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2022-09-01 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2021
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.7%
in alpha space · 81.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4721.2154-1.19%15.64-27.15%0.2755✓0.711.6M2022-10-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3460.33851-2.16%0.3179-8.12%0.0112✓1.24166k2022-10-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9239-2.34%2.22+12.69%0.1641✗0.5093k2022-10-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.47715-2.42%0.37-24.34%0.2046✓1.202,7102022-10-01
TRXTRONTron0.0632870.061538-2.76%0.060458-4.47%0.0073✓0.60142k2022-10-01
SOLSolanaSolana31.6230.6952-2.92%32.44+2.59%0.1032✗1.1665.9M2022-10-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.096443-3.17%0.0889-10.74%0.0518✓0.722,5272022-10-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.7524-3.21%4.94+0.61%0.0735✗0.841.5M2022-10-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1050770.101576-3.33%0.121387+15.52%0.2120✗0.826.9M2022-10-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18090.174873-3.33%0.1528-15.53%0.0778✓1.382,2912022-10-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20380.197005-3.33%0.1584-22.28%0.1635✓1.32116k2022-10-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.05604-3.38%0.0618+6.55%0.1337✗0.86101k2022-10-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.054976-3.38%0.0511-10.19%0.0345✓0.9397k2022-10-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.035453-3.40%0.0367+0.00%0.0670✗0.788,1752022-10-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,133.6519,439.65-3.45%19,315.27-4.06%0.0351✓1.00504.7M2022-10-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623470.06018-3.48%0.060608-2.79%0.0509✗1.061.4M2022-10-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.21870.21102-3.51%0.1166-46.68%0.5936✓-0.0193k2022-10-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034037-3.58%0.0337-4.53%0.0278✓0.9184k2022-10-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037063-3.61%0.03621-5.83%0.0103✓0.812,6082022-10-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.315610.303875-3.72%0.39655+25.65%0.2995✗0.80332k2022-10-01
DIADIAEthereum0.375050.361097-3.72%0.38259+2.01%0.0978✗0.9637k2022-10-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.5655.3591-3.82%52.93-8.04%0.0041✓0.9812.6M2022-10-01
ZECZcashZcash58.9856.6998-3.87%55.29-6.26%0.0229✓1.161.7M2022-10-01
ADACardanoCardano0.45760.439856-3.88%0.4302-5.99%0.0165✓0.9335.8M2022-10-01
QNTQuantEthereum95.0291.2742-3.94%136.85+44.02%0.4404✗0.853.5M2022-10-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.548720.527042-3.95%0.44961-18.06%0.1045✓1.3137k2022-10-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95740.919544-3.95%0.8901-7.03%0.0123✓0.493.5M2022-10-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.232803-3.96%0.2774+14.44%0.2142✗0.9475k2022-10-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.45e-7-3.99%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0470✓0.7915k2022-10-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,192.4019,383.48-4.01%19,312.20-4.36%0.0354✓0.9415k2022-10-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1981.1496-4.04%1.053-12.10%0.0467✓0.991.5M2022-10-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.14391.0975-4.06%1.1976+4.69%0.1237✗0.881.3M2022-10-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074490.071438-4.10%0.05979-19.73%0.1297✓1.1626k2022-10-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.397036-4.10%0.435+5.07%0.1336✗1.028,1172022-10-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.078665-4.18%0.0814-0.85%0.0728✗0.9310k2022-10-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.6931.6217-4.21%1.65-2.54%0.0554✗0.92579k2022-10-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,586.231,519.19-4.23%1,311.76-17.30%0.0897✓1.38660.9M2022-10-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53175.2972-4.24%4.1099-25.70%0.2497✓0.10115k2022-10-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.23090.221108-4.24%0.136-41.10%0.4486✓0.9071k2022-10-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001490.001427-4.25%0.001553+4.23%0.1251✗0.97417k2022-10-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024630.023574-4.29%0.02421-1.71%0.0796✗1.283,4352022-10-01
XMRMoneroMonero154.26147.6104-4.31%141.19-8.47%0.0022✓1.021.3M2022-10-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064010.006123-4.34%0.00631-1.42%0.0473✗0.4256k2022-10-01
GTGateEthereum4.30834.1211-4.34%4.2897-0.43%0.0723✗0.78766k2022-10-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.87-4.35%1.551-20.66%0.1173✓1.6890k2022-10-01
DASHDashDash44.7942.8413-4.35%41.74-6.81%0.0140✓0.97419k2022-10-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9462.817-4.38%3.01+2.17%0.0869✗0.50650k2022-10-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.648-4.38%9.03-10.51%0.0154✓1.23305k2022-10-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.157311.6247-4.38%10.8134-11.05%0.0323✓0.9630k2022-10-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29360.280697-4.39%0.355+20.91%0.2722✗0.905.9M2022-10-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6740.644345-4.40%0.576-14.54%0.0591✓1.284.1M2022-10-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0133150.012726-4.42%0.011796-11.41%0.0496✓0.63932k2022-10-01
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4282.5903-4.43%74.55-13.74%0.0393✓1.525.6M2022-10-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.318.4398-4.46%16.96-12.12%0.0302✓1.2921.2M2022-10-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.1438.7343-4.47%9.104-0.43%0.0808✗0.951.3M2022-10-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2974610.284125-4.48%0.267716-10.00%0.0146✓1.08545k2022-10-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.1490.142319-4.48%–pending––1.111,6102022-10-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.051.9579-4.49%1.71-16.59%0.0883✓1.1438k2022-10-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211110.02016-4.51%0.019244-8.84%0.0130✓0.8113k2022-10-01
ZENHorizenBase15.8715.15-4.54%13.91-12.35%0.0394✓1.11107k2022-10-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05570.053149-4.58%0.0469-15.80%0.0785✓1.12249k2022-10-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0427110.04075-4.59%0.037831-11.43%0.0529✓0.5226k2022-10-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.042075-4.59%0.0419-4.99%0.0358✓0.96145k2022-10-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8031.7201-4.60%1.7125-5.02%0.0402✓1.0828k2022-10-01
NANOnanopayBase0.90010.858582-4.61%0.756668-15.94%0.0920✓0.8360k2022-10-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94240.898914-4.61%0.8364-11.25%0.0222✓1.20846k2022-10-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6680.637126-4.62%0.575-13.92%0.0624✓0.97207k2022-10-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008288-4.63%0.00692-20.37%0.1501✓0.735.5M2022-10-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13980.133277-4.67%0.1192-14.74%0.0899✓0.523.5M2022-10-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.26312-4.67%0.251-9.06%0.0173✓0.72660k2022-10-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09250.088181-4.67%0.1075+16.22%0.2378✗0.96376k2022-10-01
STEEMSteemnative0.22580.215184-4.70%0.2184-3.28%0.0520✗0.90475k2022-10-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137570.131097-4.71%0.12837-6.69%0.0283✓1.19190k2022-10-01
XEMNEMnative0.0440860.04201-4.71%0.040211-8.79%0.0088✓0.8429k2022-10-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.096523-4.72%0.0988-2.47%0.0587✗0.85169k2022-10-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.44749.9677-4.73%48.352-7.81%0.0017✓0.75287k2022-10-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.046285-4.76%0.039-19.75%0.1303✓0.99781k2022-10-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.9125.6253-4.77%24.28-9.77%0.0137✓0.977.2M2022-10-01
XVGVergenative0.003180.003027-4.80%0.00327+2.83%0.1184✗1.00486k2022-10-01
DODODODOEthereum0.12720.121047-4.84%0.1299+2.12%0.1134✗1.031.7M2022-10-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340210.323592-4.88%0.29933-12.02%0.0371✓0.9844k2022-10-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020630.01962-4.90%0.0223+8.10%0.1622✗0.8210.9M2022-10-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058080.005522-4.92%0.005185-10.73%0.0348✓0.682,1822022-10-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.270147-4.94%0.2929+3.06%0.1202✗0.953.0M2022-10-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05060.048096-4.95%0.0402-20.55%0.1390✓0.97216k2022-10-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22650.215234-4.97%0.1692-25.30%0.1863✓1.31139k2022-10-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.780270.741404-4.98%0.6934-11.13%0.0308✓0.87509k2022-10-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067370.064006-4.99%0.06222-7.64%0.0086✓0.899142022-10-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.061.0068-5.02%1.0737+1.29%0.1146✗1.21996k2022-10-01
PROPropyEthereum0.710.674182-5.04%0.62-12.68%0.0720✓0.2974k2022-10-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.73110.8345-5.05%117.14+0.35%0.1027✗1.144.6M2022-10-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156940.149007-5.05%0.17002+8.33%0.2163✗2.035152022-10-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013250.012574-5.10%0.00985-25.66%0.2163✓0.67223k2022-10-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.7809-5.12%2.32-20.85%0.1180✓1.523.7M2022-10-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.006160.005844-5.13%0.00488-20.78%0.1539✓0.641.0M2022-10-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0875.7723-5.17%5.348-12.14%0.0562✓0.494.4M2022-10-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.0470.992854-5.17%0.950166-9.25%0.0085✓0.8540k2022-10-01
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3155.9884-5.17%6.395+1.27%0.1196✗1.308.1M2022-10-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1410.133632-5.23%0.1402-0.57%0.0905✗1.02489k2022-10-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9276.5648-5.23%7.396+6.77%0.1628✗1.0517.4M2022-10-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3135.9829-5.23%6.115-3.14%0.0563✗0.834.8M2022-10-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.87990.833869-5.23%0.79092-10.11%0.0112✓1.0013k2022-10-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.301950.286089-5.25%0.2342-22.44%0.1569✓1.0412k2022-10-01
KSMKusamaHydration47.4344.9311-5.27%42.05-11.34%0.0256✓0.98459k2022-10-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028790.002726-5.30%0.001984-31.09%0.2798✓0.921.1M2022-10-01
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000043688-5.31%0.00004093-11.29%0.0294✓0.861.7M2022-10-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.4512.7323-5.34%14.94+11.08%0.2038✗1.061.9M2022-10-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6690.633248-5.34%0.583-12.86%0.0469✓0.86228k2022-10-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.627.2125-5.35%6.62-13.12%0.0410✓1.08409k2022-10-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5140.486321-5.38%0.45-12.45%0.0306✓1.1383k2022-10-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4611.3819-5.41%1.495+2.33%0.1269✗1.16108k2022-10-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46850.443113-5.42%0.4257-9.14%0.0073✓1.14384k2022-10-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21050.199071-5.43%0.1932-8.22%0.0124✓1.0257k2022-10-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.14350.135662-5.46%0.1274-11.22%0.0205✓1.02129k2022-10-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.18193.0079-5.47%2.8428-10.66%0.0147✓1.0124k2022-10-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015340.001449-5.55%0.00145-5.48%0.0299✓0.709,0932022-10-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04540.042865-5.58%0.04021-11.43%0.0339✓0.7215k2022-10-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7644.497-5.60%5.247+10.14%0.2096✗1.338.0M2022-10-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1119-5.61%0.895-24.02%0.1464✓1.703.1M2022-10-01
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.40e-7-5.64%7.70e-7-13.48%0.0538✓0.791.9M2022-10-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2455-5.64%1.15-12.88%0.0423✓0.90109k2022-10-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003792-5.66%0.00346-13.93%0.0509✓0.98136k2022-10-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31840.300243-5.70%0.2852-10.43%0.0031✓1.16132k2022-10-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1846.773-5.72%6.27-12.72%0.0344✓1.0310.5M2022-10-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82990.782369-5.73%0.7596-8.47%0.0136✓1.041.7M2022-10-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.063-5.73%3.867-10.28%0.0297✓0.482.0M2022-10-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.5119-5.81%4.59-4.18%0.0394✓0.541.1M2022-10-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.795.4508-5.86%5.08-12.26%0.0516✓0.452.0M2022-10-01
HIVEHivenative0.54860.5164-5.87%0.4885-10.96%0.0211✓0.831.0M2022-10-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30740.289353-5.87%0.2573-16.30%0.0730✓1.07103k2022-10-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4399-5.89%1.51-1.31%0.0422✓-0.13128k2022-10-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.548.9777-5.89%8.4-11.95%0.0461✓0.491.9M2022-10-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50230.472525-5.93%0.4123-17.92%0.1053✓0.75514k2022-10-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.68270.641909-5.97%0.641-6.11%0.0562✓1.39214k2022-10-01
STXStacksnative0.36280.340903-6.04%0.3236-10.80%0.0042✓1.15361k2022-10-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.7352.5697-6.04%2.304-15.76%0.0731✓0.87682k2022-10-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35340.332034-6.05%0.294-16.81%0.0774✓1.07116k2022-10-01
BANDBandEthereum1.2921.2139-6.05%1.242-3.87%0.0721✗1.19460k2022-10-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.495062-6.06%0.47-10.82%0.0085✓1.0574k2022-10-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0590.994413-6.10%0.918-13.31%0.0280✓1.251.5M2022-10-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06120.057459-6.11%0.0574-6.21%0.0520✓1.28897k2022-10-01
COMPCompoundEthereum48.0345.0874-6.13%60.92+26.84%0.3530✗1.259,4572022-10-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.775.4133-6.18%5.519-4.35%0.0547✓0.858.5M2022-10-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.00001153-6.18%0.00001117-9.11%0.0075✓0.94828k2022-10-01
FISStafiEthereum0.36280.340367-6.18%0.31-14.55%0.0556✓0.915072022-10-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.160365-6.22%0.14707-13.99%0.0463✓0.97310k2022-10-01
XTZTezosTezos1.53981.4434-6.26%1.4096-8.46%0.0229✓1.12279k2022-10-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,216.458,639.55-6.26%8,075.27-12.38%0.0103✓1.385.9M2022-10-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.7311.9293-6.29%12.681-0.38%0.1072✗1.1111.4M2022-10-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.14523.8834-6.32%3.8724-6.58%0.0220✓0.604.2M2022-10-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.4352-6.33%6.01-12.52%0.0477✓0.502.1M2022-10-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007950.007441-6.41%0.00694-12.70%0.0231✓1.12477k2022-10-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.29082.1438-6.42%1.8481-19.33%0.1019✓1.1213k2022-10-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.098162-6.42%0.0975-7.05%0.0377✓1.072.9M2022-10-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.116012-6.44%0.1265+2.02%0.1296✗1.0423k2022-10-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269030.025163-6.47%0.026262-2.38%0.0478✓0.12280k2022-10-01
METISMetisEthereum30.5728.5891-6.48%23.78-22.21%0.1056✓1.89288k2022-10-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89710.838801-6.50%0.8487-5.40%0.0722✗1.46167k2022-10-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15411.0789-6.51%0.8922-22.69%0.1267✓1.524.5M2022-10-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.080.074748-6.57%0.07315-8.56%0.0196✓0.05418k2022-10-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034970.032667-6.58%0.03043-12.98%0.0293✓1.0040k2022-10-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.1294-6.61%1.83-19.74%0.1038✓1.15229k2022-10-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1170.10923-6.64%0.0709-39.40%0.4030✓0.70203k2022-10-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0213.0783-6.72%12.55-10.49%0.0043✓1.10959k2022-10-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78011.6604-6.72%1.1718-34.17%0.3085✓0.961.1M2022-10-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.7891.6685-6.73%1.462-18.28%0.0945✓0.91121k2022-10-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.34550.322035-6.79%0.33018-4.43%0.0637✓0.93369k2022-10-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.92712.0414-6.85%17.482+35.24%0.3946✗0.5312.5M2022-10-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42670.397159-6.92%0.3601-15.61%0.0502✓1.15100k2022-10-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022810.021214-7.00%0.01863-18.33%0.0965✓0.80459k2022-10-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001252-7.00%0.001017-24.47%0.1753✓0.792.4M2022-10-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5331.4256-7.01%1.244-18.85%0.0877✓1.1766k2022-10-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8533.5826-7.02%3.865+0.31%0.1159✗0.96259k2022-10-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.115.8832-7.12%14.71-13.98%0.0484✓0.68685k2022-10-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.242.0772-7.27%2-10.71%0.0062✓0.76287k2022-10-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.87824.5191-7.36%6.109+25.23%0.3429✗1.00147k2022-10-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.916.3862-7.58%6.53-5.50%0.0422✓0.481.7M2022-10-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4854.1442-7.60%3.844-14.29%0.0643✓0.262.3M2022-10-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9740.89838-7.76%0.865-11.19%0.0224✓0.373.8M2022-10-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9230.3113-7.92%27.56-16.28%0.0327✓1.5112.4M2022-10-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.21430.196973-8.09%0.2387+11.39%0.2269✗0.842.9M2022-10-01
FLOWFlownative2.0471.8738-8.46%1.684-17.73%0.0509✓1.351.3M2022-10-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.70536.1367-8.48%5.8259-13.11%0.0427✓0.225.4M2022-10-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064270.058546-8.91%0.06052-5.83%0.0775✓1.072.0M2022-10-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.16e-7-9.09%5.86e-7-34.70%0.2969✓0.821.4M2022-10-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000276060.000246871-10.57%0.00033439+21.13%0.3345✗0.75442k2022-10-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.82256.9472-11.19%6.7286-13.98%0.0174✓0.357.3M2022-10-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.