XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s6

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0541

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0022

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.308861	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.306528	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.295061	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.29506	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.295448	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.309098	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.306271	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.30386	-1.73%	0.31526	+1.95%	0.0210	✗	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.315904	-2.09%	0.3131	-2.96%	0.0067	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.298924	-1.29%	0.30059	-0.74%	0.0042	✓	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.316792	-1.94%	0.30068	-6.93%	0.0300	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.296749	-1.21%	0.30109	+0.23%	0.0349	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.295264	-1.05%	0.315885	+5.86%	0.0815	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.287736	-0.40%	0.31269	+8.24%	0.0774	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.307824	-1.45%	0.30922	-1.00%	0.0264	✗	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.326852	-1.88%	0.32266	-3.14%	0.0163	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.330137	-1.92%	0.302825	-10.04%	0.0371	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.324308	-1.75%	0.32306	-2.13%	0.0303	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.316839	-1.66%	0.30039	-6.77%	0.0309	✓	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.311074	-1.53%	0.298385	-5.55%	0.0174	✓	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.320219	-1.77%	0.28889	-11.38%	0.0643	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.311374	-1.61%	0.312355	-1.30%	0.0067	✓	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.307074	-1.55%	0.333125	+6.80%	0.0576	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.308025	-1.63%	0.336605	+7.50%	0.0599	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.315542	-1.80%	0.330075	+2.72%	0.0194	✗	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.322367	-1.95%	0.32219	-2.00%	0.0047	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.325413	-2.04%	0.31591	-4.90%	0.0349	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.324685	-1.91%	0.32599	-1.52%	0.0019	✓	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.319188	-1.68%	0.316455	-2.52%	0.0019	✓	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.34051	-2.03%	0.311915	-10.26%	0.0565	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.333399	-1.86%	0.313135	-7.83%	0.0242	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.340697	-2.57%	0.32132	-8.12%	0.1073	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.350706	-4.43%	0.32877	-10.41%	0.1112	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.290899	-1.56%	0.332185	+12.41%	0.0854	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.253159	-0.60%	0.33102	+29.97%	0.1618	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.252235	-0.55%	0.32465	+28.00%	0.1422	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.248394	-0.43%	0.34756	+39.33%	0.1918	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.271492	-0.50%	0.33972	+24.51%	0.1192	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.280377	-1.17%	0.3497	+23.26%	0.1632	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.264999	-0.29%	0.36697	+38.08%	0.2723	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.250944	+0.05%	0.29552	+17.83%	0.1145	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.252915	-0.12%	0.25468	+0.58%	0.0096	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.262445	-0.46%	0.25363	-3.81%	0.0051	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.250513	+0.35%	0.249455	-0.07%	0.0350	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.237159	+0.84%	0.272845	+16.02%	0.1528	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.243292	+1.00%	0.283705	+17.78%	0.2027	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.2411	+0.95%	0.265765	+11.28%	0.1329	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.232614	+1.01%	0.25081	+8.91%	0.1083	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.231734	+1.35%	0.25322	+10.75%	0.1527	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.218746	+0.42%	0.26367	+21.05%	0.1719	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.215198	+0.39%	0.249635	+16.45%	0.1324	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.214312	+0.69%	0.235175	+10.49%	0.0853	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.212446	+0.73%	0.24088	+14.21%	0.0875	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.221661	+0.91%	0.23882	+8.73%	0.0520	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.222424	+0.79%	0.23029	+4.35%	0.0088	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.233485	+1.15%	0.228645	-0.95%	0.0347	✗	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.229902	+0.86%	0.217825	-4.44%	0.0293	✗	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.225474	+0.83%	0.21437	-4.14%	0.0343	✗	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.231989	+0.81%	0.21285	-7.51%	0.0801	✗	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.236281	+0.51%	0.210915	-10.28%	0.1126	✗	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.233408	+0.42%	0.219655	-5.49%	0.0779	✗	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.24209	+0.37%	0.22069	-8.50%	0.0856	✗	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.221185	-0.18%	0.23084	+4.18%	0.0624	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.213594	-0.52%	0.227945	+6.16%	0.0861	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.198468	-0.82%	0.223625	+11.75%	0.1069	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.197693	-0.85%	0.230135	+15.42%	0.0856	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.19334	-0.74%	0.23508	+20.68%	0.0543	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.196435	-0.76%	0.232425	+17.42%	0.0674	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.195109	-0.74%	0.2412	+22.71%	0.0452	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.195308	-0.72%	0.22158	+12.63%	0.0402	✓	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.193031	-0.65%	0.21471	+10.51%	0.0015	✓	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.193259	-0.65%	0.20011	+2.87%	0.0139	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.197075	-0.74%	0.199385	+0.42%	0.0013	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.200707	-0.77%	0.19479	-3.69%	0.0071	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.206207	-0.88%	0.197945	-4.85%	0.0061	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.199819	-0.80%	0.196555	-2.43%	0.0191	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.199098	-0.82%	0.19673	-2.00%	0.0036	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.195097	-0.80%	0.194285	-1.22%	0.0180	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.196388	-0.84%	0.194525	-1.78%	0.0002	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.201643	-0.86%	0.198545	-2.39%	0.0240	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.198879	-0.65%	0.202255	+1.03%	0.0089	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.197722	-0.50%	0.208035	+4.68%	0.0101	✗	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.20012	-0.48%	0.20144	+0.17%	0.0327	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.204296	-0.57%	0.200745	-2.30%	0.0089	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.203443	-0.30%	0.19668	-3.62%	0.0471	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.206563	-0.17%	0.19806	-4.28%	0.0459	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.207078	-0.16%	0.2034	-1.93%	0.0136	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.222639	-0.26%	0.200185	-10.32%	0.0731	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.223117	-0.30%	0.198725	-11.20%	0.0880	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.227504	-0.34%	0.201095	-11.91%	0.1006	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.234394	-0.35%	0.20547	-12.65%	0.1259	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.226732	-0.28%	0.20406	-10.25%	0.0659	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.228378	-0.11%	0.206925	-9.49%	0.0507	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.227865	-0.14%	0.2074	-9.11%	0.0664	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.223239	-0.04%	0.22322	-0.05%	0.0120	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.225189	-0.05%	0.22378	-0.68%	0.0028	✗	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.222117	-0.07%	0.22828	+2.70%	0.0239	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.220734	+0.12%	0.235215	+6.69%	0.0401	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.227965	+0.18%	0.22736	-0.08%	0.0270	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.23242	+0.23%	0.22863	-1.41%	0.0435	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.221284	+0.30%	0.22819	+3.43%	0.0236	✗	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.227401	+0.23%	0.223335	-1.56%	0.0353	✗	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.231258	+0.17%	0.225305	-2.40%	0.0443	✗	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.235969	+0.08%	0.22228	-5.73%	0.0556	✗	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.23573	+0.14%	0.220465	-6.35%	0.0777	✗	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.24197	+0.16%	0.22755	-5.81%	0.1069	✗	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.254148	-0.01%	0.23189	-8.77%	0.1215	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.250774	+0.07%	0.220625	-11.96%	0.0962	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.253144	-0.22%	0.22688	-10.58%	0.1124	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.239389	+0.11%	0.230855	-3.46%	0.0489	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.244781	-0.23%	0.23579	-3.89%	0.0664	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.215408	+0.47%	0.235405	+9.80%	0.0594	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.211031	+0.61%	0.241585	+15.18%	0.0949	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.203912	+0.76%	0.25418	+25.60%	0.1357	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.21293	+0.57%	0.250595	+18.36%	0.0970	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.21173	+0.64%	0.25371	+20.59%	0.1098	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.213933	+0.61%	0.239125	+12.46%	0.0566	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.217703	+0.80%	0.245335	+13.59%	0.0755	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.214735	+0.93%	0.2144	+0.78%	0.0329	✗	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.21686	+0.84%	0.209745	-2.47%	0.0149	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.22255	+0.71%	0.202365	-8.43%	0.0202	✗	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.229383	+0.48%	0.211725	-7.26%	0.0138	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.230528	+0.68%	0.21039	-8.12%	0.0248	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.238395	+0.55%	0.212635	-10.31%	0.0400	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.245465	+0.39%	0.215985	-11.67%	0.0665	✗	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.232311	+0.54%	0.21275	-7.92%	0.0319	✗	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.245724	+0.25%	0.21506	-12.26%	0.0741	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.245406	+0.25%	0.22099	-9.73%	0.0549	✗	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.24185	+0.22%	0.22829	-5.40%	0.0202	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.240145	+0.25%	0.22898	-4.41%	0.0075	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.239477	+0.52%	0.23709	-0.48%	0.0066	✗	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.235582	+0.66%	0.24452	+4.48%	0.0383	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.236196	+0.76%	0.23106	-1.43%	0.0105	✗	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.230227	+1.28%	0.245115	+7.83%	0.0119	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.240458	+1.12%	0.244805	+2.95%	0.0478	✗	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.24773	+0.83%	0.24131	-1.78%	0.0790	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.247741	+0.92%	0.23954	-2.42%	0.0727	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.248764	+1.76%	0.238245	-2.55%	0.1039	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.248335	+2.09%	0.234035	-3.79%	0.1017	✗	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.279518	+0.54%	0.234405	-15.69%	0.1724	✗	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.297187	+0.27%	0.22732	-23.31%	0.2289	✗	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.294369	+0.02%	0.23779	-19.20%	0.1367	✗	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.315951	-0.64%	0.24568	-22.74%	0.1363	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.325659	-0.70%	0.24549	-25.14%	0.1419	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.329027	-0.93%	0.24447	-26.39%	0.1236	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.303823	-0.27%	0.24326	-20.15%	0.0568	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.309145	-0.21%	0.27802	-10.26%	0.0206	✗	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.31773	-0.27%	0.2964	-6.97%	0.0627	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.330616	-0.34%	0.2943	-11.29%	0.0033	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.332677	-0.35%	0.318	-4.75%	0.0289	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.3342	-0.30%	0.32795	-2.16%	0.0229	✗	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.343894	-0.38%	0.3321	-3.79%	0.0001	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.333461	-0.33%	0.30465	-8.94%	0.0651	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.348838	-0.23%	0.3098	-11.40%	0.0710	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.340814	-0.05%	0.3186	-6.57%	0.0300	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.334278	+0.10%	0.33175	-0.66%	0.0034	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.341861	-0.03%	0.33385	-2.37%	0.0273	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.339818	-0.10%	0.3352	-1.46%	0.0087	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.356488	-0.26%	0.3452	-3.41%	0.0156	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.363773	-0.32%	0.33455	-8.33%	0.0418	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.377076	-0.22%	0.34965	-7.48%	0.0354	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.373269	-0.44%	0.341	-9.04%	0.0698	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.384406	-0.14%	0.33395	-13.25%	0.0993	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.397136	-0.05%	0.34195	-13.94%	0.0973	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.400566	+0.00%	0.34015	-15.08%	0.1113	✗	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.386635	-0.04%	0.3574	-7.60%	0.0510	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.393794	-0.18%	0.36495	-7.49%	0.0640	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.375295	-0.04%	0.3779	+0.65%	0.0044	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.383526	+0.12%	0.3749	-2.13%	0.0004	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.375325	+0.09%	0.38495	+2.65%	0.0301	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.362058	+0.04%	0.39735	+9.80%	0.0721	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.362168	-0.17%	0.40055	+10.41%	0.0603	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.365337	-0.26%	0.3868	+5.60%	0.0348	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.365136	-0.26%	0.3945	+7.76%	0.0553	✗	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.36361	-0.46%	0.37545	+2.78%	0.0112	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.368799	-0.61%	0.38305	+3.23%	0.0283	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.382631	-0.59%	0.375	-2.57%	0.0735	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.37721	-0.31%	0.3619	-4.36%	0.0705	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.37071	+0.00%	0.3628	-2.13%	0.0202	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.368986	-0.13%	0.3663	-0.85%	0.0195	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.371593	-0.20%	0.3661	-1.68%	0.0241	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.37415	-0.08%	0.3653	-2.44%	0.0002	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.372506	+0.04%	0.37105	-0.35%	0.0257	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.36632	-0.09%	0.3849	+4.98%	0.0498	✗	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.365646	-0.21%	0.3784	+3.28%	0.0159	✗	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.352972	-0.32%	0.3707	+4.69%	0.0121	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.36471	-0.11%	0.36945	+1.19%	0.0109	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.379889	+0.01%	0.37235	-1.97%	0.0245	✗	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.375828	-0.22%	0.37445	-0.58%	0.0425	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.360529	-0.10%	0.37235	+3.17%	0.0098	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.345979	-0.06%	0.36665	+5.91%	0.0308	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.354613	-0.11%	0.3664	+3.21%	0.0150	✗	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.341215	-0.20%	0.3541	+3.57%	0.0035	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.353148	-0.18%	0.3651	+3.19%	0.0007	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.358092	-0.17%	0.37985	+5.90%	0.0069	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.352439	-0.26%	0.37665	+6.59%	0.0228	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.350826	-0.31%	0.3609	+2.56%	0.0207	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.359801	-0.39%	0.3462	-4.15%	0.0681	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.340054	-0.47%	0.355	+3.91%	0.0311	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.34309	-0.50%	0.3419	-0.84%	0.0273	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.347133	-0.48%	0.3538	+1.43%	0.0606	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.348279	-0.42%	0.3587	+2.56%	0.0540	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.341091	-0.41%	0.35335	+3.17%	0.0330	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.35006	-0.49%	0.3519	+0.03%	0.0362	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.351242	-0.33%	0.3612	+2.50%	0.0233	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.346444	-0.10%	0.34165	-1.49%	0.0444	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.339837	+0.01%	0.3448	+1.47%	0.0299	✗	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.346692	+0.17%	0.3488	+0.78%	0.0082	✗	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.350724	+0.29%	0.34975	+0.01%	0.0117	✗	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.371102	+0.30%	0.3425	-7.43%	0.0532	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.389533	+0.16%	0.3518	-9.54%	0.0572	✗	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.399941	-0.04%	0.3524	-11.92%	0.0938	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.39441	+0.22%	0.3468	-11.88%	0.0696	✗	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.379481	+0.23%	0.3398	-10.25%	0.0827	✗	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.389598	+0.28%	0.3461	-10.91%	0.0808	✗	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.404587	+0.31%	0.3497	-13.30%	0.0867	✗	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.391251	+0.48%	0.37	-4.98%	0.0397	✗	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.395402	+0.51%	0.3889	-1.14%	0.0174	✗	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.398965	+0.55%	0.4001	+0.83%	0.0493	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.402733	+0.51%	0.39355	-1.78%	0.0316	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.388693	+0.46%	0.3786	-2.15%	0.0435	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.37974	+0.43%	0.3885	+2.75%	0.0555	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.374919	+0.43%	0.40335	+8.05%	0.0794	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.369408	+0.36%	0.3894	+5.79%	0.0614	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.365852	+0.23%	0.3934	+7.78%	0.0580	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.364161	+0.26%	0.3968	+9.25%	0.0308	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.364676	+0.38%	0.4007	+10.29%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.360822	+0.48%	0.3869	+7.74%	0.0303	✗	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.363349	+0.46%	0.3781	+4.53%	0.0186	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.372441	+0.42%	0.3733	+0.65%	0.0389	✗	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.385551	+0.30%	0.3681	-4.24%	0.0412	✗	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.39144	+0.21%	0.365	-6.55%	0.0347	✗	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.377324	+0.30%	0.3632	-3.46%	0.0626	✗	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.376774	+0.26%	0.3633	-3.33%	0.0303	✗	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.371875	+0.21%	0.3591	-3.23%	0.0382	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.385489	+0.26%	0.3617	-5.93%	0.0682	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.384416	+0.29%	0.3709	-3.24%	0.0706	✗	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.392673	+0.17%	0.3844	-1.94%	0.0721	✗	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.396227	+0.06%	0.3906	-1.36%	0.0834	✗	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.367648	+0.42%	0.3762	+2.76%	0.0428	✗	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.370569	+0.44%	0.3758	+1.86%	0.0492	✗	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.380012	+0.25%	0.3711	-2.10%	0.0043	✓	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.38914	+0.13%	0.3845	-1.07%	0.0029	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.392602	+0.05%	0.3833	-2.32%	0.0080	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.383417	+0.17%	0.392	+2.42%	0.0144	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.385364	+0.15%	0.396	+2.91%	0.0036	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.394914	-0.02%	0.3661	-7.32%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.399257	+0.00%	0.36895	-7.59%	0.0151	✗	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.398604	+0.15%	0.37905	-4.76%	0.0329	✗	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.422804	-0.09%	0.38865	-8.16%	0.0575	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.407241	+0.21%	0.3924	-3.44%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.402803	+0.66%	0.38275	-4.35%	0.0628	✗	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.39781	+0.93%	0.3848	-2.37%	0.0242	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.405973	+0.88%	0.395	-1.85%	0.0077	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.414675	+0.97%	0.39925	-2.79%	0.0199	✗	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.418479	+1.50%	0.398	-3.47%	0.0285	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.430214	+2.01%	0.4232	+0.34%	0.0244	✗	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.438783	+2.08%	0.4064	-5.46%	0.0520	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.414833	+5.42%	0.40015	+1.69%	0.0920	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.475641	+1.71%	0.39415	-15.72%	0.0955	✗	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.479386	+1.33%	0.40245	-14.93%	0.0769	✗	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.482771	+0.83%	0.4107	-14.22%	0.0398	✗	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.470779	+1.94%	0.4123	-10.72%	0.0402	✗	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.473488	+1.56%	0.42175	-9.53%	0.0205	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.504582	-0.20%	0.42985	-14.98%	0.0249	✗	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.507384	-0.24%	0.3935	-22.63%	0.0575	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.532061	-0.73%	0.46765	-12.75%	0.0824	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.565212	-0.96%	0.4731	-17.10%	0.0025	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.559928	-0.97%	0.4788	-15.32%	0.0348	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.557419	-0.85%	0.4618	-17.86%	0.0614	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.578105	-1.14%	0.4662	-20.28%	0.0827	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.581628	-1.29%	0.5056	-14.19%	0.0751	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.573182	-1.14%	0.5086	-12.28%	0.0598	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.586787	-1.26%	0.536	-9.81%	0.0882	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.546204	-1.10%	0.5707	+3.33%	0.0345	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.600902	-1.56%	0.5654	-7.37%	0.0151	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.576427	-1.31%	0.5622	-3.75%	0.0516	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.594264	-1.27%	0.5848	-2.84%	0.0469	✗	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.611001	-1.28%	0.5892	-4.80%	0.0263	✗	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.575274	-1.17%	0.5798	-0.40%	0.0715	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.571731	-1.08%	0.5943	+2.82%	0.1182	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.584494	-1.30%	0.5523	-6.74%	0.0199	✗	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.548134	-1.20%	0.6104	+10.02%	0.0930	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.562563	-1.13%	0.5841	+2.65%	0.0078	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.575959	-0.99%	0.6019	+3.47%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.574428	-0.94%	0.6189	+6.73%	0.0181	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.581833	-0.88%	0.5821	-0.83%	0.0499	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.563941	-0.59%	0.578	+1.89%	0.0487	✓	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.594712	-0.68%	0.5922	-1.10%	0.0254	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.557562	-0.36%	0.5548	-0.86%	0.0297	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.541808	-0.37%	0.569	+4.63%	0.0572	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.530104	-0.38%	0.5817	+9.32%	0.0959	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.525884	-0.48%	0.5799	+9.75%	0.0903	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.504073	-0.44%	0.587	+15.94%	0.1219	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.491666	-0.63%	0.5673	+14.65%	0.0927	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.512336	-1.00%	0.5988	+15.71%	0.0868	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.488829	-0.48%	0.5596	+13.93%	0.0477	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.497552	-0.45%	0.5438	+8.80%	0.0417	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.482398	-0.50%	0.5321	+9.76%	0.0620	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.471826	-0.75%	0.5284	+11.15%	0.0790	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.444086	+0.02%	0.5063	+14.03%	0.1109	✓	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.443602	+0.00%	0.4948	+11.54%	0.1107	✓	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.443824	-0.06%	0.5175	+16.53%	0.1409	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.442757	-0.03%	0.4912	+10.91%	0.1228	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.439096	+0.07%	0.4998	+13.90%	0.1394	✓	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.452311	+0.16%	0.4848	+7.35%	0.0762	✓	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.444055	+0.15%	0.4754	+7.22%	0.0788	✓	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.431795	+0.25%	0.444	+3.09%	0.0046	✓	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.441485	+0.09%	0.4436	+0.57%	0.0142	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.460335	-0.12%	0.4441	-3.65%	0.0302	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.461594	-0.07%	0.4429	-4.11%	0.0702	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.477409	-0.10%	0.4388	-8.18%	0.0906	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.500972	-0.13%	0.4516	-9.97%	0.0785	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.491867	-0.07%	0.4434	-9.91%	0.0751	✓	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.505228	-0.19%	0.4307	-14.92%	0.0664	✓	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.493858	+0.03%	0.4411	-10.65%	0.0364	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.498868	+0.07%	0.4609	-7.54%	0.0163	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.493465	+0.16%	0.4619	-6.25%	0.0095	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.474216	+0.17%	0.4779	+0.95%	0.0372	✓	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.480878	+0.14%	0.5016	+4.46%	0.0291	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.478571	+0.16%	0.4922	+3.01%	0.0157	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.496297	+0.12%	0.5062	+2.12%	0.0140	✓	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.503451	+0.13%	0.4937	-1.81%	0.0013	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.486901	+0.25%	0.4985	+2.64%	0.0057	✓	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.471827	+0.41%	0.4927	+4.85%	0.0180	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.484908	+0.24%	0.4734	-2.14%	0.0245	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.493627	+0.19%	0.4802	-2.54%	0.0056	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.504632	-0.02%	0.4778	-5.34%	0.0327	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.510258	-0.05%	0.4957	-2.90%	0.0397	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.509519	-0.07%	0.5028	-1.39%	0.0551	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.508123	-0.03%	0.4857	-4.45%	0.1041	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.503914	-0.07%	0.4699	-6.81%	0.0397	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.49136	+0.54%	0.48375	-1.01%	0.0687	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.490937	+0.95%	0.4927	+1.32%	0.0913	✗	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.502414	+0.88%	0.50475	+1.35%	0.0854	✗	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.512644	+0.94%	0.5105	+0.52%	0.0771	✗	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.535501	+0.19%	0.5099	-4.60%	0.0334	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.544793	-0.14%	0.5083	-6.83%	0.0193	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.530885	+0.26%	0.50425	-4.77%	0.0096	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.551527	+0.03%	0.4887	-11.36%	0.0040	✗	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.571585	-0.21%	0.4863	-15.10%	0.0116	✗	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.555986	+0.01%	0.49805	-10.41%	0.0404	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.565738	-0.28%	0.50785	-10.49%	0.1053	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.579606	-0.68%	0.5345	-8.41%	0.0788	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.589187	-0.67%	0.54555	-8.02%	0.0792	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.621316	-0.89%	0.5295	-15.54%	0.0497	✗	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.622042	-0.87%	0.55135	-12.14%	0.0397	✗	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.642353	-1.30%	0.5728	-11.99%	0.0074	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.67891	-2.55%	0.55595	-20.20%	0.0652	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.588734	-1.66%	0.56735	-5.24%	0.0130	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.533874	-0.25%	0.5836	+9.04%	0.1225	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.51906	+0.08%	0.59315	+14.36%	0.1101	✓	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.531892	-0.13%	0.6269	+17.71%	0.1732	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.577803	-0.39%	0.6275	+8.18%	0.1692	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.576064	-0.39%	0.6508	+12.54%	0.2394	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.578033	-0.38%	0.6967	+20.07%	0.2816	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.563504	-0.30%	0.5987	+5.93%	0.1682	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.587676	-0.36%	0.5352	-9.26%	0.0016	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.589419	-0.35%	0.51865	-12.32%	0.0481	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.597457	-0.47%	0.5326	-11.28%	0.0023	✓	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.611144	-0.54%	0.58005	-5.60%	0.0066	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.602698	-0.51%	0.5783	-4.54%	0.0169	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.600329	-0.51%	0.58025	-3.84%	0.0115	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.591257	-0.50%	0.5652	-4.89%	0.0174	✓	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.580256	-0.43%	0.5898	+1.21%	0.0214	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.583863	-0.40%	0.5915	+0.90%	0.0560	✓	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.59481	-0.58%	0.6003	+0.33%	0.0445	✓	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.593974	-0.48%	0.61445	+2.95%	0.0546	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.58496	-0.28%	0.6058	+3.27%	0.0334	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.577105	-0.11%	0.6034	+4.44%	0.0257	✓	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.594627	-0.29%	0.59425	-0.35%	0.0300	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.605413	-0.49%	0.58275	-4.22%	0.0110	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.624765	-0.66%	0.5862	-6.79%	0.0072	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.652504	-0.84%	0.5983	-9.07%	0.0176	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.62723	-0.62%	0.59685	-5.43%	0.0433	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.579411	-0.14%	0.5866	+1.10%	0.0643	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.563648	-0.01%	0.57775	+2.49%	0.1222	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.672164	-0.84%	0.59635	-12.02%	0.0470	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.678964	-1.02%	0.6084	-11.31%	0.0420	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.673053	-0.94%	0.6289	-7.44%	0.0329	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.708121	-1.27%	0.658	-8.25%	0.0377	✗	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.705344	-1.30%	0.63115	-11.68%	0.0107	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.686179	-1.07%	0.5802	-16.35%	0.0261	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.710976	-1.16%	0.5637	-21.63%	0.1204	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.703903	-1.19%	0.67785	-4.85%	0.0505	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.693991	-1.30%	0.68595	-2.44%	0.0673	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.661315	-1.10%	0.67945	+1.62%	0.0632	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.662098	-1.14%	0.7172	+7.09%	0.0482	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.666384	-1.09%	0.71465	+6.07%	0.0767	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.663693	-1.02%	0.6936	+3.45%	0.1281	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.673518	-1.00%	0.7193	+5.73%	0.1049	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.652193	-0.79%	0.7124	+8.37%	0.0694	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.690346	-1.12%	0.7031	+0.71%	0.0531	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.692432	-1.02%	0.66865	-4.42%	0.0635	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.692097	-0.99%	0.6697	-4.20%	0.0552	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.742469	-1.06%	0.67375	-10.21%	0.0563	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.75305	-1.03%	0.6705	-11.87%	0.0343	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.748324	-1.00%	0.6803	-10.00%	0.0143	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.783237	-1.09%	0.6574	-16.98%	0.0675	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.780192	-1.10%	0.69815	-11.50%	0.0697	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.