XVG

Verge · native · gru_s6

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2149

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0316

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002616	0.002468	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.002458	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.002381	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002388	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002426	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002459	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002506	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002503	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002643	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002605	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.002792	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002818	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002696	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002654	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002815	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.002921	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.002991	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003026	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003049	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.002959	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003041	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.003103	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.002986	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.002988	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.003285	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003027	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.002987	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.002908	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002775	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.00309	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003074	-2.21%	0.002616	-16.78%	0.1263	✓	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.002931	-3.69%	0.002588	-14.95%	0.1416	✓	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.003027	-3.91%	0.002506	-20.46%	0.1948	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003075	-4.00%	0.002517	-21.43%	0.2113	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.00284	-4.55%	0.002567	-13.70%	0.1471	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.002691	-3.96%	0.002596	-7.35%	0.0856	✓	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002547	-3.57%	0.002636	-0.21%	0.0262	✓	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002672	-2.82%	0.002629	-4.38%	0.0465	✓	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.002598	-2.86%	0.002773	+3.68%	0.0089	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002611	-2.82%	0.002734	+1.75%	0.0051	✓	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.002529	-2.15%	0.002933	+13.50%	0.0891	✗	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002528	-2.00%	0.002969	+15.12%	0.1016	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.00268	-1.14%	0.002837	+4.63%	0.0185	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002863	-1.98%	0.00279	-4.47%	0.0555	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002883	-0.93%	0.002967	+1.96%	0.0096	✓	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002875	+0.06%	0.003074	+7.00%	0.0186	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.002818	+0.50%	0.003147	+12.23%	0.0554	✓	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.00284	+0.18%	0.003182	+12.24%	0.0499	✓	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.002698	+2.29%	0.003217	+21.97%	0.1409	✓	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002751	-0.45%	0.003112	+12.63%	0.0388	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.00246	+0.09%	0.003205	+30.39%	0.1744	✓	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002572	+0.84%	0.003278	+28.50%	0.1841	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002414	+0.74%	0.003142	+31.16%	0.1908	✓	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002459	+0.57%	0.003132	+28.08%	0.1797	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002468	+1.04%	0.003476	+42.28%	0.2641	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002639	+2.42%	0.003173	+23.13%	0.1367	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.002605	+1.87%	0.003124	+22.15%	0.1229	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002517	+2.32%	0.003019	+22.72%	0.1147	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.002602	+2.71%	0.00285	+12.51%	0.0304	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002687	+1.91%	0.003191	+20.99%	0.0742	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.002619	+2.39%	0.003143	+22.89%	0.0730	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.002527	+3.39%	0.003043	+24.48%	0.1515	✓	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002213	+0.17%	0.003151	+42.62%	0.2578	✓	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.002068	-1.91%	0.003204	+51.97%	0.2976	✗	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.001916	-3.34%	0.002975	+50.10%	0.2913	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.001948	-3.47%	0.002802	+38.85%	0.2080	✗	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.001954	-3.68%	0.002642	+30.19%	0.1236	✗	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002001	-3.60%	0.00275	+32.47%	0.1113	✗	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002032	-3.47%	0.002674	+27.05%	0.0837	✗	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.002009	-2.97%	0.002687	+29.81%	0.0985	✗	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002039	-3.21%	0.002584	+22.66%	0.0355	✗	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002044	-3.40%	0.00258	+21.93%	0.0348	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002125	-3.55%	0.002711	+23.06%	0.0272	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002166	-3.63%	0.00292	+29.92%	0.0931	✗	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002032	-3.37%	0.00291	+38.37%	0.1465	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.001952	-3.27%	0.002873	+42.37%	0.1570	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.001937	-3.14%	0.002804	+40.20%	0.1378	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.00192	-3.20%	0.002835	+42.93%	0.1640	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001889	-3.27%	0.002638	+35.05%	0.0769	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.001947	-3.35%	0.002763	+37.19%	0.1358	✗	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001856	-2.93%	0.002458	+28.59%	0.0617	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.001869	-2.84%	0.002551	+32.62%	0.0592	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001866	-2.65%	0.002396	+24.99%	0.0113	✓	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.00184	-2.57%	0.002445	+29.43%	0.0627	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.001846	-2.44%	0.002443	+29.12%	0.0407	✗	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.00195	-2.44%	0.002577	+28.91%	0.0015	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.002056	-2.58%	0.002557	+21.21%	0.0457	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.002116	-2.56%	0.00246	+13.26%	0.0750	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002087	-2.43%	0.002533	+18.42%	0.0600	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002096	-2.08%	0.002637	+23.22%	0.0084	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002063	-1.83%	0.002557	+21.73%	0.0037	✓	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002132	-1.60%	0.002445	+12.81%	0.0734	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.002102	-1.02%	0.002209	+4.00%	0.0660	✓	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002082	-0.82%	0.002108	+0.43%	0.0593	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002152	-0.95%	0.001982	-8.79%	0.0825	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.002015	-0.44%	0.002018	-0.30%	0.0071	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002033	-0.26%	0.002029	-0.44%	0.0166	✗	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002057	-0.58%	0.002076	+0.31%	0.0222	✗	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002109	-0.49%	0.002105	-0.66%	0.0229	✗	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002102	-0.65%	0.00207	-2.17%	0.0066	✗	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002095	-0.55%	0.002107	+0.00%	0.0117	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.00212	-0.50%	0.002116	-0.73%	0.0008	✓	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.00214	-0.67%	0.002203	+2.27%	0.0272	✗	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.002157	-0.71%	0.002248	+3.50%	0.0310	✗	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.00212	-0.62%	0.002103	-1.41%	0.0331	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002103	-0.31%	0.002018	-4.36%	0.0814	✓	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002133	-0.53%	0.002	-6.72%	0.0786	✓	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.00222	-0.79%	0.001984	-11.37%	0.1219	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002245	-0.73%	0.001953	-13.66%	0.1470	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002287	-0.22%	0.002014	-12.13%	0.1332	✓	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.002309	-0.22%	0.001912	-17.39%	0.2047	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002247	+0.31%	0.001924	-14.13%	0.1762	✗	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002207	+0.63%	0.001917	-12.59%	0.1877	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002102	+0.63%	0.001889	-9.57%	0.2063	✗	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002223	+0.11%	0.001892	-14.81%	0.2196	✗	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002226	-0.11%	0.001999	-10.30%	0.1784	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002231	-0.55%	0.00211	-5.93%	0.1160	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.00227	-1.02%	0.002172	-5.30%	0.1291	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002243	-1.15%	0.002139	-5.73%	0.1211	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002314	-1.55%	0.00214	-8.94%	0.1279	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002395	-1.85%	0.002101	-13.91%	0.1683	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002431	-2.03%	0.002167	-12.66%	0.1473	✓	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.002469	-1.91%	0.002124	-15.63%	0.2010	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002507	-1.96%	0.002099	-17.93%	0.1931	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002577	-2.07%	0.002173	-17.44%	0.1898	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.00252	-1.34%	0.002024	-20.75%	0.2492	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002589	-1.39%	0.002038	-22.39%	0.2309	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002633	-1.50%	0.002069	-22.60%	0.2124	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002707	-1.39%	0.002119	-22.82%	0.2209	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002574	-1.20%	0.002116	-18.77%	0.1848	✓	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002489	-1.10%	0.002107	-16.29%	0.1321	✓	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002441	-0.79%	0.002131	-13.37%	0.1389	✓	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.002489	-0.97%	0.002154	-14.30%	0.1479	✓	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.002379	-0.45%	0.002172	-9.12%	0.1336	✓	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002449	-0.67%	0.002133	-13.50%	0.1619	✓	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.002526	-1.06%	0.00211	-17.35%	0.1669	✓	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.002545	-1.11%	0.002144	-16.71%	0.1719	✓	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002478	-0.33%	0.002238	-9.98%	0.1502	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.002525	-0.64%	0.002262	-10.98%	0.1491	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002582	-1.81%	0.002292	-12.85%	0.1083	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.00283	-3.22%	0.002314	-20.86%	0.1779	✓	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.002852	-4.58%	0.00224	-25.06%	0.1606	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003076	-6.83%	0.002193	-33.59%	0.1796	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.003075	-7.21%	0.002089	-36.96%	0.1715	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.003003	-6.97%	0.002221	-31.20%	0.1191	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.00298	-7.15%	0.002229	-30.57%	0.1000	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003024	-7.26%	0.002243	-31.22%	0.1139	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.003005	-7.32%	0.002293	-29.26%	0.0734	✓	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003022	-6.74%	0.002269	-29.97%	0.0631	✓	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003115	-6.41%	0.00235	-29.39%	0.0663	✓	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003068	-6.02%	0.00244	-25.24%	0.0417	✓	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.003166	-5.84%	0.002481	-26.22%	0.0851	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003065	-6.10%	0.002518	-22.87%	0.0435	✓	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003246	-5.69%	0.002557	-25.70%	0.0774	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.0033	-5.81%	0.002632	-24.86%	0.0550	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003015	-5.51%	0.002554	-19.95%	0.0025	✓	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003045	-5.36%	0.002626	-18.38%	0.0005	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003015	-4.95%	0.002673	-15.73%	0.0182	✓	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003094	-4.77%	0.002746	-15.50%	0.0179	✓	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003227	-4.41%	0.002605	-22.84%	0.0565	✓	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003522	-4.24%	0.002517	-31.57%	0.1468	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003274	-4.76%	0.00246	-28.45%	0.1101	✓	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003396	-4.67%	0.002514	-29.44%	0.1192	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.003575	-4.50%	0.00239	-36.15%	0.1917	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.003631	-3.91%	0.002466	-34.74%	0.1818	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.003545	-4.15%	0.002553	-30.98%	0.1540	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003598	-3.99%	0.002574	-31.32%	0.1674	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.00351	-3.59%	0.002486	-31.72%	0.1501	✓	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003692	-2.21%	0.002541	-32.69%	0.1172	✓	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.00375	-2.31%	0.00263	-31.49%	0.1513	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003537	-2.29%	0.002924	-19.23%	0.0079	✓	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003433	-2.79%	0.002989	-15.37%	0.0039	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.003132	-2.84%	0.003302	+2.42%	0.1352	✗	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.003191	-2.74%	0.003314	+1.01%	0.0891	✗	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.002955	-3.42%	0.003228	+5.51%	0.1169	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003009	-3.63%	0.00321	+2.80%	0.0917	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003144	-3.63%	0.003261	-0.06%	0.0687	✗	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.00321	-3.09%	0.003242	-2.11%	0.0447	✗	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003334	-2.56%	0.00324	-5.32%	0.0031	✓	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003276	-2.74%	0.003328	-1.19%	0.0203	✓	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.003356	-2.41%	0.003265	-5.06%	0.0220	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003328	-2.13%	0.003363	-1.10%	0.0292	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003398	-1.25%	0.003264	-5.14%	0.0081	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.003568	-1.36%	0.003442	-4.85%	0.0502	✓	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003567	-1.37%	0.003503	-3.13%	0.0375	✓	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.003605	-2.14%	0.003191	-13.40%	0.1596	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003486	-1.48%	0.003217	-9.06%	0.0954	✓	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.003689	-1.09%	0.003172	-14.96%	0.1549	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004548	-2.75%	0.003249	-30.53%	0.3763	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004468	-2.83%	0.003376	-26.58%	0.3373	✓	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004502	-3.18%	0.003678	-20.90%	0.2954	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004675	-3.21%	0.003438	-28.82%	0.3736	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004556	-4.08%	0.003562	-25.01%	0.3822	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.004833	-3.88%	0.003743	-25.56%	0.3739	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004824	-3.79%	0.003779	-24.63%	0.3698	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004584	-3.48%	0.003699	-22.11%	0.3367	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004355	-3.21%	0.003748	-16.70%	0.2760	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.004509	-3.31%	0.003641	-21.92%	0.3250	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.00421	-3.62%	0.003775	-13.58%	0.2845	✓	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004178	-3.34%	0.003839	-11.18%	0.2510	✓	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004131	-3.11%	0.00362	-15.10%	0.3101	✓	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004114	-2.80%	0.003532	-16.54%	0.3188	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004139	-2.49%	0.003224	-24.04%	0.4196	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.004275	-2.60%	0.003281	-25.25%	0.4087	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004406	-2.14%	0.00306	-32.05%	0.4809	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004195	-1.49%	0.003122	-26.70%	0.4267	✓	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004253	-1.09%	0.003263	-24.11%	0.4197	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004415	-1.33%	0.003312	-25.97%	0.4495	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004483	-0.98%	0.003422	-24.41%	0.4492	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.004734	-1.22%	0.003368	-29.72%	0.4680	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.00489	-0.91%	0.003439	-30.32%	0.4393	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.004946	-0.50%	0.0034	-31.60%	0.4848	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004855	-0.32%	0.003441	-29.34%	0.4481	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004665	-0.29%	0.003618	-22.67%	0.3792	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.004779	-0.32%	0.003616	-24.57%	0.3804	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.004889	-0.25%	0.003684	-24.83%	0.3315	✓	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004956	-0.23%	0.003538	-28.78%	0.4214	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.005084	-0.12%	0.00373	-26.72%	0.3930	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.005394	-0.24%	0.004677	-13.50%	0.1599	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005595	-0.37%	0.004599	-18.12%	0.1955	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005344	-0.37%	0.00465	-13.30%	0.1584	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.005277	-0.52%	0.00483	-8.94%	0.1349	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.005092	-0.50%	0.00475	-7.17%	0.0666	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.005018	-0.62%	0.005028	-0.42%	0.0357	✓	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.005091	-0.96%	0.005014	-2.45%	0.0569	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.005065	-1.16%	0.004749	-7.32%	0.0922	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005128	-1.40%	0.0045	-13.49%	0.1722	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.005012	-1.25%	0.004663	-8.12%	0.1669	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005118	-1.39%	0.004368	-15.85%	0.1842	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.00508	-1.22%	0.004322	-15.95%	0.1758	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.00535	-1.62%	0.004264	-21.60%	0.1703	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005543	-1.92%	0.004232	-25.12%	0.1831	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005381	-1.45%	0.004245	-22.26%	0.2139	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.005336	-1.44%	0.00439	-18.92%	0.1836	✓	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005362	-1.29%	0.004503	-17.11%	0.2144	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005616	-1.60%	0.004259	-25.39%	0.2728	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.005606	-1.44%	0.0043	-24.41%	0.2670	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005813	-1.74%	0.004474	-24.37%	0.2424	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.005868	-2.09%	0.004527	-24.46%	0.2323	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.005695	-1.90%	0.004792	-17.45%	0.2523	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005713	-2.33%	0.004935	-15.63%	0.2558	✓	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005782	-3.02%	0.004971	-16.62%	0.1989	✓	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.00584	-3.29%	0.00487	-19.36%	0.2296	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.005948	-3.63%	0.004678	-24.20%	0.2379	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.005859	-3.40%	0.004794	-20.96%	0.2322	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.005766	-3.42%	0.004901	-17.91%	0.2283	✓	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005794	-3.70%	0.004967	-17.44%	0.1934	✓	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.005875	-3.98%	0.00509	-16.80%	0.1817	✓	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.005801	-3.80%	0.005407	-10.33%	0.1508	✓	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006237	-4.64%	0.005616	-14.13%	0.1796	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.006078	-4.55%	0.005364	-15.77%	0.1855	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.005973	-4.15%	0.005304	-14.88%	0.2001	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005767	-3.92%	0.005117	-14.75%	0.1807	✓	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.005743	-4.31%	0.005049	-15.88%	0.1558	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005571	-4.08%	0.00514	-11.50%	0.0822	✓	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.00561	-3.96%	0.005124	-12.28%	0.0855	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005619	-3.56%	0.005201	-10.73%	0.0641	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005767	-3.75%	0.005075	-15.30%	0.0526	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.005011	-1.20%	0.00519	+2.34%	0.0384	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005536	-3.47%	0.005142	-10.34%	0.0095	✓	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005434	-3.92%	0.005438	-3.85%	0.0813	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005573	-4.39%	0.005652	-3.04%	0.1151	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005213	-3.76%	0.00546	+0.79%	0.1869	✗	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005273	-4.21%	0.005413	-1.66%	0.1768	✗	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.005697	-5.58%	0.005432	-9.97%	0.2244	✗	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.005902	-5.73%	0.005708	-8.83%	0.2295	✗	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006379	-6.20%	0.005688	-16.35%	0.2276	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.006835	-6.23%	0.005916	-18.85%	0.1778	✗	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.006759	-6.33%	0.005993	-16.95%	0.1773	✗	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006551	-6.24%	0.005805	-16.92%	0.2243	✗	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.00733	-6.45%	0.005849	-25.35%	0.1234	✗	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.00722	-6.50%	0.005962	-22.79%	0.1248	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.006679	-6.60%	0.006039	-15.55%	0.2122	✗	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.00712	-6.63%	0.006171	-19.07%	0.1704	✗	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.006246	-6.74%	0.006065	-9.45%	0.2644	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.00675	-7.02%	0.00597	-17.76%	0.2167	✗	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.006623	-6.92%	0.006017	-15.43%	0.2518	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.006618	-6.64%	0.006118	-13.69%	0.2628	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.006586	-6.41%	0.00603	-14.31%	0.2592	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.006422	-6.17%	0.00654	-4.46%	0.3546	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.006885	-6.03%	0.006368	-13.09%	0.2842	✗	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006649	-6.23%	0.006231	-12.13%	0.3192	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006521	-6.65%	0.006002	-14.09%	0.2600	✗	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005574	-6.14%	0.006002	+1.08%	0.3817	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.005592	-6.20%	0.005808	-2.57%	0.3214	✗	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005468	-6.05%	0.005841	+0.36%	0.3750	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.005625	-5.77%	0.005826	-2.40%	0.3668	✗	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005512	-5.05%	0.005992	+3.22%	0.4880	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.00598	-4.52%	0.005072	-19.02%	0.4580	✗	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.005884	-3.90%	0.005735	-6.34%	0.3725	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.005895	-3.88%	0.005656	-7.78%	0.2698	✗	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.00578	-3.76%	0.005829	-2.93%	0.2388	✗	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.005556	-3.49%	0.005417	-5.91%	0.2238	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.005573	-3.66%	0.005505	-4.84%	0.1813	✗	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005541	-3.81%	0.006033	+4.73%	0.1459	✗	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.006032	-4.84%	0.006261	-1.23%	0.1138	✗	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.00537	-4.37%	0.0068	+21.10%	0.1937	✗	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.004848	-3.69%	0.00729	+44.83%	0.3822	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.004911	-4.01%	0.007216	+41.05%	0.3757	✗	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004597	-3.40%	0.006987	+46.82%	0.4338	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004689	-2.81%	0.007835	+62.38%	0.4743	✗	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.004787	-1.87%	0.007722	+58.30%	0.4402	✗	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004787	-1.88%	0.007151	+46.57%	0.3591	✗	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.00474	-1.97%	0.007626	+57.72%	0.4589	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.004654	-2.11%	0.006698	+40.86%	0.3708	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.004901	-2.18%	0.007259	+44.89%	0.3054	✗	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.00485	-1.92%	0.007115	+43.87%	0.2692	✗	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.00469	-1.58%	0.007088	+48.75%	0.2114	✗	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.004988	-1.92%	0.007037	+38.37%	0.1513	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005441	-2.49%	0.006845	+22.67%	0.0726	✗	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005448	-2.49%	0.007327	+31.14%	0.0804	✗	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005483	-2.38%	0.007091	+26.26%	0.1095	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.005843	-2.56%	0.006986	+16.49%	0.1595	✗	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005804	-2.28%	0.005938	-0.03%	0.0105	✓	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.006138	-2.35%	0.005961	-5.17%	0.0148	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.005994	-2.13%	0.00582	-4.98%	0.0014	✓	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006391	-2.45%	0.005969	-8.90%	0.0350	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006208	-2.39%	0.005805	-8.73%	0.0798	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.006166	-2.54%	0.006263	-1.01%	0.0508	✓	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006251	-2.70%	0.006123	-4.70%	0.1143	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.00634	-2.86%	0.006133	-6.04%	0.0775	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.006074	-3.00%	0.006005	-4.10%	0.0201	✓	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.006233	-3.29%	0.005757	-10.67%	0.0062	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.005848	-3.04%	0.005785	-4.09%	0.0438	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.005897	-2.84%	0.005761	-5.07%	0.0526	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.006492	-3.87%	0.006339	-6.13%	0.0218	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006505	-4.08%	0.005615	-17.21%	0.0612	✓	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006622	-4.26%	0.005033	-27.22%	0.2044	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006717	-4.59%	0.005116	-27.33%	0.1916	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007211	-5.08%	0.004759	-37.36%	0.3406	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.00709	-5.06%	0.004825	-35.39%	0.3811	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007253	-5.52%	0.004878	-36.46%	0.3806	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.006937	-5.03%	0.004879	-33.21%	0.3673	✓	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.007313	-5.20%	0.004835	-37.33%	0.5151	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006527	-4.41%	0.004755	-30.36%	0.4098	✓	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006593	-4.80%	0.00501	-27.66%	0.3211	✓	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.006894	-6.06%	0.004946	-32.61%	0.2440	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.007737	-7.28%	0.004765	-42.90%	0.2912	✓	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.007925	-8.18%	0.005085	-41.08%	0.2889	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.006835	-6.50%	0.00558	-23.67%	0.0325	✓	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.00713	-7.72%	0.005587	-27.70%	0.0014	✓	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.006006	-5.64%	0.005616	-11.77%	0.0981	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.005905	-6.15%	0.005997	-4.69%	0.2702	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.00616	-6.26%	0.00594	-9.62%	0.2696	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.006404	-6.22%	0.006286	-7.95%	0.2590	✗	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.006985	-6.37%	0.006125	-17.91%	0.2258	✗	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007218	-6.61%	0.006552	-15.23%	0.2157	✗	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.006733	-6.32%	0.00636	-11.51%	0.2528	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.007535	-6.94%	0.006327	-21.86%	0.1555	✗	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.007349	-6.87%	0.006425	-18.58%	0.1810	✗	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.00742	-6.94%	0.006527	-18.14%	0.2511	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.00693	-6.81%	0.006261	-15.79%	0.1422	✗	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.006996	-6.64%	0.006445	-14.00%	0.2695	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.006702	-6.38%	0.006032	-15.74%	0.4400	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.00648	-6.83%	0.006069	-12.74%	0.6299	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005692	-5.60%	0.006753	+12.01%	0.7174	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.005119	-4.86%	0.006782	+26.06%	0.7757	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.005515	-5.24%	0.006916	+18.83%	0.7561	✗	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005473	-5.18%	0.00704	+21.97%	0.8557	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.005761	-5.17%	0.007597	+25.05%	0.9351	✗	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.006055	-5.66%	0.007468	+16.36%	0.9788	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.005564	-5.36%	0.007677	+30.58%	0.9892	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005177	-5.10%	0.007305	+33.89%	1.0411	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005089	-4.76%	0.007715	+44.39%	1.1596	✗	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005266	-4.44%	0.006828	+23.90%	0.9413	✗	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005441	-4.41%	0.006926	+21.68%	0.8940	✗	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.005863	-4.64%	0.007339	+19.37%	0.7773	✗	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.005848	-4.80%	0.008345	+35.85%	0.8099	✗	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005727	-4.79%	0.008631	+43.49%	0.8519	✗	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005416	-4.46%	0.00731	+28.95%	0.6539	✗	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005588	-4.54%	0.007727	+32.00%	0.6843	✗	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005719	-4.50%	0.006365	+6.28%	0.5721	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.005976	-4.49%	0.006292	+0.56%	0.4245	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006332	-4.40%	0.006572	-0.79%	0.4065	✗	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.00601	-3.80%	0.006829	+9.32%	0.4459	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005249	-3.23%	0.007461	+37.56%	0.4764	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005286	-3.22%	0.007729	+41.50%	0.5981	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.007064	-3.95%	0.007187	-2.27%	0.4633	✗	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.007392	-4.07%	0.008097	+5.07%	0.5390	✗	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006755	-3.77%	0.007891	+12.42%	0.6118	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.007315	-3.82%	0.007973	+4.83%	0.5443	✗	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007313	-3.98%	0.007436	-2.36%	0.5120	✗	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.008048	-5.11%	0.007494	-11.64%	0.2840	✗	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.007728	-5.05%	0.007159	-12.04%	0.1817	✗	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.008666	-7.98%	0.006955	-26.14%	0.0236	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.006028	-4.11%	0.006029	-4.09%	0.1931	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004849	-2.64%	0.00538	+8.03%	0.2151	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.004854	-2.48%	0.00582	+16.94%	0.2657	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.004825	-2.49%	0.005772	+16.65%	0.1652	✗	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.004743	-2.27%	0.006075	+25.18%	0.1585	✗	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004819	-2.21%	0.006418	+30.24%	0.1880	✗	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004673	-1.97%	0.005879	+23.33%	0.1754	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.005159	-2.91%	0.005456	+2.67%	0.1018	✗	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005077	-2.67%	0.005343	+2.43%	0.0895	✗	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005149	-2.88%	0.005511	+3.94%	0.1711	✗	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.005548	-3.32%	0.005692	-0.82%	0.1601	✗	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005582	-3.35%	0.006148	+6.46%	0.1975	✗	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005547	-3.30%	0.006143	+7.08%	0.2390	✗	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005796	-3.53%	0.006015	+0.12%	0.2297	✗	2.18
2025-09-17	oos	0.005983	0.005786	-3.30%	0.005669	-5.25%	0.1766	✗	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.