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2022-09-09 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3710
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.5%
in alpha space · 82.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38711.6328-6.09%11.384-8.10%0.0151✓0.4816.0M2022-09-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-76.93e-7-5.28%5.40e-7-26.18%0.1958✓0.702.3M2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3796.0486-5.18%5.824-8.70%0.0269✓0.856.2M2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.00040928-4.96%0.00030458-29.27%0.2576✓0.501.5M2022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51527.1569-4.77%5.9681-20.59%0.1592✓0.309.9M2022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.119458-3.82%0.1059-14.73%0.0688✓0.68195k2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.067057-3.81%0.06104-12.44%0.0097✓1.111.5M2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.4977-3.77%4.006-14.29%0.0480✓0.89298k2022-09-16
FLOWFlownative2.1112.0335-3.67%1.78-15.68%0.0334✓1.311.1M2022-09-16
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.3611-3.53%1.112-21.19%0.0786✓1.632.8M2022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4285-3.48%1.28-13.51%0.0403✓0.9181k2022-09-16
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.017765-3.37%0.016065-12.61%0.0246✓1.004152022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.7161-3.34%5.5996-19.41%0.1653✓0.228.6M2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.758242-3.33%0.6518-16.90%0.0437✓1.42210k2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.199491-2.83%0.2101+2.34%0.1164✗0.853.2M2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1938.0814-2.83%34.05-13.12%0.0015✓1.4511.8M2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.050572-2.75%0.0476-8.46%0.0060✓0.88204k2022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum32.4231.5302-2.74%24.55-24.28%0.1202✓1.71185k2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.4438-2.70%4.6927+2.75%0.1721✗1.55129k2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.546816-2.53%0.489-12.83%0.0301✓1.0757k2022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.150932-2.50%0.1558+0.65%0.1111✗1.04421k2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.3164-2.50%1.2302-8.88%0.0037✓0.941.2M2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.0510,180.32-2.48%8,661.73-17.03%0.0564✓1.384.5M2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.66892-2.35%0.605-11.68%0.0377✓0.83129k2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.038164-2.32%0.03294-15.69%0.0713✓1.0072k2022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.125.9842-2.22%5.56-9.15%0.0380✓0.473.6M2022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.364119-2.14%0.3247-12.74%0.0359✓1.0471k2022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.041.0178-2.13%0.928-10.77%0.0637✓0.382.9M2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.302535-2.12%0.2667-13.72%0.0494✓1.0195k2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.3833-2.06%3.6957-17.42%0.1282✓0.567.3M2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.303-2.00%1.92-18.30%0.0945✓1.15232k2022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001361-1.94%0.001201-13.44%0.0679✓0.752.5M2022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.396.2669-1.93%5.78-9.55%0.0458✓0.462.2M2022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.133212-1.91%0.119-12.37%0.1119✓0.0187k2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.864374-1.89%0.7965-9.59%0.0057✓1.001.0M2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.5314-1.89%2.13-17.44%0.1205✓0.69262k2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.8116-1.81%1.541-16.48%0.0950✓0.88627k2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.381.3556-1.77%1.237-10.36%0.0028✓1.17385k2022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.375307-1.75%0.3538-7.38%0.0215✗1.066802022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.136517-1.72%0.1457+4.90%0.1282✗0.8324k2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.110681-1.70%0.1057-6.13%0.0333✗1.042.7M2022-09-16
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.01099-1.68%0.01195+6.91%0.1597✗1.005862022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.272008-1.62%0.3024+9.37%0.1671✗0.8184k2022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.023848-1.62%0.025951+7.06%0.0893✗0.06465k2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12615.8842-1.50%16.596+2.91%0.1310✗1.1515.6M2022-09-16
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,573.63-1.48%1,354.73-15.19%0.0738✓1.003.4M2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009578-1.46%0.00835-14.09%0.0806✓0.753.5M2022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.444774-1.45%0.4409-2.30%0.0796✗1.1675k2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001601-1.44%0.001455-10.41%0.0451✓0.667,1022022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.5229-1.43%1.34-13.27%0.0435✓1.1143k2022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1608-1.42%1.988-9.31%0.0007✓1.1134k2022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006221-1.42%0.006297-0.22%0.0446✗0.4336k2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.3151-1.39%5.31-1.48%0.0327✗0.442.0M2022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.176358-1.38%0.15442-13.65%0.0613✓0.94268k2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.00286-1.36%0.002807-3.17%0.0486✗0.881.2M2022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.6544-1.35%6.906-10.99%0.0272✓1.0010.0M2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.540924-1.29%0.497-9.31%0.0015✓1.0977k2022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.3907-1.23%6.26-3.25%0.0140✗0.462.1M2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012762-1.22%0.00001157-10.45%0.0289✓0.91898k2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.8242-1.21%6.63-16.29%0.0834✓1.08255k2022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4815.2971-1.18%14.52-6.20%0.0156✗0.891.7M2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0917.8796-1.16%16-11.55%0.0619✓0.65396k2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.526227-1.16%0.4698-11.76%0.0606✓0.69467k2022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.683278-1.12%0.586-15.20%0.0675✓1.133.8M2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration52.6552.0634-1.11%43.86-16.70%0.0989✓0.96395k2022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.9145-1.11%1.7566-9.27%0.0066✓1.0523k2022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.7195-1.11%2.56-6.91%0.0026✓0.83630k2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.6984-1.08%14.36-14.93%0.0681✓1.0987k2022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.2053-1.07%2.987-7.81%0.0284✓0.55720k2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.411676-1.06%0.38821-6.70%0.0135✗0.95392k2022-09-16
DASHDashDash49.0148.4895-1.06%43.69-10.85%0.0318✓0.95338k2022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.17.0248-1.06%6.185-12.89%0.0630✓0.854.4M2022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.148315-1.06%0.1384-7.67%0.0052✓0.98128k2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051254-1.05%0.0411-20.66%0.1472✓0.97546k2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7114.5576-1.04%12.83-12.78%0.0463✓1.05925k2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.210323-1.02%0.1847-13.08%0.0417✓1.16111k2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000044093-1.00%0.00004223-5.19%0.0184✗0.812.5M2022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.092968-0.99%0.0859-8.52%0.0100✓0.9113k2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.3044-0.98%1.9192-17.54%0.0999✓1.0913k2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.652719-0.95%0.616-6.53%0.0121✗0.92178k2022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.671-0.94%7.655-1.15%0.0732✗0.9918.0M2022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.9733-0.93%4.36-13.15%0.0703✓0.81943k2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.071383-0.93%0.06472-10.17%0.0879✓0.13397k2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.568-0.91%4.31-6.51%0.0177✓0.531.3M2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.113369-0.90%0.1034-9.62%0.0300✓0.82169k2022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash66.0165.4162-0.90%56.74-14.04%0.0555✓1.141.2M2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.57680.571826-0.86%0.5573-3.38%0.0330✗0.77867k2022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.321832-0.85%0.2979-8.23%0.0109✓0.875.8M2022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.311268-0.85%0.283015-9.85%0.0179✓1.02514k2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.5995-0.85%9.36-12.44%0.0314✓1.22281k2022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012256-0.84%0.01206-2.43%0.0330✗0.65228k2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.023313-0.84%0.02055-12.59%0.0655✓0.809.2M2022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.919264-0.84%0.810979-12.52%0.0643✓0.8052k2022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.021083-0.83%0.02106-0.94%0.0546✗0.73234k2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.801314-0.83%0.7411-8.28%0.0156✓0.82537k2022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1943-0.82%1.0589-12.07%0.0098✓1.454.5M2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.1905-0.77%3.867-8.43%0.0443✓0.472.1M2022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.289951-0.77%0.2626-10.13%0.0292✓0.922.7M2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.2894-0.75%3.874-10.37%0.0794✓0.302.2M2022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.004129-0.75%0.00373-10.34%0.0314✓0.92111k2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.8748-0.74%11.2265-13.45%0.0673✓0.9222k2022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.287854-0.74%0.26134-9.89%0.0215✓0.9914k2022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0728-0.71%1.003-7.17%0.0066✓0.8038k2022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.95525-0.70%0.896-6.86%0.0298✗1.231.5M2022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6951.3328-0.69%54.06+4.59%0.1435✗1.219,1802022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.850504-0.69%0.8516-0.56%0.1056✗1.3794k2022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.730.725014-0.68%0.7-4.11%0.0122✓0.3052k2022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.063487-0.68%0.060443-5.44%0.0281✗1.021.3M2022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.3175-0.67%1.1346-14.45%0.0656✓1.101.1M2022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9132.0268-0.66%119.59-10.02%0.0143✓1.114.4M2022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.220267-0.65%0.2047-7.67%0.0011✓0.9557k2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.27522-0.64%0.262-5.42%0.0060✓0.73563k2022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.063195-0.64%0.0646+1.57%0.0831✗0.8082k2022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.045932-0.63%0.042068-8.99%0.0270✓0.8029k2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.825-0.62%8.46-4.73%0.0065✓0.472.2M2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.2919-0.57%2.9941-9.57%0.0209✓0.9719k2022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.413181-0.56%0.346-16.73%0.0960✓1.07215k2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.8318-0.56%1.8924+2.73%0.1008✗0.901.2M2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.38130.379211-0.55%0.3492-8.42%0.0019✓1.11348k2022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.163242-0.52%0.151-7.98%0.0070✓0.931,1642022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1560.8411-0.51%55.93-8.54%0.0110✓0.9613.1M2022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.496822-0.50%0.4634-7.19%0.0137✗1.10384k2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.021684-0.49%0.020411-6.33%0.0015✓0.7813k2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.974747-0.49%0.8768-10.48%0.0177✓1.16899k2022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,710.96-0.48%1,433.73-16.61%0.0783✓1.30617.0M2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.025877-0.47%0.02271-12.65%0.0361✓1.242,9582022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003280.003265-0.47%0.00319-2.74%0.0498✗0.96483k2022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.332227-0.47%0.30013-10.08%0.0436✓0.76332k2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.352568-0.45%0.32095-9.38%0.0210✓0.9635k2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007805-0.45%0.00771-1.66%0.0686✗1.06406k2022-09-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.102953-0.43%0.0959-7.25%0.0177✓0.702,7842022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5021,274.22-0.42%19,801.04-7.32%0.0042✓1.00480.9M2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.6384-0.42%1.5208-7.57%0.0053✗1.05247k2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.13685-0.40%0.1213-11.72%0.0829✓0.503.0M2022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038958-0.36%0.0352-9.97%0.0356✓0.8777k2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.330811-0.36%0.3144-5.30%0.0288✗1.0587k2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.47e-7-0.36%8.30e-7-12.63%0.0736✓0.7615k2022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.4874-0.35%5.824-10.54%0.0135✓1.246.9M2022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.420.3325-0.33%18.06-11.47%0.0269✓1.2118.8M2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.114031-0.33%0.107109-6.38%0.0007✓0.836.5M2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.012.0037-0.31%1.715-14.68%0.0330✓1.6165k2022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.213857-0.30%0.1907-11.10%0.0204✓1.24139k2022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.2304-0.29%1.173-4.94%0.0217✗0.911.1M2022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.0375-0.27%0.0374-0.53%0.0524✗0.727,8252022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.556431-0.26%0.49675-10.96%0.0190✓1.2441k2022-09-16
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.08e-7-0.25%8.20e-7-9.89%0.0445✓0.751.8M2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.063842-0.25%0.0575-10.16%0.0137✓1.20608k2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.09828-0.22%0.0976-0.91%0.0618✗0.90359k2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6823-0.16%1.475-12.46%0.0744✓0.7551k2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.228853-0.15%0.19-17.10%0.1279✓0.7767k2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.501477-0.14%0.4748-5.46%0.0135✗0.9037.9M2022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero161.29161.0695-0.14%149.19-7.50%0.0003✓1.001.3M2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.03891-0.13%0.03549-8.91%0.0333✓0.772,4552022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.135148-0.11%0.1221-9.76%0.0237✓1.021.4M2022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51255.4528-0.11%52.013-6.30%0.0069✓0.75287k2022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum27.2127.1829-0.10%24.08-11.50%0.0505✓0.936.8M2022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.3972-0.08%0.37431-5.84%0.0107✗0.9231k2022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana34.6934.6643-0.07%32.23-7.09%0.0075✗1.0660.5M2022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.013238-0.07%0.012294-7.20%0.0263✓0.63929k2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.229543-0.07%0.2244-2.31%0.0451✗0.89537k2022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04691.0462-0.07%0.9744-6.93%0.0310✓0.532.8M2022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.185065-0.02%0.155-16.26%0.0790✓1.291,5202022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.053094-0.01%0.0498-6.21%0.0125✗1.01234k2022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.31374.3132-0.01%4.2657-1.11%0.0473✗0.77724k2022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.042573+0.01%0.039113-8.12%0.0471✗0.5025k2022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.141308+0.01%0.13109-7.22%0.0101✓1.12163k2022-09-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.497127+0.03%0.418-15.90%0.0828✗1.194,5592022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.846787+0.03%0.82039-3.09%0.0373✓0.9114k2022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.046212+0.05%0.04256-7.86%0.0286✗0.7114k2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.6191+0.08%9.137-4.93%0.0182✓0.921.2M2022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005845+0.09%0.00531-9.08%0.0488✗0.62951k2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.4867+0.11%1.38-7.07%0.0093✓1.1071k2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4317+0.12%1.44+0.70%0.0105✗-0.21128k2022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.060284+0.14%0.0555-7.81%0.0139✗0.9180k2022-09-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8021,406.15+0.16%19,713.60-7.76%0.0107✗0.9413k2022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.04758+0.17%0.043-9.47%0.0329✗0.90138k2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0475.0556+0.17%4.665-7.57%0.0188✓1.316.4M2022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.444886+0.20%0.434-2.25%0.0509✓1.007,7812022-09-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.9801+0.23%4.9422-0.54%0.0007✓0.09115k2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum103.35103.6179+0.26%107.74+4.25%0.0988✓0.793.4M2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.006234+0.30%0.005888-5.27%0.0047✗0.692,0942022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9993.0081+0.30%2.596-13.44%0.0400✗1.413.0M2022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.074319+0.34%0.06705-9.48%0.0183✗1.1125k2022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.067565+0.35%0.0652-3.16%0.0313✓0.886022022-09-16
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.063636+0.40%0.061288-3.31%0.0074✓0.59123k2022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.171127+0.42%0.15812-7.21%0.0850✓2.164042022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001559+0.49%0.001658+6.90%0.1200✓0.77374k2022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1491.7225+0.64%79.37-12.91%0.0364✗1.426.0M2022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.8657+0.85%1.76-4.86%0.0257✗0.4363k2022-09-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2817.4661+1.08%16.31-5.61%0.0078✓0.801.6M2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.