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2022-08-31 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1839
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.3%
in alpha space · 60.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0320.3411+6.89%17.23-9.46%0.1389✗0.701.6M2022-09-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.032.0529+1.13%1.9-6.40%0.0580✗0.5193k2022-09-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.062269+0.26%0.06023-3.03%0.0077✓1.072.0M2022-09-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.061397+0.20%0.061067-0.34%0.0352✓1.061.5M2022-09-07
SOLSolanaSolana31.531.5495+0.16%32.7+3.81%0.0804✓1.1665.9M2022-09-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.15312+0.01%0.1561+1.96%0.0621✓1.121,5282022-09-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.059502+0.00%0.0621+4.37%0.0759✓0.87101k2022-09-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002991-0.08%0.002775-7.31%0.0399✓0.921.1M2022-09-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.148-0.09%2.38+10.70%0.1465✗1.14217k2022-09-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4132.3456-0.20%37.27+15.00%0.1995✗1.5112.7M2022-09-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03471.0326-0.20%1.2517+20.97%0.2393✗1.22996k2022-09-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.473828-0.25%0.492+3.58%0.0838✗1.202,7102022-09-07
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8584.5509-0.35%87.55+3.18%0.0932✗1.526.2M2022-09-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.344957-0.36%0.4211+21.63%0.2473✗1.25176k2022-09-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.01353-0.37%0.01205-11.27%0.0902✓0.67201k2022-09-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.09991-0.39%0.0988-1.50%0.0164✗0.722,5272022-09-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,911.53-0.39%19,273.80-3.58%0.0036✓0.9415k2022-09-07
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1426.1158-0.43%6.116-0.42%0.0500✗1.308.9M2022-09-07
GTGateEthereum4.30084.2823-0.43%4.0099-6.76%0.0360✓0.77798k2022-09-07
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8372-0.47%4.81-1.03%0.0269✗0.851.5M2022-09-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.143784-0.50%0.1353-6.37%0.0216✓1.02130k2022-09-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.6418-0.50%1.799+9.03%0.1271✗0.93579k2022-09-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.5948-0.50%7.083+6.86%0.1118✗1.0517.4M2022-09-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001495-0.53%0.001555+3.46%0.0765✗0.97424k2022-09-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.154793-0.57%0.15269-1.92%0.0644✗2.035722022-09-07
METISMetisEthereum31.0330.849-0.58%29.12-6.16%0.0151✗1.90288k2022-09-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.231026-0.63%0.231-0.65%0.0345✗0.9076k2022-09-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.181238-0.64%0.1787-2.03%0.0388✗1.382,2912022-09-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.668676-0.64%0.647-3.86%0.0133✗1.214.1M2022-09-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.5121-0.65%1.458-4.20%0.0087✗1.1870k2022-09-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035461-0.67%0.035-1.96%0.0171✗0.799,5472022-09-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.10366-0.68%0.10297-1.34%0.0243✗0.817.0M2022-09-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.890482-0.68%0.82479-8.01%0.0379✓1.0113k2022-09-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.1447-0.68%2.2808+5.62%0.1043✗1.1213k2022-09-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081525-0.70%0.0973+18.51%0.2128✗0.9411k2022-09-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.7088-0.70%2.618-4.03%0.0006✓0.87706k2022-09-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91551.5472-0.71%51.856-0.11%0.0345✗0.74302k2022-09-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.7264-0.73%4.42-7.16%0.0157✓1.348.5M2022-09-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.6037-0.73%7.48-2.35%0.0251✗1.08430k2022-09-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.657948-0.76%0.656-1.06%0.0302✗0.86228k2022-09-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.020102-0.78%0.02145+5.87%0.0967✗0.8311.1M2022-09-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.042789-0.79%0.041657-3.41%0.0070✓0.5227k2022-09-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.945946-0.79%0.968+1.52%0.0420✗0.493.6M2022-09-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1954-0.80%1.149-4.65%0.0015✓0.991.6M2022-09-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.242717-0.81%0.231-5.60%0.0134✓0.9475k2022-09-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.166613-0.83%0.16825+0.15%0.0469✗0.97324k2022-09-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.006138-0.84%0.00557-10.02%0.0726✓0.641.0M2022-09-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.317604-0.84%0.3125-2.44%0.0285✗1.17138k2022-09-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.10243-0.84%0.1151+11.42%0.1495✗0.86188k2022-09-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.089141-0.84%0.0951+5.78%0.1013✗0.95381k2022-09-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.209407-0.85%0.2023-4.21%0.0049✓1.0358k2022-09-07
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.4979-0.85%1.4901-1.37%0.0379✗1.12296k2022-09-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.331202-0.89%0.32554-2.58%0.0207✗0.9945k2022-09-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,540.07-0.90%1,629.92+4.89%0.1095✗1.38660.9M2022-09-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.9574-0.90%19.01-0.63%0.0524✗1.2922.5M2022-09-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.135736-0.91%0.13448-1.83%0.0366✗1.20190k2022-09-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005617-0.91%0.005885+3.82%0.0731✗0.692,1952022-09-07
XMRMoneroMonero149.22147.8223-0.94%149.27+0.03%0.0488✗1.021.3M2022-09-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.510115-0.95%0.52+0.97%0.0630✗1.1483k2022-09-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.414017-0.95%0.41-1.91%0.0293✗1.027,9102022-09-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.665844-0.96%0.6503-3.27%0.0297✗1.39226k2022-09-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.021311-0.97%0.020266-5.83%0.0193✓0.8113k2022-09-07
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.2626-0.97%1.276+0.08%0.0561✗1.19460k2022-09-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.9924-0.97%2.036+1.19%0.0651✗1.1342k2022-09-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.6891-0.99%5.852+1.84%0.0611✗0.869.1M2022-09-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.885715-0.99%0.879731-1.66%0.0251✗0.8360k2022-09-07
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.226814-1.00%0.2128-7.11%0.0292✓0.90489k2022-09-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.9623-1.00%7.201+2.39%0.0734✗1.0410.9M2022-09-07
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.441287-1.01%0.4788+7.40%0.1175✗0.9437.1M2022-09-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.071997-1.02%0.07208-0.91%0.0458✗1.1626k2022-09-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,842.40-1.03%19,293.52-3.76%0.0103✓1.00504.7M2022-09-07
QNTQuantEthereum96.4795.4758-1.03%95.72-0.78%0.0355✗0.863.5M2022-09-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.056802-1.04%0.056-2.44%0.0214✗0.9398k2022-09-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.101529-1.04%0.104+1.36%0.0652✗1.073.1M2022-09-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.00849-1.05%0.00887+3.38%0.0715✗0.725.5M2022-09-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.300914-1.05%0.3055+0.46%0.0563✗1.07107k2022-09-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8453.2726-1.05%57.3+6.43%0.1105✗0.9812.6M2022-09-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.8948-1.06%1.835-4.18%0.0324✗1.6883k2022-09-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.93255-1.08%0.9023-4.29%0.0133✗1.21912k2022-09-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.137996-1.08%0.1417+1.58%0.0652✗1.01509k2022-09-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2953-1.12%1.41+7.63%0.1197✗0.91111k2022-09-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.045411-1.13%0.04288-6.64%0.0299✓0.7115k2022-09-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.02427-1.14%0.02405-2.04%0.0399✗1.283,4352022-09-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.521972-1.14%0.499-5.49%0.0048✓1.0576k2022-09-07
ZECZcashZcash59.8859.1927-1.15%59.37-0.85%0.0474✗1.161.7M2022-09-07
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.126134-1.15%0.1286+0.78%0.0590✗1.031.7M2022-09-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.762742-1.19%0.76248-1.22%0.0333✗0.88509k2022-09-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.278647-1.19%0.262-7.09%0.0339✓0.72668k2022-09-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16113.7785-1.20%118.71+3.08%0.0862✗1.144.6M2022-09-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.3221-1.22%6.38-0.31%0.0281✗0.502.1M2022-09-07
KSMKusamaHydration47.4246.8391-1.23%48.41+2.09%0.0709✗0.99522k2022-09-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,910.49-1.23%9,334.02+3.47%0.0994✗1.386.0M2022-09-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0574-1.25%1.0053-6.12%0.0175✓0.8644k2022-09-07
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.06263-1.26%0.061842-2.50%0.0107✓0.61142k2022-09-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.061416-1.26%0.0605-2.73%0.0340✗1.28908k2022-09-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.1031-1.26%2.48+16.43%0.1939✗0.76287k2022-09-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.056967-1.27%0.0525-9.01%0.0382✓1.13258k2022-09-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.8844-1.30%9.204+2.26%0.0717✗0.951.4M2022-09-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.8841-1.30%3.12+6.78%0.0978✗0.50650k2022-09-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037938-1.33%0.03677-4.37%0.0002✓0.812,7072022-09-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.453272-1.33%0.466+1.44%0.0715✗1.14383k2022-09-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.121946-1.34%0.1192-3.56%0.0172✗1.0423k2022-09-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4108-1.34%1.436+0.42%0.0625✗1.17116k2022-09-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.284604-1.35%0.2991+3.67%0.0842✗0.906.0M2022-09-07
DASHDashDash44.5543.9474-1.35%44.91+0.81%0.0588✗0.97438k2022-09-07
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1446.4966-1.36%48.66+3.22%0.0934✗1.259,8512022-09-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.215407-1.37%0.2023-7.37%0.0128✓1.30135k2022-09-07
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.04332-1.41%0.042524-3.22%0.0139✓0.8529k2022-09-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.543306-1.43%0.51799-6.02%0.0027✓1.3135k2022-09-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.346263-1.43%0.341-2.93%0.0259✗1.07116k2022-09-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034384-1.48%0.0387+10.89%0.1533✗0.9186k2022-09-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.049549-1.49%0.0487-3.18%0.0201✗0.97217k2022-09-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7184-1.49%4.49-6.26%0.0292✓0.531.1M2022-09-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.043337-1.51%0.0466+5.91%0.1094✗0.96147k2022-09-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006397-1.51%0.006303-2.96%0.0011✓0.4158k2022-09-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.122-1.53%1.234+8.30%0.1290✗0.881.3M2022-09-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.012972-1.55%0.012555-4.71%0.0085✓0.63932k2022-09-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.243168-1.55%0.1458-40.97%0.5115✓-0.0091k2022-09-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.512.3049-1.56%14.81+18.48%0.2259✗1.061.9M2022-09-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.652306-1.61%0.632-4.68%0.0058✓0.98207k2022-09-07
STXStacksnative0.3650.359109-1.61%0.3511-3.81%0.0219✗1.16384k2022-09-07
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.66e-7-1.62%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0468✗0.791.9M2022-09-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7885-1.62%1.717-5.56%0.0059✓0.91121k2022-09-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.56e-7-1.63%8.90e-7+2.30%0.0697✗0.7916k2022-09-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.293191-1.64%0.283458-4.91%0.0080✓1.09547k2022-09-07
QTUMQtumQtum3.1493.0966-1.66%3.096-1.68%0.0385✗1.0125k2022-09-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3812.1739-1.67%12.2966-0.67%0.0472✗0.9730k2022-09-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.256.1456-1.67%6.476+3.62%0.0852✗0.864.9M2022-09-07
FTTFTXEthereum26.7326.2783-1.69%25.99-2.77%0.0263✗0.977.3M2022-09-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.6983-1.70%1.7442+0.96%0.0636✗0.961.2M2022-09-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.6793-1.70%3.906+4.35%0.0969✗0.97259k2022-09-07
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.1098-1.70%1.172+3.81%0.1204✗1.713.2M2022-09-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.022642-1.73%0.02083-9.59%0.0525✓0.81459k2022-09-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.817981-1.77%0.8269-0.70%0.0507✗1.041.7M2022-09-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.064974-1.82%0.06413-3.10%0.0202✗0.877702022-09-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.047517-1.82%0.0476-1.65%0.0398✗0.99781k2022-09-07
FLOWFlownative2.0722.034-1.83%1.861-10.18%0.0370✓1.351.3M2022-09-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.9124-1.86%10.18+0.79%0.0736✗1.22313k2022-09-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.9031-1.89%2.988+0.98%0.0878✗1.543.7M2022-09-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.311916-1.89%0.32271+1.50%0.0650✗0.81340k2022-09-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.27546-1.94%0.2762-1.67%0.0391✗0.953.1M2022-09-07
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.197084-1.95%0.1972-1.89%0.0390✗1.00116k2022-09-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2716.93-1.97%17.6+1.91%0.0652✗0.69818k2022-09-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1413.8615-1.97%13.5-4.53%0.0159✓1.10909k2022-09-07
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.36437-1.97%0.37324+0.41%0.0606✗0.9540k2022-09-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.129782-1.98%0.1298-1.96%0.0202✗0.523.5M2022-09-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000011841-1.98%0.00001225+1.41%0.0703✗0.95776k2022-09-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007826-2.05%0.00764-4.38%0.0189✓1.12477k2022-09-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.656-2.08%8.83-0.11%0.0386✗0.491.9M2022-09-07
PROPropyEthereum0.730.714635-2.10%0.74+1.37%0.0461✗0.2979k2022-09-07
HIVEHivenative0.55730.545503-2.12%0.5294-5.01%0.0023✓0.841.1M2022-09-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001313-2.13%0.001314-2.06%0.0309✗0.792.1M2022-09-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001526-2.19%0.001547-0.83%0.0405✗0.709,0932022-09-07
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000043528-2.23%0.00004184-6.02%0.0064✓0.861.7M2022-09-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.429047-2.27%0.4026-8.29%0.0193✓1.15100k2022-09-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.5553-2.28%12.933+9.37%0.1553✗1.1111.4M2022-09-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7529-2.29%1.8105+0.93%0.0738✗1.0830k2022-09-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.3464-2.31%4.366-1.87%0.0139✓0.242.3M2022-09-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.341905-2.31%0.3732+6.63%0.1235✗0.94347k2022-09-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.034351-2.39%0.03452-1.90%0.0435✗1.0140k2022-09-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.9021-2.40%6.217+2.81%0.0702✗0.484.4M2022-09-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.5367-2.44%6.41-4.33%0.0011✓0.481.7M2022-09-07
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.14-2.51%14.93-3.86%0.0286✗1.11107k2022-09-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.1173-2.53%1.1669+1.80%0.1022✗1.534.5M2022-09-07
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.003936-2.56%0.00388-3.96%0.0235✓0.99144k2022-09-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.303665-2.58%0.27496-11.79%0.0591✓1.0512k2022-09-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4801-2.63%1.46-3.95%0.0185✓-0.13128k2022-09-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.2154-2.80%4.093-5.63%0.0110✓0.482.0M2022-09-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.079181-2.83%0.07081-13.11%0.1098✓0.05451k2022-09-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.4383-3.06%5.33-4.99%0.0027✓0.452.0M2022-09-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.489901-3.07%0.5039-0.30%0.0571✗0.75544k2022-09-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.6197-3.13%5.1445-11.32%0.0843✓0.10115k2022-09-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.879332-3.37%1.047+15.05%0.1888✗0.374.0M2022-09-07
XVGVergenative0.003350.003235-3.42%0.00306-8.66%0.0171✓1.01486k2022-09-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.210435-3.43%0.1935-11.20%0.0516✓0.843.1M2022-09-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.9032-3.66%4.6305+14.29%0.1939✗0.604.2M2022-09-07
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0381-3.70%0.901-16.42%0.0934✓1.261.5M2022-09-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00512.5095-3.81%12.639-2.81%0.0303✓0.529.7M2022-09-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-78.85e-7-4.34%8.10e-7-12.47%0.0571✓0.831.3M2022-09-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.858305-4.88%0.8265-8.40%0.0180✓1.45167k2022-09-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.109943-5.30%0.1238+6.63%0.1468✗0.73216k2022-09-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.028658-5.46%0.024937-17.74%0.1342✓0.13280k2022-09-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.2672-5.46%6.9285+4.51%0.1091✗0.235.4M2022-09-07
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.5362-6.04%4.8-0.57%0.0949✗1.00150k2022-09-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86117.2308-8.02%7.6265-2.98%0.0669✓0.367.0M2022-09-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000202988-8.38%0.00043861+97.96%0.7990✗0.74429k2022-09-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.