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2022-08-31 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1928
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.1%
in alpha space · 80.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000177184-20.03%0.00030441+37.39%0.5646✗0.74429k2022-09-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86116.6567-15.32%6.6182-15.81%0.0054✓0.367.0M2022-09-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-77.98e-7-13.72%5.44e-7-41.20%0.3573✓0.831.3M2022-09-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00511.2906-13.18%17.233+32.51%0.4393✗0.529.7M2022-09-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62945.7902-12.66%5.6941-14.11%0.0096✓0.235.4M2022-09-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.026752-11.75%0.02996-1.17%0.1173✓0.13280k2022-09-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.802925-11.01%0.8477-6.05%0.1001✓1.45167k2022-09-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.3541-10.39%3.842+2.64%0.1663✗0.97259k2022-09-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.6353-10.28%3.8918-3.94%0.0871✓0.604.2M2022-09-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.1605-10.19%5.682-1.11%0.1233✗0.869.1M2022-09-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.1808-9.86%1.16-11.45%0.0108✓0.91111k2022-09-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.3763-9.57%1.257-17.41%0.0536✓1.1870k2022-09-30
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.3656-9.57%5.85+21.18%0.3242✗1.00150k2022-09-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.105187-9.40%0.0758-34.71%0.3046✓0.73216k2022-09-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1412.8128-9.39%12.57-11.10%0.0157✓1.10909k2022-09-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.602674-9.10%0.589-11.16%0.0043✓0.86228k2022-09-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.056465-9.09%0.0611-1.63%0.1126✗1.072.0M2022-09-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.2779-9.02%4.1679-28.16%0.2328✓0.10115k2022-09-30
FLOWFlownative2.0721.8874-8.91%1.686-18.63%0.0702✓1.351.3M2022-09-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2715.76-8.74%14.8-14.30%0.0412✓0.69818k2022-09-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.461718-8.64%0.4164-17.61%0.0795✓0.75544k2022-09-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.199281-8.54%0.2353+7.99%0.1927✗0.843.1M2022-09-30
METISMetisEthereum31.0328.4009-8.47%24.07-22.43%0.1057✓1.90288k2022-09-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4129.6843-8.41%27.75-14.38%0.0199✓1.5112.7M2022-09-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.45.864-8.38%6.03-5.78%0.0435✓0.502.1M2022-09-30
XVGVergenative0.003350.003075-8.22%0.00328-2.09%0.0964✗1.01486k2022-09-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.485571-8.04%0.444-15.91%0.0565✓1.0576k2022-09-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.1422-7.89%8.52-3.62%0.0607✓0.491.9M2022-09-30
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000041055-7.78%0.00004111-7.66%0.0286✓0.861.7M2022-09-30
PROPropyEthereum0.730.673633-7.72%0.62-15.07%0.0737✓0.2979k2022-09-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.0051-7.65%3.882-10.49%0.0161✓0.482.0M2022-09-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.621319-7.58%0.6408-4.69%0.0747✓1.39226k2022-09-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007392-7.48%0.00692-13.39%0.0307✓1.12477k2022-09-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.5253-7.43%2.336-14.37%0.0504✓0.87706k2022-09-30
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1443.6802-7.34%61.22+29.87%0.3770✗1.259,8512022-09-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001243-7.34%0.001016-24.30%0.1774✓0.792.1M2022-09-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.0631-7.26%0.917-20.00%0.0995✓1.534.5M2022-09-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.075624-7.20%0.07392-9.29%0.0212✓0.05451k2022-09-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.297247-7.20%0.288-10.08%0.0051✓1.17138k2022-09-30
STXStacksnative0.3650.339006-7.12%0.3244-11.12%0.0075✓1.16384k2022-09-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.326331-7.11%0.2956-15.86%0.0650✓1.07116k2022-09-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.325238-7.07%0.33003-5.71%0.0441✓0.94347k2022-09-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0027-6.99%0.923-14.38%0.0431✓1.261.5M2022-09-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.003761-6.91%0.00347-14.11%0.0492✓0.99144k2022-09-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.775474-6.87%0.7579-8.98%0.0098✓1.041.7M2022-09-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.7219-6.85%3.081+5.44%0.1397✗0.50650k2022-09-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.1491-6.74%3.848-13.51%0.0676✓0.242.3M2022-09-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.6433-6.68%5.44-10.04%0.0217✓0.484.4M2022-09-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.849303-6.67%0.865-4.95%0.0300✓0.374.0M2022-09-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.481033-6.60%0.453-12.04%0.0241✓1.1483k2022-09-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.0458-6.59%13.03+10.19%0.2002✗1.1111.4M2022-09-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.267-6.46%6.53-2.54%0.0563✓0.481.7M2022-09-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.021566-6.40%0.01866-19.01%0.1193✓0.81459k2022-09-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,455.01-6.27%8,121.81-9.97%0.0033✓1.386.0M2022-09-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4246-6.27%1.44-5.26%0.0068✓-0.13128k2022-09-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.292187-6.27%0.23673-24.06%0.1775✓1.0512k2022-09-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.058313-6.25%0.0576-7.40%0.0279✓1.28908k2022-09-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.313408-6.21%0.30317-9.27%0.0020✓0.9945k2022-09-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.157617-6.18%0.14624-12.95%0.0444✓0.97324k2022-09-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.096271-6.17%0.0987-3.80%0.0587✓1.073.1M2022-09-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.280052-6.05%0.267208-10.36%0.0127✓1.09547k2022-09-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006106-5.99%0.006298-3.03%0.0440✓0.4158k2022-09-30
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.1988-5.98%1.227-3.76%0.0607✓1.19460k2022-09-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001467-5.94%0.001435-8.01%0.0003✓0.709,0932022-09-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.0331-5.94%0.03032-13.84%0.0560✓1.0140k2022-09-30
FTTFTXEthereum26.7325.1533-5.90%24.25-9.28%0.0059✓0.977.3M2022-09-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.020252-5.89%0.01929-10.36%0.0232✓0.8113k2022-09-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0077-5.89%0.953-11.00%0.0287✓0.8644k2022-09-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000011372-5.86%0.00001131-6.37%0.0244✓0.95776k2022-09-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.283-5.83%5.08-9.45%0.0249✓0.452.0M2022-09-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.073-5.82%1.194+4.79%0.1346✗0.881.3M2022-09-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.144225-5.80%0.1386-9.47%0.0046✓1.121,5282022-09-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.265997-5.67%0.251-10.99%0.0352✓0.72668k2022-09-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.286907-5.65%0.2602-14.44%0.0639✓1.07107k2022-09-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3492-5.65%1.475+3.15%0.1259✗1.17116k2022-09-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.626009-5.58%0.576-13.12%0.0525✓0.98207k2022-09-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.129361-5.56%0.12823-6.39%0.0290✓1.20190k2022-09-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.045713-5.55%0.0392-19.01%0.1224✓0.99781k2022-09-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.033718-5.55%0.0377+5.60%0.1364✗0.799,5472022-09-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.7951-5.54%2.377-19.67%0.1136✓1.543.7M2022-09-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0329-5.45%1.82-15.35%0.0745✓1.14217k2022-09-30
HIVEHivenative0.55730.52701-5.44%0.4837-13.21%0.0593✓0.841.1M2022-09-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.634-5.42%1.1834-31.50%0.2923✓0.961.2M2022-09-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.125229-5.42%0.1183-10.65%0.0404✓0.523.5M2022-09-30
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.4299-5.35%1.4221-5.87%0.0300✓1.12296k2022-09-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.054627-5.33%0.0455-21.14%0.1471✓1.13258k2022-09-30
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.07-5.22%0.911-19.31%0.1069✓1.713.2M2022-09-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.2624-5.19%6.46-15.67%0.0830✓1.08430k2022-09-30
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3811.7386-5.18%11.1383-10.03%0.0220✓0.9730k2022-09-30
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.352479-5.17%0.38467+3.49%0.1174✗0.9540k2022-09-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1438-5.07%1.056-12.37%0.0487✓0.991.6M2022-09-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0227-5.04%2-6.10%0.0126✓0.76287k2022-09-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.207464-5.01%0.1725-21.02%0.1435✓1.30135k2022-09-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.266856-5.00%0.2876+2.39%0.1048✗0.953.1M2022-09-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.132551-4.98%0.1421+1.86%0.1014✗1.01509k2022-09-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.27e-7-4.91%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0211✓0.7916k2022-09-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.005887-4.90%0.00487-21.32%0.1695✓0.641.0M2022-09-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.058276-4.90%0.061628+0.57%0.0892✗1.061.5M2022-09-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.8213-4.89%1.591-16.92%0.0822✓1.6883k2022-09-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.09834-4.80%0.0987-4.45%0.0307✓0.86188k2022-09-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.5611-4.78%4.68-2.30%0.0425✓0.531.1M2022-09-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.9159-4.78%1.701-15.46%0.0832✓1.1342k2022-09-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.137657-4.74%0.1275-11.76%0.0444✓1.02130k2022-09-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.7-4.73%6.322-10.11%0.0254✓1.0410.9M2022-09-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.173779-4.73%0.1525-16.39%0.0872✓1.382,2912022-09-30
DASHDashDash44.5542.46-4.69%41.94-5.86%0.0182✓0.97438k2022-09-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91549.513-4.63%48.976-5.66%0.0125✓0.74302k2022-09-30
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.041931-4.57%0.040717-7.34%0.0027✓0.8529k2022-09-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7119-4.57%1.7056-4.92%0.0304✓1.0830k2022-09-30
ZECZcashZcash59.8857.1652-4.53%55.65-7.06%0.0096✓1.161.7M2022-09-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.048024-4.53%0.0405-19.48%0.1397✓0.97217k2022-09-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002859-4.51%0.001987-33.63%0.3349✓0.921.1M2022-09-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.255.9706-4.47%6.071-2.86%0.0437✓0.864.9M2022-09-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03470.988733-4.44%1.1027+6.57%0.1476✗1.22996k2022-09-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.511.9461-4.43%16.08+28.64%0.3305✗1.061.9M2022-09-30
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.8421-4.43%14.11-9.14%0.0156✓1.11107k2022-09-30
KSMKusamaHydration47.4245.3258-4.42%42.06-11.30%0.0436✓0.99522k2022-09-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.6542-4.41%9-10.89%0.0316✓1.22313k2022-09-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.078492-4.39%0.082-0.12%0.0732✗0.9411k2022-09-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.643591-4.37%0.593-11.89%0.0439✓1.214.1M2022-09-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.01938-4.34%0.02279+12.49%0.1882✗0.8311.1M2022-09-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.041268-4.31%0.037509-13.03%0.0793✓0.5227k2022-09-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.234169-4.30%0.2604+6.42%0.1358✗0.9475k2022-09-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.056949-4.29%0.0647+8.74%0.1549✗0.87101k2022-09-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.1493.0146-4.27%2.8524-9.42%0.0235✓1.0125k2022-09-30
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.122178-4.25%0.1271-0.39%0.0721✗1.031.7M2022-09-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.044016-4.17%0.04057-11.67%0.0590✓0.7115k2022-09-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16110.3787-4.15%120.1+4.29%0.1204✗1.144.6M2022-09-30
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.857566-4.14%0.770263-13.90%0.0812✓0.8360k2022-09-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.063448-4.13%0.0629-4.96%0.0187✓0.877702022-09-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008229-4.09%0.00657-23.43%0.2024✓0.725.5M2022-09-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.012638-4.08%0.011753-10.80%0.0527✓0.63932k2022-09-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.421134-4.07%0.3611-17.74%0.1174✓1.15100k2022-09-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.042224-4.04%0.0427-2.95%0.0415✗0.96147k2022-09-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.441002-4.00%0.4309-6.20%0.0128✓1.14383k2022-09-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.223239-3.98%0.1432-38.41%0.4156✓0.9076k2022-09-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.0742-3.94%1.8009-16.60%0.1061✓1.1213k2022-09-30
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.45e-7-3.93%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0684✓0.791.9M2022-09-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1425.9016-3.91%6.467+5.29%0.1325✗1.308.9M2022-09-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.036946-3.91%0.03783-1.61%0.0492✗0.812,7072022-09-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.5751-3.91%5.408+13.59%0.2094✗1.348.5M2022-09-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.118794-3.89%0.1259+1.86%0.0910✗1.0423k2022-09-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.277332-3.87%0.3535+22.53%0.2711✗0.906.0M2022-09-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.237479-3.85%0.1171-52.59%0.7071✓-0.0091k2022-09-30
GTGateEthereum4.30084.1371-3.81%4.2716-0.68%0.0564✗0.77798k2022-09-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.013063-3.80%0.0098-27.84%0.2664✓0.67201k2022-09-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005454-3.79%0.005197-8.32%0.0266✓0.692,1952022-09-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.743146-3.73%0.69854-9.50%0.0343✓0.88509k2022-09-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.908339-3.64%0.8437-10.50%0.0358✓1.21912k2022-09-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.6773-3.60%9.167+1.84%0.0848✗0.951.4M2022-09-30
XMRMoneroMonero149.22143.9278-3.55%147.45-1.19%0.0563✗1.021.3M2022-09-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7542-3.51%1.485-18.32%0.1379✓0.91121k2022-09-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.920851-3.42%0.8963-6.00%0.0114✓0.493.6M2022-09-30
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.430637-3.40%0.4348-2.47%0.0391✗0.9437.1M2022-09-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.055448-3.40%0.0514-10.45%0.0466✓0.9398k2022-09-30
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.221422-3.35%0.2181-4.80%0.0133✓0.90489k2022-09-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.404115-3.32%0.472+12.92%0.1873✗1.027,9102022-09-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,387.33-3.30%19,426.11-3.10%0.0335✓1.00504.7M2022-09-30
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8582.1205-3.22%74.57-12.12%0.0485✓1.526.2M2022-09-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8452.1278-3.18%53.48-0.67%0.0565✗0.9812.6M2022-09-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.4223-3.10%7.586+14.45%0.1997✗1.0517.4M2022-09-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.087118-3.09%0.1076+19.69%0.2413✗0.95381k2022-09-30
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.061593-2.89%0.061037-3.77%0.0101✓0.61142k2022-09-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.6025-2.88%1.64-0.61%0.0524✗0.93579k2022-09-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.00146-2.86%0.001547+2.93%0.0884✗0.97424k2022-09-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.535776-2.79%0.44894-18.55%0.1354✓1.3135k2022-09-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,435.64-2.78%19,846.80-0.72%0.0506✗0.9415k2022-09-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.309236-2.74%0.40262+26.63%0.2893✗0.81340k2022-09-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.205458-2.72%0.1931-8.57%0.0296✓1.0358k2022-09-30
QNTQuantEthereum96.4793.8673-2.70%141.89+47.08%0.4402✗0.863.5M2022-09-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.151708-2.55%0.16779+7.78%0.1649✗2.035722022-09-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.023932-2.52%0.02333-4.97%0.0148✓1.283,4352022-09-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.101867-2.39%0.114648+9.85%0.1437✗0.817.0M2022-09-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.875312-2.37%0.78889-12.01%0.0721✓1.0113k2022-09-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.6843-2.33%17.2-10.09%0.0420✓1.2922.5M2022-09-30
SOLSolanaSolana31.530.7694-2.32%33.26+5.59%0.1145✗1.1665.9M2022-09-30
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.196405-2.29%0.1637-18.56%0.1506✓1.00116k2022-09-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.749-2.28%4.78-1.65%0.0332✗0.851.5M2022-09-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.071326-1.94%0.0606-16.69%0.1263✓1.1626k2022-09-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.098351-1.94%0.0911-9.17%0.0539✓0.722,5272022-09-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.031.9932-1.81%2.31+13.79%0.1635✗0.5193k2022-09-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034268-1.81%0.0337-3.44%0.0121✓0.9186k2022-09-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,531.11-1.47%1,328.95-14.48%0.0982✓1.38660.9M2022-09-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.341896-1.24%0.321-7.28%0.0237✓1.25176k2022-09-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0318.9371-0.49%16.37-13.98%0.1235✓0.701.6M2022-09-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.474554-0.09%0.346-27.16%0.2780✓1.202,7102022-09-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.