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2022-08-17 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1229
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-17.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.2%
in alpha space · 52.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.5704+1.87%3.034-13.44%0.0237✗1.575.2M2022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.026166+1.62%0.02382-7.50%0.0160✓0.8814.3M2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.45670.463342+1.45%0.3867-15.33%0.0823✗1.11808k2022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.1072+1.39%1.0301-5.67%0.0172✗0.623.9M2022-08-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.547234+1.32%0.4861-10.00%0.0194✗1.12388k2022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.922+1.21%1.766-7.00%0.0254✓1.25142k2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum66.0693+1.16%5.72-4.67%0.0212✓0.911.5M2022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.197512+1.08%0.171-12.49%0.0176✗1.431,3972022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.00658+0.92%0.005761-11.63%0.0709✗0.703,0362022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.305774+0.92%0.285-5.94%0.0068✓0.721.0M2022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9618.0304+0.87%7.045-11.51%0.0159✗1.3010.3M2022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.121923+0.85%0.1118-7.53%0.0241✗0.714,2082022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.413301+0.84%0.36794-10.23%0.0286✗0.9995k2022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum100.14100.9401+0.80%88.41-11.71%0.0027✓1.536.4M2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1076.1525+0.75%5.312-13.02%0.0269✗1.3611.8M2022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83134.7879+0.72%130.34-2.61%0.0639✓1.105.1M2022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.051263+0.71%0.0464-8.84%0.0134✗0.98212k2022-08-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.4373+0.71%3-12.10%0.0803✗0.63853k2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.198845+0.68%0.1725-12.66%0.0491✗1.051,7922022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.376608+0.67%0.3737-0.11%0.0904✓1.11105k2022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042983+0.66%0.0402-5.85%0.0157✓0.9411k2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.66e-7+0.61%9.10e-7-5.21%0.0100✓0.795.3M2022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.2193+0.61%1.1172-7.81%0.0099✗0.8855k2022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.3782+0.60%1.1971-12.62%0.0299✗1.261.1M2022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.3677+0.56%1.24-8.82%0.0095✗1.002.5M2022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.3307+0.56%5.386+1.60%0.0223✓0.14217k2022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.913878+0.54%0.886-2.53%0.0095✓0.464.4M2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana40.5540.7651+0.53%34.88-13.98%0.0505✗1.1981.1M2022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.146054+0.52%0.1328-8.60%0.0416✗0.614.4M2022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.159513+0.49%0.14186-10.63%0.0080✗1.24250k2022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative10.25610.3036+0.46%9.631-6.09%0.0182✓0.971.9M2022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.34968+0.46%0.308844-11.27%0.0316✗1.05916k2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.068434+0.45%0.06482-4.85%0.0002✓0.61182k2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.008174+0.42%0.0082+0.74%0.1014✓1.11456k2022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.969025+0.41%0.8581-11.09%0.0177✗1.182.2M2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.982179+0.40%0.935146-4.40%0.0169✓0.7577k2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.780.78314+0.40%0.74-5.13%0.0191✗0.42105k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007972+0.40%0.00698-12.09%0.0762✗0.641.6M2022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.4055+0.39%1.38-1.43%0.0238✗-0.06124k2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.775765+0.36%0.721-6.73%0.0102✓0.94344k2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3158.5076+0.34%51.17-12.24%0.0248✗1.2420k2022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.4152+0.32%1.5383+9.05%0.1667✓0.941.0M2022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3023,371.32+0.31%21,418.40-8.07%0.0013✓0.977,5932022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.07779+0.31%0.07009-9.62%0.0356✗0.789142022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.4827+0.27%2.176-12.12%0.0234✓1.76134k2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.17986+0.26%0.16688-6.98%0.1225✓2.236712022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.330538+0.25%0.34078+3.35%0.1089✓0.89402k2022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.066361+0.24%0.0606-8.46%0.0218✗0.78116k2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum30.1130.1803+0.23%27.55-8.50%0.0091✗0.939.1M2022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.121583+0.23%0.109482-9.75%0.0262✗0.897.8M2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.024915+0.22%0.02359-5.11%0.0242✓0.89310k2022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1723,392.47+0.22%21,367.12-8.46%0.0022✗1.00482.6M2022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.291909+0.21%0.2557-12.22%0.0504✗0.9381k2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.8556+0.19%13.8671-6.48%0.0154✓0.9553k2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.21741+0.19%0.186-14.29%0.0586✗1.10696k2022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5260.627+0.18%56.46-6.71%0.0172✓1.0013.5M2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.969411+0.17%0.8327-13.96%0.0690✗0.94623k2022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.5655+0.16%1.364-12.73%0.0248✗1.28529k2022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.47086+0.16%0.4107-12.64%0.0356✗1.1464k2022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.101943+0.14%0.091-10.61%0.0257✗0.9912k2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.04524+0.13%0.04014-11.16%0.0488✗0.802,6002022-08-24
GTGateEthereum4.84494.8507+0.12%4.4922-7.28%0.0122✗0.73882k2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.12274+0.11%0.1146-6.53%0.0293✓1.113.8M2022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.13824+0.10%0.1249-9.56%0.0097✗1.0441k2022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.5272+0.09%2.264-10.34%0.0057✗1.1864k2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.3689+0.08%11.09-2.38%0.0758✓1.14313k2022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.538914+0.06%0.4577-15.02%0.0724✗1.0343.6M2022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7551+0.06%9.29+6.17%0.0946✓0.401.8M2022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase19.0119.0159+0.03%17.01-10.52%0.0125✗1.12130k2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.418927+0.03%0.3738-10.74%0.0025✗1.26239k2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3728.3739+0.02%7.565-9.64%0.0109✗1.0314.4M2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.319839+0.01%0.2983-6.72%0.0177✓0.993.6M2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.340819+0.01%0.3023-11.30%0.0378✗0.938.3M2022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.062994-0.01%0.0549-12.86%0.0473✓1.02253k2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.079282-0.02%0.0676-14.75%0.0896✓0.79130k2022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004678-0.04%0.00409-12.61%0.0453✓1.01158k2022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000043306-0.06%0.00003875-10.57%0.0342✓0.871.9M2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum4.0124.0089-0.08%3.4798-13.26%0.0553✓0.9848k2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.050689-0.08%0.04656-8.22%0.0214✓0.7216k2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.085903-0.09%0.07101-17.41%0.0874✓1.172.4M2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.080013-0.13%0.067837-15.33%0.0743✓1.031.9M2022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum109.91109.7553-0.14%108-1.74%0.0569✗0.833.6M2022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero168.3168.0177-0.17%150.55-10.55%0.0254✓0.951.2M2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003780.003774-0.17%0.00321-15.08%0.0717✓1.02528k2022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1978-0.17%1.9654-10.73%0.0189✓1.0536k2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8816.8507-0.17%14.55-13.80%0.0381✓1.231.6M2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.015155-0.19%0.014302-5.81%0.0050✓0.602.1M2022-08-24
DASHDashDash52.8752.7612-0.21%49.13-7.07%0.0141✗0.97548k2022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.158656-0.22%0.1408-11.45%0.0328✓0.982.1M2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.2153-0.22%1.0444-14.25%0.0421✓1.241.1M2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1794-0.23%1.1766-0.47%0.1322✗1.525.6M2022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.274957-0.23%0.2353-14.62%0.0792✓0.87550k2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.419567-0.25%0.3871-7.96%0.0173✗1.11190k2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.435996-0.25%0.4098-6.25%0.0606✗1.39209k2022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.1086-0.26%0.94669-14.83%0.0745✓0.9412k2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.046724-0.27%0.04016-14.28%0.0651✓0.9821k2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.670036-0.29%0.6-10.71%0.0046✓1.20130k2022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.059715-0.31%0.0518-13.52%0.0509✓1.03877k2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09833.0885-0.32%4.3422+40.15%0.3851✗0.501.3M2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.8475-0.35%1.548-16.50%0.0779✓1.12170k2022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.9094-0.36%2.41-17.47%0.0829✓1.19269k2022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.604-0.37%1.42-11.80%0.0364✓0.97182k2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92259.686-0.39%55.495-7.39%0.0105✓0.71365k2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029782-0.40%0.02692-9.97%0.0137✗1.302,9912022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0618.029-0.40%7.122-11.65%0.0242✓1.0820.0M2022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.640339-0.41%0.562-12.60%0.0279✓1.16105k2022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.512759-0.44%0.452-12.23%0.0385✓0.999,8012022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.1086-0.46%0.099-9.26%0.0051✓0.99456k2022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.9064-0.46%2.77-5.14%0.0020✓0.5296k2022-08-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001946-0.47%0.001729-11.56%0.0298✓1.00950k2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4219.3275-0.48%18.34-5.56%0.0075✗0.682.2M2022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.562567-0.48%0.5089-9.98%0.0278✓0.82755k2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.777031-0.51%0.727-6.91%0.0156✗0.93280k2022-08-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.650621-0.52%0.588-10.09%0.0041✓1.192,9182022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.911-0.52%2.4403-16.60%0.0694✓1.2113k2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.252188-0.52%0.2197-13.33%0.0485✓1.0183k2022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.49.3493-0.54%8.04-14.47%0.0550✓1.08523k2022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001671-0.54%0.0016-4.76%0.0176✗0.699,5772022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.411871-0.56%–pending––0.901922022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.9792-0.59%1.827-8.24%0.0082✗1.00181k2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.239502-0.62%0.2239-7.10%0.0547✗1.38117k2022-08-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.1965-0.64%0.06201-94.85%2.8591✓1.1412k2022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.05317-0.65%0.048259-9.83%0.0530✓0.5033k2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.070335-0.66%0.0641-9.46%0.0093✗1.16331k2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.17573-0.66%0.1481-16.28%0.0819✓1.01140k2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.8721-0.67%1.6006-15.07%0.0583✓1.11488k2022-08-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.24693-0.67%0.2201-11.46%0.0267✓1.00111k2022-08-24
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.3119-0.69%1.226-7.19%0.1025✗1.933.6M2022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration54.7754.3851-0.70%48.99-10.55%0.0148✓1.01595k2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.387.3281-0.70%6.406-13.20%0.0489✓0.975.4M2022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.226.1757-0.71%6.94+11.58%0.1488✗0.361.1M2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1938.1346-0.71%6.274-23.42%0.1879✓0.819.9M2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.049931-0.72%0.046228-8.09%0.0022✓0.9043k2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.3523-0.75%2.34-1.27%0.0740✗0.90636k2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.07721-0.76%0.0669-14.01%0.0390✓1.181.4M2022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.63e-7-0.76%9.20e-7-5.15%0.0228✗0.7721k2022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.120475-0.76%0.1104-9.06%0.0109✓0.87311k2022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1444.112-0.77%4.876+17.66%0.1973✗0.301.5M2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash74.2273.631-0.79%67.69-8.80%0.0134✗1.102.0M2022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,819.61-0.82%1,656.74-9.70%0.0235✗1.33534.1M2022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.920366-0.82%0.956+3.02%0.1462✗1.221.1M2022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.456647-0.84%0.40312-12.46%0.0447✓0.9170k2022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.341982-0.85%0.2979-13.63%0.0462✓1.0413k2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.379651-0.94%0.36571-4.58%0.0399✗0.88435k2022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.168046-0.97%0.1509-11.08%0.0132✓1.07616k2022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.291001-1.02%0.27-8.16%0.0197✗1.07160k2022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.6891-1.03%1.8503+8.42%0.1974✗1.20598k2022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.85-1.03%4.9+25.96%0.2579✗0.191.9M2022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum38.7938.39-1.03%35.76-7.81%0.1021✗1.96408k2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.8879-1.05%5.19+5.06%0.0946✗0.391.1M2022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.4599-1.09%6.1+10.51%0.1438✗0.372.0M2022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.645596-1.11%0.58763-9.99%0.0219✗1.3147k2022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.023667-1.12%0.022261-6.99%0.0102✓0.8113k2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.098509-1.19%0.1052+5.52%0.1367✗0.80215k2022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.6088-1.20%13.019+10.80%0.2145✗1.1312.0M2022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.086041-1.22%0.07428-14.72%0.0456✓1.1529k2022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.2384-1.22%1.936-14.56%0.0636✓0.92680k2022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.794113-1.23%0.727-9.58%0.0364✗1.414.6M2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6211,026.74-1.23%9,349.19-16.26%0.0473✓1.336.8M2022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010726-1.24%0.0091-16.21%0.0989✓0.745.8M2022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5625.2378-1.26%23.01-9.98%0.0285✗1.3728.7M2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006652-1.46%0.00668-1.04%0.0438✗0.4555k2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.25743-1.48%0.2599-0.54%0.0107✓0.0165k2022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.081952-1.50%0.08425+1.26%0.0496✗0.251.0M2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.59610.587046-1.52%0.5577-6.44%0.0323✗0.952.0M2022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.2125-1.55%2.932-10.14%0.0179✓0.83719k2022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.01779-1.61%0.01734-4.09%0.0288✗0.62153k2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7415.4867-1.61%13.83-12.13%0.0168✓1.092.6M2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000014521-1.62%0.00001305-11.59%0.0218✓0.96827k2022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.966497-1.80%0.8151-17.18%0.0331✓1.55244k2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative2.5652.5188-1.80%2.147-16.30%0.0466✓1.281.0M2022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003865-1.81%0.003426-12.96%0.0505✓0.791.0M2022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0939.3463-1.86%37.33-6.88%0.0403✗1.051.8M2022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.5036-2.00%6.816+21.37%0.2210✗0.083.4M2022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.043018-2.01%0.0377-14.12%0.0484✓0.9576k2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.7324-2.07%5.8769+54.19%0.4947✗0.462.0M2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.6047-2.10%4.724+28.30%0.3462✗0.86124k2022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2939.4117-2.18%35.45-12.01%0.0163✓1.3816.5M2022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000093011-2.20%0.00009991+5.06%0.1605✗1.01336k2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.944689-2.31%0.7861-18.71%0.0574✓1.43469k2022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.36.1502-2.38%6.85+8.73%0.1414✗0.381.6M2022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.021412-2.51%0.023439+6.72%0.1080✗0.20233k2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001506-2.55%0.001535-0.71%0.0889✗0.791.6M2022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.3792-2.65%5.6172+61.82%0.5359✗0.311.8M2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.7846-3.04%14.339+140.35%0.9402✗0.371.2M2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.215195-3.15%0.2424+9.09%0.1944✗0.851.2M2022-08-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.4982-3.42%4.5679-1.93%0.1037✗1.00140k2022-08-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.47e-7-5.84%8.05e-7+17.06%0.2737✗0.63164k2022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.