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2022-08-26 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0361
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 52.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.063649+0.69%0.06428+1.69%0.0212✓1.122.4M2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.6994+0.68%2.682+0.04%0.0003✓0.66653k2022-08-27
OPTIMOptimism1.0191.0259+0.68%1.025+0.59%0.0168✓1.743.5M2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative1.8511.8633+0.66%1.823-1.51%0.0084✗1.331.2M2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.7071+0.64%5.829+2.79%0.0299✓0.8710.1M2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.650796+0.59%0.663+2.47%0.0276✓0.89253k2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.7377+0.54%2.891+6.17%0.0706✓1.594.0M2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum31.131.2552+0.50%30.05-3.38%0.0203✗1.88348k2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3922+0.45%1.404+1.30%0.0203✓1.18130k2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.12053.1342+0.44%3.1269+0.21%0.0079✓1.0128k2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.1752+0.42%2.0859-3.71%0.0295✗1.2313k2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.36120.362616+0.39%0.3638+0.72%0.0151✓1.17450k2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.778061+0.38%0.7896+1.87%0.0258✓1.092.1M2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.6382+0.38%1.63-0.12%0.0072✓1.2196k2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1546.1771+0.38%6.056-1.59%0.0065✗1.3110.3M2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9477+0.30%1.96+0.93%0.0237✓1.72106k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.510357+0.27%0.51+0.20%0.0109✓1.1488k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.763+0.26%6.303+9.66%0.0990✓0.935.2M2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.333162+0.26%0.3144-5.39%0.0462✗1.16112k2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.062752+0.24%0.0608-2.88%0.0192✗1.221.0M2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.131798+0.24%0.1322+0.55%0.0155✓1.22210k2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.102645+0.24%0.1033+0.88%0.0175✓1.103.9M2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.869529+0.23%0.86406-0.40%0.0036✓0.9813k2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9246.0261+0.23%46.09+0.37%0.0139✓1.2414k2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.02191+0.23%0.02303+5.35%0.0584✓0.8513.4M2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.003127+0.23%0.003041-2.53%0.0189✗0.891.1M2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2712.2977+0.23%11.9-3.02%0.0215✗1.131.9M2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.037881+0.21%0.0366-3.17%0.0259✗0.8411k2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.2256+0.21%1.221-0.16%0.0088✓1.24534k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.047294+0.20%0.0474+0.42%0.0121✓0.98843k2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.156512+0.20%0.1524-2.43%0.0156✗1.091,8902022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.517968+0.19%0.509-1.55%0.0050✗1.232,6092022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005548+0.17%0.005618+1.44%0.0194✓0.672,6192022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2217.2482+0.16%17.54+1.86%0.0240✓0.711.2M2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.7769+0.16%1.7879+0.78%0.0171✓1.0838k2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.044653+0.16%0.04518+1.35%0.0188✓0.7016k2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.327.3316+0.16%7.33+0.14%0.0111✓1.11638k2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana31.7431.7897+0.16%31.54-0.63%0.0038✓1.1670.1M2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.340221+0.15%0.3492+2.80%0.0386✓1.24191k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.478025+0.15%0.5753+20.53%0.1936✓0.82625k2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.292+0.15%1.29+0.00%0.0082✓0.96182k2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.0701+0.15%1.0612-0.68%0.0043✓1.25981k2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.5468+0.15%0.55+0.73%0.0169✓1.0996k2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4849+0.14%1.4676-1.03%0.0006✓1.10355k2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.281366+0.13%0.28228+0.46%0.0139✓1.0512k2022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash61.161.1812+0.13%61.36+0.43%0.0144✓1.132.0M2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.045557+0.13%0.0454-0.21%0.0018✓0.5233k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.274354+0.13%0.28+2.19%0.0278✓0.73826k2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6820.7067+0.13%20.04-3.09%0.0197✗1.2923.6M2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.043355+0.13%0.0436+0.69%0.0156✓0.98180k2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.7798+0.12%4.757-0.36%0.0091✓1.379.8M2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.449619+0.12%0.4567+1.69%0.0270✓1.12400k2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.5112+0.11%6.531+0.42%0.0139✓1.0719.5M2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003914+0.11%0.00389-0.51%0.0039✓1.00158k2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.778909+0.10%0.77842+0.04%0.0087✓0.92523k2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.388287+0.10%0.376-3.07%0.0208✗1.1289k2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.127427+0.10%0.1246-2.12%0.0126✗0.971.9M2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.289355+0.09%0.296889+2.70%0.0368✓1.09696k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.139731+0.09%0.1404+0.57%0.0147✓0.98638k2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.208389+0.09%0.2067-0.72%0.0022✓1.0266k2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.336353+0.09%0.33622+0.05%0.0095✓0.9870k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase15.5215.5338+0.09%15.2-2.06%0.0104✗1.12130k2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.135.1345+0.09%4.87-5.07%0.0442✗0.861.6M2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120112.1304+0.08%12.5391+3.46%0.0429✓0.9639k2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.043842+0.08%0.044708+2.06%0.0282✓0.8632k2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0352.0367+0.08%2.028-0.34%0.0075✓1.1655k2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.10128+0.08%0.1035+2.27%0.0289✓0.723,6712022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.070203+0.08%0.0675-3.78%0.0272✗1.1929k2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.9585+0.07%0.9661+0.87%0.0202✓1.221.0M2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000036704+0.07%0.00003688+0.55%0.0139✓0.901.7M2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.9264+0.06%7.044+1.76%0.0273✓1.0314.0M2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.355801+0.06%0.3569+0.37%0.0143✓1.11175k2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,985.71+0.05%8,782.65-2.21%0.0091✗1.367.3M2022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.1609+0.04%2.11-2.31%0.0113✗1.24299k2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.088733+0.04%0.0908+2.37%0.0327✓0.95430k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.102936+0.03%0.1015-1.36%0.0052✗0.87238k2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.313.3044+0.03%13.8+3.76%0.0491✓1.231.2M2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.959505+0.03%0.963+0.40%0.0093✓0.563.6M2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.161944+0.03%0.1693+4.57%0.0584✓1.382,1742022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.4907+0.03%2.47-0.80%0.0032✗0.5193k2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.7735+0.03%1.758-0.85%0.0008✓0.94145k2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.049813+0.03%0.0509+2.21%0.0317✓1.00251k2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.368373+0.03%0.36774-0.15%0.0081✓0.9753k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.013333+0.02%0.013178-1.14%0.0052✗0.641.4M2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.124623+0.02%0.1236-0.80%0.0024✗0.584.1M2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.283135+0.01%0.2889+2.05%0.0295✓0.937.6M2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.221312+0.01%0.2211-0.09%0.0083✓0.91528k2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.00848+0.00%0.0087+2.59%0.0334✓0.776.4M2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.880051-0.01%0.882839+0.31%0.0114✗0.8184k2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020725-0.01%0.020673-0.26%0.0059✗0.8313k2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.27916-0.01%0.2796+0.14%0.0113✗0.963.4M2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1508-0.02%1.146-0.43%0.0058✗0.992.1M2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.661847-0.02%0.652-1.51%0.0054✓0.94304k2022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.6826-0.03%1.69+0.42%0.0140✗0.95782k2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.0526-0.03%1.0479-0.47%0.0106✗1.494.9M2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative9.2329.2293-0.03%9.134-1.06%0.0007✓0.951.8M2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.243222-0.03%0.2424-0.37%0.0063✗0.9683k2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9133.8984-0.03%33-2.68%0.0123✓1.4416.0M2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.120658-0.03%0.1186-1.74%0.0068✓1.0233k2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006567-0.04%0.0066+0.46%0.0115✗0.651.2M2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.430797-0.05%0.412-4.41%0.0346✓0.998,3142022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.085658-0.05%0.0845-1.40%0.0041✓0.9414k2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14752.1209-0.05%52.374+0.44%0.0124✗0.75340k2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.53430.534032-0.05%0.5335-0.15%0.0080✗0.881.6M2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration44.5244.4966-0.05%45.84+2.96%0.0398✗0.99610k2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.063496-0.05%0.063422-0.17%0.0094✗1.041.9M2022-08-27
DASHDashDash44.344.2759-0.05%45.13+1.87%0.0290✗0.98504k2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003030.003028-0.05%0.00292-3.63%0.0260✓1.03537k2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7152.68-0.06%53.03+0.61%0.0167✗0.9913.1M2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.59e-7-0.06%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0319✗0.8217k2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.799588-0.06%0.79-1.26%0.0024✗1.43193k2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.431423-0.06%0.45+4.24%0.0527✗1.0440.7M2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16116.0828-0.07%115.26-0.77%0.0044✗1.134.9M2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.024583-0.07%0.02469+0.37%0.0173✗1.283,4352022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,506.97-0.07%1,491.22-1.11%0.0031✗1.34608.4M2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7282.6586-0.07%82.11-0.74%0.0090✗1.556.7M2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.059854-0.08%0.0604+0.83%0.0206✗1.14258k2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.05-0.08%1.0488-0.19%0.0075✗0.8653k2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.9498-0.08%25.8-0.65%0.0039✗0.967.5M2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.37994.3764-0.08%4.376-0.09%0.0077✗0.77827k2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.264289-0.08%0.268+1.32%0.0235✗0.94106k2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.103769-0.09%0.105594+1.67%0.0261✗0.867.8M2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.70468-0.09%0.6853-2.84%0.0133✓1.44258k2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.69e-7-0.10%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0091✗0.802.4M2022-08-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001564-0.10%0.001606+2.55%0.0362✗0.98558k2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.142849-0.11%0.1419-0.77%0.0036✗1.01190k2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.555769-0.12%0.54155-2.67%0.0129✓1.2945k2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14945.1434-0.12%5.1648+0.30%0.0056✗0.14158k2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.331198-0.12%0.32976-0.56%0.0057✗0.99418k2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero142.81142.6196-0.13%145.16+1.65%0.0278✗1.001.2M2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.169767-0.14%0.171+0.59%0.0182✗1.08464k2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum98.2398.0868-0.15%94.38-3.92%0.0299✓0.853.5M2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7220,211.08-0.15%20,036.69-1.01%0.0015✗1.00485.5M2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.063307-0.15%0.0639+0.79%0.0185✗0.91116k2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.696-0.15%2.671-1.07%0.0006✓0.86749k2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.057313-0.15%0.0569-0.87%0.0019✗0.90104k2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.035745-0.15%0.0348-2.79%0.0173✓0.9386k2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.2464-0.16%2.14-4.89%0.0405✓0.79451k2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5310.5121-0.17%10-5.03%0.0379✓1.19466k2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.668786-0.18%0.659-1.64%0.0018✓1.285.2M2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000012407-0.18%0.00001216-2.17%0.0106✓0.94948k2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728558-0.20%0.75+2.74%0.0326✗0.35105k2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2929-0.21%8.4+1.08%0.0174✗0.452.3M2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007634-0.21%0.00757-1.05%0.0030✗1.13503k2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4603-0.22%4.59+2.68%0.0334✗0.461.3M2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1494.1399-0.22%4.23+1.95%0.0229✗0.142.4M2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.223997-0.22%0.2201-1.96%0.0041✓1.33133k2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.3569-0.23%1.41+3.68%0.0380✗-0.04124k2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.066091-0.24%0.06819+2.93%0.0396✗0.829142022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006648-0.25%0.00674+1.13%0.0181✗0.4457k2022-08-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.196804-0.25%0.1957-0.81%0.0045✗1.00152k2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.6772-0.26%5.784+1.62%0.0225✗0.385.3M2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.7184-0.30%1.7824+3.42%0.0471✗1.041.2M2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260309-0.30%0.2612+0.04%0.0035✗0.0191k2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.2449-0.32%1.3728+9.92%0.1073✗0.941.5M2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.921997-0.32%0.936+1.19%0.0274✗1.221.4M2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.153679-0.33%0.15762+2.23%0.0464✗2.086042022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.08498-0.33%0.08547+0.25%0.0064✗0.07637k2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.924895-0.33%0.84-9.48%0.0921✓0.414.2M2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.100261-0.34%0.1016+0.99%0.0209✗0.75247k2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1244.1101-0.34%4.212+2.13%0.0283✗0.371.9M2022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.061341-0.34%0.062935+2.25%0.0316✗0.59151k2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001481-0.37%0.001454-2.15%0.0108✓0.729,9742022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0177-0.37%6.18+2.32%0.0309✗0.422.1M2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.338728-0.37%0.34004+0.01%0.0134✗0.95321k2022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.9464-0.40%6.22+4.19%0.0493✗0.432.5M2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3937.2354-0.41%38.17+2.09%0.0336✗0.871.8M2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,500.71-0.42%19,933.00-3.18%0.0185✓0.9513k2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015792-0.43%0.01518-4.29%0.0327✓0.67171k2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.6718-0.49%3.7353+1.23%0.0231✗0.593.5M2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.023223-0.50%0.02261-3.13%0.0189✓0.78444k2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55411.4955-0.51%11.173-3.30%0.0171✓1.1210.4M2022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001367-0.53%0.00137-0.37%0.0097✗0.802.0M2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.235.202-0.54%5.29+1.15%0.0209✗0.402.8M2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.036686-0.55%0.03599-2.44%0.0090✓1.0031k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.037615-0.57%0.03828+1.19%0.0258✗0.822,8422022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.7584-0.62%5.0801+6.10%0.0680✗0.254.2M2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.023052-0.63%0.023238+0.17%0.0092✗0.12250k2022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.206354-0.65%0.22+5.92%0.0723✗0.822.8M2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2254.1938-0.74%4.134-2.15%0.0044✓0.98269k2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08665.0461-0.80%5.259+3.39%0.0434✗0.215.1M2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.394999-0.83%0.3532-11.32%0.1006✓1.11152k2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74411.6158-1.09%13.227+12.63%0.1348✗0.484.8M2022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000121712-1.10%0.0001339+8.81%0.1042✗0.86340k2022-08-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30274.2535-1.14%4.2655-0.86%0.0129✗1.00169k2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-77.45e-7-1.52%7.59e-7+0.26%0.0262✗0.82192k2022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.