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2022-08-25 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1206
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,659.29-2.12%1,317.25-22.30%0.0572✓1.33608.4M2022-09-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.367072-2.22%0.3197-14.84%0.0230✗1.23205k2022-09-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.414394-2.43%0.3626-14.62%0.0119✓1.1189k2022-09-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.106902-2.64%0.0908-17.30%0.0719✓0.703,6712022-09-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.073846-2.68%0.06277-17.28%0.0074✓1.1929k2022-09-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.5229-2.94%4.67-17.93%0.0585✓0.841.6M2022-09-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.107109-2.98%0.11814+7.01%0.2096✗0.857.8M2022-09-24
SOLSolanaSolana35.2534.1725-3.06%33.38-5.30%0.1266✗1.1570.1M2022-09-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.561123-3.25%0.387-33.28%0.2123✓1.222,3272022-09-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.221387-3.28%0.2052-10.35%0.0550✗1.0070k2022-09-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.046332-3.31%0.0406-15.28%0.0436✓0.6816k2022-09-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.5805-3.35%1.94-27.34%0.2206✓0.5093k2022-09-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.7921-3.44%1.416-23.71%0.1104✓0.96146k2022-09-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.037535-3.51%0.0335-13.88%0.0067✓0.9286k2022-09-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.918021-3.51%0.80386-15.51%0.0071✓0.9613k2022-09-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.05816-3.55%0.0544-9.78%0.0517✗0.91112k2022-09-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.4117-3.60%8.909-8.75%0.0697✗0.951.8M2022-09-24
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.063107-3.65%0.059922-8.51%0.0240✓0.58151k2022-09-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.008802-3.70%0.00697-23.74%0.1344✓0.766.4M2022-09-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6020,791.08-3.77%18,988.80-12.11%0.0334✓0.9512k2022-09-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.351266-3.79%0.37942+3.92%0.2044✗0.98435k2022-09-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.159022-3.82%0.16399-0.81%0.3067✗2.116042022-09-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.136.8563-3.84%7.625+6.94%0.2446✗1.0619.5M2022-09-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6254.4332-3.86%53.43-5.63%0.1105✗0.9913.5M2022-09-24
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.446133-3.89%0.4511-2.82%0.1465✗1.0440.7M2022-09-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.920612-3.99%0.796-16.99%0.0415✓0.8084k2022-09-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.0064-4.02%0.8876-15.35%0.0319✓1.211.0M2022-09-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.20914-4.02%0.1697-22.12%0.0784✓1.00149k2022-09-24
QNTQuantEthereum106.79102.4411-4.07%114.65+7.36%0.2223✗0.843.5M2022-09-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.966738-4.09%0.9169-9.04%0.0188✓0.553.6M2022-09-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9822.0258-4.15%17.6-23.41%0.0563✓1.2924.1M2022-09-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026174-4.19%0.02171-20.53%0.0215✓1.273,4352022-09-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.294484-4.20%0.3853+25.34%0.3883✗0.927.8M2022-09-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.8373-4.21%4.45-11.88%0.0293✓0.411.3M2022-09-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8620,653.19-4.21%18,923.20-12.24%0.0431✓1.00485.5M2022-09-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.094702-4.24%0.1064+7.58%0.2382✗0.93430k2022-09-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005605-4.30%0.00497-15.13%0.0328✓0.672,6192022-09-24
XMRMoneroMonero153.94147.2025-4.38%141.98-7.77%0.0935✗0.991.2M2022-09-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.581694-4.40%0.46599-23.41%0.0546✓1.2845k2022-09-24
BTTCBTTC9.20e-78.79e-7-4.41%7.90e-7-14.13%0.0035✓0.792.4M2022-09-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.437639-4.45%0.398-13.10%0.0346✓0.998,8922022-09-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.8564-4.46%1.578-18.79%0.0441✓0.91782k2022-09-24
GTGateEthereum4.5674.3629-4.47%4.2479-6.99%0.0741✗0.77827k2022-09-24
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.230993-4.47%0.2268-6.20%0.0987✗0.90510k2022-09-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.249069-4.50%0.1188-54.45%0.7390✓0.0187k2022-09-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.038106-4.57%0.03492-12.55%0.0191✓0.822,7072022-09-24
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.392128-4.59%0.37751-8.15%0.0851✗0.9462k2022-09-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.065988-4.60%0.063176-8.67%0.0908✗1.031.7M2022-09-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2026-4.71%1.08-14.42%0.0203✓0.982.1M2022-09-24
XVGVergenative0.003280.003125-4.74%0.00321-2.13%0.1617✗1.03537k2022-09-24
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3588.8995-4.77%74.94-19.72%0.0297✓1.546.7M2022-09-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.086521-4.82%0.0824-9.35%0.0760✗0.9613k2022-09-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.5446.198-4.82%41.14-15.25%0.0125✓0.98607k2022-09-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.471863-4.89%0.4369-11.93%0.0682✗1.11400k2022-09-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.149797-4.89%0.1301-17.40%0.0106✓1.00178k2022-09-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.6759-4.94%5.794-17.50%0.0264✓1.2910.3M2022-09-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.04458-4.95%0.0418-10.87%0.0628✗0.97182k2022-09-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.249598-4.95%0.2769+5.45%0.2278✗0.9583k2022-09-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.65e-7-4.95%8.30e-7-8.79%0.0653✗0.8217k2022-09-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.206-4.97%6.27-17.32%0.0058✓1.0214.0M2022-09-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.6578-4.99%6.54-18.86%0.0139✓1.10638k2022-09-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.13375-5.01%0.1278-9.23%0.0785✗0.951.9M2022-09-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3526.0338-5.01%6.057-4.64%0.1236✗0.925.2M2022-09-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.147163-5.06%0.139-10.32%0.0688✗0.96668k2022-09-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.124244-5.08%0.1318+0.69%0.1914✗1.0135k2022-09-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.2997-5.10%2.849-18.06%0.0178✓0.9930k2022-09-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.797255-5.11%0.70794-15.74%0.0001✓0.91507k2022-09-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.5603-5.11%5.32-9.22%0.0049✓0.382.9M2022-09-24
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.3087-5.13%14.09-18.03%0.0026✓1.10130k2022-09-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.044956-5.13%0.037461-20.95%0.1141✓0.5233k2022-09-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.174272-5.13%0.1619-11.87%0.1038✗1.362,2552022-09-24
ZECZcashZcash67.7564.2708-5.14%55.64-17.87%0.0015✓1.122.0M2022-09-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.1013-5.16%5.425+0.86%0.2379✗1.3510.1M2022-09-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.105721-5.27%0.1001-10.30%0.0577✗0.86255k2022-09-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.051903-5.29%0.0414-24.45%0.0970✓0.99256k2022-09-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3638-5.29%1.42-1.39%0.0324✓-0.06115k2022-09-24
DASHDashDash49.1846.5696-5.31%41.6-15.41%0.0127✓0.96504k2022-09-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.16328-5.34%0.1359-21.22%0.0448✓1.061,7802022-09-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.0725-5.37%1.652-24.57%0.0023✓1.72114k2022-09-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61552.6062-5.41%49.307-11.34%0.0315✓0.74332k2022-09-24
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.045224-5.42%0.04064-15.01%0.0029✓0.8432k2022-09-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.4667-5.46%6.68-2.34%0.0816✗0.382.1M2022-09-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.254329-5.52%0.1635-39.26%0.3137✓0.98109k2022-09-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006651-5.53%0.00493-29.97%0.2161✓0.641.2M2022-09-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.846-5.54%13.63+0.22%0.2046✗1.111.9M2022-09-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.942055-5.61%0.931-6.71%0.1477✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.1607-5.61%1.739-24.03%0.0679✓1.1460k2022-09-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.022569-5.61%0.02275-4.85%0.1197✗0.8613.4M2022-09-24
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.5752-5.62%1.4784-11.42%0.0787✗1.09355k2022-09-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69123.3241-5.64%117.26-10.28%0.0950✗1.114.9M2022-09-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.129948-5.70%0.1132-17.85%0.0663✓0.553.9M2022-09-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3041-5.70%1.19-13.96%0.0676✗1.22534k2022-09-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.013656-5.71%0.011796-18.55%0.0644✓0.631.4M2022-09-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.038371-5.72%0.0392-3.69%0.1307✗0.8411k2022-09-24
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1105-5.73%0.919-21.99%0.0355✓1.723.6M2022-09-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.7061-5.77%1.1961-33.94%0.2172✓1.06980k2022-09-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.179783-5.87%0.14704-23.02%0.0624✓1.06500k2022-09-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.287653-5.87%0.2788-8.77%0.0922✗0.953.4M2022-09-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.0672-5.90%0.948552-16.37%0.0070✓0.8553k2022-09-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.690637-5.91%0.564-23.16%0.0284✓1.335.0M2022-09-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17414.8679-5.92%4.2695-17.48%0.1123✓0.14158k2022-09-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.3329-5.93%1.81-27.02%0.0958✓1.21299k2022-09-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003287-5.94%0.002211-36.74%0.2842✓0.861.1M2022-09-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.059808-5.96%0.0464-27.04%0.1035✓1.15258k2022-09-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001656-6.03%0.001558-11.58%0.0565✓0.90590k2022-09-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.9426.2532-6.04%23.68-15.25%0.0210✓0.957.5M2022-09-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461512.6456-6.06%10.8104-19.69%0.0330✓0.9539k2022-09-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.3261-6.07%1.8174-26.61%0.0901✓1.2013k2022-09-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001499-6.11%0.001515-5.13%0.1032✗0.719,9742022-09-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.351233-6.13%0.30895-17.43%0.0030✓0.9687k2022-09-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.015638-6.13%0.01037-37.76%0.3236✓0.67173k2022-09-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.065996-6.14%0.0639-9.12%0.0740✗0.819142022-09-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1775-6.14%2.1-9.48%0.0677✗0.80520k2022-09-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.00638-6.18%0.006417-5.63%0.0633✓0.4457k2022-09-24
PROPropyEthereum0.730.684394-6.25%0.6-17.81%0.0840✓0.36105k2022-09-24
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000036997-6.27%0.00003974+0.68%0.1873✗0.891.7M2022-09-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3810.6655-6.28%9.37-17.66%0.0248✓1.18439k2022-09-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.811355-6.29%0.7405-14.47%0.0491✓1.082.2M2022-09-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.4142-6.30%3.923-16.73%0.1068✓0.092.4M2022-09-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.4434-6.34%1.368-11.23%0.0984✗1.16138k2022-09-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.003934-6.34%0.00356-15.24%0.0292✓0.99152k2022-09-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.284664-6.39%0.24602-19.10%0.0099✓1.0413k2022-09-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.1291-6.41%5.479-16.34%0.0708✓0.325.3M2022-09-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.223073-6.43%0.1752-26.51%0.0654✓1.35133k2022-09-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.064653-6.44%0.058-16.06%0.0089✓0.90116k2022-09-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.825-6.49%2.41-20.23%0.0471✓1.584.0M2022-09-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.021023-6.61%0.019685-12.55%0.0404✓0.8113k2022-09-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.021497-6.65%0.01924-16.46%0.0060✓0.80419k2022-09-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.276258-6.67%0.252-14.86%0.0019✓0.72826k2022-09-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1197-6.74%1.069-10.96%0.1150✗1.24981k2022-09-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.8563-6.77%1.7298-13.12%0.0680✓1.0633k2022-09-24
HIVEHivenative0.56910.530468-6.79%0.5008-12.00%0.0580✓0.881.7M2022-09-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.6932-6.83%0.607-18.41%0.0132✓0.92322k2022-09-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.2942-6.85%1.173-15.58%0.0215✓0.921.5M2022-09-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.133424-6.87%0.12433-13.21%0.0890✗1.22213k2022-09-24
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4847.9009-6.95%60.6+17.72%0.3943✗1.2215k2022-09-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.299196-6.98%0.272484-15.28%0.0470✓1.08743k2022-09-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.049204-6.99%0.0379-28.36%0.1368✓0.95877k2022-09-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.062845-7.03%0.0553-18.20%0.0314✓1.221.0M2022-09-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.107647-7.12%0.1006-13.20%0.0719✓1.073.7M2022-09-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.4565-7.17%8.33-8.56%0.0408✓0.432.4M2022-09-24
STXStacksnative0.39980.371122-7.17%0.3317-17.03%0.0383✓1.15470k2022-09-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.856581-7.20%0.874-5.31%0.0760✗0.434.2M2022-09-24
FLOWFlownative2.1371.9832-7.20%1.678-21.48%0.0026✓1.301.2M2022-09-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,077.95-7.33%8,220.83-16.08%0.0778✗1.367.3M2022-09-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.3249-7.35%1.18-17.48%0.0081✓0.95182k2022-09-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.7328-7.36%0.6362-19.57%0.0442✓1.42259k2022-09-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.3299-7.52%3.917-16.34%0.0586✓0.321.9M2022-09-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.365291-7.52%0.2967-24.89%0.0654✓1.09174k2022-09-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.7244-7.52%2.398-18.60%0.0178✓0.84749k2022-09-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8935.0307-7.55%14.95-60.54%0.7368✓0.881.8M2022-09-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.7743-7.65%3.023+0.63%0.1684✗0.63669k2022-09-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.077595-7.68%0.07767-7.59%0.0127✓0.09637k2022-09-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.75616-7.75%0.8516+3.89%0.3097✗1.46205k2022-09-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.2652-7.86%6.03-11.32%0.0105✓0.372.7M2022-09-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.52598-7.88%0.47-17.69%0.0341✓1.1288k2022-09-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84711.8198-8.00%13.638+6.16%0.2869✗1.1010.4M2022-09-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007366-8.04%0.00708-11.61%0.1087✗1.14513k2022-09-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.206429-8.05%0.2653+18.17%0.3559✗0.802.6M2022-09-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.0841-8.13%0.9213-21.92%0.0311✓1.484.9M2022-09-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.341375-8.16%0.2903-21.90%0.0143✓1.13111k2022-09-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.037715-8.26%0.03006-26.88%0.0987✓0.9828k2022-09-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.0214-8.32%0.026013+11.44%0.2090✗0.11250k2022-09-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000012767-8.35%0.00001124-19.31%0.0077✓0.92900k2022-09-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.549223-8.46%0.451-24.83%0.0549✓1.09102k2022-09-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001393-8.67%0.001057-30.73%0.1755✓0.772.0M2022-09-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3565.7901-8.90%5.575-12.29%0.0720✓0.8410.1M2022-09-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4216.7793-8.91%15.1-18.02%0.0144✓0.701.4M2022-09-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30773.9152-9.11%5.2757+22.47%0.4288✗1.00171k2022-09-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.063374-9.19%0.06107-12.49%0.1073✗1.112.4M2022-09-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.656858-9.27%0.591-18.37%0.0080✓0.87253k2022-09-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.462439-9.29%0.4153-18.54%0.0012✓0.81625k2022-09-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.339622-9.31%0.381+1.74%0.2357✗0.93321k2022-09-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.101888-9.35%0.0864-23.13%0.0737✓0.70250k2022-09-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.1811-9.42%5.9377+3.81%0.1564✗0.155.0M2022-09-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1433.6138-9.49%28.66-22.83%0.0276✓1.4316.0M2022-09-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.3188-9.52%12.7-13.72%0.1117✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.0294-9.81%6.738+20.83%0.3161✗0.183.5M2022-09-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25273.8336-9.85%3.6408-14.39%0.0184✓0.542.9M2022-09-24
METISMetisEthereum35.2331.7189-9.97%24.66-30.00%0.0080✓1.87365k2022-09-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.6198-10.51%1.237-31.66%0.1142✓1.19103k2022-09-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.334184-12.08%0.2999-21.10%0.0561✓1.26152k2022-09-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.1446-12.21%3.906-17.26%0.0651✓0.95225k2022-09-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-76.95e-7-13.55%5.04e-7-37.36%0.2172✓0.80192k2022-09-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86211.9797-13.58%17.384+25.41%0.4271✗0.423.8M2022-09-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.00011278-14.12%0.00022573+71.89%0.8004✗0.82340k2022-09-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.