GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s8

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +30d

assessed

367

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1706

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0364

actual +0.0035

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.25622	-16.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.262464	-17.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.274988	-19.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.216766	-17.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.195906	-17.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.170102	-12.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.171835	-13.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.18582	-15.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.188219	-16.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.227293	-19.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.160956	-11.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.16016	-13.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.163636	-14.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.175459	-17.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.161135	-15.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.13338	-10.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.159999	-14.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.150894	-13.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.106285	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.120631	-10.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.127302	-11.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.090026	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.083925	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.083336	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.088711	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.088725	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.089344	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.085195	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.08223	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087447	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.086571	-0.74%	0.305135	+249.87%	1.2970	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.081779	-2.57%	0.3197	+280.89%	1.3447	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.083025	-3.13%	0.34262	+299.74%	1.4111	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.078949	-3.58%	0.262905	+221.07%	1.1909	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.073446	-4.71%	0.236285	+206.55%	1.1138	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.072474	-4.39%	0.194295	+156.33%	0.9280	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.071894	-4.18%	0.19959	+166.01%	0.9484	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.074929	-3.15%	0.22069	+185.26%	1.0428	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.075302	-3.31%	0.22483	+188.69%	1.0243	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.076004	-2.44%	0.28174	+261.65%	1.2605	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.074573	-1.97%	0.181495	+138.59%	0.8178	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.074325	-1.58%	0.18555	+145.71%	0.8433	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.077348	-1.37%	0.191325	+143.96%	0.8588	✗	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.08102	-2.03%	0.21178	+156.10%	0.9232	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.079169	-1.24%	0.190335	+137.43%	0.8281	✗	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.08173	-0.91%	0.14877	+80.37%	0.5397	✗	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.081206	-1.23%	0.187335	+127.85%	0.7683	✗	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.078808	-0.65%	0.17482	+120.38%	0.7217	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.082043	+0.95%	0.11475	+41.20%	0.2971	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.077739	-1.28%	0.13424	+70.47%	0.4618	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.078362	-1.51%	0.143895	+80.86%	0.5194	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080138	-1.39%	0.09422	+15.93%	0.1051	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.078632	-1.82%	0.08629	+7.74%	0.0206	✗	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.082046	-1.37%	0.085545	+2.84%	0.0169	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.083832	-1.26%	0.0909	+7.07%	0.0068	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087826	-0.71%	0.091	+2.88%	0.0098	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084408	-1.06%	0.092755	+8.72%	0.0388	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.081541	-1.09%	0.086435	+4.85%	0.0060	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.084538	-1.21%	0.083	-3.00%	0.0753	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.086659	-2.23%	0.088195	-0.50%	0.0751	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.084994	-2.22%	0.087215	+0.34%	0.0782	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.089608	-2.16%	0.083935	-8.36%	0.0963	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.083038	-3.43%	0.08571	-0.32%	0.0594	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.08033	-4.41%	0.081885	-2.56%	0.1130	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.077116	-5.27%	0.07708	-5.32%	0.1534	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.078677	-5.67%	0.0758	-9.12%	0.1920	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.079528	-6.58%	0.07503	-11.86%	0.2380	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.08017	-6.74%	0.077365	-10.00%	0.2460	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.078167	-7.96%	0.07788	-8.30%	0.1989	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.075933	-5.83%	0.077905	-3.38%	0.1711	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.076463	-6.38%	0.07607	-6.86%	0.2135	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.077546	-6.68%	0.075515	-9.12%	0.2147	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.080038	-7.06%	0.078425	-8.93%	0.2350	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.081469	-8.09%	0.082695	-6.71%	0.2066	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.08194	-7.35%	0.080165	-9.36%	0.2385	✓	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.078734	-6.72%	0.08248	-2.28%	0.1844	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.076309	-6.69%	0.08222	+0.54%	0.1580	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.074688	-5.68%	0.079325	+0.18%	0.1655	✓	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.070865	-5.21%	0.08127	+8.71%	0.1103	✓	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.073255	-5.67%	0.078745	+1.40%	0.1380	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.073493	-4.88%	0.07956	+2.98%	0.1242	✓	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.072586	-4.82%	0.08127	+6.57%	0.1163	✓	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.070625	-4.83%	0.08009	+7.92%	0.0905	✓	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.070229	-4.41%	0.083185	+13.23%	0.0317	✓	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.069833	-4.42%	0.0849	+16.20%	0.0145	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.072845	-5.26%	0.08845	+15.03%	0.0501	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.067772	-4.73%	0.085315	+19.93%	0.0023	✓	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.066113	-4.15%	0.08244	+19.52%	0.0174	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.06589	-4.23%	0.08557	+24.38%	0.0406	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.063033	-3.99%	0.08864	+35.01%	0.1404	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.064678	-3.65%	0.08692	+29.48%	0.1257	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.065785	-3.20%	0.09159	+34.77%	0.1636	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.066038	-3.52%	0.085985	+25.62%	0.1714	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.064999	-3.45%	0.084035	+24.83%	0.2001	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.064206	-3.32%	0.08141	+22.59%	0.2374	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.063829	-3.81%	0.08341	+25.69%	0.2722	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.063435	-4.47%	0.085125	+28.19%	0.3078	✗	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.064451	-4.04%	0.08596	+27.98%	0.2971	✗	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.066379	-4.20%	0.084925	+22.56%	0.2672	✗	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.066606	-5.40%	0.08063	+14.52%	0.2100	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.064141	-4.83%	0.081675	+21.18%	0.2276	✗	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.065603	-5.18%	0.083095	+20.10%	0.2389	✗	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.064745	-5.45%	0.086115	+25.76%	0.2833	✗	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.06548	-5.67%	0.088645	+27.70%	0.2931	✗	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.064517	-5.72%	0.088445	+29.25%	0.2917	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.065525	-5.26%	0.084405	+22.03%	0.2165	✗	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.066355	-5.93%	0.08178	+15.94%	0.1961	✗	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.06985	-6.16%	0.079185	+6.38%	0.1174	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.070509	-6.34%	0.07476	-0.69%	0.0525	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.070796	-6.08%	0.077655	+3.02%	0.0875	✗	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.074366	-7.46%	0.07726	-3.86%	0.0256	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.069425	-5.85%	0.07626	+3.42%	0.0778	✗	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.068214	-7.10%	0.07421	+1.07%	0.0474	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.062446	-5.59%	0.073465	+11.07%	0.0880	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.064265	-5.69%	0.073065	+7.22%	0.0841	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.064945	-5.13%	0.07689	+12.31%	0.1164	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.063837	-6.49%	0.07114	+4.21%	0.0632	✓	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.064153	-6.50%	0.068975	+0.53%	0.0089	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.06388	-6.33%	0.0688	+0.89%	0.0190	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.065336	-6.48%	0.065655	-6.02%	0.0296	✓	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.066894	-6.59%	0.06713	-6.26%	0.0244	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.071802	-5.81%	0.06796	-10.85%	0.0781	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.070743	-5.98%	0.06845	-9.03%	0.0682	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.073259	-6.50%	0.06732	-14.08%	0.0949	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.070229	-7.54%	0.06641	-12.57%	0.0684	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.070866	-7.01%	0.06636	-12.92%	0.0862	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.073782	-7.99%	0.066405	-17.19%	0.0998	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.075149	-8.62%	0.067165	-18.33%	0.0941	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.073272	-9.45%	0.06929	-14.37%	0.0405	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.073727	-9.33%	0.070405	-13.42%	0.0390	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.072335	-8.37%	0.0674	-14.62%	0.0493	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.071758	-6.77%	0.06919	-10.11%	0.0384	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.075019	-4.68%	0.068475	-12.99%	0.0933	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.069833	-3.66%	0.069415	-4.24%	0.0280	✓	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.073771	-3.58%	0.06843	-10.56%	0.0881	✓	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.071722	-3.50%	0.070535	-5.09%	0.0169	✓	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.072032	-2.79%	0.074435	+0.45%	0.0023	✓	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.074687	-3.47%	0.07528	-2.70%	0.0165	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.077863	-4.71%	0.07538	-7.75%	0.0260	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.083791	-5.57%	0.08036	-9.43%	0.0277	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.084432	-5.78%	0.07374	-17.71%	0.0860	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.092219	-6.75%	0.073425	-25.75%	0.1520	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.088449	-6.45%	0.066145	-30.04%	0.1797	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.087658	-6.22%	0.068145	-27.09%	0.1550	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.086456	-6.51%	0.06846	-25.97%	0.1297	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.087459	-6.44%	0.068265	-26.97%	0.1498	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.090224	-6.46%	0.06861	-28.87%	0.1718	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.087232	-6.64%	0.068195	-27.01%	0.1265	✓	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.091498	-7.08%	0.06986	-29.05%	0.1468	✓	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.094098	-7.31%	0.07161	-29.46%	0.1655	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.100533	-8.14%	0.07623	-30.35%	0.1782	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.099723	-8.90%	0.075245	-31.26%	0.1842	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.099919	-7.96%	0.07835	-27.82%	0.1361	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.09586	-8.14%	0.075955	-27.21%	0.1200	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.093668	-8.63%	0.076205	-25.66%	0.0949	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.087726	-8.14%	0.080185	-16.03%	0.0136	✓	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.089146	-9.01%	0.082235	-16.06%	0.0167	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.091659	-10.44%	0.08092	-20.93%	0.0292	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.092889	-11.03%	0.081315	-22.12%	0.0252	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.101414	-12.16%	0.07894	-31.62%	0.1287	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.105117	-11.98%	0.07697	-35.55%	0.1816	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.116574	-14.60%	0.0787	-42.34%	0.2684	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.145837	-17.95%	0.072485	-59.22%	0.5798	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.095036	-6.35%	0.07651	-24.61%	0.0666	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.094559	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.088192	-4.97%	0.0741	-20.16%	0.0344	✓	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.087137	-4.53%	0.07737	-15.23%	0.0657	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.084955	-3.86%	0.08171	-7.53%	0.1354	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.088927	-4.91%	0.08873	-5.12%	0.1621	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.08815	-5.13%	0.08961	-3.56%	0.1392	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.088229	-5.05%	0.09889	+6.42%	0.1888	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.088042	-5.76%	0.09347	+0.05%	0.0868	✗	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.088263	-5.54%	0.092475	-1.03%	0.0722	✗	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.090715	-5.15%	0.09348	-2.26%	0.0608	✗	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.092908	-4.39%	0.09646	-0.73%	0.0706	✗	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.08956	-2.15%	0.093435	+2.08%	0.0731	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.092429	-2.35%	0.09847	+4.03%	0.0677	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.108754	-6.52%	0.10152	-12.73%	0.0633	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.103743	-5.19%	0.109445	+0.02%	0.0721	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.098546	-3.78%	0.10947	+6.89%	0.1369	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.101083	-5.57%	0.108555	+1.41%	0.0573	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.106579	-6.77%	0.104355	-8.72%	0.0402	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.101855	-7.05%	0.10251	-6.46%	0.0298	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.093891	-3.75%	0.095495	-2.10%	0.0017	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088973	-1.03%	0.09797	+8.98%	0.0924	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.086818	-1.80%	0.10234	+15.76%	0.1266	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.081616	-0.98%	0.10441	+26.68%	0.1925	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078771	-1.03%	0.11545	+45.06%	0.2951	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.082289	-1.36%	0.11943	+43.17%	0.3114	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.073442	-2.84%	0.1365	+80.58%	0.4957	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.077318	-1.53%	0.177745	+126.38%	0.7252	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.076854	-1.44%	0.10148	+30.14%	0.1642	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.076542	-2.13%	0.10086	+28.96%	0.1641	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.077375	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.078616	-2.21%	0.092805	+15.44%	0.0630	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.076378	-4.00%	0.09127	+14.72%	0.0133	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.071942	-3.52%	0.088365	+18.50%	0.0495	✗	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.073375	-4.21%	0.09352	+22.09%	0.0716	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.070323	-4.00%	0.09292	+26.85%	0.1194	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.071362	-4.08%	0.09292	+24.89%	0.1018	✗	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.075428	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.074712	-3.59%	0.093425	+20.56%	0.1104	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.073542	-3.66%	0.093435	+22.39%	0.1112	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.073224	-3.42%	0.095645	+26.15%	0.1193	✗	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.076631	-3.30%	0.09717	+22.61%	0.0816	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.076584	-3.01%	0.09153	+15.92%	0.0060	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.076029	-2.13%	0.094655	+21.85%	0.0931	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.082405	-1.43%	0.116335	+39.16%	0.2599	✗	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.083909	-1.80%	0.109425	+28.06%	0.1581	✗	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.081358	-1.34%	0.102415	+24.20%	0.1286	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.078945	-1.80%	0.10705	+33.16%	0.1818	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.078477	-1.40%	0.11432	+43.64%	0.2758	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.082568	-1.06%	0.109585	+31.31%	0.2353	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.08747	-1.72%	0.097545	+9.60%	0.0253	✗	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.089394	-1.39%	0.0899	-0.83%	0.0781	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092315	-0.86%	0.08841	-5.06%	0.0608	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093526	-0.65%	0.08242	-12.45%	0.1257	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093377	-1.07%	0.07959	-15.68%	0.1795	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.093465	-1.24%	0.08342	-11.86%	0.1613	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.094244	-1.32%	0.07559	-20.85%	0.2176	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.104657	-3.27%	0.078515	-27.43%	0.3267	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.091227	-0.71%	0.07798	-15.13%	0.1992	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083562	+0.15%	0.07821	-6.27%	0.0941	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.082261	+0.12%	0.07942	-3.33%	0.0762	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.078814	+0.23%	0.08039	+2.23%	0.0738	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078878	+0.40%	0.07956	+1.27%	0.0170	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.081376	+0.36%	0.07457	-8.03%	0.1015	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084992	+0.33%	0.0766	-9.57%	0.0473	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087587	+0.32%	0.07325	-16.10%	0.0891	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.087169	+0.10%	0.0744	-14.56%	0.1340	✗	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.084926	+0.40%	0.07843	-7.28%	0.0675	✗	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083841	+0.47%	0.07749	-7.14%	0.1203	✗	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087626	+0.17%	0.07634	-12.73%	0.1339	✗	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.089439	-0.00%	0.07582	-15.23%	0.1669	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.091104	-0.12%	0.07925	-13.11%	0.1191	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091388	-0.12%	0.07896	-13.70%	0.1178	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.086793	+0.41%	0.07768	-10.13%	0.1940	✗	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.08733	+0.37%	0.0836	-3.92%	0.1575	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.090339	-0.01%	0.08545	-5.42%	0.1050	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.093269	-0.31%	0.08246	-11.86%	0.1720	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.093161	-0.31%	0.08039	-13.98%	0.1451	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.09311	-0.26%	0.07959	-14.74%	0.1902	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.095207	-0.45%	0.083455	-12.74%	0.2017	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.100247	-1.13%	0.089	-12.22%	0.1582	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.10295	-1.60%	0.09065	-13.36%	0.1646	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.101219	-1.47%	0.09312	-9.35%	0.1624	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.10341	-1.89%	0.09414	-10.68%	0.1711	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.102247	-1.79%	0.09439	-9.34%	0.1421	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.097131	-0.95%	0.09464	-3.49%	0.1052	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.094853	-0.81%	0.0955	-0.14%	0.0540	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.094735	-1.10%	0.108195	+12.95%	0.1061	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.096827	-1.61%	0.09188	-6.64%	0.0541	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.095888	-1.55%	0.08344	-14.33%	0.1341	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.098513	-1.69%	0.08216	-18.01%	0.1685	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.098873	-2.11%	0.078635	-22.14%	0.1556	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.090549	+0.72%	0.07856	-12.61%	0.2187	✗	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.101202	-2.92%	0.08108	-22.23%	0.1359	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.103425	-3.61%	0.08471	-21.05%	0.1186	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.10646	-4.26%	0.08731	-21.48%	0.0979	✓	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.100752	-3.68%	0.08708	-16.75%	0.0090	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.10166	-3.91%	0.08459	-20.05%	0.0215	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.112282	-4.52%	0.08345	-29.04%	0.0070	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.114238	-4.48%	0.08748	-26.86%	0.0077	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.125076	-3.86%	0.08944	-31.25%	0.0135	✓	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.126273	-3.90%	0.09121	-30.59%	0.0017	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.125376	-4.07%	0.0915	-29.99%	0.0094	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.119483	-4.07%	0.08644	-30.60%	0.0259	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.130316	-4.04%	0.08701	-35.93%	0.0423	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.127051	-3.31%	0.09035	-31.24%	0.0235	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.122949	-2.81%	0.093555	-26.04%	0.0372	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.125799	-3.01%	0.09345	-27.95%	0.0120	✓	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.12236	-3.12%	0.09335	-26.09%	0.0418	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.13513	-2.22%	0.09564	-30.80%	0.0165	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.136295	-1.73%	0.10139	-26.90%	0.0651	✗	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.144633	-1.74%	0.104625	-28.92%	0.0221	✗	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.13954	-0.90%	0.10273	-27.04%	0.0485	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.136158	-0.47%	0.1054	-22.95%	0.0840	✗	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.142592	-0.22%	0.10411	-27.14%	0.0519	✗	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.146298	-1.62%	0.09806	-34.06%	0.0034	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.132665	-2.52%	0.09563	-29.74%	0.0023	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.1372	-2.97%	0.09579	-32.26%	0.0598	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.138169	-3.18%	0.09841	-31.04%	0.0627	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.139902	-3.25%	0.0974	-32.64%	0.0740	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.140571	-3.12%	0.10021	-30.94%	0.0370	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.141062	-3.18%	0.101	-30.68%	0.0558	✗	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.147195	-2.91%	0.0899	-40.70%	0.1126	✗	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.149332	-3.09%	0.10425	-32.35%	0.0234	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.144578	-3.42%	0.1073	-28.32%	0.0075	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.142246	-3.43%	0.1112	-24.51%	0.0299	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.139653	-3.35%	0.1046	-27.61%	0.0503	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.13611	-3.26%	0.1058	-24.80%	0.0689	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.126832	-2.66%	0.1176	-9.75%	0.0169	✓	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.130294	-2.55%	0.1196	-10.55%	0.0187	✓	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.128518	-2.42%	0.1301	-1.21%	0.0231	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.130156	-2.36%	0.1314	-1.43%	0.0118	✓	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.131326	-2.51%	0.1307	-2.97%	0.0122	✓	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.125918	-2.16%	0.12455	-3.22%	0.0014	✓	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.122876	-1.86%	0.1358	+8.47%	0.0684	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.126057	-2.05%	0.1314	+2.10%	0.0106	✓	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.126361	-2.12%	0.1265	-2.01%	0.0332	✓	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.125955	-2.06%	0.1297	+0.86%	0.0158	✓	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.123599	-1.91%	0.1263	+0.24%	0.0272	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.125563	-1.98%	0.1382	+7.88%	0.0250	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.124681	-1.90%	0.1387	+9.13%	0.0143	✓	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.117548	-1.47%	0.1472	+23.39%	0.0649	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.120015	-1.63%	0.1408	+15.41%	0.0052	✓	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.123678	-1.84%	0.1368	+8.57%	0.0268	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.125032	-1.90%	0.1429	+12.12%	0.0420	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.125884	-1.92%	0.1487	+15.86%	0.0458	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.133678	-2.28%	0.1361	-0.51%	0.0023	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.135433	-2.36%	0.1414	+1.95%	0.0331	✗	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.137286	-2.43%	0.1427	+1.42%	0.0753	✗	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.139057	-2.55%	0.1446	+1.33%	0.0650	✗	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.14692	-3.15%	0.1451	-4.35%	0.0153	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.140794	-2.53%	0.1457	+0.87%	0.0239	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.137768	-2.22%	0.1516	+7.59%	0.0413	✗	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.140158	-2.33%	0.1541	+7.39%	0.0184	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.133824	-1.74%	0.1497	+9.91%	0.0759	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.140417	-2.15%	0.1473	+2.65%	0.0728	✗	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.141783	-2.08%	0.1445	-0.21%	0.0773	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.140348	-1.85%	0.1407	-1.61%	0.0466	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.138118	-1.34%	0.1303	-6.93%	0.0812	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.149595	-2.29%	0.1337	-12.67%	0.0767	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.150344	-2.31%	0.1317	-14.42%	0.0650	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.153857	-2.50%	0.1333	-15.53%	0.0888	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.1569	-2.67%	0.1347	-16.44%	0.0892	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.153886	-2.48%	0.1287	-18.44%	0.1204	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.15281	-2.17%	0.1252	-19.85%	0.1963	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.155414	-2.44%	0.1287	-19.21%	0.1759	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.156457	-2.40%	0.1291	-19.46%	0.2045	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.153021	-1.91%	0.1286	-17.56%	0.2524	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.151209	-1.81%	0.126	-18.18%	0.2545	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.156791	-2.43%	0.1281	-20.29%	0.2379	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.151108	-2.51%	0.1271	-18.00%	0.1001	✓	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.155351	-2.91%	0.1193	-25.44%	0.1035	✓	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.154656	-2.73%	0.122	-23.27%	0.1099	✓	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.157713	-3.12%	0.126	-22.60%	0.0935	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.160144	-3.41%	0.12745	-23.13%	0.0372	✓	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.159405	-3.27%	0.12835	-22.12%	0.0843	✓	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.163434	-3.81%	0.1368	-19.48%	0.0213	✓	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.168316	-4.04%	0.1387	-20.92%	0.0475	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.170364	-4.18%	0.1407	-20.87%	0.0309	✓	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.181942	-4.64%	0.1427	-25.21%	0.0794	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.180707	-4.77%	0.1517	-20.05%	0.1061	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.178466	-4.67%	0.14445	-22.84%	0.0707	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.180343	-4.88%	0.1409	-25.69%	0.0587	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.164652	-3.82%	0.1435	-16.18%	0.1477	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.167567	-4.08%	0.1362	-22.04%	0.1357	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.160288	-3.56%	0.1435	-13.66%	0.1101	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.15705	-3.47%	0.1448	-11.00%	0.2444	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.175062	-3.71%	0.143	-21.34%	0.2681	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.176976	-3.71%	0.14	-23.83%	0.3653	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.174269	-3.45%	0.1531	-15.18%	0.3452	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.172989	-3.25%	0.1539	-13.93%	0.3184	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.182313	-3.18%	0.1578	-16.20%	0.3218	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.190647	-2.83%	0.1612	-17.84%	0.3565	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.20006	-2.65%	0.1578	-23.21%	0.3344	✗	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.208324	-2.65%	0.1562	-27.01%	0.3797	✗	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.201128	-2.88%	0.1593	-23.08%	0.3560	✗	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.201823	-2.95%	0.1603	-22.91%	0.3884	✗	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.200434	-2.94%	0.156	-24.46%	0.4102	✗	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.194629	-2.88%	0.154	-23.15%	0.3598	✗	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.202997	-3.10%	0.1607	-23.29%	0.3344	✗	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.210502	-3.26%	0.155	-28.77%	0.1786	✗	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.2119	-3.83%	0.16	-27.39%	0.1152	✗	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.206586	-3.73%	0.159	-25.91%	0.1227	✗	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.205683	-3.75%	0.1628	-23.82%	0.0754	✗	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.208466	-3.67%	0.1658	-23.38%	0.0867	✗	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.217847	-3.82%	0.1648	-27.24%	0.1261	✗	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.227608	-3.39%	0.1699	-27.89%	0.0316	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.241386	-2.88%	0.1754	-29.43%	0.0009	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.223387	-3.13%	0.1778	-22.90%	0.0453	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.204239	-3.66%	0.1908	-10.00%	0.0415	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.195828	-2.50%	0.18975	-5.53%	0.1628	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.277202	-0.36%	0.1872	-32.71%	0.0319	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.283967	+0.18%	0.1896	-33.11%	0.0373	✗	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.271018	-0.21%	0.1712	-36.97%	0.0844	✓	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.285986	+0.45%	0.1747	-38.64%	0.1106	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.278767	+0.10%	0.1662	-40.32%	0.1054	✗	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.281467	-0.44%	0.1627	-42.45%	0.2576	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.285952	-0.75%	0.1818	-36.90%	0.2415	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.282784	-1.35%	0.1838	-35.88%	0.2382	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.272905	-1.76%	0.1805	-35.03%	0.2430	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.249792	-2.23%	0.1788	-30.02%	0.2243	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.257733	-2.48%	0.1883	-28.76%	0.2299	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.269669	-3.14%	0.1962	-29.53%	0.3324	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.265712	-3.38%	0.2055	-25.27%	0.3479	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.272033	-3.64%	0.214	-24.19%	0.3401	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.261797	-3.54%	0.2071	-23.69%	0.2894	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.287796	-3.75%	0.20795	-30.45%	0.2779	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.290162	-3.95%	0.2065	-31.65%	0.3005	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.294082	-3.96%	0.2004	-34.55%	0.2763	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.32003	-4.20%	0.2095	-37.28%	0.2848	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.327013	-4.30%	0.2176	-36.32%	0.3038	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.322398	-4.16%	0.22035	-34.50%	0.2378	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.351395	-4.73%	0.2146	-41.82%	0.2940	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.346491	-4.73%	0.2137	-41.24%	0.2813	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.335643	-4.39%	0.2164	-38.36%	0.2654	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.332891	-4.55%	0.2265	-35.05%	0.2930	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.341208	-4.80%	0.2356	-34.26%	0.3259	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.