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.620903	-2.22%	0.615	-3.15%	0.0303	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.616914	-2.39%	0.606	-4.11%	0.0402	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.589206	-2.61%	0.606	+0.17%	0.0019	✓	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.55589	-2.13%	0.615	+8.27%	0.0402	✗	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.519827	-1.08%	0.629	+19.70%	0.1379	✗	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.506592	-0.86%	0.636	+24.46%	0.1711	✗	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.513092	-0.95%	0.641	+23.75%	0.1792	✗	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.513016	-0.96%	0.635	+22.59%	0.1785	✗	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.510352	-0.90%	0.632	+22.72%	0.1889	✗	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.518507	-1.05%	0.605	+15.46%	0.1686	✗	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.535373	-1.22%	0.568	+4.80%	0.1173	✗	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.554135	-1.40%	0.5255	-6.49%	0.0017	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.561649	-1.47%	0.511	-10.35%	0.0425	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.573584	-1.62%	0.518	-11.15%	0.0424	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.559486	-1.50%	0.518	-8.80%	0.0288	✓	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.560496	-1.49%	0.515	-9.49%	0.0400	✓	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.575223	-1.67%	0.524	-10.43%	0.0458	✓	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.577775	-1.74%	0.542	-7.82%	0.0232	✓	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.592311	-1.94%	0.562	-6.95%	0.0201	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.58798	-2.00%	0.57	-5.00%	0.0034	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.583223	-2.14%	0.583	-2.18%	0.0025	✓	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.59298	-2.95%	0.568	-7.04%	0.0421	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.552815	-1.81%	0.569	+1.07%	0.0388	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.512682	-1.22%	0.585	+12.72%	0.0906	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.493332	-0.94%	0.588	+18.07%	0.1216	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.489908	-1.03%	0.604	+22.02%	0.1649	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.476819	-0.87%	0.6	+24.74%	0.1967	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.459345	-0.14%	0.596	+29.57%	0.2112	✗	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.457726	-0.06%	0.611	+33.41%	0.2545	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.489255	-0.96%	0.563	+13.97%	0.1435	✗	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.522808	-1.36%	0.519	-2.08%	0.0252	✗	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.481773	-1.07%	0.498	+2.26%	0.1036	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.49558	-1.28%	0.495	-1.39%	0.1099	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.496466	-1.30%	0.481	-4.37%	0.1086	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.495571	-1.28%	0.46	-8.37%	0.1055	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.477108	-1.22%	0.458	-5.18%	0.1304	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.458786	-1.12%	0.494	+6.47%	0.2050	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.46054	-0.96%	0.53	+13.98%	0.2792	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.469914	-0.86%	0.487	+2.74%	0.1558	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.488064	-0.80%	0.502	+2.03%	0.1070	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.473856	-0.87%	0.503	+5.23%	0.1042	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.488208	-0.97%	0.502	+1.83%	0.0627	✗	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.455419	-0.78%	0.483	+5.23%	0.0836	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.4628	-0.69%	0.464	-0.43%	0.0505	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.451866	-0.69%	0.465	+2.20%	0.0664	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.472805	-0.67%	0.474	-0.42%	0.0138	✗	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.492397	-0.73%	0.492	-0.81%	0.0046	✓	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.479288	-0.77%	0.478	-1.04%	0.0028	✓	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.516484	-0.68%	0.493	-5.19%	0.0284	✓	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.537913	-0.57%	0.459	-15.16%	0.1140	✓	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.570017	-0.35%	0.466	-18.53%	0.1598	✓	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.560134	-0.69%	0.455	-19.33%	0.1861	✓	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.591078	-0.49%	0.476	-19.87%	0.1736	✓	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.597157	-0.31%	0.496	-17.20%	0.1303	✓	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.637221	-0.43%	0.483	-24.53%	0.2219	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.569825	-0.55%	0.52	-9.25%	0.0633	✓	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.559284	-0.66%	0.541	-3.91%	0.0209	✓	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.557103	-0.69%	0.572	+1.96%	0.0151	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.550799	-0.40%	0.564	+1.99%	0.0464	✗	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.541644	-0.43%	0.594	+9.19%	0.0961	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.550509	-0.63%	0.599	+8.12%	0.0674	✗	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.541047	-0.91%	0.64	+17.22%	0.1350	✗	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.539972	-0.92%	0.573	+5.14%	0.0413	✗	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.52458	-1.02%	0.563	+6.23%	0.0527	✗	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.492992	-1.40%	0.561	+12.20%	0.0965	✗	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.526142	-1.47%	0.553	+3.56%	0.0007	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.640434	-1.32%	0.544	-16.18%	0.2033	✓	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.682252	-1.27%	0.554	-19.83%	0.2298	✓	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.697072	-1.12%	0.546	-22.55%	0.2433	✓	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.688746	-1.33%	0.545	-21.92%	0.2432	✓	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.69113	-1.41%	0.53	-24.39%	0.2723	✓	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.679603	-1.08%	0.5	-27.22%	0.2892	✓	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.688199	-1.12%	0.534	-23.28%	0.2315	✓	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.694373	-1.51%	0.649	-7.94%	0.0673	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.680583	-1.51%	0.691	+0.00%	0.0016	✓	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.661775	-1.67%	0.705	+4.75%	0.0192	✗	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.695622	-1.61%	0.698	-1.27%	0.0137	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.705591	-1.32%	0.701	-1.96%	0.0098	✓	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.682368	-1.39%	0.687	-0.72%	0.0209	✓	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.691024	-1.28%	0.696	-0.57%	0.0229	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.701986	-1.41%	0.705	-0.98%	0.0156	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.694407	-1.22%	0.691	-1.71%	0.0182	✓	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.686812	-1.32%	0.673	-3.30%	0.0488	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.713534	-1.31%	0.707	-2.21%	0.0329	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.717451	-1.31%	0.715	-1.65%	0.0395	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.719625	-1.29%	0.692	-5.08%	0.0695	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.719692	-1.28%	0.7	-3.98%	0.0618	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.738535	-1.40%	0.712	-4.94%	0.0571	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.713766	-1.41%	0.703	-2.90%	0.0668	✓	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.710842	-1.13%	0.696	-3.20%	0.0377	✓	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.717694	-1.14%	0.723	-0.41%	0.0474	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.713956	-1.11%	0.727	+0.69%	0.0389	✓	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.714427	-1.19%	0.729	+0.83%	0.0266	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.728966	-1.22%	0.729	-1.22%	0.0282	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.724073	-1.22%	0.749	+2.18%	0.0010	✓	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.713182	-1.08%	0.724	+0.42%	0.0055	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.704796	-0.87%	0.719	+1.13%	0.0098	✓	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.714783	-0.86%	0.726	+0.69%	0.0060	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.719849	-0.85%	0.722	-0.55%	0.0030	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.742405	-1.01%	0.723	-3.60%	0.0085	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.777296	-1.11%	0.738	-6.11%	0.0226	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.784392	-1.09%	0.733	-7.57%	0.0463	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.786475	-1.07%	0.721	-9.31%	0.0483	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.751229	-0.89%	0.711	-6.20%	0.0374	✓	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.768419	-0.98%	0.721	-7.09%	0.0398	✓	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.78828	-0.97%	0.726	-8.79%	0.0446	✓	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.782568	-0.94%	0.75	-5.06%	0.0322	✓	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.815388	-1.05%	0.786	-4.61%	0.0372	✓	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.874311	-1.21%	0.793	-10.40%	0.0689	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.863003	-1.15%	0.795	-8.93%	0.0481	✓	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.84166	-1.21%	0.758	-11.03%	0.0610	✓	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.827597	-1.24%	0.776	-7.40%	0.0439	✓	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.824729	-1.23%	0.796	-4.67%	0.0315	✓	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.820658	-1.24%	0.79	-4.93%	0.0327	✓	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.804848	-1.25%	0.824	+1.10%	0.0144	✗	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.778857	-1.03%	0.885	+12.45%	0.0937	✗	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.778913	-1.03%	0.873	+10.93%	0.0581	✗	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.766917	-0.92%	0.852	+10.08%	0.0430	✗	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.769249	-0.87%	0.838	+7.99%	0.0493	✗	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.772437	-0.84%	0.835	+7.19%	0.0522	✗	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.788622	-0.93%	0.831	+4.40%	0.0555	✗	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.796278	-0.96%	0.815	+1.37%	0.0456	✗	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.790072	-0.87%	0.787	-1.25%	0.0196	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.799038	-0.93%	0.787	-2.42%	0.0112	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.77176	-0.67%	0.774	-0.39%	0.0009	✓	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.789595	-0.80%	0.776	-2.51%	0.0203	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.800446	-0.81%	0.779	-3.47%	0.0499	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.825351	-1.04%	0.796	-4.56%	0.0693	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.822739	-1.11%	0.804	-3.37%	0.0681	✓	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.756391	-0.47%	0.797	+4.87%	0.0117	✗	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.763455	-0.72%	0.8065	+4.88%	0.0155	✗	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.751192	-0.64%	0.777	+2.78%	0.0519	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.757168	-0.50%	0.796	+4.60%	0.0597	✗	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.731848	-0.29%	0.807	+9.95%	0.1188	✗	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.711244	+0.03%	0.834	+17.30%	0.1542	✓	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.715651	+0.23%	0.832	+16.53%	0.1352	✓	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.836444	-0.54%	0.76	-9.63%	0.0635	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.857615	-0.74%	0.769	-11.00%	0.0696	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.855068	-0.69%	0.756	-12.20%	0.1124	✓	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.87047	-0.86%	0.761	-13.33%	0.1179	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.87444	-0.74%	0.734	-16.69%	0.1676	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.84885	-0.14%	0.711	-16.35%	0.1843	✓	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.81659	+0.07%	0.714	-12.50%	0.1287	✗	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.843461	-0.30%	0.841	-0.59%	0.0090	✗	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.880363	-0.64%	0.864	-2.48%	0.0080	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.886491	-0.62%	0.861	-3.48%	0.0162	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.899008	-0.44%	0.878	-2.77%	0.0284	✓	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.875004	-0.45%	0.881	+0.23%	0.0221	✗	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.82341	+2.16%	0.85	+5.46%	0.0006	✓	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.86227	-0.55%	0.816	-5.88%	0.0051	✓	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.887439	-0.96%	0.846	-5.58%	0.0186	✗	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.90345	-1.26%	0.886	-3.17%	0.0637	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.890458	-0.95%	0.892	-0.78%	0.0661	✗	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.913365	-1.15%	0.903	-2.27%	0.0854	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.934203	-1.46%	0.879	-7.28%	0.0811	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.922039	-1.39%	0.806	-13.80%	0.1064	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.964863	-1.34%	0.867	-11.35%	0.0572	✗	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.961736	-1.26%	0.896	-8.01%	0.0625	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.937488	-1.21%	0.915	-3.58%	0.0670	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.901335	-1.17%	0.899	-1.43%	0.0895	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.928609	-1.21%	0.924	-1.70%	0.0915	✗	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.919463	-1.13%	0.948	+1.94%	0.0797	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.901666	-1.13%	0.935	+2.52%	0.0815	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.899733	-1.24%	0.978	+7.35%	0.0852	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.933984	-1.17%	0.974	+3.07%	0.0346	✗	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.971106	-1.21%	0.949	-3.46%	0.0156	✗	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.979633	-1.15%	0.912	-7.97%	0.0080	✓	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	0.995116	-1.08%	0.94	-6.56%	0.0042	✓	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	1.0028	-1.10%	0.93	-8.28%	0.0226	✓	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.975125	-1.20%	0.912	-7.60%	0.0132	✓	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	1.014	-1.17%	0.911	-11.21%	0.0425	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.939726	-1.19%	0.945	-0.63%	0.0642	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	0.994088	-1.28%	0.983	-2.38%	0.0244	✓	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	0.993114	-1.38%	0.991	-1.59%	0.0287	✓	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.0632	-1.37%	1.006	-6.68%	0.1019	✓	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.0634	-1.35%	1.014	-5.94%	0.0969	✓	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.0722	-1.36%	0.987	-9.20%	0.1283	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.1004	-1.39%	1.026	-8.06%	0.1423	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.1412	-1.36%	0.951	-17.80%	0.2035	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.1387	-1.41%	1.007	-12.81%	0.0881	✓	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.1422	-1.45%	1.007	-13.11%	0.1175	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.15	-1.45%	1.078	-7.63%	0.0616	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.1448	-1.48%	1.078	-7.23%	0.0678	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.1326	-1.42%	1.087	-5.40%	0.0728	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.122	-1.23%	1.116	-1.76%	0.0571	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.1222	-1.13%	1.157	+1.94%	0.0415	✓	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.108	-0.98%	1.155	+3.22%	0.0517	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.096	-0.91%	1.159	+4.79%	0.0055	✓	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.1302	-0.94%	1.167	+2.28%	0.0072	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.191	-0.99%	1.162	-3.41%	0.0625	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.22	-1.06%	1.149	-6.81%	0.0824	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.2517	-1.13%	1.136	-10.27%	0.0954	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.2844	-1.20%	1.135	-12.69%	0.1379	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2707	-1.19%	1.119	-12.99%	0.1057	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.2596	-1.13%	1.106	-13.19%	0.1188	✓	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.253	-1.11%	1.141	-9.94%	0.0858	✓	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2662	-1.16%	1.203	-6.09%	0.0390	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.2078	-0.84%	1.233	+1.23%	0.0058	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.2179	-0.90%	1.266	+3.01%	0.0171	✗	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.2529	-1.04%	1.3	+2.69%	0.0434	✗	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.2288	-0.90%	1.286	+3.71%	0.0127	✗	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.2712	-1.07%	1.274	-0.86%	0.0049	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.3052	-1.19%	1.267	-4.09%	0.0007	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.2929	-1.16%	1.281	-2.06%	0.0237	✗	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.3346	-1.29%	1.218	-9.91%	0.0157	✗	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.3725	-1.40%	1.229	-11.71%	0.0219	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.4179	-1.54%	1.266	-12.08%	0.0409	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.3752	-1.35%	1.24	-11.05%	0.0387	✓	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.3726	-1.32%	1.285	-7.62%	0.0321	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.3982	-1.26%	1.321	-6.71%	0.0718	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.3734	-1.13%	1.308	-5.83%	0.0630	✓	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.4351	-1.30%	1.352	-7.02%	0.0663	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.4622	-1.34%	1.392	-6.07%	0.0283	✓	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.4123	-1.17%	1.44	+0.77%	0.0011	✓	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.3803	-0.91%	1.394	+0.07%	0.0616	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.4544	-1.20%	1.391	-5.50%	0.0451	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.456	-1.19%	1.416	-3.90%	0.0027	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.4735	-1.24%	1.389	-6.90%	0.0339	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.4768	-1.28%	1.454	-2.81%	0.0279	✓	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.4657	-1.23%	1.482	-0.13%	0.0360	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.4561	-1.01%	1.429	-2.86%	0.0856	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.4509	-1.03%	1.393	-4.98%	0.0066	✓	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.3867	-0.67%	1.472	+5.44%	0.0006	✓	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.3719	-0.37%	1.4735	+7.01%	0.0362	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.3641	-0.35%	1.492	+8.98%	0.0122	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.4067	-0.58%	1.496	+5.72%	0.0209	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.4362	-1.09%	1.484	+2.20%	0.0510	✗	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.4453	-1.21%	1.471	+0.55%	0.1224	✗	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.4147	-1.07%	1.466	+2.52%	0.1081	✗	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.4115	-1.22%	1.396	-2.31%	0.1288	✗	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.4317	-1.33%	1.377	-5.10%	0.1684	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.3874	-1.11%	1.369	-2.42%	0.1669	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.404	-1.40%	1.415	-0.63%	0.2650	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.4446	-1.60%	1.452	-1.09%	0.1979	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.4448	-1.58%	1.463	-0.34%	0.2031	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.4919	-1.79%	1.43	-5.86%	0.2161	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.483	-1.72%	1.429	-5.30%	0.1603	✗	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.4596	-1.58%	1.451	-2.16%	0.1227	✗	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.4938	-1.85%	1.403	-7.82%	0.1002	✗	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.3622	-1.15%	1.424	+3.34%	0.0743	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3795	-1.25%	1.468	+5.08%	0.1014	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.3316	-0.99%	1.468	+9.14%	0.0699	✗	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3755	-1.11%	1.519	+9.20%	0.1097	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.5065	-1.34%	1.509	-1.18%	0.1045	✗	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.5054	-1.32%	1.483	-2.79%	0.1246	✗	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4769	-1.27%	1.522	+1.74%	0.1427	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.4376	-1.20%	1.378	-5.29%	0.0856	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.4371	-1.23%	1.397	-3.99%	0.0835	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.4392	-1.22%	1.345	-7.69%	0.1448	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.4512	-1.35%	1.391	-5.44%	0.0937	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4747	-1.43%	1.527	+2.07%	0.1058	✗	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.4123	-1.37%	1.5255	+6.53%	0.1063	✗	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.4082	-1.39%	1.496	+4.76%	0.0877	✗	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3814	-1.33%	1.455	+3.93%	0.0853	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.3712	-1.28%	1.455	+4.75%	0.0134	✗	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.3687	-1.25%	1.457	+5.12%	0.0216	✓	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.3878	-1.44%	1.471	+4.47%	0.0069	✓	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.3801	-1.35%	1.496	+6.93%	0.0273	✓	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.3592	-1.15%	1.432	+4.15%	0.0316	✓	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.342	-1.03%	1.428	+5.31%	0.0244	✓	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.3277	-0.99%	1.4	+4.40%	0.0165	✗	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.355	-1.09%	1.389	+1.39%	0.0869	✗	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.3836	-1.10%	1.386	-0.93%	0.0921	✗	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.4239	-1.12%	1.408	-2.22%	0.0778	✗	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.3301	-0.88%	1.399	+4.25%	0.1696	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.2809	-0.55%	1.375	+6.75%	0.1403	✗	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.3308	-0.76%	1.356	+1.12%	0.1441	✗	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.6694	-0.93%	1.341	-20.42%	0.0003	✓	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.755	-0.96%	1.37	-22.69%	0.0476	✓	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.7323	-1.07%	1.399	-20.10%	0.0833	✓	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.8489	-1.02%	1.44	-22.91%	0.1087	✓	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.7987	-1.06%	1.342	-26.18%	0.1660	✓	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.8332	-1.18%	1.288	-30.57%	0.1718	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.8789	-1.26%	1.341	-29.53%	0.1939	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.9526	-1.54%	1.685	-15.03%	0.1640	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.8905	-1.53%	1.772	-7.71%	0.1364	✓	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.7777	-1.46%	1.751	-2.94%	0.1313	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.85	-1.65%	1.868	-0.69%	0.1412	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.8129	-1.47%	1.818	-1.20%	0.1687	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.7831	-1.27%	1.855	+2.71%	0.1646	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.7657	-1.19%	1.903	+6.49%	0.1287	✓	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.7126	-0.95%	1.983	+14.69%	0.0423	✓	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.8457	-1.30%	1.92	+2.67%	0.0457	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.81	-1.09%	1.804	-1.42%	0.0372	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.9005	-1.27%	1.881	-2.29%	0.0386	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	2.1371	-1.79%	1.84	-15.44%	0.0998	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	2.1203	-1.66%	1.806	-16.23%	0.0805	✓	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	2.1004	-1.57%	1.787	-16.26%	0.0946	✓	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.252	-1.87%	1.729	-24.66%	0.1787	✓	1.20
2025-09-17	oos	2.329	2.2838	-1.94%	1.87	-19.71%	0.1680	✓	1.17

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.