8=======>

2022-08-25 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0769
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.0199-9.98%6.738+20.83%0.3179✗0.183.5M2022-09-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1433.9091-8.70%28.66-22.83%0.0188✓1.4316.0M2022-09-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.3064-8.59%3.923-16.73%0.0821✓0.092.4M2022-09-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.35e-7-8.56%5.04e-7-37.36%0.2733✓0.80192k2022-09-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.063963-8.35%0.06107-12.49%0.0980✗1.112.4M2022-09-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000120644-8.13%0.00022573+71.89%0.7330✗0.82340k2022-09-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.2579-8.07%5.9377+3.81%0.1417✗0.155.0M2022-09-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.206614-7.97%0.2653+18.17%0.3550✗0.802.6M2022-09-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.3454-7.96%3.906-17.26%0.0178✓0.95225k2022-09-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001406-7.85%0.001057-30.73%0.1844✓0.772.0M2022-09-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.309-7.76%6.68-2.34%0.1063✗0.382.1M2022-09-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.0896-7.66%0.9213-21.92%0.0260✓1.484.9M2022-09-24
FLOWFlownative2.1371.9736-7.65%1.678-21.48%0.0075✓1.301.2M2022-09-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.346177-7.56%0.381+1.74%0.2166✗0.93321k2022-09-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.6734-7.54%1.237-31.66%0.1468✓1.19103k2022-09-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8935.0481-7.50%14.95-60.54%0.7373✓0.881.8M2022-09-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000012891-7.46%0.00001124-19.31%0.0174✓0.92900k2022-09-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30773.9897-7.38%5.2757+22.47%0.4099✗1.00171k2022-09-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.344994-7.18%0.2903-21.90%0.0248✓1.13111k2022-09-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86212.8729-7.14%17.384+25.41%0.3552✗0.423.8M2022-09-24
METISMetisEthereum35.2332.7229-7.12%24.66-30.00%0.0392✓1.87365k2022-09-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.021418-7.00%0.01924-16.46%0.0023✓0.80419k2022-09-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.353513-6.99%0.2999-21.10%0.0001✓1.26152k2022-09-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.015518-6.86%0.01037-37.76%0.3158✓0.67173k2022-09-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.107963-6.85%0.1006-13.20%0.0689✓1.073.7M2022-09-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4217.1672-6.80%15.1-18.02%0.0372✓0.701.4M2022-09-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.6881-6.76%1.1961-33.94%0.2065✓1.06980k2022-09-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.7279-6.74%12.7-13.72%0.0815✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.038353-6.71%0.03006-26.88%0.1155✓0.9828k2022-09-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.063103-6.65%0.0553-18.20%0.0273✓1.221.0M2022-09-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.861814-6.63%0.874-5.31%0.0699✗0.434.2M2022-09-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.00748-6.61%0.00708-11.61%0.0933✗1.14513k2022-09-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.078495-6.61%0.07767-7.59%0.0012✓0.09637k2022-09-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.0057-6.55%13.638+6.16%0.2713✗1.1010.4M2022-09-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1691-6.50%2.1-9.48%0.0715✗0.80520k2022-09-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.56111-6.48%0.451-24.83%0.0763✓1.09102k2022-09-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,163.39-6.45%8,220.83-16.08%0.0684✗1.367.3M2022-09-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.317-6.44%1.8174-26.61%0.0862✓1.2013k2022-09-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.1301-6.40%5.479-16.34%0.0710✓0.325.3M2022-09-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.3827-6.39%3.917-16.34%0.0707✓0.321.9M2022-09-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.122674-6.28%0.1318+0.69%0.2041✗1.0135k2022-09-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.3254-6.24%1.81-27.02%0.0925✓1.21299k2022-09-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1258-6.23%1.069-10.96%0.1096✗1.24981k2022-09-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.736-6.22%4.45-11.88%0.0081✓0.411.3M2022-09-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003278-6.21%0.002211-36.74%0.2814✓0.861.1M2022-09-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.8336-6.20%2.41-20.23%0.0441✓1.584.0M2022-09-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3525.958-6.20%6.057-4.64%0.1363✗0.925.2M2022-09-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.742005-6.19%0.6362-19.57%0.0317✓1.42259k2022-09-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.7412-6.19%1.416-23.71%0.0816✓0.96146k2022-09-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.7638-6.18%2.398-18.60%0.0321✓0.84749k2022-09-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25273.9901-6.17%3.6408-14.39%0.0216✓0.542.9M2022-09-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.021904-6.17%0.026013+11.44%0.1857✗0.11250k2022-09-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001499-6.11%0.001515-5.13%0.1032✗0.719,9742022-09-24
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.567-6.11%1.4784-11.42%0.0840✗1.09355k2022-09-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.5995-6.03%5.794-17.50%0.0379✓1.2910.3M2022-09-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.0566-5.99%5.425+0.86%0.2467✗1.3510.1M2022-09-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.215214-5.98%0.2052-10.35%0.0833✗1.0070k2022-09-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.148139-5.94%0.1301-17.40%0.0005✓1.00178k2022-09-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001657-5.93%0.001558-11.58%0.0554✓0.90590k2022-09-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.3967-5.93%6.03-11.32%0.0103✓0.372.7M2022-09-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.066191-5.86%0.0639-9.12%0.0711✗0.819142022-09-24
HIVEHivenative0.56910.535909-5.83%0.5008-12.00%0.0478✓0.881.7M2022-09-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.895997-5.82%0.80386-15.51%0.0171✓0.9613k2022-09-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.400016-5.81%0.3626-14.62%0.0472✓1.1189k2022-09-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.049826-5.81%0.0379-28.36%0.1494✓0.95877k2022-09-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.940009-5.81%0.931-6.71%0.1499✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.5211-5.78%5.32-9.22%0.0120✓0.382.9M2022-09-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.772332-5.78%0.8516+3.89%0.2885✗1.46205k2022-09-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.372174-5.78%0.2967-24.89%0.0840✓1.09174k2022-09-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69123.1509-5.77%117.26-10.28%0.0964✗1.114.9M2022-09-24
STXStacksnative0.39980.376801-5.75%0.3317-17.03%0.0232✓1.15470k2022-09-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9821.6582-5.75%17.6-23.41%0.0395✓1.2924.1M2022-09-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.180098-5.71%0.14704-23.02%0.0642✓1.06500k2022-09-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.022545-5.71%0.02275-4.85%0.1207✗0.8613.4M2022-09-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.8251-5.70%13.63+0.22%0.2062✗1.111.9M2022-09-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.538803-5.64%0.47-17.69%0.0100✓1.1288k2022-09-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.1557-5.64%6.27-17.32%0.0012✓1.0214.0M2022-09-24
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4848.5853-5.62%60.6+17.72%0.3802✗1.2215k2022-09-24
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1119-5.61%0.919-21.99%0.0342✓1.723.6M2022-09-24
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3588.1109-5.61%74.94-19.72%0.0386✓1.546.7M2022-09-24
BTTCBTTC9.20e-78.68e-7-5.61%7.90e-7-14.13%0.0091✓0.792.4M2022-09-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.132911-5.60%0.1278-9.23%0.0848✗0.951.9M2022-09-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.2823-5.60%2.849-18.06%0.0125✓0.9930k2022-09-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3595-5.59%1.42-1.39%0.0356✓-0.06115k2022-09-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.468427-5.58%0.4369-11.93%0.0755✗1.11400k2022-09-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.00665-5.54%0.00493-29.97%0.2160✓0.641.2M2022-09-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3064-5.54%1.19-13.96%0.0658✗1.22534k2022-09-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.225227-5.53%0.1752-26.51%0.0750✓1.35133k2022-09-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.003969-5.50%0.00356-15.24%0.0202✓0.99152k2022-09-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.106225-5.49%0.0864-23.13%0.1154✓0.70250k2022-09-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.6102-5.49%8.33-8.56%0.0228✓0.432.4M2022-09-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.4572-5.43%1.368-11.23%0.0888✗1.16138k2022-09-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3566.0122-5.41%5.575-12.29%0.0343✓0.8410.1M2022-09-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.684945-5.39%0.591-18.37%0.0339✓0.87253k2022-09-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.146656-5.38%0.139-10.32%0.0723✗0.96668k2022-09-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.060211-5.33%0.0464-27.04%0.1102✓1.15258k2022-09-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.482892-5.28%0.4153-18.54%0.0445✓0.81625k2022-09-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.5446.002-5.23%41.14-15.25%0.0167✓0.98607k2022-09-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.796274-5.23%0.70794-15.74%0.0013✓0.91507k2022-09-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61552.711-5.22%49.307-11.34%0.0295✓0.74332k2022-09-24
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.22919-5.21%0.2268-6.20%0.1065✗0.90510k2022-09-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.136.7593-5.20%7.625+6.94%0.2589✗1.0619.5M2022-09-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.696126-5.16%0.564-23.16%0.0363✓1.335.0M2022-09-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.255407-5.12%0.1635-39.26%0.3179✓0.98109k2022-09-24
QNTQuantEthereum106.79101.3391-5.10%114.65+7.36%0.2332✗0.843.5M2022-09-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.135954-5.10%0.12433-13.21%0.0702✗1.22213k2022-09-24
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.045379-5.10%0.04064-15.01%0.0005✓0.8432k2022-09-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.28865-5.08%0.24602-19.10%0.0238✓1.0413k2022-09-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.093879-5.08%0.1064+7.58%0.2470✗0.93430k2022-09-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.6517-5.07%6.54-18.86%0.0131✓1.10638k2022-09-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.290139-5.06%0.2788-8.77%0.0836✗0.953.4M2022-09-24
PROPropyEthereum0.730.693071-5.06%0.6-17.81%0.0966✓0.36105k2022-09-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.434875-5.05%0.398-13.10%0.0410✓0.998,8922022-09-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.822251-5.03%0.7405-14.47%0.0358✓1.082.2M2022-09-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.8913-5.01%1.7298-13.12%0.0493✓1.0633k2022-09-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.106018-5.00%0.1001-10.30%0.0548✗0.86255k2022-09-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.3588-4.98%1.18-17.48%0.0171✓0.95182k2022-09-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,611.30-4.95%1,317.25-22.30%0.0279✓1.33608.4M2022-09-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.052108-4.91%0.0414-24.45%0.1009✓0.99256k2022-09-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3810.8237-4.89%9.37-17.66%0.0100✓1.18439k2022-09-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.045579-4.88%0.0406-15.28%0.0272✓0.6816k2022-09-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.707672-4.88%0.607-18.41%0.0339✓0.92322k2022-09-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.0792-4.85%0.948552-16.37%0.0181✓0.8553k2022-09-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.025995-4.85%0.02171-20.53%0.0146✓1.273,4352022-09-24
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.3599-4.83%14.09-18.03%0.0058✓1.10130k2022-09-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.8593-4.82%3.023+0.63%0.1382✗0.63669k2022-09-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.013786-4.81%0.011796-18.55%0.0739✓0.631.4M2022-09-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04850.998439-4.77%0.8876-15.35%0.0398✓1.211.0M2022-09-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.021442-4.75%0.019685-12.55%0.0207✓0.8113k2022-09-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.356424-4.74%0.30895-17.43%0.0177✓0.9687k2022-09-24
DASHDashDash49.1846.8584-4.72%41.6-15.41%0.0065✓0.96504k2022-09-24
XMRMoneroMonero153.94146.6791-4.72%141.98-7.77%0.0970✗0.991.2M2022-09-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.157557-4.70%0.16399-0.81%0.3160✗2.116042022-09-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461512.8378-4.63%10.8104-19.69%0.0481✓0.9539k2022-09-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.306796-4.62%0.272484-15.28%0.0219✓1.08743k2022-09-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.9426.6556-4.60%23.68-15.25%0.0058✓0.957.5M2022-09-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.553349-4.59%0.387-33.28%0.1983✓1.222,3272022-09-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.282445-4.58%0.252-14.86%0.0203✓0.72826k2022-09-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.348446-4.56%0.37942+3.92%0.2125✗0.98435k2022-09-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.8545-4.55%1.578-18.79%0.0431✓0.91782k2022-09-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.58078-4.55%0.46599-23.41%0.0530✓1.2845k2022-09-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.072445-4.53%0.06277-17.28%0.0118✓1.1929k2022-09-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.008726-4.52%0.00697-23.74%0.1257✓0.766.4M2022-09-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.044779-4.52%0.0418-10.87%0.0583✗0.97182k2022-09-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.045252-4.50%0.037461-20.95%0.1206✓0.5233k2022-09-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.131618-4.49%0.1132-17.85%0.0790✓0.553.9M2022-09-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006495-4.48%0.006417-5.63%0.0454✓0.4457k2022-09-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.1867-4.47%1.739-24.03%0.0799✓1.1460k2022-09-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.916029-4.47%0.796-16.99%0.0365✓0.8084k2022-09-24
XVGVergenative0.003280.003134-4.44%0.00321-2.13%0.1585✗1.03537k2022-09-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.16486-4.43%0.1359-21.22%0.0544✓1.061,7802022-09-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.3379-4.35%8.909-8.75%0.0775✗0.951.8M2022-09-24
GTGateEthereum4.5674.3708-4.29%4.2479-6.99%0.0723✗0.77827k2022-09-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.71e-7-4.29%8.30e-7-8.79%0.0583✗0.8217k2022-09-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.066165-4.25%0.058-16.06%0.0142✓0.90116k2022-09-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.0972-4.24%1.652-24.57%0.0142✓1.72114k2022-09-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.03726-4.22%0.0335-13.88%0.0141✓0.9286k2022-09-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.294607-4.16%0.3853+25.34%0.3878✗0.927.8M2022-09-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.249984-4.15%0.1188-54.45%0.7426✓0.0187k2022-09-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6020,716.15-4.12%18,988.80-12.11%0.0371✓0.9512k2022-09-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.087166-4.11%0.0824-9.35%0.0686✗0.9613k2022-09-24
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.445187-4.10%0.4511-2.82%0.1487✗1.0440.7M2022-09-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.208976-4.10%0.1697-22.12%0.0776✓1.00149k2022-09-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.251913-4.07%0.2769+5.45%0.2186✗0.9583k2022-09-24
ZECZcashZcash67.7564.9956-4.07%55.64-17.87%0.0097✓1.122.0M2022-09-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.3332-4.04%1.173-15.58%0.0082✓0.921.5M2022-09-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.967237-4.04%0.9169-9.04%0.0183✓0.553.6M2022-09-24
XECeCashnative0.000039470.00003789-4.00%0.00003974+0.68%0.1635✗0.891.7M2022-09-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005624-3.97%0.00497-15.13%0.0362✓0.672,6192022-09-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.176466-3.94%0.1619-11.87%0.0913✗1.362,2552022-09-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.057928-3.93%0.0544-9.78%0.0557✗0.91112k2022-09-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8620,715.60-3.92%18,923.20-12.24%0.0400✓1.00485.5M2022-09-24
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.395129-3.86%0.37751-8.15%0.0775✗0.9462k2022-09-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2139-3.81%1.08-14.42%0.0109✓0.982.1M2022-09-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.105778-3.66%0.0908-17.30%0.0613✓0.703,6712022-09-24
SOLSolanaSolana35.2533.9997-3.55%33.38-5.30%0.1316✗1.1570.1M2022-09-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.4917-3.49%4.67-17.93%0.0529✓0.841.6M2022-09-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.066764-3.48%0.063176-8.67%0.0791✗1.031.7M2022-09-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6254.6739-3.44%53.43-5.63%0.1061✗0.9913.5M2022-09-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.039352-3.31%0.0392-3.69%0.1054✗0.8411k2022-09-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.106747-3.31%0.11814+7.01%0.2130✗0.857.8M2022-09-24
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.063353-3.28%0.059922-8.51%0.0201✓0.58151k2022-09-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.038684-3.12%0.03492-12.55%0.0041✓0.822,7072022-09-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.0131-3.11%4.2695-17.48%0.1416✓0.14158k2022-09-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.5931-2.88%1.94-27.34%0.2255✓0.5093k2022-09-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.366379-2.40%0.3197-14.84%0.0249✗1.23205k2022-09-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.