8=======>

2022-03-19 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2342
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.4%
in alpha space · 72.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.652484-0.23%0.64-2.14%0.0012✓0.912.1M2022-03-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.2492.2436-0.24%2.227-0.98%0.0103✗0.7821k2022-03-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041490.041377-0.27%0.04113-0.87%0.0131✗0.8424k2022-03-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0546.036-0.30%6.0638+0.16%0.0139✗0.41181k2022-03-20
XVSVenusEthereum9.149.1124-0.30%8.96-1.97%0.0066✗1.043.0M2022-03-20
GTGateEthereum6.32146.3023-0.30%6.4475+1.99%0.0374✗0.643.3M2022-03-20
TRXTRONTron0.0619210.061723-0.32%0.061551-0.60%0.0116✗0.64259k2022-03-20
DIADIAEthereum0.940.936995-0.32%0.94+0.00%0.0115✗0.37271k2022-03-20
XEMNEMnative0.10110.100774-0.32%0.0995-1.58%0.0064✗0.8439k2022-03-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,232.2642,084.93-0.35%41,287.24-2.24%0.0035✓1.00688.5M2022-03-20
KCSKuCoinnative18.63118.5658-0.35%18.205-2.29%0.0007✓0.906.5M2022-03-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25360.252695-0.36%0.2472-2.52%0.0033✓0.832.3M2022-03-20
RADRadworksEthereum4.694.6728-0.37%4.85+3.41%0.0571✗0.88521k2022-03-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.36.2767-0.37%6.71+6.51%0.0837✗0.75822k2022-03-20
ETHEthereumEthereum2,952.162,940.97-0.38%2,862.44-3.04%0.0035✓1.04501.7M2022-03-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2845.2639-0.38%5.461+3.35%0.0583✗0.9578k2022-03-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1236350.123163-0.38%0.119124-3.65%0.0150✓0.812.7M2022-03-20
DASHDashDash103.03102.6362-0.38%115.63+12.23%0.1420✗1.011.7M2022-03-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51820.516181-0.39%0.5158-0.46%0.0162✗0.75399k2022-03-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.3907-0.39%2.35-2.08%0.0050✗0.98146k2022-03-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0628.9447-0.40%29.09+0.10%0.0257✗0.91821k2022-03-20
SOLSolanaSolana92.3992.0225-0.40%88.64-4.06%0.0091✓1.2592.9M2022-03-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76510.761991-0.41%0.7418-3.05%0.0041✓1.0016.8M2022-03-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.15651.1517-0.41%1.119-3.24%0.0004✓1.292.1M2022-03-20
BTTCBTTC0.000001870.000001862-0.41%0.00000182-2.67%0.0089✓0.6212.5M2022-03-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.0114.9482-0.41%14.56-3.00%0.0023✓1.0636.5M2022-03-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.110.109532-0.43%0.106-3.64%0.0207✓0.5334k2022-03-20
XLMStellarStellar0.200540.199675-0.43%0.197329-1.60%0.0107✗0.9918.9M2022-03-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.073840.073518-0.44%0.0749+1.44%0.0367✗0.809,2172022-03-20
QTUMQtumQtum6.35446.3262-0.44%6.9787+9.82%0.1238✗1.1397k2022-03-20
ADACardanoCardano0.9030.898916-0.45%0.879-2.66%0.0004✓1.0164.1M2022-03-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012390.012334-0.45%0.0125+0.89%0.0294✗0.719,3002022-03-20
AVTAventusEthereum2.152.1402-0.45%2.43+13.02%0.1367✗0.43309k2022-03-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5477940.545296-0.46%0.549424+0.30%0.0312✗1.051.7M2022-03-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.088193-0.46%0.0911+2.82%0.0600✗1.22522k2022-03-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034530.034363-0.48%0.04486+29.92%0.2829✗0.72895k2022-03-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.74726-0.48%0.7517+0.11%0.0283✗0.996.9M2022-03-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1713.106-0.49%12.86-2.35%0.0095✓0.423.0M2022-03-20
XVGVergenative0.009670.009623-0.49%0.00932-3.62%0.0059✓1.151.6M2022-03-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.9205-0.49%1.88-2.59%0.0078✗1.291.2M2022-03-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.82116.2407-0.50%114.88-1.66%0.0108✗1.0025.9M2022-03-20
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5223-0.50%1.72+12.42%0.1458✗1.05228k2022-03-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096510.096027-0.50%0.09509-1.47%0.0101✗0.8829k2022-03-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.01326.3626-0.50%327.61-0.12%0.0250✗0.946.6M2022-03-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.4219.3219-0.51%18.66-3.91%0.0105✓1.0824.4M2022-03-20
UNIUniswapEthereum9.749.6907-0.51%9.33-4.21%0.0148✓1.026.1M2022-03-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,673.7920,568.91-0.51%19,923.17-3.63%0.0076✓1.075.7M2022-03-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8630.858608-0.51%0.847-1.85%0.0165✗1.332.0M2022-03-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,269.5042,052.02-0.51%41,609.40-1.56%0.0111✗0.9652k2022-03-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07610.075707-0.52%0.0748-1.71%0.0093✗0.94146k2022-03-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.6528.4994-0.53%27.83-2.86%0.0017✓1.1241.1M2022-03-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0194850.019381-0.53%0.024805+27.30%0.2650✗0.81167k2022-03-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.2118.1131-0.53%17.65-3.08%0.0039✓0.976.1M2022-03-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2851.2781-0.54%1.194-7.08%0.0457✓0.992.9M2022-03-20
XYMSymbolnative0.1370.136257-0.54%0.1358-0.88%0.0144✗0.78296k2022-03-20
COMPCompoundEthereum118.78118.1356-0.54%116.01-2.33%0.0081✗1.1646k2022-03-20
ZENHorizenBase41.9941.7618-0.54%41.02-2.31%0.0117✗1.31261k2022-03-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.154155-0.55%0.1522-1.81%0.0107✗1.04215k2022-03-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.5237-0.55%16.77-4.82%0.0212✓1.0014.5M2022-03-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.237694-0.55%0.244+2.09%0.0446✗0.8136k2022-03-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7660.76181-0.55%0.7809+1.95%0.0327✗0.35651k2022-03-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.511.5017-0.55%1.444-4.37%0.0084✓1.36498k2022-03-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.3382.8696-0.55%85.03+2.04%0.0429✗0.761.0M2022-03-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.384-0.56%6.14-4.36%0.0229✓0.711.0M2022-03-20
SCSiacoinnative0.009810.009755-0.56%0.00918-6.42%0.0358✓1.10441k2022-03-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45420.451599-0.57%0.4472-1.54%0.0192✗1.28433k2022-03-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5620.4418-0.57%19.62-4.57%0.0111✓1.32246k2022-03-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00360.003579-0.58%0.00365+1.39%0.0516✗1.415.2M2022-03-20
UMAUMAEthereum7.6897.6438-0.59%7.574-1.50%0.0201✗1.306.0M2022-03-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0924-0.59%1.0804-1.68%0.0151✗1.16128k2022-03-20
BANDBandEthereum3.813.7873-0.59%3.584-5.93%0.0300✓1.11631k2022-03-20
HIVEHivenative0.93240.926814-0.60%0.9064-2.79%0.0031✓1.122.1M2022-03-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2862.2721-0.61%2.15-5.95%0.0250✓1.349.5M2022-03-20
STXStacksnative1.321.3119-0.61%1.26-4.55%0.0192✓0.94463k2022-03-20
XTZTezosTezos3.25773.2378-0.61%3.3362+2.41%0.0546✗1.091.1M2022-03-20
FTTFTXEthereum44.9244.6455-0.61%44.03-1.98%0.0095✗1.0314.4M2022-03-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051480.051164-0.61%0.04968-3.50%0.0048✓1.09459k2022-03-20
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.3393-0.62%3.24-3.57%0.0038✓1.176.0M2022-03-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012140.012065-0.62%0.01172-3.46%0.0014✓1.223.1M2022-03-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.154410.153437-0.63%0.15317-0.80%0.0178✗0.8614k2022-03-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026980.02681-0.63%0.02543-5.74%0.0284✓1.08281k2022-03-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.5082.4921-0.63%2.3992-4.34%0.0116✓1.171.4M2022-03-20
XMRMoneroMonero197.76196.5048-0.63%194.71-1.54%0.0120✗0.941.7M2022-03-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.3891-0.64%6.31-1.87%0.0040✓0.731.6M2022-03-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7793.7549-0.64%3.8011+0.58%0.0261✗0.613.8M2022-03-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.17592.1619-0.64%2.1435-1.49%0.0096✗0.80123k2022-03-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.50321.4934-0.65%1.4713-2.12%0.0174✗1.43236k2022-03-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41090.408212-0.65%0.3905-4.96%0.0174✓1.198.8M2022-03-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6391.6282-0.66%1.566-4.45%0.0165✓0.992.1M2022-03-20
XECeCashnative0.000083210.000082658-0.66%0.00007941-4.57%0.0185✓0.954.7M2022-03-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.21150.210088-0.67%0.2056-2.79%0.0076✗1.291.8M2022-03-20
KSMKusamaHydration146.84145.8561-0.67%152.19+3.64%0.0681✗1.13671k2022-03-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074650.074149-0.67%0.07518+0.71%0.0380✗1.0754k2022-03-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024160.000023997-0.67%0.00002312-4.30%0.0107✓1.172.5M2022-03-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.21140.209975-0.67%0.2035-3.74%0.0052✓1.162.3M2022-03-20
QNTQuantEthereum119.96119.15-0.68%118.64-1.10%0.0166✗0.924.4M2022-03-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35410.351701-0.68%0.3394-4.15%0.0024✓1.4710.2M2022-03-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.48220.47892-0.68%0.4956+2.78%0.0569✗1.001.6M2022-03-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.130902-0.68%0.1247-5.39%0.0218✓1.182.1M2022-03-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.852.8305-0.69%2.68-5.96%0.0285✓1.15514k2022-03-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840220.834425-0.69%0.82107-2.28%0.0092✗1.12111k2022-03-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8754.8414-0.69%4.965+1.85%0.0401✗0.66593k2022-03-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.333.3062-0.71%3.301-0.87%0.0149✗0.73789k2022-03-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4316.3096-0.73%15.84-3.59%0.0001✓1.302.3M2022-03-20
DODODODOEthereum0.4350.431759-0.74%0.419-3.68%0.0050✓1.112.8M2022-03-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.0551.659-0.75%49.87-4.19%0.0069✓1.254.8M2022-03-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.4312.3364-0.75%12.22-1.69%0.0021✓0.511.5M2022-03-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.026746-0.76%0.02552-5.31%0.0300✓0.752.7M2022-03-20
SGBSongbirdnative0.06750.066979-0.77%0.0642-4.89%0.0198✓1.00276k2022-03-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122330.012136-0.79%0.01417+15.83%0.1760✗0.9311k2022-03-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.5888.8702-0.79%84.85-5.28%0.0166✓1.31119.2M2022-03-20
AAVEAaveEthereum157.26155.989-0.81%152.83-2.82%0.0085✗1.287.4M2022-03-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44450.440898-0.81%0.4042-9.07%0.0435✓1.922.1M2022-03-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.098.0233-0.82%7.97-1.48%0.0093✗0.712.1M2022-03-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70924.6703-0.82%4.8674+3.36%0.0628✗0.95204k2022-03-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2615.2171-0.84%4.884-7.17%0.0449✓0.93102k2022-03-20
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.1415-0.86%2.12-1.85%0.0134✗1.04354k2022-03-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5236.4669-0.86%6.218-4.68%0.0166✓1.00475k2022-03-20
LUNATerraTerra 292.191.3072-0.86%90.43-1.81%0.0218✗1.399.1M2022-03-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.29860.296015-0.87%0.2994+0.27%0.0371✗1.14183k2022-03-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19494.1583-0.87%4.2046+0.23%0.0260✗0.664.1M2022-03-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.24930.247087-0.89%0.2332-6.46%0.0352✓1.00180k2022-03-20
API3Api3Ethereum5.024.975-0.90%4.773-4.92%0.0272✓0.637.4M2022-03-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.32863.2987-0.90%3.2419-2.60%0.0010✓0.814.1M2022-03-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0720.071349-0.90%0.0705-2.08%0.0149✗1.19352k2022-03-20
ORCAOrcaSolana2.132.1105-0.92%2.15+0.94%0.0341✗0.69180k2022-03-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24180.23956-0.93%0.2275-5.91%0.0290✓1.001.8M2022-03-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6351.6198-0.93%1.555-4.89%0.0181✓1.00639k2022-03-20
MOVRMoonriverBase56.506255.98-0.93%59.6685+5.60%0.0945✗1.36154k2022-03-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0421970.041802-0.94%0.040072-5.04%0.0207✓0.954.6M2022-03-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.88040.871998-0.95%0.9266+5.25%0.0885✗1.234.4M2022-03-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22850.226292-0.97%0.2322+1.62%0.0484✗1.00352k2022-03-20
NANOnanopayBase2.27022.2482-0.97%2.21-2.65%0.0088✓1.14127k2022-03-20
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7181.7011-0.99%1.647-4.13%0.0141✓0.8150k2022-03-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7127.4366-0.99%26.24-5.30%0.0156✓1.28735k2022-03-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7132.6861-0.99%2.623-3.32%0.0011✓1.0052k2022-03-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0660.065319-1.03%0.0662+0.30%0.0525✗1.7343.9M2022-03-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35580.351894-1.10%0.3429-3.63%0.0041✓1.32907k2022-03-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1735.1154-1.11%5.219+0.89%0.0491✗1.282.4M2022-03-20
ZECZcashZcash179.68177.651-1.13%174.15-3.08%0.0021✓0.9712.5M2022-03-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.5975-1.13%4.45-4.30%0.0007✓1.41361k2022-03-20
GITCOINGITCOIN7.0166.9358-1.14%6.486-7.55%0.0363✓1.3625k2022-03-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.652402-1.15%0.64-3.03%0.0149✗1.50511k2022-03-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.20052.1752-1.15%2.1688-1.44%0.0134✗0.7213k2022-03-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7593.7146-1.18%4.103+9.15%0.1139✗0.64650k2022-03-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8955.823-1.22%6.238+5.82%0.0798✗0.484.5M2022-03-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1946-1.27%1.12-7.44%0.0414✓1.02522k2022-03-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5881.5678-1.27%1.465-7.75%0.0390✓1.273.5M2022-03-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.5930.584757-1.39%0.6004+1.25%0.0490✗1.005,0542022-03-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011960.000001179-1.41%0.00000118-1.32%0.0092✓-0.451.7M2022-03-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9933.4142-1.69%38.21+12.42%0.1567✗1.003.8M2022-03-20
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0842.0419-2.02%2.186+4.89%0.0906✗0.993.6M2022-03-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020610.020186-2.06%0.01861-9.70%0.0581✓1.021.3M2022-03-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5121.4798-2.13%1.437-4.96%0.0066✓1.001.3M2022-03-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9360.91605-2.13%0.8221-12.17%0.0777✓1.35100k2022-03-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.13688.9262-2.30%9.2007+0.70%0.0529✗1.0049.7M2022-03-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.036.8564-2.47%6.49-7.68%0.0237✓1.38447k2022-03-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036020.034942-2.99%0.03255-9.63%0.0333✓1.6613.0M2022-03-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5121.7686-3.29%17.35-22.92%0.2007✓1.16397k2022-03-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6980.671353-3.82%0.814+16.62%0.2196✗1.192.0M2022-03-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.447.1543-3.84%5.692-23.49%0.2060✓1.00417k2022-03-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.