8=======>

2022-05-15 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0005
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.9%
in alpha space · 21.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2370.239396+1.01%0.213-10.13%0.0465✗1.483.7M2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6970.703945+1.00%0.628-9.90%0.0444✗1.4716k2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07510.075842+0.99%0.0795+5.86%0.1359✓1.87173k2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001424+0.98%0.00133-5.67%0.0026✓1.493.7M2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5871.6019+0.94%1.446-8.88%0.0567✗0.96779k2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38030.383534+0.85%0.34-10.60%0.0600✗1.2793k2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.571.5824+0.79%1.504-4.20%0.0019✓1.03683k2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum22.0158+0.79%1.93-3.50%0.0055✓1.03350k2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004490.004525+0.78%0.00432-3.79%0.0005✓0.9920k2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0740.07456+0.76%0.068-8.11%0.0429✗1.04113k2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.395.4305+0.75%4.95-8.16%0.0533✗0.831.3M2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5280.531961+0.75%0.477-9.66%0.0404✗1.45891k2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81421.8268+0.70%1.6704-7.93%0.0315✗1.229.3M2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0110.011076+0.69%0.01489+35.36%0.3749✓1.6643.3M2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1690.170144+0.68%0.151-10.65%0.0501✗1.464.3M2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.896006+0.67%0.81-8.99%0.0283✗1.53801k2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4692.4851+0.65%2.298-6.93%0.0019✓1.6923k2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.51271.5224+0.64%1.3834-8.55%0.0452✗1.064.3M2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.861.8719+0.64%1.69-9.14%0.0220✗1.69436k2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.995.0214+0.63%4.56-8.62%0.0563✗0.852.7M2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.161.1672+0.62%1.042-10.17%0.0482✗1.38760k2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3280.329987+0.61%0.307-6.40%0.0101✓1.731.8M2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.542.5552+0.60%2.53-0.39%0.0402✓1.06548k2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.399970.402349+0.59%0.37002-7.49%0.0124✗1.501.4M2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.8441.8549+0.59%1.733-6.02%0.0341✗0.711.9M2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.9151.9262+0.59%1.805-5.74%0.0032✓1.442.4M2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414980.417396+0.58%0.35987-13.28%0.0688✗1.68331k2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3570.359055+0.58%0.316-11.48%0.0797✗1.011.1M2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.0862+0.57%1.11+2.78%0.0607✓0.82201k2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0842.0958+0.56%1.976-5.18%0.0364✓2.01973k2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218660.219878+0.56%0.19391-11.32%0.0484✗1.63264k2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.046.0736+0.56%6.06+0.33%0.0634✓1.38572k2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.263.2781+0.55%3.15-3.37%0.0046✓0.94783k2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01730.017395+0.55%0.0152-12.14%0.0306✗2.2025.3M2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13590.136626+0.53%0.1178-13.32%0.1029✗0.9519k2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.4121.4193+0.52%1.289-8.71%0.0149✗1.72665k2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09140.091869+0.51%0.0809-11.49%0.0551✗1.523.6M2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.240.24122+0.51%0.2098-12.58%0.1197✗0.42448k2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026940.027075+0.50%0.03061+13.62%0.1738✓1.08194k2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010450.010502+0.50%0.00903-13.59%0.1134✗0.79246k2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana11.005+0.50%0.92-8.00%0.0429✗0.96137k2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.68761.6957+0.48%1.5881-5.90%0.0139✗1.092.5M2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017894+0.47%0.01902+6.79%0.0958✓0.73400k2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0092840.009327+0.46%0.008554-7.86%0.0385✗1.0124k2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8872.9+0.45%2.66-7.86%0.0133✗1.54245k2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.21240.213348+0.45%0.1988-6.40%0.0208✗1.052,6012022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000043080.000043268+0.44%0.00004677+8.57%0.1423✓1.366.2M2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.409670.411457+0.44%0.37994-7.26%0.0421✗0.7970k2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9540.958144+0.43%0.872-8.60%0.0208✗1.557.6M2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.5309+0.43%2.26-10.32%0.0312✗1.73378k2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6410.643771+0.43%0.619-3.43%0.0177✓1.2038k2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0573.07+0.43%2.723-10.93%0.0399✗1.696.7M2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0722.0807+0.42%1.9-8.30%0.0129✗1.6487k2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.742.7514+0.42%2.54-7.30%0.0332✗0.99453k2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3956+0.40%1.27-8.63%0.0247✗1.473.6M2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.409920.411541+0.40%0.38073-7.12%0.0004✓1.6530k2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013040.000013091+0.39%0.00001196-8.28%0.0281✗1.311.2M2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.169.1942+0.37%8.29-9.50%0.0443✗1.257.4M2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche36.5436.6761+0.37%32.49-11.08%0.0525✗1.4546.9M2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.1323.1435+0.37%2.988-4.60%0.0280✓1.662.4M2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15160.152151+0.36%0.139-8.31%0.0162✗1.566.2M2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26160.262543+0.36%0.2463-5.85%0.0046✗1.25280k2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum74.8375.0993+0.36%68.67-8.23%0.0247✗1.3730k2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum92.0692.3908+0.36%83.79-8.98%0.0269✗1.498.6M2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13230.132763+0.35%0.1577+19.20%0.2618✓1.89694k2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.2121.2162+0.35%1.178-2.81%0.0155✓1.0024k2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071630.071872+0.34%0.07067-1.34%0.0328✓1.0519k2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12990.130333+0.33%0.149+14.70%0.1880✓1.141.1M2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71690.719289+0.33%0.6732-6.10%0.0004✓1.406.1M2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,598.4910,633.07+0.33%9,743.68-8.07%0.0323✗1.162.8M2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05570.05588+0.32%0.0537-3.59%0.0176✓1.211.6M2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.53390.535625+0.32%0.4896-8.30%0.0304✗1.251.5M2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0125930.012633+0.32%0.012762+1.34%0.0456✓0.75198k2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum1.8081.8134+0.30%1.602-11.39%0.0564✗1.42500k2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.12580.126175+0.30%0.1137-9.62%0.0394✗1.361.2M2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6513.6905+0.30%13.03-4.54%0.0060✗0.91564k2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.9655.1228+0.30%53.59-2.49%0.0173✓0.961.8M2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4442650.445578+0.30%0.401596-9.60%0.0402✗1.346.1M2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.015.0247+0.29%4.54-9.38%0.0328✗1.452.8M2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.00530.005315+0.29%0.00486-8.30%0.0251✗1.36915k2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171630.017211+0.28%0.015316-10.76%0.0631✗1.134.2M2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase25.57525.646+0.28%23.5002-8.11%0.0174✗1.48201k2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.1220.122334+0.27%0.1097-10.08%0.0344✗1.571.7M2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028040.028116+0.27%0.02818+0.50%0.0504✓1.0226k2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.620.621677+0.27%0.56-9.68%0.0510✗1.13314k2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005720.005735+0.27%0.00517-9.62%0.0338✗1.47403k2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04850.048631+0.27%0.0461-4.95%0.0073✗0.978,2452022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.18671.1898+0.27%1.0859-8.49%0.0322✗1.25156k2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.66172.6687+0.26%2.4311-8.66%0.0349✗1.23166k2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00570.005715+0.26%0.00527-7.54%0.0214✗1.261.9M2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.595350.596861+0.25%0.53418-10.27%0.0425✗1.4493k2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51520.51641+0.23%0.4618-10.36%0.0416✗1.48307k2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration80.5380.7142+0.23%73.47-8.77%0.0358✗1.231.2M2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056780.056904+0.22%0.05342-5.92%0.0156✗1.0025k2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001150.000001152+0.21%0.00000111-3.48%0.0000✓0.797.8M2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana58.8258.9445+0.21%53.69-8.72%0.0263✗1.4187.8M2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.063.0664+0.21%2.907-5.00%0.0043✗1.0396k2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040220.040303+0.21%0.03791-5.74%0.0032✓1.3694k2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.833.8378+0.20%3.52-8.09%0.0503✗0.76788k2022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase22.122.1443+0.20%20.3-8.14%0.0150✗1.52167k2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.51.503+0.20%1.41-6.00%0.0124✗1.08140k2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.967.9758+0.20%7.41-6.91%0.0107✗1.3218.4M2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07050.070639+0.20%0.0702-0.43%0.0494✓1.17405k2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010190.01021+0.20%0.00978-4.02%0.0098✓1.111.2M2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035767+0.19%0.0317-11.20%0.0570✗1.34174k2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7730.774378+0.18%0.699-9.57%0.0322✗1.48338k2022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18680.187132+0.18%0.1733-7.23%0.0098✗1.41386k2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3190.319565+0.18%0.3018-5.39%0.0044✓1.30445k2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07170.071826+0.18%0.068-5.16%0.0199✗0.74568k2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14610.146357+0.18%0.1449-0.82%0.0685✓1.65109k2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.433460.434214+0.17%0.3914-9.70%0.0436✗1.27223k2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27570.276168+0.17%0.254-7.87%0.0167✗1.41176k2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.653.656+0.16%3.379-7.42%0.0303✗1.021.5M2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8320.833322+0.16%0.753-9.50%0.0497✗1.093.2M2022-05-16
DASHDashDash63.0363.1275+0.15%57.82-8.27%0.0319✗1.181.1M2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20210.202412+0.15%0.1872-7.37%0.0094✗1.45683k2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos1.9151.9179+0.15%1.7722-7.46%0.0192✗1.26971k2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.28341.2853+0.14%1.1933-7.02%0.0238✗1.0698k2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.090826+0.14%0.0887-2.21%0.0163✓0.84177k2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0929870.093099+0.12%0.087881-5.49%0.0050✗1.116.3M2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin71.571.5856+0.12%67.13-6.11%0.0099✗1.1518.7M2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.3710.3824+0.12%10.65+2.70%0.0994✓1.565.9M2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.229.2305+0.11%8.1-12.15%0.0642✗1.408.3M2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.37450.374911+0.11%0.3587-4.22%0.0157✓1.268.8M2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.10010.100205+0.10%0.0861-13.99%0.0721✗1.68239k2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash214.55214.7686+0.10%197.37-8.01%0.0312✗1.125.3M2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.3712.3823+0.10%11.07-10.51%0.0473✗1.3620.1M2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.5311.5414+0.10%9.27-19.60%0.1479✗1.50140k2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.21.2012+0.10%1.13-5.83%0.0277✗0.70459k2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.30e-76.30e-7+0.10%6.93e-7+10.10%0.1214✓0.551.4M2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.7715.7836+0.09%14.58-7.55%0.0174✗1.31822k2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.77981.7813+0.09%1.7113-3.85%0.0094✗0.6516k2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.455.4546+0.08%5.03-7.71%0.0242✗1.203.5M2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5071.5081+0.07%1.361-9.69%0.0347✗1.436.6M2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19950.199634+0.07%0.1736-12.98%0.0664✗1.558.8M2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum75.2175.2499+0.05%70.49-6.28%0.0161✗1.043.6M2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4011.4017+0.05%1.367-2.43%0.0224✓1.005.1M2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,292.3031,307.23+0.05%30,058.30-3.94%0.0056✓0.9876k2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.06670.066722+0.03%0.0583-12.59%0.0746✗1.27164k2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5980.598193+0.03%0.5561-7.01%0.0112✗1.3048.2M2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.85572.8564+0.02%2.5916-9.25%0.0206✗1.629.1M2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero171.74171.7672+0.02%161.82-5.78%0.0096✗1.063.2M2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,142.692,142.78+0.00%2,020.58-5.70%0.0099✗1.03494.1M2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1449860.144986+0.00%0.136163-6.09%0.0119✗1.0713.4M2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.014260.014259-0.01%0.01387-2.73%0.0228✗1.063.2M2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.1122.1055-0.02%20.77-6.06%0.0024✓1.264.2M2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00775.0064-0.03%4.961-0.93%0.0034✗0.26285k2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.7911.7845-0.05%10.62-9.92%0.0426✓1.3012.5M2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.56745.5648-0.05%5.4363-2.35%0.0020✗0.535.0M2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08610.086049-0.06%0.0764-11.27%0.0715✓1.003.4M2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49020.489906-0.06%0.4598-6.20%0.0068✓1.1914.3M2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative14.50714.4964-0.07%13.821-4.73%0.0022✓0.964.1M2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash112.6112.5161-0.07%102.47-9.00%0.0334✓1.275.3M2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,290.0531,265.48-0.08%29,839.89-4.63%0.0008✗1.00672.6M2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7040.703357-0.09%0.61-13.35%0.0669✓1.591.7M2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum32.6632.6288-0.10%31.82-2.57%0.0203✗0.9613.8M2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3577-0.10%1.249-8.09%0.0166✓1.4115.1M2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.27084.2662-0.11%3.9461-7.60%0.0209✓1.20135k2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum9.1319.1207-0.11%8.069-11.63%0.0010✓2.5694.8M2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9770.975799-0.12%0.916-6.24%0.0108✓1.11769k2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.26890.268564-0.12%0.284+5.62%0.1033✗1.001.9M2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.1224.0885-0.13%20.95-13.14%0.0711✓1.443.4M2022-05-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19430.193903-0.20%0.1919-1.24%0.0371✗1.004,0132022-05-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.4543.4423-0.34%3.142-9.03%0.0438✓1.00257k2022-05-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.6181.6108-0.44%1.433-11.43%0.0695✓1.007.5M2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33831.3323-0.45%1.1653-12.93%0.0621✓1.511.2M2022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0723170.071993-0.45%0.069019-4.56%0.0044✓0.801.2M2022-05-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000220.000209544-4.75%0.0002-9.09%0.0789✗2.648.4M2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.