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2022-08-22 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2525
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.4%
in alpha space · 36.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
STXStacksnative0.3870.39585+2.29%0.3701-4.37%0.0054✓1.16492k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2055.3224+2.26%4.983-4.27%0.0068✓1.3610.1M2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0033.0698+2.22%3.47+15.55%0.2067✓1.585.0M2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157720.161175+2.19%0.15839+0.42%0.0955✓2.126362022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022530.022957+1.89%0.02267+0.62%0.0340✓0.8713.0M2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5950.605747+1.81%0.525-11.76%0.0773✗1.232,8642022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5151.5422+1.80%1.495-1.32%0.0317✓1.18147k2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.069595+1.75%0.06651-2.76%0.0140✓1.112.4M2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.139291+1.67%0.1311-4.31%0.0086✓0.972.1M2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7191.7474+1.65%1.615-6.05%0.0148✓1.20121k2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0833.1328+1.61%3.276+6.26%0.0786✓0.64749k2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4390.44603+1.60%0.441+0.46%0.0420✓1.008,8922022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16490.167518+1.59%0.1725+4.61%0.1012✓1.351,6582022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,122.2021,454.50+1.57%20,303.80-3.87%0.0044✓0.958,8302022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.046814+1.55%0.0441-4.34%0.0074✓0.98187k2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.932120.946181+1.51%0.87542-6.08%0.0261✗0.9713k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.862663+1.49%0.8693+2.27%0.0651✓1.082.2M2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41252.4481+1.48%2.1453-11.08%0.0676✗1.2113k2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.390680.396391+1.46%0.3855-1.33%0.0224✓0.9470k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12140.123075+1.38%0.123+1.32%0.0533✓1.0138k2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.046834+1.37%0.04816+4.24%0.0644✓0.6816k2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.797.8949+1.35%7.74-0.64%0.0395✓1.11638k2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06550.06637+1.33%0.0617-5.80%0.0081✓1.221.2M2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058170.005895+1.33%0.005874+0.98%0.0321✓0.672,6422022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361850.366632+1.32%0.3476-3.94%0.0020✓0.9690k2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1840.186424+1.32%0.174-5.43%0.0118✓1.07608k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10510.106421+1.26%0.101-3.90%0.0146✗0.713,6712022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37550.380132+1.23%0.3367-10.33%0.0531✗1.28182k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum88.5189.5772+1.21%85.76-3.11%0.0386✓1.546.5M2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.037633+1.16%0.0365-1.88%0.0191✓0.9381k2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.170188+1.12%0.164-2.55%0.0203✓1.081,7442022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6713.8218+1.11%12.6-7.83%0.0320✗1.142.2M2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative9.5829.6841+1.07%9.1-5.03%0.0113✗0.951.9M2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.575403+1.00%0.55401-2.75%0.0307✓1.2945k2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25410.256611+0.99%0.2484-2.24%0.0181✓0.9584k2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03641.0466+0.98%0.9656-6.83%0.0509✗0.563.8M2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.060286+0.98%0.0606+1.51%0.0543✓0.92120k2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3826.4437+0.97%6.682+4.70%0.0858✓0.935.3M2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.5891.6043+0.96%1.5357-3.35%0.0147✓1.10494k2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03441.0444+0.96%–pending––1.1112k2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001763+0.95%0.001636-6.30%0.0272✗0.89766k2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum32.7633.0698+0.95%32.49-0.82%0.0823✓1.87365k2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana35.4335.7648+0.95%32.41-8.52%0.0367✗1.1681.1M2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21830.220356+0.94%0.2102-3.71%0.0062✓1.0072k2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum3.47033.5028+0.93%3.1823-8.30%0.0430✗0.9938k2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.191.2011+0.93%1.1021-7.39%0.0197✗1.241.0M2022-08-29
OPTIMOptimism1.1691.1799+0.93%1.174+0.43%0.0866✓1.723.5M2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.1153+0.92%1.955-6.73%0.0138✓1.74115k2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0683810.069006+0.91%0.063828-6.66%0.0234✗1.021.9M2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0531.0623+0.88%0.987-6.27%0.0090✗1.211.1M2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35070.353685+0.85%0.3223-8.10%0.0319✗1.15110k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2302+0.84%1.189-2.54%0.0185✓0.992.1M2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003210.003237+0.83%0.00301-6.23%0.0175✗1.03537k2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0656310.066173+0.83%0.063437-3.34%0.0112✗0.58164k2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3913+0.82%1.33-3.62%0.0060✓0.96182k2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum50.4550.8563+0.81%48.57-3.73%0.0198✓1.2315k2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036870.037163+0.79%0.03677-0.27%0.0421✓0.9923k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073130.073709+0.79%0.07284-0.40%0.0516✓1.1929k2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum5.665.7043+0.78%5.12-9.54%0.0630✗0.841.6M2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14060.141681+0.77%0.13956-0.74%0.0508✓1.23243k2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.282145+0.77%0.283+1.07%0.0415✓0.72878k2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.97e-7+0.75%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0352✓0.802.7M2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.295310.297472+0.73%0.30106+1.95%0.0677✓1.0413k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49050.494087+0.73%0.4607-6.08%0.0106✗1.11419k2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.071206+0.73%0.06742-4.63%0.0111✗0.829772022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040891+0.72%0.0373-8.13%0.0464✗0.8511k2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022240.022395+0.70%0.02336+5.04%0.0856✓0.81419k2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9837.0317+0.70%6.339-9.22%0.0343✗1.3010.7M2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4267+0.69%2.15-10.79%0.0561✗1.22281k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.46150.464693+0.69%0.4505-2.38%0.0247✓1.0542.0M2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14670.14766+0.65%0.148+0.89%0.0557✓1.00149k2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40220.404783+0.64%0.4238+5.37%0.1051✓1.1176k2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero153.73154.7128+0.64%152.71-0.66%0.0402✓1.001.1M2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.1918.3059+0.64%17.22-5.33%0.0235✗0.711.7M2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06850.068933+0.63%0.0637-7.01%0.0300✗0.92121k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.8294+0.63%1.768-2.75%0.0168✓0.96151k2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35741.3654+0.59%1.2628-6.97%0.0275✗0.951.3M2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11110.111733+0.57%0.1063-4.32%0.0074✓1.073.7M2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1094920.110111+0.57%0.105918-3.26%0.0070✓0.867.8M2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08910.089598+0.56%0.0843-5.39%0.0091✗0.9711k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0457.0839+0.55%6.7-4.90%0.0011✓1.0719.5M2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.051179+0.55%0.0491-3.54%0.0102✓0.97798k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38340.385491+0.55%0.3499-8.74%0.0303✗1.25239k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.710.713732+0.53%0.74+4.23%0.0564✓0.38105k2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase13.476313.5455+0.51%12.6602-6.06%0.0164✗0.9644k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7130.716641+0.51%0.698-2.10%0.0208✓0.88263k2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.23270.233881+0.51%0.2257-3.01%0.0125✓0.90528k2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11060.111131+0.48%0.1045-5.52%0.0153✗0.87256k2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3056220.307039+0.46%0.305285-0.11%0.0519✓1.08805k2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.1336+0.43%10.28+1.88%0.0774✓1.18318k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.56854.5882+0.43%4.397-3.75%0.0011✓0.78827k2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039920.040089+0.42%0.03792-5.01%0.0118✗0.822,6252022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.94e-7+0.42%8.80e-7-1.12%0.0284✓0.8218k2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,398.2521,487.00+0.41%20,286.97-5.19%0.0041✗1.00469.7M2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.09810.098505+0.41%0.0924-5.81%0.0138✗0.94430k2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase0.9134550.917166+0.41%0.918733+0.58%0.0439✓0.7977k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29050.291647+0.39%0.291+0.17%0.0484✓0.953.5M2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.0456570.045835+0.39%0.044565-2.39%0.0169✓0.8432k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026250.026348+0.37%0.02554-2.70%0.0365✓1.273,2032022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.8221+0.37%27.34-1.37%0.0336✓0.968.3M2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.7840.786729+0.35%0.6813-13.10%0.0678✗1.43325k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12830.128744+0.35%0.1306+1.79%0.0440✓0.564.2M2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0213280.021401+0.34%0.020994-1.57%0.0242✓0.8113k2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum107.36107.7168+0.33%101.16-5.77%0.0176✗0.853.4M2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.0617.1165+0.33%16.44-3.63%0.0185✓1.10125k2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.3514+0.32%1.263-6.24%0.0020✓1.23518k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10795.1238+0.31%5.2836+3.44%0.0384✓0.14171k2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.00410.004113+0.31%0.00407-0.73%0.0422✓0.99152k2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3269+0.30%2.13-8.19%0.0441✗0.83778k2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2170.217627+0.29%0.2219+2.26%0.0916✓1.35111k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014260.014298+0.27%0.013701-3.92%0.0083✗0.641.6M2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.0965.2641+0.27%63.75-2.06%0.0364✓1.121.9M2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831610.833615+0.24%0.79536-4.36%0.0021✓0.92524k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9181.9222+0.22%1.8412-4.00%0.0136✓1.0636k2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.049660.049759+0.20%0.044446-10.50%0.0841✗0.5430k2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5622.6029+0.19%19.33-14.32%0.0873✗1.3024.5M2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2814.3033+0.16%13.83-3.15%0.0319✓1.231.3M2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,930.038,943.17+0.15%9,081.72+1.70%0.0879✓1.367.3M2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009290.009303+0.14%0.00891-4.09%0.0029✗0.756.4M2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.891.8924+0.13%1.729-8.52%0.0418✗0.91718k2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37730.377738+0.12%0.3664-2.89%0.0285✓1.11175k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50310.503683+0.12%0.523+3.96%0.0807✓0.81661k2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1944+0.11%2.089-4.70%0.0121✓1.1559k2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3236.3299+0.11%6.015-4.87%0.0057✗0.8510.1M2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000038840.000038875+0.09%0.00004993+28.55%0.2975✓0.881.8M2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0035020.003505+0.08%0.003238-7.54%0.0334✗0.861.1M2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0534.0776+0.08%33.55-1.47%0.0607✓1.4316.0M2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.30343+0.08%0.2981-1.68%0.0314✓0.928.2M2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29155.3312+0.07%54.194-1.98%0.0189✓0.74330k2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4017.4056+0.06%7.276-1.69%0.0369✓1.0214.0M2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7010.701417+0.06%0.672-4.14%0.0060✓0.92322k2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.552299+0.05%0.527-4.53%0.0134✓1.1395k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.68122.7408+0.05%119.61-2.50%0.0335✓1.114.9M2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.06413+0.05%0.0576-10.14%0.0459✗1.15282k2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.13821.1386+0.04%1.0621-6.68%0.0239✗0.8655k2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2257.2234+0.01%55.79-2.50%0.0278✓1.0013.5M2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,624.781,624.34-0.03%1,551.65-4.50%0.0254✗1.33576.1M2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006978-0.03%0.00649-7.02%0.0381✓0.641.3M2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.27440.274259-0.05%0.2566-6.49%0.0143✓0.98118k2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000091530.000091477-0.06%0.0001317+43.89%0.4076✗0.81314k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09951.0988-0.07%1.0799-1.78%0.0618✗1.484.7M2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.722.7174-0.09%2.24-17.65%0.1667✓0.5093k2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7040.703083-0.13%0.684-2.84%0.0446✗1.354.8M2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.148926-0.25%0.1447-3.08%0.0225✗0.96614k2022-08-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.211963-0.25%0.2019-4.99%0.0047✗1.00152k2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013160.000013124-0.27%0.00001248-5.17%0.0015✓0.92864k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.90.897117-0.32%0.989+9.89%0.1624✗1.221.2M2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.8762.8666-0.33%2.856-0.70%0.0412✗0.84749k2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08720.086887-0.36%0.08429-3.34%0.0255✓0.09916k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05330.053103-0.37%0.0525-1.50%0.0418✗1.00253k2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.851694-0.39%0.946+10.64%0.1276✗0.424.4M2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.55350.551335-0.39%0.5461-1.34%0.0380✗0.891.9M2022-08-29
DASHDashDash47.2347.0395-0.40%47.46+0.49%0.0607✗0.97493k2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0911.0427-0.43%11.438+3.14%0.0944✗1.1110.0M2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.321710.320255-0.45%0.36085+12.17%0.1686✗0.92342k2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82160.81758-0.49%0.7824-4.77%0.0342✗1.47205k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.01766-0.51%0.0151-14.93%0.1201✓0.68167k2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.3792-0.57%4.53-16.27%0.1497✓0.411.5M2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative2.132.1167-0.63%1.919-9.91%0.0282✓1.311.2M2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.649.5796-0.63%8.46-12.24%0.1010✓0.442.6M2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92681.9125-0.74%1.7099-11.26%0.0548✓1.07781k2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.258768-0.93%0.2615+0.11%0.0110✗0.0187k2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.956.8737-1.10%6.38-8.20%0.0541✓0.381.6M2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067980.006721-1.13%0.006696-1.50%0.0200✗0.4557k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration50.5850.0027-1.14%50.12-0.91%0.0556✗1.00560k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9784.9209-1.15%4.177-16.09%0.1465✓0.331.7M2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008333-1.26%0.00853+1.07%0.0846✗1.15477k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6230.615071-1.27%0.553-11.24%0.0482✓1.0996k2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014850.001466-1.29%0.001401-5.63%0.0035✓0.781.6M2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5772-1.42%1.44-10.00%0.0937✓-0.05105k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403240.396022-1.79%0.33586-16.71%0.1118✓0.99435k2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10.09815-1.85%0.1032+3.20%0.0872✗0.69234k2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.3985-1.86%5.31-18.56%0.1668✓0.373.3M2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0235640.023116-1.90%0.023085-2.03%0.0049✓0.12240k2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.1196.9823-1.92%6.102-14.29%0.1182✓0.315.3M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum45.244.3175-1.95%35-22.57%0.1884✓0.891.8M2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.41986.2816-2.15%5.7778-10.00%0.0746✓0.173.1M2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.2855.1645-2.28%4.266-19.28%0.1860✓0.102.3M2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.036.8643-2.36%6.29-10.53%0.0676✓0.372.4M2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.22280.217062-2.58%0.2159-3.10%0.0381✗0.811.8M2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48424.3463-3.07%3.8811-13.45%0.0842✓0.542.1M2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.81e-76.59e-7-3.20%8.65e-7+27.01%0.3125✗0.77180k2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017780.001711-3.77%0.001529-14.00%0.0742✓0.729,7092022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.5824-3.93%4.203-11.89%0.0346✓0.97139k2022-08-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.39494.2007-4.42%4.68+6.49%0.1614✗1.00173k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15355.8782-4.47%6.0774-1.24%0.0434✓0.192.1M2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.60713.8129-5.44%12.777-12.53%0.0542✓0.452.0M2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.