XCH

Chia · native · gru_s8

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

73.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1435

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0395

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.5025	1.4363	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4431	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.4892	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.4899	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5163	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5144	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5107	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.4892	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5431	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.4977	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5047	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5037	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4343	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.3847	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4092	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.4833	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.4965	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5058	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.4935	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.4561	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5165	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5397	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5087	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.4773	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5007	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.561	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.5672	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5556	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.4817	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.5672	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.6673	-3.12%	1.5025	-12.70%	0.0843	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.4653	-4.82%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0195	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.4632	-4.71%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0648	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.433	-4.76%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0839	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3362	-6.00%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1516	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.2993	-5.88%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1770	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.2832	-6.13%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1797	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.3845	-5.88%	1.576	+7.14%	0.1120	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.3896	-6.04%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.1275	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4109	-5.56%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0937	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4062	-5.56%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0906	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4136	-5.32%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0855	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.4911	-5.05%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0014	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.5391	-4.91%	1.469	-9.24%	0.0630	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.576	-4.19%	1.495	-9.12%	0.0737	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.4467	-3.13%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0487	✗	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4226	-1.86%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0715	✗	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.3939	-1.56%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0811	✗	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4323	-0.61%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0699	✗	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4	-1.34%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0405	✗	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4374	-0.73%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0543	✗	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4135	-0.70%	1.625	+14.16%	0.1040	✗	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4099	-0.22%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0736	✗	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.3955	+0.86%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0716	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4045	+0.36%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0686	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4341	+1.64%	1.649	+16.87%	0.1091	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.3909	+0.90%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.1359	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.3955	+0.61%	1.63	+17.52%	0.1105	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.4028	+1.07%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0538	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.4964	+0.09%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0108	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5147	+0.58%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0452	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.5629	+2.72%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.0401	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4355	-0.35%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0050	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4042	-2.89%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0568	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3205	-4.25%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0604	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3316	-3.71%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.1038	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3121	-4.68%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1159	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.264	-4.82%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0294	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2399	-4.95%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0115	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2486	-5.05%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0226	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2367	-4.94%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0237	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.2899	-3.99%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0062	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3143	-4.28%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0251	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.2741	-4.42%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0896	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3531	-3.73%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0386	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.262	-3.78%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0037	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3148	-3.61%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.0795	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.3992	-4.13%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1613	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.446	-4.40%	1.441	-4.73%	0.1976	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.4659	-4.78%	1.419	-7.83%	0.1948	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6327	-5.62%	1.448	-16.30%	0.2838	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.3876	-4.70%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1396	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3536	-4.40%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1127	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.3843	-3.57%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1410	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3178	-3.70%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0724	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.2853	-3.65%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0596	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2152	-3.67%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0155	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.2826	-2.83%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0383	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2425	-2.81%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0189	✓	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1225	-2.89%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1684	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1262	-2.79%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1869	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2091	-2.45%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.1277	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.1667	-3.22%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.1548	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1622	-3.63%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1782	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2316	-3.82%	1.379	+7.69%	0.1130	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.274	-3.74%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0856	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3159	-3.74%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0572	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3369	-3.92%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0015	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4226	-3.98%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.0689	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3501	-3.87%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0102	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3385	-4.39%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0412	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.3637	-4.44%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0126	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.3827	-4.68%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0084	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4162	-4.73%	1.333	-10.33%	0.0680	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.4573	-5.19%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.0548	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.4452	-4.52%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1242	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.4912	-4.20%	1.364	-12.37%	0.0989	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.5425	-4.75%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.0614	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5277	-4.58%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0148	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.5858	-4.24%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0337	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6092	-4.19%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0620	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.6612	-4.00%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1460	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.6815	-4.08%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2048	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.6568	-3.81%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2153	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5027	-3.95%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1423	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.5517	-4.04%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2089	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.5607	-3.12%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.2622	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.641	-3.02%	1.32	-21.99%	0.2869	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.6498	-3.24%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3153	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.6521	-3.16%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4003	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.7504	-3.45%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4436	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8297	-3.80%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4159	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8219	-4.13%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4537	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8037	-4.51%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4152	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.8354	-4.68%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.3757	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9056	-4.67%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.3897	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9249	-4.80%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3350	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	1.9604	-5.04%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3185	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	1.9788	-5.23%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2675	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.0139	-5.60%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3505	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.0372	-5.86%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3424	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9058	-5.75%	1.427	-29.43%	0.2923	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.9161	-5.94%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.2815	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.88	-6.07%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.2755	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	1.9349	-6.00%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2530	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.0561	-6.24%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.2941	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.0765	-6.29%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.2885	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.8984	-6.30%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.2000	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.0365	-6.54%	1.601	-26.53%	0.2731	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.0558	-6.60%	1.656	-24.76%	0.2068	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.0534	-6.79%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.1805	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.0951	-6.88%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.1198	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.3045	-6.66%	1.753	-29.00%	0.1272	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.1989	-5.93%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0348	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.2129	-6.08%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1666	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.2935	-6.27%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1606	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.1819	-6.35%	1.611	-30.86%	0.1185	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.4219	-6.54%	1.692	-34.71%	0.1771	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.529	-6.57%	1.705	-37.02%	0.1957	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.7605	-6.76%	1.706	-42.37%	0.2800	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.5749	-6.54%	1.813	-34.19%	0.1720	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.7495	-6.67%	1.902	-35.44%	0.2085	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.7389	-6.81%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.2096	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.1423	-6.77%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3574	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.3645	-7.46%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.3980	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.1081	-7.21%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2853	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.6685	-5.72%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1317	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5349	-4.61%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0687	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5015	-4.30%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0439	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3018	-3.71%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0861	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.465	-3.09%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0695	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4262	-3.87%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0115	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.1523	-2.78%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1691	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.2898	-1.30%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.1322	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.3863	-1.92%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.1161	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3098	-1.29%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1728	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3736	-1.26%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1436	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1523	-1.38%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1786	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.0855	-1.23%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2928	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.0974	-1.14%	2.201	+3.75%	0.2297	✗	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.0701	-2.12%	2.203	+4.16%	0.2280	✗	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.0919	-2.15%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1962	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1016	-2.16%	2.469	+14.94%	0.2348	✗	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1174	-2.60%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.1452	✗	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.1965	-2.79%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0961	✗	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.1952	-3.25%	2.447	+7.84%	0.1333	✗	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.1899	-3.19%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0906	✗	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2183	-2.30%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1862	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3133	-2.23%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1852	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3046	-2.10%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.2544	✗	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.422	-1.38%	2.755	+12.17%	0.1337	✗	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.5751	-0.90%	2.946	+13.37%	0.1508	✗	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.7628	-0.65%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0897	✗	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5622	-0.90%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2624	✗	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.4688	-0.27%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3712	✗	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3516	-1.73%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.3249	✗	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4162	-1.16%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.1465	✗	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.2696	-0.81%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.1548	✗	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.2911	-1.03%	2.614	+12.92%	0.1025	✗	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.149	-2.07%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0648	✗	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1154	-1.89%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.1165	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2024	-1.74%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0884	✗	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.1732	-2.74%	2.214	-0.92%	0.0828	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.2614	-2.42%	2.32	+0.11%	0.0618	✓	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2101	-2.98%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0024	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3245	-3.08%	2.34	-2.44%	0.0866	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.2711	-2.08%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0390	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3189	-2.87%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1453	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2291	-3.75%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.1861	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.2801	-3.77%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.1971	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.242	-4.41%	2.115	-9.83%	0.1976	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.2779	-4.73%	2.138	-10.58%	0.1937	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3212	-3.75%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2095	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4151	-3.55%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2178	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.4994	-4.09%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.1926	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5206	-3.30%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2095	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.5326	-3.76%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2331	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.584	-3.33%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2563	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5277	-2.97%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2060	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7331	-3.03%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2481	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.767	-2.64%	2.456	-13.58%	0.1873	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7361	-2.91%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1372	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.6586	-2.74%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0361	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.5458	-2.85%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.0809	✓	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.5714	-3.10%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1166	✓	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6039	-3.25%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1222	✓	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.6358	-3.49%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1409	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.7475	-3.15%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2495	✓	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.0589	-2.91%	2.315	-26.52%	0.2920	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.913	-2.31%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.2827	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7043	-2.69%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2414	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.6528	-2.97%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2041	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.5766	-2.95%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1403	✓	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5306	-2.67%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1167	✓	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5004	-2.67%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1246	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.468	-2.31%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0494	✓	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.4792	-2.30%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.0973	✓	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5024	-2.17%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1190	✓	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.4499	-2.22%	2.316	-7.56%	0.0759	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.5398	-2.37%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.0804	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.6648	-2.75%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.0843	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.7865	-3.01%	2.391	-16.78%	0.0851	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6187	-2.79%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.0651	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.5811	-2.84%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0220	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.5565	-2.44%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0123	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.6498	-2.96%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0135	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6136	-2.89%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0055	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.5877	-2.48%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0478	✗	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.5712	-2.27%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0345	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.3489	-2.35%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.1230	✗	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.5341	-2.72%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0340	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.659	-2.94%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0236	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.588	-2.89%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0203	✓	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.5831	-2.75%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0161	✓	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.5509	-2.40%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0163	✓	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.6429	-2.73%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0308	✓	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.835	-2.88%	2.731	-6.44%	0.0657	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.8431	-2.87%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0295	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.8706	-3.23%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0353	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	2.9885	-3.50%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0584	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.8175	-3.08%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0584	✓	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.7334	-2.86%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0564	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.8861	-3.57%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1256	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	2.958	-3.58%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1473	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	2.957	-3.73%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1418	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.1242	-4.02%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2089	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.2822	-4.13%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2484	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.1917	-4.18%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1663	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	2.969	-3.42%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2279	✓	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.1939	-4.54%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1253	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.2105	-4.45%	2.74	-18.45%	0.0844	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.2901	-4.73%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0440	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.2724	-4.57%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0528	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.3793	-4.73%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.0781	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.5693	-4.85%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0026	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.7382	-4.74%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0168	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.8674	-4.43%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0378	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.0384	-4.38%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0487	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.0324	-3.97%	2.631	-37.34%	0.0848	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.8386	-4.21%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.0757	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.0378	-4.11%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0231	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.0004	-4.36%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0143	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.1564	-4.05%	2.665	-38.48%	0.0879	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.3794	-4.64%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1465	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.3087	-4.67%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1469	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.4169	-4.30%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0449	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.6796	-4.50%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0400	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.7483	-4.52%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0622	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.7696	-4.14%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0456	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	4.8972	-4.08%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0473	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.216	-3.88%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1378	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.2364	-4.18%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1479	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	4.9678	-4.73%	2.993	-42.60%	0.1060	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.2622	-5.18%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1742	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.8192	-5.12%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1218	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	4.9708	-4.73%	3.255	-37.61%	0.0820	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.7624	-4.41%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0261	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.8253	-4.86%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0482	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.8369	-4.71%	3.074	-39.44%	0.2070	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	4.956	-5.02%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0211	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.5095	-5.00%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0090	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.5042	-4.77%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0387	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.5712	-5.32%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0344	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.4668	-5.60%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0361	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.3346	-5.14%	3.751	-17.91%	0.0817	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.4053	-5.11%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0442	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.4395	-4.84%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1298	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.5697	-4.80%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1011	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.7403	-5.22%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1291	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.3635	-4.58%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.0721	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.5513	-4.93%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1112	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.7129	-4.93%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1518	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.5939	-4.68%	4.332	-10.12%	0.0942	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.6173	-4.52%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0194	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.603	-4.52%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0125	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.6537	-4.68%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.0809	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.6738	-4.76%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0474	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.3126	-4.37%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0202	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.3938	-4.31%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0315	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.6241	-4.23%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0288	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.6465	-4.63%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0207	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.7946	-4.98%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0117	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	4.9843	-4.86%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0296	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.054	-4.56%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0836	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.229	-4.70%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0070	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.3686	-5.01%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0030	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.456	-5.13%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0632	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.2182	-4.98%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0389	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.2385	-5.05%	5.076	-7.99%	0.0862	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.3125	-4.95%	5.218	-6.64%	0.0945	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.2643	-4.80%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1396	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.4831	-4.67%	4.73	-17.77%	0.1227	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.6244	-4.53%	4.828	-18.04%	0.0944	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.7994	-4.92%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1587	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.2658	-4.34%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1634	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.6373	-4.44%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1604	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.717	-4.23%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1395	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.643	-4.14%	4.8	-18.46%	0.1102	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.7215	-4.04%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.0750	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.8463	-4.23%	4.573	-25.09%	0.1937	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.8403	-4.36%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.1961	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	5.9776	-4.50%	4.957	-20.80%	0.1759	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	5.9717	-4.25%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2254	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	5.9664	-4.49%	4.836	-22.59%	0.2810	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.1216	-4.89%	4.821	-25.10%	0.3040	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.4467	-5.06%	4.882	-28.11%	0.3100	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.5862	-5.27%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2329	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.8235	-5.45%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2781	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	6.8668	-5.46%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.2947	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.103	-5.04%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2739	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.3224	-5.02%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2460	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.516	-5.11%	5.046	-36.29%	0.2857	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.5437	-5.02%	5.239	-34.04%	0.1924	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.5974	-5.30%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1518	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.6582	-4.80%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1491	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.2466	-5.05%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1415	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.7306	-6.22%	5.751	-38.23%	0.2078	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.4336	-4.40%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.1066	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.8246	-5.29%	5.517	-33.22%	0.1370	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.1393	-3.43%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0899	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.7907	-3.27%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1819	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.6284	-2.98%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1693	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.1295	-3.49%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1571	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.5807	-3.71%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.2080	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.5438	-3.74%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1913	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.0989	-3.70%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2524	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.2168	-3.44%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.2220	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.5565	-3.47%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1714	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.5523	-3.09%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.2239	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.7341	-3.51%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2489	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.6054	-3.54%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.3282	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.337	-3.67%	6.259	-4.86%	0.3435	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.4755	-4.06%	6.237	-7.59%	0.3369	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.6001	-4.32%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3471	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.5661	-4.32%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3439	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.6971	-4.04%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3629	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	6.8948	-4.07%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.3063	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	6.9572	-4.07%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2795	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	6.8002	-4.21%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.3008	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	6.841	-4.07%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2782	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.1986	-4.09%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2587	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.1978	-4.04%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3398	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.3348	-3.41%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2760	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.5309	-3.43%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2609	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.5132	-3.66%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2396	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	6.8129	-3.66%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.3076	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.2996	-3.28%	9.31	+42.93%	0.5118	✗	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.409	-3.13%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0969	✗	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.6211	-3.20%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1407	✗	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.5044	-2.82%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1171	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.7255	-2.53%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.1914	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.3931	-2.63%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.1726	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.2963	-2.88%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1281	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.4423	-3.26%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1100	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.5091	-3.16%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1318	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.331	-3.53%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.1927	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	7.8897	-3.74%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1522	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.1061	-4.12%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1374	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.3125	-4.43%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2134	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.1653	-4.67%	6.979	-18.52%	0.1997	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.3516	-4.63%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2454	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.1194	-4.85%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2362	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.6271	-5.01%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2240	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.5828	-5.27%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2006	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.6258	-5.39%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.1806	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.1141	-5.34%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2043	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.0062	-5.52%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1785	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.0443	-5.75%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1550	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.2924	-5.80%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1753	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.2794	-5.48%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1684	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.