XVG

Verge · native · gru_s6

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0957

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0095

actual -0.0002

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002616	0.00257	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.00255	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.002476	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002486	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002533	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002564	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002606	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002603	-0.99%	0.002616	-0.51%	0.0070	✓	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002738	-1.28%	0.002588	-6.67%	0.0545	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002704	-1.10%	0.002506	-8.34%	0.0770	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.00289	-1.50%	0.002517	-14.20%	0.1225	✓	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002922	-1.60%	0.002567	-13.54%	0.1150	✓	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002798	-1.35%	0.002596	-8.48%	0.0652	✓	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002756	-1.22%	0.002636	-5.52%	0.0486	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002919	-1.60%	0.002629	-11.39%	0.0894	✓	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.003022	-1.70%	0.002773	-9.79%	0.0649	✓	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.003092	-1.75%	0.002734	-13.12%	0.0883	✓	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003125	-1.78%	0.002933	-7.81%	0.0388	✓	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003155	-1.92%	0.002969	-7.69%	0.0442	✓	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.003056	-1.79%	0.002837	-8.85%	0.0571	✓	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003143	-1.93%	0.00279	-12.95%	0.0912	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.003209	-2.12%	0.002967	-9.49%	0.0757	✓	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.003082	-1.92%	0.003074	-2.18%	0.0198	✓	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.003072	-1.89%	0.003147	+0.49%	0.0029	✓	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.003358	-3.40%	0.003182	-8.46%	0.0723	✓	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003118	-1.74%	0.003217	+1.39%	0.0283	✗	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.003073	-1.64%	0.003112	-0.38%	0.0088	✓	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.002979	-1.32%	0.003205	+6.16%	0.0688	✗	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002828	-0.77%	0.003278	+15.02%	0.1555	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.003148	-1.32%	0.003142	-1.50%	0.0205	✗	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003111	-1.03%	0.003132	-0.37%	0.0348	✗	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.003004	-1.28%	0.003476	+14.23%	0.1143	✗	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.003106	-1.41%	0.003173	+0.71%	0.0088	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003154	-1.54%	0.003124	-2.48%	0.0403	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.002943	-1.08%	0.003019	+1.48%	0.0471	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.002795	-0.24%	0.00285	+1.71%	0.0557	✓	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002654	+0.47%	0.003191	+20.78%	0.0884	✓	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002754	+0.16%	0.003143	+14.31%	0.0590	✓	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.002683	+0.32%	0.003043	+13.78%	0.0865	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002692	+0.19%	0.003151	+17.25%	0.1209	✓	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.002595	+0.40%	0.003204	+23.95%	0.1765	✓	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002589	+0.36%	0.002975	+15.33%	0.1409	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.002716	+0.17%	0.002802	+3.36%	0.0513	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002913	-0.27%	0.002642	-9.55%	0.0704	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002904	-0.19%	0.00275	-5.52%	0.0461	✓	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002877	+0.15%	0.002674	-6.91%	0.0383	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.002807	+0.11%	0.002687	-4.17%	0.0185	✗	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.002836	+0.02%	0.002584	-8.84%	0.0684	✗	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.002658	+0.78%	0.00258	-2.20%	0.0201	✓	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002742	-0.77%	0.002711	-1.88%	0.0232	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.00247	+0.47%	0.00292	+18.82%	0.1545	✓	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002565	+0.53%	0.00291	+14.07%	0.1200	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002409	+0.56%	0.002873	+19.91%	0.1426	✓	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002459	+0.56%	0.002804	+14.68%	0.1120	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002457	+0.58%	0.002835	+16.05%	0.1207	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002599	+0.87%	0.002638	+2.35%	0.0030	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.002572	+0.56%	0.002763	+8.04%	0.0925	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002474	+0.55%	0.002458	-0.08%	0.0072	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.002545	+0.46%	0.002551	+0.71%	0.0073	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002636	-0.06%	0.002396	-9.14%	0.0945	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.00255	-0.30%	0.002445	-4.40%	0.0563	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.002453	+0.36%	0.002443	-0.06%	0.0018	✓	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002206	-0.12%	0.002577	+16.66%	0.0704	✗	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.002095	-0.59%	0.002557	+21.32%	0.0801	✗	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.001964	-0.91%	0.00246	+24.12%	0.0510	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.001998	-0.99%	0.002533	+25.52%	0.0474	✗	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.002008	-1.05%	0.002637	+29.97%	0.0681	✗	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002053	-1.07%	0.002557	+23.22%	0.0269	✗	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002083	-1.06%	0.002445	+16.13%	0.0499	✓	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.002052	-0.87%	0.002209	+6.71%	0.0636	✓	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002086	-1.02%	0.002108	+0.05%	0.0801	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002093	-1.06%	0.001982	-6.31%	0.0736	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002177	-1.19%	0.002018	-8.40%	0.0851	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002218	-1.35%	0.002029	-9.74%	0.0548	✓	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002079	-1.13%	0.002076	-1.31%	0.0300	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.001999	-0.93%	0.002105	+4.31%	0.0838	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.001983	-0.87%	0.00207	+3.50%	0.0572	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.001966	-0.90%	0.002107	+6.23%	0.0895	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001935	-0.90%	0.002116	+8.32%	0.0978	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.001994	-0.99%	0.002203	+9.38%	0.0920	✗	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001897	-0.74%	0.002248	+17.60%	0.1463	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.00191	-0.70%	0.002103	+9.33%	0.0586	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001905	-0.63%	0.002018	+5.27%	0.0213	✗	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001876	-0.71%	0.002	+5.88%	0.0724	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.00188	-0.66%	0.001984	+4.84%	0.0405	✗	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.001985	-0.70%	0.001953	-2.30%	0.0201	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.002091	-0.89%	0.002014	-4.55%	0.0332	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.002155	-0.77%	0.001912	-11.99%	0.0849	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002125	-0.67%	0.001924	-10.07%	0.0697	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002128	-0.58%	0.001917	-10.42%	0.0798	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002091	-0.47%	0.001889	-10.09%	0.0953	✓	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002157	-0.45%	0.001892	-12.69%	0.0895	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.002117	-0.35%	0.001999	-5.89%	0.0064	✓	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002089	-0.48%	0.00211	+0.52%	0.0378	✗	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002163	-0.48%	0.002172	-0.05%	0.0077	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.00203	+0.29%	0.002139	+5.68%	0.0613	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002045	+0.36%	0.00214	+5.00%	0.0420	✓	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002074	+0.26%	0.002101	+1.55%	0.0094	✗	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002124	+0.24%	0.002167	+2.27%	0.0012	✓	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002119	+0.16%	0.002124	+0.38%	0.0189	✗	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002113	+0.28%	0.002099	-0.38%	0.0502	✗	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002136	+0.25%	0.002173	+1.97%	0.0030	✓	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002157	+0.16%	0.002024	-6.04%	0.0784	✗	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.002175	+0.13%	0.002038	-6.17%	0.0615	✗	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.002137	+0.20%	0.002069	-3.00%	0.0412	✗	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002117	+0.34%	0.002119	+0.43%	0.0364	✗	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002148	+0.20%	0.002116	-1.31%	0.0405	✗	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.002239	+0.05%	0.002107	-5.85%	0.0340	✗	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002264	+0.08%	0.002131	-5.79%	0.0629	✗	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002298	+0.28%	0.002154	-6.02%	0.0759	✗	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.00232	+0.27%	0.002172	-6.14%	0.0919	✗	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002252	+0.53%	0.002133	-4.78%	0.0816	✗	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002208	+0.70%	0.00211	-3.78%	0.0831	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002107	+0.87%	0.002144	+2.63%	0.0605	✗	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002233	+0.56%	0.002238	+0.77%	0.0577	✗	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.00224	+0.53%	0.002262	+1.50%	0.0571	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002251	+0.37%	0.002292	+2.18%	0.0330	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002297	+0.17%	0.002314	+0.89%	0.0337	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002273	+0.16%	0.00224	-1.28%	0.0436	✗	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002348	-0.08%	0.002193	-6.68%	0.0514	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002434	-0.27%	0.002089	-14.40%	0.0855	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002472	-0.37%	0.002221	-10.48%	0.0465	✓	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.002509	-0.32%	0.002229	-11.48%	0.0577	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002548	-0.37%	0.002243	-12.30%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002621	-0.43%	0.002293	-12.86%	0.0763	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.002551	-0.10%	0.002269	-11.16%	0.0654	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002621	-0.19%	0.00235	-10.51%	0.0539	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002665	-0.30%	0.00244	-8.70%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002734	-0.43%	0.002481	-9.63%	0.0607	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002605	-0.01%	0.002518	-3.36%	0.0045	✗	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.00252	+0.11%	0.002557	+1.61%	0.0181	✓	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002468	+0.34%	0.002632	+6.99%	0.0652	✓	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.00252	+0.28%	0.002554	+1.61%	0.0242	✓	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.00241	+0.84%	0.002626	+9.87%	0.0385	✓	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002485	+0.78%	0.002673	+8.39%	0.0118	✓	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.002567	+0.53%	0.002746	+7.54%	0.0183	✓	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.00259	+0.62%	0.002605	+1.20%	0.0303	✗	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002529	+1.73%	0.002517	+1.25%	0.0597	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.002587	+1.79%	0.00246	-3.19%	0.0887	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002654	+0.90%	0.002514	-4.43%	0.0506	✗	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.002924	-0.01%	0.00239	-18.26%	0.1614	✓	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.002963	-0.86%	0.002466	-17.50%	0.1060	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003218	-2.55%	0.002553	-22.68%	0.1188	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.003221	-2.80%	0.002574	-22.33%	0.0830	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.003144	-2.60%	0.002486	-22.99%	0.0625	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003127	-2.58%	0.002541	-20.83%	0.0403	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003175	-2.65%	0.00263	-19.35%	0.0600	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.003156	-2.66%	0.002924	-9.81%	0.0605	✗	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003162	-2.40%	0.002989	-7.75%	0.0641	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003251	-2.32%	0.003302	-0.78%	0.0885	✗	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003197	-2.07%	0.003314	+1.52%	0.0770	✗	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.003295	-2.02%	0.003228	-4.00%	0.0131	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003199	-1.98%	0.00321	-1.67%	0.0275	✗	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003373	-1.99%	0.003261	-5.26%	0.0118	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003428	-2.15%	0.003242	-7.45%	0.0199	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003136	-1.69%	0.00324	+1.55%	0.0429	✗	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003165	-1.63%	0.003328	+3.43%	0.0469	✗	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003125	-1.47%	0.003265	+2.92%	0.0482	✗	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003201	-1.47%	0.003363	+3.49%	0.0649	✗	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003328	-1.41%	0.003264	-3.32%	0.0204	✗	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003622	-1.52%	0.003442	-6.42%	0.0143	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003382	-1.63%	0.003503	+1.89%	0.0535	✗	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003503	-1.67%	0.003191	-10.43%	0.0569	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.00368	-1.67%	0.003217	-14.04%	0.0898	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.003724	-1.46%	0.003172	-16.06%	0.1174	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.003644	-1.49%	0.003249	-12.17%	0.0919	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003693	-1.46%	0.003376	-9.93%	0.0798	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.003594	-1.30%	0.003678	+1.02%	0.0137	✗	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003741	-0.90%	0.003438	-8.93%	0.0607	✓	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.003802	-0.97%	0.003562	-7.22%	0.0607	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003581	-1.07%	0.003743	+3.40%	0.0250	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.00348	-1.48%	0.003779	+6.99%	0.0454	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.003202	-0.67%	0.003699	+14.73%	0.1234	✗	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.00326	-0.64%	0.003748	+14.23%	0.1188	✗	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.00304	-0.64%	0.003641	+19.01%	0.1405	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003101	-0.68%	0.003775	+20.92%	0.1355	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003236	-0.82%	0.003839	+17.65%	0.1205	✗	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.003289	-0.68%	0.00362	+9.30%	0.0685	✗	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003402	-0.59%	0.003532	+3.21%	0.0388	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003346	-0.64%	0.003224	-4.28%	0.0487	✓	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.00342	-0.53%	0.003281	-4.58%	0.0504	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003383	-0.51%	0.00306	-10.01%	0.0776	✓	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003435	-0.18%	0.003122	-9.27%	0.0670	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.00361	-0.20%	0.003263	-9.80%	0.1008	✓	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003606	-0.27%	0.003312	-8.41%	0.1033	✓	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.003665	-0.52%	0.003422	-7.11%	0.1294	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003525	-0.37%	0.003368	-4.80%	0.0697	✓	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.003714	-0.43%	0.003439	-7.82%	0.0815	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004631	-0.99%	0.0034	-27.30%	0.3511	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004552	-1.01%	0.003441	-25.17%	0.3256	✓	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004591	-1.26%	0.003618	-22.20%	0.2686	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004767	-1.31%	0.003616	-25.13%	0.2961	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004678	-1.52%	0.003684	-22.44%	0.2836	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.004947	-1.61%	0.003538	-29.63%	0.3730	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004931	-1.65%	0.00373	-25.61%	0.3370	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004684	-1.37%	0.004677	-1.52%	0.0496	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004445	-1.21%	0.004599	+2.20%	0.0198	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.00461	-1.13%	0.00465	-0.28%	0.0239	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.004322	-1.05%	0.00483	+10.58%	0.0294	✗	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004283	-0.90%	0.00475	+9.90%	0.0773	✗	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004236	-0.66%	0.005028	+17.92%	0.0855	✗	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004213	-0.45%	0.005014	+18.48%	0.0842	✗	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004231	-0.32%	0.004749	+11.89%	0.0415	✗	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.00437	-0.44%	0.0045	+2.51%	0.0152	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004488	-0.32%	0.004663	+3.56%	0.0165	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004267	+0.19%	0.004368	+2.56%	0.0090	✗	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004316	+0.39%	0.004322	+0.52%	0.0466	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004485	+0.24%	0.004264	-4.69%	0.0658	✗	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004543	+0.35%	0.004232	-6.52%	0.0804	✗	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.004796	+0.08%	0.004245	-11.43%	0.0931	✗	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.004939	+0.07%	0.00439	-11.05%	0.0697	✗	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.004982	+0.21%	0.004503	-9.42%	0.0659	✗	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004884	+0.29%	0.004259	-12.55%	0.0734	✗	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004699	+0.46%	0.0043	-8.09%	0.0591	✗	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.004812	+0.38%	0.004474	-6.68%	0.0324	✗	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.004916	+0.31%	0.004527	-7.63%	0.0188	✗	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004982	+0.30%	0.004792	-3.53%	0.0214	✗	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.005102	+0.23%	0.004935	-3.05%	0.0341	✗	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.005412	+0.09%	0.004971	-8.06%	0.0356	✗	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005615	-0.02%	0.00487	-13.28%	0.0838	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005366	+0.04%	0.004678	-12.78%	0.0626	✗	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.005306	+0.04%	0.004794	-9.62%	0.0666	✗	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.005124	+0.13%	0.004901	-4.22%	0.0378	✗	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.005056	+0.13%	0.004967	-1.61%	0.0083	✗	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.00514	-0.00%	0.00509	-0.97%	0.0255	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.00512	-0.07%	0.005407	+5.52%	0.0048	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005194	-0.14%	0.005616	+7.98%	0.0200	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.005076	+0.02%	0.005364	+5.68%	0.0537	✗	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005185	-0.11%	0.005304	+2.19%	0.0403	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.005138	-0.07%	0.005117	-0.49%	0.0489	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.00542	-0.34%	0.005049	-7.16%	0.0654	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005622	-0.53%	0.00514	-9.06%	0.0529	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005447	-0.24%	0.005124	-6.15%	0.0867	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.0054	-0.26%	0.005201	-3.93%	0.0310	✓	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005425	-0.12%	0.005075	-6.57%	0.0701	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005689	-0.33%	0.00519	-9.07%	0.0966	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.005676	-0.21%	0.005142	-9.60%	0.1363	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005893	-0.39%	0.005438	-8.07%	0.1348	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.00596	-0.55%	0.005652	-5.69%	0.1272	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.005785	-0.35%	0.00546	-5.94%	0.1304	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005817	-0.55%	0.005413	-7.45%	0.1421	✓	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005909	-0.89%	0.005432	-8.89%	0.0527	✓	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.005976	-1.04%	0.005708	-5.48%	0.0292	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.006096	-1.23%	0.005688	-7.83%	0.0340	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.005998	-1.10%	0.005916	-2.46%	0.0224	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.005906	-1.07%	0.005993	+0.39%	0.0113	✓	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005942	-1.24%	0.005805	-3.52%	0.0338	✗	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.006034	-1.38%	0.005849	-4.40%	0.0403	✗	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.005953	-1.27%	0.005962	-1.13%	0.0207	✗	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006421	-1.83%	0.006039	-7.66%	0.0331	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.006264	-1.64%	0.006171	-3.09%	0.0020	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.006156	-1.20%	0.006065	-2.66%	0.0277	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005948	-0.90%	0.00597	-0.53%	0.0134	✗	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.005942	-1.00%	0.006017	+0.25%	0.0339	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005773	-0.60%	0.006118	+5.34%	0.0778	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.005825	-0.28%	0.00603	+3.24%	0.0586	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005854	+0.49%	0.00654	+12.26%	0.1021	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.006015	+0.38%	0.006368	+6.28%	0.0848	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.00532	+4.88%	0.006231	+22.85%	0.1014	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005823	+1.53%	0.006002	+4.66%	0.1329	✓	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005729	+1.29%	0.006002	+6.12%	0.1639	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.00585	+0.36%	0.005808	-0.36%	0.1399	✓	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005515	+1.82%	0.005841	+7.83%	0.1646	✓	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005566	+1.10%	0.005826	+5.83%	0.1895	✓	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.005961	-1.21%	0.005992	-0.69%	0.2000	✗	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.006168	-1.49%	0.005072	-18.99%	0.1400	✗	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.00665	-2.21%	0.005735	-15.66%	0.0779	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.007118	-2.36%	0.005656	-22.41%	0.0401	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.007047	-2.35%	0.005829	-19.22%	0.0585	✓	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006833	-2.20%	0.005417	-22.47%	0.0964	✓	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.007625	-2.67%	0.005505	-29.74%	0.1903	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.007515	-2.68%	0.006033	-21.87%	0.1498	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.006964	-2.62%	0.006261	-12.45%	0.0416	✓	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.007405	-2.90%	0.0068	-10.83%	0.0826	✓	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.00652	-2.66%	0.00729	+8.84%	0.1020	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.007029	-3.16%	0.007216	-0.59%	0.0750	✗	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.006902	-2.99%	0.006987	-1.80%	0.0955	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.006883	-2.89%	0.007835	+10.54%	0.1987	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.006839	-2.81%	0.007722	+9.73%	0.1904	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.006658	-2.73%	0.007151	+4.47%	0.1422	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.007111	-2.94%	0.007626	+4.08%	0.1561	✗	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006869	-3.13%	0.006698	-5.54%	0.0559	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006746	-3.44%	0.007259	+3.91%	0.0567	✗	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005791	-2.47%	0.007115	+19.82%	0.1727	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.005811	-2.52%	0.007088	+18.91%	0.1417	✗	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005678	-2.44%	0.007037	+20.91%	0.1491	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.00583	-2.33%	0.006845	+14.68%	0.1012	✗	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005692	-1.95%	0.007327	+26.22%	0.1579	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.00615	-1.80%	0.007091	+13.22%	0.1150	✗	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.006031	-1.50%	0.006986	+14.09%	0.1928	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.006041	-1.49%	0.005938	-3.18%	0.0061	✓	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.005917	-1.47%	0.005961	-0.73%	0.0115	✓	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.005682	-1.31%	0.00582	+1.09%	0.0142	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.005703	-1.42%	0.005969	+3.18%	0.0048	✓	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005673	-1.53%	0.005805	+0.76%	0.0421	✓	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.006172	-2.64%	0.006263	-1.20%	0.0850	✓	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.005496	-2.12%	0.006123	+9.05%	0.0283	✓	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.004979	-1.09%	0.006133	+21.84%	0.1343	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.005049	-1.31%	0.006005	+17.38%	0.1164	✗	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004731	-0.60%	0.005757	+20.97%	0.1423	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004808	-0.36%	0.005785	+19.90%	0.1530	✗	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.004878	-0.01%	0.005761	+18.10%	0.1687	✗	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004881	+0.05%	0.006339	+29.92%	0.2411	✓	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.004836	+0.01%	0.005615	+16.13%	0.1797	✓	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.004759	+0.09%	0.005033	+5.86%	0.0720	✓	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.005006	-0.07%	0.005116	+2.12%	0.0326	✗	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.00495	+0.09%	0.004759	-3.77%	0.0224	✗	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.004794	+0.62%	0.004825	+1.26%	0.0310	✗	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.005095	+0.18%	0.004878	-4.08%	0.0738	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005561	-0.35%	0.004879	-12.56%	0.1217	✓	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005571	-0.28%	0.004835	-13.46%	0.1877	✓	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005599	-0.31%	0.004755	-15.33%	0.1733	✓	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.005965	-0.54%	0.00501	-16.46%	0.1341	✓	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005914	-0.43%	0.004946	-16.74%	0.1331	✓	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.00625	-0.57%	0.004765	-24.20%	0.1233	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.006097	-0.46%	0.005085	-16.97%	0.0599	✓	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006508	-0.68%	0.00558	-14.84%	0.0550	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006322	-0.60%	0.005587	-12.15%	0.0355	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.006286	-0.65%	0.005616	-11.24%	0.0667	✓	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006378	-0.72%	0.005997	-6.66%	0.0821	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.006471	-0.86%	0.00594	-8.99%	0.1049	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.006207	-0.88%	0.006286	+0.39%	0.0034	✓	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.006376	-1.07%	0.006125	-4.97%	0.0108	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.005979	-0.87%	0.006552	+8.62%	0.0627	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.006032	-0.61%	0.00636	+4.79%	0.0508	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.006664	-1.32%	0.006327	-6.31%	0.0526	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006683	-1.45%	0.006425	-5.26%	0.0038	✓	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006806	-1.59%	0.006527	-5.62%	0.0062	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006915	-1.78%	0.006261	-11.06%	0.1166	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007437	-2.11%	0.006445	-15.16%	0.2113	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.007321	-1.97%	0.006032	-19.23%	0.2900	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.0075	-2.31%	0.006069	-20.95%	0.1626	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.007172	-1.83%	0.006753	-7.56%	0.1466	✓	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.00757	-1.87%	0.006782	-12.09%	0.2686	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006777	-0.74%	0.006916	+1.29%	0.1298	✓	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006852	-1.06%	0.00704	+1.65%	0.0953	✓	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.007171	-2.28%	0.007597	+3.52%	0.0833	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.008061	-3.41%	0.007468	-10.51%	0.0672	✗	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.008237	-4.56%	0.007677	-11.05%	0.0291	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.007117	-2.64%	0.007305	-0.07%	0.2258	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.007416	-4.03%	0.007715	-0.16%	0.3344	✗	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.006278	-1.37%	0.006828	+7.27%	0.3346	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.006157	-2.15%	0.006926	+10.08%	0.4811	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.006414	-2.41%	0.007339	+11.67%	0.4072	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.00666	-2.48%	0.008345	+22.20%	0.4928	✗	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.007258	-2.72%	0.008631	+15.68%	0.5288	✗	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007498	-2.99%	0.00731	-5.42%	0.2461	✗	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.006997	-2.64%	0.007727	+7.51%	0.2741	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.007829	-3.31%	0.006365	-21.39%	0.0133	✓	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.007639	-3.19%	0.006292	-20.26%	0.1524	✓	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.007697	-3.46%	0.006572	-17.57%	0.1033	✓	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.007179	-3.46%	0.006829	-8.16%	0.0878	✓	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.007248	-3.29%	0.007461	-0.44%	0.0436	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.006926	-3.25%	0.007729	+7.96%	0.2646	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.00669	-3.81%	0.007187	+3.34%	0.2808	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005901	-2.13%	0.008097	+34.30%	0.4837	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.0053	-1.48%	0.007891	+46.67%	0.5861	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.005713	-1.85%	0.007973	+36.99%	0.4933	✗	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005666	-1.84%	0.007436	+28.83%	0.5759	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.005955	-1.97%	0.007494	+23.36%	0.4237	✗	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.006251	-2.61%	0.007159	+11.55%	0.2367	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.00577	-1.86%	0.006955	+18.30%	0.2281	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005374	-1.51%	0.006029	+10.50%	0.1532	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005278	-1.22%	0.00538	+0.69%	0.0661	✗	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005456	-1.00%	0.00582	+5.61%	0.0007	✓	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005631	-1.08%	0.005772	+1.41%	0.0944	✓	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.006059	-1.44%	0.006075	-1.19%	0.0887	✓	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.006057	-1.40%	0.006418	+4.48%	0.0946	✓	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005942	-1.21%	0.005879	-2.26%	0.1291	✓	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005625	-0.77%	0.005456	-3.76%	0.1522	✓	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005793	-1.05%	0.005343	-8.73%	0.1317	✓	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005914	-1.26%	0.005511	-7.98%	0.0156	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.006167	-1.45%	0.005692	-9.03%	0.0451	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006504	-1.81%	0.006148	-7.19%	0.0660	✗	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.00615	-1.56%	0.006143	-1.66%	0.1631	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005396	-0.52%	0.006015	+10.90%	0.2007	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005419	-0.79%	0.005669	+3.79%	0.2154	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.007225	-1.76%	0.005854	-20.40%	0.0915	✗	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.007536	-2.20%	0.005989	-22.28%	0.0407	✗	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006912	-1.53%	0.006257	-10.86%	0.0795	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.007459	-1.93%	0.006624	-12.91%	0.0785	✗	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007453	-2.14%	0.006247	-17.98%	0.0020	✓	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.008167	-3.70%	0.005424	-36.05%	0.1530	✓	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.007834	-3.75%	0.005462	-32.89%	0.1584	✓	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.008795	-6.61%	0.007354	-21.91%	0.2029	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.006091	-3.11%	0.007706	+22.59%	0.1417	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004948	-0.64%	0.007019	+40.95%	0.2162	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.004946	-0.62%	0.007606	+52.82%	0.2414	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.004924	-0.49%	0.007616	+53.92%	0.2215	✗	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.00484	-0.27%	0.008481	+74.76%	0.3118	✗	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004914	-0.29%	0.008139	+65.16%	0.2565	✗	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004762	-0.11%	0.009417	+97.55%	0.4524	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.005275	-0.74%	0.006286	+18.29%	0.0731	✗	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005186	-0.58%	0.00498	-4.52%	0.0812	✓	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005264	-0.71%	0.004977	-6.13%	0.0878	✓	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.005683	-0.98%	0.004948	-13.78%	0.0795	✓	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005717	-1.00%	0.004853	-15.97%	0.0453	✓	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005679	-1.00%	0.004928	-14.10%	0.0254	✓	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005939	-1.15%	0.004767	-20.66%	0.0640	✓	2.18
2025-09-17	oos	0.005983	0.00592	-1.06%	0.005314	-11.18%	0.0482	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.