XVG

Verge · native · gru_s8

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2167

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0387

actual +0.0004

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002616	0.002508	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.002608	0.002522	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.002505	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.002425	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002443	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002486	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002506	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002547	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002534	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002673	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002631	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.002819	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002847	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002733	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002692	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002859	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.002978	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.003032	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003062	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003068	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.002976	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003053	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.003101	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.002987	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.00298	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.003238	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003031	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.002988	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.002921	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002784	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.00308	-3.47%	0.002616	-18.01%	0.1460	✓	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003058	-2.71%	0.002608	-17.04%	0.1363	✓	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.00291	-4.37%	0.002588	-14.95%	0.1344	✓	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.002994	-4.97%	0.002506	-20.46%	0.1837	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003037	-5.21%	0.002517	-21.43%	0.1986	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.002815	-5.37%	0.002567	-13.70%	0.1385	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.002676	-4.50%	0.002596	-7.35%	0.0799	✓	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002531	-4.17%	0.002636	-0.21%	0.0200	✓	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002652	-3.56%	0.002629	-4.38%	0.0389	✓	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.002572	-3.85%	0.002773	+3.68%	0.0191	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002584	-3.84%	0.002734	+1.75%	0.0157	✓	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.002514	-2.73%	0.002933	+13.50%	0.0950	✗	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002517	-2.44%	0.002969	+15.12%	0.1061	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.00266	-1.88%	0.002837	+4.63%	0.0261	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002825	-3.27%	0.00279	-4.47%	0.0422	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002845	-2.24%	0.002967	+1.96%	0.0037	✓	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002851	-0.78%	0.003074	+7.00%	0.0271	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.002803	-0.03%	0.003147	+12.23%	0.0607	✗	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.00283	-0.18%	0.003182	+12.24%	0.0535	✗	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.00272	+3.14%	0.003217	+21.97%	0.1326	✓	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002747	-0.59%	0.003112	+12.63%	0.0402	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.002516	+2.37%	0.003205	+30.39%	0.1519	✓	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002619	+2.65%	0.003278	+28.50%	0.1663	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002469	+3.05%	0.003142	+31.16%	0.1681	✓	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002508	+2.56%	0.003132	+28.08%	0.1602	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002514	+2.92%	0.003476	+42.28%	0.2457	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002659	+3.18%	0.003173	+23.13%	0.1293	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.002623	+2.58%	0.003124	+22.15%	0.1159	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002541	+3.31%	0.003019	+22.72%	0.1050	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.002609	+3.00%	0.00285	+12.51%	0.0277	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002676	+1.49%	0.003191	+20.99%	0.0784	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.002608	+1.98%	0.003143	+22.89%	0.0770	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.002539	+3.88%	0.003043	+24.48%	0.1468	✓	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002255	+2.06%	0.003151	+42.62%	0.2391	✓	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.002104	-0.19%	0.003204	+51.97%	0.2803	✗	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.001933	-2.48%	0.002975	+50.10%	0.2824	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.001962	-2.77%	0.002802	+38.85%	0.2007	✗	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.00196	-3.39%	0.002642	+30.19%	0.1206	✗	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002004	-3.45%	0.00275	+32.47%	0.1098	✗	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002029	-3.62%	0.002674	+27.05%	0.0852	✗	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.001999	-3.45%	0.002687	+29.81%	0.1035	✗	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002034	-3.48%	0.002584	+22.66%	0.0383	✗	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002042	-3.45%	0.00258	+21.93%	0.0353	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002124	-3.57%	0.002711	+23.06%	0.0273	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.00217	-3.49%	0.00292	+29.92%	0.0916	✗	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002042	-2.92%	0.00291	+38.37%	0.1418	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.001965	-2.63%	0.002873	+42.37%	0.1503	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.001947	-2.63%	0.002804	+40.20%	0.1326	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.001933	-2.53%	0.002835	+42.93%	0.1571	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.0019	-2.71%	0.002638	+35.05%	0.0712	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.001949	-3.22%	0.002763	+37.19%	0.1345	✗	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001853	-3.06%	0.002458	+28.59%	0.0630	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.001859	-3.36%	0.002551	+32.62%	0.0644	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001852	-3.38%	0.002396	+24.99%	0.0188	✓	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001839	-2.64%	0.002445	+29.43%	0.0634	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.001841	-2.67%	0.002443	+29.12%	0.0431	✗	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.001937	-3.10%	0.002577	+28.91%	0.0083	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.002034	-3.60%	0.002557	+21.21%	0.0351	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.002108	-2.96%	0.00246	+13.26%	0.0709	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002076	-2.97%	0.002533	+18.42%	0.0544	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002081	-2.75%	0.002637	+23.22%	0.0015	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002061	-1.92%	0.002557	+21.73%	0.0046	✓	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002134	-1.52%	0.002445	+12.81%	0.0743	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.002102	-1.04%	0.002209	+4.00%	0.0658	✓	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002065	-1.62%	0.002108	+0.43%	0.0511	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002127	-2.11%	0.001982	-8.79%	0.0707	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.002006	-0.87%	0.002018	-0.30%	0.0115	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002018	-0.98%	0.002029	-0.44%	0.0238	✗	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002046	-1.10%	0.002076	+0.31%	0.0274	✗	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002097	-1.04%	0.002105	-0.66%	0.0284	✗	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002099	-0.82%	0.00207	-2.17%	0.0083	✗	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002081	-1.25%	0.002107	+0.00%	0.0047	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002107	-1.14%	0.002116	-0.73%	0.0073	✓	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002132	-1.03%	0.002203	+2.27%	0.0309	✗	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.00215	-1.00%	0.002248	+3.50%	0.0340	✗	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.002114	-0.90%	0.002103	-1.41%	0.0303	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002093	-0.81%	0.002018	-4.36%	0.0764	✓	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002129	-0.69%	0.002	-6.72%	0.0770	✓	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.002217	-0.93%	0.001984	-11.37%	0.1205	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002239	-1.04%	0.001953	-13.66%	0.1439	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002265	-1.18%	0.002014	-12.13%	0.1235	✓	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.002283	-1.34%	0.001912	-17.39%	0.1934	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002216	-1.06%	0.001924	-14.13%	0.1625	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002177	-0.73%	0.001917	-12.59%	0.1741	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002088	-0.06%	0.001889	-9.57%	0.1995	✓	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002204	-0.75%	0.001892	-14.81%	0.2109	✓	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002212	-0.76%	0.001999	-10.30%	0.1718	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002227	-0.72%	0.00211	-5.93%	0.1143	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002276	-0.75%	0.002172	-5.30%	0.1319	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002258	-0.50%	0.002139	-5.73%	0.1277	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002331	-0.83%	0.00214	-8.94%	0.1351	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.00241	-1.25%	0.002101	-13.91%	0.1745	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002445	-1.44%	0.002167	-12.66%	0.1533	✓	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.002479	-1.53%	0.002124	-15.63%	0.2048	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002512	-1.76%	0.002099	-17.93%	0.1951	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002576	-2.14%	0.002173	-17.44%	0.1891	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.002507	-1.86%	0.002024	-20.75%	0.2439	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002562	-2.43%	0.002038	-22.39%	0.2203	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002595	-2.90%	0.002069	-22.60%	0.1981	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002654	-3.34%	0.002119	-22.82%	0.2008	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002547	-2.23%	0.002116	-18.77%	0.1743	✓	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002473	-1.75%	0.002107	-16.29%	0.1254	✓	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002427	-1.35%	0.002131	-13.37%	0.1331	✓	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.002472	-1.66%	0.002154	-14.30%	0.1409	✓	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.002376	-0.59%	0.002172	-9.12%	0.1321	✓	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.00244	-1.04%	0.002133	-13.50%	0.1582	✓	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.002507	-1.81%	0.00211	-17.35%	0.1594	✓	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.002524	-1.94%	0.002144	-16.71%	0.1636	✓	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002469	-0.69%	0.002238	-9.98%	0.1466	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.002512	-1.16%	0.002262	-10.98%	0.1439	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002563	-2.53%	0.002292	-12.85%	0.1009	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.002799	-4.28%	0.002314	-20.86%	0.1669	✓	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.002841	-4.94%	0.00224	-25.06%	0.1569	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003114	-5.68%	0.002193	-33.59%	0.1919	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.003148	-5.01%	0.002089	-36.96%	0.1949	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.003085	-4.42%	0.002221	-31.20%	0.1462	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003066	-4.48%	0.002229	-30.57%	0.1284	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003116	-4.44%	0.002243	-31.22%	0.1439	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.003109	-4.11%	0.002293	-29.26%	0.1075	✓	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003131	-3.38%	0.002269	-29.97%	0.0985	✓	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003224	-3.12%	0.00235	-29.39%	0.1008	✓	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003175	-2.73%	0.00244	-25.24%	0.0762	✓	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.003265	-2.89%	0.002481	-26.22%	0.1159	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003167	-2.97%	0.002518	-22.87%	0.0762	✓	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003345	-2.82%	0.002557	-25.70%	0.1073	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003394	-3.11%	0.002632	-24.86%	0.0833	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003119	-2.25%	0.002554	-19.95%	0.0314	✓	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003145	-2.24%	0.002626	-18.38%	0.0319	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003116	-1.77%	0.002673	-15.73%	0.0147	✓	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003191	-1.78%	0.002746	-15.50%	0.0131	✓	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003327	-1.44%	0.002605	-22.84%	0.0870	✓	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003628	-1.36%	0.002517	-31.57%	0.1763	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003379	-1.71%	0.00246	-28.45%	0.1416	✓	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.00352	-1.18%	0.002514	-29.44%	0.1551	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.00371	-0.87%	0.00239	-36.15%	0.2290	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.003762	-0.46%	0.002466	-34.74%	0.2172	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.003664	-0.94%	0.002553	-30.98%	0.1870	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003714	-0.91%	0.002574	-31.32%	0.1990	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.003635	-0.16%	0.002486	-31.72%	0.1850	✓	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003808	+0.89%	0.002541	-32.69%	0.1484	✗	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.003858	+0.50%	0.00263	-31.49%	0.1796	✗	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003657	+1.03%	0.002924	-19.23%	0.0414	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003548	+0.46%	0.002989	-15.37%	0.0369	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.003266	+1.29%	0.003302	+2.42%	0.0935	✓	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.00332	+1.18%	0.003314	+1.01%	0.0496	✓	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.003059	-0.02%	0.003228	+5.51%	0.0823	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003099	-0.73%	0.00321	+2.80%	0.0620	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003241	-0.68%	0.003261	-0.06%	0.0385	✗	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.003315	+0.08%	0.003242	-2.11%	0.0124	✓	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003455	+0.97%	0.00324	-5.32%	0.0326	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003378	+0.30%	0.003328	-1.19%	0.0105	✗	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.003446	+0.22%	0.003265	-5.06%	0.0485	✗	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003428	+0.84%	0.003363	-1.10%	0.0006	✓	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003478	+1.07%	0.003264	-5.14%	0.0313	✗	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.003615	-0.06%	0.003442	-4.85%	0.0633	✓	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003614	-0.06%	0.003503	-3.13%	0.0506	✓	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.00363	-1.47%	0.003191	-13.40%	0.1665	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003536	-0.06%	0.003217	-9.06%	0.1097	✓	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.003763	+0.87%	0.003172	-14.96%	0.1746	✗	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004571	-2.27%	0.003249	-30.53%	0.3813	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004494	-2.27%	0.003376	-26.58%	0.3431	✓	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004528	-2.62%	0.003678	-20.90%	0.3011	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004691	-2.88%	0.003438	-28.82%	0.3770	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004552	-4.17%	0.003562	-25.01%	0.3813	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.004833	-3.89%	0.003743	-25.56%	0.3739	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004815	-3.96%	0.003779	-24.63%	0.3680	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.00457	-3.78%	0.003699	-22.11%	0.3336	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004336	-3.64%	0.003748	-16.70%	0.2716	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.004505	-3.39%	0.003641	-21.92%	0.3241	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.004196	-3.93%	0.003775	-13.58%	0.2813	✓	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004158	-3.79%	0.003839	-11.18%	0.2462	✓	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004096	-3.94%	0.00362	-15.10%	0.3016	✓	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004071	-3.81%	0.003532	-16.54%	0.3084	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004082	-3.83%	0.003224	-24.04%	0.4058	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.004226	-3.73%	0.003281	-25.25%	0.3971	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.00433	-3.84%	0.00306	-32.05%	0.4635	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004111	-3.47%	0.003122	-26.70%	0.4065	✓	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004149	-3.50%	0.003263	-24.11%	0.3950	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004312	-3.62%	0.003312	-25.97%	0.4260	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004365	-3.58%	0.003422	-24.41%	0.4226	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.004613	-3.74%	0.003368	-29.72%	0.4421	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.004764	-3.46%	0.003439	-30.32%	0.4132	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.004786	-3.73%	0.0034	-31.60%	0.4519	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004696	-3.57%	0.003441	-29.34%	0.4149	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004509	-3.62%	0.003618	-22.67%	0.3452	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.00461	-3.83%	0.003616	-24.57%	0.3445	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.004716	-3.78%	0.003684	-24.83%	0.2954	✓	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004775	-3.88%	0.003538	-28.78%	0.3842	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.004899	-3.74%	0.00373	-26.72%	0.3560	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.005211	-3.63%	0.004677	-13.50%	0.1254	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005408	-3.70%	0.004599	-18.12%	0.1614	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005161	-3.77%	0.00465	-13.30%	0.1236	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.00509	-4.04%	0.00483	-8.94%	0.0989	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.004929	-3.67%	0.00475	-7.17%	0.0342	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.004863	-3.68%	0.005028	-0.42%	0.0044	✓	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.004963	-3.44%	0.005014	-2.45%	0.0316	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.004958	-3.25%	0.004749	-7.32%	0.0708	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005027	-3.35%	0.0045	-13.49%	0.1523	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.004919	-3.07%	0.004663	-8.12%	0.1482	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005032	-3.06%	0.004368	-15.85%	0.1672	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.004995	-2.86%	0.004322	-15.95%	0.1591	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.005273	-3.04%	0.004264	-21.60%	0.1557	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005475	-3.13%	0.004232	-25.12%	0.1707	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005284	-3.23%	0.004245	-22.26%	0.1958	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.005247	-3.07%	0.00439	-18.92%	0.1669	✓	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005258	-3.20%	0.004503	-17.11%	0.1949	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005492	-3.78%	0.004259	-25.39%	0.2504	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.005468	-3.87%	0.0043	-24.41%	0.2421	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005658	-4.35%	0.004474	-24.37%	0.2154	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.005735	-4.31%	0.004527	-24.46%	0.2094	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.005569	-4.06%	0.004792	-17.45%	0.2300	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005612	-4.05%	0.004935	-15.63%	0.2380	✓	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005707	-4.28%	0.004971	-16.62%	0.1859	✓	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.005773	-4.40%	0.00487	-19.36%	0.2181	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.005887	-4.62%	0.004678	-24.20%	0.2275	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.005791	-4.51%	0.004794	-20.96%	0.2206	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.005714	-4.30%	0.004901	-17.91%	0.2193	✓	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005745	-4.52%	0.004967	-17.44%	0.1849	✓	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.00582	-4.88%	0.00509	-16.80%	0.1723	✓	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.005742	-4.77%	0.005407	-10.33%	0.1407	✓	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006146	-6.03%	0.005616	-14.13%	0.1650	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.006009	-5.65%	0.005364	-15.77%	0.1740	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.005901	-5.29%	0.005304	-14.88%	0.1881	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005703	-4.98%	0.005117	-14.75%	0.1696	✓	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.005693	-5.14%	0.005049	-15.88%	0.1471	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005517	-5.01%	0.00514	-11.50%	0.0725	✓	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.005541	-5.14%	0.005124	-12.28%	0.0731	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005534	-5.01%	0.005201	-10.73%	0.0490	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005646	-5.77%	0.005075	-15.30%	0.0314	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.004948	-2.45%	0.00519	+2.34%	0.0256	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005394	-5.95%	0.005142	-10.34%	0.0355	✓	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005296	-6.37%	0.005438	-3.85%	0.1071	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005408	-7.22%	0.005652	-3.04%	0.1451	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005037	-7.01%	0.00546	+0.79%	0.2213	✗	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005099	-7.37%	0.005413	-1.66%	0.2104	✗	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.005569	-7.70%	0.005432	-9.97%	0.2471	✗	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.005772	-7.81%	0.005708	-8.83%	0.2517	✗	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006302	-7.32%	0.005688	-16.35%	0.2397	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.006738	-7.57%	0.005916	-18.85%	0.1921	✗	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.006653	-7.80%	0.005993	-16.95%	0.1931	✗	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006431	-7.95%	0.005805	-16.92%	0.2427	✗	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.007172	-8.46%	0.005849	-25.35%	0.1451	✗	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.007076	-8.37%	0.005962	-22.79%	0.1450	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.006583	-7.95%	0.006039	-15.55%	0.2267	✗	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.006958	-8.76%	0.006171	-19.07%	0.1935	✗	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.006148	-8.21%	0.006065	-9.45%	0.2803	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.006702	-7.68%	0.00597	-17.76%	0.2238	✗	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.006619	-6.97%	0.006017	-15.43%	0.2523	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.006625	-6.53%	0.006118	-13.69%	0.2616	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.006587	-6.40%	0.00603	-14.31%	0.2591	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.00642	-6.21%	0.00654	-4.46%	0.3549	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.006846	-6.56%	0.006368	-13.09%	0.2899	✗	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006587	-7.11%	0.006231	-12.13%	0.3286	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006372	-8.79%	0.006002	-14.09%	0.2832	✗	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005515	-7.12%	0.006002	+1.08%	0.3923	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.005542	-7.03%	0.005808	-2.57%	0.3303	✗	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005434	-6.63%	0.005841	+0.36%	0.3811	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.005585	-6.44%	0.005826	-2.40%	0.3739	✗	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005441	-6.26%	0.005992	+3.22%	0.5009	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.005884	-6.05%	0.005072	-19.02%	0.4741	✗	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.005758	-5.95%	0.005735	-6.34%	0.3941	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.005709	-6.91%	0.005656	-7.78%	0.3018	✗	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.005563	-7.37%	0.005829	-2.93%	0.2771	✗	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.005334	-7.35%	0.005417	-5.91%	0.2646	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.005321	-8.02%	0.005505	-4.84%	0.2275	✗	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005264	-8.62%	0.006033	+4.73%	0.1972	✗	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.005677	-10.45%	0.006261	-1.23%	0.1746	✗	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.005158	-8.13%	0.0068	+21.10%	0.2338	✗	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.004767	-5.29%	0.00729	+44.83%	0.3989	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.004849	-5.23%	0.007216	+41.05%	0.3884	✗	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004568	-4.01%	0.006987	+46.82%	0.4401	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004634	-3.95%	0.007835	+62.38%	0.4861	✗	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.004687	-3.92%	0.007722	+58.30%	0.4613	✗	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004692	-3.83%	0.007151	+46.57%	0.3791	✗	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.004666	-3.50%	0.007626	+57.72%	0.4746	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.004604	-3.18%	0.006698	+40.86%	0.3818	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.004838	-3.43%	0.007259	+44.89%	0.3183	✗	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.004782	-3.30%	0.007115	+43.87%	0.2833	✗	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.004621	-3.02%	0.007088	+48.75%	0.2261	✗	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.004904	-3.56%	0.007037	+38.37%	0.1682	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.00534	-4.29%	0.006845	+22.67%	0.0913	✗	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005346	-4.32%	0.007327	+31.14%	0.0993	✗	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005374	-4.31%	0.007091	+26.26%	0.1295	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.00572	-4.61%	0.006986	+16.49%	0.1807	✗	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005676	-4.45%	0.005938	-0.03%	0.0329	✓	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.005999	-4.56%	0.005961	-5.17%	0.0377	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.005847	-4.53%	0.00582	-4.98%	0.0263	✓	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006229	-4.93%	0.005969	-8.90%	0.0093	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006037	-5.08%	0.005805	-8.73%	0.0518	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.005997	-5.22%	0.006263	-1.01%	0.0229	✓	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006063	-5.64%	0.006123	-4.70%	0.0837	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.006156	-5.69%	0.006133	-6.04%	0.0480	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.00594	-5.14%	0.006005	-4.10%	0.0424	✓	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.006113	-5.15%	0.005757	-10.67%	0.0133	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.00572	-5.18%	0.005785	-4.09%	0.0660	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.005735	-5.50%	0.005761	-5.07%	0.0249	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.006349	-5.99%	0.006339	-6.13%	0.0440	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006374	-6.02%	0.005615	-17.21%	0.0407	✓	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006521	-5.71%	0.005033	-27.22%	0.1892	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006624	-5.91%	0.005116	-27.33%	0.1776	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007096	-6.59%	0.004759	-37.36%	0.3246	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.00695	-6.93%	0.004825	-35.39%	0.3612	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007097	-7.56%	0.004878	-36.46%	0.3587	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.006772	-7.29%	0.004879	-33.21%	0.3432	✓	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.007079	-8.24%	0.004835	-37.33%	0.4825	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006373	-6.66%	0.004755	-30.36%	0.3860	✓	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006433	-7.11%	0.00501	-27.66%	0.2966	✓	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.006755	-7.95%	0.004946	-32.61%	0.2237	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.007503	-10.09%	0.004765	-42.90%	0.2604	✓	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.007607	-11.86%	0.005085	-41.08%	0.2480	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.006706	-8.26%	0.00558	-23.67%	0.0135	✓	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.006967	-9.83%	0.005587	-27.70%	0.0245	✓	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.005963	-6.32%	0.005616	-11.77%	0.1054	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.005895	-6.30%	0.005997	-4.69%	0.2718	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.006132	-6.70%	0.00594	-9.62%	0.2743	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.006347	-7.06%	0.006286	-7.95%	0.2680	✗	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.006898	-7.55%	0.006125	-17.91%	0.2385	✗	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007072	-8.50%	0.006552	-15.23%	0.2362	✗	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.00662	-7.90%	0.00636	-11.51%	0.2697	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.00728	-10.09%	0.006327	-21.86%	0.1900	✗	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.0071	-10.02%	0.006425	-18.58%	0.2154	✗	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.007161	-10.18%	0.006527	-18.14%	0.2865	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.006699	-9.92%	0.006261	-15.79%	0.1761	✗	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.006842	-8.70%	0.006445	-14.00%	0.2919	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.006618	-7.56%	0.006032	-15.74%	0.4527	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.006412	-7.80%	0.006069	-12.74%	0.6404	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005698	-5.50%	0.006753	+12.01%	0.7163	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.005095	-5.29%	0.006782	+26.06%	0.7803	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.005511	-5.31%	0.006916	+18.83%	0.7569	✗	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005492	-4.86%	0.00704	+21.97%	0.8523	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.005778	-4.90%	0.007597	+25.05%	0.9323	✗	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.00605	-5.74%	0.007468	+16.36%	0.9797	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.005561	-5.41%	0.007677	+30.58%	0.9898	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005165	-5.33%	0.007305	+33.89%	1.0435	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005052	-5.45%	0.007715	+44.39%	1.1669	✗	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005188	-5.87%	0.006828	+23.90%	0.9563	✗	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005348	-6.05%	0.006926	+21.68%	0.9113	✗	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.005752	-6.44%	0.007339	+19.37%	0.7964	✗	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.005727	-6.78%	0.008345	+35.85%	0.8309	✗	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005592	-7.03%	0.008631	+43.49%	0.8758	✗	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005286	-6.75%	0.00731	+28.95%	0.6782	✗	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005468	-6.60%	0.007727	+32.00%	0.7061	✗	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005611	-6.31%	0.006365	+6.28%	0.5912	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.005864	-6.28%	0.006292	+0.56%	0.4434	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006175	-6.78%	0.006572	-0.79%	0.4316	✗	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.005861	-6.17%	0.006829	+9.32%	0.4709	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005157	-4.92%	0.007461	+37.56%	0.4940	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005206	-4.69%	0.007729	+41.50%	0.6135	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.006879	-6.46%	0.007187	-2.27%	0.4898	✗	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.007162	-7.06%	0.008097	+5.07%	0.5707	✗	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.00662	-5.69%	0.007891	+12.42%	0.6321	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.00713	-6.26%	0.007973	+4.83%	0.5701	✗	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007082	-7.02%	0.007436	-2.36%	0.5441	✗	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.007591	-10.49%	0.007494	-11.64%	0.3424	✗	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.007328	-9.96%	0.007159	-12.04%	0.2348	✗	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.0081	-13.99%	0.006955	-26.14%	0.0911	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.005947	-5.39%	0.006029	-4.09%	0.2065	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.00489	-1.80%	0.00538	+8.03%	0.2065	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.004893	-1.68%	0.00582	+16.94%	0.2576	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.004851	-1.97%	0.005772	+16.65%	0.1598	✗	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.004751	-2.10%	0.006075	+25.18%	0.1567	✗	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004823	-2.14%	0.006418	+30.24%	0.1872	✗	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004671	-2.01%	0.005879	+23.33%	0.1758	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.005171	-2.70%	0.005456	+2.67%	0.0997	✗	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005064	-2.92%	0.005343	+2.43%	0.0921	✗	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005141	-3.04%	0.005511	+3.94%	0.1727	✗	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.005543	-3.42%	0.005692	-0.82%	0.1612	✗	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005579	-3.40%	0.006148	+6.46%	0.1981	✗	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005546	-3.32%	0.006143	+7.08%	0.2392	✗	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005798	-3.49%	0.006015	+0.12%	0.2294	✗	2.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.