8=======>

2022-03-30 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0798
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 75.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.08776.0825-0.09%5.834-4.17%0.0263✓0.46175k2022-03-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7713.7545-0.11%13.89+0.87%0.0232✗0.403.0M2022-03-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.56350.562669-0.15%0.5527-1.92%0.0156✗1.001.2M2022-03-31
GTGateEthereum6.76576.7545-0.17%6.6752-1.34%0.0083✗0.604.3M2022-03-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,057.4046,973.38-0.18%45,846.40-2.57%0.0081✗0.9727k2022-03-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.666.6474-0.19%6.53-1.95%0.0063✗0.721.6M2022-03-31
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0679-0.19%1.1+2.80%0.0430✗0.40165k2022-03-31
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9371.9332-0.19%1.839-5.06%0.0219✓0.8453k2022-03-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.856.8361-0.20%6.73-1.75%0.0085✗0.72878k2022-03-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.2586.245-0.21%6.029-3.66%0.0021✓0.9988k2022-03-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,078.0346,959.45-0.25%45,528.45-3.29%0.0025✗1.00680.6M2022-03-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2930.292241-0.26%0.2695-8.02%0.0546✓0.791.8M2022-03-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.30341.2998-0.28%1.2649-2.95%0.0164✗1.301.4M2022-03-31
APEApeCoinEthereum14.21914.1775-0.29%12.702-10.67%0.0764✓1.0091.6M2022-03-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.831.7058-0.30%31.27-1.67%0.0163✗0.90665k2022-03-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3851.3809-0.30%1.51+9.03%0.1207✗0.942.8M2022-03-31
XYMSymbolnative0.14930.148829-0.32%0.1461-2.14%0.0061✗0.74513k2022-03-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.2519.1876-0.32%18.07-6.13%0.0163✓1.303.1M2022-03-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.169780.169227-0.33%0.16325-3.85%0.0082✓0.8314k2022-03-31
XEMNEMnative0.12230.121899-0.33%0.1183-3.27%0.0024✓0.8238k2022-03-31
UMAUMAEthereum8.0728.0447-0.34%7.803-3.33%0.0118✗1.265.8M2022-03-31
ETHEthereumEthereum3,386.683,374.86-0.35%3,283.08-3.06%0.0078✗1.06491.5M2022-03-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.471.4649-0.35%1.3868-5.66%0.0085✓1.38199k2022-03-31
XVSVenusEthereum11.2711.2297-0.36%11.81+4.79%0.0855✗1.053.2M2022-03-31
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.000002112-0.36%0.00000214+0.94%0.0354✗0.6711.5M2022-03-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055670.055469-0.36%0.05488-1.42%0.0243✗1.04541k2022-03-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.25630.255361-0.37%0.2457-4.14%0.0051✓1.001.2M2022-03-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.2317.1663-0.37%16.93-1.74%0.0199✗1.0126.1M2022-03-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.32014.3038-0.38%4.4084+2.04%0.0431✗0.574.0M2022-03-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027360.000027257-0.38%0.00002586-5.48%0.0148✓1.132.2M2022-03-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8180.814911-0.38%0.915+11.86%0.1470✗0.931.8M2022-03-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.58540.583104-0.39%0.5966+1.91%0.0463✗0.70376k2022-03-31
CBKCobakEthereum2.7412.7301-0.40%2.756+0.55%0.0353✗0.7718k2022-03-31
XMRMoneroMonero221.39220.4954-0.40%212.94-3.82%0.0037✓0.931.6M2022-03-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013860.013803-0.41%0.01361-1.80%0.0253✗1.183.3M2022-03-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1428530.14226-0.42%0.138112-3.32%0.0023✓0.822.6M2022-03-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.12130.5584-0.43%123.87-5.53%0.0188✓1.0126.1M2022-03-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020370.020281-0.44%0.02088+2.50%0.0626✗1.001.7M2022-03-31
XTZTezosTezos3.82973.8129-0.44%3.7255-2.72%0.0121✗1.061.0M2022-03-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.0229.8877-0.44%28.9-3.73%0.0028✓1.0939.5M2022-03-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2347420.233708-0.44%0.228422-2.69%0.0096✗0.9718.7M2022-03-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92680.922709-0.44%0.9295+0.29%0.0394✗0.9617.2M2022-03-31
PROPropyEthereum1.691.6825-0.44%1.57-7.10%0.0356✓1.00185k2022-03-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0435390.043343-0.45%0.041867-3.84%0.0026✓0.964.1M2022-03-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.899590.895522-0.45%0.86577-3.76%0.0009✓1.04148k2022-03-31
MANADecentralandEthereum2.70352.691-0.46%2.6098-3.46%0.0071✗1.131.3M2022-03-31
XVGVergenative0.012120.012064-0.46%0.01339+10.48%0.1432✗1.161.9M2022-03-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash380.29378.5358-0.46%384.15+1.02%0.0467✗0.958.0M2022-03-31
STXStacksnative1.541.5329-0.46%1.44-6.49%0.0310✓0.94601k2022-03-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.4622.3553-0.47%21.35-4.94%0.0104✓1.0619.8M2022-03-31
AVTAventusEthereum2.732.7169-0.48%2.68-1.83%0.0001✓0.41376k2022-03-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.027590.027455-0.49%0.02695-2.32%0.0070✗0.773.1M2022-03-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.7867.7475-0.49%7.52-3.42%0.0036✓1.00451k2022-03-31
ZENHorizenBase49.8649.6108-0.50%48.75-2.23%0.0257✗1.29454k2022-03-31
GITCOINGITCOIN7.7147.6754-0.50%7.189-6.81%0.0178✓1.4222k2022-03-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.3133.2964-0.50%3.115-5.98%0.0180✓1.15393k2022-03-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.07180.071439-0.50%0.0738+2.79%0.0526✗0.60221k2022-03-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.33e-79.28e-7-0.51%8.72e-7-6.58%0.0778✓-0.441.1M2022-03-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,045.6423,922.29-0.51%22,229.80-7.55%0.0368✓1.095.9M2022-03-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.041330.041117-0.51%0.0405-2.01%0.0078✗0.681.1M2022-03-31
TRXTRONTron0.0730580.072679-0.52%0.073796+1.01%0.0365✗0.64289k2022-03-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2910.28948-0.52%0.283-2.75%0.0043✓0.8129k2022-03-31
XECeCashnative0.000095550.00009505-0.52%0.00009285-2.83%0.0096✗0.996.6M2022-03-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8920.887326-0.52%0.8523-4.45%0.0065✓1.017.5M2022-03-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.048.9924-0.53%9.25+2.32%0.0528✗0.732.9M2022-03-31
API3Api3Ethereum5.6425.6122-0.53%5.195-7.92%0.0585✓0.564.6M2022-03-31
QNTQuantEthereum143.18142.4213-0.53%137.61-3.89%0.0044✓0.904.1M2022-03-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.5795.0632-0.53%97.42+1.94%0.0676✗1.29103.6M2022-03-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.615.5801-0.53%6+6.95%0.1202✗1.42642k2022-03-31
DASHDashDash132.65131.9316-0.54%127.13-4.16%0.0061✓0.922.0M2022-03-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.27180.270314-0.55%0.2541-6.51%0.0301✓0.95215k2022-03-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.7471.7374-0.55%1.594-8.76%0.0456✓1.213.7M2022-03-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.772.7547-0.55%2.68-3.25%0.0051✓0.97142k2022-03-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114810.114173-0.55%0.12603+9.77%0.1277✗0.8629k2022-03-31
KCSKuCoinnative21.31821.1982-0.56%20.465-4.00%0.0063✓0.865.1M2022-03-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.46793.4483-0.57%3.2595-6.01%0.0306✓0.774.6M2022-03-31
ADACardanoCardano1.19061.1838-0.57%1.1417-4.11%0.0032✓0.9963.3M2022-03-31
RADRadworksEthereum5.495.4584-0.57%5.41-1.46%0.0222✗0.93400k2022-03-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08710.086598-0.58%0.0836-4.02%0.0034✓0.95173k2022-03-31
HIVEHivenative1.18171.1748-0.58%1.2151+2.83%0.0697✗1.082.0M2022-03-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7931.7826-0.58%1.795+0.11%0.0519✗1.34433k2022-03-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.8142.7976-0.58%2.638-6.25%0.0137✓1.349.1M2022-03-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2134.1884-0.58%4.122-2.16%0.0069✗0.682.7M2022-03-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9643.9407-0.59%3.891-1.84%0.0137✗0.792.2M2022-03-31
FTTFTXEthereum51.1750.8667-0.59%48.83-4.57%0.0063✓1.0314.1M2022-03-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.051350.05104-0.60%0.05271+2.65%0.0603✗0.8426k2022-03-31
MINAMina Protocolnative2.662.6439-0.60%2.65-0.38%0.0362✗1.01632k2022-03-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.412.3954-0.60%2.24-7.05%0.0248✓1.26903k2022-03-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34.2739-0.61%4.2237-1.77%0.0094✗0.634.7M2022-03-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.8121.6744-0.62%21-3.71%0.0007✓0.9716.5M2022-03-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.680.675767-0.62%0.6406-5.79%0.0534✓0.005,0712022-03-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.12590.125115-0.62%0.1229-2.38%0.0231✗1.22648k2022-03-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08080.080295-0.62%0.0684-15.35%0.1056✓1.6444.1M2022-03-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.4916.3861-0.63%15.65-5.09%0.0070✓1.16788k2022-03-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.695.654-0.63%5.4868-3.57%0.0000✓0.90264k2022-03-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.69332.6761-0.64%2.8148+4.51%0.0754✗0.7413k2022-03-31
MOVRMoonriverBase69.333968.889-0.64%66.8749-3.55%0.0158✗1.36159k2022-03-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.089350.088768-0.65%0.09183+2.78%0.0604✗0.7924k2022-03-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.4825.3139-0.65%25.7+0.86%0.0588✗1.31232k2022-03-31
NANOnanopayBase2.53552.5186-0.67%2.4796-2.20%0.0219✗1.12177k2022-03-31
LUNATerraTerra 2105.96105.2335-0.69%102.96-2.83%0.0228✗1.339.1M2022-03-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013460.013366-0.70%0.01312-2.53%0.0040✓0.6710k2022-03-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48250.479117-0.70%0.4698-2.63%0.0183✗1.1310.3M2022-03-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004610.004578-0.70%0.00431-6.51%0.0180✓1.265.7M2022-03-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.178.1122-0.71%7.78-4.77%0.0172✓0.731.8M2022-03-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.035620.035367-0.71%0.03269-8.23%0.0506✓0.84185k2022-03-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.033220.032983-0.71%0.03408+2.59%0.0691✗1.09210k2022-03-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.65622.6372-0.71%2.5204-5.11%0.0185✓0.80196k2022-03-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.8915.7766-0.71%16.52+3.96%0.0616✗0.462.8M2022-03-31
SCSiacoinnative0.012470.01238-0.72%0.01207-3.21%0.0120✗1.12469k2022-03-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16680.165595-0.72%0.1579-5.34%0.0135✓1.02211k2022-03-31
UNIUniswapEthereum11.7411.6542-0.73%11.29-3.83%0.0026✓1.036.3M2022-03-31
ZECZcashZcash192.01190.6041-0.73%178.39-7.09%0.0351✓0.9315.7M2022-03-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.9897.2619-0.73%94.5-3.55%0.0030✓0.771.8M2022-03-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.68940.684341-0.73%0.6676-3.16%0.0197✗1.33608k2022-03-31
SOLSolanaSolana120.79119.8898-0.75%122.86+1.71%0.0663✗1.2589.9M2022-03-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.80.793922-0.76%0.82+2.50%0.0829✗1.51363k2022-03-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.8381.824-0.76%1.775-3.43%0.0049✓0.96887k2022-03-31
IMXImmutableEthereum2.642.6199-0.76%2.352-10.91%0.0764✓0.946.6M2022-03-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.887.8186-0.78%7.31-7.23%0.0189✓1.44458k2022-03-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092680.091951-0.79%0.09501+2.51%0.0665✗1.01101k2022-03-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.6930.4462-0.79%27.75-9.58%0.0498✓1.28740k2022-03-31
KSMKusamaHydration188.4186.893-0.80%188.49+0.05%0.0457✗1.11901k2022-03-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.521.5076-0.81%1.41-7.24%0.0309✓1.08603k2022-03-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08830.087579-0.82%0.0852-3.51%0.0112✗1.16352k2022-03-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum3.0723.0464-0.83%2.998-2.41%0.0114✗0.8253k2022-03-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1510.149698-0.86%0.174+15.23%0.1691✗0.5625k2022-03-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.08021.0709-0.86%1.071-0.85%0.0133✗0.39676k2022-03-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum64.4263.8637-0.86%63.53-1.38%0.0379✗1.295.1M2022-03-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.3476.292-0.87%6.061-4.51%0.0238✓0.407.0M2022-03-31
DODODODOEthereum0.5460.541231-0.87%0.518-5.13%0.0073✓1.093.1M2022-03-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.121.1101-0.89%1.212+8.21%0.1331✗1.352.4M2022-03-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.28680.284175-0.92%0.2732-4.74%0.0032✓1.271.8M2022-03-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.44690.442802-0.92%0.4674+4.59%0.0969✗1.281.4M2022-03-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.087.015-0.92%8.197+15.78%0.1794✗0.711.3M2022-03-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin25.925.6573-0.94%24.45-5.60%0.0131✓1.056.6M2022-03-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23457.1661-0.95%6.8863-4.81%0.0041✓1.0719.8M2022-03-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.28581.2736-0.95%1.1908-7.39%0.0263✓1.2215.4M2022-03-31
ORCAOrcaSolana2.382.3566-0.98%2.3-3.36%0.0016✓0.68218k2022-03-31
BANDBandEthereum4.9044.8555-0.99%4.893-0.22%0.0444✗1.10606k2022-03-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1082.0869-1.00%2.033-3.56%0.0056✓0.952.8M2022-03-31
QTUMQtumQtum8.87288.7839-1.00%8.2842-6.63%0.0215✓1.11143k2022-03-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.59860.592592-1.00%0.5827-2.66%0.0441✗1.822.2M2022-03-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.37320.36939-1.02%0.3602-3.48%0.0121✗1.11318k2022-03-31
COMPCompoundEthereum156.18154.5772-1.03%149.85-4.05%0.0057✓1.1054k2022-03-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.41721.4022-1.06%1.3386-5.54%0.0097✓1.10125k2022-03-31
SUSHISushiEthereum4.474.4207-1.10%4.41-1.34%0.0371✗1.186.8M2022-03-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.037930.037511-1.11%0.03531-6.91%0.0104✓1.5052.9M2022-03-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative49.6449.0819-1.12%47.48-4.35%0.0013✓1.034.5M2022-03-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.6436.5664-1.15%6.818+2.63%0.0786✗1.234.3M2022-03-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.30090.297386-1.17%0.2832-5.88%0.0103✓1.152.9M2022-03-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2970.293478-1.19%0.285-4.04%0.0042✓1.00463k2022-03-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0155740.015381-1.24%0.016106+3.42%0.0759✗0.8914k2022-03-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.286.1973-1.32%6.001-4.44%0.0001✓0.9693k2022-03-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.48220.475745-1.34%0.4968+3.03%0.0940✗1.518.9M2022-03-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8184260.806719-1.43%0.773803-5.45%0.0066✓1.051.8M2022-03-31
AAVEAaveEthereum223.52220.2379-1.47%207-7.39%0.0213✓1.219.7M2022-03-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6660.65494-1.66%0.609-8.56%0.0371✓1.066.9M2022-03-31
LRCLoopringEthereum1.26461.2436-1.66%1.1619-8.12%0.0236✓1.33234k2022-03-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22260.218756-1.73%0.2417+8.58%0.1380✗1.142.4M2022-03-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.8357.6767-2.02%6.639-15.26%0.1118✓1.002.6M2022-03-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.112.0639-2.19%2.101-0.43%0.0492✗0.941.3M2022-03-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.