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2022-08-31 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2269
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.1%
in alpha space · 80.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0318.8749-0.82%16.37-13.98%0.1202✓0.701.6M2022-09-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.465326-2.04%0.346-27.16%0.2584✓1.202,7102022-09-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.338367-2.26%0.321-7.28%0.0134✓1.25176k2022-09-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.031.9829-2.32%2.31+13.79%0.1687✗0.5193k2022-09-30
SOLSolanaSolana31.530.5986-2.86%33.26+5.59%0.1200✗1.1665.9M2022-09-30
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.061572-2.93%0.061037-3.77%0.0104✓0.61142k2022-09-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.7119-3.05%4.78-1.65%0.0410✗0.851.5M2022-09-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.097092-3.20%0.0911-9.17%0.0411✓0.722,5272022-09-30
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.194368-3.30%0.1637-18.56%0.1402✓1.00116k2022-09-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.100905-3.32%0.114648+9.85%0.1532✗0.817.0M2022-09-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.055483-3.34%0.0514-10.45%0.0472✓0.9398k2022-09-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.034506-3.34%0.0377+5.60%0.1134✗0.799,5472022-09-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8452.0355-3.35%53.48-0.67%0.0583✗0.9812.6M2022-09-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.059217-3.36%0.061628+0.57%0.0732✗1.061.5M2022-09-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.057465-3.42%0.0647+8.74%0.1459✗0.87101k2022-09-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,350.79-3.48%19,426.11-3.10%0.0354✓1.00504.7M2022-09-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.033663-3.55%0.0337-3.44%0.0299✓0.9186k2022-09-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.175781-3.63%0.1525-16.39%0.0986✓1.382,2912022-09-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037044-3.66%0.03783-1.61%0.0465✗0.812,7072022-09-30
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.357923-3.71%0.38467+3.49%0.1021✗0.9540k2022-09-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.306095-3.73%0.40262+26.63%0.2995✗0.81340k2022-09-30
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.428981-3.77%0.4348-2.47%0.0430✗0.9437.1M2022-09-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.069982-3.79%0.0606-16.69%0.1073✓1.1626k2022-09-30
ZECZcashZcash59.8857.5713-3.86%55.65-7.06%0.0025✓1.161.7M2022-09-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.916537-3.88%0.8963-6.00%0.0067✓0.493.6M2022-09-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.5853-3.92%1.64-0.61%0.0632✗0.93579k2022-09-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.529404-3.95%0.44894-18.55%0.1234✓1.3135k2022-09-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.234954-3.98%0.2604+6.42%0.1325✗0.9475k2022-09-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,193.33-3.99%19,846.80-0.72%0.0632✗0.9415k2022-09-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.8386-3.99%1.591-16.92%0.0917✓1.6883k2022-09-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.35e-7-4.00%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0306✓0.7916k2022-09-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.0934-4.03%1.194+4.79%0.1158✗0.881.3M2022-09-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1559-4.08%1.056-12.37%0.0591✓0.991.6M2022-09-30
QNTQuantEthereum96.4792.5021-4.11%141.89+47.08%0.4549✗0.863.5M2022-09-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.236801-4.13%0.1171-52.59%0.7042✓-0.0091k2022-09-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.222895-4.13%0.1432-38.41%0.4141✓0.9076k2022-09-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.400706-4.14%0.472+12.92%0.1958✗1.027,9102022-09-30
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3811.8643-4.17%11.1383-10.03%0.0326✓0.9730k2022-09-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.276471-4.17%0.3535+22.53%0.2742✗0.906.0M2022-09-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.078648-4.20%0.082-0.12%0.0713✗0.9411k2022-09-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.00144-4.21%0.001547+2.93%0.1023✗0.97424k2022-09-30
XMRMoneroMonero149.22142.9117-4.23%147.45-1.19%0.0634✗1.021.3M2022-09-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.9262-4.26%1.701-15.46%0.0886✓1.1342k2022-09-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.126751-4.27%0.1183-10.65%0.0525✓0.523.5M2022-09-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,487.17-4.30%1,328.95-14.48%0.0691✓1.38660.9M2022-09-30
DASHDashDash44.5542.6315-4.31%41.94-5.86%0.0141✓0.97438k2022-09-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7165-4.32%1.7056-4.92%0.0277✓1.0830k2022-09-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.023486-4.34%0.02333-4.97%0.0336✓1.283,4352022-09-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.085966-4.38%0.1076+19.69%0.2546✗0.95381k2022-09-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.2905-4.39%17.2-10.09%0.0207✓1.2922.5M2022-09-30
GTGateEthereum4.30084.1119-4.39%4.2716-0.68%0.0625✗0.77798k2022-09-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.012597-4.39%0.011753-10.80%0.0495✓0.63932k2022-09-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.284991-4.39%0.267208-10.36%0.0301✓1.09547k2022-09-30
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8581.1138-4.40%74.57-12.12%0.0362✓1.526.2M2022-09-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.7933-4.41%3.081+5.44%0.1138✗0.50650k2022-09-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.643338-4.41%0.593-11.89%0.0435✓1.214.1M2022-09-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.6542-4.41%9-10.89%0.0316✓1.22313k2022-09-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.603-4.42%9.167+1.84%0.0934✗0.951.4M2022-09-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.041214-4.44%0.037509-13.03%0.0779✓0.5227k2022-09-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006206-4.44%0.006298-3.03%0.0277✓0.4158k2022-09-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.146284-4.45%0.1386-9.47%0.0188✓1.121,5282022-09-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.900458-4.48%0.8437-10.50%0.0270✓1.21912k2022-09-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008194-4.50%0.00657-23.43%0.1981✓0.725.5M2022-09-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.633086-4.51%0.576-13.12%0.0637✓0.98207k2022-09-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005412-4.53%0.005197-8.32%0.0188✓0.692,1952022-09-30
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.853647-4.58%0.770263-13.90%0.0766✓0.8360k2022-09-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.041983-4.58%0.0427-2.95%0.0472✗0.96147k2022-09-30
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.8165-4.59%14.11-9.14%0.0138✓1.11107k2022-09-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.019329-4.60%0.02279+12.49%0.1908✗0.8311.1M2022-09-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.130641-4.63%0.12823-6.39%0.0191✓1.20190k2022-09-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.047966-4.64%0.0405-19.48%0.1385✓0.97217k2022-09-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.319-4.66%7.586+14.45%0.2159✗1.0517.4M2022-09-30
FTTFTXEthereum26.7325.4826-4.67%24.25-9.28%0.0189✓0.977.3M2022-09-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91549.4894-4.67%48.976-5.66%0.0130✓0.74302k2022-09-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.046138-4.67%0.0392-19.01%0.1317✓0.99781k2022-09-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.511.9156-4.68%16.08+28.64%0.3331✗1.061.9M2022-09-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.26876-4.69%0.251-10.99%0.0456✓0.72668k2022-09-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.735557-4.71%0.69854-9.50%0.0240✓0.88509k2022-09-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.020502-4.73%0.01929-10.36%0.0354✓0.8113k2022-09-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.148316-4.73%0.16779+7.78%0.1875✗2.035722022-09-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.318348-4.73%0.30317-9.27%0.0177✓0.9945k2022-09-30
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.121556-4.74%0.1271-0.39%0.0772✗1.031.7M2022-09-30
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.041858-4.74%0.040717-7.34%0.0009✓0.8529k2022-09-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.054964-4.74%0.0455-21.14%0.1533✓1.13258k2022-09-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.207995-4.76%0.1725-21.02%0.1460✓1.30135k2022-09-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03470.984999-4.80%1.1027+6.57%0.1514✗1.22996k2022-09-30
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.218089-4.81%0.2181-4.80%0.0285✓0.90489k2022-09-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.098326-4.82%0.0987-4.45%0.0308✓0.86188k2022-09-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.267259-4.86%0.2876+2.39%0.1033✗0.953.1M2022-09-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16109.5466-4.87%120.1+4.29%0.1280✗1.144.6M2022-09-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1425.8403-4.91%6.467+5.29%0.1430✗1.308.9M2022-09-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.06293-4.91%0.0629-4.96%0.0269✓0.877702022-09-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.5155-4.93%4.1679-28.16%0.2769✓0.10115k2022-09-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.132561-4.97%0.1421+1.86%0.1013✗1.01509k2022-09-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3581-5.03%1.475+3.15%0.1194✗1.17116k2022-09-30
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000042279-5.03%0.00004111-7.66%0.0008✓0.861.7M2022-09-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.7414-5.05%5.44-10.04%0.0389✓0.484.4M2022-09-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.255.9258-5.19%6.071-2.86%0.0512✓0.864.9M2022-09-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.8051-5.20%2.377-19.67%0.1172✓1.543.7M2022-09-30
KSMKusamaHydration47.4244.9539-5.20%42.06-11.30%0.0354✓0.99522k2022-09-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.628124-5.26%0.589-11.16%0.0371✓0.86228k2022-09-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.2568-5.26%6.46-15.67%0.0822✓1.08430k2022-09-30
PROPropyEthereum0.730.69149-5.28%0.62-15.07%0.0999✓0.2979k2022-09-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.3731-5.28%8.52-3.62%0.0328✓0.491.9M2022-09-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.849057-5.30%0.78889-12.01%0.0417✓1.0113k2022-09-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.1492.982-5.30%2.8524-9.42%0.0126✓1.0125k2022-09-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.005861-5.31%0.00487-21.32%0.1652✓0.641.0M2022-09-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0139-5.31%0.953-11.00%0.0348✓0.8644k2022-09-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.13674-5.37%0.1275-11.76%0.0377✓1.02130k2022-09-30
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.0683-5.37%0.911-19.31%0.1053✓1.713.2M2022-09-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.294965-5.38%0.23673-24.06%0.1869✓1.0512k2022-09-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.287681-5.40%0.2602-14.44%0.0666✓1.07107k2022-09-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.199792-5.40%0.1931-8.57%0.0017✓1.0358k2022-09-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.302973-5.41%0.288-10.08%0.0139✓1.17138k2022-09-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.01284-5.45%0.0098-27.84%0.2491✓0.67201k2022-09-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.6479-5.48%6.322-10.11%0.0176✓1.0410.9M2022-09-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.4998-5.49%5.408+13.59%0.2260✗1.348.5M2022-09-30
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.32e-7-5.49%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0520✓0.791.9M2022-09-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.486669-5.50%0.453-12.04%0.0357✓1.1483k2022-09-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002829-5.52%0.001987-33.63%0.3243✓0.921.1M2022-09-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.434007-5.53%0.4309-6.20%0.0288✓1.14383k2022-09-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.786552-5.54%0.7579-8.98%0.0043✓1.041.7M2022-09-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2372-5.56%1.16-11.45%0.0358✓0.91111k2022-09-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.043371-5.57%0.04057-11.67%0.0442✓0.7115k2022-09-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.331708-5.58%0.2956-15.86%0.0814✓1.07116k2022-09-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.634561-5.61%0.6408-4.69%0.0536✓1.39226k2022-09-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.003812-5.64%0.00347-14.11%0.0628✓0.99144k2022-09-30
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.2026-5.68%1.227-3.76%0.0576✓1.19460k2022-09-30
XVGVergenative0.003350.003159-5.71%0.00328-2.09%0.0695✗1.01486k2022-09-30
STXStacksnative0.3650.344074-5.73%0.3244-11.12%0.0223✓1.16384k2022-09-30
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1444.4121-5.79%61.22+29.87%0.3604✗1.259,8512022-09-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.0845-5.82%3.882-10.49%0.0357✓0.482.0M2022-09-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.0336-5.83%1.8009-16.60%0.0863✓1.1213k2022-09-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.2828-5.83%5.08-9.45%0.0248✓0.452.0M2022-09-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.475845-5.85%0.4164-17.61%0.1097✓0.75544k2022-09-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.4085-5.87%5.682-1.11%0.0764✗0.869.1M2022-09-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.496985-5.87%0.444-15.91%0.0797✓1.0576k2022-09-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001468-5.91%0.001435-8.01%0.0007✓0.709,0932022-09-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0225-5.93%1.82-15.35%0.0694✓1.14217k2022-09-30
HIVEHivenative0.55730.524246-5.93%0.4837-13.21%0.0540✓0.841.1M2022-09-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,481.23-5.98%8,121.81-9.97%0.0002✓1.386.0M2022-09-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.116-6.00%13.03+10.19%0.1939✗1.1111.4M2022-09-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.5027-6.00%4.68-2.30%0.0554✓0.531.1M2022-09-30
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.4196-6.03%1.4221-5.87%0.0372✓1.12296k2022-09-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4282-6.04%1.44-5.26%0.0043✓-0.13128k2022-09-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.157852-6.04%0.14624-12.95%0.0459✓0.97324k2022-09-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.5626-6.06%2.336-14.37%0.0651✓0.87706k2022-09-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0009-6.06%2-6.10%0.0235✓0.76287k2022-09-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.0114-6.07%6.03-5.78%0.0187✓0.502.1M2022-09-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.116077-6.09%0.1259+1.86%0.1141✗1.0423k2022-09-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.096342-6.10%0.0987-3.80%0.0580✓1.073.1M2022-09-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000011336-6.16%0.00001131-6.37%0.0275✓0.95776k2022-09-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.058368-6.16%0.0576-7.40%0.0270✓1.28908k2022-09-30
METISMetisEthereum31.0329.0734-6.31%24.07-22.43%0.1291✓1.90288k2022-09-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007473-6.47%0.00692-13.39%0.0415✓1.12477k2022-09-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0082-6.48%0.923-14.38%0.0486✓1.261.5M2022-09-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.7889-6.48%3.8918-3.94%0.0457✓0.604.2M2022-09-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.6148-6.53%1.1834-31.50%0.2805✓0.961.2M2022-09-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.108489-6.56%0.0758-34.71%0.3355✓0.73216k2022-09-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.032874-6.58%0.03032-13.84%0.0491✓1.0140k2022-09-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.0706-6.61%0.917-20.00%0.1066✓1.534.5M2022-09-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.6971-6.65%1.485-18.32%0.1048✓0.91121k2022-09-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.076061-6.66%0.07392-9.29%0.0270✓0.05451k2022-09-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.4192-6.75%1.257-17.41%0.0843✓1.1870k2022-09-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1413.1829-6.77%12.57-11.10%0.0128✓1.10909k2022-09-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.32631-6.77%0.33003-5.71%0.0409✓0.94347k2022-09-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001247-7.04%0.001016-24.30%0.1806✓0.792.1M2022-09-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.4792-7.05%3.842+2.64%0.1297✗0.97259k2022-09-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2716.0528-7.05%14.8-14.30%0.0596✓0.69818k2022-09-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.021412-7.07%0.01866-19.01%0.1121✓0.81459k2022-09-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.407853-7.10%0.3611-17.74%0.0854✓1.15100k2022-09-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.845188-7.12%0.865-4.95%0.0349✓0.374.0M2022-09-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00512.074-7.16%17.233+32.51%0.3722✗0.529.7M2022-09-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.837633-7.17%0.8477-6.05%0.0577✓1.45167k2022-09-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.028124-7.22%0.02996-1.17%0.0672✓0.13280k2022-09-30
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.477-7.26%5.85+21.18%0.2990✗1.00150k2022-09-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4129.9826-7.49%27.75-14.38%0.0299✓1.5112.7M2022-09-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.1978-7.50%6.53-2.54%0.0674✓0.481.7M2022-09-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.1089-7.64%3.848-13.51%0.0579✓0.242.3M2022-09-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.200137-8.15%0.2353+7.99%0.1884✗0.843.1M2022-09-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.057028-8.18%0.0611-1.63%0.1027✗1.072.0M2022-09-30
FLOWFlownative2.0721.9-8.30%1.686-18.63%0.0769✓1.351.3M2022-09-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.0301-9.04%5.6941-14.11%0.0502✓0.235.4M2022-09-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-78.41e-7-9.09%5.44e-7-41.20%0.4096✓0.831.3M2022-09-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000198424-10.44%0.00030441+37.39%0.4514✗0.74429k2022-09-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86116.8843-12.43%6.6182-15.81%0.0282✓0.367.0M2022-09-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.