8=======>

2022-09-13 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2910
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.4%
in alpha space · 87.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.3291+0.85%14.09-7.30%0.0321✗0.781.4M2022-09-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1020,299.34+0.31%18,902.70-6.59%0.0101✗0.9215k2022-09-20
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9783.2098+0.29%74.07-10.73%0.0191✗1.466.2M2022-09-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005904+0.08%0.005383-8.74%0.0499✗0.641,9622022-09-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.045232+0.07%0.0414-8.41%0.0319✗0.85142k2022-09-20
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.060664-0.03%0.059529-1.90%0.0109✗0.45123k2022-09-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.9677-0.04%4.7663-4.10%0.0357✓0.09119k2022-09-20
QNTQuantEthereum97.8797.8134-0.06%101.37+3.58%0.0972✗0.933.5M2022-09-20
XMRMoneroMonero145.44145.2953-0.10%142.45-2.06%0.0461✗0.991.4M2022-09-20
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001517-0.11%0.00153+0.72%0.0578✗0.74353k2022-09-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.04268-0.12%0.0401-6.15%0.0168✓0.6814k2022-09-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.7152-0.14%2.358-13.28%0.0430✓1.482.9M2022-09-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.167127-0.15%0.15884-5.10%0.0043✓0.703542022-09-20
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.2389-0.16%8.92-3.61%0.0198✗0.831.2M2022-09-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.067776-0.18%0.06198-8.72%0.0258✓0.9625k2022-09-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.68e-7-0.23%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0480✓0.6915k2022-09-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.4514-0.25%1.333-8.38%0.0139✓1.0771k2022-09-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7803-0.27%1.612-9.69%0.0082✗1.6265k2022-09-20
STXStacksnative0.34970.348667-0.30%0.336-3.92%0.0332✗1.06313k2022-09-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.8043-0.31%2.18+20.44%0.2198✗0.4656k2022-09-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.036364-0.32%0.03363-7.81%0.0310✓0.712,2982022-09-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.164468-0.32%0.1444-12.48%0.0552✓1.131,7442022-09-20
GTGateEthereum4.14324.129-0.34%4.1513+0.20%0.0536✗0.72696k2022-09-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1661-0.36%1.0353-11.54%0.0463✓1.091.1M2022-09-20
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.57e-7-0.36%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0469✓0.711.7M2022-09-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56651.3785-0.36%48.664-5.63%0.0023✓0.85246k2022-09-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.104263-0.37%0.117297+12.08%0.1756✗0.876.5M2022-09-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02231.0184-0.38%0.9058-11.40%0.0848✓0.492.8M2022-09-20
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.039719-0.38%0.0384-3.69%0.0023✓0.5423k2022-09-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.056971-0.40%0.053-7.34%0.0187✓0.8090k2022-09-20
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.461753-0.42%0.4423-4.62%0.0211✗0.9738.3M2022-09-20
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.7794-0.43%23.34-9.85%0.0330✓1.006.8M2022-09-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6117.0892-0.43%112.79-4.09%0.0389✗1.154.4M2022-09-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4038-0.44%1.39-1.42%0.0170✓-0.11113k2022-09-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.546-0.45%1.469-5.41%0.0050✓0.6929k2022-09-20
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.82094-0.46%0.77688-5.80%0.0064✓0.7313k2022-09-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2935.1245-0.47%29.12-17.48%0.0875✓1.5010.6M2022-09-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.058715-0.48%0.0554-6.10%0.0216✗1.20568k2022-09-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.134093-0.49%0.12096-10.24%0.0272✓1.14151k2022-09-20
SOLSolanaSolana33.0132.8459-0.50%31.42-4.82%0.0353✗1.2054.5M2022-09-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1461-0.51%1.066-7.47%0.0104✓0.931.1M2022-09-20
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.527-0.51%1.465-4.55%0.0267✗1.02246k2022-09-20
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.379186-0.52%0.38944+2.17%0.0900✗0.9531k2022-09-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.064333-0.54%0.06189-4.31%0.0202✗0.897802022-09-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.197923-0.54%0.1814-8.84%0.0198✓1.01132k2022-09-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7820,063.49-0.55%18,876.91-6.43%0.0055✗1.00480.9M2022-09-20
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1365.1072-0.56%5.729+11.55%0.2019✗1.316.4M2022-09-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.30871-0.58%0.297-4.35%0.0274✗0.9982k2022-09-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.45979-0.59%0.4282-7.42%0.0032✓1.12366k2022-09-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.158.7525-0.59%52.34-11.44%0.0513✓0.9714.4M2022-09-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.841235-0.60%0.8513+0.59%0.1101✗1.4894k2022-09-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.209035-0.60%0.1835-12.74%0.0811✓0.7467k2022-09-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.446288-0.60%0.371-17.37%0.1076✓1.164,5592022-09-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.020305-0.61%0.02253+10.28%0.1722✗1.039.7M2022-09-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,565.09-0.61%1,322.80-16.00%0.0811✓1.31616.7M2022-09-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.431274-0.63%0.422-2.76%0.0475✗1.047,9852022-09-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.091809-0.64%0.0956+3.46%0.1077✗1.01336k2022-09-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.106902-0.65%0.0976-9.29%0.0349✓0.84188k2022-09-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.319216-0.68%0.29941-6.84%0.0045✓1.0333k2022-09-20
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.214623-0.68%0.2133-1.30%0.0516✗0.87527k2022-09-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.02333.0025-0.69%2.8783-4.80%0.0250✗1.0120k2022-09-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.123411-0.72%0.1115-10.30%0.0314✓1.052.6M2022-09-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.995577-0.72%0.951207-5.14%0.0056✓0.7741k2022-09-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.873218-0.73%0.8421-4.26%0.0443✗1.21899k2022-09-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.7323-0.73%16.66-11.71%0.0277✓1.3518.0M2022-09-20
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.041846-0.75%0.039923-5.31%0.0127✗0.9028k2022-09-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.9434-0.78%1.3011-33.57%0.3531✓0.721.5M2022-09-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.9688-0.80%6.884-2.01%0.0612✗1.1118.0M2022-09-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.035809-0.81%0.0334-7.48%0.0028✓1.0190k2022-09-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0553.0303-0.81%2.911-4.71%0.0142✓0.39759k2022-09-20
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.985-0.81%5.294-12.26%0.0332✓1.356.9M2022-09-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.020025-0.82%0.019648-2.69%0.0229✗0.6312k2022-09-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.905452-0.83%0.879-3.72%0.0453✗1.131.5M2022-09-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.416506-0.83%0.39427-6.13%0.0073✓0.93392k2022-09-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.6765-0.84%7.69-12.11%0.0836✓0.562.4M2022-09-20
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.124247-0.84%0.1211-3.35%0.0482✗1.111.4M2022-09-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.095985-0.84%0.0914-5.58%0.0014✓0.722,9132022-09-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.7788-0.85%13.903+0.04%0.0920✗1.2520.3M2022-09-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.306995-0.86%0.41753+34.83%0.3501✗0.64326k2022-09-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.02297-0.86%0.02122-8.42%0.0116✓1.022,9582022-09-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.012047-0.87%0.011385-6.31%0.0013✓0.83882k2022-09-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.206685-0.87%0.1922-7.82%0.0121✓0.9159k2022-09-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1813.0617-0.90%12.43-5.69%0.0252✗1.12925k2022-09-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.3988-0.90%13.44-7.50%0.0072✓0.931.8M2022-09-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0824.0449-0.91%3.631-11.05%0.0741✓0.512.3M2022-09-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.265413-0.93%0.2618-2.28%0.0519✗0.992.7M2022-09-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.503146-0.95%0.45604-10.22%0.0119✓1.3041k2022-09-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.137866-0.96%0.1288-7.47%0.0031✓0.98128k2022-09-20
ZECZcashZcash58.9258.3484-0.97%53.44-9.30%0.0144✓1.101.1M2022-09-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.6354-0.97%8.99-7.61%0.0190✗1.33288k2022-09-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0422-0.98%0.9445-10.26%0.0005✓1.474.5M2022-09-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.3373-0.98%5.923-7.45%0.0033✓0.974.3M2022-09-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03292.0129-0.98%1.8224-10.35%0.0289✓1.0613k2022-09-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.059037-1.00%0.058378-2.11%0.0526✗0.961.2M2022-09-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.049101-1.01%0.0492-0.81%0.0594✗0.86234k2022-09-20
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000043502-1.02%0.00003816-13.17%0.0758✓0.833.0M2022-09-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039884-1.03%0.0361-10.42%0.0474✓0.799,5132022-09-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.264143-1.04%0.24603-7.83%0.0123✓0.8815k2022-09-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.39654-1.06%0.3108-22.46%0.1775✓0.99202k2022-09-20
KSMKusamaHydration46.3845.8851-1.07%40.05-13.65%0.0683✓1.02363k2022-09-20
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.678-1.09%13.69-7.75%0.0112✗1.2275k2022-09-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.8939-1.09%6.32-9.33%0.0169✓1.05224k2022-09-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005568-1.11%0.00487-13.50%0.0901✓0.66911k2022-09-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.05874-1.11%0.0581-2.19%0.0590✗1.0578k2022-09-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007871-1.11%0.00712-10.55%0.0271✓1.10463k2022-09-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.260052-1.12%0.252-4.18%0.0174✗0.74534k2022-09-20
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1687-1.12%0.919-22.25%0.1339✓1.602.8M2022-09-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.481024-1.13%0.4262-12.39%0.0670✓0.81422k2022-09-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.9891-1.14%6.287-11.07%0.0323✓1.1110.0M2022-09-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.723068-1.15%0.70726-3.31%0.0495✗1.08624k2022-09-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.293191-1.15%0.3295+11.09%0.1802✗0.956.0M2022-09-20
HIVEHivenative0.55040.544064-1.15%0.5094-7.45%0.0257✓0.60871k2022-09-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.4478-1.16%4.18-7.11%0.0244✓0.571.4M2022-09-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.7657-1.17%1.6911-5.35%0.0296✗1.1025k2022-09-20
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003765-1.17%0.00348-8.66%0.0166✓0.9495k2022-09-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.08379-1.19%0.0826-2.59%0.0499✗0.9711k2022-09-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.816.5956-1.22%15.28-9.05%0.0450✓0.57396k2022-09-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.043551-1.24%0.0372-15.65%0.0805✓1.16546k2022-09-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.285787-1.24%0.268268-7.30%0.0015✓0.97487k2022-09-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.154093-1.29%0.1359-12.94%0.0472✓1.189132022-09-20
XVGVergenative0.003370.003326-1.30%0.00324-3.86%0.0360✗0.94483k2022-09-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.396145-1.31%0.3721-7.30%0.0135✗1.1467k2022-09-20
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,452.10-1.31%1,283.51-12.77%0.0569✓1.003.4M2022-09-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.3848-1.32%5.9-8.81%0.0467✓0.482.1M2022-09-20
DASHDashDash43.7743.1822-1.34%40.65-7.13%0.0081✓1.03312k2022-09-20
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.834898-1.34%0.776851-8.20%0.0161✓0.8446k2022-09-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1424.0863-1.34%3.561-14.03%0.1132✓0.372.0M2022-09-20
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.597-1.35%4.5-3.43%0.0342✗0.83839k2022-09-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3905-1.38%1.234-12.48%0.0401✓1.1943k2022-09-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019792-1.39%0.01975-1.59%0.0370✗0.59173k2022-09-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.794986-1.44%0.76-5.78%0.0289✗1.11946k2022-09-20
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8355.0216-1.45%55.12-1.27%0.0772✗1.138,6412022-09-20
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.187045-1.45%0.1738-8.43%0.0055✓1.02101k2022-09-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002786-1.46%0.002359-16.55%0.1061✓0.901.2M2022-09-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.485729-1.47%0.473-4.06%0.0522✗1.1877k2022-09-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9916-1.51%1.779-12.02%0.0334✓1.1930k2022-09-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008381-1.52%0.00707-16.92%0.1101✓0.903.3M2022-09-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.106553-1.52%0.0967-10.63%0.0116✓1.282.5M2022-09-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.585921-1.53%0.6+0.84%0.0900✗1.00178k2022-09-20
PROPropyEthereum0.710.698865-1.57%0.63-11.27%0.0875✓0.2442k2022-09-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.600328-1.59%0.573-6.07%0.0228✗1.04114k2022-09-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.338916-1.59%0.2776-19.40%0.1403✓0.8989k2022-09-20
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2822-1.63%1.93-16.81%0.1272✓0.61247k2022-09-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,869.80-1.63%8,456.46-6.22%0.0420✗1.354.1M2022-09-20
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.2234-1.66%1.141-8.28%0.0113✓1.22323k2022-09-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13214.0636-1.66%3.4018-17.67%0.1342✓0.667.3M2022-09-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001505-1.68%0.001404-8.30%0.0248✓0.676,5532022-09-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.2219-1.69%1.202-3.29%0.0561✗1.09922k2022-09-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.024268-1.72%0.0273+10.56%0.1205✗0.04471k2022-09-20
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.7241-1.76%10.937-8.35%0.0044✓0.9821k2022-09-20
METISMetisEthereum27.927.4062-1.77%23.56-15.56%0.0490✓1.54159k2022-09-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011874-1.79%0.00001052-12.99%0.0567✓0.971.0M2022-09-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.904447-1.80%0.882-4.23%0.0054✓0.462.7M2022-09-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.9931-1.82%1.82-10.34%0.0102✓1.21227k2022-09-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6494-1.82%1.498-10.83%0.0335✓0.94627k2022-09-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.324672-1.85%0.3-9.31%0.0058✓1.1072k2022-09-20
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.01079-1.89%0.010289-6.45%0.0189✓1.006682022-09-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.15974-1.90%0.14425-11.42%0.0331✓1.04271k2022-09-20
FISStafiEthereum0.350.343202-1.94%0.3049-12.89%0.0547✓0.961,1592022-09-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.292186-1.95%0.274-8.05%0.0000✓0.9774k2022-09-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.9996-1.97%5.52-9.80%0.0489✓0.522.1M2022-09-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.067768-1.97%0.0637-7.85%0.0487✓0.20354k2022-09-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.609716-1.97%0.555-10.77%0.0214✓1.093.2M2022-09-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.566-1.99%2.331-10.96%0.0427✓0.80523k2022-09-20
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.3299-1.99%3.821-13.51%0.0585✓1.001.4M2022-09-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.6037-2.03%4.91-14.16%0.0975✓0.522.0M2022-09-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012262-2.06%0.01085-13.34%0.0811✓0.62233k2022-09-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.032959-2.11%0.03003-10.81%0.0234✓1.0532k2022-09-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.508897-2.14%0.457-12.12%0.0338✓1.1166k2022-09-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.141187-2.22%0.1355-6.16%0.0236✗0.97336k2022-09-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.006077-2.24%0.006298+1.32%0.0579✗0.3330k2022-09-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.058173-2.25%0.05683-4.50%0.0565✗1.201.2M2022-09-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.191789-2.30%0.1266-35.51%0.3644✓0.7730k2022-09-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.046733-2.44%0.0414-13.57%0.0479✓1.10177k2022-09-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.188525-2.52%0.2401+24.15%0.3032✗0.923.2M2022-09-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.9778-2.55%5.025-18.08%0.1364✓0.563.1M2022-09-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001204-2.58%0.001057-14.48%0.0766✓0.812.2M2022-09-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.4097-2.59%5.3237-19.09%0.1748✓0.169.1M2022-09-20
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.4801-2.67%4.9996+8.62%0.1975✗1.32118k2022-09-20
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016748-2.69%0.014956-13.10%0.0467✓1.001,0292022-09-20
FLOWFlownative1.8641.8127-2.75%1.681-9.82%0.0171✓1.39967k2022-09-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.642047-2.81%0.6151-6.89%0.0563✗1.49210k2022-09-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2124.0918-2.85%3.942-6.41%0.0238✓0.92245k2022-09-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.2627-2.87%1.16-10.77%0.0171✓1.0258k2022-09-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.6712-3.40%5.315-9.47%0.0004✓0.976.2M2022-09-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.106573-3.47%0.0859-22.19%0.1782✓0.56182k2022-09-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.9671-3.70%5.691-21.34%0.1832✓0.2912.2M2022-09-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.65e-7-4.51%5.21e-7-25.17%0.1865✓0.862.2M2022-09-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.5403-4.56%12.095+0.02%0.0714✗0.3715.8M2022-09-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000341351-4.67%0.00030158-15.77%0.1175✓0.102.4M2022-09-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.12932-5.26%0.1242-9.01%0.0056✓0.5283k2022-09-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.