FLOW

Flow · native · gru_s6

token id: #519
symbol: FLOW
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-05-19
predictions: 4,812

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0921

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0098

actual -0.0335

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.030665	0.029835	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-21	oos	0.030525	0.029789	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-20	oos	0.03033	0.029645	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.029545	0.029023	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-18	oos	0.02973	0.029401	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-17	oos	0.03082	0.03053	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-16	oos	0.03204	0.031621	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-15	oos	0.031225	0.030918	-0.98%	0.030665	-1.79%	0.0282	✓	0.79
2026-10-14	oos	0.031835	0.03149	-1.08%	0.030525	-4.11%	0.0548	✓	0.80
2026-10-13	oos	0.033	0.032537	-1.40%	0.03033	-8.09%	0.0687	✓	0.79
2026-10-12	oos	0.033565	0.033069	-1.48%	0.029545	-11.98%	0.1136	✓	0.80
2026-10-11	oos	0.03507	0.034327	-2.12%	0.02973	-15.23%	0.1284	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.03262	0.03212	-1.53%	0.03082	-5.52%	0.0274	✓	0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.03107	0.030562	-1.64%	0.03204	+3.12%	0.0568	✗	0.75
2026-10-08	oos	0.029575	0.029066	-1.72%	0.031225	+5.58%	0.0678	✗	0.74
2026-10-07	oos	0.03244	0.031733	-2.18%	0.031835	-1.86%	0.0176	✓	0.69
2026-10-06	oos	0.033785	0.033104	-2.02%	0.033	-2.32%	0.0162	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.032175	0.031566	-1.89%	0.033565	+4.32%	0.0933	✗	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.03216	0.031646	-1.60%	0.03507	+9.05%	0.1254	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.03306	0.032316	-2.25%	0.03262	-1.33%	0.0247	✗	0.70
2026-10-02	oos	0.03149	0.030809	-2.16%	0.03107	-1.33%	0.0248	✗	0.70
2026-10-01	oos	0.031235	0.030623	-1.96%	0.029575	-5.31%	0.0082	✓	0.70
2026-09-30	oos	0.03115	0.03041	-2.37%	0.03244	+4.14%	0.0670	✗	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.03061	0.029916	-2.27%	0.033785	+10.37%	0.1055	✗	0.72
2026-09-28	oos	0.030525	0.029914	-2.00%	0.032175	+5.41%	0.0537	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.03293	0.032313	-1.87%	0.03216	-2.34%	0.0216	✓	0.70
2026-09-26	oos	0.03301	0.032363	-1.96%	0.03306	+0.15%	0.0186	✓	0.71
2026-09-25	oos	0.03108	0.030517	-1.81%	0.03149	+1.32%	0.0279	✗	0.71
2026-09-24	oos	0.03185	0.031278	-1.80%	0.031235	-1.93%	0.0052	✓	0.71
2026-09-23	oos	0.03132	0.030838	-1.54%	0.03115	-0.54%	0.0170	✗	0.71
2026-09-22	oos	0.03238	0.031966	-1.28%	0.03061	-5.47%	0.0220	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.03329	0.032821	-1.41%	0.030525	-8.31%	0.0484	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.03005	0.029708	-1.14%	0.03293	+9.58%	0.0812	✗	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.030465	0.030112	-1.16%	0.03301	+8.35%	0.0710	✗	0.54
2026-09-18	oos	0.03017	0.029863	-1.02%	0.03108	+3.02%	0.0186	✗	0.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.02955	0.029341	-0.71%	0.03185	+7.78%	0.0258	✗	0.56
2026-09-16	oos	0.026595	0.026761	+0.62%	0.03132	+17.77%	0.1008	✓	0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.02647	0.026718	+0.94%	0.03238	+22.33%	0.1187	✓	0.56
2026-09-14	oos	0.028065	0.028163	+0.35%	0.03329	+18.62%	0.1170	✓	0.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.028855	0.028787	-0.24%	0.03005	+4.14%	0.0148	✗	0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.027755	0.027808	+0.19%	0.030465	+9.76%	0.0650	✓	0.52
2026-09-11	oos	0.027655	0.027782	+0.46%	0.03017	+9.09%	0.0579	✓	0.53
2026-09-10	oos	0.027375	0.027545	+0.62%	0.02955	+7.95%	0.0716	✓	0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.027995	0.028144	+0.53%	0.026595	-5.00%	0.0422	✗	0.52
2026-09-08	oos	0.028685	0.028827	+0.50%	0.02647	-7.72%	0.0657	✗	0.53
2026-09-07	oos	0.028545	0.028803	+0.90%	0.028065	-1.68%	0.0200	✗	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.0296	0.029854	+0.86%	0.028855	-2.52%	0.0112	✗	0.51
2026-09-05	oos	0.02887	0.02916	+1.01%	0.027755	-3.86%	0.0329	✗	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	0.02792	0.028323	+1.45%	0.027655	-0.95%	0.0074	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.02751	0.028131	+2.26%	0.027375	-0.49%	0.0052	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.02683	0.027242	+1.54%	0.027995	+4.34%	0.0200	✓	0.58
2026-09-01	oos	0.02635	0.026841	+1.86%	0.028685	+8.86%	0.0584	✓	0.60
2026-08-31	oos	0.02667	0.027252	+2.18%	0.028545	+7.03%	0.0427	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.026865	0.027351	+1.81%	0.0296	+10.18%	0.0574	✓	0.64
2026-08-29	oos	0.028495	0.028948	+1.59%	0.02887	+1.32%	0.0151	✓	0.62
2026-08-28	oos	0.02863	0.029077	+1.56%	0.02792	-2.48%	0.0549	✗	0.62
2026-08-27	oos	0.02935	0.029948	+2.04%	0.02751	-6.27%	0.0924	✗	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.02944	0.029943	+1.71%	0.02683	-8.87%	0.0962	✗	0.62
2026-08-25	oos	0.029235	0.029703	+1.60%	0.02635	-9.87%	0.1108	✗	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	0.02954	0.029979	+1.49%	0.02667	-9.72%	0.1136	✗	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.0306	0.030921	+1.05%	0.026865	-12.21%	0.1401	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.03004	0.030341	+1.00%	0.028495	-5.14%	0.0728	✗	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.03165	0.031907	+0.81%	0.02863	-9.54%	0.1044	✗	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.028925	0.02904	+0.40%	0.02935	+1.47%	0.0417	✗	0.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.02876	0.02848	-0.97%	0.02944	+2.36%	0.0473	✓	0.61
2026-08-18	oos	0.027425	0.026988	-1.59%	0.029235	+6.60%	0.0357	✓	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.02764	0.027219	-1.52%	0.02954	+6.87%	0.0401	✓	0.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.02939	0.028854	-1.82%	0.0306	+4.12%	0.0851	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.029835	0.029274	-1.88%	0.03004	+0.69%	0.1101	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.030775	0.030162	-1.99%	0.03165	+2.84%	0.0990	✓	0.67
2026-08-13	oos	0.03158	0.030847	-2.32%	0.028925	-8.41%	0.1600	✓	0.68
2026-08-12	oos	0.03271	0.031841	-2.66%	0.02876	-12.08%	0.1641	✓	0.70
2026-08-11	oos	0.032795	0.031787	-3.07%	0.027425	-16.37%	0.1600	✓	0.69
2026-08-10	oos	0.03063	0.029764	-2.83%	0.02764	-9.76%	0.0804	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.029505	0.02865	-2.90%	0.02939	-0.39%	0.0492	✗	0.75
2026-08-08	oos	0.02922	0.028244	-3.34%	0.029835	+2.10%	0.0770	✗	0.75
2026-08-07	oos	0.02765	0.026931	-2.60%	0.030775	+11.30%	0.1561	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.02766	0.026904	-2.73%	0.03158	+14.17%	0.1702	✗	0.75
2026-08-05	oos	0.02612	0.025494	-2.40%	0.03271	+25.23%	0.2634	✗	0.76
2026-08-04	oos	0.0258	0.025235	-2.19%	0.032795	+27.11%	0.2680	✗	0.73
2026-08-03	oos	0.0264	0.025829	-2.16%	0.03063	+16.02%	0.1653	✗	0.74
2026-08-02	oos	0.02815	0.027426	-2.57%	0.029505	+4.81%	0.0577	✗	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02865	0.027867	-2.73%	0.02922	+1.99%	0.0231	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.030795	0.029691	-3.59%	0.02765	-10.21%	0.0948	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	0.028555	0.027632	-3.23%	0.02766	-3.13%	0.0068	✓	0.82
2026-07-29	oos	0.02788	0.026974	-3.25%	0.02612	-6.31%	0.0405	✓	0.76
2026-07-28	oos	0.02588	0.025225	-2.53%	0.0258	-0.31%	0.0201	✓	0.78
2026-07-27	oos	0.02385	0.02363	-0.92%	0.0264	+10.69%	0.1136	✗	0.77
2026-07-26	oos	0.02539	0.025273	-0.46%	0.02815	+10.87%	0.1277	✗	0.69
2026-07-25	oos	0.025085	0.024978	-0.43%	0.02865	+14.21%	0.1540	✗	0.70
2026-07-24	oos	0.025005	0.024858	-0.59%	0.030795	+23.16%	0.2276	✗	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02502	0.024946	-0.30%	0.028555	+14.13%	0.1386	✗	0.69
2026-07-22	oos	0.02577	0.02579	+0.08%	0.02788	+8.19%	0.1006	✓	0.67
2026-07-21	oos	0.02587	0.025919	+0.19%	0.02588	+0.04%	0.0261	✓	0.67
2026-07-20	oos	0.02543	0.025436	+0.02%	0.02385	-6.21%	0.0491	✗	0.65
2026-07-19	oos	0.025425	0.025367	-0.23%	0.02539	-0.14%	0.0058	✓	0.66
2026-07-18	oos	0.025895	0.02578	-0.44%	0.025085	-3.13%	0.0216	✓	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.02588	0.025686	-0.75%	0.025005	-3.38%	0.0292	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.02601	0.025817	-0.74%	0.02502	-3.81%	0.0471	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.026465	0.026294	-0.64%	0.02577	-2.63%	0.0364	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.026635	0.026444	-0.72%	0.02587	-2.87%	0.0402	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.02615	0.025874	-1.05%	0.02543	-2.75%	0.0549	✓	0.81
2026-07-12	oos	0.02655	0.026247	-1.14%	0.025425	-4.24%	0.0438	✓	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.02706	0.026802	-0.95%	0.025895	-4.31%	0.0492	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.02717	0.026868	-1.11%	0.02588	-4.75%	0.0341	✓	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.027045	0.026693	-1.30%	0.02601	-3.83%	0.0347	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.02717	0.026779	-1.44%	0.026465	-2.59%	0.0482	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.027035	0.026687	-1.29%	0.026635	-1.48%	0.0264	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.0281	0.027685	-1.48%	0.02615	-6.94%	0.0315	✓	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.028255	0.027802	-1.60%	0.02655	-6.03%	0.0484	✓	0.93
2026-07-04	oos	0.028715	0.028225	-1.71%	0.02706	-5.76%	0.0523	✓	0.93
2026-07-03	oos	0.02836	0.027867	-1.74%	0.02717	-4.20%	0.0480	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.02723	0.026803	-1.57%	0.027045	-0.68%	0.0150	✓	0.89
2026-07-01	oos	0.02689	0.026469	-1.56%	0.02717	+1.04%	0.0072	✓	0.89
2026-06-30	oos	0.02683	0.026396	-1.62%	0.027035	+0.76%	0.0472	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	0.028195	0.027648	-1.94%	0.0281	-0.34%	0.0384	✓	0.88
2026-06-28	oos	0.026935	0.026519	-1.54%	0.028255	+4.90%	0.0041	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.026725	0.026324	-1.50%	0.028715	+7.45%	0.0414	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.0271	0.026652	-1.65%	0.02836	+4.65%	0.0254	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.02798	0.027415	-2.02%	0.02723	-2.68%	0.0332	✓	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.02904	0.028291	-2.58%	0.02689	-7.40%	0.0359	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.027805	0.027136	-2.41%	0.02683	-3.51%	0.0521	✗	0.93
2026-06-22	oos	0.028205	0.02748	-2.57%	0.028195	-0.04%	0.0832	✗	0.94
2026-06-21	oos	0.028135	0.027449	-2.44%	0.026935	-4.27%	0.0395	✗	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.02852	0.027876	-2.26%	0.026725	-6.29%	0.0254	✗	0.98
2026-06-19	oos	0.02845	0.027846	-2.12%	0.0271	-4.75%	0.0258	✗	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.029555	0.028848	-2.39%	0.02798	-5.33%	0.0193	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.03039	0.029568	-2.70%	0.02904	-4.44%	0.0344	✗	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.02945	0.028802	-2.20%	0.027805	-5.59%	0.0090	✓	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.029725	0.029076	-2.18%	0.028205	-5.11%	0.0067	✓	1.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.02911	0.028475	-2.18%	0.028135	-3.35%	0.0287	✗	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.0286	0.027934	-2.33%	0.02852	-0.28%	0.0240	✗	1.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.02849	0.027803	-2.41%	0.02845	-0.14%	0.0239	✓	0.95
2026-06-11	oos	0.02918	0.028426	-2.58%	0.029555	+1.29%	0.0491	✗	0.93
2026-06-10	oos	0.02848	0.027649	-2.92%	0.03039	+6.71%	0.0504	✗	0.93
2026-06-09	oos	0.026555	0.025965	-2.22%	0.02945	+10.90%	0.0692	✗	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.02713	0.026522	-2.24%	0.029725	+9.57%	0.0689	✗	0.91
2026-06-07	oos	0.02696	0.026363	-2.22%	0.02911	+7.97%	0.0602	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.02595	0.025378	-2.20%	0.0286	+10.21%	0.0465	✗	1.28
2026-06-05	oos	0.0261	0.025524	-2.21%	0.02849	+9.16%	0.0578	✗	1.29
2026-06-04	oos	0.02754	0.026931	-2.21%	0.02918	+5.95%	0.0853	✗	1.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.02959	0.028823	-2.59%	0.02848	-3.75%	0.0278	✗	0.96
2026-06-02	oos	0.02908	0.028522	-1.92%	0.026555	-8.68%	0.0073	✓	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.0319	0.031506	-1.24%	0.02713	-14.95%	0.0491	✓	0.82
2026-05-31	oos	0.032075	0.031863	-0.66%	0.02696	-15.95%	0.0424	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.031935	0.031803	-0.41%	0.02595	-18.74%	0.0554	✓	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.031555	0.031503	-0.17%	0.0261	-17.29%	0.0394	✓	0.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.031505	0.031529	+0.08%	0.02754	-12.59%	0.0214	✗	0.80
2026-05-27	oos	0.0323	0.032319	+0.06%	0.02959	-8.39%	0.0218	✓	0.74
2026-05-26	oos	0.03359	0.033554	-0.11%	0.02908	-13.43%	0.0493	✓	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.03456	0.034479	-0.23%	0.0319	-7.70%	0.0168	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.03348	0.033546	+0.20%	0.032075	-4.20%	0.0105	✗	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.0352	0.035084	-0.33%	0.031935	-9.28%	0.0640	✓	0.78
2026-05-22	oos	0.0342	0.034183	-0.05%	0.031555	-7.73%	0.0581	✓	0.79
2026-05-21	oos	0.03602	0.035771	-0.69%	0.031505	-12.53%	0.0861	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.035705	0.035602	-0.29%	0.0323	-9.54%	0.0645	✓	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.035315	0.035307	-0.02%	0.03359	-4.88%	0.0402	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	0.03621	0.036115	-0.26%	0.03456	-4.56%	0.0472	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.03628	0.036158	-0.34%	0.03348	-7.72%	0.0724	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.035815	0.035635	-0.50%	0.0352	-1.72%	0.0031	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.03699	0.036555	-1.18%	0.0342	-7.54%	0.0279	✓	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.03854	0.038123	-1.08%	0.03602	-6.54%	0.0202	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.03832	0.037865	-1.19%	0.035705	-6.82%	0.0428	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.040305	0.03989	-1.03%	0.035315	-12.38%	0.0878	✓	0.72
2026-05-11	oos	0.04214	0.041944	-0.47%	0.03621	-14.07%	0.1063	✓	0.67
2026-05-10	oos	0.04214	0.042025	-0.27%	0.03628	-13.91%	0.1064	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.041	0.0408	-0.49%	0.035815	-12.65%	0.1091	✓	0.66
2026-05-08	oos	0.04174	0.041439	-0.72%	0.03699	-11.38%	0.1041	✓	0.66
2026-05-07	oos	0.041645	0.04145	-0.47%	0.03854	-7.46%	0.0818	✓	0.68
2026-05-06	oos	0.04017	0.040225	+0.14%	0.03832	-4.61%	0.0231	✗	0.95
2026-05-05	oos	0.0402	0.040203	+0.01%	0.040305	+0.26%	0.0072	✓	0.89
2026-05-04	oos	0.04096	0.040817	-0.35%	0.04214	+2.88%	0.0110	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.0417	0.041315	-0.92%	0.04214	+1.06%	0.0214	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04207	0.041587	-1.15%	0.041	-2.54%	0.0366	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.04252	0.042	-1.22%	0.04174	-1.83%	0.0290	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.044155	0.043148	-2.28%	0.041645	-5.68%	0.0812	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.04066	0.039932	-1.79%	0.04017	-1.21%	0.0633	✓	0.96
2026-04-28	oos	0.04214	0.041152	-2.34%	0.0402	-4.60%	0.0818	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03822	0.037855	-0.96%	0.04096	+7.17%	0.0467	✗	1.01
2026-04-26	oos	0.03923	0.038945	-0.73%	0.0417	+6.30%	0.0698	✗	1.02
2026-04-25	oos	0.040545	0.040124	-1.04%	0.04207	+3.76%	0.0338	✗	1.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.039045	0.03879	-0.65%	0.04252	+8.90%	0.0815	✗	1.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.03834	0.038166	-0.45%	0.044155	+15.17%	0.1725	✗	1.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.03829	0.038058	-0.61%	0.04066	+6.19%	0.0995	✗	1.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.03864	0.038046	-1.54%	0.04214	+9.06%	0.1026	✗	1.05
2026-04-20	oos	0.03701	0.036525	-1.31%	0.03822	+3.27%	0.0249	✗	1.05
2026-04-19	oos	0.03353	0.033194	-1.00%	0.03923	+17.00%	0.1013	✗	1.03
2026-04-18	oos	0.035945	0.035631	-0.87%	0.040545	+12.80%	0.1036	✗	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.03705	0.036776	-0.74%	0.039045	+5.38%	0.0550	✗	1.03
2026-04-16	oos	0.036985	0.03638	-1.64%	0.03834	+3.66%	0.0106	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.03524	0.034682	-1.58%	0.03829	+8.65%	0.0538	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.03429	0.033588	-2.05%	0.03864	+12.69%	0.1108	✗	1.02
2026-04-13	oos	0.03428	0.033471	-2.36%	0.03701	+7.96%	0.0814	✗	1.01
2026-04-12	oos	0.0308	0.030226	-1.86%	0.03353	+8.86%	0.0632	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.03191	0.031336	-1.80%	0.035945	+12.64%	0.1029	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.032635	0.032058	-1.77%	0.03705	+13.53%	0.0926	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.03269	0.032055	-1.94%	0.036985	+13.14%	0.0993	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.032375	0.031743	-1.95%	0.03524	+8.85%	0.0555	✗	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03209	0.031485	-1.88%	0.03429	+6.86%	0.0556	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.03091	0.030304	-1.96%	0.03428	+10.90%	0.0479	✗	0.96
2026-04-05	oos	0.03084	0.030314	-1.71%	0.0308	-0.13%	0.0083	✓	0.97
2026-04-04	oos	0.03185	0.031302	-1.72%	0.03191	+0.19%	0.0619	✓	0.98
2026-04-03	oos	0.03024	0.029958	-0.93%	0.032635	+7.92%	0.0018	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.02956	0.029355	-0.70%	0.03269	+10.59%	0.0385	✗	0.98
2026-04-01	oos	0.02958	0.029445	-0.46%	0.032375	+9.45%	0.0538	✗	0.96
2026-03-31	oos	0.02998	0.029834	-0.49%	0.03209	+7.04%	0.0213	✗	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.028605	0.028526	-0.28%	0.03091	+8.06%	0.0496	✗	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.02847	0.028396	-0.26%	0.03084	+8.32%	0.0380	✗	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.02947	0.029351	-0.40%	0.03185	+8.08%	0.0673	✗	0.99
2026-03-27	oos	0.03062	0.030409	-0.69%	0.03024	-1.24%	0.0146	✓	0.99
2026-03-26	oos	0.0315	0.031286	-0.68%	0.02956	-6.16%	0.0296	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.0325	0.03244	-0.19%	0.02958	-8.98%	0.0470	✓	0.99
2026-03-24	oos	0.0315	0.031523	+0.07%	0.02998	-4.83%	0.0174	✗	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.034	0.033902	-0.29%	0.028605	-15.87%	0.1107	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.032	0.031811	-0.59%	0.02847	-11.03%	0.0838	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.0295	0.029588	+0.30%	0.02947	-0.10%	0.0336	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.0305	0.030713	+0.70%	0.03062	+0.39%	0.0564	✓	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0315	0.031766	+0.84%	0.0315	+0.00%	0.0079	✓	0.99
2026-03-18	oos	0.031	0.031398	+1.28%	0.0325	+4.84%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2026-03-17	oos	0.035	0.035436	+1.25%	0.0315	-10.00%	0.0719	✗	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.039	0.03937	+0.95%	0.034	-12.82%	0.0933	✗	0.97
2026-03-15	oos	0.0405	0.040804	+0.75%	0.032	-20.99%	0.1730	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.044	0.044169	+0.38%	0.0295	-32.95%	0.3702	✗	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.0505	0.050248	-0.50%	0.0305	-39.60%	0.4928	✓	1.02
2026-03-12	oos	0.0535	0.052871	-1.17%	0.0315	-41.12%	0.5089	✓	1.03
2026-03-11	oos	0.0575	0.056064	-2.50%	0.031	-46.09%	0.6078	✓	1.04
2026-03-10	oos	0.065	0.061285	-5.72%	0.035	-46.15%	0.6180	✓	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.0515	0.049687	-3.52%	0.039	-24.27%	0.3303	✓	0.98
2026-03-08	oos	0.0395	0.039351	-0.38%	0.0405	+2.53%	0.0570	✓	0.87
2026-03-07	oos	0.042	0.041647	-0.84%	0.044	+4.76%	0.0055	✓	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.046	0.044729	-2.76%	0.0505	+9.78%	0.0867	✗	0.85
2026-03-05	oos	0.0345	0.03498	+1.39%	0.0535	+55.07%	0.4300	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.035	0.035508	+1.45%	0.0575	+64.29%	0.5173	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.036	0.036309	+0.86%	0.065	+80.56%	0.5569	✓	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.035	0.03537	+1.06%	0.0515	+47.14%	0.3821	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0355	0.03566	+0.45%	0.0395	+11.27%	0.0988	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.039	0.039004	+0.01%	0.042	+7.69%	0.0692	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.039	0.038848	-0.39%	0.046	+17.95%	0.1319	✗	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.0365	0.036643	+0.39%	0.0345	-5.48%	0.1161	✗	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.037	0.037125	+0.34%	0.035	-5.41%	0.1348	✗	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.0345	0.034521	+0.06%	0.036	+4.35%	0.0304	✗	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.0345	0.034556	+0.16%	0.035	+1.45%	0.0576	✗	1.12
2026-02-22	oos	0.0365	0.036588	+0.24%	0.0355	-2.74%	0.0008	✓	1.12
2026-02-21	oos	0.0385	0.038453	-0.12%	0.039	+1.30%	0.0305	✗	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.0385	0.038435	-0.17%	0.039	+1.30%	0.0498	✗	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0355	0.035546	+0.13%	0.0365	+2.82%	0.0181	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.0365	0.036462	-0.11%	0.037	+1.37%	0.0110	✓	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.0395	0.039353	-0.37%	0.0345	-12.66%	0.0775	✓	1.05
2026-02-16	oos	0.0405	0.040329	-0.42%	0.0345	-14.81%	0.0897	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.0425	0.042211	-0.68%	0.0365	-14.12%	0.1272	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.045	0.04459	-0.91%	0.0385	-14.44%	0.1190	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.044	0.043678	-0.73%	0.0385	-12.50%	0.1136	✓	1.04
2026-02-12	oos	0.05	0.049316	-1.37%	0.0355	-29.00%	0.3417	✓	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.0575	0.056099	-2.44%	0.0365	-36.52%	0.4199	✓	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.056	0.054852	-2.05%	0.0395	-29.46%	0.3065	✓	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.057	0.055627	-2.41%	0.0405	-28.95%	0.2974	✓	1.11
2026-02-08	oos	0.053	0.052369	-1.19%	0.0425	-19.81%	0.1851	✓	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.0525	0.052037	-0.88%	0.045	-14.29%	0.1539	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.055	0.054164	-1.52%	0.044	-20.00%	0.1808	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.045	0.047137	+4.75%	0.05	+11.11%	0.0099	✓	0.92
2026-02-04	oos	0.0505	0.050841	+0.68%	0.0575	+13.86%	0.2213	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.053	0.053211	+0.40%	0.056	+5.66%	0.1598	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	0.0555	0.056112	+1.10%	0.057	+2.70%	0.1496	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.0555	0.056191	+1.24%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0433	✓	1.13
2026-01-31	oos	0.0605	0.060956	+0.75%	0.0525	-13.22%	0.0033	✓	1.15
2026-01-30	oos	0.067	0.067259	+0.39%	0.055	-17.91%	0.0024	✓	1.13
2026-01-29	oos	0.064	0.065004	+1.57%	0.045	-29.69%	0.0298	✗	1.14
2026-01-28	oos	0.073	0.072664	-0.46%	0.0505	-30.82%	0.1523	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.077	0.076489	-0.66%	0.053	-31.17%	0.1926	✓	1.06
2026-01-26	oos	0.0755	0.075906	+0.54%	0.0555	-26.49%	0.1940	✗	1.04
2026-01-25	oos	0.074	0.074463	+0.63%	0.0555	-25.00%	0.1723	✗	1.03
2026-01-24	oos	0.082	0.081904	-0.12%	0.0605	-26.22%	0.1803	✓	0.98
2026-01-23	oos	0.0835	0.08331	-0.23%	0.067	-19.76%	0.1559	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.082	0.081866	-0.16%	0.064	-21.95%	0.1894	✓	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.086	0.085617	-0.45%	0.073	-15.12%	0.1572	✓	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.086	0.085918	-0.10%	0.077	-10.47%	0.1187	✓	1.01
2026-01-19	oos	0.093	0.092816	-0.20%	0.0755	-18.82%	0.1598	✓	0.98
2026-01-18	oos	0.098	0.097275	-0.74%	0.074	-24.49%	0.1974	✓	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0995	0.09892	-0.58%	0.082	-17.59%	0.1241	✓	0.97
2026-01-16	oos	0.098	0.097799	-0.20%	0.0835	-14.80%	0.0942	✓	0.98
2026-01-15	oos	0.101	0.100584	-0.41%	0.082	-18.81%	0.1393	✓	0.98
2026-01-14	oos	0.099	0.098842	-0.16%	0.086	-13.13%	0.0580	✓	1.00
2026-01-13	oos	0.099	0.098543	-0.46%	0.086	-13.13%	0.0590	✓	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.099	0.098261	-0.75%	0.093	-6.06%	0.0708	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.091	0.091066	+0.07%	0.098	+7.69%	0.0423	✓	1.04
2026-01-10	oos	0.103	0.102674	-0.32%	0.0995	-3.40%	0.0862	✓	1.07
2026-01-09	oos	0.1025	0.102366	-0.13%	0.098	-4.39%	0.1042	✓	1.13
2026-01-08	oos	0.099	0.099217	+0.22%	0.101	+2.02%	0.0356	✗	1.09
2026-01-07	oos	0.105	0.105326	+0.31%	0.099	-5.71%	0.1534	✗	1.52
2026-01-06	oos	0.114	0.11418	+0.16%	0.099	-13.16%	0.1690	✗	1.50
2026-01-05	oos	0.109	0.109228	+0.21%	0.099	-9.17%	0.0546	✗	1.51
2026-01-04	oos	0.107	0.107245	+0.23%	0.091	-14.95%	0.1539	✗	1.52
2026-01-03	oos	0.112	0.112134	+0.12%	0.103	-8.04%	0.0812	✗	1.54
2026-01-02	oos	0.105	0.105685	+0.65%	0.1025	-2.38%	0.0400	✗	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.117	0.117312	+0.27%	0.099	-15.38%	0.2097	✗	1.57
2025-12-31	oos	0.106	0.107118	+1.05%	0.105	-0.94%	0.0849	✗	1.53
2025-12-30	oos	0.131	0.131176	+0.13%	0.114	-12.98%	0.2283	✗	1.50
2025-12-29	oos	0.129	0.1294	+0.31%	0.109	-15.50%	0.2848	✗	1.51
2025-12-28	oos	0.137	0.136986	-0.01%	0.107	-21.90%	0.3079	✓	1.51
2025-12-27	oos	0.1505	0.149566	-0.62%	0.112	-25.58%	0.3362	✓	1.50
2025-12-26	oos	0.1725	0.170339	-1.25%	0.105	-39.13%	0.5296	✓	1.52
2025-12-25	oos	0.1705	0.168323	-1.28%	0.117	-31.38%	0.3908	✓	1.52
2025-12-24	oos	0.1715	0.168869	-1.53%	0.106	-38.19%	0.4637	✓	1.53
2025-12-23	oos	0.1685	0.166265	-1.33%	0.131	-22.26%	0.2551	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.17	0.167607	-1.41%	0.129	-24.12%	0.2368	✓	1.52
2025-12-21	oos	0.1725	0.169851	-1.54%	0.137	-20.58%	0.2018	✓	1.52
2025-12-20	oos	0.1765	0.173346	-1.79%	0.1505	-14.73%	0.1323	✓	1.54
2025-12-19	oos	0.1765	0.17354	-1.68%	0.1725	-2.27%	0.0080	✓	1.54
2025-12-18	oos	0.171	0.169049	-1.14%	0.1705	-0.29%	0.0222	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.1765	0.173684	-1.60%	0.1715	-2.83%	0.0376	✓	1.55
2025-12-16	oos	0.188	0.18356	-2.36%	0.1685	-10.37%	0.0781	✓	1.54
2025-12-15	oos	0.1875	0.183303	-2.24%	0.17	-9.33%	0.1133	✓	1.55
2025-12-14	oos	0.1895	0.185069	-2.34%	0.1725	-8.97%	0.0786	✓	1.56
2025-12-13	oos	0.198	0.193301	-2.37%	0.1765	-10.86%	0.0573	✓	1.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.197	0.192878	-2.09%	0.1765	-10.41%	0.0506	✓	1.56
2025-12-11	oos	0.209	0.20474	-2.04%	0.171	-18.18%	0.0567	✓	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.2165	0.211718	-2.21%	0.1765	-18.48%	0.0799	✓	1.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.2225	0.217779	-2.12%	0.188	-15.51%	0.0638	✓	1.55
2025-12-08	oos	0.212	0.207744	-2.01%	0.1875	-11.56%	0.0288	✓	1.54
2025-12-07	oos	0.214	0.209521	-2.09%	0.1895	-11.45%	0.0620	✓	1.54
2025-12-06	oos	0.219	0.213948	-2.31%	0.198	-9.59%	0.0946	✓	1.56
2025-12-05	oos	0.219	0.214116	-2.23%	0.197	-10.05%	0.0994	✓	1.55
2025-12-04	oos	0.228	0.223527	-1.96%	0.209	-8.33%	0.0748	✓	1.56
2025-12-03	oos	0.235	0.23059	-1.88%	0.2165	-7.87%	0.0392	✓	1.56
2025-12-02	oos	0.2265	0.22215	-1.92%	0.2225	-1.77%	0.0219	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.216	0.211362	-2.15%	0.212	-1.85%	0.0771	✓	1.62
2025-11-30	oos	0.2275	0.223323	-1.84%	0.214	-5.93%	0.0432	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.2305	0.226252	-1.84%	0.219	-4.99%	0.0044	✓	1.62
2025-11-28	oos	0.2345	0.229851	-1.98%	0.219	-6.61%	0.0204	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.2355	0.231149	-1.85%	0.228	-3.18%	0.0274	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.2355	0.231009	-1.91%	0.235	-0.21%	0.0364	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.2335	0.228062	-2.33%	0.2265	-3.00%	0.0843	✓	1.74
2025-11-24	oos	0.2335	0.228159	-2.29%	0.216	-7.49%	0.0152	✓	1.74
2025-11-23	oos	0.234	0.22825	-2.46%	0.2275	-2.78%	0.0741	✓	1.76
2025-11-22	oos	0.2375	0.230615	-2.90%	0.2305	-2.95%	0.1283	✓	1.82
2025-11-21	oos	0.238	0.231089	-2.90%	0.2345	-1.47%	0.1058	✓	1.82
2025-11-20	oos	0.255	0.247293	-3.02%	0.2355	-7.65%	0.1456	✓	1.80
2025-11-19	oos	0.2595	0.253013	-2.50%	0.2355	-9.25%	0.0504	✓	1.95
2025-11-18	oos	0.2625	0.256109	-2.43%	0.2335	-11.05%	0.0289	✗	1.95
2025-11-17	oos	0.252	0.245894	-2.42%	0.2335	-7.34%	0.0313	✗	1.95
2025-11-16	oos	0.2565	0.250573	-2.31%	0.234	-8.77%	0.0910	✗	1.96
2025-11-15	oos	0.2635	0.257123	-2.42%	0.2375	-9.87%	0.1572	✗	1.96
2025-11-14	oos	0.256	0.24983	-2.41%	0.238	-7.03%	0.1575	✗	1.96
2025-11-13	oos	0.264	0.258168	-2.21%	0.255	-3.41%	0.2788	✗	2.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.268	0.262187	-2.17%	0.2595	-3.17%	0.2094	✗	2.08
2025-11-11	oos	0.274	0.268419	-2.04%	0.2625	-4.20%	0.1919	✗	2.08
2025-11-10	oos	0.284	0.278674	-1.88%	0.252	-11.27%	0.1942	✗	2.10
2025-11-09	oos	0.28	0.274412	-2.00%	0.2565	-8.39%	0.1567	✗	2.12
2025-11-08	oos	0.286	0.277952	-2.81%	0.2635	-7.87%	0.0948	✗	2.17
2025-11-07	oos	0.279	0.270883	-2.91%	0.256	-8.24%	0.1349	✗	2.15
2025-11-06	oos	0.236	0.232409	-1.52%	0.264	+11.86%	0.1621	✗	2.08
2025-11-05	oos	0.241	0.238283	-1.13%	0.268	+11.20%	0.1630	✗	2.10
2025-11-04	oos	0.235	0.232001	-1.28%	0.274	+16.60%	0.1346	✗	2.11
2025-11-03	oos	0.243	0.24186	-0.47%	0.284	+16.87%	0.1727	✗	2.21
2025-11-02	oos	0.269	0.266841	-0.80%	0.28	+4.09%	0.1672	✗	2.19
2025-11-01	oos	0.2665	0.264891	-0.60%	0.286	+7.32%	0.2374	✗	2.20
2025-10-31	oos	0.26	0.259342	-0.25%	0.279	+7.31%	0.2020	✗	2.19
2025-10-30	oos	0.259	0.258974	-0.01%	0.236	-8.88%	0.0541	✗	2.19
2025-10-29	oos	0.269	0.26913	+0.05%	0.241	-10.41%	0.0153	✓	2.18
2025-10-28	oos	0.27	0.269521	-0.18%	0.235	-12.96%	0.1012	✗	2.23
2025-10-27	oos	0.2735	0.273036	-0.17%	0.243	-11.15%	0.0360	✗	2.23
2025-10-26	oos	0.282	0.28078	-0.43%	0.269	-4.61%	0.0367	✗	2.23
2025-10-25	oos	0.271	0.27098	-0.01%	0.2665	-1.66%	0.0162	✗	2.26
2025-10-24	oos	0.276	0.275735	-0.10%	0.26	-5.80%	0.0282	✓	2.27
2025-10-23	oos	0.274	0.27378	-0.08%	0.259	-5.47%	0.0179	✓	2.27
2025-10-22	oos	0.2695	0.269464	-0.01%	0.269	-0.19%	0.0532	✓	2.29
2025-10-21	oos	0.27	0.269926	-0.03%	0.27	+0.00%	0.0940	✓	2.29
2025-10-20	oos	0.2765	0.275956	-0.20%	0.2735	-1.08%	0.0818	✓	2.33
2025-10-19	oos	0.2755	0.27479	-0.26%	0.282	+2.36%	0.0952	✓	2.30
2025-10-18	oos	0.27	0.269457	-0.20%	0.271	+0.37%	0.0882	✓	2.30
2025-10-17	oos	0.2685	0.268206	-0.11%	0.276	+2.79%	0.0682	✓	2.30
2025-10-16	oos	0.2745	0.274751	+0.09%	0.274	-0.18%	0.0433	✗	2.31
2025-10-15	oos	0.285	0.285308	+0.11%	0.2695	-5.44%	0.0112	✓	2.31
2025-10-14	oos	0.2995	0.297969	-0.51%	0.27	-9.85%	0.0002	✓	2.31
2025-10-13	oos	0.3065	0.302057	-1.45%	0.2765	-9.79%	0.0086	✓	2.33
2025-10-12	oos	0.2935	0.29114	-0.80%	0.2755	-6.13%	0.0751	✗	2.28
2025-10-11	oos	0.27	0.272241	+0.83%	0.27	+0.00%	0.0662	✓	2.28
2025-10-10	oos	0.255	0.257672	+1.05%	0.2685	+5.29%	0.1812	✓	2.35
2025-10-09	oos	0.3585	0.352543	-1.66%	0.2745	-23.43%	0.0412	✓	1.78
2025-10-08	oos	0.3715	0.366004	-1.48%	0.285	-23.28%	0.0614	✓	1.76
2025-10-07	oos	0.358	0.352295	-1.59%	0.2995	-16.34%	0.0396	✓	1.73
2025-10-06	oos	0.3795	0.375556	-1.04%	0.3065	-19.24%	0.0667	✓	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.371	0.367633	-0.91%	0.2935	-20.89%	0.1024	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.3725	0.368875	-0.97%	0.27	-27.52%	0.1386	✓	1.73
2025-10-03	oos	0.3835	0.379272	-1.10%	0.255	-33.51%	0.2599	✓	1.73
2025-10-02	oos	0.38	0.375292	-1.24%	0.3585	-5.66%	0.0614	✓	1.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3725	0.366913	-1.50%	0.3715	-0.27%	0.0557	✓	1.76
2025-09-30	oos	0.3495	0.343402	-1.74%	0.358	+2.43%	0.0683	✓	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.3535	0.347764	-1.62%	0.3795	+7.36%	0.0689	✓	1.80
2025-09-28	oos	0.3555	0.349468	-1.70%	0.371	+4.36%	0.1180	✓	1.85
2025-09-27	oos	0.3485	0.343736	-1.37%	0.3725	+6.89%	0.1266	✓	1.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.353	0.34792	-1.44%	0.3835	+8.64%	0.1078	✓	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.339	0.335845	-0.93%	0.38	+12.09%	0.0660	✓	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.3585	0.352653	-1.63%	0.3725	+3.91%	0.0328	✓	1.91
2025-09-23	oos	0.3575	0.351736	-1.61%	0.3495	-2.24%	0.0413	✓	1.93
2025-09-22	oos	0.3615	0.355701	-1.60%	0.3535	-2.21%	0.0336	✓	1.91
2025-09-21	oos	0.3895	0.381683	-2.01%	0.3555	-8.73%	0.0205	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.397	0.389636	-1.85%	0.3485	-12.22%	0.0110	✓	1.87
2025-09-19	oos	0.3985	0.391153	-1.84%	0.353	-11.42%	0.0023	✓	1.89
2025-09-18	oos	0.419	0.409555	-2.25%	0.339	-19.09%	0.0545	✓	1.88

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.