XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s6

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0204

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0014

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.313471	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.311125	-0.63%	0.31526	+0.69%	0.0166	✗	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.299203	-0.46%	0.3131	+4.16%	0.0300	✗	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.299332	-0.45%	0.30059	-0.03%	0.0066	✗	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.299862	-0.41%	0.30068	-0.14%	0.0061	✓	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.314301	-0.50%	0.30109	-4.68%	0.0413	✓	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.311164	-0.49%	0.315885	+1.02%	0.0238	✗	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.308033	-0.38%	0.31269	+1.12%	0.0072	✗	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.320671	-0.62%	0.30922	-4.17%	0.0150	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.301877	-0.31%	0.32266	+6.55%	0.0480	✗	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.321091	-0.61%	0.302825	-6.26%	0.0328	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.299359	-0.34%	0.32306	+7.55%	0.0661	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.297538	-0.28%	0.30039	+0.67%	0.0047	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.288655	-0.08%	0.298385	+3.29%	0.0218	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.311031	-0.42%	0.28889	-7.51%	0.0536	✓	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.331131	-0.60%	0.312355	-6.23%	0.0313	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.334428	-0.65%	0.333125	-1.03%	0.0014	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.328048	-0.61%	0.336605	+1.98%	0.0348	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.320349	-0.57%	0.330075	+2.45%	0.0088	✗	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.314222	-0.53%	0.32219	+1.99%	0.0221	✗	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.323903	-0.64%	0.31591	-3.09%	0.0208	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.314628	-0.58%	0.32599	+3.01%	0.0192	✗	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.310202	-0.55%	0.316455	+1.46%	0.0210	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.311337	-0.57%	0.311915	-0.39%	0.0005	✓	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.319286	-0.63%	0.313135	-2.55%	0.0066	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.326393	-0.72%	0.32132	-2.27%	0.0162	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.3296	-0.78%	0.32877	-1.03%	0.0066	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.328673	-0.71%	0.332185	+0.35%	0.0143	✗	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.32264	-0.62%	0.33102	+1.96%	0.0255	✗	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.344501	-0.88%	0.32465	-6.59%	0.0372	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.336658	-0.90%	0.34756	+2.31%	0.0367	✗	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.345602	-1.17%	0.33972	-2.85%	0.0964	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.356586	-2.83%	0.3497	-4.71%	0.0184	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.292689	-0.96%	0.36697	+24.18%	0.2208	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.25401	-0.26%	0.29552	+16.04%	0.0902	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.253049	-0.23%	0.25468	+0.41%	0.0036	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.249062	-0.16%	0.25363	+1.67%	0.0101	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.272054	-0.29%	0.249455	-8.57%	0.0521	✓	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.281821	-0.66%	0.272845	-3.83%	0.0509	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.265133	-0.24%	0.283705	+6.75%	0.0741	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.250434	-0.15%	0.265765	+5.96%	0.0587	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.25265	-0.22%	0.25081	-0.95%	0.0166	✓	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.262056	-0.61%	0.25322	-3.96%	0.0106	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.249279	-0.14%	0.26367	+5.62%	0.0583	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.235102	-0.03%	0.249635	+6.15%	0.0689	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.240736	-0.06%	0.235175	-2.37%	0.0063	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.238691	-0.05%	0.24088	+0.86%	0.0022	✗	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.230153	-0.06%	0.23882	+3.70%	0.0349	✗	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.228531	-0.05%	0.23029	+0.72%	0.0288	✗	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.217572	-0.12%	0.228645	+4.97%	0.0093	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.214116	-0.12%	0.217825	+1.61%	0.0186	✗	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.212715	-0.06%	0.21437	+0.71%	0.0247	✗	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.210861	-0.03%	0.21285	+0.92%	0.0036	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.219539	-0.05%	0.210915	-3.98%	0.0319	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.220544	-0.07%	0.219655	-0.47%	0.0097	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.23065	-0.08%	0.22069	-4.40%	0.0096	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.227787	-0.07%	0.23084	+1.27%	0.0043	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.223508	-0.05%	0.227945	+1.93%	0.0125	✗	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.229963	-0.07%	0.223625	-2.83%	0.0214	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.234799	-0.12%	0.230135	-2.10%	0.0381	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.232158	-0.11%	0.23508	+1.14%	0.0027	✗	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.240589	-0.25%	0.232425	-3.64%	0.0162	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.221015	-0.26%	0.2412	+8.85%	0.0095	✗	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.214192	-0.24%	0.22158	+3.20%	0.0261	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.199631	-0.24%	0.21471	+7.30%	0.0076	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.198895	-0.25%	0.20011	+0.36%	0.0024	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.194403	-0.20%	0.199385	+2.36%	0.0050	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.19754	-0.20%	0.19479	-1.59%	0.0106	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.196172	-0.19%	0.197945	+0.71%	0.0082	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.196345	-0.20%	0.196555	-0.09%	0.0095	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.193957	-0.17%	0.19673	+1.26%	0.0139	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.194189	-0.17%	0.194285	-0.12%	0.0027	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.19811	-0.22%	0.194525	-2.02%	0.0113	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.201817	-0.22%	0.198545	-1.83%	0.0008	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.207504	-0.26%	0.202255	-2.78%	0.0245	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.200977	-0.23%	0.208035	+3.27%	0.0342	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.200268	-0.24%	0.20144	+0.35%	0.0056	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.196242	-0.22%	0.200745	+2.07%	0.0289	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.197602	-0.23%	0.19668	-0.70%	0.0149	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.202866	-0.26%	0.19806	-2.63%	0.0351	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.199775	-0.20%	0.2034	+1.61%	0.0186	✗	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.1984	-0.16%	0.200185	+0.73%	0.0052	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.200777	-0.16%	0.198725	-1.18%	0.0091	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.205112	-0.17%	0.201095	-2.13%	0.0168	✗	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.203855	-0.10%	0.20547	+0.69%	0.0076	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.206769	-0.08%	0.20406	-1.38%	0.0141	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.20725	-0.07%	0.206925	-0.23%	0.0045	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.222924	-0.13%	0.2074	-7.09%	0.0425	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.223473	-0.14%	0.22322	-0.25%	0.0197	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.227913	-0.16%	0.22378	-1.97%	0.0221	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.234755	-0.20%	0.22828	-2.95%	0.0108	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.227014	-0.15%	0.235215	+3.45%	0.0540	✗	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.228388	-0.11%	0.22736	-0.56%	0.0031	✗	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.227917	-0.12%	0.22863	+0.19%	0.0201	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.223132	-0.09%	0.22819	+2.17%	0.0128	✗	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.225093	-0.09%	0.223335	-0.87%	0.0058	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.222072	-0.09%	0.225305	+1.36%	0.0020	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.22036	-0.05%	0.22228	+0.82%	0.0064	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.227447	-0.05%	0.220465	-3.11%	0.0141	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.231781	-0.05%	0.22755	-1.87%	0.0135	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.220626	+0.00%	0.23189	+5.11%	0.0005	✗	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.226849	-0.01%	0.220625	-2.76%	0.0002	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.230811	-0.02%	0.22688	-1.72%	0.0166	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.235675	-0.05%	0.230855	-2.09%	0.0143	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.235352	-0.02%	0.23579	+0.16%	0.0153	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.24152	-0.03%	0.235405	-2.56%	0.0431	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.253915	-0.10%	0.241585	-4.96%	0.0299	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.250418	-0.07%	0.25418	+1.43%	0.0273	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.253126	-0.23%	0.250595	-1.23%	0.0177	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.238932	-0.08%	0.25371	+6.10%	0.0509	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.244684	-0.27%	0.239125	-2.53%	0.0333	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.214546	+0.07%	0.245335	+14.43%	0.1160	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.209976	+0.11%	0.2144	+2.22%	0.0063	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.202671	+0.15%	0.209745	+3.65%	0.0082	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.211922	+0.09%	0.202365	-4.42%	0.0167	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.210633	+0.12%	0.211725	+0.63%	0.0071	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.212866	+0.11%	0.21039	-1.06%	0.0035	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.216326	+0.16%	0.212635	-1.55%	0.0160	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.213157	+0.19%	0.215985	+1.52%	0.0079	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.215412	+0.16%	0.21275	-1.07%	0.0107	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.221271	+0.13%	0.21506	-2.68%	0.0011	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.228446	+0.07%	0.22099	-3.20%	0.0108	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.229272	+0.13%	0.22829	-0.30%	0.0165	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.237321	+0.10%	0.22898	-3.42%	0.0191	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.244643	+0.05%	0.23709	-3.04%	0.0441	✗	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.231296	+0.10%	0.24452	+5.83%	0.0454	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.245194	+0.03%	0.23106	-5.73%	0.0330	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.244896	+0.04%	0.245115	+0.13%	0.0203	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.2414	+0.04%	0.244805	+1.45%	0.0245	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.239666	+0.05%	0.24131	+0.74%	0.0022	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.238556	+0.13%	0.23954	+0.54%	0.0167	✗	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.234443	+0.17%	0.238245	+1.80%	0.0013	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.234862	+0.20%	0.234035	-0.16%	0.0031	✗	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.228064	+0.33%	0.234405	+3.12%	0.0086	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.238496	+0.30%	0.22732	-4.40%	0.0439	✗	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.246267	+0.24%	0.23779	-3.21%	0.0116	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.24614	+0.26%	0.24568	+0.08%	0.0021	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.245648	+0.48%	0.24549	+0.42%	0.0426	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.24468	+0.58%	0.24447	+0.50%	0.0023	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.278547	+0.19%	0.24326	-12.50%	0.0930	✗	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.296757	+0.12%	0.27802	-6.20%	0.0618	✗	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.294508	+0.07%	0.2964	+0.71%	0.0461	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.317601	-0.13%	0.2943	-7.45%	0.0129	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.327318	-0.19%	0.318	-3.03%	0.0003	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.330984	-0.34%	0.32795	-1.25%	0.0068	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.304527	-0.04%	0.3321	+9.01%	0.0817	✗	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.309663	-0.04%	0.30465	-1.66%	0.0145	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.318374	-0.07%	0.3098	-2.76%	0.0176	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.331364	-0.12%	0.3186	-3.96%	0.0216	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.333379	-0.14%	0.33175	-0.63%	0.0123	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.334795	-0.12%	0.33385	-0.40%	0.0061	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.34467	-0.15%	0.3352	-2.90%	0.0317	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.334199	-0.11%	0.3452	+3.18%	0.0181	✗	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.349198	-0.13%	0.33455	-4.32%	0.0183	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.340722	-0.08%	0.34965	+2.54%	0.0250	✗	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.333857	-0.03%	0.341	+2.11%	0.0130	✗	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.341794	-0.05%	0.33395	-2.34%	0.0212	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.339946	-0.06%	0.34195	+0.53%	0.0112	✗	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.356945	-0.13%	0.34015	-4.83%	0.0403	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.364354	-0.16%	0.3574	-2.07%	0.0084	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.377277	-0.16%	0.36495	-3.43%	0.0105	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.374166	-0.20%	0.3779	+0.80%	0.0100	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.384371	-0.15%	0.3749	-2.61%	0.0118	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.396754	-0.15%	0.38495	-3.12%	0.0169	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.399891	-0.16%	0.39735	-0.80%	0.0014	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.386229	-0.15%	0.40055	+3.55%	0.0201	✗	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.393727	-0.20%	0.3868	-1.95%	0.0227	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.374911	-0.14%	0.3945	+5.07%	0.0490	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.382559	-0.13%	0.37545	-1.98%	0.0039	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.374523	-0.13%	0.38305	+2.15%	0.0165	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.361471	-0.12%	0.375	+3.62%	0.0249	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.362223	-0.16%	0.3619	-0.25%	0.0155	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.365638	-0.18%	0.3628	-0.96%	0.0064	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.365458	-0.18%	0.3663	+0.05%	0.0028	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.364571	-0.20%	0.3661	+0.22%	0.0186	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.370236	-0.22%	0.3653	-1.55%	0.0201	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.383881	-0.26%	0.37105	-3.60%	0.0272	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.377635	-0.20%	0.3849	+1.72%	0.0315	✗	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.370226	-0.13%	0.3784	+2.08%	0.0373	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.368882	-0.15%	0.3707	+0.34%	0.0072	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.371703	-0.17%	0.36945	-0.78%	0.0083	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.373742	-0.19%	0.37235	-0.56%	0.0060	✗	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.371893	-0.12%	0.37445	+0.56%	0.0060	✗	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.366149	-0.14%	0.37235	+1.55%	0.0055	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.365828	-0.16%	0.36665	+0.07%	0.0037	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.353551	-0.16%	0.3664	+3.47%	0.0095	✗	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.364649	-0.12%	0.3541	-3.01%	0.0050	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.379406	-0.12%	0.3651	-3.88%	0.0215	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.376052	-0.16%	0.37985	+0.85%	0.0142	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.360422	-0.13%	0.37665	+4.36%	0.0399	✗	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.34586	-0.10%	0.3609	+4.25%	0.0342	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.354576	-0.12%	0.3462	-2.48%	0.0205	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.341501	-0.12%	0.355	+3.83%	0.0099	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.353352	-0.13%	0.3419	-3.36%	0.0020	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.35823	-0.13%	0.3538	-1.37%	0.0136	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.352845	-0.14%	0.3587	+1.51%	0.0007	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.351392	-0.14%	0.35335	+0.41%	0.0039	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.360572	-0.17%	0.3519	-2.57%	0.0134	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.341109	-0.16%	0.3612	+5.72%	0.0160	✗	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.344235	-0.16%	0.34165	-0.91%	0.0054	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.348266	-0.15%	0.3448	-1.15%	0.0342	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.349234	-0.15%	0.3488	-0.27%	0.0060	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.342036	-0.14%	0.34975	+2.12%	0.0214	✗	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.351249	-0.16%	0.3425	-2.64%	0.0077	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.351932	-0.13%	0.3518	-0.17%	0.0012	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.346553	-0.07%	0.3524	+1.61%	0.0048	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.339689	-0.03%	0.3468	+2.06%	0.0092	✗	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.34609	-0.00%	0.3398	-1.82%	0.0129	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.349725	+0.01%	0.3461	-1.03%	0.0099	✗	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.369981	-0.01%	0.3497	-5.49%	0.0214	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.38869	-0.05%	0.37	-4.86%	0.0140	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.399647	-0.11%	0.3889	-2.80%	0.0379	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.393352	-0.05%	0.4001	+1.66%	0.0217	✗	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.378523	-0.02%	0.39355	+3.95%	0.0040	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.388474	-0.01%	0.3786	-2.55%	0.0104	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.403292	-0.01%	0.3885	-3.68%	0.0152	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.389563	+0.04%	0.40335	+3.58%	0.0268	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.393585	+0.05%	0.3894	-1.02%	0.0076	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.396981	+0.05%	0.3934	-0.86%	0.0275	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.400825	+0.03%	0.3968	-0.97%	0.0026	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.386982	+0.02%	0.4007	+3.57%	0.0074	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.378195	+0.03%	0.3869	+2.33%	0.0008	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.373417	+0.03%	0.3781	+1.29%	0.0084	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.368154	+0.01%	0.3733	+1.41%	0.0081	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.364963	-0.01%	0.3681	+0.85%	0.0040	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.363216	+0.00%	0.365	+0.50%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.363425	+0.03%	0.3632	-0.03%	0.0228	✗	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.359355	+0.07%	0.3633	+1.17%	0.0261	✗	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.361946	+0.07%	0.3591	-0.72%	0.0118	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.371116	+0.06%	0.3617	-2.48%	0.0130	✗	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.384494	+0.02%	0.3709	-3.51%	0.0045	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.390601	+0.00%	0.3844	-1.59%	0.0094	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.376311	+0.03%	0.3906	+3.83%	0.0268	✗	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.37589	+0.02%	0.3762	+0.11%	0.0084	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.371084	-0.00%	0.3758	+1.27%	0.0349	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.384571	+0.02%	0.3711	-3.49%	0.0170	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.383417	+0.03%	0.3845	+0.31%	0.0145	✗	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.391996	-0.00%	0.3833	-2.22%	0.0029	✗	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.395887	-0.03%	0.392	-1.01%	0.0022	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.366394	+0.08%	0.396	+8.17%	0.0171	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.369254	+0.08%	0.3661	-0.77%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.379166	+0.03%	0.36895	-2.66%	0.0185	✓	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.388646	-0.00%	0.37905	-2.47%	0.0199	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.392326	-0.02%	0.38865	-0.96%	0.0090	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.382808	+0.02%	0.3924	+2.52%	0.0097	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.384834	+0.01%	0.38275	-0.53%	0.0138	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.394883	-0.03%	0.3848	-2.58%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.399199	-0.01%	0.395	-1.06%	0.0100	✗	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.398119	+0.03%	0.39925	+0.31%	0.0019	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.42305	-0.04%	0.398	-5.95%	0.0466	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.406591	+0.05%	0.4232	+4.13%	0.0259	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.400808	+0.16%	0.4064	+1.56%	0.0255	✗	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.395096	+0.24%	0.40015	+1.52%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.403391	+0.23%	0.39415	-2.06%	0.0032	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.41182	+0.27%	0.40245	-2.01%	0.0042	✗	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.41398	+0.41%	0.4107	-0.39%	0.0054	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.424008	+0.54%	0.4123	-2.24%	0.0431	✗	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.432033	+0.51%	0.42175	-1.88%	0.0057	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.398782	+1.34%	0.42985	+9.24%	0.0477	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.469845	+0.47%	0.3935	-15.86%	0.0142	✗	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.47481	+0.36%	0.46765	-1.15%	0.0218	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.479952	+0.24%	0.4731	-1.19%	0.0268	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.464316	+0.54%	0.4788	+3.68%	0.0073	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.468301	+0.45%	0.4618	-0.94%	0.0101	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.505361	-0.05%	0.4662	-7.79%	0.0101	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.50837	-0.05%	0.5056	-0.59%	0.0005	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.534887	-0.21%	0.5086	-5.11%	0.0062	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.568952	-0.31%	0.536	-6.08%	0.0602	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.563617	-0.32%	0.5707	+0.94%	0.0021	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.560795	-0.25%	0.5654	+0.57%	0.0125	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.582758	-0.35%	0.5622	-3.86%	0.0054	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.586724	-0.42%	0.5848	-0.75%	0.0013	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.577988	-0.31%	0.5892	+1.62%	0.0191	✗	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.592109	-0.37%	0.5798	-2.44%	0.0222	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.55091	-0.25%	0.5943	+7.60%	0.0636	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.606996	-0.56%	0.5523	-9.52%	0.0493	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.581608	-0.43%	0.6104	+4.50%	0.0596	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.599208	-0.45%	0.5841	-2.96%	0.0105	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.615998	-0.47%	0.6019	-2.75%	0.0192	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.579678	-0.42%	0.6189	+6.32%	0.0663	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.575678	-0.40%	0.5821	+0.71%	0.0249	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.589218	-0.50%	0.578	-2.40%	0.0354	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.552671	-0.38%	0.5922	+6.74%	0.0252	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.566908	-0.37%	0.5548	-2.50%	0.0250	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.579743	-0.34%	0.569	-2.18%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.577707	-0.38%	0.5817	+0.31%	0.0085	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.584538	-0.42%	0.5799	-1.21%	0.0022	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.565861	-0.25%	0.587	+3.47%	0.0401	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.596607	-0.37%	0.5673	-5.26%	0.0186	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.558381	-0.22%	0.5988	+7.01%	0.0718	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.542677	-0.21%	0.5596	+2.91%	0.0003	✓	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.531048	-0.20%	0.5438	+2.20%	0.0119	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.527185	-0.23%	0.5321	+0.70%	0.0007	✓	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.505357	-0.19%	0.5284	+4.37%	0.0283	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.493459	-0.27%	0.5063	+2.32%	0.0089	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.515076	-0.47%	0.4948	-4.39%	0.0281	✓	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.490291	-0.19%	0.5175	+5.35%	0.0368	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.498862	-0.19%	0.4912	-1.72%	0.0052	✓	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.483831	-0.20%	0.4998	+3.09%	0.0316	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.473562	-0.39%	0.4848	+1.98%	0.0168	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.4438	-0.04%	0.4754	+7.07%	0.0672	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.443395	-0.05%	0.444	+0.09%	0.0071	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.443819	-0.06%	0.4436	-0.11%	0.0029	✓	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.442642	-0.06%	0.4441	+0.27%	0.0180	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.438669	-0.03%	0.4429	+0.93%	0.0107	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.451578	-0.00%	0.4388	-2.83%	0.0329	✓	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.443398	-0.00%	0.4516	+1.85%	0.0153	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.430819	+0.03%	0.4434	+2.95%	0.0068	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.441006	-0.02%	0.4307	-2.36%	0.0134	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.460523	-0.08%	0.4411	-4.30%	0.0210	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.461607	-0.06%	0.4609	-0.22%	0.0210	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.477569	-0.07%	0.4619	-3.35%	0.0097	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.501191	-0.08%	0.4779	-4.72%	0.0203	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.491909	-0.06%	0.5016	+1.91%	0.0198	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.505596	-0.12%	0.4922	-2.77%	0.0021	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.493463	-0.05%	0.5062	+2.53%	0.0191	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.498272	-0.05%	0.4937	-0.96%	0.0009	✓	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.492542	-0.03%	0.4985	+1.18%	0.0142	✓	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.473305	-0.02%	0.4927	+4.08%	0.0369	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.480096	-0.02%	0.4734	-1.42%	0.0291	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.477741	-0.01%	0.4802	+0.50%	0.0062	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.495556	-0.03%	0.4778	-3.61%	0.0004	✓	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.502635	-0.03%	0.4957	-1.41%	0.0036	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.485761	+0.01%	0.5028	+3.52%	0.0068	✓	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.47019	+0.06%	0.4857	+3.36%	0.0377	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.483795	+0.01%	0.4699	-2.86%	0.0300	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.49272	+0.00%	0.48375	-1.82%	0.0120	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.504518	-0.05%	0.4927	-2.39%	0.0227	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.510269	-0.05%	0.50475	-1.13%	0.0051	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.509702	-0.04%	0.5105	+0.12%	0.0104	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.508218	-0.02%	0.5099	+0.31%	0.0435	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.504181	-0.01%	0.5083	+0.80%	0.0224	✗	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.489408	+0.14%	0.50425	+3.18%	0.0079	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.487555	+0.26%	0.4887	+0.49%	0.0312	✗	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.49909	+0.21%	0.4863	-2.36%	0.0198	✗	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.509082	+0.24%	0.49805	-1.93%	0.0013	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.534718	+0.04%	0.50785	-4.99%	0.0275	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.545343	-0.04%	0.5345	-2.03%	0.0024	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.52979	+0.05%	0.54555	+3.03%	0.0167	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.55139	+0.01%	0.5295	-3.96%	0.0084	✗	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.572444	-0.06%	0.55135	-3.74%	0.0170	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.556055	+0.02%	0.5728	+3.03%	0.0140	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.566971	-0.07%	0.55595	-2.01%	0.0602	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.582576	-0.18%	0.56735	-2.78%	0.0040	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.592111	-0.18%	0.5836	-1.61%	0.0058	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.625055	-0.29%	0.59315	-5.38%	0.0100	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.625895	-0.26%	0.6269	-0.10%	0.0169	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.647747	-0.47%	0.6275	-3.58%	0.0684	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.68774	-1.29%	0.6508	-6.59%	0.0405	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.593927	-0.80%	0.6967	+16.37%	0.1315	✗	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.534773	-0.08%	0.5987	+11.86%	0.1516	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.518786	+0.03%	0.5352	+3.19%	0.0050	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.532312	-0.05%	0.51865	-2.62%	0.0535	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.579174	-0.15%	0.5326	-8.18%	0.0253	✓	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.577451	-0.15%	0.58005	+0.30%	0.0025	✓	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.579457	-0.14%	0.5783	-0.34%	0.0093	✓	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.564542	-0.12%	0.58025	+2.66%	0.0090	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.588936	-0.15%	0.5652	-4.17%	0.0160	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.59067	-0.14%	0.5898	-0.29%	0.0410	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.599273	-0.17%	0.5915	-1.47%	0.0041	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.61323	-0.20%	0.6003	-2.30%	0.0147	✓	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.604727	-0.18%	0.61445	+1.43%	0.0268	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.602477	-0.15%	0.6058	+0.40%	0.0039	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.593393	-0.14%	0.6034	+1.54%	0.0027	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.582015	-0.13%	0.59425	+1.97%	0.0182	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.585516	-0.12%	0.58275	-0.59%	0.0073	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.597327	-0.16%	0.5862	-2.02%	0.0157	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.596076	-0.13%	0.5983	+0.24%	0.0253	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.586246	-0.06%	0.59685	+1.75%	0.0049	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.57777	+0.00%	0.5866	+1.53%	0.0035	✓	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.596082	-0.04%	0.57775	-3.12%	0.0043	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.60776	-0.11%	0.59635	-1.98%	0.0207	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.627933	-0.15%	0.6084	-3.26%	0.0021	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.656573	-0.22%	0.6289	-4.42%	0.0110	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.630139	-0.16%	0.658	+4.25%	0.0404	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.580101	-0.02%	0.63115	+8.78%	0.0238	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.563697	-0.00%	0.5802	+2.93%	0.0614	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.676225	-0.24%	0.5637	-16.84%	0.0767	✓	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.684115	-0.27%	0.67785	-1.18%	0.0096	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.677869	-0.23%	0.68595	+0.96%	0.0107	✓	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.71482	-0.33%	0.67945	-5.26%	0.0126	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.712066	-0.36%	0.7172	+0.36%	0.0065	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.691708	-0.27%	0.71465	+3.03%	0.0204	✗	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.716995	-0.32%	0.6936	-3.57%	0.0348	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.710002	-0.34%	0.7193	+0.97%	0.0068	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.700427	-0.38%	0.7124	+1.32%	0.0066	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.666719	-0.29%	0.7031	+5.15%	0.0041	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.66768	-0.30%	0.66865	-0.16%	0.0053	✗	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.671732	-0.30%	0.6697	-0.60%	0.0322	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.668692	-0.27%	0.67375	+0.48%	0.0279	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.678522	-0.26%	0.6705	-1.44%	0.0117	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.655919	-0.23%	0.6803	+3.48%	0.0271	✗	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.696125	-0.29%	0.6574	-5.84%	0.0032	✗	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.697839	-0.24%	0.69815	-0.20%	0.0181	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.697258	-0.26%	0.69955	+0.07%	0.0132	✗	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.748225	-0.29%	0.69905	-6.84%	0.0344	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.75872	-0.28%	0.7504	-1.37%	0.0048	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.753869	-0.26%	0.76085	+0.66%	0.0084	✗	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.789461	-0.30%	0.75585	-4.55%	0.0251	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.786403	-0.31%	0.79185	+0.38%	0.0013	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.