GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s6

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0939

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0147

actual +0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.257645	0.244029	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.26309	0.247891	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.296458	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.311652	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.243777	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.219384	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.186271	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.190576	-4.52%	0.257645	+29.09%	0.2934	✗	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.209379	-5.13%	0.26309	+19.21%	0.2184	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.212138	-5.65%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.4108	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.255988	-9.14%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2910	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.174846	-3.66%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4235	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.177985	-4.08%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.2981	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.183212	-4.24%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0689	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.199275	-5.90%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0028	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.179921	-5.47%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2227	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.144396	-2.94%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4747	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.177886	-5.04%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.5110	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.165411	-5.38%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1298	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.112555	-1.91%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5200	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.129945	-3.20%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4083	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.137145	-4.69%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4682	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.093041	-1.25%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7184	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085683	-0.70%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5342	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084996	-0.64%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7678	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090468	-0.48%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6393	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090453	-0.60%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2348	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091603	-1.24%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3782	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.086364	-0.08%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5060	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.083049	+0.06%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1343	✓	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.088185	-0.01%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0025	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.087063	-0.17%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0122	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.08365	-0.34%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0488	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.085202	-0.59%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0328	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.08121	-0.82%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.0989	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.076307	-1.00%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0388	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.075016	-1.03%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0134	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.074229	-1.07%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0573	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076996	-0.48%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0344	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.077411	-0.60%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0322	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.07767	-0.30%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0543	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075939	-0.17%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0341	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075406	-0.14%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0242	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.078335	-0.11%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0084	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.08257	-0.15%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0612	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.080229	+0.08%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0252	✗	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082689	+0.25%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0173	✗	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082444	+0.27%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0257	✗	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.079615	+0.37%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0168	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081894	+0.77%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0261	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078798	+0.07%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0167	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.079586	+0.03%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0254	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.081014	-0.32%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0167	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079671	-0.52%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0016	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.083082	-0.12%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0288	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.08475	-0.18%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0873	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.088181	-0.30%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0926	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.085032	-0.33%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0572	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.081868	-0.69%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0157	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085203	-0.43%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0427	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.08787	-0.87%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.0920	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.085981	-1.08%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0466	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.090342	-1.36%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0567	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.085241	-0.87%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0440	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.082796	-1.47%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0824	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.07966	-2.15%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1445	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.081418	-2.39%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1391	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.08297	-2.53%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1409	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.083671	-2.66%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1582	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.082162	-3.25%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.1060	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.078937	-2.10%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0548	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.079986	-2.07%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0446	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.081258	-2.21%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0163	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.083979	-2.48%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0161	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.086172	-2.79%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0245	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.08613	-2.62%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0304	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.082434	-2.33%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0622	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.079647	-2.61%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0264	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.077697	-1.88%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0700	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.073496	-1.69%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1312	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.076057	-2.06%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1167	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.075799	-1.89%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1349	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.075038	-1.60%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1301	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.073056	-1.56%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1114	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.07239	-1.46%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1294	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.072145	-1.26%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0814	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.075576	-1.71%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0143	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.070269	-1.22%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1037	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.068324	-0.94%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1545	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.068041	-1.10%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1399	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.064987	-1.02%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1533	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.066506	-0.93%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1046	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.0673	-0.97%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1154	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067666	-1.15%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1685	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.066611	-1.05%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0878	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.065629	-1.18%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0405	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.065541	-1.23%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0558	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.065605	-1.20%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0017	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.066255	-1.36%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0022	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.068165	-1.62%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0190	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.06945	-1.36%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0325	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.066996	-0.60%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0308	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.068674	-0.75%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0448	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.067986	-0.71%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0381	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.068809	-0.87%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0323	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.067884	-0.80%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0189	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.068318	-1.22%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0202	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.069651	-1.25%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0118	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.073247	-1.60%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0596	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.073816	-1.95%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0667	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073957	-1.89%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0860	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.078409	-2.43%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1424	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.072366	-1.86%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0771	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.071771	-2.25%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0664	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.065135	-1.53%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0213	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.067062	-1.59%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0589	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.067479	-1.43%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0600	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.06699	-1.87%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0800	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.067277	-1.94%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1470	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.066883	-1.92%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0757	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.068326	-2.20%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0837	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.06991	-2.37%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0050	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.074719	-1.98%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0491	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.073723	-2.02%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0313	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.076501	-2.36%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0669	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.073841	-2.78%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0362	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.074458	-2.29%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0524	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.078086	-2.62%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0758	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.079772	-2.99%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0783	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.078107	-3.48%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0012	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.07845	-3.52%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0168	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.076339	-3.30%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0280	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.074795	-2.83%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0160	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.07731	-1.77%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0078	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.071865	-0.86%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0850	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075682	-1.08%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0496	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.07375	-0.77%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0768	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.074035	-0.09%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0296	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.077139	-0.30%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0262	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.080707	-1.23%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0230	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.087293	-1.62%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1616	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.087857	-1.96%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0909	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.096194	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.092148	-2.54%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1422	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.091189	-2.44%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1161	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.090272	-2.38%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0633	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.091282	-2.35%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0428	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.094131	-2.41%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0119	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.091233	-2.36%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0466	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.096142	-2.36%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0698	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.0991	-2.38%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0235	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.106532	-2.66%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.1100	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.106294	-2.90%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1239	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.105848	-2.49%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0939	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.101779	-2.47%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0301	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.099896	-2.55%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0600	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.093209	-2.39%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0526	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.095499	-2.52%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0644	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.099623	-2.65%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1050	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.101534	-2.75%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1025	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.111979	-3.01%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0074	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.115653	-3.16%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0892	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.130566	-4.35%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2170	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.164548	-7.42%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.5189	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.099293	-2.16%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0180	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.098437	-2.40%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0557	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.090781	-2.18%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2336	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.089628	-1.80%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.3042	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.086858	-1.71%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4559	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.091633	-2.02%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6453	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.090907	-2.17%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0762	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.09091	-2.16%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0850	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.091133	-2.45%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0197	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.091112	-2.49%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0562	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.093395	-2.35%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1034	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.095153	-2.08%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0433	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.090174	-1.48%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0312	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.093078	-1.67%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0129	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.113113	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.106921	-2.29%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1124	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.100456	-1.91%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0443	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.104323	-2.55%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0865	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.110921	-2.97%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1501	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.10595	-3.32%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.2052	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.095445	-2.15%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0323	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088516	-1.54%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2687	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.086697	-1.94%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1928	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.080952	-1.78%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1919	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078104	-1.87%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2870	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.081804	-1.94%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3164	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.07384	-2.32%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3539	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.076906	-2.05%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.2035	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.076441	-1.97%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.1098	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.076632	-2.02%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0989	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.077793	-2.05%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0082	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.078706	-2.10%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0188	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.077717	-2.32%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0059	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.073064	-2.02%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0094	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.075199	-1.83%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072206	-1.43%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.073415	-1.32%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.07722	-1.54%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.076524	-1.25%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0039	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.075659	-0.89%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0187	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.075365	-0.60%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0564	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078778	-0.60%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0428	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.078601	-0.45%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0797	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.077306	-0.48%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0096	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.083081	-0.62%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0107	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.08496	-0.57%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0577	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.082068	-0.48%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0103	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.080159	-0.29%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0263	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.079367	-0.28%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0385	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.083132	-0.39%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0114	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088667	-0.37%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1149	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.090254	-0.44%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0774	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092632	-0.52%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0304	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.09361	-0.56%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0679	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093879	-0.54%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0789	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.094141	-0.53%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1322	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.094969	-0.56%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1223	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.106886	-1.21%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1735	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.091456	-0.46%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0248	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083259	-0.22%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0525	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.082049	-0.14%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0401	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.078773	+0.18%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0735	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078618	+0.07%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1228	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.081029	-0.06%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1201	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084436	-0.32%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2534	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.086857	-0.52%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0941	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086793	-0.33%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0663	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.084344	-0.29%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0196	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083389	-0.07%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0622	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087201	-0.32%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1094	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.08915	-0.32%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1338	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090737	-0.52%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1258	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.09097	-0.58%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1186	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.086412	-0.03%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0679	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086919	-0.10%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.1002	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.089916	-0.48%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0422	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.092962	-0.63%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0438	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.092872	-0.62%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0007	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.092874	-0.51%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0271	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.095119	-0.54%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0663	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.10053	-0.85%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.0943	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.103486	-1.09%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1038	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.101724	-0.98%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.0997	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.104158	-1.18%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0783	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.103075	-0.99%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0848	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.097823	-0.24%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0592	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.095654	+0.03%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0096	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.095771	-0.02%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0782	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.098288	-0.12%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0818	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.097641	+0.25%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0741	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.100821	+0.61%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0358	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.101854	+0.85%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0490	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.094163	+4.74%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0186	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.105061	+0.78%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0115	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.10751	+0.20%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0027	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.110704	-0.45%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0286	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.105468	+0.83%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0247	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.106282	+0.46%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.0962	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.115958	-1.40%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0694	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.11774	-1.55%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0808	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.126908	-2.45%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0337	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.128166	-2.46%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0128	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.12762	-2.36%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0030	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.122058	-2.00%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0168	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.132308	-2.57%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0832	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.128175	-2.45%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0160	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.123521	-2.35%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0320	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.126497	-2.47%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0306	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.123247	-2.42%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0538	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.134764	-2.49%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0214	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.135432	-2.36%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0027	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.143909	-2.24%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0121	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.137888	-2.07%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0223	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.134118	-1.96%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0131	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.14029	-1.83%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0086	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.145533	-2.13%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0566	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.133226	-2.11%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0209	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.138442	-2.09%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0304	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.139821	-2.02%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0042	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.141916	-1.86%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0690	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.142486	-1.80%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.0946	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.143253	-1.68%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0936	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.148899	-1.78%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0279	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.151121	-1.93%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0606	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.147001	-1.80%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0284	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.144698	-1.77%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0101	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.1421	-1.66%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0080	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.138812	-1.34%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0057	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.12903	-0.97%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0586	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.13226	-1.08%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0494	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.130418	-0.97%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0534	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.132066	-0.93%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0641	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.133755	-0.70%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0501	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.128119	-0.45%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0764	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.124667	-0.43%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.0950	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.128011	-0.54%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0196	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.128404	-0.54%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0240	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.127807	-0.62%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0546	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.125199	-0.64%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0756	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.127152	-0.74%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0665	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.126165	-0.74%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0336	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118971	-0.28%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0214	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.12149	-0.42%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0334	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.125097	-0.72%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0388	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.126664	-0.62%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0222	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.127285	-0.83%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0183	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.135221	-1.15%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0211	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.137203	-1.08%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0391	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.138986	-1.22%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0298	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.140988	-1.20%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0430	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.14951	-1.44%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0889	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.143281	-0.81%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0447	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.139895	-0.71%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0485	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.142479	-0.71%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0574	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.135506	-0.51%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0075	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.142317	-0.82%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0188	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.143567	-0.85%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0173	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.142117	-0.62%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0421	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.139666	-0.24%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0473	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.151994	-0.72%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0764	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.15271	-0.77%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0343	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.156404	-0.88%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1104	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.159565	-1.01%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1198	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.156425	-0.87%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1303	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.155192	-0.65%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1577	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.158015	-0.81%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0824	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.159175	-0.70%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.1082	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.155698	-0.19%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1346	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.154038	+0.02%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0923	✗	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.160202	-0.31%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0880	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.154395	-0.39%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0430	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.158952	-0.65%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.1017	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.158343	-0.41%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.0879	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.161723	-0.66%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1447	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.164411	-0.84%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1772	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.163821	-0.59%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1389	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.167809	-1.23%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2408	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.172703	-1.54%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1064	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.17491	-1.63%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1248	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.186552	-2.23%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1609	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.185906	-2.03%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1115	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.183964	-1.73%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0554	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.186169	-1.81%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0818	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.169747	-0.85%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0386	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.172556	-1.23%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0658	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.165554	-0.39%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0370	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.161127	-0.97%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1825	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.178125	-2.02%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1969	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.18021	-1.95%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2184	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.177369	-1.73%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.2120	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.176207	-1.45%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1369	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.184886	-1.81%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0841	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.192031	-2.12%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1194	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.201086	-2.15%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0436	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.209207	-2.24%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0527	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.203215	-1.88%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0639	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.204313	-1.75%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.0900	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.203496	-1.45%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0877	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.19868	-0.86%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1105	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.207289	-1.06%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1587	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.214585	-1.39%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1233	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.218291	-0.93%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1529	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.213607	-0.46%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1341	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.213208	-0.23%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1312	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.215293	-0.51%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0863	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.224139	-1.04%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0369	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.232307	-1.40%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0054	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.244448	-1.65%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0103	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.22865	-0.85%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1043	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.212686	+0.32%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.0900	✓	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.200789	-0.03%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2139	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.274642	-1.28%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0058	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.279914	-1.25%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0097	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.268448	-1.16%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0166	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.281535	-1.11%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0400	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.275028	-1.25%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0278	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.278566	-1.46%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0635	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.283386	-1.64%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1786	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.281506	-1.79%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0308	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.272665	-1.85%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0438	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.251618	-1.52%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0559	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.259719	-1.73%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.0966	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.273485	-1.77%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.2003	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.270654	-1.58%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2109	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.277406	-1.73%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2143	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.26711	-1.58%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1626	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.292326	-2.23%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1559	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.295377	-2.23%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1870	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.299042	-2.34%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1564	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.325625	-2.52%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.0958	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.333063	-2.53%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0698	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.327784	-2.56%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0279	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.35884	-2.71%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1182	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.35363	-2.77%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1065	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.341239	-2.79%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0267	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.339225	-2.73%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0497	✓	2.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.