8=======>

2022-09-14 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1525
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.9%
in alpha space · 90.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0020,240.09-0.09%19,833.10-2.10%0.0035✗0.9113k2022-09-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.442187-0.18%0.421-4.97%0.0180✓1.184,5592022-09-15
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.061529-0.19%0.061091-0.90%0.0041✗0.43129k2022-09-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.8692-0.19%4.8786-0.00%0.0047✗0.11135k2022-09-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.8064-0.20%1.79-1.10%0.0029✗0.4656k2022-09-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.070744-0.22%0.06499-8.34%0.0596✓0.9625k2022-09-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.036227-0.23%0.03582-1.35%0.0074✗0.712,2982022-09-15
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.218993-0.23%0.2141-2.46%0.0010✓0.90504k2022-09-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.124911-0.23%0.1206-3.67%0.0080✓1.032.6M2022-09-15
GTGateEthereum4.30854.2984-0.23%4.1854-2.86%0.0085✓0.69696k2022-09-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.659-0.24%4.47-4.28%0.0200✓0.82808k2022-09-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7720,179.29-0.24%19,703.67-2.59%0.0024✓1.00480.9M2022-09-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.087.0628-0.24%6.64-6.21%0.0343✓1.04210k2022-09-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.163283-0.25%0.1557-4.89%0.0185✓1.111,5602022-09-15
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.80964-0.26%0.80867-0.38%0.0188✗0.7613k2022-09-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.058046-0.26%0.0557-4.30%0.0211✓0.7782k2022-09-15
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.37902-0.27%0.36772-3.24%0.0053✓0.9529k2022-09-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.036502-0.27%0.0355-3.01%0.0015✓1.0093k2022-09-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.209339-0.27%0.2059-1.91%0.0020✓0.5666k2022-09-15
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.0426-0.27%0.040879-4.30%0.0175✓0.9028k2022-09-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4062-0.27%1.41+0.00%0.0023✓-0.19113k2022-09-15
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9283.6873-0.28%78.51-6.45%0.0259✓1.446.2M2022-09-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.012149-0.28%0.012048-1.11%0.0145✗0.87851k2022-09-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,634.55-0.28%1,472.68-10.16%0.0704✓1.29569.9M2022-09-15
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.124544-0.29%0.1202-3.76%0.0066✓1.101.4M2022-09-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.060949-0.29%0.058603-4.13%0.0149✓0.931.1M2022-09-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.626177-0.29%0.593-5.57%0.0269✓1.053.2M2022-09-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000012155-0.29%0.00001167-4.27%0.0155✓0.96951k2022-09-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001221-0.29%0.00116-5.33%0.0316✓0.772.1M2022-09-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.188342-0.30%0.1907+0.95%0.0393✗1.0286k2022-09-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.51299-0.30%0.48387-5.96%0.0191✓1.5039k2022-09-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.135899-0.31%0.12968-4.87%0.0172✓1.13146k2022-09-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.139468-0.31%0.1336-4.50%0.0169✓1.00119k2022-09-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3664-0.31%4.21-3.88%0.0230✓0.511.4M2022-09-15
SOLSolanaSolana34.1234.0122-0.32%33.07-3.08%0.0028✓1.1852.2M2022-09-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.6057-0.32%2.546-2.60%0.0013✓0.83464k2022-09-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005957-0.32%0.005941-0.58%0.0133✗0.611,9622022-09-15
DASHDashDash45.5845.4335-0.32%43.87-3.75%0.0076✓1.04299k2022-09-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.104871-0.32%0.102273-2.79%0.0026✓0.866.5M2022-09-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99119.5928-0.33%117.54-2.04%0.0118✗1.114.3M2022-09-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.292889-0.33%0.28088-4.42%0.0150✓1.02430k2022-09-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.042857-0.33%0.0408-5.12%0.0190✓1.15546k2022-09-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.091093-0.34%0.0912-0.22%0.0230✗0.8310k2022-09-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.023162-0.34%0.02264-2.58%0.0052✗1.072,9142022-09-15
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057112.0162-0.34%11.3056-6.23%0.0365✓0.9321k2022-09-15
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.77e-7-0.34%8.30e-7-5.68%0.0369✓0.691.7M2022-09-15
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003877-0.34%0.00375-3.60%0.0091✓0.9289k2022-09-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.2244-0.34%1.2148-1.12%0.0195✗1.04844k2022-09-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.429517-0.34%0.453+5.10%0.0816✗1.087,9852022-09-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.19682-0.34%0.1903-3.65%0.0087✓0.95130k2022-09-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.066509-0.35%0.06518-2.34%0.0046✗0.958692022-09-15
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.479293-0.35%0.466-3.12%0.0032✓0.9536.8M2022-09-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.020619-0.36%0.020113-2.80%0.0078✓0.6512k2022-09-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.059883-0.36%0.0585-2.66%0.0087✗1.22608k2022-09-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.3341-0.36%9.109-2.76%0.0022✓0.851.2M2022-09-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.01711.0134-0.36%0.977095-3.93%0.0155✓0.8039k2022-09-15
ZENHorizenBase15.115.0451-0.36%14.5-3.97%0.0064✓1.1675k2022-09-15
XMRMoneroMonero149.8149.2534-0.36%145.86-2.63%0.0028✓0.981.5M2022-09-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.506143-0.37%0.489-3.74%0.0036✓1.1870k2022-09-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012324-0.37%0.01216-1.70%0.0025✓0.61233k2022-09-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.008468-0.37%0.00833-2.00%0.0069✗0.893.3M2022-09-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.211107-0.37%0.2063-2.64%0.0010✓0.9257k2022-09-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.060472-0.38%0.0665+9.56%0.1230✗1.0677k2022-09-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.609696-0.38%0.591-3.43%0.0047✓1.01178k2022-09-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.107194-0.38%0.1042-3.16%0.0066✓0.83188k2022-09-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.020343-0.38%0.02027-0.73%0.0111✗0.56173k2022-09-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.5302-0.38%1.509-1.76%0.0043✗0.6929k2022-09-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.404652-0.38%0.3922-3.45%0.0014✓1.1466k2022-09-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.376154-0.38%0.3559-5.75%0.0301✓0.96202k2022-09-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.302036-0.38%0.295-2.70%0.0009✓0.935.9M2022-09-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.266967-0.39%0.259-3.36%0.0105✓0.75512k2022-09-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.2867-0.39%6.13-2.87%0.0005✓0.944.3M2022-09-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.270851-0.39%0.2622-3.57%0.0069✓0.972.7M2022-09-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001524-0.39%0.001455-4.90%0.0260✓0.785,8832022-09-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.094929-0.39%0.0978+2.62%0.0498✗0.762,9132022-09-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.7166-0.39%5.586-2.67%0.0098✓0.513.1M2022-09-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.8471-0.39%5.59-4.77%0.0316✓0.512.1M2022-09-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0664-0.39%1.0528-1.66%0.0258✗1.474.5M2022-09-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.6322-0.39%14.21-3.27%0.0065✓0.871.9M2022-09-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.3406-0.40%2.24-4.68%0.0283✓0.60200k2022-09-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.259.9594-0.40%56.34-6.41%0.0376✓0.9414.4M2022-09-15
SGBSongbirdnative0.02620.026095-0.40%0.0246-6.11%0.0436✓0.5945k2022-09-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.162821-0.40%0.15592-4.62%0.0165✓1.02262k2022-09-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.9221-0.40%3.752-4.72%0.0314✓0.492.1M2022-09-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9968-0.40%3.815-4.93%0.0376✓0.342.0M2022-09-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.76e-7-0.40%8.30e-7-5.68%0.0362✓0.7015k2022-09-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.6572-0.41%1.578-5.17%0.0262✓0.87578k2022-09-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.094611-0.41%0.0903-4.95%0.0207✓0.99319k2022-09-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.3854-0.41%8.14-3.33%0.0158✓0.532.4M2022-09-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.042923-0.41%0.04198-2.60%0.0018✓0.7814k2022-09-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.7077-0.42%2.583-5.00%0.0076✓1.512.9M2022-09-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9816.9092-0.42%16.28-4.12%0.0236✓0.55384k2022-09-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36652.1474-0.42%51.746-1.18%0.0146✗0.85221k2022-09-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001549-0.42%0.0022+41.39%0.3701✗0.75340k2022-09-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.046305-0.42%0.0441-5.16%0.0269✓0.83142k2022-09-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0292.0204-0.42%1.962-3.30%0.0005✓1.1327k2022-09-15
QTUMQtumQtum3.09633.0832-0.42%2.9863-3.55%0.0056✓1.0019k2022-09-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.381-0.43%1.313-5.34%0.0200✓1.1643k2022-09-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.008015-0.44%0.00782-2.86%0.0051✗1.13463k2022-09-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.26.173-0.44%6.06-2.26%0.0072✓0.432.1M2022-09-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.894645-0.44%0.8579-4.53%0.0106✓1.19874k2022-09-15
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.2514-0.44%1.206-4.06%0.0057✓1.19303k2022-09-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.9555-0.44%9.29-7.10%0.0353✓1.29288k2022-09-15
QNTQuantEthereum99.0598.6076-0.45%103.96+4.96%0.0759✗0.883.5M2022-09-15
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1826.1541-0.45%5.884-4.82%0.0098✓1.346.9M2022-09-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.324-0.45%1.27-4.51%0.0160✓0.9856k2022-09-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01731.0127-0.45%0.9834-3.33%0.0175✓0.452.8M2022-09-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.068444-0.46%0.06724-2.21%0.0125✓0.20351k2022-09-15
STXStacksnative0.35220.350574-0.46%0.3436-2.44%0.0077✗1.06298k2022-09-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.8004-0.46%1.7321-4.24%0.0102✓1.0928k2022-09-15
PROPropyEthereum0.720.716665-0.46%0.7-2.78%0.0179✓0.2242k2022-09-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.740871-0.46%0.71924-3.37%0.0018✓1.06584k2022-09-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.486031-0.46%0.4691-3.93%0.0092✓1.00366k2022-09-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1833-0.47%1.1128-6.40%0.0337✓1.061.2M2022-09-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.324576-0.47%0.31479-3.47%0.0038✓1.0233k2022-09-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.1615-0.47%1.126-3.51%0.0075✓0.901.1M2022-09-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.034258-0.47%0.03257-5.37%0.0227✓1.0629k2022-09-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020502-0.48%0.01964-4.66%0.0186✓0.939.2M2022-09-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.912561-0.48%0.883-3.71%0.0048✓1.071.5M2022-09-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.321246-0.48%0.3001-7.04%0.0479✓0.77326k2022-09-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.4214-0.49%7.563+1.41%0.0472✗1.0818.0M2022-09-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.006294-0.50%0.006336+0.17%0.0152✗0.3229k2022-09-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.8144-0.50%3.7372-2.51%0.0042✓0.626.3M2022-09-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2087.1719-0.50%6.934-3.80%0.0064✓1.049.9M2022-09-15
FTTFTXEthereum25.525.3722-0.50%24.08-5.57%0.0259✓1.016.8M2022-09-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.847217-0.50%0.8518+0.04%0.0412✗1.3789k2022-09-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.33489-0.51%0.3228-4.10%0.0082✓1.0972k2022-09-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.113218-0.51%0.1102-3.16%0.0147✓0.47182k2022-09-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.2779-0.51%4.046-5.91%0.0316✓0.92223k2022-09-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1319.0318-0.51%18.2-4.86%0.0097✓1.3317.5M2022-09-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.040247-0.51%0.039421-2.56%0.0056✓0.5824k2022-09-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1093.0929-0.52%2.988-3.89%0.0262✓0.32676k2022-09-15
ZECZcashZcash61.9661.6386-0.52%58.33-5.86%0.0272✓1.071.1M2022-09-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.337638-0.52%0.3195-5.86%0.0290✓1.0079k2022-09-15
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.602-0.52%1.5204-5.59%0.0258✓1.01236k2022-09-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.4583-0.52%1.388-5.32%0.0202✓1.1168k2022-09-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.5146-0.53%5.7604+3.91%0.0462✗0.109.6M2022-09-15
KSMKusamaHydration47.5847.3285-0.53%44.46-6.56%0.0375✓0.95363k2022-09-15
XVGVergenative0.003370.003352-0.53%0.00326-3.26%0.0047✓0.88483k2022-09-15
HIVEHivenative0.55510.552139-0.53%0.5477-1.33%0.0068✗0.57836k2022-09-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.410747-0.54%0.40594-1.70%0.0140✗0.98379k2022-09-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.283468-0.54%0.2861+0.39%0.0359✗1.0172k2022-09-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.8971-0.55%14.912+6.71%0.1026✗1.2220.3M2022-09-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.482615-0.55%0.4585-5.52%0.0302✓0.80396k2022-09-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.3001-0.56%5.19-2.63%0.0090✓0.462.4M2022-09-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.8038-0.56%1.72-5.18%0.0053✓1.6160k2022-09-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.92279-0.56%0.92-0.86%0.0092✗0.472.5M2022-09-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.671269-0.57%0.6666-1.26%0.0325✗1.50194k2022-09-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.147847-0.57%0.1448-2.62%0.0086✗1.128922022-09-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02442.0127-0.58%1.9299-4.67%0.0131✓1.1013k2022-09-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.9265-0.59%2.0023+3.32%0.0562✗0.671.5M2022-09-15
METISMetisEthereum27.5827.4165-0.59%25.7-6.82%0.0243✓1.54155k2022-09-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005577-0.59%0.00541-3.57%0.0140✓0.62911k2022-09-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.042.0276-0.61%1.94-4.90%0.0106✓1.28226k2022-09-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.147293-0.61%0.1496+0.94%0.0402✗0.94322k2022-09-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.009,137.18-0.62%8,520.47-7.33%0.0350✓1.334.0M2022-09-15
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.865273-0.63%0.788148-9.48%0.0716✓0.8347k2022-09-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.038854-0.63%0.0367-6.14%0.0379✓0.739,5132022-09-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.267289-0.64%0.25784-4.15%0.0139✓0.8415k2022-09-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.060103-0.64%0.05919-2.15%0.0158✗1.181.1M2022-09-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.50971-0.64%0.485-5.46%0.0203✓1.1266k2022-09-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.191161-0.64%0.1909-0.78%0.0223✗0.903.1M2022-09-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.025789-0.65%0.025135-3.17%0.0269✓-0.04485k2022-09-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.048381-0.65%0.0471-3.29%0.0006✓1.05177k2022-09-15
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.4554-0.66%4.4233-1.37%0.0273✗1.31118k2022-09-15
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1025.0684-0.66%4.909-3.78%0.0003✓1.236.4M2022-09-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3113.2221-0.66%12.71-4.51%0.0109✓1.09874k2022-09-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.054934-0.66%0.0505-8.68%0.0657✓0.70234k2022-09-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.112051-0.66%0.1085-3.81%0.0013✓1.272.4M2022-09-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.307488-0.68%0.3312+6.98%0.0984✗0.9289k2022-09-15
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.2077-0.68%1.131-6.99%0.0245✓1.572.7M2022-09-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002852-0.68%0.002756-4.04%0.0104✓0.911.2M2022-09-15
FLOWFlownative1.8681.8551-0.69%1.753-6.16%0.0213✓1.35967k2022-09-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.627507-0.71%0.603-4.59%0.0136✓1.00114k2022-09-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.81751-0.72%0.7977-3.12%0.0041✓1.09920k2022-09-15
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.318465-0.76%0.3538+10.25%0.1303✗0.957782022-09-15
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,535.28-0.76%1,397.26-9.68%0.0679✓1.003.3M2022-09-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17211.0845-0.78%11.656+4.33%0.0595✗0.3515.8M2022-09-15
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0959.6194-0.78%56.91-5.29%0.0181✓1.088,4972022-09-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.953-0.78%6.1741+2.90%0.0431✗0.2512.5M2022-09-15
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.4815-0.81%4.185-7.37%0.0422✓1.001.4M2022-09-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.9055-0.83%5.726-3.85%0.0055✓0.975.9M2022-09-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3739.033-0.86%35.67-9.40%0.0505✓1.5110.6M2022-09-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-76.52e-7-0.86%5.79e-7-11.97%0.0981✓0.792.1M2022-09-15
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000045748-0.89%0.00004321-6.39%0.0353✓0.833.5M2022-09-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1217.942-0.98%15.76-13.02%0.1103✓0.741.4M2022-09-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.128808-1.30%0.1245-4.60%0.0203✓0.5283k2022-09-15
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011577-1.31%0.011568-1.39%0.0255✗1.007452022-09-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000296458-1.32%0.00025952-13.61%0.1327✓0.012.4M2022-09-15
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016895-1.47%0.016546-3.50%0.0054✓1.001,0682022-09-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.199071-2.65%0.1738-15.01%0.1155✓0.7730k2022-09-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.