8=======>

2022-04-27 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0573
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.2%
in alpha space · 54.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.2530.254262+0.50%0.249-1.58%0.0419✗1.682.1M2022-04-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.47220.473319+0.24%0.4675-1.00%0.0259✗1.08665k2022-04-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.5030.504167+0.23%0.4646-7.63%0.0844✗0.22717k2022-04-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.725.7317+0.20%5.53-3.32%0.0440✗0.661.3M2022-04-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04330.043367+0.15%0.04194-3.14%0.0437✗0.82350k2022-04-28
MINAMina Protocolnative2.022.0231+0.15%2.01-0.50%0.0198✗1.071.3M2022-04-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.2212.2331+0.11%11.74-3.93%0.0471✗0.483.0M2022-04-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.630.630441+0.07%0.645+2.38%0.0135✓0.752.4M2022-04-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03060.030618+0.06%0.03045-0.49%0.0130✗0.60498k2022-04-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81423.816+0.05%3.7969-0.45%0.0118✗0.545.6M2022-04-28
ZENHorizenBase33.3333.3377+0.02%33.39+0.18%0.0147✗1.30248k2022-04-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008620.008619-0.01%0.0082-4.87%0.0645✓1.173.1M2022-04-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.16420.16416-0.02%0.1661+1.16%0.0149✓2.14384k2022-04-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.0864.085-0.02%4.44+8.66%0.0627✗1.661.7M2022-04-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8717.8637-0.04%17.78-0.50%0.0213✓1.33163k2022-04-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2831.2658-0.05%31.13-0.48%0.0178✓1.086.9M2022-04-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.520.519763-0.05%0.51-1.92%0.0370✓1.45355k2022-04-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.28490.284763-0.05%0.2721-4.49%0.0628✓1.398.6M2022-04-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1540.153924-0.05%0.155+0.65%0.0015✗0.44190k2022-04-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.233.2281-0.06%3.105-3.87%0.0473✓0.681.3M2022-04-28
NANOnanopayBase1.91631.9152-0.06%1.9352+0.99%0.0021✓1.00177k2022-04-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.30560.305379-0.07%0.3076+0.65%0.0088✓1.291.0M2022-04-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60933.6065-0.08%3.58-0.81%0.0147✓0.594.6M2022-04-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16120.161072-0.08%0.1945+20.66%0.1739✗1.188.1M2022-04-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3484.3445-0.08%4.204-3.31%0.0364✓0.282.5M2022-04-28
XECeCashnative0.000081630.000081559-0.09%0.00008042-1.48%0.0258✓0.949.4M2022-04-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV77.9177.8417-0.09%78.22+0.40%0.0050✓0.792.8M2022-04-28
STXStacksnative1.061.0591-0.09%1.05-0.94%0.0203✓0.94407k2022-04-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.142.138-0.09%2.15+0.47%0.0068✓0.99137k2022-04-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum38.8138.7689-0.11%38.03-2.01%0.0341✓1.194.8M2022-04-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.4111.3967-0.12%11.03-3.33%0.0375✓0.381.9M2022-04-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin100.63100.5121-0.12%103.33+2.68%0.0151✗1.0118.7M2022-04-28
GITCOINGITCOIN5.4825.4755-0.12%5.426-1.02%0.0270✓1.4418k2022-04-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.20940.209147-0.12%0.2023-3.39%0.0472✓1.122.5M2022-04-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.82790.826867-0.12%0.8041-2.87%0.0431✓1.22178k2022-04-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.135290.135116-0.13%0.13436-0.69%0.0149✓0.7515k2022-04-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.9922.9881-0.13%2.997+0.17%0.0157✓1.50896k2022-04-28
GTGateEthereum6.1286.1199-0.13%6.1947+1.09%0.0064✗0.464.7M2022-04-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3183.3136-0.13%3.17-4.46%0.0519✓0.611.8M2022-04-28
ORCAOrcaSolana1.931.9272-0.14%2+3.63%0.0282✗0.71199k2022-04-28
DASHDashDash95.6495.4924-0.15%96.43+0.83%0.0027✓1.001.5M2022-04-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0291420.029097-0.16%0.028143-3.43%0.0461✓1.024.4M2022-04-28
MOVRMoonriverBase46.732246.6594-0.16%50.1181+7.25%0.0541✗1.40219k2022-04-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3071.3049-0.16%1.295-0.92%0.0229✓1.22470k2022-04-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.1734.1662-0.16%4.394+5.30%0.0373✗1.28105k2022-04-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13490.134666-0.17%0.135+0.07%0.0094✓0.95192k2022-04-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.020580.020544-0.17%0.01984-3.60%0.0474✓1.01362k2022-04-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.781.7769-0.18%1.79+0.56%0.0087✓1.291.6M2022-04-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06240.062291-0.18%0.0618-0.96%0.0217✓1.11254k2022-04-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.8294.8205-0.18%4.655-3.60%0.0464✓0.9264k2022-04-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011020.011-0.18%0.01111+0.82%0.0030✗0.5529k2022-04-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80325.7927-0.18%5.7032-1.72%0.0217✓0.49213k2022-04-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.10880.108602-0.18%0.1112+2.21%0.0126✗0.88601k2022-04-28
QNTQuantEthereum101.26101.0745-0.18%100.23-1.02%0.0184✓0.803.4M2022-04-28
XTZTezosTezos2.81882.8135-0.19%2.8059-0.46%0.0155✓1.03873k2022-04-28
XLMStellarStellar0.184320.183965-0.19%0.185847+0.83%0.0018✓0.9617.1M2022-04-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.669750.668447-0.19%0.65661-1.96%0.0305✓1.01145k2022-04-28
DIADIAEthereum0.810.808418-0.20%0.82+1.23%0.0083✗0.4875k2022-04-28
ADACardanoCardano0.84050.838816-0.20%0.8433+0.33%0.0076✓1.0348.8M2022-04-28
SOLSolanaSolana98.3598.1514-0.20%98.22-0.13%0.0142✓1.20109.2M2022-04-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.27450.273934-0.21%0.2859+4.15%0.0292✗1.09428k2022-04-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,133.2039,052.38-0.21%39,816.80+1.75%0.0079✗0.9325k2022-04-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3221.3192-0.22%1.303-1.44%0.0250✓1.02547k2022-04-28
ETHEthereumEthereum2,889.782,883.53-0.22%2,935.91+1.60%0.0055✗1.00448.2M2022-04-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,725.8417,687.20-0.22%17,884.94+0.90%0.0012✓0.993.6M2022-04-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3212.2923-0.22%12.15-1.38%0.0244✓1.021.1M2022-04-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023420.000023367-0.22%0.00002295-2.01%0.0310✓1.041.8M2022-04-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.7591.755-0.23%1.934+9.95%0.0848✗0.9978k2022-04-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.0662.0613-0.23%2.101+1.69%0.0102✗0.7124k2022-04-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04120.041106-0.23%0.04137+0.41%0.0036✓0.8060k2022-04-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.940.937857-0.23%0.94+0.00%0.0107✓1.04565k2022-04-28
AVTAventusEthereum2.282.2748-0.23%2.14-6.14%0.0673✓0.50320k2022-04-28
UMAUMAEthereum5.625.607-0.23%5.569-0.91%0.0247✓1.432.2M2022-04-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.41450.413543-0.23%0.4143-0.05%0.0024✓0.345,3242022-04-28
XYMSymbolnative0.10150.101258-0.24%0.1004-1.08%0.0166✓0.65806k2022-04-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.8669.6921-0.24%67.28-3.69%0.0498✓1.1756.8M2022-04-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.61690.615415-0.24%0.6165-0.06%0.0102✓0.968.4M2022-04-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.7412.7087-0.25%12.65-0.71%0.0183✓1.0924.3M2022-04-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0111.0085-0.25%1.022+1.09%0.0002✓1.051.3M2022-04-28
KCSKuCoinnative19.03318.986-0.25%19.415+2.01%0.0128✗0.775.4M2022-04-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1461.1431-0.25%1.125-1.83%0.0288✓1.023.8M2022-04-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47890.477706-0.25%0.4781-0.17%0.0099✓0.86436k2022-04-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21810.217523-0.26%0.2231+2.29%0.0151✗0.821.6M2022-04-28
XEMNEMnative0.09210.091855-0.27%0.0947+2.82%0.0191✗0.9283k2022-04-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087060.086825-0.27%0.08855+1.71%0.0100✗0.7734k2022-04-28
XVGVergenative0.009480.009454-0.27%0.0093-1.90%0.0296✓1.061.3M2022-04-28
SCSiacoinnative0.009530.009503-0.29%0.00962+0.94%0.0020✓1.14442k2022-04-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.17260.172097-0.29%0.1681-2.61%0.0379✓1.16220k2022-04-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7191.7139-0.30%1.682-2.15%0.0313✓1.008.2M2022-04-28
BTTCBTTC0.000001760.000001755-0.30%0.00000178+1.14%0.0056✗0.708.8M2022-04-28
FIDABonfidaSolana1.221.2163-0.30%1.216-0.33%0.0125✓0.9861k2022-04-28
UNIUniswapEthereum8.238.2053-0.30%8.17-0.73%0.0171✓1.035.4M2022-04-28
COMPCompoundEthereum124.46124.0847-0.30%124.85+0.31%0.0078✓1.1260k2022-04-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9516.8987-0.30%16.97+0.12%0.0083✓1.0013.1M2022-04-28
DODODODOEthereum0.3620.3609-0.30%0.364+0.55%0.0052✓1.107.7M2022-04-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,251.1139,129.35-0.31%39,743.22+1.25%0.0031✓1.00565.5M2022-04-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash307.39306.431-0.31%306.57-0.27%0.0115✓0.965.8M2022-04-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.069990.069771-0.31%0.07015+0.23%0.0072✓1.01117k2022-04-28
HIVEHivenative0.88190.87912-0.32%0.9069+2.83%0.0191✗0.961.8M2022-04-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.39870.397433-0.32%0.3952-0.88%0.0215✓1.27269k2022-04-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.185.1629-0.33%5.07-2.12%0.0263✓0.65756k2022-04-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.7217.6599-0.34%18.1+2.14%0.0119✗1.0210.5M2022-04-28
XMRMoneroMonero229.66228.8777-0.34%227.38-0.99%0.0180✓0.923.3M2022-04-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.849620.846656-0.35%0.83392-1.85%0.0304✓1.231.6M2022-04-28
FTTFTXEthereum39.5739.4294-0.36%39.84+0.68%0.0008✓0.9017.3M2022-04-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.19744.1825-0.36%4.1471-1.20%0.0206✓0.97266k2022-04-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0138910.013841-0.36%0.013588-2.18%0.0293✓0.8753k2022-04-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37412.3655-0.36%2.4202+1.94%0.0151✗0.6311k2022-04-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0851.081-0.36%1.0799-0.47%0.0163✓1.239.3M2022-04-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003780.003766-0.37%0.00371-1.85%0.0283✓1.076.6M2022-04-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.21470.213906-0.37%0.2165+0.84%0.0036✓1.262.8M2022-04-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.67150.668993-0.37%0.6991+4.11%0.0327✗0.9110.9M2022-04-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7840.780988-0.38%0.788+0.51%0.0080✓1.361.8M2022-04-28
ZECZcashZcash149.27148.6955-0.38%147-1.52%0.0242✓1.026.7M2022-04-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2131.2082-0.39%1.18-2.72%0.0380✓1.152.5M2022-04-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.9565.9324-0.40%6.25+4.94%0.0382✗1.12201k2022-04-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04560.045418-0.40%0.0456+0.00%0.0162✓1.6230.9M2022-04-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos21.4521.3629-0.41%20.74-3.31%0.0427✓1.0521.5M2022-04-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.315.2371-0.41%15.13-1.11%0.0203✓1.0610.6M2022-04-28
BANDBandEthereum3.4433.4288-0.41%3.509+1.92%0.0081✗1.20644k2022-04-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016150.016081-0.43%0.01614-0.06%0.0073✓0.881.5M2022-04-28
MANADecentralandEthereum1.8451.837-0.43%1.8014-2.36%0.0329✓1.071.2M2022-04-28
QTUMQtumQtum6.11846.0913-0.44%6.0577-0.99%0.0195✓1.12135k2022-04-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.021560.021464-0.45%0.02082-3.43%0.0394✓0.724.2M2022-04-28
SUSHISushiEthereum2.992.9766-0.45%2.99+0.00%0.0106✓1.214.3M2022-04-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.124.9876-0.45%25.11+0.04%0.0062✓0.89508k2022-04-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.186.1519-0.45%6.24+0.97%0.0072✗0.561.0M2022-04-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.515.4839-0.47%5.46-0.91%0.0226✓1.47451k2022-04-28
TRXTRONTron0.0632110.062911-0.47%0.063742+0.84%0.0055✗0.61296k2022-04-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.08062.0707-0.48%2.0379-2.06%0.0264✓0.8496k2022-04-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.722690.719217-0.48%0.71297-1.34%0.0222✓1.08127k2022-04-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.263721-0.48%0.261-1.51%0.0186✓0.6634k2022-04-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.993190.988251-0.50%1.0088+1.57%0.0066✗1.12133k2022-04-28
XVSVenusEthereum9.639.582-0.50%9.7+0.73%0.0001✓0.993.9M2022-04-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.09e-79.04e-7-0.50%0.000001083+19.19%0.1818✗-0.11576k2022-04-28
RADRadworksEthereum4.174.1492-0.50%4.29+2.88%0.0228✗0.85685k2022-04-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.85820.853907-0.50%0.8407-2.04%0.0308✓1.22431k2022-04-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09740.09691-0.50%0.0941-3.39%0.0406✓0.902.6M2022-04-28
LUNATerraTerra 289.0488.5813-0.52%89.05+0.01%0.0106✓1.2810.3M2022-04-28
API3Api3Ethereum4.0394.0178-0.53%3.981-1.44%0.0208✓0.932.8M2022-04-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana54.9735-0.53%4.72-5.60%0.0612✓0.721.2M2022-04-28
KSMKusamaHydration158.07157.2132-0.54%157.92-0.09%0.0086✓1.051.1M2022-04-28
AAVEAaveEthereum168.44167.5238-0.54%166.2-1.33%0.0235✓1.2512.5M2022-04-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1398980.139109-0.56%0.137484-1.73%0.0233✓0.925.1M2022-04-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.8575.8212-0.61%5.539-5.43%0.0669✓1.389.1M2022-04-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.7224.5653-0.63%24.41-1.25%0.0219✓1.25685k2022-04-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0266150.026446-0.63%0.026186-1.61%0.0160✓0.49199k2022-04-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24050.23895-0.64%0.2423+0.75%0.0020✓1.28197k2022-04-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.264.2319-0.66%4.68+9.86%0.0839✗1.34385k2022-04-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.081160.08061-0.68%0.07892-2.76%0.0305✓0.7529k2022-04-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020970.020825-0.69%0.02003-4.48%0.0569✓1.4448.3M2022-04-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.81945.7763-0.74%5.556-4.53%0.0531✓1.1411.7M2022-04-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4892.4701-0.76%2.399-3.62%0.0452✓1.287.8M2022-04-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36770.364567-0.85%0.3583-2.56%0.0322✓1.199.3M2022-04-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5420.53728-0.87%0.522-3.69%0.0414✓1.014.9M2022-04-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.55695.5029-0.97%5.5268-0.54%0.0048✓0.749.5M2022-04-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8756310.866744-1.01%0.815203-6.90%0.0737✓1.004.6M2022-04-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.692.6591-1.15%2.728+1.41%0.0135✗0.9711.2M2022-04-28
APEApeCoinEthereum19.42419.1435-1.44%23.714+22.09%0.1878✗2.1145.8M2022-04-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.5918.1854-2.18%18.72+0.70%0.0124✓1.332.2M2022-04-28
PROPropyEthereum2.192.1323-2.64%1.82-16.89%0.1654✓0.57267k2022-04-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.736.5306-2.96%6.346-5.71%0.0365✓0.631.6M2022-04-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.