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2022-05-10 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 167 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.4135
167 of 167 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
7.2%
in alpha space · 7.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (167 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.298636+0.89%0.197-33.45%0.3285✗1.294.1M2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.841092+0.85%0.54-35.25%0.3587✗1.2531k2022-05-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.0307+0.75%1.177-41.61%0.4918✗0.794.6M2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.16863+0.73%0.1257-24.91%0.1926✗1.496.2M2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.3885+0.72%3.68-31.21%0.2950✗1.272.9M2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002296+0.71%0.00125-45.18%0.5249✗1.233.9M2022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.206844+0.70%0.175-14.80%0.0706✗1.43634k2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.2335+0.70%1.428-35.62%0.3978✗0.73903k2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.1235+0.68%1.1829-43.91%0.5320✗0.782.5M2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.3643+0.66%1.8219-45.49%0.5281✗1.267.7M2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.4245+0.65%0.30717-27.17%0.2344✗1.3244k2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.1574+0.64%0.82-28.70%0.2500✗1.40892k2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.031286+0.63%0.02413-22.39%0.1994✗0.8930k2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.897.9387+0.62%4.83-38.78%0.4204✗1.13666k2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.761+0.61%4.61-31.40%0.3405✗0.631.2M2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.1469+0.61%1.365-36.04%0.3980✗0.81748k2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2776+0.60%0.91-28.35%0.2855✗0.80142k2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24105.8601+0.59%82.28-21.82%0.1562✗1.418.6M2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.11215+0.58%0.0782-29.87%0.2460✗1.69232k2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.0006+0.57%1.4486-27.18%0.2514✗1.0610.0M2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.155864+0.56%0.1188-23.35%0.1722✗1.47108k2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.510.512823+0.55%0.35-31.37%0.3420✗0.5970k2022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.154249+0.55%0.1157-24.58%0.2197✗1.001.1M2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7305+0.55%1.223-28.94%0.2408✗1.57582k2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.478601+0.55%0.318-33.19%0.3528✗0.831.1M2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.501623+0.55%0.3939-21.05%0.1593✗1.2297k2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.764392+0.54%0.5963-21.57%0.1590✗1.326.1M2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.3807+0.54%1.637-30.87%0.2898✗1.252.6M2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.468+0.53%1.587-35.36%0.4081✗0.491.9M2022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.239263+0.53%0.166-30.25%0.2767✗1.314.7M2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.301587+0.53%0.19-36.67%0.3648✗1.44250k2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0814+0.53%2.86-29.56%0.3029✗0.78829k2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4779+0.52%2.28-34.10%0.3643✗0.86557k2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.062521+0.52%0.0412-33.76%0.3516✗0.971.9M2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.744+0.51%1.84-32.60%0.3427✗0.84443k2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.08272+0.51%0.056-31.96%0.3251✗0.96416k2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.475637+0.51%0.37834-20.05%0.1312✗1.441.4M2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5478+0.50%1.05-31.82%0.3496✗0.57221k2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000058420.000058714+0.50%0.0000364-37.69%0.3998✗1.166.7M2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8542+0.50%1.74-38.73%0.3939✗1.49371k2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.177886+0.50%0.1056-40.34%0.4112✗1.63902k2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8189.2527+0.50%70.97-20.09%0.1414✗1.3037k2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.779838+0.49%0.574-26.03%0.2321✗1.1050k2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011305+0.49%0.00973-13.51%0.0986✗0.76238k2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.6117+0.49%1.653-36.40%0.3440✗1.671.1M2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.7986+0.48%1.32-26.26%0.2166✗1.374.0M2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.274703+0.48%0.2133-21.98%0.1719✗1.20186k2022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.00630.00633+0.47%0.00436-30.79%0.2926✗1.18885k2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.680.683205+0.47%0.58-14.71%0.0921✗1.06260k2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.114536+0.47%0.0833-26.93%0.2245✗1.393.7M2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.569456+0.47%0.415-26.78%0.2244✗1.36299k2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.9022+0.47%4.27-37.85%0.4383✗0.622.8M2022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.2942+0.46%2.497-23.85%0.1691✗1.597.4M2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1185+0.46%0.76561-31.23%0.2915✗1.29805k2022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.053546+0.46%0.04295-19.42%0.1615✗0.879,7632022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005385+0.46%0.00367-31.53%0.3322✗0.7620k2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.4112+0.45%8.58-24.47%0.2068✗1.167.4M2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.305549+0.44%0.2219-27.05%0.2473✗1.07316k2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006046+0.44%0.00457-24.09%0.2062✗1.091.7M2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.30462+0.44%0.2258-25.55%0.2229✗1.13486k2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.522257+0.43%0.31-40.38%0.4271✗1.40383k2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.8074+0.43%2.496-34.16%0.3338✗1.31190k2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014771+0.42%0.00948-35.55%0.3437✗1.4745.0M2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.6348+0.41%2.25-37.85%0.4297✗0.74429k2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.507065+0.41%0.299-40.79%0.4268✗1.501.7M2022-05-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.107434+0.41%0.057-46.73%0.5846✗0.73117k2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.752017+0.40%0.486-35.11%0.3474✗1.321.7M2022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.4357+0.40%0.99-30.77%0.2878✗1.24755k2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.7437+0.39%1.785-34.69%0.3293✗1.4884k2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.759939+0.39%0.471-37.78%0.3927✗1.26869k2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.2516+0.38%1.809-19.35%0.1277✗1.35537k2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.3862+0.37%1.001-27.52%0.2436✗1.2117.4M2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.188904+0.37%0.143-24.02%0.1917✗1.28372k2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash93.0893.4254+0.37%83.09-10.73%0.0344✗1.225.1M2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.029529+0.37%0.0209-28.96%0.2849✗0.90227k2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.1964+0.37%0.856-28.19%0.2385✗1.428.3M2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8923.9742+0.35%19.91-16.66%0.1048✗1.204.4M2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.656688+0.35%0.49716-24.03%0.1888✗1.3293k2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.014819+0.35%0.012056-18.36%0.1598✗0.69198k2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.963.9737+0.35%3.46-12.63%0.0933✗0.67804k2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana66.8667.0914+0.35%50.82-23.99%0.1899✗1.3087.4M2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.006191+0.34%0.00435-29.50%0.2648✗1.30382k2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019181+0.34%0.014156-25.95%0.2359✗1.004.3M2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration93.0393.3468+0.34%72.92-21.62%0.1694✗1.141.1M2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.392402+0.33%0.2974-23.96%0.2000✗1.148.5M2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016194+0.33%0.00001195-25.96%0.2222✗1.211.2M2022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.3956+0.33%1.068-23.22%0.2089✗0.8725k2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.411+0.32%2.339-31.21%0.2710✗1.5720k2022-05-11
DASHDashDash73.3373.5655+0.32%58.06-20.82%0.1624✗1.101.0M2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.142545+0.31%0.107-24.70%0.2020✗1.251.2M2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative13.91913.9617+0.31%11.39-18.17%0.1461✗0.854.1M2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.156273+0.30%0.1138-26.96%0.2188✗1.451.8M2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.817444+0.30%0.62-23.93%0.1834✗1.37344k2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.01348+0.30%0.01058-21.28%0.1789✗0.933.2M2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.3836+0.30%9.05-20.26%0.1479✗1.2011.8M2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero163.04163.5203+0.29%140.01-14.13%0.0888✗0.983.0M2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027079+0.29%0.014-48.15%0.5253✗1.9923.0M2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.293757+0.29%0.1956-33.22%0.3390✗1.002.7M2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.010944+0.29%0.009172-15.95%0.1108✗0.9738k2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.192553+0.29%0.119-38.02%0.4360✗0.6719k2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011553+0.29%0.00936-18.75%0.1415✗1.021.0M2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4196+0.28%2.35-31.09%0.2663✗1.61357k2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.04641+0.28%0.03319-28.28%0.2533✗1.2187k2022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5159+0.28%2.897-17.37%0.1274✗0.9881k2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.3481+0.28%19.2-20.92%0.1464✗1.353.8M2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.041111+0.27%0.0314-23.41%0.1858✗1.24179k2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352528.4291+0.27%21.4392-24.38%0.1887✗1.38195k2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.0863+0.27%4.89-19.44%0.1420✗1.144.1M2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.3888+0.26%1.0802-22.01%0.1729✗1.16161k2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.6022+0.26%6.93-19.23%0.1314✗1.2519.6M2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.1046+0.25%2.5145-18.81%0.1313✗1.17188k2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.468381+0.24%0.37334-20.10%0.1464✗1.19144k2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66232.2213+0.24%193.96-16.27%0.1074✗1.075.2M2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.508072+0.24%0.3862-23.80%0.1918✗1.225.7M2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.6239+0.24%1.41-12.96%0.0700✗1.05134k2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3158+0.23%1.0189-22.39%0.1919✗0.9489k2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.108156+0.22%0.084774-21.44%0.1744✗1.027.1M2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,722.16+0.22%11,348.99-17.12%0.1141✗1.122.6M2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7623+0.21%4.0098-15.62%0.0937✗1.16134k2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,103.09+0.21%28,313.90-8.78%0.0288✗0.9640k2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021413+0.20%0.01772-17.08%0.1491✗0.59405k2022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.063002+0.19%0.04918-21.79%0.1881✗0.8826k2022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.148677+0.19%0.125737-15.27%0.0988✗1.0113.8M2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.2018+0.19%2.847-32.12%0.2869✗1.512.2M2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum72.3972.5222+0.18%64.1-11.45%0.0542✗1.023.5M2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8815.9081+0.18%13.85-12.78%0.0806✗0.86473k2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.246233+0.18%0.1517-38.28%0.3968✗1.296.8M2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,344.59+0.17%2,075.93-11.30%0.0532✗1.01464.2M2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.336674+0.17%0.3065-8.81%0.0627✗0.46514k2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.5879+0.17%7.42-29.80%0.2694✗1.278.0M2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001452+0.16%0.00000121-16.55%0.1333✗0.737.7M2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.5905+0.15%10.75-20.78%0.1488✗1.2619.8M2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.910272+0.14%0.8-11.99%0.0555✗1.093.3M2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3931,043.35+0.13%28,972.34-6.55%0.0013✓1.00634.5M2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1280.2242+0.13%66.31-17.24%0.1164✗1.0917.5M2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.4424+0.13%19.64-22.71%0.1606✗1.45173k2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum5.83485.8421+0.13%4.9785-14.68%0.1279✗0.474.7M2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.06080.060874+0.12%0.049-19.41%0.1396✗1.1469k2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.0403+0.11%5.715-36.71%0.3046✗2.2777.0M2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1336+0.11%2.623-36.47%0.4009✗0.801.4M2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2663.3292+0.11%52.8-16.53%0.1209✗0.902.0M2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.62892+0.10%0.5161-17.86%0.1149✗1.2242.0M2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1162+0.10%1.7776-15.92%0.0929✗1.20866k2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5444.5771+0.08%31.1-30.18%0.2720✗1.3045.0M2022-05-11
SGBSongbirdnative0.04830.048339+0.08%0.0392-18.84%0.1808✗0.43138k2022-05-11
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.8013+0.07%1.317-26.83%0.2454✗1.009.5M2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.2802+0.07%0.1885-32.68%0.3421✗0.802,9402022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.59690.597321+0.07%0.4772-20.05%0.1470✗1.141.5M2022-05-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.128185+0.07%0.078-39.11%0.4290✗1.004.0M2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.107948+0.04%0.065-39.76%0.4124✗1.40204k2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.4263+0.03%5.25-3.22%0.0143✗0.28284k2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.938+0.03%1.7025-12.13%0.0891✗0.6015k2022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.6837+0.02%14.26-19.34%0.1304✗1.25695k2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.097648+0.01%0.06818-30.17%0.2988✗0.8918k2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.102198-0.00%0.0924-9.59%0.0446✓0.83169k2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0429-0.01%1.001-4.03%0.0355✗1.13574k2022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum33.0833.0648-0.05%29.94-9.49%0.0353✓0.9412.7M2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4091-0.06%1.07-24.11%0.2371✓0.56528k2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.081242-0.07%0.0681-16.24%0.1308✓0.67619k2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.584304-0.08%0.4525-22.62%0.1814✓1.1012.6M2022-05-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7362-0.11%1.406-19.10%0.1432✓1.005.2M2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.1099-0.14%9.48-32.91%0.3016✓1.423.5M2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.9734-0.18%1.502-24.03%0.1814✓1.355.3M2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.14e-7-0.42%5.80e-7-29.06%0.3158✓0.351.1M2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.3334-0.46%9.91-31.18%0.2796✓1.32134k2022-05-11
LUNATerraTerra 217.4117.3133-0.56%1.06-93.91%2.6733✓1.777.5M2022-05-11
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.076505-0.71%0.074146-3.78%0.0250✗0.83463k2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.