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2022-08-10 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3491
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.0%
in alpha space · 79.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SGBSongbirdnative0.0260.026197+0.76%0.0294+13.08%0.1277✓0.4740k2022-08-17
GTGateEthereum4.93774.9681+0.62%4.8449-1.88%0.0064✗0.71894k2022-08-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.74.7177+0.38%5.3011+12.79%0.1199✓0.13367k2022-08-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066340.006642+0.12%0.00652-1.73%0.0004✓0.733,9632022-08-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16520.165312+0.07%0.1769+7.08%0.0961✓1.08115k2022-08-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27160.271571-0.01%0.2913+7.25%0.0959✗0.9865k2022-08-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0712440.071233-0.02%0.080115+12.45%0.1447✗1.041.6M2022-08-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.34e-7-0.06%6.87e-7+105.84%0.7405✗0.68150k2022-08-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.0983.0959-0.07%3.263+5.33%0.0754✗0.87587k2022-08-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.22511.2237-0.12%1.2119-1.08%0.0154✗0.9552k2022-08-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.33957-0.13%0.303-10.88%0.0918✓0.851.1M2022-08-17
PROPropyEthereum0.770.768884-0.14%0.78+1.30%0.0265✗0.4686k2022-08-17
NANOnanopayBase1.07221.0702-0.18%0.97823-8.76%0.0688✓0.8058k2022-08-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13240.13214-0.20%0.1209-8.69%0.0663✓0.864,7012022-08-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23260.232135-0.20%0.241+3.61%0.0739✗1.39107k2022-08-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.441-0.21%1.36-5.82%0.0289✓1.102.6M2022-08-17
XMRMoneroMonero167.53167.1345-0.24%168.3+0.46%0.0340✗1.031.2M2022-08-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26490.264252-0.24%0.2535-4.30%0.0142✓1.0491k2022-08-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008349-0.25%0.00794-5.14%0.0329✓0.661.6M2022-08-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14280.142421-0.27%0.1381-3.29%0.0017✓1.1150k2022-08-17
XECeCashnative0.000046430.000046299-0.28%0.00004333-6.68%0.0434✓0.871.9M2022-08-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0242120.024142-0.29%0.023935-1.14%0.0140✗0.8612k2022-08-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1259820.125588-0.31%0.121305-3.71%0.0103✓0.937.2M2022-08-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.6616-0.32%6.3+10.92%0.1163✗0.361.1M2022-08-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.0605-0.33%0.0708+16.64%0.1900✗1.25339k2022-08-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010275-0.34%0.01086+5.33%0.0748✗0.745.5M2022-08-17
XTZTezosTezos1.87331.8669-0.34%1.8847+0.61%0.0395✗1.15513k2022-08-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.6161.3977-0.34%60.52-1.77%0.0132✗1.0513.7M2022-08-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197560.196875-0.35%0.1794-9.19%0.0341✓2.241,0642022-08-17
TRXTRONTron0.0703070.070062-0.35%0.068126-3.10%0.0121✓0.61192k2022-08-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.179750.179107-0.36%0.15873-11.69%0.0861✓1.32227k2022-08-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.228135-0.38%0.217-5.24%0.0173✓1.25703k2022-08-17
XVGVergenative0.003830.003814-0.41%0.00378-1.31%0.0204✗1.12517k2022-08-17
DASHDashDash54.654.3721-0.42%52.87-3.17%0.0017✓1.00552k2022-08-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.046455-0.42%0.04518-3.15%0.0057✓0.842,4562022-08-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45530.453389-0.42%0.4188-8.02%0.0439✓1.35188k2022-08-17
SOLSolanaSolana42.542.3198-0.42%40.55-4.59%0.0098✓1.2581.8M2022-08-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.125955-0.43%0.1214-4.03%0.0138✓0.88370k2022-08-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.29261.9953-0.48%59.922-3.80%0.0149✓0.73321k2022-08-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,919.3023,804.73-0.48%23,298.30-2.60%0.0039✓0.9711k2022-08-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.09145-0.49%0.0793-13.71%0.1192✓0.89130k2022-08-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.023.0051-0.49%2.92-3.31%0.0151✓0.52110k2022-08-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36440.362589-0.50%0.3408-6.48%0.0360✓0.998.4M2022-08-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10080.100293-0.50%0.1018+0.99%0.0412✗1.008,4352022-08-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,962.1823,839.75-0.51%23,341.17-2.59%0.0051✗1.00472.7M2022-08-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7342.7197-0.52%3.682+34.67%0.3254✗0.8592k2022-08-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61340.610131-0.53%0.5401-11.95%0.0923✓1.13318k2022-08-17
ADACardanoCardano0.53760.534704-0.54%0.5386+0.19%0.0360✗1.0942.6M2022-08-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.049225-0.56%0.0427-13.74%0.1166✓0.9810k2022-08-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017570.001747-0.57%0.00168-4.38%0.0178✓0.819,0932022-08-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.77910.7173-0.57%10.256-4.85%0.0173✓1.022.0M2022-08-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008960.008908-0.58%0.00814-9.15%0.0604✓1.13457k2022-08-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.043.0219-0.60%2.92-3.95%0.0006✓1.28227k2022-08-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052570.052243-0.62%0.05073-3.50%0.0091✓0.7717k2022-08-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.19474.1681-0.63%4.012-4.36%0.0113✓1.0253k2022-08-17
BANDBandEthereum1.8491.8372-0.64%1.563-15.47%0.1263✓1.35401k2022-08-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.62031.6096-0.66%1.7066+5.33%0.0928✗1.31619k2022-08-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001023-0.67%9.70e-7-5.83%0.0331✓0.7722k2022-08-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0060780.006037-0.67%0.00675+11.06%0.1244✗0.4951k2022-08-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032490.03227-0.68%0.0299-7.97%0.0424✓1.291,7322022-08-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7524.7194-0.69%5.966+25.55%0.2410✗0.251.2M2022-08-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001003-0.70%9.60e-7-4.95%0.0234✓0.786.0M2022-08-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0575080.057103-0.70%0.053519-6.94%0.0511✓0.5230k2022-08-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.0752.06-0.72%2.266+9.20%0.1214✗0.99567k2022-08-17
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.264045-0.73%0.2756+3.61%0.0676✗0.94629k2022-08-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1984.167-0.74%3.413-18.70%0.1799✓0.751.3M2022-08-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021570.002141-0.75%0.001955-9.36%0.0645✓1.001.1M2022-08-17
FTTFTXEthereum31.3731.1341-0.75%30.11-4.02%0.0091✓0.9310.0M2022-08-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1331.1244-0.76%0.9651-14.82%0.1199✓1.252.3M2022-08-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.87324-0.77%0.804-8.64%0.0437✓1.484.4M2022-08-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.924.8821-0.77%4.94+0.41%0.0226✗0.411.3M2022-08-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7660.760063-0.78%0.672-12.27%0.0881✓1.34137k2022-08-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46480.461169-0.78%0.4206-9.51%0.0614✓1.17174k2022-08-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.18141.0537-0.79%133.83-5.87%0.0229✓1.135.0M2022-08-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8056-0.79%1.61-11.54%0.0865✓1.07164k2022-08-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157660.01564-0.80%0.015184-3.69%0.0110✓0.712.1M2022-08-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0461.0376-0.80%0.909-13.10%0.1180✓0.554.2M2022-08-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.464290.460371-0.84%0.40986-11.72%0.0887✓1.05127k2022-08-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0794.0439-0.86%3.89-4.63%0.0316✓0.272.3M2022-08-17
XVSVenusEthereum6.716.6522-0.86%6-10.58%0.0739✓1.111.5M2022-08-17
XEMNEMnative0.0521340.051684-0.86%0.050295-3.53%0.0004✓1.0237k2022-08-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.0628.9838-0.86%8.061-11.05%0.0787✓1.1319.0M2022-08-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18361.1733-0.87%1.2042+1.74%0.0549✗1.1013k2022-08-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95922.9333-0.88%3.0983+4.70%0.0701✗0.591.3M2022-08-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.9159-0.91%6.22+4.19%0.0599✗0.37894k2022-08-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3690050.365635-0.91%0.348082-5.67%0.0195✓1.13855k2022-08-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34790.344718-0.91%0.3198-8.08%0.0476✓1.053.5M2022-08-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8562.8295-0.93%2.525-11.59%0.0820✓1.2258k2022-08-17
ZECZcashZcash78.777.9684-0.93%74.22-5.69%0.0176✓1.202.2M2022-08-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.12190.120763-0.93%0.1091-10.50%0.0731✓1.08566k2022-08-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5658-0.94%2.37-8.49%0.0545✓0.95636k2022-08-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087430.086605-0.94%0.0871-0.38%0.0352✗1.1229k2022-08-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.667-0.95%8.75+0.00%0.0141✗0.171.8M2022-08-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.054277-0.95%0.0509-7.12%0.0370✓1.04248k2022-08-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.0819-0.97%0.0778-5.93%0.0218✓1.131.4M2022-08-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54710.541706-0.99%0.4701-14.07%0.1119✓1.1454k2022-08-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18610.184264-0.99%0.1697-8.81%0.0529✓1.12553k2022-08-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.06350.062868-1.00%0.063-0.79%0.0317✗1.13197k2022-08-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5320.526686-1.00%0.515-3.20%0.0040✓1.0113k2022-08-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.377990.3742-1.00%0.32972-12.77%0.1025✓0.91405k2022-08-17
AAVEAaveEthereum111.17110.0451-1.01%100.14-9.92%0.0531✓1.578.2M2022-08-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.5299.4325-1.01%8.372-12.14%0.0901✓1.1112.4M2022-08-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07390.073147-1.02%0.0662-10.42%0.0785✓0.81143k2022-08-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.5639-1.02%1.37-13.29%0.0981✓1.311.2M2022-08-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.689882-1.02%0.643-7.75%0.0377✓1.2591k2022-08-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.98611.8625-1.03%11.75-1.97%0.0226✗1.2214.7M2022-08-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039610.00392-1.04%0.003936-0.63%0.0280✗0.91994k2022-08-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.258792-1.07%0.2613-0.11%0.0100✓0.0135k2022-08-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001240.000012265-1.09%0.00001476+19.03%0.2110✗0.98864k2022-08-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.23830.235673-1.10%0.1954-18.00%0.1497✓1.431,3132022-08-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.085250.084281-1.14%0.07755-9.03%0.0629✓0.779772022-08-17
COMPCompoundEthereum65.264.452-1.15%58.31-10.57%0.0662✓1.2935k2022-08-17
STXStacksnative0.49790.49217-1.15%0.4567-8.27%0.0438✓1.18892k2022-08-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.96469-1.16%0.781-19.98%0.1849✓1.00271k2022-08-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202750.020039-1.16%0.021964+8.33%0.0961✗0.17215k2022-08-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026610.0263-1.16%0.02486-6.58%0.0346✓0.83159k2022-08-17
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.179762-1.18%0.159-12.59%0.0951✓1.052.7M2022-08-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018930.018707-1.18%0.01808-4.49%0.0155✓0.71167k2022-08-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8830.872558-1.18%0.773-12.46%0.0962✓0.95377k2022-08-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5518.3289-1.19%16.88-9.00%0.0497✓1.241.4M2022-08-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0721.0591-1.20%0.96777-9.72%0.0612✓1.10558k2022-08-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16151.1475-1.20%1.092-5.98%0.0308✓0.714.4M2022-08-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.24720.244198-1.21%0.1975-20.11%0.1827✓1.131,6562022-08-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.1451.1305-1.26%1.1115-2.93%0.0088✓0.9812k2022-08-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089790.088656-1.26%0.0832-7.34%0.0574✓0.231.1M2022-08-17
KSMKusamaHydration62.9262.1218-1.27%54.77-12.95%0.0979✓1.07525k2022-08-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.15320.151248-1.27%0.2222+45.04%0.4083✗0.901.1M2022-08-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0492.0225-1.30%1.854-9.52%0.0558✓1.19234k2022-08-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0463.9927-1.32%4.144+2.42%0.0470✗0.371.6M2022-08-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,854.121,829.15-1.35%1,834.61-1.05%0.0375✗1.31480.7M2022-08-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.3567-1.35%5.52+1.66%0.0385✗0.322.1M2022-08-17
DIADIAEthereum0.489510.482558-1.42%0.46051-5.92%0.0332✓0.5170k2022-08-17
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1167.0135-1.44%6.107-14.18%0.1022✓1.3812.8M2022-08-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.65740.6479-1.45%0.5653-14.01%0.1127✓0.90755k2022-08-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032960.03248-1.46%0.02575-21.87%0.2054✓1.0213.8M2022-08-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.367670.362302-1.46%0.34491-6.19%0.0194✓1.1413k2022-08-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17040.167912-1.46%0.1453-14.73%0.1264✓0.704.2M2022-08-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14620.14403-1.48%0.1226-16.14%0.1296✓1.203.4M2022-08-17
HIVEHivenative0.62610.616775-1.49%0.5961-4.79%0.0069✓1.042.4M2022-08-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3481.3279-1.49%1.218-9.64%0.0539✓1.241.1M2022-08-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.790.778157-1.50%0.654-17.22%0.1409✓1.252,7912022-08-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8840.870476-1.53%0.928+4.98%0.0955✗1.20984k2022-08-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004850.004775-1.54%0.00468-3.51%0.0095✓1.13102k2022-08-17
MOVRMoonriverBase17.717.4249-1.55%14.8272-16.23%0.1344✓1.0358k2022-08-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.1082.0748-1.57%1.991-5.55%0.0150✓1.00261k2022-08-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06860.067519-1.58%0.0599-12.68%0.0899✓1.13827k2022-08-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1611.9679-1.58%11.36-6.58%0.0220✓1.15313k2022-08-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.980.964232-1.61%0.967-1.33%0.0422✗1.50469k2022-08-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3488.213-1.62%7.38-11.60%0.0791✓1.065.7M2022-08-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38622.3473-1.63%2.2016-7.74%0.0354✓1.0938k2022-08-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3068.1707-1.63%8.193-1.36%0.0259✗0.885.8M2022-08-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4522.4112-1.67%1.899-22.55%0.2083✓1.16177k2022-08-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.416420.40932-1.70%0.38327-7.96%0.0382✓1.05481k2022-08-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.494-1.71%1.4-7.89%0.0631✓0.07159k2022-08-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21083.1553-1.73%3.4712+8.11%0.1055✗0.381.5M2022-08-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1715.8874-1.75%15.74-2.66%0.0224✗1.212.6M2022-08-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9282.8767-1.75%2.476-15.44%0.1041✓1.75134k2022-08-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39643.3365-1.76%3.8114+12.22%0.1464✗0.511.9M2022-08-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098560.000096789-1.80%0.0000951-3.51%0.0004✓0.69421k2022-08-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043295-1.83%0.0439-0.45%0.0414✗1.0577k2022-08-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.034537-1.83%0.04685+33.17%0.3327✗1.0616k2022-08-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02852.9728-1.84%2.9261-3.38%0.0192✗1.3313k2022-08-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5370.526891-1.88%0.4371-18.60%0.1521✓1.32245k2022-08-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6110.4067-1.92%9.4-11.40%0.0720✓1.13562k2022-08-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38941.3625-1.93%1.1821-14.92%0.1041✓1.456.8M2022-08-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.301676-1.99%0.294-4.48%0.0027✓1.08274k2022-08-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.229.0274-2.09%7.961-13.66%0.0910✓1.329.9M2022-08-17
QNTQuantEthereum126.64123.832-2.22%109.91-13.21%0.0963✓0.874.2M2022-08-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1828.4966-2.34%25.56-12.41%0.0718✓1.4130.8M2022-08-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.8337.9178-2.35%40.29+3.76%0.0969✗1.3814.2M2022-08-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,510.6011,235.22-2.39%11,164.62-3.01%0.0287✗1.335.8M2022-08-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.104270.101771-2.40%0.08598-17.54%0.1350✓1.281.8M2022-08-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.6126-2.54%19.42-8.18%0.0407✓0.722.4M2022-08-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.717960.699315-2.60%0.65284-9.07%0.0324✓1.3857k2022-08-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1994.0892-2.62%3.505-16.53%0.1115✓1.625.2M2022-08-17
ZENHorizenBase21.9321.3398-2.69%19.01-13.32%0.0840✓1.20118k2022-08-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001478-2.78%0.001546+1.66%0.0677✗0.881.4M2022-08-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3956.2013-3.03%5.616-12.18%0.0946✓0.173.4M2022-08-17
FLOWFlownative3.0572.9631-3.07%2.565-16.09%0.1106✓1.28649k2022-08-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49510.478274-3.40%0.3741-24.44%0.2164✓1.1285k2022-08-17
METISMetisEthereum47.2445.5873-3.50%38.79-17.89%0.1116✓1.90362k2022-08-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97910.942226-3.77%0.9842+0.52%0.0856✗1.60296k2022-08-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.6837.1789-3.88%40.09+3.65%0.1068✗1.201.3M2022-08-17
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.5024-4.24%1.321-15.81%0.0784✓1.923.3M2022-08-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13620.129807-4.69%0.0997-26.80%0.2415✓0.85206k2022-08-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47091.397-5.03%1.4107-4.09%0.0370✓1.04907k2022-08-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.