XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s6

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

69.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1178

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0185

actual -0.0283

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.29668	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.294662	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.282702	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.282409	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.28215	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.294937	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.292247	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.289864	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.302777	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.284505	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.303146	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.282646	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.28052	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.271884	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.293773	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.313637	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.317322	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.312036	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.303719	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.298184	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.307076	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.29808	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.294324	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.295679	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.303513	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.310637	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.313619	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.313442	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.309598	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.332098	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.327143	-3.70%	0.31526	-7.20%	0.0110	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.330952	-5.36%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0820	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.342851	-6.57%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1405	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.285573	-3.37%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0347	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.245422	-3.64%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1366	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.244583	-3.57%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1829	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.241199	-3.31%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1686	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.266	-2.51%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1070	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.274053	-3.40%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.0808	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.259579	-2.33%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.0942	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.247075	-1.49%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1831	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.248902	-1.71%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1031	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.260804	-1.09%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0790	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.24819	-0.58%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1091	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.236659	+0.63%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2215	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.24399	+1.29%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2431	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.241122	+0.96%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2559	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.233321	+1.32%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2605	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.234247	+2.45%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2740	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.216405	-0.65%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2731	✗	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.213308	-0.50%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.3145	✗	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.214244	+0.66%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.3201	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.213207	+1.09%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2969	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.224528	+2.22%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2606	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.224663	+1.80%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2668	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.238958	+3.52%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2627	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.233618	+2.49%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2823	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.230243	+2.96%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2823	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.237689	+3.28%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.2373	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.240765	+2.42%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2501	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.237953	+2.38%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.2242	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.249618	+3.49%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2973	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.222295	+0.32%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3830	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.210932	-1.76%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1594	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.193748	-3.18%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0800	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.19273	-3.34%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0798	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.188246	-3.36%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0646	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.191346	-3.33%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1022	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.190124	-3.27%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1662	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.190442	-3.20%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.0999	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.188302	-3.08%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0541	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.188659	-3.02%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0766	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.192384	-3.10%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0779	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.195779	-3.20%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0193	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.201073	-3.35%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0758	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.194789	-3.30%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0407	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.193849	-3.44%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0474	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.18991	-3.44%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0571	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.191015	-3.56%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.1043	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.196013	-3.63%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1337	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.193682	-3.25%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1406	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.192842	-2.96%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1736	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.195267	-2.90%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1801	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.199792	-2.76%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1383	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.199664	-2.15%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1387	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.203166	-1.82%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1481	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.203736	-1.77%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1485	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.219144	-1.83%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1936	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.21924	-2.03%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1886	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.223556	-2.07%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1721	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.230547	-1.98%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1860	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.22316	-1.85%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1210	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.225727	-1.27%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1277	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.224792	-1.49%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1174	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.220334	-1.34%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0963	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.222196	-1.38%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.1025	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.219033	-1.46%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.0977	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.218262	-1.00%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0837	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.225825	-0.76%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.1072	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.230619	-0.55%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1305	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.21938	-0.56%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1429	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.225671	-0.53%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1447	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.229561	-0.56%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1476	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.234272	-0.64%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1597	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.234008	-0.59%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1486	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.240427	-0.48%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2256	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.252284	-0.75%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2455	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.249277	-0.53%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2478	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.251739	-0.78%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2484	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.238299	-0.35%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1653	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.243123	-0.90%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.2121	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.213846	-0.26%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.0956	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.209659	-0.04%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0922	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.20215	-0.11%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0918	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.21091	-0.38%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.0971	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.209655	-0.35%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0886	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.211781	-0.40%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0859	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.216466	+0.22%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0604	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.213791	+0.49%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0334	✗	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.215763	+0.33%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0023	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.221418	+0.19%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0189	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.227449	-0.37%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0361	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.229412	+0.19%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0584	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.237046	-0.02%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0545	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.243192	-0.54%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.1057	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.230224	-0.36%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0541	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.242856	-0.92%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0793	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.242786	-0.82%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0657	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.239122	-0.91%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0246	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.237243	-0.96%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0113	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.237311	-0.39%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0367	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.233333	-0.30%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0314	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.233828	-0.25%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0163	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.22691	-0.18%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0071	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.236567	-0.51%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0303	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.243386	-0.93%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0065	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.24268	-1.14%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0460	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.242026	-1.00%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0188	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.241561	-0.70%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0059	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.272604	-1.95%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1202	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.288914	-2.53%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1408	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.286337	-2.71%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2093	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.307594	-3.27%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2204	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.317884	-3.07%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2376	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.320938	-3.36%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2323	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.295532	-2.99%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1510	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.300801	-2.90%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1642	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.309119	-2.98%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1685	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.322286	-2.85%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.2057	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.324928	-2.67%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.1938	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.326153	-2.70%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.1987	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.335608	-2.78%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2209	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.324393	-3.04%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1888	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.341162	-2.43%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.1957	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.333675	-2.15%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1320	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.327413	-1.96%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1703	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.335018	-2.03%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1538	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.332976	-2.11%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1602	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.349386	-2.24%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2252	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.356658	-2.27%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2321	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.37078	-1.88%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2354	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.365438	-2.52%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2484	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.378397	-1.70%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2720	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.392434	-1.24%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.2986	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.396715	-0.96%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2626	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.381355	-1.41%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2281	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.387901	-1.67%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2560	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.369974	-1.46%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1813	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.38013	-0.76%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2056	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.371349	-0.97%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0715	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.357802	-1.13%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0109	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.356521	-1.73%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0452	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.359344	-1.90%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0340	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.359313	-1.85%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0364	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.356458	-2.42%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0399	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.361152	-2.67%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1408	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.37602	-2.31%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1595	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.371962	-1.70%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1180	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.367325	-0.91%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0678	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.364821	-1.25%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0839	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.36724	-1.37%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0855	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.372268	-0.58%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0560	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.369471	-0.77%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0659	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.36174	-1.34%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0484	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.360681	-1.56%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0758	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.346918	-2.03%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0756	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.360677	-1.21%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0684	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.376993	-0.75%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.1067	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.371144	-1.46%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0744	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.356943	-1.10%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0302	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.341706	-1.30%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0165	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.350477	-1.27%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0082	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.33508	-1.99%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0155	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.347831	-1.69%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0264	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.352754	-1.66%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0139	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.346357	-1.98%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0004	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.34448	-2.11%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0208	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.353615	-2.10%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0416	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.332616	-2.64%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0182	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.335638	-2.66%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0405	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.339404	-2.69%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.1009	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.340809	-2.56%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0919	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.333433	-2.65%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0628	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.342445	-2.66%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0677	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.344662	-2.20%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0508	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.340213	-1.90%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0370	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.333931	-1.73%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0014	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.341897	-1.21%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0500	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.347061	-0.75%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.1019	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.367558	-0.66%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.1137	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.385733	-0.81%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.1162	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.394745	-1.34%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1551	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.390942	-0.66%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1454	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.375718	-0.76%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1405	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.386841	-0.43%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1486	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.403337	-0.00%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1751	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.390486	+0.28%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1450	✗	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.39494	+0.39%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.1158	✗	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.399624	+0.71%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0755	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.403079	+0.59%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.1099	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.388331	+0.37%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.1329	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.378529	+0.11%	0.355	-6.11%	0.1078	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.374117	+0.22%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0874	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.367572	-0.14%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0735	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.363121	-0.51%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0510	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.361879	-0.36%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0497	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.362678	-0.17%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.358983	-0.03%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0811	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.361835	+0.04%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0812	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.371008	+0.03%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0865	✗	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.383953	-0.12%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0433	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.389523	-0.28%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0243	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.375215	-0.26%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0691	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.37468	-0.30%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0520	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.369204	-0.51%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0849	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.382283	-0.58%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0939	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.381084	-0.58%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.1162	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.388898	-0.79%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0985	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.391793	-1.06%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0884	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.363948	-0.59%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0557	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.366991	-0.53%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0406	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.376195	-0.75%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0189	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.384489	-1.07%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0194	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.387547	-1.24%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0213	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.377908	-1.27%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0011	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.378871	-1.54%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0026	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.387343	-1.94%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0305	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.392095	-1.79%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0310	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.391718	-1.58%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0598	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.414727	-2.00%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.1054	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.398902	-1.84%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0875	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.392992	-1.79%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1133	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.38717	-1.77%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0935	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.394137	-2.07%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0933	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.402145	-2.08%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0984	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.407049	-1.27%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.1094	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.41701	-1.12%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.1258	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.422646	-1.68%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0961	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.390907	-0.66%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1503	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.454292	-2.86%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.1277	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.457392	-3.32%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.1066	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.461535	-3.61%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0832	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.447628	-3.07%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0527	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.451135	-3.23%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0401	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.485913	-3.89%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0110	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.48898	-3.86%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0038	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.515757	-3.78%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0233	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.547376	-4.09%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0359	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.541542	-4.22%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0368	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.538008	-4.30%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0628	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.558907	-4.43%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0740	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.563199	-4.41%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.1014	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.554695	-4.33%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0671	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.568348	-4.37%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0824	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.528991	-4.22%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0395	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.584448	-4.25%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0994	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.561118	-3.93%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0313	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.579143	-3.78%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0616	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.595104	-3.84%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0873	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.560906	-3.64%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0206	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.558205	-3.42%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0169	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.569076	-3.90%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0106	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.532227	-4.07%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0002	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.547126	-3.84%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0308	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.562055	-3.38%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0585	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.562475	-3.00%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0441	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.571091	-2.71%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0214	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.553572	-2.42%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0608	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.585716	-2.19%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.0839	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.550587	-1.61%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1373	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.534725	-1.67%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1075	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.522907	-1.73%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.0820	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.518186	-1.93%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.0748	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.496607	-1.91%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.0812	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.484572	-2.07%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.0895	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.503977	-2.61%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0622	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.480419	-2.19%	0.536	+9.12%	0.0822	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.489479	-2.07%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1371	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.474835	-2.06%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1688	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.465308	-2.12%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.1988	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.438645	-1.21%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2630	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.437339	-1.41%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2741	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.436938	-1.61%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2564	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.436264	-1.50%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.2987	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.433357	-1.24%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2468	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.447395	-0.93%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2558	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.439229	-0.94%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2138	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.426643	-0.94%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2187	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.435229	-1.33%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2316	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.452777	-1.76%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1525	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.454123	-1.68%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1055	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.470221	-1.61%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1381	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.494068	-1.50%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1039	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.48564	-1.33%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1508	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.499109	-1.40%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.1809	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.48803	-1.15%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.1920	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.493009	-1.10%	0.587	+17.75%	0.1958	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.488184	-0.92%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1421	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.468314	-1.07%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2033	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.474659	-1.15%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1048	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.472457	-1.12%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1124	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.490387	-1.07%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1011	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.497521	-1.05%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1057	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.481722	-0.82%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.0837	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.466558	-0.71%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0414	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.478867	-1.01%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1058	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.487293	-1.10%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0610	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.496346	-1.67%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0499	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.501824	-1.70%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0153	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.500466	-1.85%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0054	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.497217	-2.18%	0.444	-12.65%	0.1109	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.491987	-2.43%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0936	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.481658	-1.44%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0906	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.478423	-1.62%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1377	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.488598	-1.90%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1633	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.500427	-1.46%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1304	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.52363	-2.03%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.1127	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.531073	-2.65%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0900	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.519216	-1.94%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0682	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.539193	-2.20%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0571	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.558555	-2.49%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0459	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.543819	-2.18%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0300	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.554812	-2.21%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0487	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.566459	-2.94%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0390	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.576625	-2.79%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0320	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.608477	-2.94%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0016	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.608259	-3.07%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0144	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.626955	-3.66%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0511	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.662079	-4.97%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.1337	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.575499	-3.88%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0009	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.521802	-2.50%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1437	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.505785	-2.48%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1296	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.519429	-2.47%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1805	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.564503	-2.68%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1550	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.562419	-2.75%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2105	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.564462	-2.72%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1555	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.549858	-2.71%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1731	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.573508	-2.76%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1767	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.576176	-2.59%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2287	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.584061	-2.71%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2469	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.596707	-2.89%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2870	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.587859	-2.96%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2412	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.585687	-2.94%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2307	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.576434	-3.00%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2688	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.56481	-3.08%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2680	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.567857	-3.13%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2658	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.578745	-3.27%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2455	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.57737	-3.26%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2070	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.568402	-3.10%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.1840	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.560889	-2.92%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.1874	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.578581	-2.98%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.1976	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.589433	-3.12%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2066	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.608298	-3.28%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1417	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.635573	-3.41%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1234	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.612918	-2.89%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1472	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.566808	-2.31%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1710	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.554077	-1.71%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2494	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.65712	-3.06%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2365	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.663546	-3.27%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.2999	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.658452	-3.09%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1615	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.691732	-3.55%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0015	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.688718	-3.63%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0048	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.670025	-3.40%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0332	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.693657	-3.56%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0362	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.685731	-3.74%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0407	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.674792	-4.03%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0362	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.641874	-4.00%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0521	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.642938	-4.00%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0292	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.646288	-4.08%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0982	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.642997	-4.10%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1303	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.65342	-3.95%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1293	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.634954	-3.41%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0842	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.670234	-4.00%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0730	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.673384	-3.74%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0981	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.674713	-3.48%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0739	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.723511	-3.58%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.1174	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.734447	-3.47%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1355	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.731343	-3.24%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.1080	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.764665	-3.43%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.1320	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.761736	-3.44%	0.57775	-26.76%	0.1399	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.