XVG

Verge · native · gru_s8

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0943

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0173

actual -0.0002

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002616	0.002581	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.002565	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.002491	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002505	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002554	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002581	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002618	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002612	-0.66%	0.002616	-0.51%	0.0104	✓	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002742	-1.12%	0.002588	-6.67%	0.0561	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002708	-0.96%	0.002506	-8.34%	0.0784	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.002889	-1.53%	0.002517	-14.20%	0.1222	✓	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002923	-1.57%	0.002567	-13.54%	0.1153	✓	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002802	-1.21%	0.002596	-8.48%	0.0666	✓	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002761	-1.05%	0.002636	-5.52%	0.0503	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002924	-1.45%	0.002629	-11.39%	0.0910	✓	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.003028	-1.51%	0.002773	-9.79%	0.0668	✓	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.003089	-1.86%	0.002734	-13.12%	0.0872	✓	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003118	-2.02%	0.002933	-7.81%	0.0364	✓	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003141	-2.37%	0.002969	-7.69%	0.0396	✓	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.003041	-2.29%	0.002837	-8.85%	0.0520	✓	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003124	-2.53%	0.00279	-12.95%	0.0850	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.003184	-2.86%	0.002967	-9.49%	0.0681	✓	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.003058	-2.68%	0.003074	-2.18%	0.0121	✓	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.003044	-2.81%	0.003147	+0.49%	0.0123	✓	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.003311	-4.74%	0.003182	-8.46%	0.0583	✓	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003095	-2.47%	0.003217	+1.39%	0.0358	✗	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.003048	-2.43%	0.003112	-0.38%	0.0169	✓	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.00296	-1.97%	0.003205	+6.16%	0.0753	✗	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002807	-1.50%	0.003278	+15.02%	0.1628	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.003117	-2.31%	0.003142	-1.50%	0.0307	✗	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003076	-2.14%	0.003132	-0.37%	0.0461	✗	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.002967	-2.50%	0.003476	+14.23%	0.1268	✗	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.003062	-2.80%	0.003173	+0.71%	0.0054	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003107	-3.02%	0.003124	-2.48%	0.0251	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.002891	-2.81%	0.003019	+1.48%	0.0295	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.00274	-2.21%	0.00285	+1.71%	0.0357	✓	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002597	-1.69%	0.003191	+20.78%	0.1101	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002703	-1.70%	0.003143	+14.31%	0.0777	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.002628	-1.74%	0.003043	+13.78%	0.1072	✗	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002643	-1.64%	0.003151	+17.25%	0.1394	✗	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.002558	-1.03%	0.003204	+23.95%	0.1909	✗	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002555	-0.96%	0.002975	+15.33%	0.1542	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.00268	-1.15%	0.002802	+3.36%	0.0645	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002869	-1.75%	0.002642	-9.55%	0.0554	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002861	-1.69%	0.00275	-5.52%	0.0310	✓	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002845	-0.96%	0.002674	-6.91%	0.0272	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.00278	-0.84%	0.002687	-4.17%	0.0090	✓	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.002814	-0.75%	0.002584	-8.84%	0.0606	✓	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.002659	+0.82%	0.00258	-2.20%	0.0198	✓	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002723	-1.43%	0.002711	-1.88%	0.0165	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.002485	+1.09%	0.00292	+18.82%	0.1484	✓	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002575	+0.95%	0.00291	+14.07%	0.1159	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002422	+1.10%	0.002873	+19.91%	0.1372	✓	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002467	+0.90%	0.002804	+14.68%	0.1086	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002463	+0.82%	0.002835	+16.05%	0.1184	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002594	+0.66%	0.002638	+2.35%	0.0051	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.002561	+0.16%	0.002763	+8.04%	0.0965	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002464	+0.16%	0.002458	-0.08%	0.0111	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.002527	-0.25%	0.002551	+0.71%	0.0145	✗	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002606	-1.17%	0.002396	-9.14%	0.0833	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.00252	-1.48%	0.002445	-4.40%	0.0443	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.002437	-0.32%	0.002443	-0.06%	0.0086	✗	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002199	-0.44%	0.002577	+16.66%	0.0736	✗	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.00209	-0.87%	0.002557	+21.32%	0.0828	✗	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.001956	-1.29%	0.00246	+24.12%	0.0549	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.001989	-1.43%	0.002533	+25.52%	0.0519	✗	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.001997	-1.58%	0.002637	+29.97%	0.0734	✗	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002041	-1.67%	0.002557	+23.22%	0.0329	✗	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002068	-1.77%	0.002445	+16.13%	0.0426	✓	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.002033	-1.76%	0.002209	+6.71%	0.0545	✓	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002068	-1.84%	0.002108	+0.05%	0.0718	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002078	-1.76%	0.001982	-6.31%	0.0665	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002161	-1.91%	0.002018	-8.40%	0.0778	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002201	-2.08%	0.002029	-9.74%	0.0474	✓	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002066	-1.78%	0.002076	-1.31%	0.0366	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.001988	-1.51%	0.002105	+4.31%	0.0896	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.00197	-1.51%	0.00207	+3.50%	0.0637	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.001954	-1.49%	0.002107	+6.23%	0.0955	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001923	-1.53%	0.002116	+8.32%	0.1042	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.001979	-1.76%	0.002203	+9.38%	0.0998	✗	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.00188	-1.64%	0.002248	+17.60%	0.1554	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.00189	-1.73%	0.002103	+9.33%	0.0689	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001884	-1.72%	0.002018	+5.27%	0.0323	✗	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001859	-1.58%	0.002	+5.88%	0.0812	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.001862	-1.56%	0.001984	+4.84%	0.0496	✗	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.001964	-1.77%	0.001953	-2.30%	0.0093	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.002064	-2.19%	0.002014	-4.55%	0.0200	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.002134	-1.77%	0.001912	-11.99%	0.0748	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002102	-1.71%	0.001924	-10.07%	0.0593	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002104	-1.70%	0.001917	-10.42%	0.0685	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002071	-1.41%	0.001889	-10.09%	0.0858	✓	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002137	-1.40%	0.001892	-12.69%	0.0799	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.002093	-1.46%	0.001999	-5.89%	0.0048	✓	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002056	-2.04%	0.00211	+0.52%	0.0537	✗	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002129	-2.04%	0.002172	-0.05%	0.0080	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.002008	-0.77%	0.002139	+5.68%	0.0719	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002022	-0.79%	0.00214	+5.00%	0.0535	✗	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002053	-0.78%	0.002101	+1.55%	0.0010	✓	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002101	-0.84%	0.002167	+2.27%	0.0120	✗	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002099	-0.79%	0.002124	+0.38%	0.0093	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.00209	-0.80%	0.002099	-0.38%	0.0394	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002114	-0.82%	0.002173	+1.97%	0.0137	✗	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002137	-0.81%	0.002024	-6.04%	0.0687	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.002154	-0.82%	0.002038	-6.17%	0.0520	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.002118	-0.70%	0.002069	-3.00%	0.0321	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002097	-0.60%	0.002119	+0.43%	0.0270	✓	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.00213	-0.64%	0.002116	-1.31%	0.0321	✓	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.00222	-0.80%	0.002107	-5.85%	0.0255	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002244	-0.81%	0.002131	-5.79%	0.0540	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002273	-0.84%	0.002154	-6.02%	0.0647	✓	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.002294	-0.89%	0.002172	-6.14%	0.0803	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002225	-0.65%	0.002133	-4.78%	0.0697	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002184	-0.41%	0.00211	-3.78%	0.0720	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002091	+0.11%	0.002144	+2.63%	0.0529	✗	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002213	-0.35%	0.002238	+0.77%	0.0487	✓	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002224	-0.20%	0.002262	+1.50%	0.0497	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002239	-0.20%	0.002292	+2.18%	0.0273	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002288	-0.23%	0.002314	+0.89%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002268	-0.06%	0.00224	-1.28%	0.0415	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002343	-0.30%	0.002193	-6.68%	0.0492	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002427	-0.56%	0.002089	-14.40%	0.0826	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002464	-0.68%	0.002221	-10.48%	0.0434	✓	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.0025	-0.68%	0.002229	-11.48%	0.0542	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002537	-0.81%	0.002243	-12.30%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002608	-0.92%	0.002293	-12.86%	0.0714	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.002536	-0.70%	0.002269	-11.16%	0.0594	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002599	-1.04%	0.00235	-10.51%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002637	-1.35%	0.00244	-8.70%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002697	-1.77%	0.002481	-9.63%	0.0472	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002589	-0.63%	0.002518	-3.36%	0.0108	✗	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002513	-0.17%	0.002557	+1.61%	0.0209	✗	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002469	+0.36%	0.002632	+6.99%	0.0650	✓	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.002523	+0.36%	0.002554	+1.61%	0.0233	✓	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.002425	+1.44%	0.002626	+9.87%	0.0325	✓	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002499	+1.35%	0.002673	+8.39%	0.0060	✓	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.002578	+0.99%	0.002746	+7.54%	0.0138	✓	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.002603	+1.11%	0.002605	+1.20%	0.0352	✗	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002548	+2.51%	0.002517	+1.25%	0.0673	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.002604	+2.46%	0.00246	-3.19%	0.0953	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.00267	+1.52%	0.002514	-4.43%	0.0567	✗	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.002937	+0.45%	0.00239	-18.26%	0.1659	✗	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.00298	-0.29%	0.002466	-17.50%	0.1117	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003246	-1.70%	0.002553	-22.68%	0.1274	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.00326	-1.62%	0.002574	-22.33%	0.0950	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.003185	-1.33%	0.002486	-22.99%	0.0755	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003171	-1.20%	0.002541	-20.83%	0.0544	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.00322	-1.25%	0.00263	-19.35%	0.0743	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.003206	-1.12%	0.002924	-9.81%	0.0449	✗	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003209	-0.96%	0.002989	-7.75%	0.0494	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003294	-1.03%	0.003302	-0.78%	0.0753	✗	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003237	-0.83%	0.003314	+1.52%	0.0644	✗	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.00333	-0.97%	0.003228	-4.00%	0.0025	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003238	-0.81%	0.00321	-1.67%	0.0156	✗	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003405	-1.07%	0.003261	-5.26%	0.0023	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003458	-1.29%	0.003242	-7.45%	0.0288	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003172	-0.59%	0.00324	+1.55%	0.0318	✗	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003198	-0.62%	0.003328	+3.43%	0.0366	✗	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003157	-0.48%	0.003265	+2.92%	0.0382	✗	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003231	-0.57%	0.003363	+3.49%	0.0557	✗	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003356	-0.59%	0.003264	-3.32%	0.0121	✗	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003649	-0.79%	0.003442	-6.42%	0.0217	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003411	-0.78%	0.003503	+1.89%	0.0449	✗	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003538	-0.69%	0.003191	-10.43%	0.0669	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.003718	-0.68%	0.003217	-14.04%	0.0999	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.003756	-0.61%	0.003172	-16.06%	0.1261	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.00367	-0.78%	0.003249	-12.17%	0.0991	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003716	-0.85%	0.003376	-9.93%	0.0859	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.003617	-0.66%	0.003678	+1.02%	0.0072	✗	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003756	-0.52%	0.003438	-8.93%	0.0646	✓	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.003811	-0.73%	0.003562	-7.22%	0.0631	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003591	-0.80%	0.003743	+3.40%	0.0223	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003492	-1.14%	0.003779	+6.99%	0.0419	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.003221	-0.09%	0.003699	+14.73%	0.1176	✗	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.003275	-0.17%	0.003748	+14.23%	0.1142	✗	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.003043	-0.54%	0.003641	+19.01%	0.1395	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003098	-0.75%	0.003775	+20.92%	0.1363	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003236	-0.82%	0.003839	+17.65%	0.1204	✗	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.003291	-0.64%	0.00362	+9.30%	0.0681	✗	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003407	-0.44%	0.003532	+3.21%	0.0373	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003343	-0.74%	0.003224	-4.28%	0.0477	✓	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.00341	-0.83%	0.003281	-4.58%	0.0473	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003375	-0.73%	0.00306	-10.01%	0.0754	✓	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003416	-0.72%	0.003122	-9.27%	0.0616	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.003578	-1.09%	0.003263	-9.80%	0.0919	✓	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003575	-1.13%	0.003312	-8.41%	0.0946	✓	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.003629	-1.49%	0.003422	-7.11%	0.1196	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003498	-1.12%	0.003368	-4.80%	0.0622	✓	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.00369	-1.06%	0.003439	-7.82%	0.0752	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004592	-1.82%	0.0034	-27.30%	0.3428	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004517	-1.77%	0.003441	-25.17%	0.3179	✓	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004557	-2.01%	0.003618	-22.20%	0.2610	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004727	-2.13%	0.003616	-25.13%	0.2878	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004643	-2.24%	0.003684	-22.44%	0.2763	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.004906	-2.43%	0.003538	-29.63%	0.3646	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004884	-2.60%	0.00373	-25.61%	0.3273	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004638	-2.34%	0.004677	-1.52%	0.0397	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004395	-2.33%	0.004599	+2.20%	0.0084	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.004571	-1.98%	0.00465	-0.28%	0.0152	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.004287	-1.86%	0.00483	+10.58%	0.0377	✗	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004244	-1.81%	0.00475	+9.90%	0.0865	✗	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004192	-1.69%	0.005028	+17.92%	0.0960	✗	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004165	-1.58%	0.005014	+18.48%	0.0956	✗	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004176	-1.60%	0.004749	+11.89%	0.0545	✗	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.004317	-1.65%	0.0045	+2.51%	0.0031	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004422	-1.78%	0.004663	+3.56%	0.0016	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004201	-1.37%	0.004368	+2.56%	0.0067	✓	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004242	-1.34%	0.004322	+0.52%	0.0292	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004412	-1.38%	0.004264	-4.69%	0.0495	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004464	-1.39%	0.004232	-6.52%	0.0630	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.004714	-1.63%	0.004245	-11.43%	0.0758	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.004851	-1.71%	0.00439	-11.05%	0.0518	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.00488	-1.82%	0.004503	-9.42%	0.0454	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004785	-1.75%	0.004259	-12.55%	0.0530	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004607	-1.52%	0.0043	-8.09%	0.0392	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.004715	-1.64%	0.004474	-6.68%	0.0120	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.004816	-1.73%	0.004527	-7.63%	0.0018	✓	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004881	-1.75%	0.004792	-3.53%	0.0008	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.004996	-1.85%	0.004935	-3.05%	0.0131	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.0053	-1.97%	0.004971	-8.06%	0.0147	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005497	-2.12%	0.00487	-13.28%	0.0626	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005254	-2.03%	0.004678	-12.78%	0.0416	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.005196	-2.03%	0.004794	-9.62%	0.0457	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.00503	-1.70%	0.004901	-4.22%	0.0193	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.004969	-1.59%	0.004967	-1.61%	0.0091	✓	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.005064	-1.49%	0.00509	-0.97%	0.0105	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.005053	-1.39%	0.005407	+5.52%	0.0084	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005131	-1.35%	0.005616	+7.98%	0.0078	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.005024	-1.01%	0.005364	+5.68%	0.0433	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005132	-1.12%	0.005304	+2.19%	0.0302	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.005087	-1.07%	0.005117	-0.49%	0.0388	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.005365	-1.35%	0.005049	-7.16%	0.0553	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005567	-1.51%	0.00514	-9.06%	0.0430	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005392	-1.24%	0.005124	-6.15%	0.0766	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.005349	-1.20%	0.005201	-3.93%	0.0216	✓	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005379	-0.98%	0.005075	-6.57%	0.0614	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005629	-1.38%	0.00519	-9.07%	0.0860	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.00562	-1.20%	0.005142	-9.60%	0.1262	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005823	-1.57%	0.005438	-8.07%	0.1228	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.005897	-1.60%	0.005652	-5.69%	0.1166	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.005747	-1.00%	0.00546	-5.94%	0.1238	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005785	-1.09%	0.005413	-7.45%	0.1366	✓	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005879	-1.40%	0.005432	-8.89%	0.0476	✓	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.005949	-1.48%	0.005708	-5.48%	0.0247	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.006072	-1.62%	0.005688	-7.83%	0.0300	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.00598	-1.41%	0.005916	-2.46%	0.0192	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.0059	-1.18%	0.005993	+0.39%	0.0102	✓	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005936	-1.35%	0.005805	-3.52%	0.0349	✗	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.006024	-1.54%	0.005849	-4.40%	0.0420	✗	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.005945	-1.41%	0.005962	-1.13%	0.0221	✗	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006394	-2.24%	0.006039	-7.66%	0.0289	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.006255	-1.77%	0.006171	-3.09%	0.0006	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.006161	-1.13%	0.006065	-2.66%	0.0284	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005955	-0.78%	0.00597	-0.53%	0.0122	✗	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.00595	-0.87%	0.006017	+0.25%	0.0326	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005771	-0.63%	0.006118	+5.34%	0.0781	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.005805	-0.61%	0.00603	+3.24%	0.0619	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005812	-0.24%	0.00654	+12.26%	0.1094	✗	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005944	-0.80%	0.006368	+6.28%	0.0966	✗	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.005218	+2.87%	0.006231	+22.85%	0.1208	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005705	-0.52%	0.006002	+4.66%	0.1533	✗	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005594	-1.09%	0.006002	+6.12%	0.1877	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005709	-2.06%	0.005808	-0.36%	0.1643	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005345	-1.34%	0.005841	+7.83%	0.1961	✗	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005401	-1.89%	0.005826	+5.83%	0.2196	✗	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.005858	-2.91%	0.005992	-0.69%	0.2174	✗	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.006071	-3.03%	0.005072	-18.99%	0.1558	✗	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006582	-3.20%	0.005735	-15.66%	0.0882	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.007041	-3.41%	0.005656	-22.41%	0.0293	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.006971	-3.40%	0.005829	-19.22%	0.0477	✓	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006757	-3.29%	0.005417	-22.47%	0.0852	✓	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.00753	-3.89%	0.005505	-29.74%	0.1778	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.007428	-3.81%	0.006033	-21.87%	0.1381	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.006902	-3.49%	0.006261	-12.45%	0.0327	✓	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.007315	-4.08%	0.0068	-10.83%	0.0704	✓	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.006465	-3.48%	0.00729	+8.84%	0.1104	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.006986	-3.76%	0.007216	-0.59%	0.0812	✗	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.006878	-3.33%	0.006987	-1.80%	0.0990	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.006859	-3.23%	0.007835	+10.54%	0.2022	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.00681	-3.22%	0.007722	+9.73%	0.1947	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.006627	-3.18%	0.007151	+4.47%	0.1469	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.007053	-3.74%	0.007626	+4.08%	0.1643	✗	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006806	-4.02%	0.006698	-5.54%	0.0651	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006659	-4.69%	0.007259	+3.91%	0.0697	✗	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005748	-3.19%	0.007115	+19.82%	0.1802	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.005774	-3.14%	0.007088	+18.91%	0.1481	✗	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005649	-2.94%	0.007037	+20.91%	0.1543	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.005796	-2.91%	0.006845	+14.68%	0.1071	✗	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005643	-2.79%	0.007327	+26.22%	0.1666	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.006081	-2.90%	0.007091	+13.22%	0.1263	✗	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.005949	-2.85%	0.006986	+14.09%	0.2067	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.005937	-3.20%	0.005938	-3.18%	0.0113	✓	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.0058	-3.41%	0.005961	-0.73%	0.0313	✓	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.005567	-3.30%	0.00582	+1.09%	0.0346	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.005579	-3.56%	0.005969	+3.18%	0.0268	✓	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005542	-3.80%	0.005805	+0.76%	0.0189	✓	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.006003	-5.29%	0.006263	-1.20%	0.0574	✓	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.00539	-4.00%	0.006123	+9.05%	0.0089	✓	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.004932	-2.02%	0.006133	+21.84%	0.1437	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.005008	-2.12%	0.006005	+17.38%	0.1245	✗	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004708	-1.08%	0.005757	+20.97%	0.1472	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004774	-1.06%	0.005785	+19.90%	0.1601	✗	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.004826	-1.06%	0.005761	+18.10%	0.1793	✗	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004835	-0.91%	0.006339	+29.92%	0.2507	✗	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.004793	-0.86%	0.005615	+16.13%	0.1885	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.00473	-0.54%	0.005033	+5.86%	0.0782	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.004972	-0.77%	0.005116	+2.12%	0.0396	✗	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.004917	-0.58%	0.004759	-3.77%	0.0157	✓	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.004778	+0.27%	0.004825	+1.26%	0.0276	✗	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.005069	-0.32%	0.004878	-4.08%	0.0688	✓	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005516	-1.14%	0.004879	-12.56%	0.1138	✓	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005533	-0.97%	0.004835	-13.46%	0.1807	✓	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005552	-1.14%	0.004755	-15.33%	0.1649	✓	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.005902	-1.59%	0.00501	-16.46%	0.1235	✓	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005849	-1.53%	0.004946	-16.74%	0.1221	✓	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.006171	-1.82%	0.004765	-24.20%	0.1106	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.006018	-1.75%	0.005085	-16.97%	0.0469	✓	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006416	-2.07%	0.00558	-14.84%	0.0408	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006234	-1.98%	0.005587	-12.15%	0.0215	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.0062	-2.01%	0.005616	-11.24%	0.0529	✓	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006287	-2.14%	0.005997	-6.66%	0.0677	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.006379	-2.27%	0.00594	-8.99%	0.0906	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.006133	-2.06%	0.006286	+0.39%	0.0154	✓	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.006303	-2.20%	0.006125	-4.97%	0.0006	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.005913	-1.98%	0.006552	+8.62%	0.0739	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.005968	-1.67%	0.00636	+4.79%	0.0401	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.006591	-2.40%	0.006327	-6.31%	0.0417	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006616	-2.45%	0.006425	-5.26%	0.0064	✓	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006753	-2.36%	0.006527	-5.62%	0.0016	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006866	-2.47%	0.006261	-11.06%	0.1096	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007383	-2.82%	0.006445	-15.16%	0.2040	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.007262	-2.76%	0.006032	-19.23%	0.2820	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007437	-3.13%	0.006069	-20.95%	0.1542	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.0071	-2.80%	0.006753	-7.56%	0.1367	✓	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.007467	-3.22%	0.006782	-12.09%	0.2548	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006693	-1.97%	0.006916	+1.29%	0.1174	✓	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006771	-2.23%	0.00704	+1.65%	0.0834	✓	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.007116	-3.04%	0.007597	+3.52%	0.0911	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.00798	-4.38%	0.007468	-10.51%	0.0773	✗	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.008131	-5.80%	0.007677	-11.05%	0.0421	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.007058	-3.45%	0.007305	-0.07%	0.2341	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.007358	-4.78%	0.007715	-0.16%	0.3422	✗	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.00624	-1.96%	0.006828	+7.27%	0.3407	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.006149	-2.28%	0.006926	+10.08%	0.4824	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.0064	-2.62%	0.007339	+11.67%	0.4093	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.006634	-2.85%	0.008345	+22.20%	0.4967	✗	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.007214	-3.30%	0.008631	+15.68%	0.5348	✗	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007436	-3.80%	0.00731	-5.42%	0.2545	✗	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.006955	-3.22%	0.007727	+7.51%	0.2801	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.007725	-4.59%	0.006365	-21.39%	0.0266	✓	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.007544	-4.40%	0.006292	-20.26%	0.1398	✓	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.007591	-4.80%	0.006572	-17.57%	0.0894	✓	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.00708	-4.79%	0.006829	-8.16%	0.0739	✓	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.007173	-4.28%	0.007461	-0.44%	0.0539	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.006867	-4.08%	0.007729	+7.96%	0.2732	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.006645	-4.46%	0.007187	+3.34%	0.2876	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005879	-2.50%	0.008097	+34.30%	0.4875	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.00526	-2.23%	0.007891	+46.67%	0.5937	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.00568	-2.40%	0.007973	+36.99%	0.4989	✗	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005638	-2.33%	0.007436	+28.83%	0.5808	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.005923	-2.50%	0.007494	+23.36%	0.4290	✗	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.00621	-3.25%	0.007159	+11.55%	0.2433	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.005728	-2.57%	0.006955	+18.30%	0.2354	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005324	-2.43%	0.006029	+10.50%	0.1626	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005214	-2.41%	0.00538	+0.69%	0.0782	✗	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005372	-2.53%	0.00582	+5.61%	0.0149	✓	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005541	-2.65%	0.005772	+1.41%	0.0784	✓	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.005965	-2.98%	0.006075	-1.19%	0.0730	✓	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.005955	-3.05%	0.006418	+4.48%	0.0777	✓	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005831	-3.05%	0.005879	-2.26%	0.1104	✓	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005514	-2.73%	0.005456	-3.76%	0.1323	✓	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005691	-2.78%	0.005343	-8.73%	0.1140	✓	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005823	-2.78%	0.005511	-7.98%	0.0311	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.006076	-2.89%	0.005692	-9.03%	0.0599	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006394	-3.47%	0.006148	-7.19%	0.0830	✗	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.006041	-3.31%	0.006143	-1.66%	0.1810	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005308	-2.14%	0.006015	+10.90%	0.2172	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.00534	-2.23%	0.005669	+3.79%	0.2301	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.007094	-3.54%	0.005854	-20.40%	0.1098	✗	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.00738	-4.23%	0.005989	-22.28%	0.0617	✗	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006803	-3.08%	0.006257	-10.86%	0.0954	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.007315	-3.82%	0.006624	-12.91%	0.0980	✗	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007291	-4.27%	0.006247	-17.98%	0.0240	✓	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.00792	-6.62%	0.005424	-36.05%	0.1223	✓	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.007619	-6.39%	0.005462	-32.89%	0.1305	✓	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.008588	-8.80%	0.007354	-21.91%	0.1791	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.006016	-4.29%	0.007706	+22.59%	0.1540	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004928	-1.04%	0.007019	+40.95%	0.2203	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.004923	-1.08%	0.007606	+52.82%	0.2460	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.004901	-0.96%	0.007616	+53.92%	0.2262	✗	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.004815	-0.79%	0.008481	+74.76%	0.3171	✗	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004886	-0.85%	0.008139	+65.16%	0.2622	✗	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004734	-0.70%	0.009417	+97.55%	0.4583	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.005248	-1.25%	0.006286	+18.29%	0.0782	✗	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005152	-1.23%	0.00498	-4.52%	0.0746	✓	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005231	-1.34%	0.004977	-6.13%	0.0814	✓	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.005645	-1.64%	0.004948	-13.78%	0.0728	✓	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005679	-1.66%	0.004853	-15.97%	0.0386	✓	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005642	-1.66%	0.004928	-14.10%	0.0187	✓	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005898	-1.83%	0.004767	-20.66%	0.0571	✓	2.18
2025-09-17	oos	0.005983	0.005865	-1.97%	0.005314	-11.18%	0.0389	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.